Tennessee's 7th Congressional District election, 2020
- Election date: Nov. 3
- Registration deadline(s): Oct. 5
- Online registration: Yes
- Same-day registration: No
- Recount laws
- Early voting starts: Oct. 14
- Absentee/mail voting deadline(s): Nov. 3 (received)
- Processing, counting, and challenging absentee/mail-in ballots
- Voter ID: Photo ID
- Poll times: Varies by locality
2022 →
← 2018
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Tennessee's 7th Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: April 2, 2020 |
Primary: August 6, 2020 General: November 3, 2020 Pre-election incumbent: Mark Green (Republican) |
How to vote |
Poll times: Varies by county Voting in Tennessee |
Race ratings |
Inside Elections: Solid Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th Tennessee elections, 2020 U.S. Congress elections, 2020 U.S. Senate elections, 2020 U.S. House elections, 2020 |
All U.S. congressional districts, including the 7th Congressional District of Tennessee, held elections in 2020.
Incumbent Mark Green won election in the general election for U.S. House Tennessee District 7.
Candidate filing deadline | Primary election | General election |
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Heading into the election the incumbent was Republican Mark Green, who was first elected in 2018.
The 7th District is located in the southwestern and middle regions of Tennessee. It borders the states of Kentucky in the north and Mississippi and Alabama in the south. Chester, Decatur, Giles, Hardeman, Hardin, Henderson, Hickman, Houston, Humphreys, Lawrence, Lewis, McNairy, Montgomery, Perry, Stewart, Wayne, and Williamson counties as well as areas of Benton and Maury counties are included in the district.
Post-election analysis
The table below compares the vote totals in the 2020 presidential election and 2020 U.S. House election for this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
Election procedure changes in 2020
Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.
Tennessee modified its absentee/mail-in voting procedures and voter identification rules for the November 3, 2020, general election as follows:
- Absentee/mail-in voting: Individuals "with a special vulnerability to COVID-19" and "caretakers for individuals with a special vulnerability to COVID-19" were deemed to meet the existing statutory criteria for absentee voting eligibility. A law requiring first-time voters to vote in person was temporarily suspended.
For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Tennessee District 7
Incumbent Mark Green defeated Kiran Sreepada, Ronald Brown, and Scott Vieira in the general election for U.S. House Tennessee District 7 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Mark Green (R) | 69.9 | 245,188 | |
Kiran Sreepada (D) | 27.3 | 95,839 | ||
Ronald Brown (Independent) | 2.2 | 7,603 | ||
Scott Vieira (Independent) | 0.6 | 2,005 |
Total votes: 350,635 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Benjamin Estes (Reform Party)
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Tennessee District 7
Kiran Sreepada advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Tennessee District 7 on August 6, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Kiran Sreepada | 100.0 | 23,390 |
Total votes: 23,390 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Tennessee District 7
Incumbent Mark Green advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Tennessee District 7 on August 6, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Mark Green | 100.0 | 73,540 |
Total votes: 73,540 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Pivot Counties
- See also: Pivot Counties by state
One of 95 Tennessee counties—1 percent—is a Pivot County. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.
Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008 | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
County | Trump margin of victory in 2016 | Obama margin of victory in 2012 | Obama margin of victory in 2008 | ||||
Hardeman County, Tennessee | 7.92% | 5.91% | 6.18% |
In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won Tennessee with 60.7 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 34.7 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, Tennessee cast votes for the winning presidential candidate 76.7 percent of the time. In that same time frame, Tennessee supported Democratic candidates for president and Republican candidates equally. The state, however, favored Republicans in every presidential election between 2000 and 2016.
Presidential results by legislative district
The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Tennessee. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns show the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns show the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[1][2]
In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 20 out of 99 state House districts in Tennessee with an average margin of victory of 50.7 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 22 out of 99 state House districts in Tennessee with an average margin of victory of 46.5 points. Clinton won one district controlled by a Republican heading into the 2018 elections. |
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 79 out of 99 state House districts in Tennessee with an average margin of victory of 36.8 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 77 out of 99 state House districts in Tennessee with an average margin of victory of 43.8 points. Trump won four districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections. |
2016 presidential results by state House district | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
District | Obama | Romney | 2012 Margin | Clinton | Trump | 2016 Margin | Party Control |
1 | 26.48% | 71.78% | R+45.3 | 19.62% | 76.53% | R+56.9 | R |
2 | 25.47% | 72.94% | R+47.5 | 22.34% | 73.09% | R+50.8 | R |
3 | 23.44% | 74.89% | R+51.5 | 15.82% | 81.34% | R+65.5 | R |
4 | 24.92% | 73.37% | R+48.5 | 17.60% | 79.09% | R+61.5 | R |
5 | 26.22% | 72.04% | R+45.8 | 18.39% | 78.32% | R+59.9 | R |
6 | 27.88% | 70.48% | R+42.6 | 24.82% | 70.87% | R+46.1 | R |
7 | 32.16% | 65.69% | R+33.5 | 28.10% | 67.14% | R+39 | R |
8 | 25.60% | 72.64% | R+47 | 22.13% | 73.51% | R+51.4 | R |
9 | 25.47% | 72.83% | R+47.4 | 16.67% | 80.51% | R+63.8 | R |
10 | 26.13% | 72.49% | R+46.4 | 19.78% | 76.98% | R+57.2 | R |
11 | 24.31% | 73.99% | R+49.7 | 16.57% | 80.41% | R+63.8 | R |
12 | 21.96% | 76.64% | R+54.7 | 18.10% | 78.27% | R+60.2 | R |
13 | 46.29% | 51.08% | R+4.8 | 46.53% | 46.55% | R+0 | R |
14 | 27.16% | 71.40% | R+44.2 | 31.73% | 62.39% | R+30.7 | R |
15 | 64.97% | 32.36% | D+32.6 | 63.19% | 30.19% | D+33 | D |
16 | 26.02% | 72.27% | R+46.3 | 25.79% | 69.20% | R+43.4 | R |
17 | 23.13% | 75.42% | R+52.3 | 17.26% | 79.08% | R+61.8 | R |
18 | 37.12% | 60.80% | R+23.7 | 40.01% | 52.84% | R+12.8 | R |
19 | 24.61% | 73.61% | R+49 | 20.94% | 74.82% | R+53.9 | R |
20 | 26.93% | 71.34% | R+44.4 | 24.49% | 70.69% | R+46.2 | R |
21 | 25.45% | 73.18% | R+47.7 | 21.22% | 75.52% | R+54.3 | R |
22 | 23.71% | 74.79% | R+51.1 | 16.46% | 80.41% | R+64 | R |
23 | 25.15% | 73.42% | R+48.3 | 17.86% | 79.49% | R+61.6 | R |
24 | 24.40% | 74.21% | R+49.8 | 21.09% | 74.46% | R+53.4 | R |
25 | 26.28% | 72.36% | R+46.1 | 20.11% | 77.28% | R+57.2 | R |
26 | 34.03% | 64.08% | R+30.1 | 31.79% | 62.75% | R+31 | R |
27 | 34.43% | 63.74% | R+29.3 | 31.70% | 62.61% | R+30.9 | R |
28 | 80.31% | 18.45% | D+61.9 | 77.92% | 17.79% | D+60.1 | D |
29 | 33.45% | 64.95% | R+31.5 | 29.81% | 65.70% | R+35.9 | R |
30 | 37.06% | 61.14% | R+24.1 | 34.33% | 60.41% | R+26.1 | R |
31 | 27.30% | 71.02% | R+43.7 | 18.77% | 78.05% | R+59.3 | R |
32 | 26.67% | 71.68% | R+45 | 21.60% | 74.28% | R+52.7 | R |
33 | 35.25% | 62.79% | R+27.5 | 31.54% | 63.16% | R+31.6 | R |
34 | 33.18% | 65.32% | R+32.1 | 31.29% | 63.52% | R+32.2 | R |
35 | 23.70% | 74.95% | R+51.3 | 15.89% | 81.43% | R+65.5 | R |
36 | 26.89% | 71.70% | R+44.8 | 18.57% | 78.26% | R+59.7 | R |
37 | 38.33% | 59.99% | R+21.7 | 36.08% | 58.84% | R+22.8 | R |
38 | 24.89% | 73.79% | R+48.9 | 16.00% | 81.84% | R+65.8 | R |
39 | 33.22% | 65.17% | R+32 | 24.43% | 72.61% | R+48.2 | R |
40 | 31.85% | 66.76% | R+34.9 | 23.97% | 72.67% | R+48.7 | R |
41 | 32.24% | 66.34% | R+34.1 | 20.31% | 77.25% | R+56.9 | D |
42 | 30.46% | 67.77% | R+37.3 | 25.64% | 70.08% | R+44.4 | R |
43 | 35.21% | 62.96% | R+27.8 | 22.37% | 74.65% | R+52.3 | R |
44 | 31.04% | 67.73% | R+36.7 | 26.55% | 69.59% | R+43 | R |
45 | 26.81% | 71.94% | R+45.1 | 25.43% | 70.33% | R+44.9 | R |
46 | 31.50% | 67.04% | R+35.5 | 25.22% | 70.47% | R+45.3 | R |
47 | 30.99% | 67.13% | R+36.1 | 23.89% | 72.27% | R+48.4 | R |
48 | 36.74% | 61.61% | R+24.9 | 33.92% | 60.93% | R+27 | R |
49 | 39.71% | 58.68% | R+19 | 37.26% | 57.65% | R+20.4 | R |
50 | 41.70% | 56.68% | R+15 | 44.24% | 50.66% | R+6.4 | D |
51 | 66.01% | 31.55% | D+34.5 | 67.37% | 26.85% | D+40.5 | D |
52 | 67.26% | 31.18% | D+36.1 | 67.30% | 27.78% | D+39.5 | D |
53 | 51.53% | 46.59% | D+4.9 | 54.11% | 38.90% | D+15.2 | D |
54 | 83.83% | 15.06% | D+68.8 | 81.44% | 15.31% | D+66.1 | D |
55 | 56.64% | 40.99% | D+15.7 | 62.66% | 30.37% | D+32.3 | D |
56 | 37.97% | 60.61% | R+22.6 | 47.22% | 46.82% | D+0.4 | R |
57 | 27.13% | 71.48% | R+44.4 | 24.99% | 70.38% | R+45.4 | R |
58 | 86.45% | 11.94% | D+74.5 | 82.52% | 12.58% | D+69.9 | D |
59 | 70.87% | 27.77% | D+43.1 | 70.12% | 26.06% | D+44.1 | D |
60 | 42.92% | 55.47% | R+12.6 | 44.82% | 49.40% | R+4.6 | D |
61 | 25.02% | 73.85% | R+48.8 | 31.20% | 63.62% | R+32.4 | R |
62 | 29.19% | 69.47% | R+40.3 | 22.37% | 74.69% | R+52.3 | R |
63 | 24.83% | 73.95% | R+49.1 | 28.09% | 66.72% | R+38.6 | R |
64 | 31.94% | 66.63% | R+34.7 | 25.56% | 70.79% | R+45.2 | R |
65 | 29.11% | 69.35% | R+40.2 | 29.72% | 64.68% | R+35 | R |
66 | 31.53% | 67.11% | R+35.6 | 24.53% | 71.72% | R+47.2 | R |
67 | 54.58% | 43.95% | D+10.6 | 47.83% | 45.50% | D+2.3 | D |
68 | 35.78% | 62.76% | R+27 | 31.26% | 63.72% | R+32.5 | R |
69 | 40.73% | 57.62% | R+16.9 | 29.72% | 66.98% | R+37.3 | R |
70 | 31.22% | 67.54% | R+36.3 | 22.18% | 75.41% | R+53.2 | R |
71 | 24.67% | 73.66% | R+49 | 15.60% | 81.73% | R+66.1 | R |
72 | 27.58% | 70.95% | R+43.4 | 18.81% | 78.70% | R+59.9 | R |
73 | 32.43% | 66.66% | R+34.2 | 30.38% | 66.96% | R+36.6 | R |
74 | 44.75% | 53.51% | R+8.8 | 32.44% | 62.91% | R+30.5 | R |
75 | 35.99% | 62.32% | R+26.3 | 23.49% | 73.77% | R+50.3 | R |
76 | 31.38% | 67.25% | R+35.9 | 24.03% | 73.21% | R+49.2 | R |
77 | 26.95% | 71.89% | R+44.9 | 19.93% | 77.87% | R+57.9 | R |
78 | 31.74% | 66.52% | R+34.8 | 24.60% | 71.32% | R+46.7 | R |
79 | 32.57% | 66.24% | R+33.7 | 25.73% | 71.87% | R+46.1 | R |
80 | 65.84% | 33.40% | D+32.4 | 59.47% | 38.32% | D+21.2 | D |
81 | 29.62% | 69.23% | R+39.6 | 24.73% | 72.28% | R+47.6 | R |
82 | 47.11% | 52.21% | R+5.1 | 39.75% | 58.51% | R+18.8 | D |
83 | 35.52% | 63.50% | R+28 | 42.62% | 53.17% | R+10.6 | R |
84 | 88.19% | 11.41% | D+76.8 | 87.27% | 10.83% | D+76.4 | D |
85 | 86.69% | 12.90% | D+73.8 | 86.70% | 11.57% | D+75.1 | D |
86 | 76.09% | 23.16% | D+52.9 | 72.98% | 24.31% | D+48.7 | D |
87 | 86.77% | 12.68% | D+74.1 | 86.66% | 11.18% | D+75.5 | D |
88 | 76.07% | 23.17% | D+52.9 | 75.43% | 21.94% | D+53.5 | D |
89 | 29.02% | 69.00% | R+40 | 30.19% | 63.68% | R+33.5 | R |
90 | 82.88% | 15.83% | D+67.1 | 82.77% | 13.27% | D+69.5 | D |
91 | 89.73% | 9.60% | D+80.1 | 86.97% | 10.77% | D+76.2 | D |
92 | 32.45% | 65.92% | R+33.5 | 23.60% | 73.36% | R+49.8 | R |
93 | 78.51% | 20.54% | D+58 | 76.41% | 20.35% | D+56.1 | D |
94 | 31.77% | 67.08% | R+35.3 | 26.34% | 71.15% | R+44.8 | R |
95 | 23.35% | 75.79% | R+52.4 | 28.51% | 67.82% | R+39.3 | R |
96 | 43.76% | 55.37% | R+11.6 | 50.57% | 45.95% | D+4.6 | D |
97 | 37.56% | 61.31% | R+23.8 | 41.60% | 54.17% | R+12.6 | R |
98 | 81.57% | 17.71% | D+63.9 | 80.24% | 17.34% | D+62.9 | D |
99 | 28.53% | 70.51% | R+42 | 29.33% | 67.14% | R+37.8 | R |
Total | 39.08% | 59.48% | R+20.4 | 34.91% | 61.06% | R+26.2 | - |
Source: Daily Kos |
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+20, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 20 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Tennessee's 7th Congressional District the 35th most Republican nationally.[3]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.06. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.06 points toward that party.[4]
Campaign finance
The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mark Green | Republican Party | $1,284,960 | $1,025,487 | $275,656 | As of December 31, 2020 |
Kiran Sreepada | Democratic Party | $206,644 | $207,191 | $0 | As of December 31, 2020 |
Ronald Brown | Independent | $1,750 | $0 | $9,006 | As of December 31, 2020 |
Scott Vieira | Independent | $655 | $1,049 | $-197 | As of October 14, 2020 |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
Race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[5]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[6][7][8]
Race ratings: Tennessee's 7th Congressional District election, 2020 | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
November 3, 2020 | October 27, 2020 | October 20, 2020 | October 13, 2020 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season. |
Candidate ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for 7th Congressional District candidates in Tennessee in the 2020 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Tennessee, click here.
Filing requirements, 2020 | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Signature formula | Filing fee | Filing fee formula | Filing deadline | Source |
Tennessee | 7th Congressional District | All candidates | 25 | Fixed number | N/A | N/A | 4/2/2020 | Source |
District election history
2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Tennessee District 7
Mark Green defeated Justin Kanew, Lenny Ladner, and Brent Legendre in the general election for U.S. House Tennessee District 7 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Mark Green (R) | 66.9 | 170,071 | |
Justin Kanew (D) | 32.1 | 81,661 | ||
Lenny Ladner (Independent) | 0.6 | 1,582 | ||
Brent Legendre (Independent) | 0.4 | 1,070 |
Total votes: 254,384 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Tennessee District 7
Justin Kanew defeated Matt Reel in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Tennessee District 7 on August 2, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Justin Kanew | 62.1 | 21,315 | |
Matt Reel | 37.9 | 13,006 |
Total votes: 34,321 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Tennessee District 7
Mark Green advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Tennessee District 7 on August 2, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Mark Green | 100.0 | 83,314 |
Total votes: 83,314 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Marsha Blackburn (R) defeated Tharon Chandler (D) and Leonard Ladner (Independent) in the general election on November 8, 2016. No candidate in the race faced a primary opponent in August.[9][10][11]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Marsha Blackburn Incumbent | 72.2% | 200,407 | |
Democratic | Tharon Chandler | 23.5% | 65,226 | |
Independent | Leonard Ladner | 4.3% | 11,880 | |
Total Votes | 277,513 | |||
Source: Tennessee Secretary of State |
2014
Incumbent Marsha Blackburn won re-election to the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. She defeated Dan Cramer and Lenny Ladner in the general election.
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Marsha Blackburn Incumbent | 70% | 110,498 | |
Democratic | Dan Cramer | 26.8% | 42,260 | |
Independent | Lenny Ladner | 3.2% | 5,092 | |
Total Votes | 157,850 | |||
Source: Tennessee Secretary of State Vote totals above are unofficial and will be updated once official totals are made available. |
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in Tennessee, 2020
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2020
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Tennessee Secretary of State, "Candidate Petitions Filed as of April 7, 2016 Noon Qualifying Deadline," accessed April 8, 2016
- ↑ Politico, "Tennessee House Primaries Results," August 4, 2016
- ↑ CNN, "Election Results," accessed November 8, 2016
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