Minnesota's 8th Congressional District election, 2016

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Minnesota's 8th Congressional District

General Election Date
November 8, 2016

Primary Date
August 9, 2016

November 8 Election Winner:
Rick Nolan Democratic Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Rick Nolan Democratic Party
Rick Nolan.jpg

Race Ratings
Cook Political Report: Toss-up[1]
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean D[2]
Rothenberg & Gonzales: Lean D[3]

Minnesota U.S. House Elections
District 1District 2District 3District 4District 5District 6District 7District 8

2016 U.S. Senate Elections

Flag of Minnesota.png

The 8th Congressional District of Minnesota held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 8, 2016.

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as a race to watch. Incumbent Rick Nolan (D) defeated Stewart Mills (R) in the general election on November 8, 2016. This was a rematch of the 2014 race, in which Nolan successfully defended his seat from Mills by 1.4 percent of the vote. Neither candidate faced a primary opponent in August.[4][5]

Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
May 31, 2016
August 9, 2016
November 8, 2016

Primary: A primary election is an election in which registered voters select a candidate that they believe should be a political party's candidate for elected office to run in the general election. They are also used to choose convention delegates and party leaders. Primaries are state-level and local-level elections that take place prior to a general election. Minnesota utilizes an open primary system, in which registered voters do not have to be members of a party to vote in that party's primary.[6][7][8]

For information about which offices are nominated via primary election, see this article.


Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent was Rick Nolan (D), who was first elected in 2012.

The 8th District covers the northeastern part of Minnesota. The district includes the counties of Aitkin, Carlton, Cass, Chisago, Cook, Crow Wing, Hubbard, Isanti, Itasca, Kanabec, Koochiching, Lake, Mille Lacs, Morrison, Pine, St. Louis, and Wadena. A section of Beltrami County is also included in the district.[9]

Election results

General election

U.S. House, Minnesota District 8 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngRick Nolan Incumbent 50.2% 179,098
     Republican Stewart Mills 49.6% 177,089
     N/A Write-in 0.2% 792
Total Votes 356,979
Source: Minnesota Secretary of State

Candidates

General election candidates:

Democratic Party Rick Nolan Approveda
Republican Party Stewart Mills

Primary candidates:[10]

Democratic

Rick Nolan - Incumbent[4] Approveda

Republican

Stewart Mills[11][12] Approveda


Race background

Incumbent Rick Nolan was one of the initial 14 members of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's Frontline Program. The program was designed to help protect vulnerable Democratic incumbents heading into the 2016 election.[13]

Stewart Mills was a member of the NRCC's Young Guns Program in 2016. The Young Guns program "supports and mentors challenger and open-seat candidates in races across the country."[14]

Polls

Minnesota’s 8th District - Rick Nolan vs. Stewart Mills
Poll Democratic Party Rick Nolan Republican Party Stewart MillsMargin of ErrorSample Size
SurveyUSA
October 16-19, 2016
41%45%+/-4.1595
Clarity Campaign Labs
October 10-11, 2016
49%41%+/-4.3514
The Tarrance Group
March 28-30, 2016
49%46%+/-5.0422
Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to [email protected]

Media

Rick Nolan

Support

"Minnesota Tough" - Nolan's first ad, released August 2016
"Bob and Faye" - Nolan campaign ad, released September 2016
"David" - Nolan campaign ad, released October 2016

Opposition

American Action Network ad opposing Iran deal, released September 2015
"Syrians" - Mills ad attacking Nolan for his position on Syrian refugees
"Cozy" - NRCC ad opposing Nolan, released September 2016
"Judgement" - NRCC ad opposing Nolan, released October 2016
"He’s failed us" - Congressional Leadership Fund ad opposing Nolan

Stewart Mills

Support

"Shipman - Mills' first campaign ad, released May 2016
"Scrapyard" - Mills' second TV ad, released May 2016
"Iron Range" - Mills ad opposing Rick Nolan, released August 2016
"Defend" - Mills campaign ad, released September 2016
"Promise" - Mills campaign ad, released September 2016
"Shame" - Mills campaign ad, released October 2016
"Hillary" - Mills campaign ad, released October 2016

Opposition

"Still" - House Majority PAC ad attacking Mills, released August 2016
"Willing" - House Majority PAC ad attacking Mills, released October 2016
"Stewart" - House Majority PAC ad attacking Mills, released October 2016

District history

2014

See also: Minnesota's 8th Congressional District elections, 2014

The 8th Congressional District of Minnesota held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Rick Nolan (D) defeated Stewart Mills (R) and Ray "Skip" Sandman (G) in the general election.

U.S. House, Minnesota District 8 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngRick Nolan Incumbent 48.5% 129,090
     Republican Stewart Mills 47.1% 125,358
     Green Skip Sandman 4.3% 11,450
     N/A Write-in 0.1% 185
Total Votes 266,083
Source: Minnesota Secretary of State

2012

See also: Minnesota's 8th Congressional District elections, 2012

The 8th Congressional District of Minnesota held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012. Rick Nolan (D) won the election in the district.[15]

U.S. House, Minnesota District 8 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngRick Nolan 54.3% 191,976
     Republican Chip Cravaack Incumbent 45.4% 160,520
     NA Write-in 0.3% 1,167
Total Votes 353,663
Source: Minnesota Secretary of State, "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election" (dead link)

Important dates and deadlines

See also: Minnesota elections, 2016

The calendar below lists important dates for political candidates in Minnesota in 2016.

Dates and requirements for candidates in 2016
Deadline Event type Event description
February 1, 2016 Campaign finance 2015 year-end report of receipts and expenditures due
May 17, 2016 Ballot access Candidate filing period opens
May 31, 2016 Ballot access Candidate filing period closes
July 25, 2016 Campaign finance First report of receipts and expenditures due (covering January 1 through July 18)
August 9, 2016 Election date Primary election
October 31, 2016 Campaign finance Second report of receipts and expenditures due (covering January 1 through November 24)
November 8, 2016 Election date General election
January 31, 2017 Campaign finance 2016 year-end report of receipts and expenditures due
Sources: Minnesota Secretary of State, "Filing Periods," accessed June 12, 2015
Minnesota Votes, "2016 Election Dates," accessed June 12, 2015
Minnesota Campaign Finance and Public Disclosure Board, "2016 Disclosure Calendar," accessed October 28, 2015

See also

Footnotes


For information about public policy issues in the 2016 elections, see: Public policy in the 2016 elections!


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
Tom Emmer (R)
District 7
District 8
Democratic Party (6)
Republican Party (4)