Wisconsin gubernatorial and lieutenant gubernatorial election, 2018
- General election: Nov. 6
- Voter registration deadline: Oct. 17 (online or mail), or Nov. 2 (in-person)
- Early voting: Varies by locality
- Absentee voting deadline: Nov. 6
- Online registration: Yes
- Same-day registration: Yes
- Voter ID: Photo ID required
- Poll times: 7:00 a.m. to 8:00 p.m.
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Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Wisconsin |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: June 1, 2018 |
Primary: August 14, 2018 General: November 6, 2018 Pre-election incumbent(s): Gov. Scott Walker (Republican) Lt. Gov. Rebecca Kleefisch (Republican) |
How to vote |
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in Wisconsin |
Race ratings |
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Toss-up Inside Elections: Toss-up |
Ballotpedia analysis |
Federal and state primary competitiveness State executive elections in 2018 Impact of term limits in 2018 State government trifectas State government triplexes Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018 |
Wisconsin executive elections |
Governor Lieutenant governor |
Tony Evers (D) defeated incumbent Scott Walker (R) and four other candidates in the 2018 general election for governor of Wisconsin.
Heading into the 2018 race, Walker had last been elected in 2014, winning a second term by a margin of 6 percentage points. Since the introduction of four-year terms for governors of Wisconsin in a 1967 constitutional amendment, the only governor to win election to more than two consecutive terms was Tommy Thompson (R), who was elected in 1986 and was re-elected in 1990, 1994, and 1998. The last election in which an elected governor seeking re-election was defeated was in 1986, when Thompson unseated Tony Earl (D). Of the state's past 10 gubernatorial elections, five resulted in partisan control of the seat flipping.
Evers' victory broke the state's Republican trifecta. At the time of the election, Wisconsin had been a Republican trifecta since Walker took office and Republicans gained majorities in both chambers of the state legislature in 2011. The winner of this election stood to influence the state's redistricting process following the 2020 census. Under Wisconsin state law, the governor may veto congressional and state legislative district lines proposed by the state legislature. Evers' victory marks the fifth time in state history that a Democratic governor presided over redistricting.[1]
Minor party and independent candidates included Phillip Anderson (L), Arnie Enz (The Wisconsin Party), Maggie Turnbull (I), and Michael White (G).
Wisconsin was one of 36 states that held an election for governor in 2018. Democrats gained seven previously Republican-held seats, and Republicans gained one previously independent-held seat. Heading into the 2018 elections, there were 16 Democratic governors, 33 Republican governors, and one independent governor. In 2018, 26 of the 33 states with a Republican governor held a gubernatorial election, while nine out of the 16 states with a Democratic governor held a gubernatorial election. Seventeen of the 36 seats up for election were open seats (four Democratic, 12 Republican, and one independent), meaning that the sitting governor was not seeking re-election. Click here for more information on other 2018 gubernatorial elections.
For more information about the Democratic primary, click here.
For more information about the Republican primary, click here.
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for Governor of Wisconsin
The following candidates ran in the general election for Governor of Wisconsin on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Tony Evers (D) | 49.5 | 1,324,307 |
![]() | Scott Walker (R) | 48.4 | 1,295,080 | |
![]() | Phillip Anderson (L) | 0.8 | 20,225 | |
![]() | Maggie Turnbull (Independent) | 0.7 | 18,884 | |
![]() | Michael White (G) | 0.4 | 11,087 | |
![]() | Arnie Enz (The Wisconsin Party) | 0.1 | 2,745 | |
Other/Write-in votes | 0.0 | 980 |
Total votes: 2,673,308 | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for Governor of Wisconsin
The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for Governor of Wisconsin on August 14, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Tony Evers | 41.8 | 225,082 |
![]() | Mahlon Mitchell | 16.3 | 87,926 | |
![]() | Kelda Roys | 12.8 | 69,086 | |
![]() | Kathleen Vinehout | 8.2 | 44,168 | |
![]() | Michael McCabe | 7.4 | 39,885 | |
![]() | Matthew Flynn | 5.9 | 31,580 | |
![]() | Paul Soglin | 5.2 | 28,158 | |
![]() | Andy Gronik | 1.2 | 6,627 | |
![]() | Dana Wachs | 0.8 | 4,216 | |
![]() | Josh Pade | 0.4 | 1,908 |
Total votes: 538,636 | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Bob Harlow (D)
- Michele Doolan (D)
- Andrew Lust (D)
- Jeff Rumbaugh (D)
- Ramona Whiteaker (D)
- Mike Crute (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for Governor of Wisconsin
Incumbent Scott Walker defeated Robert Meyer in the Republican primary for Governor of Wisconsin on August 14, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Scott Walker | 91.6 | 417,276 |
Robert Meyer | 8.4 | 38,269 |
Total votes: 455,545 | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Ryan Cason (R)
Green primary election
Green primary for Governor of Wisconsin
Michael White advanced from the Green primary for Governor of Wisconsin on August 14, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Michael White | 100.0 | 817 |
Total votes: 817 | ||||
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Libertarian primary election
Libertarian primary for Governor of Wisconsin
Phillip Anderson advanced from the Libertarian primary for Governor of Wisconsin on August 14, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Phillip Anderson | 100.0 | 1,673 |
Total votes: 1,673 | ||||
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Lieutenant governor
General election candidates
- Rebecca Kleefisch (Incumbent) (Republican Party)
- Mandela Barnes (Democratic Party) ✔
- Tiffany Anderson (Green Party)
- Patrick Baird (Libertarian Party)
- Wil Losch (Independent)
Candidate profiles
Party: Democratic
Incumbent: No
Political office: Wisconsin Superintendent of Public Instruction (Assumed office: 2009), Wisconsin Deputy Superintendent of Public Instruction (2001-2009)
Biography: Evers attended the University of Wisconsin-Madison for his undergraduate, graduate, and doctoral degrees in educational administration. Prior to his entry into politics, Evers served as a classroom teacher, school administrator, and district administrator.[2]
- Evers emphasized his background in education, saying that Walker underinvested in education during his time as governor.[3][4]
- Evers characterized Walker as a divisive governor whose decisions had benefitted his donors and increased the burden on local governments.[5]
Party: Republican
Incumbent: Yes
Political office: Governor of Wisconsin (Assumed office: 2011), Milwaukee County Executive (2002-2010), Wisconsin State Assembly (1993-2002)
Biography: Walker attended Marquette University, leaving the school early to pursue an opportunity with the American Red Cross. After serving nearly ten years in the state assembly, Walker became the first Republican elected as county executive of Milwaukee County, a position he held until his election as governor.[6]
- Walker promised to continue what he described as the state's strong economic performance, citing the state's unemployment and wage growth rates.[7]
- Walker touted his higher education policies, particularly policies aimed at reducing student debt and incentivizing recent graduates to remain in the state.[7][8]
- Walker highlighted his support for tax credits for groups including working families and seniors.[7]
Polls
- See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
Wisconsin governor, 2018 | |||||||||||||||||||
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Poll | Poll sponsor | Tony Evers (D) | Scott Walker (R) | Phillip Anderson (L) | Michael White (G) | Maggie Turnbull (I) | Arnie Enz (I) | Undecided/Other | Margin of error | Sample size | |||||||||
Emerson College (October 29-31, 2018) | N/A | 51% | 46% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | +/-4.1 | 604 | |||||||||
Marquette University Law School (October 24-28, 2018) | N/A | 47% | 47% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | +/-3.2 | 1,154 | |||||||||
Ipsos (October 12-18, 2018) | Thomson Reuters/University of Virginia | 48% | 45% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7% | +/-3.0 | 1,193 | |||||||||
Marquette University Law School (October 3-7, 2018) | N/A | 46% | 47% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | +/-3.9 | 799 | |||||||||
Marist College (September 30 - October 3, 2018) | NBC News | 52% | 43% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% | +/-4.1 | 781 | |||||||||
AVERAGES | 48.8% | 45.6% | 1.6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2.8% | +/-3.66 | 906.2 | ||||||||||
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to [email protected]. |
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PredictIt Prices
This section provides the PredictIt market prices for this race during the three months leading up to the election. PredictIt is a site where people make and trade predictions on political and financial events. Market prices reflect the probability, based on PredictIt users' predictions, that a candidate will win a race. For example, a market price of $0.60 for Candidate A is equivalent to a 60 percent probability that Candidate A will win.
Campaign finance
The following chart contains campaign finance information obtained from the Wisconsin Campaign Finance Information System covering all contributions and expenditures made between January 1, 2017, and October 22, 2018. Campaign finance information was not available for the Arnie Enz campaign.
Satellite spending
Satellite spending, commonly referred to as outside spending, describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[10][11][12]
This section lists satellite spending in this race reported by news outlets in alphabetical order. If you are aware of spending that should be included, please email us.
- The Democratic Governors Association reserved $3.8 million worth of airtime in July 2018.[16]
- The Republican Governors Association reserved $5.7 million worth of airtime in July 2018.[16]
Race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[17]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[18][19][20]
Race ratings: Wisconsin gubernatorial election, 2018 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
November 5, 2018 | October 30, 2018 | October 23, 2018 | October 16, 2018 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every two weeks throughout the election season. |
Noteworthy endorsements
This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. It also includes a bulleted list of links to official lists of endorsements for any candidates who published that information on their campaign websites. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please click here.
For more endorsements, see the following page:
Noteworthy general election endorsements | ||||||
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Endorsement | Evers | Walker | ||||
Elected officials | ||||||
President Donald Trump (R)[21] | ✔ | |||||
Former President Barack Obama (D)[22] | ✔ |
Timeline
- November 3, 2018: Vice President Mike Pence (R) headlined a rally in support of Walker in Hudson.
- November 2, 2018: An Emerson College poll found Evers apparently leading Walker, with 51 percent support to Walker's 46 percent. The poll reported a margin of error of 4.1 percentage points.
- October 31, 2018: A Marquette University poll found Evers and Walker at 47 percent support each. The poll reported a margin of error of 3.2 percentage points.
- October 30, 2018: Former Vice President Joe Biden (D) headlined rallies supporting Evers in Madison and Milwaukee.
- October 29, 2018: The candidates submitted campaign finance reports covering the period between September 1 and October 22. During this period, Walker reported raising $7.7 million to Evers' $6.0 million.
- October 26, 2018: Evers and Walker met for a debate in Milwaukee.
- October 26, 2018: Former President Barack Obama (D) headlined a rally in Milwaukee in support of Evers.
- October 24, 2018: President Donald Trump (R) headlined a rally in Mosinee in support of Walker.
- October 24, 2018: An Ipsos poll sponsored by Thomson Reuters and the University of Virginia found Evers about even with Walker, with 48 percent support to Walker's 45 percent. The poll reported a margin of error of 3.0 percentage points.
- October 19, 2018: Evers and Walker met for a debate in Madison.
- October 11, 2018: An NBC News/Marist College poll found Evers leading Walker 52-43. The poll reported a margin of error of 4.1 percentage points.
- October 10, 2018: Vice President Mike Pence (R) made two campaign appearances on behalf of Walker.
- October 10, 2018: A Marquette University Law School poll found Walker about even with Evers, with 47 percent support to Evers' 46 percent. The poll reported a margin of error of 3.9 percentage points.
- October 3, 2018: Americans for Prosperity announced a $1.5 million buy opposing Evers.
- October 1, 2018: Former President Barack Obama (D) endorsed Evers.
- September 27, 2018: The candidates filed campaign finance reports covering all contributions and expenditures made during August 2018.
- September 26, 2018: An Ipsos poll found Evers leading Walker 50-43. The poll reported a 3.4 percent margin of error.
- September 21, 2018: A Stronger Wisconsin released an ad opposed to Walker titled Year After Year.
- September 20, 2018: The Walker campaign released an ad titled Great Place for Children and Families.
- September 18, 2018: A Marquette University Law School poll found Evers apparently leading Walker, with 49 percent support to Walker's 44 percent. The poll reported a margin of error of 4.4 percentage points.
- September 14, 2018: The Evers campaign released an ad titled Ellen. The ad defended Evers' handling of a case where a teacher was accused of sexual misconduct.
- September 14, 2018: Americans for Prosperity announced a $1.3 million ad campaign in opposition to Evers.
Campaign advertisements
This section shows advertisements released in this race. Ads released by campaigns and, if applicable, satellite groups are embedded or linked below. If you are aware of advertisements that should be included, please email us.
Scott Walker
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Tony Evers
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Noteworthy events
Joe Biden campaign appearances
Former Vice President Joe Biden (D) headlined rallies in Madison and Milwaukee in support of Evers and Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D) on October 30, 2018.[23]
Barack Obama campaign appearance
Former President Barack Obama (D) headlined a rally in Milwaukee on behalf of Evers and Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D) on October 26, 2018.[24]
Donald Trump campaign appearance
President Donald Trump (R) headlined a rally in Mosinee on behalf of Walker and U.S. Senate candidate Leah Vukmir (R) on October 24, 2018.[25]
Mike Pence campaign appearances
Vice President Mike Pence (R) headlined a rally on Walker's behalf in Hudson on November 3, 2018.[26]
Pence made two campaign appearances on Walker's behalf on October 10, 2018. The Vice President attended a fundraiser in Green Bay before headlining a campaign rally in Eau Claire.[27]
Debates and forums
- Evers and Walker met for a debate in Milwaukee on October 26, 2018. Click here for footage of the debate.
- Evers and Walker met for a debate in Madison on October 19, 2018. Click here for footage of the debate.
Campaign themes
Tony Evers
Evers' campaign website stated the following:
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Public Education in Wisconsin From “Divide and Conquer” with our educators to cutting over $800 million from our schools, Scott Walker has not been a friend of public education. Since 2011, over 1 million Wisconsinites have voted to raise their own property taxes because Scott Walker and the Republican legislature have not adequately funded our public schools. Tony believes what’s best for our kids is what’s best for our future. As Governor, Tony will:
As a member of the Board of Regents, Tony has seen firsthand the damage Scott Walker has inflicted on higher education in Wisconsin, cutting hundreds of millions from our UW System. When other states began reinvesting in higher education, Wisconsin chose not to and it’s resulted in fewer classes and quality educators for our kids. Our possibilities are only limited by our own willingness to take no for an answer – it’s time we look to the future. Infrastructure and Transportation There are bipartisan long-term solutions for Wisconsin’s transportation system, however Scott Walker hasn’t shown the political will to get it done. Drawing a line in the sand is not leadership. Not only do we need to improve Wisconsin’s roads, but we need to make strong investments in Wisconsin’s ports, airports and railways. A strong infrastructure is more than just patching potholes. This is key for successful economic development – both in terms of drawing new businesses to Wisconsin, expanding existing businesses in Wisconsin and creating good-paying Wisconsin jobs. As Governor, Tony will:
Healthcare One reason that folks in Wisconsin pay nearly 50 percent more than Minnesotans do when purchasing individual health insurance is because Minnesota accepted the Medicaid expansion dollars and Wisconsin did not. Minnesota also made important changes to stabilize the market and control costs. Under Governor Scott Walker, premiums in Wisconsin have spiked, while DC Republicans peddle Walker-endorsed plans that would repeal critical protections for Wisconsin families and drive up costs.
As Governor, Tony will:
We cannot afford to return to the days where health insurance companies held all the power and could cut off patients who simply cost them too much money. Protecting Our Natural Resources From our state parks to the Great Lakes to the Knowles Nelson Stewardship Program – Scott Walker has stopped investing in the very things that make Wisconsin great. Enough is enough. It’s time we reinvest in our future. We can grow our economy and increase our national security by producing renewable energy here at home rather than buying our energy from foreign countries and hostile nations. We can create new jobs and boost existing industries in Wisconsin, like logging and small-scale agriculture, by increasing the innovation, sustainability and value of their products. As Governor, Tony will:
Economic Development The Wisconsin Economic Development Corporation (WEDC) has been a constant source of controversy, inefficiency and ineffectiveness. Moreover, Walker’s $4.5+ billion Foxconn giveaway costs taxpayers $200+ million annually, pulling resources from the rest of the state to subsidize a broken political deal. Meanwhile, more than 800,000 Wisconsin families cannot afford basic necessities, western Wisconsin led the nation in farm bankruptcies in 2017, and Wisconsin ranks dead last for new business startups, which are crucial for job creation and innovation. As a career politician, Walker failed to meet his 2010 promise of growing 250,000 private sector jobs, instead using taxpayer funds to pick winners and losers among mega-corporations. Throughout his time in office, Walker has turned down billions in federal money for Medicaid, broadband, and rail expansion, hamstringing the economy and giving funds away to other states. Tony will fight for working families and invest in an economy that creates higher wages and better jobs. As Governor, Tony will:
Racial Equity Facing the challenge of being the state with the worst ranking for black child well-being in the nation is one Tony is willing to take head on, unlike Gov. Walker who continues to ignore these realities while pushing punitive policies that hurt not help Wisconsin families rebuild and grow. We have to invest in people, not prisons, to meet these challenges. As State Superintendent, Tony has worked to make every child a graduate and address the racial disparities and inequities in our schools, but Wisconsin needs all its leaders committed to this work. We need to make investments in local neighborhoods and ensure government decision-makers, corporate leaders, and educators reflect the growing diversity of our state. We must address the grievous problems in corrections system, expand alternatives to incarceration and reform the criminal justice system – especially for juveniles. We should empower local communities and ensure our workforce – from classroom educators to local law enforcement to health care providers – is more diverse and reflects our changing communities. Finally, we must reject the hateful rhetoric and division that’s consuming our country. Tony will use all resources at his disposal to ensure equality, opportunity, justice and fairness to all Wisconsinites. As Governor, Tony will:
Criminal Justice Reform The fact Wisconsin spends more on Corrections, than the entire UW System speaks volumes about our priorities as a state. There are a number of policies that we as a state must change. As Governor, Tony will support:
Voting Rights We shouldn’t be making it harder for Wisconsinites to vote, we should be making it easier! Wisconsin should be following the lead of states like Oregon that have automatic voter registration for their residents. As Governor, Tony will work to make sure every single vote counts and increase opportunities for all Wisconsinites to participate in our democracy. Women's Health As Governor, Tony will:
LGBTQ Rights Tony is a strong ally who will continue to fight back against clandestine legislation that discriminates against LGBTQ people. He opposes attempts by the Legislature to outlaw local non-discrimination ordinances that protect people’s basic rights. He also has been a vocal opponent of the so-called “bathroom bills” and other attacks on LGBTQ youth. Worker's Rights Tony is committed to filling his appointments with people who actually have expertise and knowledge in their respective fields, not simply filling government with more political hacks who will rubberstamp his policies. We must give our workers a seat at the table – listening to their concerns and hearing their ideas. We can do this on day one and don’t need to pass a bill to treat Wisconsinites with the dignity they deserve. Tony opposes Act 10, Right-to-Work and changes made by the GOP to Wisconsin’s prevailing wage laws. He also would support repealing legislation that eliminates the opportunity for local communities to pass living wages and other pro-worker protection policies. Minimum Wage Tony supports raising the minimum wage to $15/hour and indexing to inflation. However, like Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) Tony also believes that this should be phased in over multiple years. Marijuana Legalization This is an evolving issue. For many Wisconsinites, medical marijuana will alleviate chronic pain, which is why organizations like the American Legion support legalization because of the documented health benefits for our veterans. It’s no secret that Wisconsin, like red and blue states across the country, is battling an opioid and painkiller crisis that is killing thousands of Americans every year. The fact remains that states that have legalized medical marijuana have observed double digit decreases in both opioid abuse and overdose related hospitalizations. Tony would support and sign medical marijuana legalization legislation. In regard to full legalization – Tony believes this is a decision that should reside with Wisconsin residents and would support a statewide referendum on the issue. Non-Partisan Redistricting Campaign Finance Reform In 2015, Scott Walker and legislative Republicans overhauled Wisconsin’s campaign finance laws that resulted in them banning political corruption investigations, allowing for more cooperation between candidates and special interest groups, and doubling the amount of money candidates can accept. It’s time we returned power to the people of Wisconsin. As Governor, Tony would support legislation overturning Citizens United and other commonsense campaign finance reform that would clean up Wisconsin’s elections. Revitalizing Rural Wisconsin Under Scott Walker’s eight years in office prospects for rural Wisconsin have gone down by every measure. From 2009 to 2014 more than thirty of our rural counties lost population – the highest trend of population loss in decades. Wisconsin is now losing more than one dairy farm every day. In parts of Wisconsin the rate of farm bankruptcies is the highest in the nation. Rural schools are on the brink of closing and suffering from woefully inadequate funding. While we’re on a spending spree to build more highways for Foxconn, our rural roads are falling apart. And far too many communities still lack broadband internet, which limits economic development and education opportunities just as much as the lack of electricity did in rural areas one hundred years ago. Tony Evers has seen first-hand the impacts of failure to invest in rural communities in every part of Wisconsin. And he knows how important is to restore healthy, vibrant rural communities, not just in our cities but in every part of Wisconsin. Diversified Agriculture As Governor Tony will:
Renewable Energy As Governor Tony will:
Supporting Agriculture As Governor Tony will:
Rural Broadband Internet As Governor Tony will:
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—Tony for Wisconsin[29] |
Scott Walker
Walker's campaign website stated the following:
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Jobs and Developing the Workforce During the four years before we took office, Wisconsin was headed backward with the loss of 133,000 jobs and an unemployment rate that peaked at 9.3 percent. In fact, Wisconsin was in the Bottom 10 for business according to Chief Executive Magazine. Today, Wisconsin’s economy is strong and moving forward. Wisconsin is now ranked as one of the top states for business. The unemployment rate hit an all-time low in 2018 and more people are working than ever before in Wisconsin – over 3 million. To help Wisconsin win the 21st century, stay ahead of the curve and ensure long-term prosperity, we have enacted a comprehensive plan to develop our workforce. Targeted investments in our schools help students start thinking about their career choices as early as 6th grade. Investments in Dual Enrollment programs will help students achieve credit for high school graduation and get a head start on the associate or bachelor’s degree that is right for them. The Wisconsin Fast Forward program provides customized worker training in high-demand areas to help fill our workforce needs. And the state has a new labor management information system to track employment needs by region, helping to direct resources to meet specific workforce demands. Investments in workforce development, lower taxes, reasonable regulations, Right to Work: all of these contribute to a better climate for creating jobs and opportunity. We will continue to move Wisconsin forward with more bold reforms that help the private sector succeed while keeping taxpayers in charge. Cutting Taxes In the decade before taking office, property taxes increased by 27 percent. Thanks to our bold conservative reforms, property taxes will be lower in 2018 than they were in both 2014 and 2010. We even eliminated an entire tax as part of our pledge to keep taxpayers first. Income taxes will also be lower in 2018 than they were in 2010. This income tax relief helps hard-working families stay ahead and small businesses thrive. We have gone further by virtually eliminating taxes on core Wisconsin industries like manufacturing and agriculture. We even eliminated the tax on health savings accounts. We believe that you do a better job of spending your hard-earned money than the government does. Looking ahead, we will continue to hold the line on taxes because keeping more money in the hands of taxpayers will help Wisconsin win the 21st century by creating more jobs and leading to higher wages. Education and Investing in Our Future Thanks to our Reform Dividend, we can invest in our priorities. In fact, our recent budget makes a historic investment in our schools — $200 more per student this past school year and $204 more per student in the fall, more actual dollars than ever before. With our Act 10 reforms in place, these funds are more likely to be spent in the classroom and help our children receive the education needed for a bright future. Our rural schools face unique challenges, especially as it relates to enrollment and transportation. That’s why we increased investments in Sparsity Aid to help ensure our children have access to a great education, no matter their zip code. Wisconsin is in the Top 10 for high school graduation rates and ACT scores, and these historic investments will continue to bolster student success. My sons, Matt and Alex, went to great public schools in Wauwatosa – as did I in Delavan. Every family deserves access to a great education for their children at the public, charter, choice, private, virtual or home school that is right for them. To keep the cost of college affordable for students and working families, we froze tuition at all University of Wisconsin campuses six years in a row – the first multi-year tuition freeze in UW history. Needs-based financial assistance is also at an all-time high. The UW has more than $1 billion in academic research and development, and the overall UW System budget is the largest it has ever been, meaning university resources can be used on priorities in the classroom. And the latest state budget makes a significant investment in higher education so we can focus on more graduates filling high demand positions in our state, and help everyone in Wisconsin win the 21st century As we continue moving Wisconsin forward, we are focused on finding ways to help students get a head start on higher education credits for our technical colleges, University of Wisconsin campuses and all other in-state colleges and universities. Backing Wisconsin's Small Businesses First, reduce business costs through lower taxes, stopping unemployment fraud, streamlining regulations and reducing frivolous lawsuits. Second, prepare the workforce through investing in K-12 education, increasing worker training, expanding opportunities in our technical colleges and strengthening ties between the University of Wisconsin system and the workforce. Third, end the public assistance benefits cliff, require able-bodied adults to work or receive employability training — and be able to pass a drug test before receiving public assistance — and target specific populations to enter the workforce. Fourth, market workforce opportunities within Wisconsin and recruit talent to the state from across the country and around the world. Standing Up for Rural Wisconsin With our conservative reforms in action, we’ve lowered property taxes, eliminated almost all the taxable liability on agricultural production, streamlined regulations, reduced frivolous lawsuits and promoted agricultural exports. Standing with Wisconsin’s dairy farmers, Gov. Walker created the Wisconsin Dairy Task Force 2.0 that will allow industry experts to work together to create real solutions that can help our farmers, processors, and allied organizations. We also increased assistance for rural schools, and our record investment in K-12 classrooms will help children across the state. Knowing that access to high-speed broadband internet is crucial to growing our economy and teaching our children, we’ve launched a rural broadband initiative and tripled grants for broadband in rural areas. To help everyone in Wisconsin win the 21st century, we are investing in our rural communities and fighting for the agriculture industry that is crucial to our economy. Preserving Our Heritage As Governor, I take an oath to uphold our federal and state constitutions. At the federal level, the Founders clearly defined our Second Amendment right to keep and bear arms. And at the state level, I voted to amend our state Constitution to include similar language. During my time as Governor, I’ve signed into law concealed carry and castle doctrine legislation. Both of these reforms help law-abiding citizens protect themselves and their property. I am honored to have an “A+” rating from the National Rifle Association for my record of standing up for freedom and our constitutional rights. The Wisconsin Walleye Initiative is one of our big successes for those who enjoy fishing in our 15,000 inland lakes. We also improved ways to get more young people involved in our hunting and fishing heritage. Standing for Life As Governor, I’ve had the honor of signing into law several pro-life priorities. We defunded Planned Parenthood and directed the resources to non-controversial women’s health programs. We also require an ultrasound to see an unborn child, and we protect an unborn baby at the time when they can feel pain. We want to make it easier for adoptive parents to provide a great family for children, which is why I have also signed several laws to improve the adoption process. Serving Our Veterans We fully restored the Wisconsin GI Bill so that our Veterans and their families can attend a public higher education institution for free. And we do not tax military pensions. Since we designated the Year of the Veteran to focus on employment of our Veterans, we have expanded our efforts. During our time in office, the unemployment rate for Veterans in Wisconsin fell to one of the lowest rates in the country. We will continue to build on our successful efforts to employ more Veterans. We will also continue to strengthen the state facilities for aging Veterans and their families, as well as those with special needs. During my time in office, we opened a new Veterans home in northwestern Wisconsin. Post-traumatic stress disorder and traumatic head injuries are major challenges for returning Veterans. We are working with the federal government, local governments and healthcare systems to improve care for our Veterans in these areas. We want every returning Veteran to have a place to call home, a job they want, good health and high quality of life. Keeping Health Care Affordable After Washington failed to get the job done and repeal Obamacare, we took action to lower premiums for Wisconsin families. By signing our bipartisan Health Care Stability Plan into law, we’re investing $200 million in market-based solutions to help bring down costs. In addition, we are working to guarantee coverage for individuals with preexisting conditions in an effort to provide the care they need, regardless of what happens in Washington. We also requested a permanent waiver for Wisconsin to provide SeniorCare – a program to help make prescription drugs more affordable for seniors. Under our plan, Obamacare costs will drop three and half percent in 2019 for Wisconsin families. By enacting a comprehensive plan to provide our families the care they need to live a healthy life, Wisconsin is ahead of the curve. In fact, after embracing a plan similar to ours, Minnesota’s premiums dropped as well. Our efforts to lower premiums, increase choice and provide certainty to seniors and those with preexisting conditions through our Health Care Stability Plan will make health care affordable for Wisconsin families.[28] |
” |
—Friends of Scott Walker[30] |
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Other 2018 statewide elections
This race took place in one of twenty-two states that held elections for both governor and U.S. Senate in 2018.
A table of where these elections occurred, the names of incumbents prior to the 2018 elections, and links to our coverage of these races can be viewed by clicking "[show]" on the banner below:
Pivot Counties
- See also: Pivot Counties by state
Twenty-three of 72 Wisconsin counties—32 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.
Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008 | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
County | Trump margin of victory in 2016 | Obama margin of victory in 2012 | Obama margin of victory in 2008 | ||||
Adams County, Wisconsin | 21.92% | 8.73% | 18.35% | ||||
Buffalo County, Wisconsin | 21.82% | 2.93% | 14.66% | ||||
Columbia County, Wisconsin | 2.14% | 13.58% | 15.26% | ||||
Crawford County, Wisconsin | 5.40% | 19.98% | 27.03% | ||||
Door County, Wisconsin | 3.22% | 6.99% | 17.33% | ||||
Dunn County, Wisconsin | 11.09% | 4.97% | 14.95% | ||||
Forest County, Wisconsin | 26.58% | 5.44% | 15.16% | ||||
Grant County, Wisconsin | 9.43% | 13.77% | 23.88% | ||||
Jackson County, Wisconsin | 11.74% | 15.01% | 21.84% | ||||
Juneau County, Wisconsin | 26.05% | 7.03% | 9.00% | ||||
Kenosha County, Wisconsin | 0.31% | 12.23% | 18.06% | ||||
Lafayette County, Wisconsin | 8.99% | 15.37% | 22.32% | ||||
Lincoln County, Wisconsin | 20.60% | 0.71% | 12.48% | ||||
Marquette County, Wisconsin | 24.09% | 0.27% | 5.28% | ||||
Pepin County, Wisconsin | 23.08% | 2.22% | 12.89% | ||||
Price County, Wisconsin | 25.00% | 0.04% | 13.40% | ||||
Racine County, Wisconsin | 4.28% | 3.54% | 7.41% | ||||
Richland County, Wisconsin | 5.50% | 16.13% | 20.63% | ||||
Sauk County, Wisconsin | 0.35% | 18.47% | 23.04% | ||||
Sawyer County, Wisconsin | 18.41% | 0.49% | 6.23% | ||||
Trempealeau County, Wisconsin | 12.64% | 14.08% | 26.39% | ||||
Vernon County, Wisconsin | 4.43% | 14.73% | 22.00% | ||||
Winnebago County, Wisconsin | 7.34% | 3.73% | 11.66% |
In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won Wisconsin with 47.2 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 46.5 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, Wisconsin cast votes for the winning presidential candidate 76.7 percent of the time. In that same time frame, Wisconsin supported Republicans slightly more than Democratic candidates, 50.0 to 46.7 percent. The state, however, favored Democrats in every presidential election from 2000 to 2012 before voting for Trump in 2016.
Presidential results by legislative district
The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state Assembly districts in Wisconsin. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[31][32]
In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 43 out of 99 state Assembly districts in Wisconsin with an average margin of victory of 34.1 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 36 out of 99 state Assembly districts in Wisconsin with an average margin of victory of 34.6 points. Clinton won three districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections. |
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 56 out of 99 state Assembly districts in Wisconsin with an average margin of victory of 12.1 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 63 out of 99 state Assembly districts in Wisconsin with an average margin of victory of 19.4 points. Trump won two districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections. |
2016 Presidential Results by State Assembly District ' | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
District | Obama | Romney | 2012 Margin | Clinton | Trump | 2016 Margin | Party Control |
1 | 49.45% | 49.55% | R+0.1 | 40.19% | 55.31% | R+15.1 | R |
2 | 45.06% | 53.88% | R+8.8 | 35.98% | 58.55% | R+22.6 | R |
3 | 46.37% | 52.37% | R+6 | 39.25% | 54.77% | R+15.5 | R |
4 | 47.96% | 51.02% | R+3.1 | 42.82% | 51.96% | R+9.1 | R |
5 | 45.84% | 53.01% | R+7.2 | 35.60% | 58.94% | R+23.3 | R |
6 | 44.15% | 54.75% | R+10.6 | 30.90% | 64.34% | R+33.4 | R |
7 | 57.11% | 41.73% | D+15.4 | 55.20% | 39.20% | D+16 | D |
8 | 86.53% | 12.79% | D+73.7 | 82.43% | 14.14% | D+68.3 | D |
9 | 74.69% | 24.42% | D+50.3 | 71.60% | 23.86% | D+47.7 | D |
10 | 89.76% | 9.63% | D+80.1 | 89.09% | 8.09% | D+81 | D |
11 | 86.92% | 12.62% | D+74.3 | 85.40% | 12.20% | D+73.2 | D |
12 | 80.00% | 19.52% | D+60.5 | 79.28% | 17.84% | D+61.4 | D |
13 | 41.61% | 57.43% | R+15.8 | 46.60% | 48.01% | R+1.4 | R |
14 | 42.53% | 56.71% | R+14.2 | 49.36% | 45.05% | D+4.3 | R |
15 | 44.86% | 54.03% | R+9.2 | 43.63% | 50.53% | R+6.9 | R |
16 | 90.18% | 8.97% | D+81.2 | 88.16% | 8.20% | D+80 | D |
17 | 86.03% | 13.52% | D+72.5 | 85.53% | 11.96% | D+73.6 | D |
18 | 89.18% | 10.15% | D+79 | 87.03% | 9.71% | D+77.3 | D |
19 | 69.95% | 28.13% | D+41.8 | 72.67% | 20.16% | D+52.5 | D |
20 | 58.37% | 40.39% | D+18 | 55.33% | 39.27% | D+16.1 | D |
21 | 47.93% | 51.07% | R+3.1 | 44.81% | 50.06% | R+5.3 | R |
22 | 42.44% | 56.73% | R+14.3 | 35.41% | 60.15% | R+24.7 | R |
23 | 34.62% | 64.61% | R+30 | 50.43% | 44.81% | D+5.6 | R |
24 | 43.05% | 56.18% | R+13.1 | 45.71% | 49.32% | R+3.6 | R |
25 | 46.93% | 51.76% | R+4.8 | 35.85% | 58.74% | R+22.9 | R |
26 | 45.64% | 53.35% | R+7.7 | 38.91% | 55.22% | R+16.3 | R |
27 | 45.07% | 53.89% | R+8.8 | 40.39% | 54.00% | R+13.6 | R |
28 | 43.68% | 54.77% | R+11.1 | 32.63% | 61.90% | R+29.3 | R |
29 | 48.16% | 50.05% | R+1.9 | 38.58% | 54.01% | R+15.4 | R |
30 | 46.24% | 52.24% | R+6 | 42.51% | 50.44% | R+7.9 | R |
31 | 46.56% | 52.48% | R+5.9 | 40.68% | 53.70% | R+13 | R |
32 | 41.42% | 57.37% | R+15.9 | 34.97% | 59.41% | R+24.4 | R |
33 | 39.95% | 58.97% | R+19 | 35.54% | 59.27% | R+23.7 | R |
34 | 44.59% | 54.39% | R+9.8 | 35.28% | 60.34% | R+25.1 | R |
35 | 46.89% | 52.10% | R+5.2 | 34.68% | 60.52% | R+25.8 | R |
36 | 46.49% | 52.48% | R+6 | 32.07% | 64.35% | R+32.3 | R |
37 | 45.97% | 52.93% | R+7 | 39.87% | 54.26% | R+14.4 | R |
38 | 41.66% | 57.48% | R+15.8 | 38.23% | 56.78% | R+18.5 | R |
39 | 42.12% | 56.85% | R+14.7 | 32.76% | 62.11% | R+29.4 | R |
40 | 45.04% | 53.94% | R+8.9 | 32.61% | 62.85% | R+30.2 | R |
41 | 48.58% | 50.35% | R+1.8 | 36.02% | 59.60% | R+23.6 | R |
42 | 51.09% | 48.03% | D+3.1 | 40.26% | 54.51% | R+14.3 | R |
43 | 58.46% | 40.22% | D+18.2 | 50.24% | 43.54% | D+6.7 | D |
44 | 63.57% | 35.53% | D+28 | 55.44% | 38.62% | D+16.8 | D |
45 | 63.99% | 34.88% | D+29.1 | 52.83% | 41.86% | D+11 | D |
46 | 63.63% | 35.46% | D+28.2 | 61.74% | 32.95% | D+28.8 | D |
47 | 71.05% | 27.83% | D+43.2 | 71.89% | 23.13% | D+48.8 | D |
48 | 77.21% | 21.61% | D+55.6 | 76.06% | 19.26% | D+56.8 | D |
49 | 56.34% | 42.26% | D+14.1 | 42.01% | 51.26% | R+9.3 | R |
50 | 54.10% | 44.84% | D+9.3 | 38.35% | 57.05% | R+18.7 | R |
51 | 59.12% | 39.77% | D+19.4 | 48.42% | 46.59% | D+1.8 | R |
52 | 45.04% | 53.91% | R+8.9 | 38.03% | 56.66% | R+18.6 | R |
53 | 43.36% | 55.55% | R+12.2 | 34.18% | 60.93% | R+26.7 | R |
54 | 57.39% | 41.08% | D+16.3 | 49.16% | 44.12% | D+5 | D |
55 | 47.32% | 51.08% | R+3.8 | 41.80% | 51.70% | R+9.9 | R |
56 | 43.05% | 55.69% | R+12.6 | 37.98% | 56.68% | R+18.7 | R |
57 | 58.41% | 39.31% | D+19.1 | 51.73% | 41.22% | D+10.5 | D |
58 | 31.25% | 67.77% | R+36.5 | 28.43% | 66.52% | R+38.1 | R |
59 | 31.24% | 67.73% | R+36.5 | 25.52% | 69.73% | R+44.2 | R |
60 | 31.82% | 67.23% | R+35.4 | 32.35% | 62.53% | R+30.2 | R |
61 | 44.42% | 54.59% | R+10.2 | 36.49% | 58.50% | R+22 | R |
62 | 45.73% | 53.46% | R+7.7 | 41.17% | 54.02% | R+12.9 | R |
63 | 42.73% | 56.47% | R+13.7 | 37.80% | 57.26% | R+19.5 | R |
64 | 58.84% | 40.05% | D+18.8 | 52.63% | 42.23% | D+10.4 | D |
65 | 67.06% | 31.78% | D+35.3 | 57.76% | 36.48% | D+21.3 | D |
66 | 75.23% | 23.77% | D+51.5 | 68.34% | 26.50% | D+41.8 | D |
67 | 48.07% | 50.75% | R+2.7 | 36.41% | 58.15% | R+21.7 | R |
68 | 51.24% | 47.56% | D+3.7 | 40.11% | 54.44% | R+14.3 | R |
69 | 43.65% | 55.15% | R+11.5 | 34.08% | 60.83% | R+26.8 | R |
70 | 48.55% | 50.09% | R+1.5 | 36.82% | 57.83% | R+21 | R |
71 | 57.55% | 41.03% | D+16.5 | 50.34% | 43.28% | D+7.1 | D |
72 | 48.68% | 50.09% | R+1.4 | 36.95% | 58.55% | R+21.6 | R |
73 | 60.93% | 37.66% | D+23.3 | 47.53% | 47.49% | D+0 | D |
74 | 57.74% | 40.88% | D+16.9 | 46.22% | 49.38% | R+3.2 | D |
75 | 47.55% | 51.22% | R+3.7 | 34.53% | 60.84% | R+26.3 | R |
76 | 81.64% | 15.70% | D+65.9 | 82.30% | 11.34% | D+71 | D |
77 | 82.23% | 16.20% | D+66 | 83.80% | 11.48% | D+72.3 | D |
78 | 71.91% | 26.85% | D+45.1 | 75.62% | 19.47% | D+56.2 | D |
79 | 60.89% | 38.29% | D+22.6 | 62.65% | 32.43% | D+30.2 | D |
80 | 63.93% | 35.08% | D+28.9 | 62.12% | 32.50% | D+29.6 | D |
81 | 61.46% | 37.67% | D+23.8 | 51.23% | 43.11% | D+8.1 | D |
82 | 43.03% | 56.32% | R+13.3 | 43.69% | 51.79% | R+8.1 | R |
83 | 31.12% | 68.10% | R+37 | 29.71% | 65.91% | R+36.2 | R |
84 | 42.31% | 56.84% | R+14.5 | 41.43% | 53.68% | R+12.3 | R |
85 | 52.04% | 46.78% | D+5.3 | 44.67% | 49.90% | R+5.2 | R |
86 | 43.96% | 55.02% | R+11.1 | 36.19% | 59.18% | R+23 | R |
87 | 44.81% | 53.95% | R+9.1 | 30.93% | 64.82% | R+33.9 | R |
88 | 48.79% | 50.35% | R+1.6 | 43.75% | 50.75% | R+7 | R |
89 | 46.02% | 52.97% | R+6.9 | 32.41% | 63.26% | R+30.9 | R |
90 | 63.31% | 35.13% | D+28.2 | 53.29% | 39.82% | D+13.5 | D |
91 | 60.63% | 37.68% | D+22.9 | 55.95% | 36.72% | D+19.2 | D |
92 | 55.89% | 42.98% | D+12.9 | 40.90% | 54.33% | R+13.4 | R |
93 | 47.10% | 51.80% | R+4.7 | 38.30% | 56.18% | R+17.9 | R |
94 | 51.53% | 47.32% | D+4.2 | 45.50% | 49.03% | R+3.5 | D |
95 | 64.46% | 33.93% | D+30.5 | 58.03% | 34.66% | D+23.4 | D |
96 | 55.57% | 42.95% | D+12.6 | 42.90% | 51.64% | R+8.7 | R |
97 | 39.90% | 59.02% | R+19.1 | 39.37% | 54.43% | R+15.1 | R |
98 | 33.69% | 65.46% | R+31.8 | 35.20% | 59.58% | R+24.4 | R |
99 | 26.70% | 72.64% | R+45.9 | 28.97% | 66.40% | R+37.4 | R |
Total | 52.92% | 45.97% | D+7 | 47.01% | 47.78% | R+0.8 | - |
Source: Daily Kos |
2020 redistricting impact
Impact of the 2018 election cycle on 2020 redistricting
Redistricting is the process by which new congressional and state legislative district boundaries are drawn. All 435 United States representatives and 7,383 state legislators are elected from political divisions called districts. District lines are redrawn every 10 years following completion of the United States Census, which is next scheduled to occur in 2020. The federal government stipulates that districts must have nearly equal populations and must not discriminate on the basis of race or ethnicity.[33]
Redistricting processes can be affected by the trifecta status of a state. Ballotpedia defines a trifecta as any state in which both chambers of the state legislature and the governorship are controlled by the same party. If both chambers of a state legislature are controlled by one party but the governorship is held by another, that governor could veto district maps adopted by the opposing party. Alternatively, in a state where control of the legislature itself is divided between two parties, the two chambers may vie to advance competing district plans.
- How did trifecta status impact the 2010 redistricting cycle in Wisconsin? Click here to find out.
Congressional redistricting
In 37 states, state legislatures control the congressional redistricting process, meaning that the legislatures are ultimately responsible for adopting new maps. In all but two of these states (Connecticut and North Carolina), a governor can veto congressional maps adopted by the state legislature. In 2018, governors in 27 of these states will be up for election and will stand to have an impact during the 2020 redistricting cycle. Of these 27 states, Republicans have trifectas in 15 heading into the 2018 elections, meaning that Republicans control both chambers of the state legislature and the governorship. Democrats have trifectas in three. The remaining nine are under divided control.
The winner of Wisconsin's 2018 gubernatorial contest is poised to impact the 2020 congressional redistricting cycle, as the governor has the authority to veto district plans drawn by the state legislature.
State legislative redistricting
In 37 states, state legislatures control the state legislative redistricting process, meaning that the legislatures are ultimately responsible for adopting new maps. In 31 of these states, a governor can veto state legislative maps adopted by the state legislature. In 2018, governors in 23 of these states will be up for election and will stand to have an impact during the 2020 redistricting cycle. Of these 23 states, Republicans have 14 trifectas heading into the 2018 elections, meaning that Republicans control both chambers of the state legislature and the governorship. Democrats have trifectas in three. The remaining six are under divided control.
The winner of Wisconsin's 2018 gubernatorial contest is poised to impact the 2020 state legislative redistricting cycle, as the governor has the authority to veto district plans drawn by the state legislature.[34]
Election history
2014
- See also: Wisconsin gubernatorial election, 2014
Republican incumbent Scott Walker won re-election on November 4, 2014.
Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Wisconsin, 2014 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
Republican | ![]() |
52.3% | 1,259,706 | |
Democrat | Mary Burke/John Lehman | 46.6% | 1,122,913 | |
Libertarian | Robert Burke/Joseph Brost | 0.8% | 18,720 | |
Independent | Dennis Fehr | 0.3% | 7,530 | |
Nonpartisan | Scattering | 0.1% | 1,248 | |
Nonpartisan | Write-in votes | 0% | 200 | |
Total Votes | 2,410,317 | |||
Election results via Wisconsin Government Accountability Board |
2012
- See also: Scott Walker recall, Wisconsin (2012)
Scott Walker defeated Tom Barrett (D) and Hariprasad "Hari" Trivedi (I) in a recall election on June 5, 2012. A primary took place on May 8. While governors and lieutenant governors normally run on a joint ticket in Wisconsin, there is a separate set of rules for a recall. Each official must be recalled separately and face a separate recall election.
Recall of Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker, 2012 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
Republican | ![]() |
53.1% | 1,335,585 | |
Democratic | Tom Barrett | 46.3% | 1,164,480 | |
Independent | Hari Trivedi | 0.6% | 14,463 | |
Scattering | - | 0.1% | 1,537 | |
Total Votes | 2,516,065 | |||
Election results via Wisconsin Government Accountability Board |
2010
On November 2, 2010, Scott Walker/Rebecca Kleefisch won election to the office of Wisconsin Governor/Lt. Governor. They defeated Tom Barrett/Tom Nelson (D) and six minor-party candidates in the general election.
Wisconsin Governor/Lt. Governor, 2010 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
Republican | ![]() |
52.2% | 1,128,941 | |
Democratic | Tom Barrett/Tom Nelson | 46.5% | 1,004,303 | |
Independent | Jim Langer/No candidate | 0.5% | 10,608 | |
Libertarian | No candidate/Terry Virgil | 0.3% | 6,790 | |
Common Sense | James James/No candidate | 0.4% | 8,273 | |
Independent | Leslie Ervin Smetak/David Myron Smetak | 0% | 19 | |
Independent | Patricia Messici/No candidate | 0% | 22 | |
Independent | Hari Trivedi/No candidate | 0% | 18 | |
Scattering | Various | 0.1% | 1,858 | |
Total Votes | 2,160,832 | |||
Election results via Wisconsin Government Accountability Board. |
2006
On November 7, 2006, Jim Doyle/Barbara C. Lawton won re-election to the office of Wisconsin Governor/Lt. Governor. They defeated Mark Green/Jean Hundertmark (R) and Nelson Eisman/Leon Todd (G) in the general election.
Wisconsin Governor/Lt. Governor, 2006 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
Democratic | ![]() |
52.7% | 1,139,115 | |
Republican | Mark Green/Jean Hundertmark | 45.3% | 979,427 | |
Green | Nelson Eisman/Leon Todd | 1.9% | 40,709 | |
Scattering | Various | 0.1% | 2,449 | |
Total Votes | 2,161,700 | |||
Election results via Wisconsin State Elections Board. |
2002
On November 5, 2002, Jim Doyle/Barbara C. Lawton won election to the office of Wisconsin Governor/Lt. Governor. They defeated Scott McCallum/M.A. Farrow (D) and six minor-party challengers in the general election.
Wisconsin Governor/Lt. Governor, 2002 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
Democratic | ![]() |
46.1% | 800,515 | |
Republican | Scott McCallum/M.A. Farrow Incumbent | 42.3% | 734,779 | |
Green | Jim Young/Jeff Peterson | 0.3% | 4,411 | |
Libertarian | Ed Thompson/M. Reynolds | 10.7% | 185,455 | |
Independent | Alan D. Eisenberg | 0.2% | 2,847 | |
Independent | Ty A. Bollerud | 0.2% | 2,637 | |
Independent | Mike Mangan | 0.1% | 1,710 | |
Independent | Aneb Jah Rasta | 0.1% | 929 | |
Scattering | Various | 0.1% | 2,366 | |
Total Votes | 1,735,649 | |||
Election results via Wisconsin State Election Board. |
Wave election analysis
- See also: Wave elections (1918-2016)
The term wave election is frequently used to describe an election cycle in which one party makes significant electoral gains. How many seats would Republicans have had to lose for the 2018 midterm election to be considered a wave election?
Ballotpedia examined the results of the 50 election cycles that occurred between 1918 and 2016—spanning from President Woodrow Wilson's (D) second midterm in 1918 to Donald Trump's (R) first presidential election in 2016. We define wave elections as the 20 percent of elections in that period resulting in the greatest seat swings against the president's party.
Applying this definition to gubernatorial elections, we found that Republicans needed to lose seven seats for 2018 to qualify as a wave election.
The chart below shows the number of seats the president's party lost in the 11 gubernatorial waves from 1918 to 2016. Click here to read the full report.
Gubernatorial wave elections | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | President | Party | Election type | Gubernatorial seats change | Elections analyzed[35] | |
1970 | Nixon | R | First midterm | -12 | 35 | |
1922 | Harding | R | First midterm | -11 | 33 | |
1932 | Hoover | R | Presidential | -10 | 35 | |
1920 | Wilson | D | Presidential | -10 | 36 | |
1994 | Clinton | D | First midterm | -10 | 36 | |
1930 | Hoover | R | First midterm | -9 | 33 | |
1938 | Roosevelt | D | Second midterm | -9 | 33 | |
1966 | Johnson | D | First midterm[36] | -9 | 35 | |
1954 | Eisenhower | R | First midterm | -8 | 33 | |
1982 | Reagan | R | First midterm | -7 | 36 | |
2010 | Obama | D | First midterm | -7 | 33 |
State overview
Partisan control
This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Wisconsin heading into the 2018 elections.
Congressional delegation
- Following the 2016 elections, Democrats and Republicans each held one U.S. Senate seat in Wisconsin.
- Republicans held five of eight U.S. House seats in Wisconsin.
State executives
- Republicans held six of 11 state executive positions, while one position was held by a Democrat and four were held by nonpartisan officials.
- The governor of Wisconsin was Republican Scott Walker.
State legislature
- Republicans controlled both chambers of the Wisconsin State Legislature. They had a 64-35 majority in the state Assembly and an 18-15 majority in the state Senate.
Trifecta status
- Wisconsin was a Republican trifecta, meaning that the Republican Party controlled the state government. Scott Walker (R) served as governor and Republicans controlled the state legislature.
2018 elections
- See also: Wisconsin elections, 2018
Wisconsin held elections for the following positions in 2018:
- One seat in the U.S. Senate
- Eight U.S. House seats
- Governor and lieutenant governor
- Three lower state executive positions
- 17 out of 33 state Senate seats
- 99 state Assembly seats
- Municipal elections in Dane and Milwaukee Counties
Demographics
Demographic data for Wisconsin | ||
---|---|---|
Wisconsin | U.S. | |
Total population: | 5,767,891 | 316,515,021 |
Land area (sq mi): | 54,158 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White: | 86.5% | 73.6% |
Black/African American: | 6.3% | 12.6% |
Asian: | 2.5% | 5.1% |
Native American: | 0.9% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander: | 0% | 0.2% |
Two or more: | 2.1% | 3% |
Hispanic/Latino: | 6.3% | 17.1% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate: | 91% | 86.7% |
College graduation rate: | 27.8% | 29.8% |
Income | ||
Median household income: | $53,357 | $53,889 |
Persons below poverty level: | 15% | 11.3% |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Wisconsin. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
As of July 2017, Wisconsin had a population of approximately 5,800,000 people, with its three largest cities being Milwaukee (pop. est. 600,000), Madison (pop. est. 250,000), and Green Bay (pop. est. 110,000).[37][38]
State election history
This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Wisconsin from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Wisconsin Elections Commission.
Historical elections
Presidential elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Wisconsin every year from 2000 to 2016.
Election results (President of the United States), Wisconsin 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2016 | ![]() |
47.8% | ![]() |
46.3% | 1.5% |
2012 | ![]() |
52.8% | ![]() |
45.9% | 6.9% |
2008 | ![]() |
56.2% | ![]() |
42.3% | 13.9% |
2004 | ![]() |
49.7% | ![]() |
49.3% | 0.4% |
2000 | ![]() |
47.8% | ![]() |
47.6% | 0.2% |
U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Wisconsin from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.
Election results (U.S. Senator), Wisconsin 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2016 | ![]() |
50.2% | ![]() |
46.8% | 3.4% |
2012 | ![]() |
51.4% | ![]() |
45.9% | 5.5% |
2010 | ![]() |
51.9% | ![]() |
47.0% | 4.9% |
2006 | ![]() |
67.3% | ![]() |
29.5% | 37.8% |
2004 | ![]() |
55.3% | ![]() |
44.1% | 11.2% |
2000 | ![]() |
61.5% | ![]() |
37.0% | 24.5% |
Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Wisconsin.
Election results (Governor), Wisconsin 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2014 | ![]() |
52.3% | ![]() |
46.6% | 5.7% |
2010 | ![]() |
52.3% | ![]() |
46.5% | 5.8% |
2006 | ![]() |
52.7% | ![]() |
45.3% | 7.4% |
2002 | ![]() |
45.1% | ![]() |
41.4% | 3.7% |
Congressional delegation, 2000-2016
This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Wisconsin in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.
Trifectas, 1992-2017
A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.
Wisconsin Party Control: 1992-2025
Two years of Democratic trifectas • Ten years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Senate | D | R | R | R | D | D | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
House | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Recent news
The link below is to the most recent stories in a Google news search for the terms Wisconsin lieutenant governor election 2018. These results are automatically generated from Google. Ballotpedia does not curate or endorse these articles.
See also
Wisconsin government: |
Elections: |
Ballotpedia exclusives: |
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Smart Politics, "It's Been Awhile," November 15, 2018
- ↑ Wisconsin Department of Public Instruction, "About Tony Evers," accessed September 12, 2018
- ↑ Tony Evers for Governor, "Meet Tony," accessed September 13, 2018
- ↑ The Atlantic, "The Wisconsin Governor’s Race Might Be Decided by Education," August 8, 2018
- ↑ FOX 6 Now, "Governor’s race: Scott Walker, Tony Evers blame each other over school budget cuts," September 5, 2018
- ↑ Scott Walker for Governor, "About," accessed September 12, 2018
- ↑ 7.0 7.1 7.2 Scott Walker for Governor, "Our Agenda for Wisconsin's Future," accessed September 13, 2018
- ↑ WISN, "Walker proposal: $5K for college grads to work in Wisconsin," September 11, 2018
- ↑ Suffolk University, "Wisconsin Governor and U.S. Senate General Election" August 28, 2018
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed September 22, 2015
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed September 22, 2015
- ↑ National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," November 6, 2015
- ↑ WisPolitics.com, "New AFP TV ad calls Evers ‘risk we can’t afford,’ mirroring language in Walker spots," October 3, 2018
- ↑ Wisconsin Public Radio, "Koch-Funded Group Americans For Prosperity Drops Another $1.3M Against Evers," September 14, 2018
- ↑ Business Insider, "Koch group spends $1.8 million in ads for Wisconsin's Walker," August 21, 2018
- ↑ 16.0 16.1 U.S. News, "National Groups Book $9.5 Million in Governor's Race Ads," July 27, 2018
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel, "With three tweets, Donald Trump endorses Leah Vukmir, Bryan Steil and Scott Walker," August 15, 2018
- ↑ Journal-Sentinel, "Tony Evers gets Obama endorsement as Scott Walker promises boost in property tax credit for seniors," October 2, 2018
- ↑ Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel, "Joe Biden campaigns for Tammy Baldwin, Tony Evers: 'We're in a battle for America's soul'," October 30, 2018
- ↑ Shepherd Express, "Former President Obama Visits Milwaukee for Evers, Baldwin Campaigns," October 26, 2018
- ↑ Wisconsin State Journal, "President Trump praises Scott Walker, Leah Vukmir at Wisconsin rally," October 25, 2018
- ↑ Wisconsin Public Radio, "Vice President Mike Pence Campaigning For Gov. Scott Walker In Hudson," November 3, 2018
- ↑ Green Bay Press Gazette, "Vice President Mike Pence supports Walker, Vukmir at rallies in Green Bay, Eau Claire," October 10, 2018
- ↑ 28.0 28.1 Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributable to the original source.
- ↑ Tony Evers for Wisconsin, "Tony Evers' Plan for Wisconsin," archived October 4, 2018
- ↑ Scott Walker for Governor, "Issues," accessed September 12, 2018
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
- ↑ All About Redistricting, "Why does it matter?" accessed April 8, 2015
- ↑ All About Redistricting, "Wisconsin," accessed February 15, 2018
- ↑ The number of gubernatorial seats up for election varies, with as many as 36 seats and as few as 12 seats being up in a single even-numbered year.
- ↑ Lyndon Johnson's (D) first term began in November 1963 after the death of President John F. Kennedy (D), who was first elected in 1960. Before Johnson had his first midterm in 1966, he was re-elected president in 1964.
- ↑ United States Census Bureau, "Quick Facts - Wisconsin," accessed January 15, 2018
- ↑ Wisconsin Demographics, "Wisconsin Cities by Population," accessed January 15, 2018
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