Iowa's 1st Congressional District election, 2016

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BattlegroundRace.jpg

Iowa's 1st Congressional District

General Election Date
November 8, 2016

Primary Date
June 7, 2016

November 8 Election Winner:
Rod Blum Republican Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Rod Blum Republican Party
Rod Blum.jpg

Race Ratings
Cook Political Report: Toss-up[1]
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean D[2]
Rothenberg & Gonzales: Pure Toss-up[3]

Iowa U.S. House Elections
District 1District 2District 3District 4

2016 U.S. Senate Elections

Flag of Iowa.png

The 1st Congressional District of Iowa held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 8, 2016.

Iowa's 1st Congressional District was a battleground district in 2016. Incumbent Rod Blum (R) won re-election to his second term, defeating Monica Vernon (D) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Vernon defeated Patrick Murphy in the Democratic primary, while Blum faced no primary challenger. The primary elections took place on June 7, 2016.[4][5][6][7]

HIGHLIGHTS
  • Iowa's 1st Congressional District seat featured a Republican incumbent in a Democratic leaning district.
  • The district heavily supported Barack Obama in both 2008 and 2012 and was expected to favor Hillary Clinton in 2016.
  • Heading into the election, incumbent Rod Blum (R) led challenger Monica Vernon (D) in polling, but fundraising totals were extremely close.
  • Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
    March 18, 2016
    June 7, 2016
    November 8, 2016

    Primary: A primary election is an election in which registered voters select a candidate that they believe should be a political party's candidate for elected office to run in the general election. They are also used to choose convention delegates and party leaders. Primaries are state-level and local-level elections that take place prior to a general election. In Iowa, a voter must be affiliated with a party in order to participate in its primary. However, a voter can change his or her political party affiliation on Election Day, creating what is effectively an open primary.[8]

    For information about which offices are nominated via primary election, see this article.


    Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent was Rod Blum (R), who was first elected in 2014.

    Iowa's 1st Congressional District covers the northeastern part of the state. The district includes Worth, Mitchell, Howard, Winneshiek, Allamakee, Clayton, Fayette, Bremer, Black Hawk, Buchanan, Delaware, Dubuque, Jackson, Jones, Linn, Benton, Iowa, Poweshiek, Marshall and Tama counties.[9]

    Election results

    General election

    U.S. House, Iowa District 1 General Election, 2016
    Party Candidate Vote % Votes
         Republican Green check mark transparent.pngRod Blum Incumbent 53.7% 206,903
         Democratic Monica Vernon 46.1% 177,403
         N/A Write-in 0.2% 671
    Total Votes 384,977
    Source: Iowa Secretary of State

    Primary election

    U.S. House, Iowa District 1 Democratic Primary, 2016
    Candidate Vote % Votes
    Green check mark transparent.pngMonica Vernon 67.6% 21,032
    Patrick Murphy 32.4% 10,090
    Total Votes 31,122
    Source: Iowa Secretary of State

    Candidates

    General election candidates:

    Republican Party Rod Blum Approveda
    Democratic Party Monica Vernon

    Primary candidates:[10]

    Democratic

    Monica Vernon - Cedar Rapids City Councilwoman[6]Approveda
    Patrick Murphy[11]

    Republican

    Rod Blum - Incumbent[6] Approveda

    Withdrew:
    Ravi Patel (D)[12]
    Gary Kroeger (D) - Ad executive[13][14]


    Race background

    Monica Vernon was one of the initial members of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's Red to Blue Program. The program "highlights top Democratic campaigns across the country, and offers them financial, communications, grassroots, and strategic support."[15]

    Presidential preference

    Rod Blum

    See also: Republicans and their declared positions on Donald Trump

    On May 6, 2016, Blum expressed his support for Donald Trump, saying, “It’s binary now. There’s two people now, so everything’s changed. When they start thinking about four years or eight years of Hillary Clinton, I think they’re starting to warm up to Trump, but it does concern me, this ‘Never Trump’ or whatever it’s called. … So, we need all Republicans on board, for sure.”[16]

    Endorsements

    Rod Blum

    Monica Vernon

    The following individuals and organizations have endorsed Vernon. For a full listing of Vernon's endorsements, click here.

    • EMILY's List - "Monica Vernon is a dedicated public servant, small businesswoman, and mother of three who has what it takes to fight for Iowa women and families in Washington. She is committed to helping create jobs and championing commonsense policies like equal pay for women that give working families a fair shot. The EMILY’s List community – now more than three million members strong – is thrilled to endorse Monica’s strong campaign to represent Iowa’s First District in Congress."[19]
    • The International Association of Fire Fighters[20]

    Polls

    Iowa’s 1st District - Rod Blum vs. Monica Vernon
    Poll Republican Party Rod Blum Democratic Party Monica VernonMargin of ErrorSample Size
    GBA Strategies/DCCC
    October 16-17, 2016
    47%48%+/-4.9400
    Normington Petts
    October 10-11, 2016
    45%44%+/-4.9400
    The polling company, inc./WomanTrend
    September 29-October 1, 2016
    52%36%+/-4.9400
    Loras College
    September 20-22, 2016
    45%38%+/-5.1368
    Polling Company
    August 14-16, 2016
    50%43%+/-4.9400
    Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to [email protected]

    Media

    Rod Blum

    Opposition

    "Explainer" - House Majority PAC ad opposing Blum, released September 2016

    Monica Vernon

    General

    Support

    "Kids" - Vernon's first general election ad, released August 2016
    "Within Reach" - Vernon ad opposing Blum, released September 2016
    "Fact Check" - Vernon ad opposing Blum, released October 2016

    Opposition

    "Must Be Nice" - NRCC ad opposing Vernon, released September 2016
    "Favor" - NRCC ad opposing Vernon, released October 2016

    Primary

    Vernon's first ad, released April 2016
    Vernon's second ad, released April 2016
    Vernon's third ad, released May 2016
    "Promise" - EMILY's List ad supporting Vernon, released May 2016
    "People" - Vernon ad, released May 2016

    Campaign themes

    Rod Blum

    • Social Security: My 84-year-old mother passed away earlier this year. But before leaving us, she was independent for years thanks to her earned Social Security benefits. Our family saw — like thousands of other Eastern Iowa families — the good the program does for our elderly by empowering them to remain self-sufficient and independent long past their working days.
    • Civil Liberties: We must always remember that most liberties are taken away from us in the name of “safety”. As our founding father Ben Franklin said, “Those who would give up essential Liberty, to purchase a little temporary Safety, deserve neither Liberty nor Safety”.
    • Agriculture: Agencies like the EPA and FDA consistently overstep the boundaries of common sense with regulations like the “Waters of the US” (WOTUS) act and restrictions on farm dust. These agencies are making it increasingly difficult for family farms to effectively operate their small businesses.
    • Economy: According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, 12 million Americans are unemployed and another 8 million are working part-time but desire full-time employment. All told almost 23 million of our fellow Americans are unemployed or underemployed. The “official” unemployment rate is around 8%. Add in those Americans who are underemployed and those that have given up and the “real” unemployment rate is almost 15%. Average family income has decreased by 8% over the last five years and median family net worth has decreased 25% over the last decade.
    • Debt: The federal government’s deficit in 2011 was $1.3 trillion. In 2012 it was $1.1 trillion. And our deficit this year is projected to be around $1.0 trillion. Over the last five years, Washington DC has spent $6 trillion it didn’t have. $6 trillion that it had to borrow. $6 trillion it had to print. If government spending was the answer, Greece and Italy would be economic powerhouses.

    [21]

    —Rod Blum's campaign website, http://www.rodblum.com/#

    Monica Vernon

    • Protect and Strengthen Social Security and Medicare: Seniors have paid into Social Security and Medicare every paycheck. They’ve earned it, deserve it, and must be able to count on it. My mom and dad raised five kids on a single income paycheck. They worked hard to create a good life for our family and paid into a system, as we all do, that promised to be there for them when they needed it. We’ve got to balance the budget but we’ve got to do it the right way – not on the backs of seniors who’ve earned Social Security and Medicare after a lifetime of hard work.
    • Invest in Infrastructure: A strong country must have a great transportation system to move people, products, and our economy forward. We need to repair and replace crumbling roads, bridges, dams and other infrastructure throughout northeast Iowa. Not only is this a safety concern, but investment in infrastructure will put more people back to work and help us continue to rebound from the recession.
    • Create Manufacturing Jobs and Grow Small Business: Our country was built on the backs of middle class Americans. We must focus on bringing back the strength of our middle class which has been steadily eroding for the past 30 years.
    • Stop Unfair Trade: Transparency in trade agreements is a key way to avoid the unintended consequences of unfair labor and environmental standards. In order for trade to work, it’s got to be fair.
    • Tackle Climate Change with a Common Sense Approach: Climate change is real. NASA and Scientists agree – climate change worsens extreme weather. Left unaddressed, floods, droughts, super storms, and other natural disasters will continue to worsen – to the extreme — causing devastating economic and environmental consequences for our community.

    [21]

    —Monica Vernon's campaign website, http://monicavernonforcongress.com/issues/

    Campaign contributions


    Source: This graphic was generated using data from the FEC.

    Source: This graphic was generated using data from the FEC.

    Rod Blum


    Source: This graphic was generated using data from the FEC.

    Monica Vernon


    Source: This graphic was generated using data from the FEC.



    BP-Initials-UPDATED.png The finance data shown here comes from the disclosures required of candidates and parties. Depending on the election or state, this may not represent all the funds spent on their behalf. Satellite spending groups may or may not have expended funds related to the candidate or politician on whose page you are reading this disclaimer, and campaign finance data from elections may be incomplete. For elections to federal offices, complete data can be found at the FEC website. Click here for more on federal campaign finance law and here for more on state campaign finance law.


    District history

    2014

    See also: Iowa's 1st Congressional District elections, 2014

    The 1st Congressional District of Iowa held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Rod Blum (R) defeated Pat Murphy (D) in the general election.

    U.S. House, Iowa District 1 General Election, 2014
    Party Candidate Vote % Votes
         Democratic Pat Murphy 48.8% 141,145
         Republican Green check mark transparent.pngRod Blum 51.1% 147,762
         Write-in Other 0.1% 399
    Total Votes 289,306
    Source: Iowa Secretary of State Official Results

    2012

    See also: Iowa's 1st Congressional District elections, 2012

    The 1st Congressional District of Iowa held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012. Bruce Braley (D) won the election in the district.[22]

    U.S. House, Iowa District 1 General Election, 2012
    Party Candidate Vote % Votes
         Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngBruce Braley Incumbent 56.9% 222,422
         Republican Ben Lange 41.6% 162,465
         Independent Gregory Hughes 1.2% 4,772
         Independent George Todd Krail II 0.2% 931
    Total Votes 390,590
    Source: Iowa Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

    Important dates and deadlines

    See also: Iowa elections, 2016

    The calendar below lists important dates for political candidates in Iowa in 2016.

    Dates and requirements for candidates in 2016
    Deadline Event type Event description
    February 29, 2016 Ballot access Primary candidate filing period opens
    March 18, 2016 Ballot access Primary candidate filing period ends
    May 19, 2016 Campaign finance Report due covering January 1 through May 14
    June 3, 2016 Campaign finance Special supplementary report due for certain contributions
    June 7, 2016 Election date Primary election
    July 19, 2016 Campaign finance Report due covering May 15 through July 14
    August 1, 2016 Ballot access General election candidate filing period opens
    August 19, 2016 Ballot access General election candidate filing period ends
    October 19, 2016 Campaign finance Report due covering July 15 through October 14
    November 4, 2016 Campaign finance Special supplementary report due for certain contributions
    November 8, 2016 Election date General election
    January 19, 2017 Campaign finance Report due covering October 15 through December 31
    Sources: Iowa Secretary of State, "Three Year Election Calendar," accessed June 5, 2015
    Iowa Ethics and Campaign Disclosure Board, "Reporting Dates," accessed June 5, 2015

    See also

    Footnotes

    1. Cook Political Report, "2016 House Race Ratings," accessed October 20, 2016
    2. Sabato's Crystal Ball, "2016 House," accessed October 20, 2016
    3. Rothenberg & Gonzales Political Report, "House Ratings," accessed October 20, 2016
    4. The Des Moines Register, "Former SNL cast member running for Congress in Iowa," April 7, 2015
    5. KWWL.com, "Pat Murphy announces Congressional bid," July 23, 2015
    6. 6.0 6.1 6.2 Iowa Secretary of State, "Candidate Listing by Office," accessed March 19, 2016
    7. The New York Times "Iowa Caucus Results," June 7, 2016
    8. Iowa Secretary of State Website, "Voter Registration FAQ," accessed August 9, 2024
    9. Iowa Redistricting Map "Map" accessed July 24, 2012
    10. Candidates are listed by party and alphabetically within each party.
    11. KWWL.com, "Pat Murphy announces Congressional bid," July 23, 2015
    12. Sioux City Journal, "Patel drops out of 1st District Democratic race in Iowa," June 23, 2015
    13. The Des Moines Register, "Former SNL cast member running for Congress in Iowa," April 7, 2015
    14. The Gazette, "Kroeger drops bid for U.S. House seat," March 2, 2016
    15. DCCC, "DCCC Chairman Luján Announces First 31 Districts In Red To Blue Program," February 11, 2016
    16. Quad City Times, "Blum concerned by ‘Never Trump’ movement," accessed May 9, 2016
    17. Roll Call, "Club for Growth Endorses Vulnerable GOP Incumbents," June 16, 2016
    18. KGAN, "Loebsack Endorses Vernon for Congress," accessed June 25, 2015
    19. Emily's List, "EMILY’s List Endorses Monica Vernon for Congress," accessed July 30, 2015
    20. Monica Vernon for Congress, "International Association of Fire Fighters Endorses Monica Vernon for Congress," May 3, 2016
    21. 21.0 21.1 Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributable to the original source.
    22. Politico, "2012 Election Map," accessed August 15, 2012


    For information about public policy issues in the 2016 elections, see: Public policy in the 2016 elections!


    Senators
    Representatives
    District 1
    District 2
    District 3
    Zach Nunn (R)
    District 4
    Republican Party (6)