肺炎ã«ã‚ˆã‚‹æ»äº¡æ•°ã®èª¤å·®ã®ç¯„囲を検証ã™ã‚‹ - QiitaCovid19ã®æ»äº¡è€…ãŒè‚ºç‚Žã§ã‚«ã‚¦ãƒ³ãƒˆã•ã‚Œã¦ã„ãŸå ´åˆã«ã€ã©ã®ç¨‹åº¦ã‹ã‚‰èª¤å·®ã¨è¨€ãˆãªããªã‚‹ã‹ã«ã¤ã„ã¦ã‚ãŸã‚Šã‚’ã¤ã‘る。ã‚ãらã‹ã«å£ç¯€å¤‰å‹•ã¨ãƒˆãƒ¬ãƒ³ãƒ‰ãŒã‚ã‚‹ãŸã‚ã€ãã‚Œãžã‚Œã‚’å–り除ã„ãŸæ®‹å·®ã®ãƒãƒ©ãƒ„ã‚ã§è¦‹ã‚‹ã€‚ æ™‚ç³»åˆ—è§£æž ãƒ‡ãƒ¼ã‚¿ã¯äººå£å‹•æ…‹çµ±è¨ˆã‹ã‚‰ã€‚2,015年〜2,018å¹´ã®æ»äº¡è€…数月別推移をé‡ãã¦ç¢ºèªã™ã‚‹ã€‚ 縦軸ã¯æ»äº¡è€…æ•°ã§ã€æ¨ªè»¸ã¯æœˆã€‚ å自己相関を見るã¾ã§ã‚‚ãªãã€12ヶ月周期。年毎ã«ã€å…¨ä½“ãŒä¸ŠãŒã£ã¦ã„ãトレンドãŒè¦‹ã‚‰ã‚Œã‚‹ã€‚ 今回ã¯ã€è‚ºç‚Žã«ã‚ˆã‚‹æ»è€…を全体ã®9%(投稿最後ã®è³‡æ–™ã‹ã‚‰)ã¨ã¨ã—ã¦ã€åŠ 法モデルã§ã€ãƒˆãƒ¬ãƒ³ãƒ‰ã€å£ç¯€å¤‰å‹•ã€æ®‹å·®ã«åˆ†è§£ã™ã‚‹ã€‚StatsModelsã®seasonal_decomposeã‚’åŠ æ³•ãƒ¢ãƒ‡ãƒ«ã§ä½¿ã†(移動平å‡ã‚’ç¹°ã‚Šè¿”ã—ã¦å£ç¯€å¤‰å‹•ã‚’計算ã—ã¦ã„ã‚‹ã€ã¯ãš) Y[t] = T[t] + S[t] + e[t] TãŒãƒˆãƒ¬ãƒ³ãƒ‰ã€SãŒå£ç¯€å¤‰å‹•ã€eãŒæ®‹å·® import statsmodels.api
GitHub - AlDanial/cloc: cloc counts blank lines, comment lines, and physical lines of source code in many programming languages.
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