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Until recently, a serious geopolitical working hypothesis was that West Asia and Ukraine were two vectors of the standard Hegemon modus operandi, which is to incite and unleash Forever Wars. Now both wars are united in an Omni-War.
A coalition of Straussian neo-cons in the US, hardcore revisionist Zionists in Tel Aviv and Ukrainian neo-nazi shades of grey is now betting on a Final Confrontation – with several overtones ranging from expanding lebensraum to provoking the Apocalypse.
What stands in their way is essentially two of the top BRICS: Russia and Iran.
China, self-protected by their collective lofty dream of “community of a shared future for mankind”, warily watches on the sidelines, as they know that at the end of the road, the true “existential” war by the Hegemon will be against them.
Meanwhile, Russia and Iran need to mobilize for Totalen Krieg. Because that’s what the enemy is launching.
Undermining BRICS and the INSTC
The total destabilisation of Syria, with heavy CIA-MI6 input, now proceeding in real time, is a carefully engineered gambit to undermine BRICS and beyond.
It proceeds in parallel to Pashinyan removing Armenia from the CSTO – based on a US promise to support Yerevan in a possible new clash with Baku; India being encouraged to ramp up a weapons race with Pakistan; and across-the-board intimidation of Iran.
So this is also a war to destabilize the International North South Transportation Corridor (INSTC), of which the three major protagonists are BRICS members Russia, Iran and India.
As it stands, the INSTC is totally geopolitical risk-free. As a top BRICS corridor-in-the-making, it carries the potential to become even more effective than several of China’s cross-Heartland corridors of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI).
The INSTC would be a key lifeline for a great deal of the global economy in case of a direct confrontation between the US/Israel combo and Iran – with the possible shutdown of the Strait of Hormuz leading to the collapse of a multi-quadrillion pile of financial derivatives, economically imploding the collective West.
Turkiye under Erdogan, as usual, is playing a double game. Rhetorically, Ankara stands by a genocide-free and sovereign Palestine. In practice, the Turkiye supports and funds a motley crew of Greater Idlibistan jihadis – trained by Ukrainian Neo-nazis in drone warfare and with weapons financed by Qatar – who have just marched on and conquered Aleppo, Hama, and possibly beyond.
If this army of mercenaries were real followers of Islam, they would be marching in defense of Palestine.
At the same time, the real picture inside the corridors of power in Tehran is extremely murky. There are factions favoring getting closer to the West, which clearly would have ramifications for the Axis of Resistance’s ability to fight Tel Aviv.
On Lebanon, Syria never wavered. History explains why: from the point of view of Damascus, Lebanon historically remains a governorate, so Damascus is responsible for the security of Beirut.
And that’s one of Tel Aviv’s key motives to propel the current Salafi-jihadi offensive on Syria – after smashing virtually every communication corridor between Syria and Lebanon. What Tel Aviv could not accomplish on the ground – a victory over Hezbollah in southern Lebanon – has been replaced by isolating Hezbollah from the Axis of Resistance.
When in Doubt, Re-Read Xenophon
Wars in West Asia are a complex mix of national, sectarian, tribal and religious vectors. In a sense, they are endless wars; controllable to an extent, but then back again.
The Russian strategy in Syria seemed to be very precise. As it was impossible to normalize a completely fragmented nation, Moscow opted to free the Syria that really matters – the capital, the most important cities, and the Eastern Mediterranean coast – from the Salafi-jihadi mobs.
The problem is that freezing the war in 2020, with direct implication by Russia, Iran and (reluctantly) Turkiye, did not solve the “moderate rebel” problem. Now they’re back – in full force, supported by a vast Rent-a-Jihadi mob, with NATOstan Intel behind them.
Some things never change.
2012. Jake Sullivan, then an aide to Hillary Clinton: “AQ [al-Qaeda*] is on our side in Syria.”
2021. James Jeffrey, special envoy to Syria under Trump (2018-2020): “HTS [Hayat Tahrir al-Sham*] is an asset to the US’s strategy in Idlib.”
There could not be better timing for the revival of the HTS “asset”. HTS if filling an enormous void; beware when that happens in West Asia. Russia is fully concentrated on Ukraine. Hezbollah suffered heavily from Tel Aviv’s bombings and serial killing. Tehran is fully concentrated on how to deal with Trump 2.0.
History always teaches us. Syria is now a West Asian Anabasis. Xenophon – a soldier and writer – tell us how, in the 4th century B.C., an “expedition” (“anabasis”, in Ancient Greek) of 10,000 Greek mercenaries were engaged by Cyrus the Younger against his brother Artaxerxes II, King of Persia, from Armenia to the Black Sea. The expedition miserably failed – and the painful return journey was endless.
2,400 years later, we see governments, armies and mercenaries still plunging into the endless West Asia wars – and extracting themselves now is even more insoluble.
Syria now is tired, attritted, with the SAA becoming complacent with the long freeze of the war since 2020. All that coupled with the vicious starvation siege unleashed by the US Caesar Act, and the impossibility to start rebuilding the nation with the help of at least 8 million citizens who fled the endless war.
Over these past 4 years, problems piled up. There were endless breaches of the Astana process and Israel bombed Syria almost daily with impunity.
China was basically immobile. Beijing simply did not invest in the rebuilding of Syria.
Perspective is sobering. Even Russia – which is a de facto Resistance icon in itself, even if not formally part of the West Asian Axis of Resistance – has taken nearly three years of hard slog in its fight with Ukraine.
Only a cohesive, consolidated Axis of Resistance – after getting rid of countless 5thcolumnists working inside – would have a chance against being picked off one by one by the same consolidated enemy, over and over again.
Sometimes it feels like the BRICS – particularly China – haven’t learned anything from Bandung in 1955, and how the Non-Alignment Movement (NAM) was neutralized.
You can’t beat a pitiless hegemonic hydra with flower power.
* terrorist organizations banned in Russia and many other countries.
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“If this army of mercenaries were true followers of Islam, they would be marching in defense of Palestine.” Well, it seems that PE is opening his eyes with this article and surely after reading TM on Voltaire.org. However, the following reflection should be made: if Russia, Iran and China were true followers of humanity, they would be marching against Israel for the live-streamed genocide.
Perhaps entertaining Russia by killing Ukronazis was part of the script from the beginning for the occupation of the entire Middle East with its oil.
The Arab monarchies must be very worried.
As Turkey, although less violently the Indian Hindutva empire of now is also always playing a double game.
If the ‘I’ of BRICS had meant Iran in the first place, at least the RIC may have made sense.
Brazil? Big place, but not at all reliable.
South Africa? Same, a few may have made the case against Israel in Gaza, but the place still has a special position for Jewish owners of extractive industries, for all I know, they may still also have a Jewish Central Committee of the C.P.S.A. behind the A.N.C.
Doubt the latter though, Joe Slovo et al. and their families likely left for further fields of plunder in other places.
In a few places, they have groups of Boers in what look much like the concentration camps that the British were using to persecute Boers over a hundred years ago. Also, it seems like open season by sub-Saharan thugs (descended from people who were there for much less time than the Boers) to kill farmers.
All from that time, it seems, just because the British Empire wanted to give Jews special access to diamonds and gold.
Weird.
China as noted, is sitting around and doing nothing, so they are certainly not a global power. Russia can’t even pay attention to what is happening in its own neighborhood (their air and naval bases in Syria), otherwise they would have tried to prevent this. Meanwhile they continue building a nuclear power plant with 4 reactors for Erdogan. He must have as much contempt for Putin as the West. Pretending to be a global power is ridiculous for Russia.
So, that leaves Jew-controlled America. I’m afraid the World bears very little resemblance to the one envisioned by Pepé for the last 10 years.
perhaps leaving the syrian army on its own, is a way of exposing 5th columnists within it’s ranks. those who give up without a fight, are not to be trusted, a simple litmus test. hopefully the russians and iranians aren’t pulling up stakes but cleaning out the rat nests within the ssa, before cleaning out the main rat nests in idlib and aleppo.
i can’t imagine the russians and iranians giving up syria without a fight, after all the blood and treasure they have invested, the chinese have offered to help syria overcome the terrorist threat, that include uyghur terrorists, that will eventually return to china, at the service of their dark masters. remember the ukrainian role in this, supplying weapons, drones and trainers in exchange for terrorists fighters in ukraine, this is all part of the same war, it would be short sighted to leave this festering mess behind.
it’s getting late but the game isn’t over and a combined effort along with russian air power and naval assets, could make short work of this relatively small force of mercenaries, who unlike ukraine have no place to hide and miles of undefended supply lines, that make easy targets. let us not forget the yemenis, who have declared war on israel and offer ground troops of seasoned fighters, they claim to have 10,000 troops in syria already. we’ll just have to wait and see how this all plays out.
In the run-up to the Iraq war, the Jews knew they had a president who was low-IQ and in the clutches of neo-cons. The war was fought for Israel to remove a regional power with a leader who was sending cheques to Palestinian suicide bombers. Now, we have a president who doesn’t know his ass from his elbow and the Jews are determined to exploit the situation, hence the war in Syria that looks like it will unseat Assad. If they can’t have it all in the Ukraine, then they want something else…. Syria, in this case. Trump will inherit a total mess, all by design.
It’s worth taking a closer look at the ethnic mix on the coast in Tartus and Latakia. It’s more Phoenician than Arab.
I don’t see much wrong with Syria melting down.
Turkey will have to reveal their venality by annexing Aleppo.
The Israelis will have to deal with Damascus. Careful what you wish for Jews.
The Kurds with have to take charge along the Euphrates/Tigris.
It’s quite possible that the coastal cities may emerge as their own maritime state. Russia’s interests there were overstated and their military just saw it as a place to fight the US by proxy anyway. Let the Americans Israelis and Turks own this one.
The West will either preside over the obvious carve up obviously or appoint a new Dictator more bluntly.
No need for doom and gloom.
If Syria were to split up the Alawites will have their own maritime Phoenicia.
https://www.mei.edu/publications/alawi-community-and-syria-crisis
Israel will be stuck with patrolling Damascus and the Turks will have perpetual revolt in Aleppo.
Also it’s great to see a cobbled together state like Ukraine collapse.
with his fabulous “axis resistance” now in state of collapse, Pablo spouts nonsense of a degree unusual even for hisself:
1) “SAA becoming complacent”. No, the SAA was a complete joke from the beginning. Russia and Hez did all the fighting against Jihadis back when. Post Syrian CW it became even more rotten. Like the rest of Assad’s now defunct Alawite regime.
2) “a motley crew of Idlibistan Jihadis”. Which crew swiftly grew as most of the Sunni/Kurd population of Syria supported the crew’s easy, rapid, now victorious drive on Damascus.
3) “axis of resistance, after getting rid of countless 5th Columnists…”. Might want to start with the Kremlin Dwarf, a notorious Jew-loving Zionist stooge who – yet again – has proven to be unable to act decisively and in a timely fashion. One good thing about Putin’s ongoing Syria, Georgia, Abkhazia, and Ukraine debacles: maybe some genuine nationalists in Russia will finally decide that the time has come to overthrow Babyface Tsar. Better do it soon, though, while Russia still exists.
Back when the Syrian War started more than decade ago, I sort of sympathized with the rebels cuz I always thought Alawite minority rule wasn’t a stable foundation for the country.
It was sort of like Diem’s Catholic minority rule in South Vietnam that alienated a largely Buddhist country.
But then, I learned that many rebels were foreigners and remnants of the very Alqaeda that the US was supposedly fighting. Also, the snake Erdogan was behind the rebels and Israel was backing ISIS.
So, I figured Assad is surely better than that bunch.
But Alawite minority rule was never something that could unify the country in purpose and spirit. Other minorities supported Assad more out of fear of majority Sunnis than any real loyalty to him.
And many Sunnis supported Assad in the war years ago cuz they figured the Jihadis are too crazy. But they had no real love for him either. Over the years, the Syrian army became like the KMT that had no fighting spirit left and lost to the Chinese communists who were fanatical in their convictions.
So, as troubling as this may seem, it’s Syria finally becoming more natural as a country, much like Iraq after the US invasion that ended Sunni minority rule. US invasion was based on bogus nonsense and caused lots of chaos and destruction, but it did allow Iraq to evolve into more of a natural political entity.
And even though it will be a painful process, Syria that emerges from this chaos may have a better foundation of power cuz of the extinction of elite minority rule. Minority rule is always problematic. We see it in Jewish-controlled US. Very unstable.
And China grew weak under the Manchus who were more focused on keeping the majority Han Chinese down than doing what was necessary to keep up with the world.
Now, China is Han-Chinese run and more stable.
Of late, Assad stood for resistance against the West, but his kind of rule had been imposed on Syria by the West, much like Diem’s Catholic minority regime in South Vietnam. Imperialists tended to favor the minority elites as such usually work as compradors with the imperial patrons to keep the power. Without imperial sponsors, they face the hostile majority.
Minority elite rule is now gone from Syria.
Eventually, it will be possible for China, Russia, and Iran to work with a new Syria. In the end, national interests trump ideology.
Look at US and Vietnam. Bitter enemies but now doing business.
Also, unlike Ukraine, which is a total Jewish puppet, this new Syria is a hodgepodge. Rebels are opportunistic and accepted support from anywhere to topple Assad, but they have fixed no loyalty and will eventually fight among themselves.
Syria will be a grab bag, not an easy proxy for the West, or Turkey or Israel or etc.
In some ways, it may well blow up on the West, like Afghanistan after the Soviet withdrawal.
Assad and his Generals made some kind of deal. The Syrian army is battle hardened and had defeated these groups, but now it doesn’t even fight? All units were ordered to pull back to Damascus. Did Assad cut a deal because of blackmail and bribes to sell out? Or is this a master plan to counterattack and destroy these terror groups? All very odd.
We now know the plan for a Greater Israel continues. Invading fortified southern Lebanon was foolish. The day the Lebanese “ceasefire” began, the invasion of Syria began. Now these allied “terrorists” threaten Israel so it will invade undefended southern Syria and establish a “security zone” that will be annexed one day just like the Golan.
Video Link
all the doom and gloom – while “not wrong” in this case – just reminds me of every stunt pulled by the ukies and their handlers that had headlines screeching about “the war is totes over we’re marching moscow lol”. that said:
everyone is bitching about china but who do they think can supply the industrial capacity and funding to keep these cunts at bay?
the two main problems are that slimy fuck erdogan and (sorry, simps) putin. between his pussy handling of ukraine (in defiance of the common sense of those surrounding him) and his insatiable appetite for netanyahu’s saggy balls he’s let a lot of this happen. he could make up for it by supplying a batch of fresh oreshniks to tehran but probably won’t.
and for the retards gloating over this, keep in mind what and who it took to make it happen:
the immediate victims will be hezbollah because their supposed supply lines are supposedly cut. then again the hebrew himmlers said they “took out hezbollah’s arsenal” only to end up as an arse ‘n all. in any case, the “israelis” have now outsourced the shia portion of their genocide to assholes who “identify as” sunnis. once again sunni arab dumb fucks have proven they’re basically levite zionist vermin LARPing as “muslims”.
if things don’t get too apocalyptic in lebanon too soon and iraq holds strong it might take some bearable turns. maybe it’s time for the axis to start treating jordan, egypt and “kurdistan” the way the blob has treated syria. one good toppling deserves another.
PS fuck al jazeera and middle east eye in their fake-pro-palestinian asses. HARD. with a fucking bayonet.
Bottom line is that Israel has nuclear weapons, quite a lot of them, and is sufficiently rabid to use them. The means that no one with a trace of sanity can pick a fight with them.
latest rumors:
Russian Il-76 aircraft took off from airfield near Damascus, tracked eastward (toward Iran), then turned northwest (toward Latakia) and overflew Homs where it was, supposedly, hit by ground fire…..then spiral’d down and crashed. My own opinion is that Assad is still alive….but not well. Might have escaped to one of the Emirates, or Iran….or Moscow. Same w the most of Assad ex-officialdom, tho some higher military officers are trying to make nice w the Jihadis.
somewhat stronger satellite evidence that Russian heavy air transports (An-72) have arrived at Russian airbase in Latakia and are onloading equipment. Satellite evidence from Tartus less conclusive: commentators, looking at docks, say Russian ships have left. But you can still see some sort of vessels moored near the breakwater.
Turkey might have stabbed Russia,Iran,Syria,even US but it had number of reasons . It was forced to join anti Assad forces by US with promises of full suppor. Its audacious attack on Russian pilot was not supported by NATO or US. Neither the 4 millions refugees that entered were helped.Turkey was not compensated. Earlier it successful brokered a nuclear deal involving Iran with explicit promises from US that it would be honored but was not honored. Turkey was facing resurgence US -enabled Kurd attack after 2011. Turkey brokered a deal between Ukraine and Russia but UK did not allow it.
Turkey saw that it can only rely on its own military to sort things out. It has been asking Armenia to sort things out before mounting attack on that country. It prevented invasion of Qatar by Saudi.
Over the years ,it has tried to advocate for Palestinians but Arab countries themselves proved to be aloof and disinterested.
Turkey asked Assad to discuss some of the issues that affect both. But Assad flatly refused to consider.
Turkey was sure surprised to see Russian behaviors towards Iran and Syria .Russia have until now
hasagreed with US in imposing sanctions on NK,Iran and has not delivered S 300 to Syria and Iran.
Russia has tolerated Israeli behaviors both in Gaza and againstSyria.
Assad should have known that sanctions have pauperized his country and has made his army weak, vulnerable to bribes and to promises of better life . He was recalcitrant but had no vision.
If Turkey succeeds in Syria ,it will be in a much stronger position compared to Russia .and Israel in mediterrean .
The jihadist in Syria are not hard core idealist like Taliban. They will work with outsiders but may not with each other. This will cause instability .Syria might become a source of instability like Afghanistan was for a while . Only Israel and Turkey could prevent that . Syria can actually bring Turkey and Israel to war.
Correct you are.
I concur.Excellent.
You miswrote the name of Meyssan’s website. It’s https://www.voltairenet.org/.
There are some Greeks, too. True Arabian Arabs conquered large areas but left little genetic imprint. This Escobar is confused; he brings Xenophon to Syria.
Most importantly: Israel has occupied the Hermon peak today, the region’s highest point.Jews are pissing on enemies.
Hilarious essay, thanks for the laughs.
It’s not a base per se. More like a repair herd if needed. Some shore leave if desired.
The airbase I don’t know much about.
The Russian presence there is over billed.
A very misleading statement:
The Greek mercenaries, to include the Athenian Xenophon, had been hired by Cyrus the Younger in a civil war to contest the kingship of the Persian Empire against Artaxerxes. Cyrus’ army actually won the battle at Cunaxa in September 401 BC but Cyrus himself was killed in the fighting. This left Artaxerxes as king and the mercenaries in a bind. The ensuing “Retreat of the 10,000” was an epic two-year (not “endless”) march through hostile territory, with Xenophon leading the mercenaries back to Greek colonies on the Black Sea.
One thing which the Anabasis demonstrated was that the Persian Empire was open to conquest by a determined and well led force. Alexander of Macedon demonstrated this reality later in the 4th century BC.
It’s worth reading Xenophon’s Anabasis, available in many popular editions, for lessons learned on how a small but well led Western army can take on any number of foes.
Something to consider in the continuing chaos, abroad and at home…
True. Russia mostly provided air support and it was effective because the Syrian Army was willing to fight in the early conflict. Now, it vanished, and there isn’t much Russia could do. So, it washed its hands of the Syrian mess. If Arabs wanna crucify one of the few countries in the region that stands up to the US and Israel, so be it. Arabs and Muslims are retards.
One thing for sure, Syria was a flimsy bridge for its allies. Not only was Assad a weak ruler without the instincts of a true wolf, he was an Alawite ruler of majority Sunni country, and he relied too much on a coalition of non-Sunni groups than true support from the majority population.
Thus, Assad’s Syria was a weak bridge for the so-called Axis of Resistance. Its foundations could be blown up.
It also signals the final death knell of the Baathist secular experiment in the Arab World. Baathism sought to construct the model of the modern and independent Arab states but was itself a grafting of Western concepts on the complex and alien realities of the Middle East. For Western style nationalism to really work in the region, the nations had to have been constructed more organically, with each nation representing a more or less homogeneous group. But all these countries were created by European empires, and so, each country was a hodge podge of different ethnic groups who didn’t see eye to eye. There was ancient Syria but the modern ‘Syria’ was an invention of British/French imperialism.
As such, Baathism, rather than being a truly nationalist model, ended up as a petty neo-imperialist model with some dominant ethnic group ruling over other groups and creating much resentment. In the end, too many ‘Syrians’ didn’t see the Assad family as the ruler of the nation but an Alawite clan ruling over others.
Also, it seems Assad fell for the same trick as Gaddafi did. The Michael Corleone thing: “Keep your friends close but your enemies closer.” When the West made overtures to Gaddafi, he fell for the bait. As Assad was trained in the West, he was flattered earlier on by Western forces that were merely setting him up for a fall. Even as he sought independence, he wanted to be approved by the West and embarked on reforms that only weakened him.
Ugly but true. Hussein was a scumbag and far worse than Gaddafi and Assad but his survival instincts were keener. He could only be taken out by full scale invasion by the US and its allies. All the more remarkable when Iraq was ravaged by sanctions even more than Syria was.
Only a few days ago: “China vows to support Syria”… and… nothing came, but hot air from Bejing?!
Meanwhile the terrorists in Syria address the Muslims of the Caucasus in Russian.
Below’s video answers the question of doubters why Russia must watch terrorist Syria and Turkey in particular.
Listen to these dogs! Islam is the sword of Judaism. Turkey is begging for it. Let the traitors get what they deserve, which is anything but countries.
https://ok.ru/video/8588028873344
For Russia, it now seems a matter of preserving its military bases in Syria. Given that Russians are sworn enemies for Turkey & terrorists, there is little chance of this. The militants are coordinated and financed by Turkey and the oil it has been stealing together with Jewmerica & Israhell from Syria. Turkey Erdogan, a Jew, conducts a systematic policy of squeezing Russia out of all the regions that his tribe wants to control: Armenia, Azerbaijan, and Central Asia, among others and besides Russia.
Turkish army moving around Syria:
https://ok.ru/video/8601125128832
The Third Jewish World War started in Jan. 2024 with Jewkraine’s massive bombings of Donbass Russians, so that even Jew Putin could no longer ignore it. Meanwhile the Jewish gvt in Moscow is importing more musels into Russia while wrecking the Russian economy by leaving it to a Yale trained whore to raise interest rates to 21 % !
Russia will have to fight a war against the whole Jewish world incl. Turkey and what will China do?
Produce drones for all participants…
Turkey owns the mess now.
It’s always easier to break things than to fix things.
Turkey took the hammer to Syria.
US broke Iraq and had a hellish time fixing it… and what resulted wasn’t exactly what the US wanted.
Ironically, Syria was weak for the same reason that the Ottoman Empire and Austro-Hungarian Empire were doomed in the long run.
Syria was ruled by minority elite.
Ottoman Empire was Turks ruling over vast populations who were not Turkish.
And Austro-Hungarian Empire was Austrians(20% of the empire) ruling over others.
When such orders begin to collapse, it’s like a domino.
Kemalists understood this and understood the empire was gone forever. They focused on building a Turkic majority state in Anatolia.
Erdogan, in contrast, seems hellbent on reviving something like Ottoman power. Not gonna end up good.
Lots of dumb people are making statements like Russia didn’t do anything, because they weren’t prepared, or are too extended militarily because of the war in Ukraine. Unlike the US or Israel that lashes out at every situation like a brainless dinosaur, Russia analyzes every situation before it makes a move. Russia is presently involved in a war which is of extreme importance to them, the situation in Syria, is of secondary importance to Russia. With the pressing of a couple of buttons, Russia could finish off every militant group in Syria and every site of importance in Israel in 15-20 minutes with a few Oreshnik missiles, but they don’t. This peaceful handover was obviously planned in advance with the new regime having assured Russia that their bases are secure. Unlike the US and Israel, who don’t have the confidence that they once had, Russia is in the driver’s seat and can negotiate using diplomats, instead of guns. Netanyahu and Erdogan may be celebrating right now as they think that they have this all sewn up, but time will tell and we will see if they still will be celebrating in a couple of months time.
Good points, but comparing the former Syrian polity to the Ottoman or Austrian then Austro-Hungarian Empires is to stretch things a little.
The Ottoman Empire ruled all but the Arab states and perhaps Albania with great cruelty. When the south Slav polities freed themselves and then were incorporated into the Austro-Hungarian Empire, they wanted to leave, also seems to have become true of the Czechs and Slovaks, who had never been under Ottoman rule, the former despite having a good position in the empire. The idea of pan-slavism seems to have played a part.
The Ottoman lost slowly, but surely, first Napoleon in Egypt, then cynical use of somnolent Arab nationalism by Britain in particular in WW I. Sykes-Picot etc.
Whatever its deficiencies, Syria ran quite well for many years. The fall was all because of Israel wanting to ruin the place, their U.S. slaves going along, and the snake Erdogan’s mischief.
It is inevitable that the Russians will be pushed out, armed confrontation, though without firing, is already reported.
If you think otherwise, why?
Sure, Turkey, the U.S., and Israel, sponsors of the overthrow, want Russia out of the place.
Meanwhile, we may just wait to see how much land Turkey and Israel try to grab, how long the new Syrian civil war (already started) lasts, and how much harm it does.
Pepe can guild the lily all he wants — he usually does anyway — but the fall of Syria is an absolute catastrophe for the ‘Axis of Resistance’. In fact, it’s probably fatal.
Let’s call this thing what it really is: Nakba II. And this one is even worse than the original Nakba, because it includes not only Palestine, but Lebanon and Syria as well. That means that basically the whole of the Levant is now effectively under Zionist control, whether directly or indirectly.
Make no mistake: Greater Israel is now a reality. The only question left is whether they will finish the job by going after Iran. With Trump about to move into the White House, I think we can all imagine what the answer to that question will be …
“it’s not a base”
now don’t go all Talmudic on me….of course it’s a base. And the most important one – now that the Ukes/NATO have sunk most of the Russians’ Black Sea Fleet w the rest fallen back to the Caspian – that the Russians have.
but not for much longer. Word is that Erdogan won’t let the Tartus squadron – recently about 2-3 missile destroyers or frigates + a tanker + a couple supply vessels – to get back up to Sevastopol thru the Straits, so they’ll have to go all the way out to the Atlantic, then north up to the Baltic to get back to Russia. That’s downright humiliating….tho probably, even if they got thru the straits the Ukes/NATO would sink most of them before they got back to Sevastopol anyway.
last satellite photo I saw of the airbase showed about two dozen fighter bombers of various types, some other oddball aircraft, plus some heavy loadlifters that just came in to ferry big stuff like S-300/400 batteries etc. back to Russia.
Assad was more canny though. His family have survived even if now in exile.
That´s normal Montreux procedure – Türkiye closed the Straits
(to all warships, during wartime); no one needs “word” for that.
If Russia keeps its bases I would wonder if they were talking to the other side since before the new war. Someone was telling the Syrian army to keep GTFO. I never thought Russia were strong in ME, so even if they knew what was coming they probably could not do much but negotiate.
Remember how the Israelis used exploding pagers to kill off/cripple a lot of the leadership of Hezbollah?
Well, I had another thought. What if the operation was a lot more subtle and targeted than has been reported? We know that the Israelis have a lot of agents in local organizations like Hezbollah etc. I would assume that these agents would either not be targeted, or at least be tipped off, before the pagers exploded? What if the real objective of the exploding pager thing was not so much to decapitate Hezbollah, but to replace the leadership with Israeli agents?
I don’t know if this is true, but potentially it could explain a lot.
You can love the Isrealis, you can hate them, but don’t underestimate them.
It can’t host “capital” ships though, from what I’ve seen.
“It is inevitable that the Russians will be pushed out, armed confrontation, though without firing, is already reported.
If you think otherwise, why?
Sure, Turkey, the U.S., and Israel, sponsors of the overthrow, want Russia out of the place.
Meanwhile, we may just wait to see how much land Turkey and Israel try to grab, how long the new Syrian civil war (already started) lasts, and how much harm it does.”
I agree with the idea (expressed in a number of areas in the UR) that Russia simply analyzed the situation and decided that now is not the time to stay in Syria. They need to concentrate on the main objective, beating Ukraine. The Syrian situation right now is like Vietnam in the last days, where even the warmongering US government decided to leave, even though, that was the only war they were involved in. Russia has more justification to leave Syria, they are already involved in a large scale war, right on their borders, with Nato.