* Posts by Jellied Eel

6909 publicly visible posts • joined 18 Aug 2008

Radioactive hybrid terror pigs have made themselves a home in Fukushima's exclusion zone

Jellied Eel Silver badge

Re: Domestic cross breeding is the real problem

- Climate change, operating on two levels: it promotes the demographic vitality of wild boars via the abundance of the acorn, which has a direct impact on reproduction; it reduces winter and spring mortality.

Bah humbug. Sure, CO2 fertilisation is beneficial to wildlife given it increases crop yields. But boars are far less sensitive to the teeny amounts of global warming than the average Bbc or Grauniad writer/reader. But by the same reckoning, it also reduces winter & spring mortality amongst humans, because cold tends to lead to more excess deaths than warmth.

Biggest impact is lack of predation and anti-hunters. But boars are a pest in Europe and the US, causing much damage to crops, wildlife, and the occasional human who discovers that boar tusks vs femoral arteries is bad.

Jellied Eel Silver badge

I have no idea what the geology of Japan is like, or whether they have radioactive granite.

Curiously, Fukushima used to bottle and sell it's radioactive water as a health tonic. AFAIK the mineral spring is still there, and still producing radioactive water for local wildlife to drink. A minor detail that gets glossed over when rad-fudders hype up the 'deadly' radiation from the nuclear plants, and ignore the natural background stuff.

Battery recycling boosted by dentist-style ultrasonics, if manufacturers can cooperate

Jellied Eel Silver badge

Re: This is news

That seems to be the real challenge, ie the push to recycle is one thing, but whether there's a market for the recyled stuff. So cost vs using 'virgin' materials. That seems to be a problem with paper waste, ie there's a limited market for it, and recycling yards have a habit of catching fire. Then again, I've also seen council laying block paving using crushed glass as a base layer.

I don't know how current recycling schemes work, other than there appear to be some problems. I guess one way with vehicles is maybe to have a recycling liability. So manufacturers know what goes into producing a car. That kind of creates a scrap liability. Then I once had to get a certificate of destruction for a car. So I guess that could be linked to the liability, and the scrap value reduces it.

That would incentivise manufactures, but I get the feeling it'd end up 'orribly complicated to track a car from delivery to destruction and transformation into a pile of ingots. But I think it'd incentivise producers to work with the recycling industry to balance the books.

And in other news, my favorite mad chemist demonstrates how to recover cadmium from a NiCad battery. Pretty colors, but shows some of the challenges involved-

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D8g7qy4SSDA

And it also looks like Tesla's got their autonomous self-driving working on it's newest Plaid-

https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2021/07/01/brand-new-tesla-model-s-plaid-drives-up-hill-while-ablaze-just-weeks-after-model-with-new-battery-went-on-market/

Which is a bit curious. Presumably the driver made a swift and fortunate exit, but why the car kept going uphill. I'd have thought temperature sensors showing an oopsie, plus absence of driver would've made the vehicle stop and shut down.

Jellied Eel Silver badge

Is that a process for stripping every last fragment of flesh from bones?

I think it's more to do with getting a patent. Descibing it as a method to utilise ultrasound to remove stuff from surfaces wouldn't exactly be novel. Royalties are at stake!

Jellied Eel Silver badge

Re: This is news

Recycling has always been a major problem

But someone else's problem.

It'll take industry cooperation to commercialise the system, sadly: the Faraday Institution notes that in order for the batteries to be disassembled ready for processing, they must first be designed for disassembly.

There's the problem. So take a Tesla Model 3-

The Standard Range version carries 2,976 cells arranged in 96 groups of 31. The Long Range version carries 4,416 cells arranged in 96 groups of 46, and weighs[185] 1,060 pounds (480 kg)

And to paraphrase Mike Oldfield, they're tubular cells. So first extract battery packs from car, then extract batteries from packs, then extract chemicals from cells. All without your recycling plant self-combusting in a cloud of toxic flourine products.

So although most products now do a spot of Greenwashing and make various claims about how sustainable they are, reality tends to be that the 'recycling' problem is usually offloaded to someone else. They've flogged you the product, they've got your money, and disposal might be down to whoever's got a recycling contract with your Council.

So if manufacturers actually had to bear the full cost of recycling, rather than kicking the 4,416 metal cans down the road.. Then there may be some incentive to redesign products to make recycling cheaper or more efficient. That may take regulatory pressure, which would result in some financial difficulties, eg flog a Model 3 and book both the sale, but also a future liability for when it becomes end-of-life.

Somehow, I suspect there'd be a lot of lobbying to keep this as someone else's problem to avoid those liabilities.

AFAIK, Tesla's also going the opposite direction. Currently there's a bit of a market taking the battery packs from Teslas and re-purposing them. It's relatively easy to drop the pack, split out the bricks and do stuff with them. But there's also a trend to pack the batteries into more structural elements of the cars, making it harder to do that.. Which is a bit dfferent to the original vision of easily swappable battery packs for quick refuelling. And a handy benefit of building obsolecence into EVs, so drivers might want new ones every 3 years. Kinda problematic for resale values, but again, that's someone else's problem.

Data collected to promote public health must never be surrendered to police

Jellied Eel Silver badge

Re: Privacy assurance cannot be trusted

No such assurance can ever be trusted, as the government can always change the law later on.

It's just digital bells. No vaccination? No pubs, clubs, concerts or travel for you. But now this has become a pandemic, what we're seeing is simple gain-of-function research. The population has been conditioned into giving their location information. Especially now exciting new variants have become available. See for example-

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-57610998

The 43% figure relates to deaths only - so it misses all the vaccinated people who were exposed to Covid but did not catch it, or caught the virus but did not become very ill.

Test them, count them as cases anyway. Case=Case+1, publish headline with daily case count.

And by now, almost everyone at risk of dying from Covid has been vaccinated (more than 90%).

Or they might have died in the 'first wave'. Or second. Regardless, the new normal fixated on cases being positive test results, not severity of illness.

And in a world where every single person had been vaccinated, 100% of Covid deaths would be of vaccinated people.

Ermm.. quite. But then you'd need to just adjust your messaging to try and explain why people who've been vaccinated are stil dying of Covid. Or mebbe just tighten up the coding of deaths so vaccinated people don't appear to be dying of the thing they've been vaccinated against. The CDC has done this, along with tightening up on PCR cycle counts and the definition of 'case'.

And there is another reason you cannot currently just compare the number of Covid deaths among vaccinated and unvaccinated people and come to any conclusions about how effective the jabs are.

Because most fully vaccinated people are over the age of 50 - and therefore more likely to die - while most unvaccinated people are young and healthy.

Well, quite. Or as the recently departed Donald Rumsfeld once said, it's about known unknowns. Like it's unknown how many people developed Covid antibodies, triggering overly sensitive Covid counters without actually getting more than mild symptoms. The herd immunity thing where once everyone's been exposed, tests become less meaningful. But a known known is that young & healthy people are much less likely to get seriously ill from Covid. But let's vaccinate them anyway because we've got millions of doses, and they've got expiry dates.

Of course then it's back to vaccinated people dying, and running the risk of being miscounted. Death by tombstoning on a hot day is likely in <50's than >50's, but might still get counted as a 'case'. Can't be having that.

But such is politics. Herd immunity also becomes herd conditioning, helped along by Minitruth and the media. Which conditions people to just accept that it's for your own good, or a public good, and why won't you think of the children?

Not think about more awkward stuff, like how vaccine passports would work in pratice. Or why they couldn't be added to the chips in biometric passports we now have to have. Or...

Every government, everywhere, that offers a check-in app must agree

.. that a simple flaw exists. Like people not bothering, or forgetting to check-in. Or possibly worse-case, if services are withdrawn for the unclean, checking in with false ID. Thank you for checking in Ms Mallon, may I call you Mary?

The world has a plastics shortage, and PC makers may be responding with a little greenwashing

Jellied Eel Silver badge

Re: Define 'plastic'

Not forgetting, of course, that there has been an increased demand for plastics in general over the last 18 months as people and companies bought facemasks, hand sanitiser dispensers, the bottles of sanitiser themselves, those Perspex partitions you see at shops and suchlike.

Facemasks seem to be becoming the new single-use bag. In my travels, I see lots of masks dumped on the pavements. Which could be a problem because AFAIK, they're plastic and have convenient loops to catch wildlife. Also see a fair number of dumped potion dispenser bottles.. But the biggest issue is along my probably 2 mile walk to the shops, there are no litter bins until the shopping precinct.

So that's one reason why there's so much litter. Compare and contrast to somewhere like Singapore where there are bins everywhere. Plus of course pretty stiff penalties for anyone too lazy to walk a few meters to a bin.

No BS*: BT is hooking up with OneWeb to tackle UK notspots

Jellied Eel Silver badge

Re: Sincerely, Good Luck

The wild card in all this is Starlink. I'm not a big fan of Elon Musk. He seems more than a bit unstable, and is not overly devoted to truthtelling, and is prone to wildly overpromise. But he does have remarkable organizational skills.

Errmm. Nope. If he did, he'd have been able to deliver on all the stuff that's been promised. Hypeloops, Tesla semis, the Roadster Mk2, fully autonomous self-driving etc etc. And not been having a series of unfortunate recalls.

He is, of course the salesman that delivered the Vegas Loop. Flashy CGI ends up being Teslas in a drainpipe. Truly remarkable and revolutionary! Especially why, even with fully autonomous self-driving the cars still need a driver. Factories manage to guide vehicles around their plants without drivers, Tesla.. can't.

And SpaceX is throwing a LOT of money at the project. And as far as I can see, there's nothing Starlink is trying to do that couldn't be and surely was costed out with fair precision on a cocktail napkin before work began. So it seems possible that he and his company will come to the rescue of those of us who don't live in big cities.

Ah, well, that gets a bit more complicated. SpaceX possibly isn't spending money, various SPV subsidiaries are. So they're paying market-ish* rates to launch satellites, not the rates being charged to SpaceX's government contracts. But what has probably been costed on a napkin is the $3-6bn+ government pork up for grabs to provide broadband for the rural US.

That's the goal. Grab as much of that subsidy as you can, then figure out how to scale the network and deliver a service. Easy enough to do when you've only got a few beta customers. They'll report stuff like lightning strikes, or terminals overheating** and shutting down. Those should be simple engineering fixes, providing you don't have to re-work a few thousand sitting in a warehouse somewhere. Some of it's 'Gigafactories' have plenty of space now Panasonic's moved out.

But that's always been the challenge between visions and reality. Musk is good at one, not so much at realisation. And if the market suddenly comes to the same realisation, Tesla's share price collapses, and margin calls follow given most of Musk's wealth is backed by his stock. As would be any loans. But SpaceX has been successful in attracting government pork, along with regularly tapping the market for more debt. But an IPO may be due soon, and it's investors can cash out.. Although a prospectus would have to reveal financials that are currently hidden.

As for execution, OneWeb's problem was they had the satellites, but couldn't seem to deliver the service. I had several meetings with them on behalf of a large carrier. We wanted a simple, turnkey solution that'd be easy to order and provision.. And OneWeb couldn't do that. But it's a hard thing to do right, which is where partnering wiith BT makes a lot of sense. They have field engineers & ops people that can do the provisioning.. And potentially outside the UK given BT's international relationships.

*Government contracts often have annoying stuff in them, like wanting 'most favored nation' type pricing deals. So they get the lowest price, and then might want open book accounting*** and permit a modest profit margin. So if Starlink's paying X per launch, why is US government customers paying 3.14X?

** That pesky Warble Gloaming again. But fear not, Musk will save the planet. Possibly multiple planets. Or just be rather well placed to extract billions more in subsidies..

*** Simple solution is to have more than one set of books. But Musk does seem to have a problem with retaining CFOs.

Russia spoofed AIS data to fake British warship's course days before Crimea guns showdown

Jellied Eel Silver badge

Re: Shipping channel

Pragmatically, if he did become president, Navalny might find he had to make some accommodation over Ukraine.

That's an extremely unlikely prospect. Navalny isn't exactly popular or even well known inside Russia. Yet for some reason, the West has decided he's a future Russian president. Or martyr. The real, main opposition party in Russia is still it's communists.

Jellied Eel Silver badge

Re: Just a FYI

The present situation only tangentially involves the take-over of Crimea and mainly involves that Russia has been infiltrating military and political operatives into Ukraine to build a "grass roots"-in-appearance violent civil war which Russia will then "mediate" by steam-rolling across all of Ukraine and declaring that a truce is announced after the Ukraine government is put against the wall.

Yup, that's pretty much how Ukraine's revolution happened. Mysterious snipers shooting people on both sides in the Maidan, crowd goes wild, coup at eleven. Same thing happened in other 'color' revolutions, leading to interesting times in places like Libya, Syria etc.

This is because Putin hates the idea that Ukraine could be admitted to NATO where NATO countries would immediately cover the border with Russia and start ejecting the Russian military and political assets back to Russia.

That's perhaps wishful thinking. It wouldn't automagically mean NATO forces deployed to retake Crimea and Ukraine's breakaway regions. Couple of big issues there, like Ukraine not exactly being a democracy, and it's neo-nazi problem. Plus NATO membership wouldn't give Ukraine cover for more agression because the mutual protection pact doesn't trigger if the NATO member started it. And of course Russia's already given a red line regarding reprisals and ethnic cleansing of Russians living in Ukraine.

But such is politics. What's happened to Ukraine is a bit of a tragedy. It's in far worse shape now that in was when it was in Russia's sphere. It's lost it's main trading partner, it's subject to EU quotas, and attempting to meet EU accession criteria has increased poverty even further. Even though Ukraine's investing more in it's military following the dismal performance during it's civil war, it would be no match for Russia. And if NATO forces did decide to intervene, well, that could/would end up escalating fast.

Jellied Eel Silver badge

Re: Just a FYI

Crimea was "Russified", the dirty way.

But such is politics. Crimea's history is fascinating, and kinda helped force the relocation of the 'Russian' capital to Moscow. Mainly on account of Crimean Tatars & Ottomans threatening it. Then along came Catherine the Great, who conquered Crimea. Under the Ottomans, Crimea was mostly autonomous and did a fair bit of slave trading, raiding, piracy etc. They were a bit more active and less depressive than modern-day Goths.

So since 1783, it became part of the Russian Empire as part of the Taurida Oblast, then there was the great Turkey hunt of 1853, where Britain & France allied with the Ottomans and had the Crimean War against the Russian Empire. We kinda roflstomped Sevastopol and Russia's Black Sea fleet, but Russia ended up keeping Crimea. Then rebuilding it and rebasing it's Black Sea fleet there.

Which is kinda why Russia wanted to keep Crimea. It had a large, strategic base there and a large Russian population. Then we orchestrated the Ukrainian revolution, and their new government decided to take away Crimea's autonomy.. Which it'd been ignorined pre-revolution anyway. But Ukraine also ended up becoming a tad extreme far-right and anti-Russian. So Crimea elected to rejoin Russia, in a mostly democratic kinda way.

But again, such is politics. The West has wanted to block Russia from the Black Sea for a long time, because that also shuts them out of the Mediterranean Sea. Naturally, Russia's opposed to this idea. There are also other geopolitical issues, like the US's occupation of a large & strategic chunk of Syria. So if that's ok and legal, so is Russia's annexation of Crimea.. Especially as the Crimean population seems happy with that outcome.

So there's been various shows of force in the Black Sea with Western navies sailing around, and Russian forces gathering ELINT, testing their offensive & defensive systems like Russia's new jammers. And the West would be doing the same, especially as our Type-45s are pretty handy intelligence gathering platforms.

But luckily the situation hasn't detoriated. It's not naval guns that are the main threat, more stuff like the K-300P Bastion-P and it's Oniks missiles. The Type-45 is designed to defend against that kind of threat, and Bastion complexes are based in Crimea.. And also have a land attack capability. So hopefully we won't have to find out if our anti-missile defences work.

UK spends £36m on 18 little 'bullet-proof' boats to protect Royal Navy assets

Jellied Eel Silver badge

Re: Well tried and comprehensively already field tested .....

Various different types of both lethal and non-lethal weapons, including a remote control gyroscopically stabilised 12.7mm machine gun / 40mm grenade launcher can be fitted to Barracuda.

Oh. Yes please! Both! Or a stretched Barracuda with a twin GAU-8s.. Although that may result in a loss of forward motion when firing, along with needing to adjust trim as ammunition depletes. Now, if HMG decides to save money and outsource by re-introducing Letters of Marque, British small businesses and entrepeneurs could help out. Or just deal with annoying yachties.. Not sure if the Admiralty still has a Prize Board, but it's a tradition that could be resurected!

Biden to Putin: Get your ransomware gangs under control and don’t you dare cyber-attack our infrastructure

Jellied Eel Silver badge

Because that small nation still has a very large military force (though much of it a bit out of date still dangerous),

One of the 'problems' is that Putin/Russia has been spending a lot of money (in relative terms) modernising and training it's forces. See-

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_number_of_military_and_paramilitary_personnel

And this bit-

For example, the United States Armed Forces has a tooth-to-tail ratio of 17%, meaning that for every combat unit there are around five support units.

Which is a problem for the US military. And other NATO members, eg Germany decided investing in creche facilities was more important than having working tanks. Or modernising it's tanks. The UK is, but although it'll be fitted with a new, improved German gun.

and a rather large finger in the pie in European continental politics by way of the backdoor through it containing large amounts of oil and natural gas?

Yes, well, the black gold has always been a problem. Like Ukraine getting a tad worried that Russian oil & gas will bypass Ukraine, and thus it'll lose the transit revenues it skims off. Or just taking gas and not paying for it. Not sure if those disputes have been resolved yet. But the big man can always ask Hunter, given he worked (allegedly) for one of Ukraine's largest energy companies.

But then Ukraine's in a rather tough spot. It lost Crimea and the break-away regions, and it's got a bit of a problem with neo-Nazis. So that doesn't exactly endear them to the EU. That makes Ukraine's accession about as likely as Turkey, despite it's 'color' revolution to pivot away from it's previous main trading partner to the EU. Who naturally imposed tariffs and quotas on Ukrainian produce.

And then of course the US had a bit of an energy revolution with shale gas. And produces more than it can use, so built a bunch of LNG export terminals.. And then of course would rather prefer the EU got American gas. Even if that's more expensive than simply piping it from Russia.

But such is politics. Russia is a rather huge country that is very rich in natural resources. It's gone from being a large importer of grains to a large exporter. Which also means it competes with other countries agricultural sector.. Which could end up being rather ironic, if the US is heading towards dust bowl conditions and would need to import. And of course there's California. Large producer of fruit & nuts, but running out of water. It was a great idea to grow water heavy crops like soft fruit & almonds in a state that's got a lot of desert, and not much water. It could fix some of those problems with a few nukes* and some desalination plants to water it's population.

But Russia exports fun stuff like titanium, which is a rather handy metal. Ok, so there's a bunch of sanctions preventing US companies from trading with Russia. But the US has worked around that, like during the Cold War when it need titanium for some of it's strategic projects Russia can always sell strategic minerals to China or India instead.

And of course if Biden decides he's going to live up to his Time magazine cover image, he might get tougher on both Russia and China.. Who of course might retaliate, and the supply of minerals and rare earths dries up. That would be awkward..

*power stations, not glassing some of it's problem areas.

Tech contractor loses IR35 tribunal appeal: 'Right' to substitute didn't mean he could, say judges

Jellied Eel Silver badge

Re: Yet another push for us to all go work at Tesco

Spot on, the rest of us whose whole income is pulled into paye are subsidising these tax dodgers.

You really don't understand IT. It's often project based. So in my case, designing & installng networks. Once that's done, so is my work, and it's on to the next project. Sure, that could be done via PAYE, but that's more complicated for the client, who then becomes an employer for 3-6 months. It's the same with a lot of contracting, ie design/install an application or system. That's short-term work that suits a contracting model.

Jellied Eel Silver badge

Re: Yet another push for us to all go work at Tesco

while failing to sort out tax laws for big business and the rich which makes contracting look like a drop in the ocean....

Well, quite. Can't have all these little oiks contracting work that should be handled by quality operations like Serco, Crapita, Tata, KPMG, Cap Gemini etc. Rather handy that the same entities that advise HMG also just happen to benefit from IR35.

But such is politics. I've generally avoided the usual suspects like the plague "Who's the client? Crapita.. Err.. no thank you". I also suspect that they've found ways to ensure that their minions are 'employed' on effectively zero hours contracts, with minimal benefits, but can be sub'd out to their clients for very agreeable mark-ups.

Price-capped broadband on hold for New York State after judge rules telcos would 'suffer unrecoverable losses'

Jellied Eel Silver badge

Re: In the town where my mom lives, someone proposed community broadband WiFi.

And while a lot of the blame does lie with big corporations, a large number of right-leaning, socialism-hating, 'red under the bed' paranoid citizens makes sure the status quo is maintained.

Or am I just being cynical?

Nope, it's just business. Telecomms has long been a natural monopoly, often burgered up by attempts to create 'competition', or just award franchises/licences to entities that end up being a monopoly. So a small, rural ISP that could be happy living off USO money and it's subscriptions. Naturally they'd not want competition either. And it's also incredibly expensive and inefficient to duplicate infrastructure, especially if it's duplicate technology. Customer ends up being able to chose a provider because they've got 2 lines to their house. But that means one line is idle, generating costs but no revenues.

But being a natural monopoly, that means towns should in theory be able to provide a better service given they already own/control a lot of the assets needed. So when roads get resurfaced, run ducts and fibre. But then the muni-net becomes a competitor, and competitors complain.

But such is business, and politics. I'm a big fan of muni-networks, and competitors should be pacified if they're built from standards-based services like Ethernet. Munis can then lease VLANs to other ISPs, who don't then have to build out their own infrastructure and maintain it.

But WiFi isn't the answer, and generally sucks given range limitations, interference and congestion or just the need to provide, power and maintain enough AP's to generate coverage. Fibre is waaaay better, and cheaper in the long run.

Jellied Eel Silver badge

Let's take this part, because it's rubbish.

The people who send the data pay for the lines and bandwidth they're using to move data out of their servers. The users pay for the lines and bandwidth they use to get the data into their equipment. Both prices are set by ISPs, and the decisions on whether and how much to charge between ISPs as data moves are also decided by those ISPs.

Slight snag. There are multiple ISPs involved, and very different cost considerations. Which is really the whole technical and economic argument behind 'Net Neutrality. Often confused, but then millions have been spent to confuse the issue.. Which is unsuprising because it's a big issue, and pretty much explains why content is on the pro-'neutrality', broadband ISPs on the anti.. Which isn't anti-consumer at all.

So say I'm FANGoogle. I'm going to dominate the content and advertising markets. All your data are belong to us! So I build a bunch of large datacentres in strategic locations, fill those with servers and load'em up with content.

Then I need a network. So I lease a bunch of fibre, ideally dark, which gives me a few Tbps to shunt data between my sites. Then I need to lease fibre from datacentres to Internet exchange points to reach my customers. That's done via peering, or via transit from an ISP. So far, so cheap (in relative terms).

Then there's the broadband ISPs. They may have invested a few billion running fibre to their customers so they can offer Internet services. A large ISP like Verizon may have a few million broadband customers or connections by virtue of the break up (and reformation of) Ma Bell.

So now broadband customers might pay say, $50/month to their ISP. They then may spend another $50/month for Netflix, Prime, Disney etc subscriptions, or just want to watch all the cat videos on YouTube. The ISP doesn't get any of that subscription revenue, but their customers expect their streaming to be perfect. If it isn't, they'll call their ISP and complain.

Which has been the problem. The cost model is highly asymmetric, and not reflected in the revenue model. If an ISP's customers get degraded Netflix service, the ISP has to do something, which generally means buying more transit bandwidth, or having to install some very expensive tin to peer with content providers. Basically it's waaaay cheaper to have BFPs (Big Fat Pipes) at exchange locations than it is to deliver those say, 100Gbps aggregated catflix streams to a million broadband customers.

Both sides of the industry know this problem, and both obviously have vested interests. Companies like Netflix certainly don't want (and probably can't afford) to give a share of their $10/month subscription to the ISP that delivers their service.

Jellied Eel Silver badge

Once a line is laid, it doesn't cost any more in cash or manpower to squirt a signal down the pipe. Slow internet speed are less the result of equipment limitation than they are of the ISPs purposely throttling the speeds.

Err.. Incorrect. But it's the Internet. So it costs money to lay cable. Ok, so a lot of those costs are front-loaded, but civils to dig up roads, pavements etc costs a lot of money. Far more than the cost of the cable. Then it may need digging up again for maintenance to fix faults, self-inflicted or due to backhoe fade. Some of those costs might be recoverable, ie if you dig up my cable, I could sue you. Others can't. Like paying for permits, traffic management, properly unionised.. I mean trained labor etc.

Then there's staff needed to support and maintain the network. So someone to record a message asking you to try reporting 'the Internet is down' via their handy online self-service portal. Or ideally answer the phone. Or drive for a few hours to do some line tests, write 'NFF', and drive home again. All at agreed rates. Especially in somewhere like NY with it's unions preventing Uber drivers from becoming self-employed wiremen

Then there's a bunch of other overheads. It does cost cash to squirt a signal down a pipe, whether that's photons or electrons. So someone has to pay the electricity bills, even if some of those costs have been shifted to the consumer, ie a NID with a battery plugged into a consumer supply vs power supplied by headend kit. Of course if consumer power is.. questionable, then it'll be costs to replace those NIDs.

Or there's boring stuff like rent & rates, which may include fun tasks like trying to locate a building owner to get consent to run or fix cable. Or negotiate rent or wayleave price increases because building owners want to sweat their assets. Or there's regulatory costs, ranging from lobbying (this is a bad idea, that's a really bad idea) to taxes, costs of policy compliance for law enforcement, 911/e911, data retention, FCC form-filling or just blocking pron. Cuomo's not proposed that one I don't think. Or taxes like USO, where big Telcos pay into a universal fund to support small telcos, or rural broadband.

But like the article sorta says.. It's those small operators that would be at most risk because they don't have the scale to cross-subsidise, especially if they're in economically disadvantaged areas. Especially as those areas would probably also be the ones to benefit most from affordable broadband. But that's what USO is supposedly for, but that money's adminstered by a political outfit, not the telcos who have to pay into it.

And then of course there are the other usual suspects. Like Amazon, Google, Facepalm, Netflix, Disney etc who all make collosal sums of money from online activities, but don't really contribute much towards the costs. But that's the thorny subject behind most of the 'Net Neutrality' debate, ie ISPs pay for everything, content providers should be allowed to enjoy their free ride.

Fastly 'fesses up to breaking the internet with an 'an undiscovered software bug' triggered by a customer

Jellied Eel Silver badge

Be Gone Protocol

Not sure it would have been BGP. Thinking being that-

a) They're depresssingly common, so avoidable

b) It was a customer configuration that borked things

So I don't know how Fastly built/runs their network, but generally it's a ReallyGoodIdea(tm) to limit any BGP advertisements outside of their domain/instance to prevent routing fun.

US House Rep on cyber committees tweets Gmail password, PIN in Capitol riot lawsuit outrage

Jellied Eel Silver badge

Re: Who is Susan Rosenberg?

Technically, Swalwell couldn't given he's obviously a party to the case. But working for the same company, shouldn't have been too hard to get someone to serve papers at the office. Not sure if Swalwell's staff would count as being parties. But Swalwell is presumably smart enough to have figured out how to prevent his case being SLAPP'd down, yet not smart enough to ensure service.

Jellied Eel Silver badge

Re: Who is Susan Rosenberg?

But..

Brooks was rather peeved that he had been served legal papers by House Rep Eric Swalwell (D-CA), who has sued Brooks, Donald Trump Jr, and Rudy Giuliani for allegedly helping to instigate the January storming of the Capitol.

And.. from Swalwell's wiki entry-

Swalwell called for greater authenticity from politicians, saying that politicians should not insult each other publicly and then expect to have friendly relationships "backstage", and comparing the behavior of some politicians to a fake, entertainment-focused professional wrestling show

I guess he's become a bit more media savvy since then, but presumably couldn't find Brooks's office to serve the papers.

But such is politics, and popcorn futures. Now all Swalwell has to do is make it's case, much as the State did back in '83. Then declare a 'Capital Day' to commemorate the 'storming', much as the French did..

Jellied Eel Silver badge

Re: Who is Susan Rosenberg?

..he engaged in a juvenile game of Twitter trolling over the past few days and continued to evade service.

So far, so normal for 21st Century politics. Procedurally it seems a bit strange to this non-American, ie powers to compel witnesses. Or just waiting for Rep.Brooks to show up at the office and serve him there.

But there's nothing like a good witch hunt to boost popcorn sales.

Door-opening insect mega-swarm emerges in Eastern US, descends on Washington DC

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It's them or us!

So well known scientist James Cameron produced a documentary showing how trees are 'teleconnected'. What one tree knows, all know. This was further demonstrated by other scientists who used trees to measure temperatures hundreds, if not thousands of kms away.

So it stands to reason that if trees are the antennas of the Earth, then creatures living in symbiosis with the trees might also know what's going on. Like suggestions that it would be a really good idea for humans to eat bugs. The bugs may of course have different ideas, and decide to strike first. This could be especially troublesome given cicadas can drill into trees to eat their sap, so getting through skin to get to ours shouldn't be much of a problem.

Biden expands Chinese tech and military blocklist to 59 companies

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Re: Guess what we found!

Whatever the facts turn out to be this should be one hell of a warning against social media companies deciding what is 'truth'.

Problem is the truth can be rather elusive. Problem is also that 'fact checkers' often aren't, and can't be in posession of the facts. Or the way the narrative can be distorted, or that old chestnut 'taken out of context'. It could still be entirely coincidental that the outbreak originated at (or very near) a lab doing work on SARS-type coronaviruses.

But the denials came swiftly, eg the letter Daszak organised for the Lancet denouncing a 'conspiracy'. Now there's a paper trail seeming to show a money trail. But that still might not have anything to do with the outbreak, just a tad inconvenient. Vanity Fair's done an interesting report, but I think there are still a lot of unanswered questions. Like if the lab wasn't the origin, what was?

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Guess what we found!

This could shape up into some fun. So, wonder if this means Daszak's EcoHealth Alliance will no longer be allowed to be the bagman between the US NIH (Mr Fauci, your bus is waiting) and China's virology labs. Which may or may not have been using the money to do gain-of-function research that had been illegal in the US. Daszak already seems to have been in the queue ahead of Fauci.

I guess his is one way to test competing conspiracy theories though. If there's truth, then China might leak something more embarassing. If there's not, Fauci et al still have some explaining to do around off-shoring bioweapon related research to a 'hostile' foreign power via an intermediary 'charity' that supposedly worked to prevent biosecurity threats, not promote them.

Otherwise, it seems more of the same. The US taking a view that sanctions will harm China more than it will US companies that rely on Chinese industries and labour. Especially given China's probably got a very good handle on likely US inventories and lead-times for critical components.

Facebook faces competition enquiry on two fronts as EU and UK officials scrutinise its ad data

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Facepalm can afford to shed a few pounds, providing there's no remedies attached that would prevent them from hoovering up zettabytes of people's personal information for fun & profit. So if the case(s) go anywhere, I'd expect the deal to be a few billion in 'penalties', in exchange for carrying on mostly as before.

Also suprised why there was official suprise about the way Facepalm heavily promoted it's single-sign on system, especially pitched at public sector customers. What better way to link data than becoming the official way to link data to people, and help lock them into the Facepalm ecosystem.

Wyoming powers ahead with Bill Gates-backed sodium-cooled nuclear generation plant

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Re: You know what

If small, modular, molten salt, reactors actually worked outside of PowerPoints with pictures of green fields with containers on them, the millitary would not bother with their 1950's U235-burning designs!

Ok, so not an MSR as such, but a lead-bismuth cooled reactor was used in the Russian Alfa class speed boats.. A long time ago. Took me a moment to figure out where they'd been used. But guessing there were doctrinal differences, ie US & NATO subs perhaps being expected to be out on extended patrols, whereas the Alfas seemed more of a defensive boat that could surge out & hunt incoming hostile warships.

But drawback was I guess that if a liquid metal reactor cooled, metal solidifies and reactor can't be restarted without first re-melting the metal.. Which would seem difficult/dangerous to try and do at sea, especially in wartime. So I guess it made sense for the West to go with reactor designs that could be restarted rather than risk losing a very expensive boat + crew.

But that wouldn't be as much of an issue for civil reactors, and a 'fail safe' mode has obvious advantages. Think there was a YT channel showing Russian nuclear submarines, and a reactor being lifted out of one. Always impressed me just how small they are. Which I guess is a big part of the reason why I like the SMR concept. Even though the reactor is.. err.. a critical part of a nuclear submarine, it doesn't seem to take up that much hull volume.

And then there's the fuel efficiency, so a nuclear submarine can go a decade or more on a single tank of 'gas' before needing to be refuelled vs conventional submarines or surface ships that need a lot of logistics to keep them mobile.

Jellied Eel Silver badge

Re: Na Reactors

Didn't Russia use MSRs on a lot of it's submarines, pretty successfully and decades ago?

Also agree on thorium given there's huge quantities of that laying around, often in spoil heaps as a consequence of it being unwanted from previous mineral extraction. It's one of life's little ironies. Thorium in spoil heaps is hazardous waste, and keeps the EPA (un)gainfully employed. Or it's cheap fuel, just waiting to be exploited. Which the EPA would no doubt interfere with as well.

Jellied Eel Silver badge

Re: 1972 was the last time

BTW The Dutch protests against Kalkar gave Milieudefensie a boost. The same organisation that now successfully prosecuted Royal Dutch Shell as a global polluter.

Those nutjobs and neo-luddites also protested against Petten's HFR and it's proposed replacement, Pallas. And also prowl beaches, looking for molybdenum-99 and daughter products, and then claim those must have come from nuclear leaks, and shut down nuclear plants now! And they're semi-correct, although the 'leaks' probably come from patients who've been fed/injected with deadly radiation stuff like Technetium-99. Which then decays to ruthenium-99 and that stuff has a half-life of over 200,000 years!

So ban this sort of thing! Or not, because radioisotopes can be rather vital in medicine, and can't easily (or cheaply) be produced without nuclear alchemy. Sure, it's possible to produce molybdenum-99 with a particle accelerator, but a tad energy intensive. Plus needing a LOT of cheap, reliable energy. It's one of those fun things to troll neo-luddites with. So you have an application that requires reliable energy for hours/days to avoid expensive shut-downs and machine cleaning. Now power that with 'renewables' like windmills, and you can't rely on cheap grid power..

But such is politics. Nuclear power saves a lot of lives, and hopefully this demo plant will demonstrate the feasibility of SMRs for the energy we'll need to power our 'Green' transformation. The UK is probably fsck'd due to Boris's choice of Green policy advisor.

PS.. but we thought: Na, people will groan...

I did. Bad vulture!

You were supposed to be watching him. Letters from SEC claim Tesla breached deal to police Elon Musk's tweets

Jellied Eel Silver badge

Re: EV's still need both fuel & servicing

For 6 months a year, my EV is mostly powered by the electricity generated by my Solar Panels. In May, that gave me 590 miles of travel at zero running costs.

I think that's one of those fun economic challenges. So you've essentially built your own filling station, rather than simply using someone elses, ie 590 miles is a couple of tanks of gas, and probably <$100. So you could spend $20-30K+ on solar to get that 'free' 590 miles. Then it gets complicated depending on subsidies for solar PV, and ROI calculations that can be based on 'free' domestic electricity usage and being paid to export electricity.

I wonder how many El Reg commentards really know their energy use pattern? I'd guess at very few.

I think that becomes energy use both domestic, and then driving patterns. So kinda curious how your production ends up being split, ie does it mean your electricity increasingly gets used for car fillng. Then how that changes usage and billing, so if your electricity bills increase. But that's also dependent on how much you've invested in solar. So basic PV might mean you're producing when there's low demand, ie daytime and you're not home & car isn't home either. Or then night time, when you might want to charge, but solar PV is useless.

And then of course there's batteries. Buy a stack of PowerWalls to store that solar at 13kWh a slab and a 5kW discharge to fill an EV with it's own 100kWh battery pack. So then it's how many Powerwalls you need based on your driving patterns, and if your solar PV can keep up with the charging. But charging batteries to charge batteries isn't exactly efficient, even if it makes for fun TCO/ROI calculations.

My EV had its first service back in April after 2 years and 20,000 miles. Total cost £226.00 inc VAT.

I think that's comparable to an ICE, especially given they've improved in reliability a lot over the last couple of decades. Which is something Tesla's also discovering, ie how much it'll cost to service wear parts, like tyres, brakes, suspension etc given EV's can be rather heavy. Also curious if fluids will become an EV thing given there's a lot of plumbing in a Tesla.. And more to come with the new heat pump system. But that's something ICEs have been doing for decades, ie using 'waste' engine heat for cabin heating. And another challenge with EVs, so energy used for cabin heating/cooling eating into range. Which is also true for ICEs, although semi-free via an alternator.

I do expect a mileage base VED to be introduced but quite how they will get around charging for miles driven outside the UK is something for the Politicians to mull over.

I think that's been done & dusted some years ago with all new EU cars having to have a 'black box' that records mileage, and can transmit that.. somewhere. Which could be combined with 'smart' meter networks to pull data from EVs and ICEs and produce a bill.. Which probably won't care where those miles occured. That'll probably end up with another EU bunfight about revenue distribution.

But it's also one of those policy challenges. ICE's already pay road charges, and already distance based. So the more fuel used, the more fuel duty and tax paid. EV's currently get a free ride on those costs, but that will have to change unless governments are content to lose billions from transport duties and taxes. But also has wider economic implications, mass EV adoption will require mass increases in electricity production, and someone has to pay for that.

That may end up being socialised, and all electricity bills increase to prop up EVs.. But obviously that will be rather inflationary, and regressive given the impact on energy poverty. So one of those wicked problems. Governments have been massively subsidising EVs and 'renewables' already, and announcing road charging for EVs will blow holes in marketing claims for low-cost motoring. So the situation in Texas at the moment with EV owners claiming it's unfair to charge them for road usage.

Jellied Eel Silver badge

Re: Halt all trading on Tesa shares.

Why sell them at 30k when they sell all they can make?

Or not. But that's another of those Tesla curiousities. Keep opening up gigafactories to add production, but sales flattening off as the novelty wears off and there's more competition. Kinda like the usual China experience. Get invited to open massive manufacturing facility there, watch as your competitors borrow your ideas. But then China's making Teslas for the European market due to it's proximity. Or something.

But such is politics. The Bbc compares it to the Model T, but that was a cheap/mass-produced car like Tesla's aren't. And oddly enough, other motor manufacturers with a tad more experience in making mass-market product are starting to demonstrate why Tesla ended up in an abandoned GM/Toyota factory. Curious thing about that. In NUMMI days, it produced almost 500k cars a year. Now, after much spending and massive expansion, Tesla's almost producing the same volume* as NUMMI did in 2006.

Strange the way hype and reality tend to end up misaligned when it comes to Teslanomics. I think Tesla quickly realised $30k was a tad unrealistic, and getting worse. But fear not, the Model Y will be the new low-cost model, and they'll make up the numbers by selling millions of FuglyTrucks, Semis, Roaster Mk2s and various other things that have been announced, but not materialised.

*Not sure if you can count a vehicle 2-3x, if it keeps getting sent back for rework.

Jellied Eel Silver badge

Re: Halt all trading on Tesa shares.

It's the quck, and easy fix to this problem. Next time Musk tweets and breaks the rules, put a 30 day trading halt on Tesla. Then 60 days. Then 120.

It can be bizarre sometimes. So Tesla buys $1bn+ of bitcoin, then books a handy $100m gain on that investment. Then Musk dumps on crypto, and presumably Tesla loses >$100m based on an SNL performance and a few tweets. Which would seem to be a bit of a fiduciary problem where the CEO ends up acting against the companies interests.

But such is politics. See also-

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-57253947

We're on the verge of a tipping point, says Ramez Naam, the co-chair for energy and environment at the Singularity University in California.

He believes as soon as electric vehicles become cost-competitive with fossil fuel vehicles, the game will be up.

That's certainly what Tesla's self-styled techno-king, Elon Musk, believes.

Last month he was telling investors that the Model 3 has become the best-selling premium sedan in the world, and predicting that the newer, cheaper Model Y would become the best-selling car of any kind.

"We've seen a real shift in customer perception of electric vehicles, and our demand is the best we've ever seen," Mr Musk told the meeting.

With the evergreen Bbc hyping EVs. But then the Model 3 was supposed to be the $30k 'affordable' compact EV, but wasn't. And Tesla just announced a combination of price increases & feature deletions, blaming that on rising raw material costs. Not sure how much of that is actually raw materials & how much would be component shortages, but sans regulatory credits, Tesla loses money on it's cars. But that's another of those areas where auditors might want to take a closer look given the way those credits have been used to create profits. Especially given competition with EVs will mean demand for those credits falls.

And of course the Bbc glosses over a few points-

But, says Ms Tyson, when you factor in the cost of fuel and servicing - EVs need much less of that - many EVs are already cheaper than the petrol or diesel alternative.

EV's still need both fuel & servicing, and there's an assumption that governments won't look at falling fuel & VED, and act to 'correct' that. Texas (being Texas) already proposed an EV fuel tax that'll make charging a bit more expensive. What'll happen with energy costs as joules shift from being in tanks to batteries is another of those thorny subjects.

UK's BT starts trials of new hollow-core optical fibre networks

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I think it depends how you read it. So I tend to work on traditional fibre being 0.7c or around 4.7ms/1000km. So I'm assuming the 30 & 50% numbers are for the remaining 0.3c, so around 0.85c. It's funky stuff, and I remember when Soton first announced it, but production runs were in the cms. They were also doing some interesting multi-holed cores, which I guess wouldn't pass a dope test..

Royal Yacht Britannia's successor to cost about 1 North of England NHS IT consultancy framework

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Re: Indyvote 2

Does England still have any shipbuilding dockyards?

But that's the point of national projects like this. It provides stimulus, and jobs, and helps save the shipyards. Plus has the potential for upsetting McKranky, unless the plan is to donate a partially completed yacht to the SNP as part of a future divorce settlement.

Otherwise, in the interests of the environment, reducing commuting times and building a new centre of excellence for English ship building, senior civil servants have proposed a new shipyard in Fenny Drayton.

(Also in the interests of the environment, it should obviously be a sailing ship. Best start replanting trees now so they'll be ready to use. Be like back in the good'ol days when forests were a strategic reserve to keep the Royal Navy afloat.)

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Re: hard to support

Would this really generate a pay-back ? Hard to believe.

I think it'll be kick-backs, not pay-back.

TCP alternative QUIC reaches IETF's Standards Track after eight years of evolution

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Re: Ready salted packets

Yup. I can kinda see the point to QUIC inside datacentres or in supercomputer environments where parallelism can be handy. On congested public networks, far less so. Or even in congested private/virtually public. But that's always been one of those challenges with the IP suite compared to alternative protocols.

Jellied Eel Silver badge

Re: Ready salted packets

...the pieces can be fingerprinted by address and size, which encryption cannot conceal.

There's a solution for that, ie salting traffic to make traffic analysis harder. But then the point is to minimise competitors fingerprinting efforts. It also kinda misses the point of UDP vs TCP. One offers some form of reliable networking, the other doesn't. But if you're billing by network usage, converting TCP sessions into QUIC increase traffic, especially if there's congestion, packet loss, and data has to be retransmitted.

Whether that makes a session 'faster' is debateable, especially if it's depending on applications to notice packet loss than network devices. There's also a few other potential inverse efficiency snags if sessions are broken into multiple streams, and 'goodput' reduced with more headers than payload. Plus extra fun for silicon and buffer tuning, if 1 session becomes 10 small-packet 'spray & pray' communications.

Days Gone PC: Melting pot of open-world influences makes for one of the more immersive zombie slayers out there

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Re: "Not one of these is a bad game so when you add them all together..."

7DtD has been in Alpha since Steam first launched on the ZX81. Which is no bad thing. It even managed to release on the PS4, witness the demise of the porter, get the IP back and may be geting the versions back into line. I do wonder if console porting is a good/bad thing. Old Alphas weren't the best optimised, so console ports may have incentivised that given consoles often have fewer resources to play with.

There's also a fine modding community for 7DtD from simple mods to radical overhauls.

NASA to return to the Moon by 2024. One problem with that, says watchdog: All of it

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Re: Artemis 3 does not require gateway

SpaceX launching to Mars in 2022 is nearly impossible but cargo to launched to Mars in 2024 is possible and it might even land in one piece a year later. I think NASA can get cargo to the Moon well before 2024 even with a large amount of help from congress.

One snag might be ongoing litigation around Boca Chica, part of which is documented here-

https://rrctx.force.com/s/ietrs-public-file-correspondence/related/500t000000Z1gRsAAJ/Public_Files_Correspondence__r

Quite why Texas railroads handle petrochemicals exploration is probably lost in history, but curious none the less. Although Musk via SpaceX and it's Lone Star Mineral Development LLC entity have applied for licences for oil & gas exploration, there's now two cases ongoing. One's related to Musk's lease of 806 acres of land, much of which is rather soggy. Dallas Petroleum Group (DPG) LLC had leased their chunk of land, which was dry.

Then along came SpaceX, and allegedly decided to help themselves to DPG's lease on the grounds that it wasn't being used. The court filings show DPG disputing that and having paid $6m to lease their parcel, they're entitled to the quite enjoyment of that land. Give or take loud noises and the occasional rain of stainless steel (not of the rat variety).

So there's a seperate case going in a Texan real-estate court over possible fraud and the terms of the lease. Can't find filings for that one.

So all a bit strange.. Ish. Musk's claimed that he's planning to fracc for gas. Fairly quietly though because that's un-green. I think DPG argue that SpaceX has already done some drilling stuff without the correct permits. But DPG seems to have been using it for a disposal well, ie not production, so it seems a bit unclear what the prospects might be for extracting gas there are anyway.

But the site in question also seems to be part of the new construction at Boca Chica, so if court(s) rule DPG's claim holds, that could be a slight snag for SpaceX. Not sure if it's where the Musk's new erection is rising (the 'orbital platform') or it's just part of the expanded tank farm.

But being real-estate, I'm guessing brown envelopes are in play. In telecomms (and probably general real-estate) there's a concept called a 'ransom strip'. Want to cross this bit of land? That's going to cost you. Situation seems complicated by Musk and DPG being lease holders, so not sure if eminent domain could be used, without risking the whole 800 acre parcel. So an 'amicable solution' might be found instead if a $6m+ envelope passes through the land owner to persuade DPG to vacate the lease.

TL;DR, don't get involved in complicated real-estate transactions unless your attorney lists 'shark wrestling' as a hobby.

Dominic Cummings: Health secretary's 'stupid' targets delayed building UK test and trace system to combat COVID

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Re: "in my opinion, he should have been fired for that thing alone"

Oh really, Mr Cummings ?

And you have no such skeletons in your closet ?

Well, there's always Russia. But such is politics that any skeletons are likely to get dug up and spun against the super-spad. Although it was a nice idea to have a UK version of swamp draining, he was up against people who like the swamp just the way it is.

I think the biggest problem was Cummings setting himself up as a chief of staff, rather than being a senior policy advisor. Hancock was still in charge of health, so ultimately responsible, and vaguely accountable for health policy.

Google employee helped UK government switch from disastrous COVID-19 strategy, according to Dominic Cummings

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Re: Hang on

"silly season" is in the summer. If you mean over Christmas then that seems unlikely as the Chinese themselves didn't sequence it until Jan 5th, releasing the sequence to the West on Jan 11th.

Possibly a better timeline and report here-

https://apnews.com/article/united-nations-health-ap-top-news-virus-outbreak-public-health-3c061794970661042b18d5aeaaed9fae

By Dec. 27, one lab, Vision Medicals, had pieced together most of the genome of a new coronavirus with striking similarities to SARS. Vision Medicals shared its data with Wuhan officials and the Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, as reported first by Chinese finance publication Caixin and independently confirmed by the AP.

...The next day, Chinese CDC director Gao Fu dispatched a team of experts to Wuhan. Also on Dec. 31, WHO first learned about the cases from an open-source platform that scouts for intelligence on outbreaks, emergencies chief Ryan has said.

WHO officially requested more information on Jan. 1. Under international law, members have 24 to 48 hours to respond, and China reported two days later that there were 44 cases and no deaths.

I guess it can depend on when it became 'official', ie did submitting sequence data to GenBank count? But despite some deserved criticism of the WHO, it looked like the outbreak detection system was pretty quick off the err.. bat.

Jellied Eel Silver badge

Re: Hang on

...so even if Covid-19 is controlled by the vaccines (and I fervently hope so) this winter could see significantly more deaths from 'flu.

That's a simple problem to solve. Just code them as Covid deaths*. But that's going to be the challenge for statisticians and actuaries, ie figuring out just how many deaths were directly attributable to Covid, and how many to Covid policies. So for example I had an appointment with Endocrinology yesterday that had been booked in Dec 2019. I doubt the delay in that appointment will have caused me any problems, but a lot of hospital appointments were cancelled or delayed that may have resulted in harm to patients.

*I've also seen suggestions that current mask rules become the 'new normal' to reduce flu, colds, fly swallowing and at least until stocks of N95 masks have been flogged off.

Jellied Eel Silver badge

Re: Hang on

I was warning folk here about the pandemic on the fourth of February because of the word 'novel'.

The first warning signs came in November/December 2019 with reports of a novel virus and hospitalisations, with the virus being sequenced over silly season (in the West) 2019.

I followed the science and realised it is almost exclusively an airborne disease, and handwashing / surface cleaning is theatrics, I predicted 200,000 Brits would die but I never expected a working vaccine so quickly, it was nice to be wrong on that. I was downvoted most of the time.

Anyone sceptical of the official dogma was, guts & thumbs and all that. But by March 2020, a bit more was known about the characteristics, and the risks. But then Ferguson with his Doomsday model that predicted huge numbers of deaths. And that model seems to have shaped or influenced official thinking, ie the US and other countries citing it as justification for their crackdowns.

So then the governments shambled into action. They must do something, especially if voters would end up blaming them for doing the wrong thing. Dead voters cast no votes, except when they do, but that's just good'ol voting fraud. But like others have pointed out, some of the obvious things weren't done in time. Like closing the borders. Even my sim-Pandemic PC game encourages you to do that to stop spread. Not sure how much of the thinking was due to dealing with stranded citizens, or if 'open borders' also influenced the decision. Or it was just too little, too late once travel restrictions were imposed.

More recently I criticised the CDC and WHO and was downvoted, yet they've released their own 'mea culpa' reports now.

Both have done a few interesting things of late. One being the way Covid has suddenly ended. Which is curious given vaccination levels. That suggests several posibilities, like herd immunity > vaccination, or just some cheating. Like this-

https://www.cdc.gov/vaccines/covid-19/health-departments/breakthrough-cases.html

For cases with a known RT-PCR cycle threshold (Ct) value, submit only specimens with Ct value ≤28 to CDC for sequencing.

and-

As of May 1, 2021, CDC transitioned from monitoring all reported vaccine breakthrough cases to focus on identifying and investigating only hospitalized or fatal cases due to any cause. This shift will help maximize the quality of the data collected on cases of greatest clinical and public health importance.

Previously high Ct values were accepted as 'cases', even though that increases the risk of false positives. And the MSM dutifully copied case trackers to help spread the FUDemic. Now, the rules have changed to both amplify vaccine effectiveness, ie a positive at Ct>29 won't be regarded as a 'case', even though prior to May 1, it would have been.

But such is politics. It'll be interesting to see how far inquiries go. Politicians (which includes senior health service types) did both good, and bad. So bad being things like sending infected people back to care homes, or just being very slow to focus priorities on who is the most vulnerable. Ok, some of that takes time to figure out, but by fairly early last year, it was pretty clear that people under 50 without pre-existing conditions were very low risk.. But that's been one of the big problems, risks were greatly exagerated.

But the good news is it eradicate most flu deaths, mainly because they became Covid deaths. Bad news is governments don't seem keen to relax restrictions any time soon, even though we now have official permission to hug again. But remember to sanitise first, and wear a facemask or three..

Arm freezes hiring until Nvidia takeover, cancels everyone's 'wellbeing' allowance

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Re: Flim Flammery

Except it turned out IoT was total BS pumped up by twitter famous devs and ISG was a total dud of a product.

And then there was WeWork.. which didn't exactly work out for Softbank

Tesla owners win legal fight after software update crippled older Model S batteries

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Re: Green vehicles...

Oil production started before ICE were in general use, it will be able to continue after most of ICE have disappeared.

Yup. Once fuel oils have been banned by the neo-luddites, we could go back to using tar on the hulls of sailing ships. Except tar's probably considered an environmental hazard now. I know Wright's 'traditional' coal tar soap now isn't, and just has a distinctly synthetic smell. If it gives people a headache, 4-nitrophenol can be turned into something that can help.

But I'm sure other phenols are available... assuming we're allowed to cut down pine forests. Before they die from pine borer & burn. Ah, California.

But I digress. It's fascinating just how many things can be produced from a barrel of oil. And if neo-luddites get their way, no oil production, no products. Luckily Musk has applied for a licence to fracc at Boca Chica, although it's not clear if he actually owns the land.

Jellied Eel Silver badge

Re: Green vehicles...

The increased impact of manufacturing EVs over ICE vehicles is recovered within 6 - 16 months of typical driving. What many tend to overlook is that the extraction, processing, storage and distribution of petrol and diesel is incredibly energy intensive and contributes significantly to the environmental impact of ICE and hydrogen vehicles.

Depends how you count it. Extraction and processing of petrochemicals could be considered energy efficient, especially given the number of products produced from them. So basic fuels to plastics and rubbers for EVs, to pesticides and fertiliser. Which is why calls to ban fossil fuels are a tad foolish, especially if falling sales of some products end up making it uneconomic to produce all the other petrochemicals. And you could argue the energy can be virtually free, ie refineries can produce their own energy.

EV's also aren't immune to those impacts given despite greenwashing, there's no such thing* as 100% renewable energy to recharge them. In the UK, that's a scam based on things called 'REGO's, or Renewable Energy Guarantee of Origin. So subsidy farmers can flog 100MWh of REGOs to electricity suppliers, but the electrons will mostly come from gas turbines.

Beyond video to interactive, personalised content: BBC is experimenting with rebuilding its iPlayer in WebAssembly

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Re: Jargon in rubbish out?

We live on a near sphere. Lines of longitude converge at the poles. The view point of a satellite image will emphasise this. This is the way it is and no amount of crybaby wailing can change it.

But the Bbc is supposed to inform, educate and entertain. So yesterday there was a story about the UK's weather. Rather than being text and images, it was a video. In which the presenter basically said it's because it's Spring, and being in between Winter & Summer, we get a bit of both. Not an isobar to be seen. It did devote a bit to waffling about global warming, because obviously when low temperature records are broken, it's global warming.

But then global warming is an area where the Bbc is incredibly biased. Possibly due to it's 'experts' not being scientists, just arts & (oh the) humanties grads. So we get stories about weather 'extremes' interspersed with stories about how we simply must build more windmills and solar that are most vulnerable to those extremes. But although watching the Bbc trying to explain how CO2, a 'well mixed' gas could lead to extremes would be entertaining, it probably wouldn't be that informative.

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Re: Disaster

They are still thinking Web2.0 with multiple platform issues. That has mostly been solved. The next step is much greater automatic individual customisation and you need AI for that

Oh hell no! All you should need are some device profiles and a preference linked to the user. The user should be in control of their 'experience', not some pseudo-AI that thinks it knows what the viewer wants. YT's recommendations being a case in point. Or just simple stuff like hitting refresh should give a different selection of videos, not the same ones over and over again.

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Re: Self preservation society

So personalised adverts inserted into the TV show?

Of course. Don't forget the UK experience of wall-wall soaps, medicated or otherwise is but one part of the total Bbc experience. So outside the UK, unsuspecting viewers are already treated to Bbc content splattered with ads. Ok, using 'Bbc' content in the loosest sense because that might be content from iTV, C4 or just Bbc staff moonlighting as independent producers.

..every audience member can access every experience, regardless of what device they have at home... they might have an old smartphone or smart TV.

As long as that experience is carefully controlled and curated by one of the Bbc's tentacles. It's been struggling with irrelevance as our nation (and Bbc's worldwide nations) have found there's life outside of Aunty's medicated-soap scented warm embrace. The feckless yoof haven't been watching Woke.. I mean Bbc3, even after that was cruelly forced online. This obviously leads to an existential crisis because if young people don't buy TV Licences, the Bbc's jacuzzi of cash starts to dry up, leaving just a scummy soap ring around the edge.

So as usual, it induldges in technofetishism in an attempt to chase that audience. It'll offer exciting and innovative new features, hastily borrowed from other streaming services. Want X-ray? you can have Z-ray! It's like that Prime thing, but better, because this is from the Bbc! Even better, once indies are locked into that ecosystem, content will work best on iPrayer! Dear Worldwide customers, don't think about selling direct to Netflix, Prime, Discovery/HBO, we'll deliver your content for you! Trust in Aunty, Aunty knows best!

But such is politics. Rather than making content viewers want to watch, the Bbc's content to polish it's turd. You don't want stuff like The Witcher, or Altered Carbon (s1 anyway), you want Eastenders in VR! And dear Americans, you don't want to be thinking of subbing to HBO/Discovery, you want Bbc America.. AT&T, won't you spare a coin for your watcher? Aunty needs you..

But that's enough rant. Two things stand out. One is if this happens, there'll be even less excuse not to turn the Bbc into a subscription service. It's been desperately trying to avoid that for the last couple of decades, even though it happily uses subscription outside the UK. But the UK has always been it's cash cow thanks ot the TV licence.

The second is the audience engagement features may reveal something the Bbc's also been in denial about for decades.. Hello viewer! Are you there? Please just swipe left if you're out there, we're lonely..

That Salesforce outage: Global DNS downfall started by one engineer trying a quick fix

Jellied Eel Silver badge

Re: wth is it with always dns?

It makes me feel like "it's always DNS" is like the folks who try to blame the network for every little problem when it's almost never the network either(speaking as someone who manages servers, storage, networking, apps, hypervisors etc so I have good visibility into most everything except in house apps).

I don't blame the network. DNS isn't the network, it's an app that allows wetware to make use of a network. If DNS is down, the Internet isn't, it's just those cat vids have gone into hiding.

But I have in the past had good cause to blame DNS. Usually when the pager went beep while I was dreaming of new ways to torment sysadmins. Mainly because they controlled the ping to beep software and decided that inability to ping the domain name of a DNS server meant it was a network problem. I'd ping the server by IP address, it'd respond and I'd get to try and wake a sysadmin. That particular issue was eventually solved by a combination of billing for overtime, and creating a shadow ping box that would ignore those, test for both network and app reachability and wake the right person. Sysadmins may like to think they run the network, but that's a neteng's job.

But I digress. DNS isn't my speciality, but curious about a couple of bits. Like why it would be necessary to restart servers for a DNS change. AFAIK that's still a thing if you want to change a server's IP address, but I'd have hoped that in the 21st Century, that could be done on the fly. Then the good'ol push vs pull isuse, like manglement not always understanding that DNS changes aren't pushed. So usual routine of dropping TTL ahead of changes, and hoping resolver/client caches play nicely. And why stuff fell over under load. By stuff, I've seen issues where anti-DDOS systems have caused problems when DNS activity increases due to TTL being lowered, but a decently configured DNS setup should have been able to cope. If not, bit of an oops in Salesforce's capacity management.

Sysadmins again.. :p