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On Election Night a few months ago, Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers gave a small party for neighbors and colleagues at their row house in Center City in Philadelphia. They connected their television to a projector, served beer and pizza and watched the returns come in. The party went strong until almost midnight, when the results started to seem clear. The Democrats had won the House of Repres
èè ã®Prof. Tom W. Bellã¯ãChapman University School of Lawã®ææãæ³å¦ã®äººã ãGeorge Mason Univ.ã¯Vernon Smith以ä¸ãå®é¨çµæ¸å¦ã§ç¥ãããã¨ãããäºæ¸¬å¸å ´ã§ããã°Robin HansonããããLawã®ã»ãã«ããããã人ãããã®ã ãããã æ¬æã¯ã¾ã èªãã§ããªããã¨ããããè¦ç´ãã¿ã¦ã¿ãã Copyrights and patents promote only superficial progress in the sciences and useful arts. Copyright law primarily encourages entertaining works, whereas patent law mainly inspires marginal improvements in mature tec
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Choose: Robin Dale Hanson's Research Persona (i.e., vita), Teaching Persona (i.e. class syllabii), or Informal Persona (i.e., home page). Disclaimer: The opinions or statements expressed at hanson.gmu.edu should not be taken as a position or endorsement of George Mason University How to Reach Robin Hanson Office (Fairfax): 10A Carow Hall Work Phone (Fairfax): 703-993-2326 (has voicemail) CELL: 703
Many people are familiar with the predictive success of small, low-stakes âprediction marketsâ run by the University of Iowa (predicting political elections better than the pollsters) and firms such as Tradesports.com (predicting everything from whether Hamas will recognize Israel to whether Scooter Libby will be convicted) and the Chicago Board of Trade (predicting U.S. unemployment and other key
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