Arizona Supreme Court elections, 2024
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Justices Clint Bolick and Kathryn Hackett King were retained in the retention election for Arizona's Supreme Court on Nov. 5, 2024. Click here for detailed results.
In Arizona, governors select all supreme court justices from a list of names that the Arizona Commission on Appellate Court Appointments compiles. Once appointed, justices serve at least two years on the court before they must stand for retention in an uncontested yes-no election. Justices who are retained serve six-year terms.
Then-Gov. Doug Ducey (R) appointed Bolick to succeed Justice Rebecca White Berch on the court in 2016. Bolick won retention in 2018 with 70% of the vote. Ducey appointed King, who succeeded Justice Andrew W. Gould, in 2021. This was King's first retention election. Republican governors appointed all seven justices who ,at the time of the election, sat on the nonpartisan court.
As a result of his retention, Bolick may serve on the court until 2027, when he will reach the court’s mandatory retirement age of 70.[1] King's retention meant she could serve a full, six-year term. Gov. Katie Hobbs would have selected a successor in the case that either had lost retention.
Arizona voters also decided on Proposition 137, a statewide ballot measure ending retention elections for judges, on November 5, 2024. That measure was defeated. Click here for detailed results. If voters would have approved the measure, the results of Bolick and King’s retention election would have been nullified.[2] This meant that even if voters decided not to retain the justices, they would not be removed from the court.[3] According to the Arizona Mirror's Caitlin Sievers, the justices would then only need to stand retention if the "Judicial Performance Review Commission finds a judge committed 'a pattern of malfeasance' in office or if the judge: is convicted of a felony; is convicted of a crime involving fraud or dishonesty; files for personal bankruptcy; or has a mortgage that is foreclosed upon."[4]
This election took place against the backdrop of the court’s April 2024 ruling regarding an 1864 abortion law.[5] At the time of the ruling, Arizona had two conflicting abortion laws—an 1864 territorial law banning abortion and a 2022 law with a 15-week ban.[6] The Arizona Supreme Court ruled that the 1864 law took precedent.[6] Bolick and King were part of the 4-2 majority that upheld the law.[7][8]The Arizona Legislature repealed the 1864 law in May 2024.[6]
The Arizona Republic’s Stacey Barchenger wrote that Bolick and King’s decision in the case received attention from organizations that support and oppose their retention.[9] According to Barchenger, two organizations—The Judicial Independence Defense and Arizonans for an Independent Judiciary—had raised about $500,000 through September 30, 2024, to retain Bolick and King.[9] Barchenger also wrote that the organization Protect Abortion Rights: No Retention Bolick & King, which had not reported any fundraising through September 30, 2024, “was relying on individual interaction with voters to oust the judges.”[9]
Arizona was one of 33 states that held state supreme court elections in 2024 and one of 16 that held supreme court retention elections. To read more about which states that held supreme court elections in 2024, click here.
Candidates and results
Bolick's seat
Arizona Supreme Court
Clint Bolick was retained to the Arizona Supreme Court on November 5, 2024 with 58.2% of the vote.
Retention Vote |
% |
Votes |
|||
✔ | Yes |
58.2
|
1,483,184 | ||
No |
41.8
|
1,067,161 | |||
Total Votes |
2,550,345 |
|
King's seat
Arizona Supreme Court
Kathryn Hackett King was retained to the Arizona Supreme Court on November 5, 2024 with 59.3% of the vote.
Retention Vote |
% |
Votes |
|||
✔ | Yes |
59.3
|
1,507,175 | ||
No |
40.7
|
1,035,893 | |||
Total Votes |
2,543,068 |
|
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Arizona
Noteworthy ballot measures
- See also: Arizona 2024 ballot measures
Arizona had 12 ballot measures on the November 5, 2024, ballot. Two notable ones were Proposition 139, which would have provided for a state constitutional right to an abortion, and Proposition 314, which would have allowed law enforcement to arrest any noncitizens who cross the border unlawfully.
Observers and officials commented on whether the amendments would affect voter turnout statewide.
- Consultant Marcus Dell'Artino said the abortion amendment could increase turnout among young voters: “A measure like this in a presidential year number one, and two an issue as personal as abortion, certainly moves those younger voters 18 and older to get out and vote.”[10]
- Democratic strategist Tony Cani said between the two amendments, abortion would be a bigger driver of turnout: "The types of voters who are motivated by the abortion initiative tend to be younger, tend to be women, tend to be voters that in the past have needed more of a reason to show up to the polls. And so I think that on balance, if you’re looking at the two, that the abortion initiative is probably going to drive turnout more."[11]
- Republican consultant Barrett Marson said that the economy would be a more salient issue for voters: “The economy is going to play a much greater role in how people vote — try to get a mortgage around here, try to get a car loan at a reasonable rate. People are unhappy with those metrics right now.”[12]
- On the effect of the immigration measure, U.S. Senate candidate Mark Lamb (R) said, “This would certainly help draw Republican voters out.”[13]
- NPR's Ben Giles said the immigration measure "might drive Republican turnout, but it also might drive turnout among groups who are against this immigration law and then might also vote for Democratic candidates when they head to the polls in November."[14]
- Republican political analyst Sean Noble said: “I think that the people who care about immigration are gonna be motivated to come out for, to vote for Donald Trump just as much as they would for immigration... So I don’t think that the immigration issue on the ballot is gonna actually impact turnout.”[15]
Arizona Right to Abortion Initiative
A "yes" vote supported amending the state constitution to provide for the fundamental right to abortion, among other provisions. |
A "no" vote opposed amending the state constitution to provide for the fundamental right to an abortion. |
To read more about supporters and opponents of the initiative, along with their arguments, click on the box below.
Arizona Immigration and Border Law Enforcement Measure
A "yes" vote supported:
|
A "no" vote opposed making the above changes to state law regarding immigration, border law enforcement, and sale of fentanyl. |
To read more about supporters and opponents of the initiative, along with their arguments, click on the box below.
Election analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about demographics, past elections, and partisan control of the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the state.
- Statewide elections - Information about recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections in the state.
- State partisanship - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
- Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
Cook PVI by congressional district
Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index for Arizona, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
District | Incumbent | Party | PVI |
Arizona's 1st | David Schweikert | Republican | R+2 |
Arizona's 2nd | Eli Crane | Republican | R+6 |
Arizona's 3rd | Ruben Gallego | Democratic | D+24 |
Arizona's 4th | Greg Stanton | Democratic | D+2 |
Arizona's 5th | Andy Biggs | Republican | R+11 |
Arizona's 6th | Juan Ciscomani | Republican | R+3 |
Arizona's 7th | Raul Grijalva | Democratic | D+15 |
Arizona's 8th | Debbie Lesko | Republican | R+10 |
Arizona's 9th | Paul Gosar | Republican | R+16 |
2020 presidential results by 2024 congressional district lines
2020 presidential results in congressional districts based on 2024 district lines, Arizona[18] | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
District | Joe Biden | Donald Trump | ||
Arizona's 1st | 50.1% | 48.6% | ||
Arizona's 2nd | 45.3% | 53.2% | ||
Arizona's 3rd | 74.5% | 23.9% | ||
Arizona's 4th | 54.2% | 43.9% | ||
Arizona's 5th | 41.0% | 57.4% | ||
Arizona's 6th | 49.3% | 49.2% | ||
Arizona's 7th | 65.6% | 32.9% | ||
Arizona's 8th | 42.5% | 56.1% | ||
Arizona's 9th | 36.4% | 62.2% |
2012-2020
How a state's counties vote in a presidential election and the size of those counties can provide additional insights into election outcomes at other levels of government including statewide and congressional races. Below, four categories are used to describe each county's voting pattern over the 2012, 2016, and 2020 presidential elections: Solid, Trending, Battleground, and New. Click [show] on the table below for examples:
County-level voting pattern categories | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | |||||||
Status | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | ||||
Solid Democratic | D | D | D | ||||
Trending Democratic | R | D | D | ||||
Battleground Democratic | D | R | D | ||||
New Democratic | R | R | D | ||||
Republican | |||||||
Status | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | ||||
Solid Republican | R | R | R | ||||
Trending Republican | D | R | R | ||||
Battleground Republican | R | D | R | ||||
New Republican | D | D | R |
Following the 2020 presidential election, 61.8% of Arizonans lived in Maricopa County, the state's one New Democratic county, which voted for the Democratic presidential candidate for the first time in 2020 after voting for the Republican in the preceding two cycles, and 20.0% lived in one of 10 Solid Republican counties. Overall, Arizona was New Democratic, having voted for Mitt Romney (R) in 2012, Donald Trump (R) in 2016, and Joe Biden (D) in 2020. Use the table below to view the total number of each type of county in Arizona following the 2020 election as well as the overall percentage of the state population located in each county type.
Arizona county-level statistics, 2020 | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New Democratic | 1 | 61.8% | |||||
Solid Republican | 10 | 20.0% | |||||
Solid Democratic | 4 | 18.2% | |||||
Total voted Democratic | 5 | 80.0% | |||||
Total voted Republican | 10 | 20.0% |
Historical voting trends
Arizona presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 9 Democratic wins
- 19 Republican wins
Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Winning Party | N/A | N/A | N/A | D | D | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | D |
This section details the results of the five most recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections held in the state.
U.S. Senate elections
The table below details the vote in the five most recent U.S. Senate races in Arizona.
U.S. Senate election results in Arizona | ||
---|---|---|
Race | Winner | Runner up |
2022 | 51.4% | 46.5% |
2020 | 51.2% | 48.8% |
2018 | 50.0% | 47.6% |
2016 | 53.7% | 40.8% |
2012 | 49.2% | 46.1% |
Average | 52.7 | 43.6 |
Gubernatorial elections
- See also: Governor of Arizona
The table below details the vote in the five most recent gubernatorial elections in Arizona.
Gubernatorial election results in Arizona | ||
---|---|---|
Race | Winner | Runner up |
2022 | 50.3% | 49.6% |
2018 | 56.0% | 41.8% |
2014 | 53.4% | 41.6% |
2010 | 54.3% | 42.4% |
2006 | 62.6% | 35.4% |
Average | 54.5 | 41.3 |
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Arizona's congressional delegation as of May 2024.
Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Arizona | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
Democratic | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Republican | 0 | 6 | 6 |
Independent | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 2 | 9 | 11 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Arizona's top three state executive offices as of May 2024.
State executive officials in Arizona, May 2024 | |
---|---|
Office | Officeholder |
Governor | Katie Hobbs |
Secretary of State | Adrian Fontes |
Attorney General | Kris Mayes |
State legislature
Arizona State Senate
Party | As of February 2024 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 14 | |
Republican Party | 16 | |
Other | 0 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 30 |
Arizona House of Representatives
Party | As of February 2024 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 28 | |
Republican Party | 31 | |
Other | 0 | |
Vacancies | 1 | |
Total | 60 |
Trifecta control
The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.
Arizona Party Control: 1992-2024
No Democratic trifectas • Twenty-two years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D |
Senate | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | S | S | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
House | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
The table below details demographic data in Arizona and compares it to the broader United States as of 2022.
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Demographic Data for Arizona | ||
---|---|---|
Arizona | United States | |
Population | 7,151,502 | 331,449,281 |
Land area (sq mi) | 113,654 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White | 66.7% | 65.9% |
Black/African American | 4.6% | 12.5% |
Asian | 3.4% | 5.8% |
Native American | 4.1% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander | 0.2% | 0.2% |
Two or more | 13.4% | 8.8% |
Hispanic/Latino | 32% | 18.7% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate | 88.7% | 89.1% |
College graduation rate | 31.8% | 34.3% |
Income | ||
Median household income | $72,581 | $75,149 |
Persons below poverty level | 9.2% | 8.8% |
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2020). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2017-2022). | ||
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
About the Arizona Supreme Court
- See also: Arizona Supreme Court
The Arizona Supreme Court is composed of seven justices who are appointed by the governor and then must stand for retention by voters thereafter. A full term on the court is six years.
Political composition
This was the political composition of the court heading into the 2024 election.
■ James Beene | Appointed by Gov. Doug Ducey (R) in 2019 |
■ Clint Bolick | Appointed by Gov. Doug Ducey (R) in 2016 |
■ Vacant | |
■ Kathryn Hackett King | Appointed by Gov. Doug Ducey (R) in 2021 |
■ John Lopez IV | Appointed by Gov. Doug Ducey (R) in 2016 |
■ Bill Montgomery | Appointed by Gov. Doug Ducey (R) in 2019 |
■ Ann Timmer | Appointed by Gov. Jan Brewer (R) in 2012 |
Selection
- See also: Judicial selection in Arizona
Each of the seven justices on the Arizona Supreme Court serves initial two-year terms. Subsequent terms are six years. In the case of a vacancy, the seat is filled as it normally would be if the vacancy occurred at the end of a justice's term. Potential justices submit applications to the Arizona Commission on Appellate Court Appointments, and once the commission has chosen a slate of nominees, the governor picks one from that list. After occupying the seat for two years, the newly appointed justice stands for retention in the next general election. The justice then serves a full six-year term if he or she is retained by voters.[19]
Qualifications
To serve on this court, a justice:[20]
“ |
|
” |
Election context
- See also: Arizona Supreme Court elections
2024
- See also: Arizona Supreme Court elections, 2024
Candidates and results
Bolick's seat
Arizona Supreme Court
Clint Bolick was retained to the Arizona Supreme Court on November 5, 2024 with 58.2% of the vote.
Retention Vote |
% |
Votes |
|||
✔ | Yes |
58.2
|
1,483,184 | ||
No |
41.8
|
1,067,161 | |||
Total Votes |
2,550,345 |
|
King's seat
Arizona Supreme Court
Kathryn Hackett King was retained to the Arizona Supreme Court on November 5, 2024 with 59.3% of the vote.
Retention Vote |
% |
Votes |
|||
✔ | Yes |
59.3
|
1,507,175 | ||
No |
40.7
|
1,035,893 | |||
Total Votes |
2,543,068 |
|
2022
- See also: Arizona Supreme Court elections, 2022
Candidates and results
Arizona Supreme Court - Retention elections (November 8, 2022) | |
|
|
Office | Candidates |
Beene's seat |
James P. Beene (i) |
Montgomery's seat |
Bill Montgomery (i) |
Timmer's seat |
Ann Timmer (i) |
2020
- See also: Arizona Supreme Court elections, 2020
Candidates and results
Arizona Supreme Court - Retention elections (November 3, 2020) | |
|
|
Office | Candidates |
Brutinel's seat |
Robert Brutinel (i) |
Gould's seat |
Andrew W. Gould (i) |
Lopez's seat |
John Lopez IV (i) |
2024 battleground elections
- See also: Battlegrounds
This was a battleground election. Other 2024 battleground elections included:
- Missouri Secretary of State election, 2024 (August 6 Republican primary)
- New York's 18th Congressional District election, 2024
- North Carolina House of Representatives elections, 2024
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ The Copper Courier, "Could an Arizona Supreme Court retirement happen this year?" July 2, 2024
- ↑ Bolts, "Arizona GOP Asks Voters to Nullify the Judicial Elections They’ll Be Voting On," September 27, 2024
- ↑ Arizona Mirror, "SHOULD JUDGES ONLY FACE VOTERS IF THEY ARE CONVICTED OF A FELONY OR GET A NEGATIVE PERFORMANCE REVIEW?" accessed October 30, 2024
- ↑ Arizona Mirror, "Progressive group asks AZ Supreme Court to block ballot measure giving judges lifetime appointments," August 16, 2024
- ↑ NBC News, "Arizona Gov. Katie Hobbs signs repeal of 1864 abortion ban," May 2, 2024
- ↑ 6.0 6.1 6.2 NBC News, "Arizona Gov. Katie Hobbs signs repeal of 1864 abortion ban," May 2, 2024
- ↑ Justice Bill Montgomery recused himself from the case.
- ↑ The New York Times, "Read the Arizona Supreme Court’s Abortion Ruling," April 9, 2024
- ↑ 9.0 9.1 9.2 The Arizona Republic, "Voters to decide if Clint Bolick, Kathryn King will remain Arizona Supreme Court justices," October 18, 2024
- ↑ AZ Family, "Arizona’s abortion measure, presidential race likely to boost young voter turnout," accessed August 17, 2024
- ↑ KJZZ, "KJZZ's Friday NewsCap: Big win, small setback for AZ abortion rights initiative," accessed August 17, 2024
- ↑ Washington Examiner, "Harris banks on abortion ballot measures for Southwest path to victory," accessed August 17, 2024
- ↑ The New York Times, "Immigration Measure Added to the Ballot in Arizona," accessed August 17, 2024
- ↑ North County Public Radio, "In Arizona, will abortion access and immigration ballot measures drive turnout?," accessed August 17, 2024
- ↑ KOLD, "HCR 2060 could have huge impact on voter turnout in November," accessed August 17, 2024
- ↑ Arizona for Abortion Access, "Homepage," accessed January 10, 2023
- ↑ It Goes Too Far, "Homepage," accessed January 10, 2023
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012," accessed December 15, 2023
- ↑ Brennan Center for Justice, "Judicial Selection: An Interactive Map," accessed March 23, 2023
- ↑ Arizona Judicial Branch, "AZ Supreme Court," accessed March 24, 2023
- ↑ Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributable to the original source.
Federal courts:
Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals • U.S. District Court: District of Arizona • U.S. Bankruptcy Court: District of Arizona
State courts:
Arizona Supreme Court • Arizona Court of Appeals • Arizona Superior Court • Arizona Justice Courts • Arizona Municipal Courts
State resources:
Courts in Arizona • Arizona judicial elections • Judicial selection in Arizona
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