Gubernatorial elections, 2017

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State Executive Officials

State executive elections by position and year:

The governor, or chief executive officer of the state, is the only state executive office other than the attorney general that exists in every state in the country. But unlike the attorney general, which is the state's chief legal officer and is chosen by voters in only 43 states, the governor is elected by popular vote in all 50.

HIGHLIGHTS
  • In 2017, two states held gubernatorial elections - New Jersey and Virginia. These states are the only two to schedule gubernatorial elections in the year following a presidential election.
  • The winners of the gubernatorial elections were Ralph Northam (D) in Virginia and Phil Murphy (D) in New Jersey.
  • Northam's election in Virginia prevented the formation of a Republican trifecta in the state and—alongside Mark Herring's (D) victory in the attorney general election—preserved the state's Democratic triplex.
  • Murphy's election in New Jersey created a Democratic trifecta and replaced the state's Republican triplex with a Democratic triplex.
  • Both elections were held on November 7, 2017. In New Jersey, the primary election was held on June 6, 2017, while in Virginia the primary was held on June 13, 2017. Their previous gubernatorial elections were held in 2013. Both states' lieutenant governors, Ralph Northam (D) of Virginia and Kim Guadagno (R) of New Jersey, were running for governor in the 2017 elections.

    As of June 2017, the overall race rating from five separate outlets was Likely Democrat in New Jersey and Lean Democrat in Virginia.[1] Trifecta and triplex control of both states was at stake in the elections.

    Election information

    Gubernatorial Election Information, 2017
    State Trifecta status (before) Triplex status (before) Incumbent Incumbent running? Winner Partisan switch? Trifecta status (after) Triplex status (after)
    New Jersey Divided government Republican triplex Chris Christie.jpg
    Republican Party Chris Christie
    No
    (termed-out)
    Phil Murphy (New Jersey).jpeg
    Democratic PartyPhil Murphy
    Yes Democratic trifecta Democratic triplex
    Virginia Divided government Democratic triplex Terry McAuliffe.jpg
    Democratic PartyTerry McAuliffe
    No
    (termed-out)
    Ralph Northam.jpg
    Democratic PartyRalph Northam
    No Divided government Democratic triplex

    New Jersey

    See also: New Jersey gubernatorial and lieutenant gubernatorial election, 2017

    Heading into the New Jersey election, the incumbent was two-term Gov. Chris Christie (R), who was prevented from seeking re-election due to term limits. Christie was first elected in 2009 and was re-elected in 2013. At the time of the election, New Jersey had been under divided government since Christie first took office in 2010. Since the Democratic Party controlled both houses of the New Jersey State Legislature, Democratic victory in the gubernatorial election turned New Jersey into a Democratic trifecta. New Jersey had been won by the Democratic candidate in each of the past five presidential election cycles, and has been won twice by a Democratic candidate and three times by a Republican candidate in the past five gubernatorial election cycles.

    See also: New Jersey gubernatorial and lieutenant gubernatorial election, 2017

    New Jersey held an election for governor and lieutenant governor on November 7, 2017. Governor Chris Christie (R) was term-limited and ineligible to run for re-election. New Jersey elects its governor and lieutenant governor together on a joint ticket.

    The general election took place on November 7, 2017. The primary election was held on June 6, 2017. The filing deadline for candidates wishing to run in the primary election was April 3, 2017.

    The following candidates ran in the election for Governor and Lieutenant Governor of New Jersey.[2]

    New Jersey Gubernatorial and Lieutenant Gubernatorial Election, 2017
    Party Candidate Vote % Votes
         Democratic Green check mark transparent.png Phil Murphy/Sheila Oliver 56.03% 1,203,110
         Republican Kim Guadagno/Carlos Rendo 41.89% 899,583
         Independent Gina Genovese/Derel Stroud 0.57% 12,294
         Libertarian Peter Rohrman/Karese Laguerre 0.49% 10,531
         Green Seth Kaper-Dale/Lisa Durden 0.47% 10,053
         Constitution Matt Riccardi 0.32% 6,864
         Independent Vincent Ross/April Johnson 0.23% 4,980
    Total Votes (6385/6385 precincts reporting) 2,147,415
    Source: New Jersey Division of Elections


    Kim Guadagno defeated Jack Ciattarelli, Hirsh Singh, Joseph Rudy Rullo, and Steve Rogers in the Republican primary.[3]

    New Jersey Republican Gubernatorial Primary, 2017
    Candidate Vote % Votes
    Green check mark transparent.png Kim Guadagno 46.82% 113,846
    Jack Ciattarelli 31.08% 75,556
    Hirsh Singh 9.76% 23,728
    Joseph Rudy Rullo 6.51% 15,816
    Steve Rogers 5.84% 14,187
    Total Votes 243,133
    Source: New Jersey Division of Elections


    Phil Murphy defeated Jim Johnson, John Wisniewski, Ray Lesniak, Bill Brennan, and Mark Zinna in the Democratic primary.[3]

    New Jersey Democratic Gubernatorial Primary, 2017
    Candidate Vote % Votes
    Green check mark transparent.png Phil Murphy 48.42% 243,643
    Jim Johnson 21.91% 110,250
    John Wisniewski 21.57% 108,532
    Ray Lesniak 4.83% 24,318
    Bill Brennan 2.24% 11,263
    Mark Zinna 1.04% 5,213
    Total Votes 503,219
    Source: New Jersey Division of Elections

    Virginia

    See also: Virginia gubernatorial election, 2017

    Heading into the Virginia election, the incumbent was one-term Gov. Terry McAuliffe (D), who was prevented from seeking re-election due to term limits. McAuliffe was first elected in 2013. At the time of the election, Virginia had been under divided government since McAuliffe first took office in 2014. Since the Republican Party controlled both houses of the Virginia State Legislature, Republican victory in the gubernatorial election would have turned Virginia into a Republican trifecta. Virginia had been won three times by the Democratic candidate and twice by the Republican candidate in the past five presidential election cycles and the past five gubernatorial election cycles.

    See also: Virginia gubernatorial election, 2017

    Virginia held an election for governor on November 7, 2017. Governor Terry McAuliffe (D) was term-limited and ineligible to run for re-election to a consecutive term.

    The general election took place on November 7, 2017. A primary election was held on June 13, 2017. The filing deadline for candidates wishing to run in the primary election was March 30, 2017.

    Ralph Northam (D) defeated Ed Gillespie (R) and Cliff Hyra (Libertarian) in the election for Governor of Virginia.[4]

    Virginia Gubernatorial Election, 2017
    Party Candidate Vote % Votes
         Democratic Green check mark transparent.png Ralph Northam 53.93% 1,409,175
         Republican Ed Gillespie 45.00% 1,175,731
         Libertarian Cliff Hyra 1.07% 27,987
    Total Votes 2,612,893
    Source: Virginia Department of Elections


    Ralph Northam defeated Tom Perriello in the Democratic primary for Governor of Virginia.[5]

    Virginia Democratic Gubernatorial Primary, 2017
    Candidate Vote % Votes
    Green check mark transparent.png Ralph Northam 55.90% 303,541
    Tom Perriello 44.10% 239,505
    Total Votes 543,046
    Source: The New York Times


    Ed Gillespie defeated Corey Stewart and Frank Wagner in the Republican primary for Governor of Virginia.[5]

    Virginia Republican Gubernatorial Primary, 2017
    Candidate Vote % Votes
    Green check mark transparent.png Ed Gillespie 43.71% 160,100
    Corey Stewart 42.53% 155,780
    Frank Wagner 13.76% 50,394
    Total Votes 366,274
    Source: The New York Times

    Comparison

    Overview

    Heading into the 2017 elections, both New Jersey and Virginia were in a state of divided government, with one party holding majorities in both houses of the state legislature while the other party controlled the governor's mansion. At the time of the election, New Jersey had a Republican governor and Democratic majorities in both houses of the state legislature, while the pattern was reversed in Virginia. In addition, both states had a partisan triplex, meaning that the offices of governor, attorney general, and secretary of state were controlled by the same party.

    Both Gov. Chris Christie (R) of New Jersey and Gov. Terry McAuliffe (D) of Virginia were prevented from seeking re-election in 2017 by term limits. In both states, the lieutenant governor sought election to the governor's office, with Lt. Gov. Kim Guadagno (R) of New Jersey and Lt. Gov. Ralph Northam (D) of Virginia securing their parties' nominations in the June primary elections. While Northam was successful in the general election in Virginia, Guadagno was defeated by Phil Murphy.

    Gubernatorial elections in New Jersey and Virginia, 1997-2013

    The past five gubernatorial election cycles in Virginia and New Jersey have resulted in five Republican victories and five Democratic victories. In New Jersey, a Republican candidate has won three of the past five elections, with the average result across the past five cycles being a 0.3 percent Republican victory. In Virginia, a Democratic candidate has won three of the past five elections. However, all three Democratic victories in Virginia were by less than a six percent margin, while both Republican victories were by margins over ten percent. Therefore, the average result across the past five election cycles in Virginia was a 3.4 percent Republican victory.

    In the ten elections examined, the candidate from the same political party as the sitting president has been defeated in nine, with the 2013 election of Terry McAuliffe as governor of Virginia during the presidency of Barack Obama as the only exception. In the 1997 elections, held during the presidency of Bill Clinton, the average result across the two states was a 7.2 percent Republican victory. The 2001 and 2005 elections, held during the presidency of George W. Bush, delivered average margins of victory of 10.0 percent and 8.1 percent to the Democratic candidate, respectively. Finally, in 2009 and 2013, while Barack Obama was president, Republican candidates won by respective margins of 10.5 percent and 9.8 percent.

    Election results (Governor of New Jersey and Virginia), 1997-2013
    Year First-place New Jersey candidate First-place New Jersey candidate margin of victory First-place Virginia candidate First-place Virginia candidate margin of victory Overall margin of victory
    2013 Republican Party Chris Christie 22.1% Democratic Party Terry McAuliffe 2.5% Republican Party 9.8%
    2009 Republican Party Chris Christie 3.6% Republican Party Bob McDonnell 17.3% Republican Party 10.5%
    2005 Democratic Party Jon Corzine 10.5% Democratic Party Tim Kaine 5.7% Democratic Party 8.1%
    2001 Democratic Party Jim McGreevey 14.7% Democratic Party Mark Warner 5.2% Democratic Party 10.0%
    1997 Republican Party Christine Todd Whitman 1.1% Republican Party Jim Gilmore 13.2% Republican Party 7.2%
    Overall Ends.png Republican 0.3% Ends.png Republican 3.4% Republican Party 1.9%


    Presidential elections in New Jersey and Virginia, 2000-2016

    The past five presidential election cycles in both New Jersey and Virginia have tended to favor Democratic candidates, who won in both states in 2008, 2012, and 2016. In 2000 and 2004, George W. Bush (R) won in Virginia while New Jersey went to the Democratic candidate. Democratic candidates have won in New Jersey by an average 14 percent margin across the previous five election cycles. In Virginia, George W. Bush's victories were by a larger margin than Barack Obama's or Hillary Clinton's, meaning that the average presidential election result in Virginia across the past five cycles has been a 0.2 percent Republican victory.

    Election results (President of the United States), New Jersey and Virginia 2000-2016
    Year First-place New Jersey candidate First-place New Jersey candidate margin of victory First-place Virginia candidate First-place Virginia candidate margin of victory Overall margin of victory
    2016 Democratic Party Hillary Clinton 14.1% Democratic Party Hillary Clinton 5.3% Democratic Party 9.7%
    2012 Democratic Party Barack Obama 17.8% Democratic Party Barack Obama 3.9% Democratic Party 10.9%
    2008 Democratic Party Barack Obama 15.5% Democratic Party Barack Obama 6.3% Democratic Party 10.9%
    2004 Democratic Party John Kerry 6.7% Republican Party George W. Bush 8.2% Republican Party 0.8%
    2000 Democratic Party Al Gore 15.8% Republican Party George W. Bush 8.1% Democratic Party 3.9%
    Overall Electiondot.png Democratic 14.0% Ends.png Republican 0.2% Democratic Party 6.9%


    Pivot counties

    Ballotpedia has identified 206 counties that voted for Donald Trump (R) in 2016 after voting for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012. There are two of these pivot counties in New Jersey and five in Virginia.

    Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008
    County Trump margin of victory in 2016 Obama margin of victory in 2012 Obama margin of victory in 2008
    Gloucester County, New Jersey 0.48% 10.77% 12.16%
    Salem County, New Jersey 15.00% 1.31% 3.92%
    Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008
    County Trump margin of victory in 2016 Obama margin of victory in 2012 Obama margin of victory in 2008
    Buckingham County, Virginia 11.28% 2.43% 0.87%
    Caroline County, Virginia 5.02% 8.24% 11.97%
    Essex County, Virginia 2.14% 7.30% 10.35%
    Nelson County, Virginia 5.59% 2.72% 9.15%
    Westmoreland County, Virginia 7.14% 6.95% 10.24%

    Primary results

    Of Virginia and New Jersey's seven pivot counties, four--Salem County, New Jersey, Caroline County, Virginia, Essex County, Virginia, and Westmoreland County, Virginia--were won by candidates who would go on to lose the primary election in both party's primaries. In addition, Gloucester County, New Jersey, went to Jack Ciattarelli in the Republican primary election despite his statewide loss to Kim Guadagno. Across the 14 Democratic and Republican primary elections held in the seven examined pivot counties in 2017, the eventual statewide winner was defeated in eight. All four statewide primary winners (Phil Murphy (D) and Kim Guadagno (R) in New Jersey and Ralph Northam (D) and Ed Gillespie (R) in Virginia) received a lower share of the vote in the average vote totals across pivot counties than they did in statewide results.


    Party control in New Jersey and Virginia

    Between 1992 and 2017, both major parties have held trifecta control of New Jersey and Virginia. During that period, New Jersey has spent six years under a Democratic trifecta, eight years under a Republican trifecta, and 12 years under divided government. In comparison, Virginia has spent two years under a Democratic trifecta, four years under a Republican trifecta, and 20 years under divided government. Heading into the 2017 elections, both states were under divided government. New Jersey had held this status since Chris Christie was sworn into office in 2010, ending a six-year Democratic trifecta. Virginia had held this status since Terry McAuliffe was sworn into office in 2014, ending a two-year Republican trifecta. In addition, the office of governor tended to alternate control in both states. No single party has controlled the governor's mansion for more than eight years since 1970 in New Jersey and 1994 in Virginia.

    In New Jersey, the Democratic victory replaced the state's Republican triplex with a Democratic triplex, since the governor of New Jersey has the power to appoint the attorney general and secretary of state. Likewise, in Virginia, a Republican victory would have ended the state's Democratic triplex. If this was paired with a Republican victory in the attorney general election, then Virginia would have become a Republican triplex, since the governor of Virginia has the power to appoint the secretary of state.

    New Jersey Party Control: 1992-2025
    Fourteen years of Democratic trifectas  •  Eight years of Republican trifectas
    Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

    Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
    Governor D D R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D
    Senate R R R R R R R R R R S S D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D
    Assembly R R R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D

    Virginia Party Control: 1992-2025
    Four years of Democratic trifectas  •  Four years of Republican trifectas
    Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

    Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
    Governor D D R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D R R R R D D D D D D D D R R R R
    Senate D D D D S S R R R R R R R R R R D D D D R R D R R R R R D D D D D D
    House D D D D D D S S R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R D D R R D D


    Primary elections

    See also: New Jersey gubernatorial primary election, 2017 and Virginia gubernatorial primary election, 2017

    Both New Jersey and Virginia held gubernatorial primary elections in June 2017. In both states, the sitting governor's party saw fewer candidates running in the primary. In New Jersey, there were five Republican candidates to six Democratic candidates while in Virginia there were two Democratic candidates to three Republican candidates. The New Jersey primary elections were decided by wider margins of victory than those in Virginia. While Phil Murphy secured a 26.5 percent margin of victory and Kim Guadagno won her primary by a 15.7 percent margin, in Virginia Ralph Northam won with an 11.8 percent margin of victory while Ed Gillespie won by a 1.2 percent margin.

    Governor of New Jersey and Virginia (Democratic primary) - 2017
    Virginia
    Candidate
    Virginia
    Votes
    Virginia
    Votes (%)
    New Jersey
    Candidate
    New Jersey
    Votes
    New Jersey
    Votes (%)
    Green check mark transparent.png Ralph Northam 303,541 55.90% Green check mark transparent.png Phil Murphy 243,643 48.42%
    Tom Perriello 239,505 44.10% Jim Johnson 110,250 21.91%
    John Wisniewski 108,532 21.57%
    Ray Lesniak 24,318 4.83%
    Bill Brennan 11,263 2.24%
    Mark Zinna 5,213 1.04%
    Governor of New Jersey and Virginia (Republican primary) - 2017
    Virginia
    Candidate
    Virginia
    Votes
    Virginia
    Votes (%)
    New Jersey
    Candidate
    New Jersey
    Votes
    New Jersey
    Votes (%)
    Green check mark transparent.png Ed Gillespie 160,100 43.71% Green check mark transparent.png Kim Guadagno 113,846 46.82%
    Corey Stewart 155,780 42.53% Jack Ciattarelli 75,556 31.08%
    Frank Wagner 50,394 13.76% Hirsh Singh 23,728 9.76%
    Joseph Rudy Rullo 15,816 6.51%
    Steve Rogers 14,187 5.84%

    See also

    External links

    Footnotes