United States Senate election in Montana, 2020
- Election date: Nov. 3
- Registration deadline(s): Nov. 3 (in person); Oct. 26 (by mail)
- Online registration: No
- Same-day registration: Yes
- Recount laws
- Early voting starts: Oct. 2
- Absentee/mail voting deadline(s): Nov. 3 (received)
- Processing, counting, and challenging absentee/mail-in ballots
- Voter ID: Non-photo ID
- Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m.
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U.S. Senate, Montana |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: March 9, 2020 |
Primary: June 2, 2020 General: November 3, 2020 Pre-election incumbent: Steve Daines (Republican) |
How to vote |
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in Montana |
Race ratings |
Inside Elections: Toss-up Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Republican |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • At-large Montana elections, 2020 U.S. Congress elections, 2020 U.S. Senate elections, 2020 U.S. House elections, 2020 |
Incumbent Steve Daines (R) defeated Steve Bullock (D) in the November 3, 2020, general election for United States Senate in Montana.
Daines was first elected in 2014 with 58% of the vote. Prior to his election, the seat had been held by a Democrat since 1913. In 2018, Jon Tester (D) won his Senate election in Montana 50% to 47%.
Bullock was first elected Governor of Montana in 2012 with 49% of the vote to his opponent's 47%. His margin increased in 2016 when he won 50% to 46%. That same year, Donald Trump (R) won Montana in the presidential election with 56% of the vote to Hillary Clinton's (D) 36%.
Both the National Republican Senatorial Committee and the Senate Majority PAC, a Democratic PAC, targeted the race.[1][2]
Independent race rating outlets expected the race to be competitive. The outcome of this race affected partisan control of the U.S. Senate. Thirty-five of 100 seats were up for election, including two special elections. At the time of the election, Republicans had a 53-45 majority over Democrats in the Senate. Independents who caucus with the Democrats held the two remaining seats. Republicans faced greater partisan risk in the election. They defended 23 seats while Democrats defended 12. Both parties had two incumbents representing states the opposite party's presidential nominee won in 2016.
This race was one of 89 congressional races that were decided by 10 percent or less in 2020.
For more information about the Democratic primary, click here.
For more information about the Republican primary, click here.
Election procedure changes in 2020
Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.
Montana modified its absentee/mail-in voting procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election as follows:
- Absentee/mail-in voting: Counties were authorized to conduct the general election entirely by mail.
For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. Senate Montana
Incumbent Steve Daines defeated Steve Bullock in the general election for U.S. Senate Montana on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Steve Daines (R) | 55.0 | 333,174 |
![]() | Steve Bullock (D) | 45.0 | 272,463 |
Total votes: 605,637 | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Montana
Steve Bullock defeated John Mues and Mike Knoles (Unofficially withdrew) in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Montana on June 2, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Steve Bullock | 95.5 | 144,949 |
John Mues | 2.5 | 3,740 | ||
![]() | Mike Knoles (Unofficially withdrew) ![]() | 2.1 | 3,165 |
Total votes: 151,854 | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Jack Ballard (D)
- Josh Seckinger (D)
- Wilmot Collins (D)
- Cora Neumann (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. Senate Montana
Incumbent Steve Daines defeated John B. Driscoll and Daniel Larson in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate Montana on June 2, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Steve Daines | 88.0 | 192,942 |
![]() | John B. Driscoll ![]() | 6.4 | 13,944 | |
Daniel Larson | 5.6 | 12,319 |
Total votes: 219,205 | ||||
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Watch the Candidate Conversation for this race!
Green primary election
Green primary for U.S. Senate Montana
Wendie Fredrickson defeated Dennis Daneke in the Green primary for U.S. Senate Montana on June 2, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Wendie Fredrickson | 66.4 | 504 |
Dennis Daneke | 33.6 | 255 |
Total votes: 759 | ||||
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Libertarian primary election
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Susan Good-Geise (L)
Candidate profiles
This section includes candidate profiles created in one of two ways. Either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey or Ballotpedia staff created a profile after identifying the candidate as noteworthy.[3] Ballotpedia staff compiled profiles based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: Yes
Political Office:
- U.S. Senate (Assumed office: 2015)
- U.S. House of Representatives (2013-2015)
Biography: Daines received a bachelor’s degree in chemical engineering from Montana State University. His professional experience included working in management at Procter & Gamble and RightNow Technologies, a start-up software business that went public in 2004.
Show sources
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Montana in 2020.
Party: Democratic Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office:
- Governor of Montana (Assumed office: 2013)
- Attorney General of Montana (2009-2013)
Biography: Bullock received a bachelor’s degree from Claremont McKenna College in 1988 and a law degree from Columbia University Law School. His professional experience included working as a lawyer for Montana’s secretary of state, for the state’s attorney general’s office, and in his own private practice.
Show sources
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Montana in 2020.
Polls
- See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
U.S. Senate election in Montana: General election polls | |||||||||||
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Poll | Date | ![]() |
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Other | Margin of error | Sample size | Sponsor | ||||
Montana State University Billings | Oct. 19-24 | 47% | 48% | 5% | ±4.2 | 546 | -- | ||||
Public Policy Polling | Oct. 26-27 | 47% | 48% | 6% | ±3.3 | 886 | Protect Our Care | ||||
The New York Times/Siena College | Oct. 18-20 | 49% | 46% | 6% | ±4.4 | 758 | -- | ||||
NBC Montana/Strategies 360 | Oct. 15-20 | 48% | 47% | 5% | ±4.4 | 500 | -- | ||||
RMG Research | Oct. 15-18 | 49% | 47% | 5% | ±3.5 | 800 | Political IQ |
Click [show] to see older poll results | |||||||||||
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Poll | Date | ![]() |
![]() |
Other | Margin of error | Sample size | Sponsor | ||||
Montana State University Bozeman | Sept. 14-Oct. 2 | 47% | 49% | 4% | ±3.9 | 1,615 | -- | ||||
Emerson College | Oct. 5-7 | 52% | 43% | 6% | ±4.3 | 500 | -- | ||||
The New York Times/Siena College | Sept. 14-16 | 45% | 44% | 7% | ±4.8 | 625 | -- | ||||
Emerson College | July 31-Aug. 2 | 50% | 44% | 6% | ±4.0 | 584 | -- | ||||
Spry Strategies | July 11-16 | 47% | 44% | 9% | ±3.7 | 700 | American Principles Project | ||||
Civiqs/Daily Kos | July 11-13 | 49% | 47% | 3% | ±4.2 | 873 | -- | ||||
Public Policy Polling | July 9-10 | 44% | 46% | 10% | ±2.8 | 1,224 | -- | ||||
University of Montana | June 17-26 | 43% | 47% | 10% | ±4.3 | 517 | -- |
Campaign finance
This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[4] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[5]
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
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Steve Daines | Republican Party | $33,324,451 | $34,075,789 | $107,783 | As of December 31, 2020 |
Steve Bullock | Democratic Party | $49,522,120 | $48,572,770 | $949,350 | As of December 31, 2020 |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
Race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[6]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[7][8][9]
Race ratings: U.S. Senate election in Montana, 2020 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
November 3, 2020 | October 27, 2020 | October 20, 2020 | October 13, 2020 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season. |
Noteworthy endorsements
This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. It also includes a bulleted list of links to official lists of endorsements for any candidates who published that information on their campaign websites. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please click here.
Noteworthy endorsements | ||||||
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Endorsement | Daines (R) | Bullock (D) | ||||
Newspapers and editorials | ||||||
Billings Gazette[10] | ✔ | |||||
Bozeman Daily Chronicle[11] | ✔ | |||||
Missoulian[12] | ✔ | |||||
Montana Standard[13] | ✔ | |||||
Elected officials | ||||||
President Donald Trump (R)[14] | ✔ | |||||
Individuals | ||||||
Former Montana Secretary of State Bob Brown (R)[15] | ✔ |
Timeline
2020
Campaign advertisements
This section shows advertisements released in this race. Ads released by campaigns and, if applicable, satellite groups are embedded or linked below. If you are aware of advertisements that should be included, please email us.
Steve Daines
Supporting Daines
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Opposing Bullock
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Steve Bullock
Supporting Bullock
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- "In Montana, we get real things done by working together..." - Bullock campaign ad, released October 9, 2020
- "Main Street" - Bullock campaign ad, released September 10, 2020
Opposing Daines
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- "Countdown to Election Day: FIVE days to go..." - Bullock campaign ad, released October 29, 2020
- "Steve Daines voted five times to gut protections for Montanans with pre-existing conditions..." - Bullock campaign ad, released October 20, 2020
- "My son Cam is here today because we had access to quality healthcare..." - Bullock campaign ad, released October 13, 2020
- "As Marsha would say..." - Bullock campaign ad, released October 6, 2020
- "Replace" - Bullock campaign ad, released September 28, 2020
- "Montanans deserve better" - Bullock campaign ad, released September 15, 2020
- "Thank You" - Bullock campaign ad, released September 13, 2020
- "True To His Word" - Bullock campaign ad, released September 10, 2020
Satellite group ads
Click "show" to the right to see satellite group ads. | |||||||||||||
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Opposing Daines
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Campaign themes
- See also: Campaign themes
Steve Daines
Daine’s campaign website stated the following:
“ |
Steve Daines is a fifth generation Montanan, a lifelong sportsman, a father of four, and Cindy’s husband, serving the people of Montana in the U.S. Senate. Steve is committed to putting Montana first as he works to bring real change to Washington and fights for common sense solutions. A fifth-generation Montanan, Steve was elected to serve the people of Montana in the United States House of Representatives on November 6, 2012. Two years later, Steve was elected to serve the people of Montana in the United States Senate on November 4th, 2014. As a United States Senator, Steve is fighting to create jobs, secure our borders, cut government spending, and protect our Second Amendment rights. Steve Daines for U.S. Senate Steve’s Montana journey dates back to his great-great-grandmother Karine Dyrud, who immigrated from Norway in 1869. As a widow and mother of seven children, she moved westward from Minnesota and homesteaded on the northern plains of Montana 23 miles east of Conrad. She is buried in a small Montana country cemetery near the Golden West Lutheran Church and her tombstone sums up her life in three short words — “Saved by Grace”. Six generations later, this legacy of faith, freedom, and opportunity still exists in Steve’s family. Steve’s mom and dad grew up in Billings. His dad graduated from Billings Senior High School and enlisted in the Marines. He later graduated from The University of Montana with a degree in Business. In 1964, Steve’s parents moved to Bozeman. With three children at home under the age of ten and virtually no money in their pockets, Steve’s parents started a home construction business in Bozeman. Steve attended public schools in Bozeman from kindergarten through high school and during his senior year at Bozeman High, Steve was elected Student Body President. Through scholarships and summer jobs working construction, Steve put himself through college at Montana State University. He graduated with Highest Honors earning a B.S. Degree in Chemical Engineering and, after graduation, left Montana to work for Procter & Gamble. Steve’s thirteen-year management career at P&G was split between work in the United States and international assignments. Steve Daines for U.S. Senate In 1997, Steve and his wife Cindy moved the family back to Montana. Steve left P&G and returned home to Bozeman, joining his mom and dad in the family construction business. In 2000, Steve joined RightNow Technologies, a small start-up business founded and headquartered in Bozeman. His first assignment was VP of Customer Service, and also served in various executive capacities including VP Asia-Pacific. The company experienced rapid growth and in 2004, became a publicly traded software company. RightNow employed over 1000 people and was one of the largest employers in Bozeman, and later acquired by Oracle. Steve and Cindy have been married 33 years, and have four children. They enjoy backpacking, hunting, skiing, and fishing. [26] |
” |
—Steve Daines’ campaign website (2020)[27] |
Steve Bullock
Bullock’s campaign website stated the following:
“ |
From protecting our health care to strengthening our economy, Steve Bullock is running for Senate to make Washington work more like Montana. In the Senate, he’ll bring people together to do what’s right for Montana — because that’s what he’s always done. HEALTHCARE IMPROVING ACCESS INCREASING AFFORDABILITY EXPANDING RURAL CARE STRENGTHENING MEDICARE ADDRESSING THE OPIOID EPIDEMIC A RECORD OF ACCOMPLISHMENT ON HEALTHCARE Steve made record investments in Montana’s mental health system, expanding crisis intervention and treatment, doubling the number of Medicaid substance use treatment providers, and investing in suicide prevention efforts for veterans, Native Americans, and youth. He pushed insurance companies to cover mental health and substance use treatment the same way they do physical health, and established Project ECHO to dramatically increase access to integrated behavioral healthcare in rural areas. Steve fought for increases in the state’s support for Native American health services, and protected reproductive health services from being used as a political football by ending the constant battle over its funding at the state level. EDUCATION SUCCESS STARTS IN SCHOOLS SUPPORTING EDUCATORS COLLEGE AFFORDABILITY ENCOURAGING WORKFORCE TRAINING ACCOMPLISHMENTS VETERANS PROTECTING VETERANS’ HEALTHCARE Ensuring quality care means making sure the VA is adequately staffed by well-trained professionals. Steve will support policies like loan forgiveness for doctors, nurses, and support staff who work for the VA to ensure clinics attract the medical professionals needed to provide the best level of care. Even a single veteran suicide is unacceptable, and sadly, we have seen too many of our bravest gone too soon. As Governor, Steve has worked to break down barriers between veterans and critical mental health services. In the Senate, he will work relentlessly to make sure every Montana veteran can access mental health care so that those who followed the call to serve never find themselves with nowhere left to turn. OPPORTUNITIES FOR VETERANS ACCOMPLISHMENTS He has made sure that job training and licensing from the military carry over to the private sector, and he doubled the amount of money available to assist veterans who are first-time home buyers. Steve Bullock invested in Montana suicide prevention efforts for veterans and opened up opportunities for Montanans who served to access mental health counseling. As our Senator, Steve will work to make federal policy reflect Montana’s values of honoring and caring for our men and women who wore the uniform. RURAL MONTANA AGRICULTURE Farmers and ranchers already face enough uncertainty as it is. That’s why we must implement policies that make sure Montana producers can get our state’s top-notch products to market. In the Senate, Steve will fight for fair trade deals that open access to markets, support expanding disaster aid to fill the gaps that crop insurance and Farm Bill funding don’t address, and take action on harmful consolidation in the agricultural industry. Steve will support programs to create more opportunity for farmers and ranchers just getting started, like low-interest loans and student loan assistance for Montanans going into agriculture. RURAL HEALTHCARE When some rural healthcare providers across the state were facing tough choices and wondering if they could keep serving their communities into the future, Steve worked with Republicans and Democrats in the legislature to pass Medicaid expansion – twice. This expanded coverage to more than 90,000 Montanans and made sure rural hospitals could keep their doors open and their communities healthy. RURAL BROADBAND ACCOMPLISHMENTS Steve fought to expand Medicaid, expanding health coverage to more than 90,000 Montanans and keeping rural hospitals open in communities all across the state. He supported successful initiatives to increase bandwidth in rural schools, making sure kids in smaller districts don’t fall behind their peers. As a result, today nearly 100% of Montana’s K-12 schools meet national standards for broadband connectivity. EQUALITY FOR ALL EQUALITY FOR LGBTQ MONTANANS RESPECTING MONTANA’S NATIVE PEOPLES ADDRESSING GENDER DISCRIMINATION JUSTICE FOR ALL INCLUSION FOR MONTANANS WITH DISABILITIES ACCOMPLISHMENTS PROTECTING WOMEN’S HEALTH AND RIGHTS EQUALITY IN HEALTHCARE FAIRNESS IN THE WORKPLACE REPRODUCTIVE FREEDOM SUPPORTING FAMILIES OVERCOMING DOMESTIC VIOLENCE ACCOMPLISHMENTS PUBLIC LANDS As Governor, Steve has fought tirelessly to protect and expand public access, and he’ll continue that fight every day in the Senate. KEEPING PUBLIC LANDS IN PUBLIC HANDS ACCOMPLISHMENTS As Governor, Steve vetoed bills that threatened Montana’s public lands. He restored funding for the Habitat Montana program and went to court to defend conservation easements, which created new opportunities for access. As a member of the state’s Land Board, Steve used his office to open up tens of thousands of acres for recreation in Montana and create new fishing access sites, while managing state trust lands responsibly to ensure that our schools received the funding they needed. Steve created Montana’s Office of Outdoor Recreation to support the businesses that rely on public lands and the jobs they create. And as fire seasons have become longer and more intense in recent years, Steve created the Fire Suppression Fund to ensure Montana has adequate resources to address this threat. In the Senate, he will represent our state’s outdoor heritage and make sure Montana stays the last best place for hunting, fishing, and outdoor recreation. CAMPAIGN FINANCE REFORM We have serious challenges to tackle as a nation, but Washington has been so thoroughly corrupted by big money that hardly anything gets done. Washington, D.C. politicians hand out huge tax breaks to millionaires, while average Montanans get ignored and left behind. Out of state special interests pour unaccountable dark money into our elections and politicians stand aside and let it happen. As Americans, we pay more for health care than folks in other countries with little to show for it, thanks to the millions of dollars that Big Pharma and other corporations spend to influence our government. But we can change all of this. With Steve Bullock in the Senate, we can make Washington work for us–not for millionaires, not for special interests, but for Montana. We must make companies disclose every dollar they spend to influence our elections if they want to do business with the federal government. By passing the federal DISCLOSE Act, we can force secretive donors out into the open. And we can build the momentum we need to finally overturn the Supreme Court’s disastrous Citizens United decision and ban unlimited, unaccountable spending in our elections. ACCOMPLISHMENTS ECONOMY AND JOBS APPRENTICESHIPS AND JOB TRAINING That’s why Steve expanded apprenticeships in Montana by more than 67%, and created tax incentives for businesses to hire apprentices – and doubled that tax credit for hiring veterans. In the Senate, he’ll push to expand apprenticeship programs. MAIN STREET MONTANA Steve has made small business growth a focus of his administration, creating the Main Street Montana project to connect the public sector, private sector, and education community, and encouraging entrepreneurship and new business development by cutting red tape and lowering taxes on businesses. By building on initiatives like these and improving small businesses’ access to credit, Steve will continue this work in the Senate to advance job creation and ensure Main Street’s success. TAX RELIEF FOR MONTANA FAMILIES ACCOMPLISHMENTS Steve encouraged business growth and new business development by eliminating business equipment taxes for all small businesses in Montana, and creating tax incentives for high-tech businesses to open up shop in Montana. NATIVE AMERICANS SUPPORTING FAMILIES AND COMMUNITIES NATURAL HERITAGE PROTECTING VOTING RIGHTS NATIVE AMERICAN VETERANS MISSING AND MURDERED INDIGENOUS PEOPLE ACCOMPLISHMENTS INFRASTRUCTURE REPAIRING EXISTING INFRASTRUCTURE To keep our state and our economy connected and competitive, we need to support travel infrastructure that links Montana to the nation. Steve will support infrastructure investments to upgrade and expand airports, and will protect essential air service to keep Montana’s rural communities connected. FOSTERING COMMUNITY DEVELOPMENT Giving every American access to clean water means increasing investments in local water systems, replacing lead service lines, fixing aging irrigation systems, and upgrading wastewater systems. We must provide funding for construction of schools, hospitals, and affordable housing, especially in rural areas, to make sure everyone has the ability to live, work, and raise their family in the communities they love. As Senator, Steve will fight for infrastructure funding that includes the things that matter to Montana communities. ACCOMPLISHMENTS CLIMATE AND ENVIRONMENT INVESTING IN CLEAN ENERGY Boosting investment in training and credentialing programs for workers can help grow the economies of communities undergoing transition. By working directly with farmers and ranchers–who are seeing the impacts of climate change on their own livelihoods–we can develop next-generation biofuels, improve soil health through better use of carbon-reducing cover crops, and restore forests and wetlands. INVESTING IN THE FUTURE ACCOMPLISHMENTS |
” |
—Steve Bullock’s campaign website (2020)[28] |
Pivot Counties
- See also: Pivot Counties by state
Three of 56 Montana counties—5.4 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.
Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008 | |||||||
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County | Trump margin of victory in 2016 | Obama margin of victory in 2012 | Obama margin of victory in 2008 | ||||
Blaine County, Montana | 2.46% | 15.32% | 19.24% | ||||
Hill County, Montana | 17.18% | 3.50% | 12.21% | ||||
Roosevelt County, Montana | 6.49% | 15.58% | 26.27% |
In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won Montana with 56.2 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 35.7 percent. In presidential elections between 1892 and 2016, Montana voted Republican 65.6 percent of the time and Democratic 34.4 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, Montana voted Republican all five times.[29]
Presidential results by legislative district
The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Montana. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[30][31]
In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 34 out of 100 state House districts in Montana with an average margin of victory of 17.6 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 28 out of 100 state House districts in Montana with an average margin of victory of 17.2 points. Clinton won one district controlled by a Republican heading into the 2018 elections. |
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 66 out of 100 state House districts in Montana with an average margin of victory of 28.2 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 72 out of 100 state House districts in Montana with an average margin of victory of 34.7 points. Trump won 14 districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections. |
2016 presidential results by state House district | |||||||
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District | Obama | Romney | 2012 Margin | Clinton | Trump | 2016 Margin | Party Control |
1 | 31.49% | 65.40% | R+33.9 | 24.56% | 69.61% | R+45 | R |
2 | 26.19% | 70.62% | R+44.4 | 19.77% | 74.94% | R+55.2 | R |
3 | 35.65% | 60.43% | R+24.8 | 30.90% | 61.30% | R+30.4 | D |
4 | 24.98% | 72.60% | R+47.6 | 20.50% | 73.71% | R+53.2 | R |
5 | 49.18% | 47.36% | D+1.8 | 48.70% | 43.57% | D+5.1 | D |
6 | 29.95% | 67.81% | R+37.9 | 28.87% | 65.58% | R+36.7 | R |
7 | 40.61% | 55.52% | R+14.9 | 34.89% | 56.46% | R+21.6 | R |
8 | 28.89% | 68.40% | R+39.5 | 25.31% | 68.36% | R+43 | R |
9 | 27.76% | 69.09% | R+41.3 | 23.24% | 70.16% | R+46.9 | R |
10 | 28.59% | 69.10% | R+40.5 | 26.23% | 69.31% | R+43.1 | R |
11 | 25.25% | 72.18% | R+46.9 | 21.87% | 72.64% | R+50.8 | R |
12 | 42.13% | 55.16% | R+13 | 36.12% | 58.17% | R+22 | R |
13 | 26.14% | 70.71% | R+44.6 | 18.54% | 76.04% | R+57.5 | R |
14 | 32.60% | 63.22% | R+30.6 | 24.35% | 67.81% | R+43.5 | R |
15 | 58.01% | 39.28% | D+18.7 | 55.71% | 37.44% | D+18.3 | D |
16 | 71.07% | 26.84% | D+44.2 | 65.23% | 28.59% | D+36.6 | D |
17 | 30.65% | 66.42% | R+35.8 | 22.87% | 70.58% | R+47.7 | R |
18 | 29.49% | 66.80% | R+37.3 | 21.44% | 71.56% | R+50.1 | R |
19 | 34.08% | 63.36% | R+29.3 | 25.01% | 68.81% | R+43.8 | R |
20 | 36.11% | 62.06% | R+25.9 | 32.46% | 62.16% | R+29.7 | R |
21 | 46.91% | 50.23% | R+3.3 | 36.35% | 56.76% | R+20.4 | D |
22 | 47.47% | 48.93% | R+1.5 | 36.16% | 54.87% | R+18.7 | R |
23 | 49.89% | 47.11% | D+2.8 | 42.34% | 49.63% | R+7.3 | D |
24 | 47.86% | 49.59% | R+1.7 | 40.35% | 51.07% | R+10.7 | D |
25 | 50.16% | 46.46% | D+3.7 | 39.34% | 52.01% | R+12.7 | R |
26 | 47.24% | 49.05% | R+1.8 | 38.78% | 51.69% | R+12.9 | D |
27 | 31.45% | 65.37% | R+33.9 | 24.74% | 68.78% | R+44 | R |
28 | 48.35% | 47.62% | D+0.7 | 35.81% | 54.70% | R+18.9 | D |
29 | 27.54% | 69.57% | R+42 | 20.97% | 72.91% | R+51.9 | R |
30 | 26.49% | 70.76% | R+44.3 | 18.35% | 74.80% | R+56.5 | R |
31 | 62.74% | 35.08% | D+27.7 | 49.74% | 41.79% | D+7.9 | D |
32 | 62.84% | 35.17% | D+27.7 | 51.75% | 41.33% | D+10.4 | D |
33 | 31.92% | 64.62% | R+32.7 | 20.69% | 71.73% | R+51 | R |
34 | 30.36% | 66.63% | R+36.3 | 20.38% | 73.24% | R+52.9 | R |
35 | 21.57% | 75.57% | R+54 | 13.84% | 80.63% | R+66.8 | R |
36 | 26.51% | 69.46% | R+42.9 | 17.30% | 77.71% | R+60.4 | R |
37 | 17.49% | 79.95% | R+62.5 | 11.75% | 84.38% | R+72.6 | R |
38 | 37.31% | 59.77% | R+22.5 | 24.89% | 67.53% | R+42.6 | R |
39 | 27.29% | 69.23% | R+41.9 | 15.87% | 78.77% | R+62.9 | R |
40 | 22.65% | 73.92% | R+51.3 | 16.45% | 78.01% | R+61.6 | R |
41 | 54.68% | 43.62% | D+11.1 | 42.37% | 52.19% | R+9.8 | D |
42 | 58.60% | 39.41% | D+19.2 | 47.51% | 45.39% | D+2.1 | D |
43 | 35.34% | 61.61% | R+26.3 | 26.74% | 65.15% | R+38.4 | R |
44 | 37.95% | 59.42% | R+21.5 | 30.87% | 59.71% | R+28.8 | R |
45 | 33.16% | 64.67% | R+31.5 | 29.98% | 61.13% | R+31.2 | R |
46 | 35.28% | 63.06% | R+27.8 | 36.58% | 57.00% | R+20.4 | R |
47 | 48.01% | 48.86% | R+0.8 | 47.76% | 44.03% | D+3.7 | D |
48 | 46.60% | 50.72% | R+4.1 | 43.66% | 47.69% | R+4 | D |
49 | 51.94% | 43.75% | D+8.2 | 44.93% | 43.99% | D+0.9 | D |
50 | 46.96% | 49.13% | R+2.2 | 38.01% | 51.03% | R+13 | D |
51 | 43.83% | 53.14% | R+9.3 | 35.99% | 54.64% | R+18.6 | R |
52 | 45.95% | 50.47% | R+4.5 | 36.84% | 54.25% | R+17.4 | R |
53 | 26.88% | 71.64% | R+44.8 | 24.59% | 69.45% | R+44.9 | R |
54 | 34.72% | 63.36% | R+28.6 | 31.02% | 61.86% | R+30.8 | R |
55 | 38.15% | 58.52% | R+20.4 | 26.81% | 65.43% | R+38.6 | R |
56 | 36.68% | 60.59% | R+23.9 | 26.13% | 67.22% | R+41.1 | R |
57 | 26.02% | 71.51% | R+45.5 | 18.26% | 75.81% | R+57.5 | R |
58 | 36.71% | 60.43% | R+23.7 | 30.64% | 62.81% | R+32.2 | R |
59 | 31.67% | 65.41% | R+33.7 | 30.10% | 63.92% | R+33.8 | R |
60 | 49.22% | 47.75% | D+1.5 | 42.90% | 48.10% | R+5.2 | D |
61 | 52.13% | 45.30% | D+6.8 | 55.16% | 37.34% | D+17.8 | D |
62 | 57.33% | 39.68% | D+17.7 | 62.26% | 28.33% | D+33.9 | D |
63 | 55.23% | 40.35% | D+14.9 | 49.37% | 36.73% | D+12.6 | D |
64 | 40.23% | 56.95% | R+16.7 | 38.79% | 52.50% | R+13.7 | R |
65 | 51.99% | 44.48% | D+7.5 | 52.43% | 36.25% | D+16.2 | R |
66 | 59.07% | 37.20% | D+21.9 | 60.50% | 27.72% | D+32.8 | D |
67 | 36.06% | 60.39% | R+24.3 | 31.16% | 58.18% | R+27 | R |
68 | 29.86% | 66.53% | R+36.7 | 26.12% | 64.60% | R+38.5 | R |
69 | 27.48% | 69.83% | R+42.3 | 23.90% | 68.84% | R+44.9 | R |
70 | 29.72% | 67.70% | R+38 | 23.68% | 69.44% | R+45.8 | R |
71 | 30.43% | 67.06% | R+36.6 | 25.87% | 68.31% | R+42.4 | R |
72 | 30.12% | 66.71% | R+36.6 | 24.63% | 68.26% | R+43.6 | R |
73 | 67.29% | 29.51% | D+37.8 | 51.69% | 39.47% | D+12.2 | D |
74 | 67.84% | 28.48% | D+39.4 | 54.64% | 35.06% | D+19.6 | D |
75 | 36.01% | 61.13% | R+25.1 | 31.30% | 60.96% | R+29.7 | R |
76 | 62.60% | 35.45% | D+27.1 | 54.57% | 37.65% | D+16.9 | D |
77 | 54.71% | 41.78% | D+12.9 | 42.42% | 49.42% | R+7 | D |
78 | 49.90% | 46.76% | D+3.1 | 34.39% | 56.64% | R+22.3 | D |
79 | 52.38% | 45.20% | D+7.2 | 51.09% | 40.64% | D+10.5 | D |
80 | 29.81% | 67.67% | R+37.9 | 23.46% | 70.02% | R+46.6 | R |
81 | 53.84% | 43.72% | D+10.1 | 46.71% | 44.07% | D+2.6 | D |
82 | 50.97% | 46.39% | D+4.6 | 46.83% | 44.43% | D+2.4 | D |
83 | 51.40% | 45.43% | D+6 | 48.20% | 43.23% | D+5 | D |
84 | 47.66% | 49.40% | R+1.7 | 43.56% | 46.97% | R+3.4 | D |
85 | 28.10% | 69.34% | R+41.2 | 23.44% | 71.16% | R+47.7 | R |
86 | 38.39% | 58.67% | R+20.3 | 33.89% | 59.62% | R+25.7 | R |
87 | 28.26% | 68.87% | R+40.6 | 24.22% | 70.13% | R+45.9 | R |
88 | 36.82% | 60.50% | R+23.7 | 30.21% | 63.77% | R+33.6 | R |
89 | 55.35% | 42.16% | D+13.2 | 53.30% | 37.59% | D+15.7 | D |
90 | 62.36% | 35.39% | D+27 | 60.12% | 31.87% | D+28.3 | D |
91 | 74.07% | 23.34% | D+50.7 | 74.47% | 17.31% | D+57.2 | D |
92 | 44.75% | 51.56% | R+6.8 | 35.48% | 55.99% | R+20.5 | R |
93 | 45.74% | 51.67% | R+5.9 | 36.57% | 57.09% | R+20.5 | D |
94 | 52.31% | 44.47% | D+7.8 | 47.39% | 44.39% | D+3 | D |
95 | 67.27% | 28.91% | D+38.4 | 63.09% | 24.62% | D+38.5 | D |
96 | 45.17% | 51.93% | R+6.8 | 40.48% | 51.14% | R+10.7 | R |
97 | 42.65% | 54.90% | R+12.3 | 38.02% | 54.75% | R+16.7 | R |
98 | 55.62% | 40.95% | D+14.7 | 48.67% | 42.15% | D+6.5 | D |
99 | 53.76% | 43.36% | D+10.4 | 51.66% | 39.94% | D+11.7 | D |
100 | 74.33% | 22.27% | D+52.1 | 71.30% | 18.23% | D+53.1 | D |
Total | 41.71% | 55.36% | R+13.7 | 35.94% | 56.47% | R+20.5 | - |
Source: Daily Kos |
Ballot access requirements
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. Senate candidates in Montana in the 2020 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Montana, click here.
Filing requirements for U.S. Senate candidates, 2020 | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Signature formula | Filing fee | Filing fee formula | Filing deadline | Source |
Montana | U.S. Senate | Qualified party | N/A | N/A | $1,740.00 | 1% of annual salary | 3/9/2020 | Source |
Montana | U.S. Senate | Unaffiliated | 12,694 | 5% of total votes cast for successful candidate in the last general election | $1,740.00 | 1% of annual salary | 6/1/2020 | Source |
Election history
2018
General election
General election for U.S. Senate Montana
Incumbent Jon Tester defeated Matt Rosendale and Rick Breckenridge in the general election for U.S. Senate Montana on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Jon Tester (D) | 50.3 | 253,876 |
![]() | Matt Rosendale (R) | 46.8 | 235,963 | |
![]() | Rick Breckenridge (L) | 2.9 | 14,545 |
Total votes: 504,384 (100.00% precincts reporting) | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Steve Kelly (G)
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Montana
Incumbent Jon Tester advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Montana on June 5, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Jon Tester | 100.0 | 114,948 |
Total votes: 114,948 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Sarah Dean (D)
- Greg Strandberg (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. Senate Montana
Matt Rosendale defeated Russell C. Fagg, Troy Downing, and Albert Olszewski in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate Montana on June 5, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Matt Rosendale | 33.8 | 51,859 |
![]() | Russell C. Fagg | 28.3 | 43,465 | |
![]() | Troy Downing | 19.1 | 29,341 | |
![]() | Albert Olszewski | 18.7 | 28,681 |
Total votes: 153,346 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Ron Murray (R)
- Scott Roy McLean (R)
- James Dean (R)
Green primary election
Green primary for U.S. Senate Montana
Steve Kelly defeated Timothy Adams in the Green primary for U.S. Senate Montana on June 5, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Steve Kelly | 61.2 | 971 |
Timothy Adams | 38.8 | 615 |
Total votes: 1,586 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Thomas Breck (G)
2014
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
57.8% | 213,709 | |
Democratic | Amanda Curtis | 40.1% | 148,184 | |
Libertarian | Roger Roots | 2.1% | 7,933 | |
Total Votes | 369,826 | |||
Source: Montana Secretary of State |
2012
State profile
- See also: Montana and Montana elections, 2020
Partisan data
The information in this section was current as of April 30, 2020.
Presidential voting pattern
- Montana voted Republican in all seven presidential elections between 2000 and 2024.
Congressional delegation
- Following the 2018 elections, one U.S. senator from Montana was a Democrat and the other was a Republican.
- Montana's sole U.S. representative was a Republican.
State executives
- Republicans held four of Montana's 10 state executive offices, and Democrats controlled two. The other four offices were nonpartisan.
- Montana's governor was Democrat Steve Bullock.
State legislature
- Republicans controlled the Montana State Senate with a 30-20 majority.
- Republicans controlled the Montana House of Representatives with a 57-42 majority.
Montana Party Control: 1992-2025
No Democratic trifectas • Fifteen years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R |
Senate | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
House | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | S | S | R | R | S | S | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
|
|
Demographic data for Montana | ||
---|---|---|
Montana | U.S. | |
Total population: | 1,032,073 | 316,515,021 |
Land area (sq mi): | 145,546 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White: | 89.2% | 73.6% |
Black/African American: | 0.5% | 12.6% |
Asian: | 0.7% | 5.1% |
Native American: | 6.5% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander: | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Two or more: | 2.5% | 3% |
Hispanic/Latino: | 3.3% | 17.1% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate: | 92.8% | 86.7% |
College graduation rate: | 29.5% | 29.8% |
Income | ||
Median household income: | $47,169 | $53,889 |
Persons below poverty level: | 17% | 11.3% |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Montana. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in Montana, 2020
- United States Senate elections, 2020
Footnotes
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "NRSC," accessed September 16, 2020
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "SMP," accessed September 16, 2020
- ↑ Candidate Connection surveys completed before September 26, 2019, were not used to generate candidate profiles. In battleground primaries, Ballotpedia based its selection of noteworthy candidates on polling, fundraising, and noteworthy endorsements. In battleground general elections, all major party candidates and any other candidates with the potential to impact the outcome of the race were included.
- ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ 10.0 10.1 Billings Gazette, "Gazette endorsement: For U.S. Senate, Steve Bullock," October 25, 2020
- ↑ 11.0 11.1 Bozeman Daily Chronicle, "Bullock our best bet at changing Congress," October 5, 2020
- ↑ 12.0 12.1 Missoulian, "Montanans should send Governor Bullock to the Senate," October 25, 2020
- ↑ 13.0 13.1 Montana Standard, "Standard endorsement: For Senate, we recommend Steve Bullock," October 25, 2020
- ↑ Facebook, "Steve Daines on February 28, 2020," accessed September 17, 2020
- ↑ 15.0 15.1 Twitter, "Steve Bullock on October 9, 2020
- ↑ Montana State University Billings, "Mountain States Poll," October 28, 2020
- ↑ Protect Our Care, "Health Care a Key Issue for Montana; Voters Trust Bullock Over Daines to Protect Their Health Care," October 27, 2020
- ↑ The New York Times, "MT101820 Crosstabs," October 25, 2020
- ↑ NBC Montana, "20-700 - Montana Elections Survey - Toplines," October 22, 2020
- ↑ PoliticalIQ, "Montana Senate Race: Daines (R ) 49% Bullock (D) 47%," October 19, 2020
- ↑ Montana State University Bozeman, "TREASURE STATE 2020 POLL RESULTS: THE MONTANA U.S. SENATE RACE ," October 14, 2020
- ↑ Emerson College, "Montana 2020: Republicans Hold Advantages in Presidential, US Senate and Governor Races," October 7, 2020
- ↑ The New York Times/Siena College Research Institute, "MT0920 Crosstabs," September 20, 2020
- ↑ Emerson College, "Montana 2020: Trump Holds Strong as Biden Coalesces Support," August 3, 2020
- ↑ Cite error: Invalid
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- ↑ 26.0 26.1 Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributable to the original source.
- ↑ Steve Daines' campaign website, “Meet Steve Daines,” accessed September 17, 2020
- ↑ Steve Bullock’s campaign website, “On the Issues,” accessed September 17, 2020
- ↑ 270towin.com, "Montana," accessed June 29, 2017
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
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