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2024 United States Senate election in North Dakota

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2024 United States Senate election in North Dakota

← 2018 November 5, 2024 2030 →
 
Nominee Kevin Cramer Katrina Christiansen
Party Republican Democratic–NPL
Popular vote 241,569 121,602
Percentage 66.31% 33.38%

County results
Cramer:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Christiansen:      60–70%      70–80%

U.S. senator before election

Kevin Cramer
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Kevin Cramer
Republican

The 2024 United States Senate election in North Dakota was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of North Dakota. Republican incumbent Kevin Cramer was re-elected to a second term in office, defeating Democratic–NPL educator Katrina Christiansen in the general election. Primary elections took place on June 11, 2024, with Cramer and Christiansen winning their respective party's nomination unopposed.[1]

This marked the first time since 1958 that a Republican incumbent won re-election in this class 1 seat.

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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Endorsements

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Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Kevin Cramer (R) $5,423,493 $2,328,177 $3,290,838
Source: Federal Election Commission[8]

Results

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Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Kevin Cramer (incumbent) 82,692 100.00%
Total votes 82,692 100.00%

Democratic-NPL primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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Endorsements

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Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Katrina Christiansen (D-NPL) $1,154,175 $957,217 $200,218
Source: Federal Election Commission[8]

Results

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Democratic–NPL primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic–NPL Katrina Christiansen 19,690 100.00%
Total votes 19,690 100.00%

Independents

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Filed paperwork

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General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[16] Solid R November 9, 2023
Inside Elections[17] Solid R November 9, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[18] Safe R November 9, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[19] Safe R June 8, 2024
Elections Daily[20] Safe R May 4, 2023
CNalysis[21] Solid R November 21, 2023
RealClearPolitics[22] Solid R August 5, 2024
Split Ticket[23] Safe R October 23, 2024
538[24] Solid R October 23, 2024


Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Kevin
Cramer (R)
Katrina
Christiansen (D)
Other Undecided
WPA Intelligence[25][A] September 28–30, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 51% 29% 20%
Lake Research Partners (D)[26][B] September 23–26, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 49% 40% 2%[b] 9%
WPA Intelligence (R)[27][C] September 22–24, 2024 521 (LV) ± 4.4% 60% 31% 9%
Lake Research Partners (D)[28][B] June 28 – August 2, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 51% 38% 11%
Public Opinion Strategies[29][D] June 15–19, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 65% 28% 6%
Emerson College[30] October 1–4, 2023 419 (RV) ± 4.8% 45% 19% 9% 28%

Results

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2024 United States Senate election in North Dakota[31]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Kevin Cramer (incumbent) 241,569 66.31% +11.20%
Democratic–NPL Katrina Christiansen 121,602 33.38% −10.89%
Write-in 1,156 0.32% -0.31%
Total votes 364,327 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

Notes

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  1. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ "Other" and "Refused" with 1%

Partisan clients

  1. ^ Poll sponsored by North Dakota News Cooperative
  2. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Christiansen's campaign
  3. ^ Poll sponsored by Cramer's campaign
  4. ^ Poll sponsored by Brighter Future Alliance

References

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  1. ^ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved May 13, 2023.
  2. ^ Nelson, TJ; Voorhees, Alison; Monk, Jim (October 8, 2023). "ND Republican Sen. Cramer To Run for Another Term in 2024, Dem. Candidate Also Emerges". KVRR. Retrieved October 30, 2023.
  3. ^ Porter, Joel (March 12, 2024). "Senator Cramer responds to Donald Trump endorsement". KX Television. Retrieved March 18, 2024.
  4. ^ "Support Pro-Israel Candidates". AIPAC PAC. Retrieved April 7, 2023.
  5. ^ "Clear Path Action Fund". Clear Path Action Fund. Retrieved February 11, 2024.
  6. ^ "IFA Endorses Congressional Candidates Ahead of June Primary Elections | International Franchise Association". www.franchise.org. June 3, 2024. Retrieved June 3, 2024.
  7. ^ "Sen. Kevin Cramer receives NDGOP endorsement". April 6, 2024.
  8. ^ a b "2024 Election United States Senate - North Dakota". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved August 11, 2023.
  9. ^ Fulton, Jacob (October 18, 2023). "Christiansen announces second Democratic bid for US Senate". The Bismarck Tribune. Retrieved October 18, 2023.
  10. ^ a b DeVries, Morgan (March 1, 2024). "Former ag commissioners endorse Christiansen for U.S. Senate". KX Television. Retrieved March 1, 2024.
  11. ^ "2024 Federal Endorsements". NOW PAC. Retrieved November 9, 2023.
  12. ^ "Endorsed Candidates". National Women's Political Caucus. Retrieved March 18, 2024.
  13. ^ "Katrina Christiansen endorsed for Senate by Dem-NPL". April 6, 2024.
  14. ^ "2024 Candidates for Common Good". Vote Common Good. Retrieved January 24, 2024.
  15. ^ "Statement of candidacy" (PDF). fec.gov. Retrieved April 14, 2023.
  16. ^ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
  17. ^ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  18. ^ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
  19. ^ "2024 Senate prediction map". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. June 8, 2024. Retrieved June 8, 2024.
  20. ^ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
  21. ^ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
  22. ^ "Battle for the Senate 2024". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved August 5, 2024.
  23. ^ "2024 Senate Forecast". Split Ticket. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
  24. ^ "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
  25. ^ WPA Intelligence
  26. ^ Lake Research Partners (D)
  27. ^ WPA Intelligence (R)
  28. ^ Lake Research Partners (D)
  29. ^ Public Opinion Strategies
  30. ^ Emerson College
  31. ^ "Official (without recounts) 2024 General Election Results". Vote.nd.gov. Retrieved November 22, 2024.
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Official campaign websites