Showing posts with label Mercedes. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Mercedes. Show all posts

Wednesday, August 16, 2023

Avanci announces 5G patent pool with 58 licensors, notably also including Huawei, and former Nokia foe Mercedes as inaugural licensee

It's been well over two years since I first heard from industry colleagues about an Avanci 5G pool being supposedly launched in a matter of months. Things can always take longer, especially when the adoption of a new technology by a particular industry is somewhat slow. But now--right in the middle of a month with hardly any patent-related news--the 5G standard-essential patent (SEP) licensing program for the automotive industry has just been launched.

Compared to how huge this story is--arguably the biggest development in patent licensing this year--Avanci's press release is relatively short and low-key (apart from the firm describing itself as "the independent global leader in joint licensing solutions"). Two numbers are interesting:

  • 59 participants in the sum of licensors and licensees prove market acceptance for the new offering from Day One.

  • The reference to "more than 130 million connected vehicles" licensed by Avanci's 4G program recalls the platform's prior success.

When Avanci started with its 2G, 3G and 4G programs, there was only a small circle of licensors; eventually, BMW signed up as the first licensee; and it took several more years to achieve a high level of market penetration. I was a skeptic and a critic at the early stages, but recognized that an automotive suefest was not the answer and that bilateral licensing--which does (as it must) remain an option--is economically inefficient given the relatively low unit volume of most car makers (even the big ones have an annual unit volume comparable to any major smartphone maker's monthly output).

If one looks beyond the press release, the licensing program's website reveals the terms and who's involved:

  • The royalty rate is $29 per vehicle for those who sign up "before the later of February 16, 2024 or first sale of [a given car maker's] 5G connected vehicle." Thereafter, the price goes up to $32. About a year ago, many car makers signed up ahead of a $15-to-$20 price increase for 4G. For those who are already selling 5G vehicles, there is now a six-month window to secure the early-bird rate.

  • The first licensee is Mercedes (formerly known as Daimler, though arguably the Mercedes was always more famous than any of the organization's different corporate names). Its logo, the steering wheel-like star, is displayed on the website.

  • Qualcomm, Ericsson, Nokia, and InterDigital--the four major net licensors of cellular SEPs--are all on board again, as are dozens of others. (Last time, Nokia wasn't even on the initial list, but joined later on.)

  • The most famous new licensor (not only of Avanci 5G but also 4G) is Huawei. They have a huge and powerful portfolio of cellular SEPs (the 5G leader by some measure). Huawei very much emphasizes the pursuit of a balance between licensors' and licensee's interests and believes in application-specific licensing terms.

  • Two other Asian companies that are major automotive industry suppliers and were previously known to participate in Avanci's 4G program are also among the 58 initial 5G licensors: Samsung and LG.

  • What about absentees? Conversant participated in Avanci 4G and is not listed now, but its portfolio is pretty much expired anyway. Deutsche Telekom was an outlier anyway, given that it was the only member of the Fair Standards Alliance to participate. The only major 5G patent holder missing at this point despite having participated in the 4G pool is OPPO. But OPPO is embroiled in litigation with (at least) four other licensors: Nokia (that's the largest-scale SEP dispute at the moment), InterDigital, Philips, and now also Panasonic.

  • Avanci's 4G program kept adding licensors through the years, and we may see the same trend here, though the initial coverage is already impressively comprehensive.

  • From a half-dozen of patent holders who are listed among Avanci's 5G licensors but weren't (and apparently still aren't) involved with the 4G program, China Telecom stands out.

There'll be more to say about Avanci 5G in the months and years ahead. For now, suffice it to comment from a few interesting angles on today's story.

Rapid ramp-up: On the licensor side, the job is largely already done. For licensees, the decision shouldn't be hard. Those making 5G cars at this point will likely seize the opportunity. The reason I think so is that no one could stand up inside those organizations and put forward a superior plan. Infringement is illegal, bilateral licensing is (in this context) inefficient: too many portfolios to license. Not only would it take a lot of negotiations and potentially even lawsuits, but the aggregate licensing costs (not even considering transactional inefficiencies) would easily exceed the pool rate. In any FRAND dispute in a court of law, it would have to be considered that cars are in use for far longer periods than smartphones, and that car makers generate incremental revenues from data services over the years.

Licensing preferred over litigation: It's quite a coincidence that on the same day Mercedes is revealed as the first Avanci 5G licensee and Huawei as a new (4G and 5G) licensor. The former brought an EU antitrust complaint against Nokia in late 2018 (which went nowhere), and the latter was not just one more intervenor on the automaker's behalf in the Nokia v. Daimler infringement dispute but filed a third-party counterclaim seeking an exhaustive component-level SEP license from Nokia (as opposed to have-made rights, which Avanci has always offered, as have Nokia and others on a bilateral basis). That one was withdrawn last year, and a new cross-license agreement was concluded a little later. The two companies who disagreed with Nokia on automotive SEP licensing years ago are now on board--alongside Nokia--the next generation of the licensing program. It shows that reasonable people can work things out with each other.

Chinese dimension: The involvement of Huawei, China Telecom, and other Chinese entities as well as Sharp (Japanese, but owned by Foxconn) seems very significant in geopolitical terms. It would now make a lot of sense for Chinese car makers to take licenses.

EU patent policy: Among the quasi-legislative powers that the European Commission's Directorate-General for the Internal Market (DG GROW) is asking lawmakers to bestow upon the EC there is the decision on what standards and use cases should be subject to the proposed EU SEP Regulation. Arguably, automotive SEP licensing could be excluded as the market has solved the problem. Where's the value-add of the envisioned legislation? A rational analysis of what royalties wireless innovators are entitled to when their technologies are incorporated into vehicles could easily result in a substantially higher aggregate royalty rate. While DG GROW is creating unnecessary problems, licensors taking their FRAND commitment seriously and willing licensees are coming together.

Leaders: I rarely mention patent pool managers unless they speak at conferences. Here, I noticed that besides Avanci founder Kasim Alfalahi, whose vision has indisputably come to fruition, the press release also quotes senior VP Laurie Fitzgerald, a U.S. attorney based in Dublin whom different patent holders mentioned to me this year and last as their point of contact for the 5G program.

Today's announcement is a milestone. In order for autonomous driving (which will, of course, have limitations for many years to come) to materialize, connectivity is key, and the advantages of 5G are not just related to bandwidth, but 5G also reduces latency. Ideally, car makers and their suppliers will focus on innovative applications--and cross cellular SEP licensing off of their to-do lists, for the most part at least.

Sunday, November 27, 2022

'Autocalypse Now' or Tesla Phone: what can save the digital dilettantes at Volkswagen, Toyota, and other car makers from Apple's and Google's world domination?

The latest edition of Wirtschaftswoche (German for "business week") came out on Black Friday, and there's a great article on pages 32 and 33 (available only to subscribers, at least for the time being) that I'd like to recommend: Autokalypse now (the "k" instead of the "c" is due to the German spelling of "apocalypse"). It's about an issue that this blog has dubbed as "carjacking"--meaning that Apple and Google use their mobile operating system monopolies to take control over connected vehicles:

Another term than "carjacking" is "carmageddon" (see The Android-ification of Cars).

The Wirtschaftswoche article starts with a high-profile Mercedes customer: former EU commissioner Guenther Oettinger says he uses Google Maps for navigation because it suggests better routes and more accurately predicts the time of arrival. That's what many of us have experienced with cars of different brands. During his tenure as the EU commissioner in charge of digital industry policy, Mr. Oettinger was already--and rightly--concerned about traditional car makers' share of the future automotive value chain. That concern is shared on Capitol Hill: on November 1, Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) wrote a six-page letter (PDF) to U.S. antitrust enforcers about this threat.

The problem is that the C-level execs, chief lawyers, and lobbyists of automotive companies don't get it. They're sort of aware of the problem, but far from taking the measures that would be required to respond to the threat. Those execs and the "experts" they rely upon would rather downplay the issue than take decisive action outside their comfort zone. Meanwhile,

There is only one outlier: Elon Musk. While he may not have had the chance yet to develop a regulatory strategy and to figure out the full potential of the EU's Digital Markets Act, he is clearly prepared to go to bat. That's a lot more than those traditional automakers can say: it seems to me that most of the decision makers there have no strategy other than hoping that they won't have to deal with the problem before they reach the age of retirement. But that could prove a mistake not only for their companies but even for those decision makers: Wirtschaftswoche quotes a McKinsey partner who says it will be decided in a matter of three to five years who will be in control of the automotive industry (car makers or gatekeepers).

Earlier this week I outlined the three reasons Mr. Musk has to fight Apple's and Google's gatekeeper power: the third one involves Tesla and is no less important than the other two, which are about Twitter in the short term. On Black Friday, Mr. Musk said he didn't rule out making "an alternative phone" if that was the last resort to deal with the mobile gatekeeper problem:

Patently Apple reported on it. That's where I first saw the tweet.

I agree with Jim Hanson, who says Mr. Musk should "[f]irst give Apple a good taste of lawfare."

But what would an Elon Phone, Twitter Phone, or Tesla Phone (about which there have previously been rumors) mean for the automotive industry at large?

That depends on interoperability. That new phone (likely based on the open-source code base of Android, but without a Google license and, a as result, without Google Maps, the Google Play Store etc.) could give Tesla another competitive advantage. But it might also be the lesser evil than the "Goopple" duopoly for the digital dilettantes at companies like General Motors, Ford, Volkswagen, Toyota, BMW, and Mercedes. If Mr. Musk made the strategic decision to enable all car makers to provide the same level of integration, it would be an opportunity for the entire industry.

Again, I think the first step is to put pressure on Apple and Google at other levels: policy, regulation, and litigation. Whether Apple and Google will make concessions because of Mr. Musk threatening to enter the smartphone market is doubtful. So far it seems that both mobile gatekeepers only make changes to their terms and policies when they absolutely have to. But anything can happen, and a Tesla Phone is yet more of a possibility than seeing the Facebook Phone rise from the ashes...