2012 United States presidential election in North Dakota
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| Elections in North Dakota |
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 2012 U.S. presidential election | |
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| Democratic Party | |
| Republican Party | |
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The 2012 United States presidential election in North Dakota took place on November 6, 2012, as part of the 2012 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. North Dakota voters chose three electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting incumbent Democratic President Barack Obama and his running mate, Vice President Joe Biden, against Republican challenger and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and his running mate, Congressman Paul Ryan.
Mitt Romney handily won the state with 58.32% of the vote to Barack Obama's 38.69%, a 19.63% margin of victory. He flipped seven counties that Obama carried in 2008, including Cass County, home to Fargo, the state's largest city. Obama was the first Democrat since 1912 to win without Mountrail County. As of the 2020 presidential election, this is the last time a Democrat won Benson, Ransom, Sargent, and Steele counties.
Caucuses
[edit]Democratic caucuses
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Republican caucuses
[edit]The 2012 North Dakota Republican caucuses were held on March 6, 2012.[1] North Dakota has 28 delegates to the Republican National Convention;[2] despite Rick Santorum's nominal win in the preference poll conducted during the caucuses, the majority of the delegates elected by the state party convention later in March said they supported Romney.[3]
| 2012 North Dakota Republican presidential caucuses[4] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Delegates [1] | |
| Rick Santorum | 4,510 | 39.7% | 6 | |
| Ron Paul | 3,186 | 28.1% | 2 | |
| Mitt Romney | 2,691 | 23.7% | 20 | |
| Newt Gingrich | 962 | 8.5% | 0 | |
| Unprojected delegates | 0 | |||
| Totals | 11,349 | 100.0% | 28 | |
Convention controversy
[edit]The North Dakota Republican Party held its state convention from Friday, March 30 to Sunday, April 1, where twenty-five unbound National Convention delegates were elected. Rick Santorum had won the straw poll at the Legislative Districts caucuses on Super Tuesday with a large margin to Ron Paul in second place and Mitt Romney in third place. The party leadership's recommended slate of delegates was to reflect this straw poll result. However, the slate gave Romney a large majority of the delegates. Former NDGOP Chairman Gary Emineth called the vote undemocratic and a railroad job.[5]
General election
[edit]Polling
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Barack Obama (D) |
Mitt Romney (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason-Dixon[6] | October 26–28 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 40% | 54% | 3% | 3% |
| Forum/Essman[7] | October 12–15 | 500 | ± 4.3% | 32% | 57% | - | 11% |
| Rasmussen Reports[8] | October 17–18 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 40% | 54% | 2% | 4% |
| Mason-Dixon[9] | October 3–5 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 40% | 54% | 1% | 5% |
| Rasmussen Reports[8] | July 10–11, 2012 | 400 | ± - 5% | 36% | 51% | 6% | 7% |
| Mason-Dixon[10] | June 4–12 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 39% | 52% | – | – |
‡Likely primary voters
Predictions
[edit]| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Huffington Post[11] | Safe R | November 6, 2012 |
| CNN[12] | Safe R | November 6, 2012 |
| New York Times[13] | Safe R | November 6, 2012 |
| Washington Post[14] | Safe R | November 6, 2012 |
| RealClearPolitics[15] | Solid R | November 6, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] | Solid R | November 5, 2012 |
| FiveThirtyEight[17] | Solid R | November 6, 2012 |
Results
[edit]| 2012 United States presidential election in North Dakota[18] | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Running mate | Votes | Percentage | Electoral votes | |
| Republican | Mitt Romney | Paul Ryan | 188,163 | 58.32% | 3 | |
| Democratic-NPL | Barack Obama (incumbent) | Joe Biden (incumbent) | 124,827 | 38.69% | 0 | |
| Libertarian | Gary Johnson | Jim Gray | 5,238 | 1.62% | 0 | |
| Other | 1,860 | 0.58% | 0 | |||
| Green | Jill Stein | Cheri Honkala | 1,362 | 0.42% | 0 | |
| Constitution | Virgil Goode | Jim Clymer | 1,186 | 0.37% | 0 | |
| Totals | 322,932 | 100.00% | 3 | |||
By county
[edit]| County | Mitt Romney Republican |
Barack Obama Democratic-NPL |
Various candidates Other parties |
Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Adams | 918 | 71.38% | 328 | 25.51% | 40 | 3.11% | 590 | 45.87% | 1,286 |
| Barnes | 2,964 | 53.68% | 2,394 | 43.35% | 164 | 2.97% | 570 | 10.33% | 5,522 |
| Benson | 868 | 40.24% | 1,235 | 57.26% | 54 | 2.50% | -367 | -17.02% | 2,157 |
| Billings | 472 | 81.66% | 89 | 15.40% | 89 | 2.94% | 383 | 66.26% | 578 |
| Bottineau | 2,280 | 64.14% | 1,183 | 33.28% | 92 | 2.58% | 1,097 | 30.86% | 3,555 |
| Bowman | 1,280 | 73.69% | 414 | 23.83% | 43 | 2.48% | 866 | 49.86% | 1,737 |
| Burke | 769 | 75.17% | 230 | 22.48% | 24 | 2.35% | 539 | 52.69% | 1,023 |
| Burleigh | 27,951 | 64.42% | 14,122 | 32.55% | 1,314 | 3.03% | 13,829 | 31.87% | 43,387 |
| Cass | 36,855 | 49.90% | 34,712 | 47.00% | 2,288 | 3.10% | 2,143 | 2.90% | 73,855 |
| Cavalier | 1,195 | 57.76% | 818 | 39.54% | 56 | 2.70% | 377 | 18.22% | 2,069 |
| Dickey | 1,610 | 63.51% | 853 | 33.65% | 72 | 2.84% | 757 | 29.86% | 2,535 |
| Divide | 733 | 63.08% | 385 | 33.13% | 44 | 3.79% | 348 | 29.95% | 1,162 |
| Dunn | 1,506 | 74.04% | 508 | 24.98% | 20 | 0.98% | 998 | 49.06% | 2,034 |
| Eddy | 634 | 54.80% | 486 | 42.01% | 37 | 3.19% | 148 | 12.79% | 1,157 |
| Emmons | 1,435 | 76.17% | 383 | 20.33% | 66 | 3.50% | 1,052 | 55.84% | 1,884 |
| Foster | 1,030 | 61.24% | 607 | 36.09% | 45 | 2.67% | 423 | 25.15% | 1,682 |
| Golden Valley | 742 | 79.96% | 162 | 17.46% | 24 | 2.58% | 580 | 62.50% | 928 |
| Grand Forks | 15,060 | 50.15% | 14,032 | 46.73% | 937 | 3.12% | 1,028 | 3.42% | 30,029 |
| Grant | 1,025 | 72.54% | 334 | 23.64% | 54 | 3.82% | 691 | 48.90% | 1,413 |
| Griggs | 771 | 57.41% | 536 | 39.91% | 36 | 2.68% | 235 | 17.50% | 1,343 |
| Hettinger | 1,000 | 73.42% | 313 | 22.98% | 49 | 3.60% | 687 | 50.44% | 1,362 |
| Kidder | 870 | 65.51% | 393 | 29.59% | 65 | 4.90% | 477 | 35.92% | 1,328 |
| LaMoure | 1,377 | 62.76% | 740 | 33.73% | 77 | 3.51% | 637 | 29.03% | 2,194 |
| Logan | 810 | 75.49% | 232 | 21.62% | 31 | 2.89% | 578 | 53.87% | 1,073 |
| McHenry | 1,678 | 61.87% | 943 | 34.77% | 91 | 3.36% | 735 | 27.10% | 2,712 |
| McIntosh | 1,035 | 67.65% | 459 | 30.00% | 36 | 2.35% | 576 | 37.65% | 1,530 |
| McKenzie | 2,458 | 71.23% | 927 | 26.86% | 66 | 1.91% | 1,531 | 44.37% | 3,451 |
| McLean | 3,141 | 63.61% | 1,670 | 33.82% | 127 | 2.57% | 1,471 | 29.79% | 4,938 |
| Mercer | 3,152 | 70.75% | 1,166 | 26.17% | 137 | 3.08% | 1,986 | 44.58% | 4,455 |
| Morton | 8,680 | 63.76% | 4,469 | 32.83% | 464 | 3.41% | 4,211 | 30.93% | 13,613 |
| Mountrail | 1,962 | 56.75% | 1,403 | 40.58% | 92 | 2.67% | 559 | 16.17% | 3,457 |
| Nelson | 865 | 51.55% | 767 | 45.71% | 46 | 2.74% | 98 | 5.84% | 1,678 |
| Oliver | 693 | 68.41% | 281 | 27.74% | 39 | 3.85% | 412 | 40.67% | 1,013 |
| Pembina | 1,899 | 58.34% | 1,253 | 38.49% | 103 | 3.17% | 646 | 19.85% | 3,255 |
| Pierce | 1,465 | 67.26% | 660 | 30.30% | 53 | 2.44% | 805 | 36.96% | 2,178 |
| Ramsey | 2,665 | 53.31% | 2,164 | 43.29% | 170 | 3.40% | 501 | 10.02% | 4,999 |
| Ransom | 1,009 | 41.61% | 1,343 | 55.38% | 73 | 3.01% | -334 | -13.77% | 2,425 |
| Renville | 851 | 66.59% | 398 | 31.14% | 29 | 2.27% | 453 | 35.45% | 1,278 |
| Richland | 4,229 | 55.55% | 3,198 | 42.01% | 186 | 2.44% | 1,031 | 13.54% | 7,613 |
| Rolette | 1,092 | 23.99% | 3,353 | 73.66% | 107 | 2.35% | -2,261 | -49.67% | 4,552 |
| Sargent | 879 | 43.80% | 1,075 | 53.56% | 53 | 2.64% | -196 | -9.76% | 2,007 |
| Sheridan | 642 | 78.10% | 163 | 19.83% | 17 | 2.07% | 479 | 58.27% | 822 |
| Sioux | 225 | 19.67% | 900 | 78.67% | 19 | 1.66% | -675 | -59.00% | 1,144 |
| Slope | 341 | 78.03% | 83 | 18.99% | 13 | 2.98% | 258 | 59.04% | 437 |
| Stark | 8,521 | 73.25% | 2,812 | 24.17% | 300 | 2.58% | 5,709 | 49.08% | 11,633 |
| Steele | 498 | 47.79% | 518 | 49.71% | 26 | 2.50% | -20 | -1.92% | 1,042 |
| Stutsman | 5,685 | 59.48% | 3,585 | 37.51% | 288 | 3.01% | 2,100 | 21.97% | 9,558 |
| Towner | 623 | 52.71% | 516 | 43.65% | 43 | 3.64% | 107 | 9.06% | 1,182 |
| Traill | 1,996 | 50.91% | 1,811 | 46.19% | 114 | 2.90% | 185 | 4.72% | 3,921 |
| Walsh | 2,656 | 55.44% | 1,985 | 41.43% | 150 | 3.13% | 671 | 14.01% | 4,791 |
| Ward | 16,230 | 63.74% | 8,441 | 33.15% | 792 | 3.11% | 7,789 | 30.59% | 25,463 |
| Wells | 1,654 | 69.53% | 673 | 28.29% | 52 | 2.18% | 981 | 41.24% | 2,379 |
| Williams | 7,184 | 73.25% | 2,322 | 23.67% | 302 | 3.08% | 4,862 | 49.58% | 9,808 |
| Totals | 188,163 | 58.32% | 124,827 | 38.69% | 9,637 | 2.99% | 63,336 | 19.63% | 322,627 |
| Democratic Hold | Republican Hold Gain from Democratic |
- Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Cass (largest city: Fargo)
- Eddy (largest city: New Rockford)
- Grand Forks (largest city: Grand Forks)
- Mountrail (largest city: Stanley)
- Nelson (largest city: Lakota)
- Towner (largest city: Cando)
- Traill (largest city: Mayville)
By congressional district
[edit]Due to the state's low population, only one congressional district is allocated. This district is an at-large district, because it covers the entire state, and thus is equivalent to the statewide election results.
| District | Romney | Obama | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| At-large | 58.32% | 38.7% | Kevin Cramer |
See also
[edit]- United States presidential elections in North Dakota
- 2012 Republican Party presidential debates and forums
- 2012 Republican Party presidential primaries
- Results of the 2012 Republican Party presidential primaries
- North Dakota Republican Party
References
[edit]- ^ a b "North Dakota Republican Delegation 2012". The Green Papers. Retrieved April 8, 2012.
- ^ Silver, Nate (March 4, 2012). "Romney Could Win Majority of Super Tuesday Delegates". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved March 5, 2012.
- ^ Wetzel, Dale (April 7, 2012). "Santorum delegate plan hits wall in North Dakota". WTOP-FM. Associated Press. Archived from the original on July 15, 2012. Retrieved April 8, 2012.
- ^ "NDGOP Presidential Caucus Information". North Dakota Republican Party. Archived from the original on May 27, 2012. Retrieved May 7, 2012.
- ^ "RealClearPolitics - Politics - Mar 31, 2012 - Unrest over ND GOP national convention delegates". www.realclearpolitics.com. Retrieved June 4, 2024.
- ^ "Valley News Live / Mason-Dixon Poll #3 - Valley News Live - KVLY/KXJB - Fargo/Grand Forks". www.valleynewslive.com. Archived from the original on November 3, 2012.
- ^ "Poll Watch: Forum Communications North Dakota 2012 Presidential Surve…". archive.ph. February 1, 2013. Archived from the original on February 1, 2013. Retrieved September 9, 2024.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link) - ^ a b "Election 2012: North Dakota President". www.rasmussenreports.com.
- ^ "Poll - Valley News Live - KVLY/KXJB - Fargo/Grand Forks". www.valleynewslive.com. Archived from the original on October 11, 2012.
- ^ "Primary Election Poll: House and President on KFYR-TV North Dakota's NBC News Leader". www.kfyrtv.com. Archived from the original on July 22, 2012.
- ^ "Huffington Post Election Dashboard". HuffPost. Archived from the original on August 13, 2013.
- ^ "America's Choice 2012 Election Center: CNN Electoral Map". CNN. Archived from the original on January 19, 2013.
- ^ "Election 2012 - The Electoral Map: Building a Path to Victory". The New York Times. Archived from the original on July 8, 2012.
- ^ "2012 Presidential Election Results". The Washington Post. Archived from the original on July 26, 2012.
- ^ "RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Battle for White House". Archived from the original on June 8, 2011.
- ^ "PROJECTION: OBAMA WILL LIKELY WIN SECOND TERM".
- ^ "Nate Silver's political calculations predict 2012 election outcome".
- ^ "North Dakota Secretary of State". Retrieved November 11, 2012.
External links
[edit]- North Dakota GOP website
- North Dakota Republican State Committee Rules and Modes of Procedure
- The Green Papers: for North Dakota
- The Green Papers: Major state elections in chronological order
