United States Senate election in Missouri, 2016
November 8, 2016 |
August 2, 2016 |
Roy Blunt |
Roy Blunt |
Cook Political Report: Toss-up[1] Sabato's Crystal Ball: Toss-up[2] Rothenberg & Gonzales: Pure Toss-up[3] |
Voters in Missouri elected one member to the U.S. Senate in the election on November 8, 2016.
Ballotpedia rated the race for Missouri's U.S. Senate seat as a battleground, in part, because of the Democratic Party's effort to turn a state that leaned Republican into Democratic territory. However, incumbent Roy Blunt (R) won re-election, defeating Jason Kander (D) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Blunt also defeated Jonathan Dine (L), Fred Ryman (Constitution Party), Johnathan McFarland (G), and write-in candidates Gina Bufe and Patrick Lee.
Kander's strategy was to run as a political outsider and try to paint Blunt as a Washington insider. According to The Kansas City Star, “Kander labels Blunt the 'consummate Washington insider' and insists Blunt has lost touch with voters who sent him to the Capitol. Kander further contends that Blunt is far too cozy with lobbyists and is in fact married to one while three of his children are lobbyists.” In response, Blunt tried to tie Kander to "Hillary Clinton and President Barack Obama, both of whom are unpopular in the state.”[4]
Satellite groups also sought to influence the race by spending $44,961,510. In the last weeks of the race, the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee planned to spend $3.5 million to support Kander's bid to unseat Blunt. Republicans also spent money on the race to protect Blunt's seat and their majority in the Senate. The Senate Leadership Fund invested $2.5 million in Missouri in September.[5][6][7]
In his concession speech, Kander encouraged his supporters, especially his young supporters, to stay involved in politics despite the results. He said, "They need to know that I'm not OK with them stepping away, that this country is a place you've got to stay invested in. This generation is not going anywhere."[8]
In his victory speech, Blunt said, "What a great moment for our state." Blunt, who distanced himself from Trump during the campaign, was optimistic about Republican control of the presidency and Congress. He said, "A Republican president and a Republican Senate and a Republican House can do things to change this country and focus again on opportunity."[8]
This election was one of Ballotpedia's top 10 congressional races in 2016. Click here to read the full list.
HISTORICAL FACTS | |
Candidate Filing Deadline | Primary Election | General Election |
---|---|---|
Primary: A primary election is an election in which registered voters select a candidate that they believe should be a political party's candidate for elected office to run in the general election. They are also used to choose convention delegates and party leaders. Primaries are state-level and local-level elections that take place prior to a general election. Missouri utilizes an open primary system, in which registered voters do not have to be members of a party to vote in that party's primary.[9][10][11]
For information about which offices are nominated via primary election, see this article.
Incumbent: The election filled the Class 3 Senate seat held by Roy Blunt (R). He was first elected in 2010.
Election results
General election
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Roy Blunt Incumbent | 49.2% | 1,378,458 | |
Democratic | Jason Kander | 46.4% | 1,300,200 | |
Libertarian | Jonathan Dine | 2.4% | 67,738 | |
Green | Johnathan McFarland | 1.1% | 30,743 | |
Constitution | Fred Ryman | 0.9% | 25,407 | |
N/A | Write-in | 0% | 95 | |
Total Votes | 2,802,641 | |||
Source: Missouri Secretary of State |
Primary election
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Roy Blunt | 72.6% | 481,444 | ||
Kristi Nichols | 20.2% | 134,025 | ||
Ryan Luethy | 4.4% | 29,328 | ||
Bernie Mowinski | 2.8% | 18,789 | ||
Total Votes | 663,586 | |||
Source: Missouri Secretary of State |
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Jason Kander | 69.9% | 223,492 | ||
Cori Bush | 13.3% | 42,453 | ||
Chief Wana Dubie | 9.5% | 30,432 | ||
Robert Mack | 7.3% | 23,509 | ||
Total Votes | 319,886 | |||
Source: Missouri Secretary of State |
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Jonathan Dine | 54.9% | 2,002 | ||
Herschel Young | 45.1% | 1,642 | ||
Total Votes | 3,644 | |||
Source: Missouri Secretary of State |
Candidates
General election candidates: Jason Kander Jonathan Dine Johnathan McFarland Fred Ryman Gina Bufe (Write-in) Patrick Lee (Write-in) |
Primary candidates:[12] |
Democratic Chief Wana Dubie[14] Jason Kander - Missouri Secretary of State[15] Robert Mack[16] |
Republican Bernie Mowinski[14] Kristi Nichols[14] Ryan Luethy |
Third Party/Other Herschel Young (Libertarian)[16] Fred Ryman (Constitution Party)[17] Gina Bufe (Write-in)[18] Patrick Lee (Write-in)[19] |
Not running: |
Withdrew: MD Rabbi Alam[21][16] Christopher Batsche[22][16] Andrew Ostrowski[23][16] |
Race background
Trump's coattails
Blunt benefited from President Donald Trump's coattails. Trump won 57.1 percent of the vote, while Blunt won 49.4 percent of the vote, a 7.7 percent difference.
A full breakdown of the Republican presidential and Senate races appears below.
*Ballotpedia identified the highlighted races as battleground races and races to watch. The vote percentages are from CNN and will be updated after the final results are released.
2016 Republican Presidential and Senate election results | |||
---|---|---|---|
State | Presidential candidate vote % | Senate candidate vote % | Vote % Difference |
Alabama | Donald Trump | Incumbent Richard Shelby | |
Totals | 62.9% | 64.2% | Shelby +1.3% |
Alaska | Donald Trump | Incumbent Lisa Murkowski | |
Totals | 53.3% | 43.8% | Trump +9.5% |
Arizona | Donald Trump | Incumbent John McCain | |
Totals | 49.5% | 53.4% | McCain +3.9% |
Arkansas | Donald Trump | Incumbent John Boozman | |
Totals | 60.4% | 59.8% | Trump +0.6% |
Florida | Donald Trump | Incumbent Marco Rubio | |
Totals | 49.1% | 52.1% | Rubio +3.0% |
Georgia | Donald Trump | Incumbent Johnny Isakson | |
Totals | 51.4% | 55.1% | Isakson +3.7% |
Idaho | Donald Trump | Incumbent Mike Crapo | |
Totals | 59.0% | 66.0% | Crapo +7.0% |
Indiana | Donald Trump | Todd Young | |
Totals | 57.2% | 52.2% | Trump + 5.0% |
Iowa | Donald Trump | Incumbent Chuck Grassley | |
Totals | 51.7% | 60.1% | Grassley +8.4% |
Kansas | Donald Trump | Incumbent Jerry Moran | |
Totals | 57.2% | 62.4% | Moran +5.2% |
Kentucky | Donald Trump | Incumbent Rand Paul | |
Totals | 62.5% | +57.3% | Trump +5.2% |
Louisiana | Donald Trump | Multiple Republican candidates | |
Totals | 58.1% | (Race not called) | - |
Missouri | Donald Trump | Incumbent Roy Blunt | |
Totals | 57.1% | 49.4% | Trump +7.7% |
North Carolina | Donald Trump | Incumbent Richard Burr | |
Totals | 50.5% | 51.1% | Burr +0.6% |
North Dakota | Donald Trump | Incumbent John Hoeven | |
Totals | 64.1% | 78.6% | Hoeven +14.5% |
Ohio | Donald Trump | Incumbent Rob Portman | |
Totals | 52.1% | 58.3% | Portman +6.2% |
Oklahoma | Donald Trump | Incumbent James Lankford | |
Totals | 65.3% | 67.7% | Lankford +2.4% |
Pennsylvania | Donald Trump | Incumbent Pat Toomey | |
Totals | 48.8% | 48.9% | Toomey +0.1% |
South Carolina | Donald Trump | Incumbent Tim Scott | |
Totals | 55.6% | 61.2% | Scott +5.6% |
South Dakota | Donald Trump | Incumbent John Thune | |
Totals | 61.5% | 71.8% | Thune +10.3% |
Utah | Donald Trump | Incumbent Mike Lee | |
Totals | 45.5% | 67.4% | Lee +21.9% |
Wisconsin | Donald Trump | Incumbent Ron Johnson | |
Totals | 47.9% | 50.2% | Johnson +2.3% |
California | Donald Trump | No Republican on the ballot | |
Totals | 33.3% | No Republican on the ballot | - |
Colorado | Donald Trump | Darryl Glenn | |
Totals | 44.8% | 45.8% | Glenn +1.0% |
Connecticut | Donald Trump | Dan Carter | |
Totals | 41.6% | 35.3% | Trump +6.3% |
Hawaii | Donald Trump | John Carroll | |
Totals | 30.1% | 22.2% | Trump +7.9% |
Illinois | Donald Trump | Incumbent Mark Kirk | |
Totals | 39.4% | 40.2% | Kirk +0.8% |
Maryland | Donald Trump | Kathy Szeliga | |
Totals | 35.3% | 36.4% | Szeliga +1.1% |
Nevada | Donald Trump | Joe Heck | |
Totals | 45.5% | 44.7% | Trump +0.8% |
New Hampshire | Donald Trump | Incumbent Kelly Ayotte | |
Totals | 47.2% | 47.9% | Ayotte +0.7% |
New York | Donald Trump | Wendy Long | |
Totals | 37.5% | 27.5% | Trump +10.0% |
Oregon | Donald Trump | Mark Callahan | |
Totals | 41.3% | 33.9% | Trump +7.4% |
Vermont | Donald Trump | Scott Milne | |
Totals | 32.6% | 33.0% | Milne +0.4% |
Washington | Donald Trump | Chris Vance | |
Totals | 37.7% | 39.2% | Vance +1.5% |
Totals | Trump's average win: 55.4% | Republican senators' average win: 58.6% | Republican senators +3.2% |
Debate
Blunt, Kander, Ryman, McFarland, and Dine participated in a debate on September 30, 2016. The candidates discussed the Supreme Court vacancy, prescription opioid abuse, free college education, immigration, the Zika virus, and the Second Amendment. The full debate can be viewed here.[24]
Primary election
In the primary elections on August 2, 2016, Blunt defeated Republican challengers Bernie Mowinski, Kristi Nichols, and Ryan Luethy, while Kander defeated Cori Bush, Chief Wana Dubie, and Robert Mack to win the Democratic nomination. Dine defeated Herschel Young in the Libertarian primary.[25]
Kander enters race
The first Democratic candidate, Missouri Secretary of State Jason Kander, announced his entry into the race on February 19, 2015. In a video statement Kander said, "[I]t's time for a new generation of leaders."[26]
Presidential preference
Roy Blunt
- On October 9, 2016, after The Washington Post released a 2005 video of Trump making comments about women that were described as "extremely lewd,” Blunt called Trump's comments "disrespectful and inappropriate." He later told a reporter that he would still vote for Trump.[27][28]
- In March 2016, Blunt said, "I'll support the nominee. I think any of our candidates would be a better president than Secretary Clinton or Senator Sanders."[29]
Jason Kander
- See also: Endorsements for Hillary Clinton
- Kander did not attend the Democratic National Convention. According to KOMU.com, “Kander said he endorses Hillary Clinton for president, but that he's focused on his campaign.” Kander said, "I just wanted to make sure I could be here to talk to voters in Missouri, and that's exactly what we're doing.”[30]
- On November 13, 2015, Kander joined Clinton’s “Hillary for Missouri Leadership Council.”[31]
Issues
Supreme Court vacancy
- See also: Supreme Court vacancy, 2016: An overview
During the debate on September 30, 2016, the candidates were asked how they would approach their review of nominees to the United States Supreme Court. Their answers appear below.[24]
- Kander: “I would start by meeting with them. Senator Blunt has refused to meet with the president’s nominee to the Supreme Court. … When asked why he has not, he said he did not have time. When I was in Afghanistan, there were meetings I did not want to go to in dangerous places, but I went to those meetings because it's my job. No matter who is elected President of the United States in November, when I am in the United States and, no matter who was president, no matter who they nominate, I will pledge that I will absolutely meet with them and will consider their qualifications for the court.”
- Dine: "I would look to someone like Judge Andrew Napolitano, who is a staunch defender of both your economic freedom and your personal liberty. I would look to someone who would really believe in the Constitution and what it stands for. For far too long, the Supreme Court, supposedly the defenders of the Constitution, have sided with the state. In too many examples to list, your Fourth Amendment rights have been violated by both the NSA, the government. We need someone who is not just going to pay lip service to these things and actually stand up for your rights. Those are the types of people I would look for. It is a rare quality so you would really have to look, but Judge Andrew Napolitano is one of the best examples."
- Ryman: "We look at the prior rulings, we would want to make sure they are Constitutional. But I think your question maybe did not go far enough. Because it's not simply about approving justices we believe will rule constitutionally. We have justices and judges that are ruling from the bench in such a way that they are creating new law. The Senate should be working with the House frankly to impeach and remove justices going far beyond the bounds of what they should be doing. I can give you several examples. Kelo v. City of New London, an eminent domain lawsuit where the courts basically substituted public benefit for public use in determining whether property could be condemned and given to another individual. South Dakota v. Elizabeth Dole, on issues of denial of funds. Again, we need to remove those that are not ruling according to the Constitution."
- Blunt: “I think the next Senate and the next president will have an opportunity to reshape the court that you probably won’t see for two or three presidencies. We know there’s one vacancy. I think you’d have to assume in all likelihood there’d be two. I suspect there might be three and even four. One of the things voters ought to be thinking about is who is going to be nominating judges to the court and who is going to be confirming those nominations. There’s no House of Representatives’ role here. It is the Senate and the White House. And I think we need judges who will read the Constitution and try to figure out what the Constitution says rather than look at the case and try to figure out what they think the Constitution should have said. This is a big moment. Voters get a chance to be heard on this moment. There was no reason to confirm Judge Garland. He's a perfectly nice man with a perfectly bad judicial record.”
- McFarland: "I think the Constitution reads that the president is to select a nominee for the Supreme Court, and there's not much left to the imagination. Therefore, President Obama is the president and therefore, if he chooses somebody for the Supreme Court, I feel I would have no choice but to honor that choice. And then, you know, make my decision. But I strongly feel no matter who the president is, no matter who that president chooses, I would at least entertain that idea of making that choice so that we could continue with our democracy.
Prescription opioid abuse
During the debate on September 30, 2016, the candidates were asked how they would handle the preseciption opioid abuse epidemic. Their answers appear below.[24]
- Dine: “Drug use is a health issue, not a criminal justice one. Far too many people are addicted to drugs, but the stigma of persecution makes it hard to seek treatment.”
- Ryman: “I would disagree that that is something the federal government should be involved in. It is the state's responsibility covering that, definitely.’
- Blunt: “This is a place where listening does matter. I talk to someone he reads your paper every day who has a daughter who has a huge problem with this. We had a discussion some months ago. … Before this became a big national discussion, we cut other programs to triple the commitment we had to opioid abuse. Our teaching hospitals...are all looking at how you prescribe pain medicine in different ways. I sat down with three with them at St. Louis, kansas city university and kirksville, to talk about how they are doing this differently. Me and senator mccaskill only vote together about half the time...but this is a case where in the CARA bill -- the bill we just passed to make a more defined approach to this, we put a provision in their so our counties could link together and have their own prescription drug monitoring system.”
- McFarland: “We need to alleviate the problems of nonviolent offenders in jail. … I don't believe we should he penalizing everybody because they are doing drugs. I think we should treat it as a health care issue… . We need funding so we should do that as opposed to throwing people in jail, which we also use funding for. That would alleviate a lot of our problems.”
- Kander: “We do need a prescription drug abuse monitoring program. We need leadership at every level to get it. We need to do more. There have been good steps taken, but we need to do more. … We need a new generation of leadership. Folks who will focus on solutions instead of letting this become so partisan. We also need to recognize that ultimately drug use of every type tends to follow economic concerns. At a time when we have folks in Congress protecting tax breaks that send jobs overseas and backing trade deals that send jobs overseas, that does not help any situation. We need to focus on the middle class and make sure that they have more economic opportunity and traditionally when we have done that, we have seen problems like this tick downward.”
Free college education
During the debate on September 30, 2016, the candidates were asked if they support providing everyone with a free college education. Their answers appear below.[24]
- Ryman: “No, I do not believe in giving away free college. … I used to be a teacher myself. I'm not speaking from complete ignorance here. I went to college for two years. I maintained a 3.2 GPA. When I went back to school at the age of 30 and had to pay for my own education, I maintained a 3.8 plus. When I went back at age 40, I maintained a 4.0. … You appreciate what you have to pay for, but more than that it's the general philosophy developing in this country where we look to the feds to solve all of our problems. And I'm sorry, but the federal government is not the solution to most of our problems. The federal government is the problem most of the time.”
- Blunt: “I think the sort of fast talk about free college education without any real idea how to pay for it is foolish. One of the things I have tried to do and I believe we will get done this year is return to the year-round Pell grant. This is the grant you get if you truly are qualified economically to get, not a loan, but a grant. If you can go to school in the fall and the spring and stay in school in the summer and particularly if you are the first person in your family to finish college, like I was, not doing anything that disrupts that pattern, makes a difference. If you are going back to school as an adult, not having to take that semester off. If you get full Pell, there's no community college that that doesn’t pay for. It pays for all tuition, all books, all fees, and a couple of our four-year schools. Returning to the year-round Pell would be a big help to students struggling to get college."
- McFarland: ”I believe free education is a great idea. I believe that the American people could be much more intelligent with such a device and we can work on it. We can work on it by getting there economically. Jill Stein has put together a program for a free educational system. And if we just allow our tax bracket to just be -- if we allow our taxes to go without loopholes and just allow rich people to be taxed fairly, we could see an increase of two $4 billion in our funding of the free educational system."
- Kander: “I disagree with those who say we should make it free. It is too expensive. Here is something we can do. We can make it where people who have student loans can refinance that student loan the same way they can a home loan or an auto loan. We can cap the interest that they pay. Those are concrete things we can do that would help a lot. I personally was amazed last year when Senator Blunt said something along the lines the reason folks are graduating with so much debt is because of their lifestyle during school as if the extra bowl of ramen in the microwave was the reason that folks are graduating with an average of $26,000 of debt. It's interesting to hear Senator Blunt talk about Pell grants because Senator Blunt voted to cut Pell grants five years ago and he's talking about is a situation now where he has worked to restore the funding back to where it was. He is just taking it back to where it was before he cut it. Senator, someone who sets a fire and puts it out is not a fireman. He is an arsonist."
- Dine: You think college is expensive now. Wait until it is free. Let's get government out of the loansharking business. Easy to secure government loans have artificially inflated the price of college. If the government was not giving out all of these loans at ridiculously high rate, colleges would be forced to let people in or go out of business. It is the same concept that went to the housing market, because the housing bubble. We are in an education bubble. We need to reevaluate our educational system in particular. We have these kids for 12 years already and we can't get them ready to join the workforce? They should graduate with a high school degree that should get them in a job. The idea you have to pay ridiculous amounts of money for a piece of paper that says now you're ready to make some money does not make sense to me. They should keep the wise words. Give a man a fish, if you demand for a day. Teach a man to fish, you feed him for a lifetime.”
Healthcare
As insurers left Missouri's healthcare market and residents across the country saw rising healthcare premiums, the future of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (ACA), also known as Obamacare, was a central issue in the Senate race. The Hill reported that “[a]bout 85 percent of counties in Missouri will have only one insurer this fall, according to a study by the Kaiser Family Foundation.”[32] Blunt supported repealing and replacing the ACA, while Kander supported fixing the healthcare law.
Blunt: Repeal and replace the ACA
In an op-ed published on October 22, 2016, Blunt discussed the legislation that he introduced to protect citizens from potential penalties for not obtaining healthcare due to rising costs and limited choices and his ideas for replacing the ACA. He wrote, “Missourians shouldn’t be penalized for the president’s failure to live up to his promises. That’s why I’ve cosponsored two bills that would exempt individuals and families from the penalty if their county has either one insurance provider or none at all, or if their premiums have increased by more than 10 percent.”[33]
Blunt proposed the following to improve healthcare:[33]
- Expanding and reforming “high-risk pools to provide insurance options for people with pre-existing conditions;”
- Allowing “Missourians to put more of their pre-tax dollars into portable health savings accounts and use those funds to pay their premiums;”
- Allowing “small businesses to pool together to purchase coverage for their employees;” and
- Allowing “families to purchase plans across state lines.”
Blunt wrote, “Whether it’s rising premiums, sky-high deductibles or fewer health care choices, Obamacare has proven unworkable and unaffordable. That’s why I’ve voted to repeal the law, and why I’ll continue working to advance real solutions that will ensure Missourians have access to quality health care they can afford.”[33]
Blunt supports the House GOP healthcare plan
In June, House Republicans introduced their “A Better Way” healthcare plan to replace the ACA. According to Cincinnati.com, the plan proposed the following:[34]
- ”Provide refundable tax credits to help defray the costs of insurance, as the Obamacare subsidies do now. The credits would apply to a wider array of insurance options, however, and they would come with fewer strings attached.”
- ”Cap damages patients can receive in medical malpractice cases, which Republicans argue would ease pressure on doctors to practice ‘defensive medicine’ to shield themselves from frivolous lawsuits. Democrats say it would close off a legitimate remedy for patients who have received inappropriate medical treatment.”
- ”Shift the sickest Americans into federally subsidized high-risk pools run at the state level, which supporters say would lower the cost of insurance for healthier individuals who don’t need extensive health services.”
Commenting on the plan, Blunt said, “I think you would see the cost to the consumer reduced significantly. By allowing consumers to purchase the coverage they need rather than the coverage the government believes they need, insurance companies can go back to offering appropriate coverage and lowering premiums and deductibles.”[34]
Kander: Fix the ACA
Kander supported fixing the ACA by doing the following, according to Cincinnati.com:[35]
- ”Repealing the ‘Cadillac tax’ on generous employer-sponsored plans, which was aimed at limiting bells-and-whistles coverage but could hit some union workers who have high-end insurance;”
- ”Increasing the number of hours an employee can work before his or her employer must offer health insurance under the Affordable Care Act;”
- ”Giving tax breaks to more small businesses that provide health insurance to their employees. The ACA now provides such breaks to companies with up to 25 employees, and Kander wants to expand that to firms with up to 50 employees;” and
- Creating “a new scaled-down coverage option on the health exchanges for ‘people who are fortunate enough to not need much medical care.”
Kander said, “There are clearly changes that need to be made to the Affordable Care Act to better incentivize insurers so that their participation becomes the best business decision.”[34]
Kander said he does not support a limited “public option,” which was proposed by Hillary Clinton.[34]
Campaign themes
Jason Kander
The following issues were listed on Kander's campaign website.[36]
- Advocating for Veterans and Military Families:
- Served "in Afghanistan in the Army as a military intelligence officer."
- Understands "the unique challenges veterans face upon returning home and the need for the U.S. Department of Veteran Affairs to provide the highest level of service to veterans."
- Proposed and helped pass the “Startups for Soldiers” Act, "which waived all business start-up fees for members of the National Guard and active duty military members returning to Missouri."
- Created a "website for service members to request an absentee ballot online."
- Supported the effort to get "Fort Leonard Wood in the Ozarks to be the site for an Army research trial on PTSD."
- Supporting Missouri Businesses:
- Working on "legislation to reduce business fees to the lowest in the nation and eliminate unnecessary paperwork for family farms."
- Pushed to allow Missourians to file business forms online.
- "[L]aunched #FergusonRebuild, a nonprofit initiative to raise private money to provide grants to businesses in Ferguson and the surrounding area that were damaged or destroyed during the unrest."
- Fighting for the Middle Class:
- "[H]elped return millions of dollars to Missourians who were scammed out of their hard earned savings."
- Worked "to get $21.5 million for Missouri taxpayers after an investigation into Standard & Poor’s revealed the company had mislead Missourians."
- "[F]ought to expand health care coverage for all Missourians, especially children."
- Supports early childhood education.
- Former member of the United Transportation Union.
- Member "of the legal team that advised the Kansas City Fraternal Order of Police when it was officially recognized as a union by the police department."
- Pushing for Open and Honest Government:
- "[C]reated a public comment period when drafting the summary language for ballot questions."
- "[S]tarted an initiative to make the state legislature more open and accessible to Missourians, www.TheMissouriChannel.com."
- "[C]ut more than $1 million from his office’s budget while simultaneously offering more services than any Secretary of State has in the past" by examining his budget line-by-line.
- Standing up for Women:
- Believes "women still face barriers to equality."
- Supports "equal pay for equal work, high-quality, affordable child care, and earned paid sick leave for women in the workplace."
- Opposes "attempts by the government to interfere with the personal healthcare decisions of women in Missouri."
- "[H]elped take Missouri’s human trafficking laws from some of the weakest to some of the strongest in the country."
- "[S]pearheaded legislation that expanded his office’s Safe at Home program to protect victims of domestic violence and sexual assault."
- Holding Politicians Accountable:
- Supports "campaign finance and ethics reform."
- "[W]orked with a Republican to pass the first ethics reform bill in Missouri in over 20 years."
- "Instituted an ethics policy that prevents secretary of state staff members "from taking gifts from lobbyists."
- Standing Up for Missouri Farmers:
- Supports "cutting red tape and reducing burdensome regulations for farmers and ranchers."
- Proposed eliminating "unnecessary paperwork and fees for family farms."
- "[O]pposed Congress’ decision to sneak in a provision that repealed country-of-origin labeling in the omnibus spending bill at the end of last year."
- "[S]upports establishing normal trade relations with Cuba because it would create vast business opportunities for Missouri farmers and ranchers."
- Protecting Our Environment:
- "[S]upports smart environmental policies that go hand-in-hand with growing our economy."
- Believes "climate change is a real consequence of human activity."
- Supports "reducing carbon pollution and accelerating our transition to clean energy."
- Supports investing in wind, solar, and geothermal energy.
- Supports providing "tax relief to families and businesses that make their homes and offices more efficient."
- Supported the Missouri Clean Energy Act.
- Advocating for the Black Community:
- Believes that "Black Lives Matter."
- Called on lawmakers to find solutions that build trust between law enforcement and citizens with the implementation of body cameras and additional community policing."
- "[E]stablished #FergusonRebuild, a nonprofit initiative that raised $150,000 in private money to help businesses in North St. Louis County that were damaged or destroyed after the death of Michael Brown."
- "[W]orked to fight against extreme voter photo ID laws."
- "[S]upports 'Ban the Box' proposals."
- Believes "[s]ystems of racial bias and prejudice continue to adversely affect predominately Black communities in Missouri and across the nation."
Jonathan Dine
The following issues were listed on Dine's campaign website. For a full list of campaign themes, click here.
“ |
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” |
—Jonathan Dine's campaign website, http://www.vote4dine.com/issues/ |
Fred Ryman
The following issues were listed on Ryman's campaign website. For a full list of campaign themes, click here.
“ |
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” |
—Fred Ryman's campaign website, http://www.voteforfred.org/solutions |
Endorsements
Roy Blunt
- Kansas City Star - "Blunt knows how to get things done. And he does them for the benefit of the Missourians he represents."[38]
- St. Joseph News-Press Now - "We endorse Blunt for re-election on Nov. 8 based on his extensive record of leadership and service. His chief challenger, Democrat Jason Kander, trails in both areas and would pursue a clearly more liberal agenda."[39]
- The Joplin Globe - "In these most uncertain times, The Joplin Globe’s editorial board recommends keeping Blunt, along with his experience and leadership, in Congress."[40]
Jason Kander
- The St. Louis Post-Dispatch - "Ideological extremists have made a mess of Washington. Kander’s voice of moderation is what the Senate needs to end the partisan rancor."[41]
- The Columbia Daily Tribune - "If elected, Kander would be a competent senator and appealing for many because he would not be another retrograde Republican. He would work to overturn Citizens United, the 5-4 Supreme Court decision allowing unlimited campaign contributions. He would support a President Clinton’s appointments to the U.S. Supreme Court. He would work to upgrade, not defeat, the Affordable Care Act. And so on."[42]
- The St. Louis American - "We will add our ringing endorsement just as loudly – and emphasize, along with Booker, that it’s only an especially strong black voter turnout in this red state on November 8 that can elevate Kander to the Senate. We strongly endorse JASON KANDER FOR U.S. SENATE."[43]
Polls
Missouri Senate - Roy Blunt vs. Jason Kander | |||||||||||||||||||
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Poll | Roy Blunt | Jason Kander | Margin of Error | Sample Size | |||||||||||||||
Emerson College October 17-19, 2016 | 44% | 44% | +/-3.9 | 600 | |||||||||||||||
Monmouth University October 9-11, 2016 | 46% | 44% | +/-4.9 | 406 | |||||||||||||||
Emerson College September 9-13, 2016 | 40% | 42% | +/-3.9 | 600 | |||||||||||||||
Remington Research Group (R) September 1-2, 2016 | 47% | 40% | +/-3.0 | 1,275 | |||||||||||||||
Monmouth University August 19-22, 2016 | 48% | 43% | +/-4.9 | 401 | |||||||||||||||
Remington Research Group (R) August 5-6, 2016 | 47% | 40% | +/-3.0 | 1,280 | |||||||||||||||
Remington Research Group (R) February 19, 2015 | 49% | 36% | +/-3.2 | 957 | |||||||||||||||
Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to [email protected] |
Media
Roy Blunt
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Campaign contributions
Source: This graphic was generated using data from the FEC.
Source: This graphic was generated using data from the FEC.
Roy Blunt
Source: This graphic was generated using data from the FEC.
Jason Kander
Source: This graphic was generated using data from the FEC.
Presidential impact
Presidential elections have a significant impact on congressional elections, the most obvious of which is increased voter interest and participation. In the last two decades, presidential elections have led to roughly 15 to 20 percent higher turnout rates than in the corresponding midterm elections.[44] The following chart shows the disparity between voter turnout in presidential elections and midterms.
In the past decade, presidential elections have benefited the Democratic Party, while midterms have helped Republicans. The Democratic Party gained an average of 5 Senate seats in the last two presidential elections, and the Republican Party picked up an average of 7.5 seats in the last two midterms.[45] The fact that 2016 was a presidential election cycle was a cause of increased Republican vulnerability in the Senate.
Election history
2012
On November 6, 2012, Incumbent Claire McCaskill (D) won re-election to the United States Senate. She defeated Todd Akin (R), Jonathan Dine (L) and several write-in candidates in the general election.
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
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Democratic | Claire McCaskill Incumbent | 54.8% | 1,494,125 | |
Republican | Todd Akin | 39.1% | 1,066,159 | |
Libertarian | Jonathan Dine | 6.1% | 165,468 | |
Write-in | Ted Kimzey | 0% | 15 | |
Write-in | Bernard J. "Spark" Duraski, Jr. | 0% | 9 | |
Write-in | William Dean | 0% | 6 | |
Write-in | Bernie Mowinksi | 0% | 5 | |
Write-in | Charlie L. Bailey | 0% | 4 | |
Write-in | Arnie C. "AC" Dienoff | 0% | 2 | |
Total Votes | 2,725,793 | |||
Source: Missouri Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election" |
2010
On November 2, 2010, Roy Blunt won election to the United States Senate. He defeated Robin Carnahan (D), Jonathan Dine (L), Jerry Beck (Constitution) and numerous write-in candidates in the general election.[46]
Important dates and deadlines
- See also: Missouri elections, 2016
The calendar below lists important dates for political candidates in Missouri in 2016.
Dates and requirements for candidates in 2016 | |||
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Deadline | Event type | Event description | |
November 7, 2015 | Ballot access | Filing period opens for presidential preference primary | |
December 22, 2015 | Ballot access | Filing period closes for presidential preference primary | |
January 15, 2016 | Campaign finance | January quarterly report due (for period ending December 31, 2015) | |
February 23, 2016 | Ballot access | Filing period opens for primary election | |
March 15, 2016 | Election date | Presidential preference primary election | |
March 29, 2016 | Ballot access | Filing period closes for primary election | |
April 15, 2016 | Campaign finance | April quarterly report due (for period ending March 31, 2016) | |
July 15, 2016 | Campaign finance | July quarterly report due (for period ending June 30, 2016) | |
July 19, 2016 | Ballot access | Filing period opens for general election | |
July 25, 2016 | Campaign finance | 8-day before election report due (primary) | |
August 2, 2016 | Election date | Primary election | |
August 23, 2016 | Ballot access | Filing period closes for general election | |
September 1, 2016 | Campaign finance | 30-day after election report due (primary) | |
October 17, 2016 | Campaign finance | October quarterly report due (for period ending September 30, 2016) | |
October 31, 2016 | Campaign finance | 8-day before election report due (general) | |
November 8, 2016 | Election date | General election | |
December 8, 2016 | Campaign finance | 30-day after election report due (general) | |
Sources: Missouri Secretary of State, "2016 Missouri Election Calendar," accessed June 12, 2015 Missouri Ethics Commission, "2016 Campaign Finance Filing Requirements and Dates," accessed July 17, 2015 |
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri, 2016
- United States Senate elections, 2016
- Roy Blunt
Footnotes
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "2016 Senate Race Ratings," accessed October 18, 2016
- ↑ Sabato's Crystal Ball, "2016 Senate," accessed October 18, 2016
- ↑ Rothenberg & Gonzales Political Report, "Senate Ratings," accessed October 18, 2016
- ↑ Kansas City Star, "Roy Blunt the insider vs. Jason Kander the outsider sums up U.S. Senate contest in Missouri," accessed September 27, 2016
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed November 12, 2016
- ↑ St. Louis Post-Dispatch, "Missouri Senate race unique in complex national cross-currents of 2016," accessed September 30, 2016
- ↑ National Review, "Missouri’s Senate Race Wasn’t Supposed to Be This Close," accessed September 30, 2016
- ↑ 8.0 8.1 The Military Times, "Incumbent Blunt defeats Kander in Missouri Senate race," accessed November 12, 2016
- ↑ NCSL,"State Primary Election Types," accessed April 4, 2023
- ↑ Ballotpedia research conducted December 26, 2013, through January 3, 2014, researching and analyzing various state websites and codes.
- ↑ John R. Ashcroft Missouri Secretary of State,"Frequently Asked Questions," accessed April 4, 2023
- ↑ Candidates are listed by party and alphabetically within each party.
- ↑ Cori Bush for U.S. Senate, "Cori Bush Files For U.S. Senate Democratic Nomination," February 24, 2016
- ↑ 14.0 14.1 14.2 14.3 The Green Papers, "Missouri 2016 General Election," accessed March 25, 2016
- ↑ News-Press Now, "Kander announces run for U.S. Senate ," February 19, 2015
- ↑ 16.0 16.1 16.2 16.3 16.4 Missouri Secretary of State, "UNOFFICIAL Candidate Filing List," accessed March 30, 2016
- ↑ Fred Ryman for U.S. Senate, "Homepage," accessed March 25, 2016
- ↑ Email submission to Ballotpedia, April 24, 2016
- ↑ Email submission to Ballotpedia, July 29, 2016
- ↑ The Hill, "The return of Todd Akin? ," February 25, 2015
- ↑ Alam4Senate, "Home," accessed May 18, 2015
- ↑ Christopher Batsche for U.S. Senate, "Home," accessed October 2, 2015
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Current candidate information," accessed March 25, 2016
- ↑ 24.0 24.1 24.2 24.3 C-Span, "Missouri Senate Debate," accessed October 25, 2016
- ↑ Politico, "Missouri House Primaries Results," August 2, 2016
- ↑ News-Press Now, "Kander announces run for U.S. Senate," February 19, 2015
- ↑ The Washington Post, "Trump recorded having extremely lewd conversation about women in 2005," October 8, 2016
- ↑ The Arizona Republic, "Blunt: Trump's remarks 'inappropriate,' still voting for him," accessed October 31, 2016
- ↑ NBC News, "Twelve GOP Senators Up For Re-Election Would Back Trump," accessed October 31, 2016
- ↑ KOMU.com, "Jason Kander visits Columbia in 50-stop bus tour," accessed October 31, 2016
- ↑ The Missouri Times, "Clinton Campaign Announces Hillary for Missouri Leadership Council," accessed October 31, 2016
- ↑ The Hill, "GOP senator in tight race doubles down on ObamaCare attacks," accessed October 25, 2016
- ↑ 33.0 33.1 33.2 News-Leader, "Blunt: Obamacare is a disaster," accessed October 25, 2016
- ↑ 34.0 34.1 34.2 34.3 Cincinnati.com, "Health care law a flashpoint in Kander-Blunt Senate race," accessed October 25, 2016
- ↑ News-Leader, Blunt: Obamacare is a disaster, accessed October 25, 2016
- ↑ JasonKander.com, "Issues," accessed September 28, 2016
- ↑ 37.0 37.1 Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributable to the original source.
- ↑ The Kansas City Star, "Roy Blunt deserves re-election to the U.S. Senate," accessed October 31, 2016
- ↑ News-Press Now, "Blunt has earned return to Senate," accessed October 31, 2016
- ↑ The Joplin Globe, "Our View: Blunt gets the job done," accessed October 31, 2016
- ↑ The St. Louis Post-Dispatch, "Editorial: Jason Kander for U.S. Senate," accessed October 31, 2016
- ↑ The Columbia Daily Tribune, "U.S. Senate: Blunt vs. Kander," accessed October 31, 2016
- ↑ The St. Louis American, "The American endorses Kander, Koster, Clay, Otto," accessed October 31, 2016
- ↑ United States Election Project, "Voter Turnout," accessed September 6, 2015
- ↑ United States Senate, "Party Division in the Senate, 1789-Present," accessed September 6, 2015
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
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For information about public policy issues in the 2016 elections, see: Public policy in the 2016 elections!