Indiana's 3rd Congressional District election, 2024
← 2022
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Indiana's 3rd Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: February 9, 2024 |
Primary: May 7, 2024 General: November 5, 2024 |
How to vote |
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 6 p.m. Voting in Indiana |
Race ratings |
DDHQ and The Hill: Safe Republican Inside Elections: Solid Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th Indiana elections, 2024 U.S. Congress elections, 2024 U.S. Senate elections, 2024 U.S. House elections, 2024 |
All U.S. House districts, including the 3rd Congressional District of Indiana, held elections in 2024. The general election was November 5, 2024. The primary was May 7, 2024. The filing deadline was February 9, 2024. All 435 U.S. House seats were up for election in 2024. At the time of the election, Republicans had a 220 to 212 majority with three vacancies.[1] Forty-five members of the U.S. House did not run for re-election. To read more about the 2024 U.S. House elections, click here.
In the 2022 election in this district, the Republican candidate won 65.3%-30.1%. Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Donald Trump (R) would have defeated Joe Biden (D) 63.9%-34.0%.[2]
For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- Indiana's 3rd Congressional District election, 2024 (May 7 Democratic primary)
- Indiana's 3rd Congressional District election, 2024 (May 7 Republican primary)
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Indiana District 3
Marlin A. Stutzman defeated Kiley Adolph and Jarrad Lancaster in the general election for U.S. House Indiana District 3 on November 5, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Marlin A. Stutzman (R) | 65.0 | 177,103 | |
Kiley Adolph (D) | 31.5 | 85,650 | ||
Jarrad Lancaster (L) | 3.5 | 9,528 |
Total votes: 272,281 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Indiana District 3
Kiley Adolph defeated Phil Goss in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Indiana District 3 on May 7, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Kiley Adolph | 62.8 | 10,286 | |
Phil Goss | 37.2 | 6,095 |
Total votes: 16,381 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Jo Anderson (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Indiana District 3
The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. House Indiana District 3 on May 7, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Marlin A. Stutzman | 24.2 | 19,507 | |
Tim Smith | 22.6 | 18,204 | ||
Wendy W. Davis | 19.5 | 15,660 | ||
Andy Zay | 16.4 | 13,157 | ||
Grant Bucher | 10.3 | 8,259 | ||
Jon Kenworthy | 3.8 | 3,064 | ||
Michael Felker | 1.8 | 1,417 | ||
Eric Whalen | 1.5 | 1,189 |
Total votes: 80,457 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Chandler Likes (R)
- Scott Wise (R)
Libertarian convention
Libertarian convention for U.S. House Indiana District 3
Jarrad Lancaster advanced from the Libertarian convention for U.S. House Indiana District 3 on March 2, 2024.
Candidate | ||
✔ | Jarrad Lancaster (L) |
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Candidate profiles
This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office:
- U.S. House of Representatives District 3 (2010-2017)
- Indiana State Senate District 13 (2009-2010)
- Indiana House of Representatives District 52 (2002-2008)
Biography: Stutzman received an associate degree from Glen Oaks Community College and a bachelor's degree from Tri-State University. His professional experience includes work as a business owner and fourth-generation farmer.
Show sources
Sources: Marlin A. Stutzman campaign website, "Issues," accessed March 11, 2024; WANE 15, "All 8 GOP 3rd District candidates speak at luncheon," February 28, 2024; Marlin A. Stutzman campaign website, "Issues," accessed March 11, 2024; Marlin A. Stutzman campaign website, "Meet Marlin," accessed March 11, 2024
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Indiana District 3 in 2024.
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Indiana
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
No candidate in this race completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey.
Campaign finance
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kiley Adolph | Democratic Party | $40,844 | $27,598 | $13,246 | As of September 30, 2024 |
Phil Goss | Democratic Party | $245,512 | $243,575 | $1,937 | As of September 30, 2024 |
Grant Bucher | Republican Party | $105,165 | $105,272 | $0 | As of September 30, 2024 |
Wendy W. Davis | Republican Party | $1,061,227 | $1,060,180 | $1,047 | As of September 30, 2024 |
Michael Felker | Republican Party | $24,888 | $24,314 | $477 | As of September 30, 2024 |
Jon Kenworthy | Republican Party | $84,741 | $84,741 | $0 | As of June 30, 2024 |
Tim Smith | Republican Party | $1,344,146 | $1,342,821 | $1,325 | As of September 30, 2024 |
Marlin A. Stutzman | Republican Party | $1,300,450 | $1,195,946 | $104,504 | As of October 16, 2024 |
Eric Whalen | Republican Party | $5,202 | $4,281 | $833 | As of June 30, 2024 |
Andy Zay | Republican Party | $746,827 | $746,399 | $429 | As of September 30, 2024 |
Jarrad Lancaster | Libertarian Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[3]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[4][5][6]
Race ratings: Indiana's 3rd Congressional District election, 2024 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
November 5, 2024 | October 29, 2024 | October 22, 2024 | October 15, 2024 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
Decision Desk HQ and The Hill | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. |
Ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Indiana in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Indiana, click here.
Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024 | ||||||
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State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
Indiana | U.S. House | Ballot-qualified party | N/A (only declaration of candidacy required) | N/A | 2/6/2024 | Source |
Indiana | U.S. House | Unaffiliated | 2% of total votes cast for the secretary of state in the district in the last election | N/A | 7/1/2024 | Source |
District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
Below was the map in use at the time of the election. Click the map below to enlarge it.
This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Indiana.
Indiana U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024 | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Office | Districts/ offices |
Seats | Open seats | Candidates | Possible primaries | Contested Democratic primaries | Contested Republican primaries | % of contested primaries | Incumbents in contested primaries | % of incumbents in contested primaries | ||||
2024 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 63 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 77.8% | 4 | 66.7% | ||||
2022 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 49 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 66.7% | 3 | 37.5% | ||||
2020 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 78 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 83.3% | 4 | 57.1% | ||||
2018 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 71 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 83.3% | 4 | 57.1% | ||||
2016 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 51 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 88.9% | 7 | 100.0% | ||||
2014 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 72.2% | 6 | 66.7% |
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Indiana in 2024. Information below was calculated on March 19, 2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
Sixty-three candidates ran for Indiana’s nine U.S. House districts, including 18 Democrats and 45 Republicans. That’s seven candidates per district, higher than the 5.6 candidates that ran in 2022, but lower than the 8.7 candidates who ran in 2020.
Three districts—the 3rd, the 6th, and the 8th—were open, meaning no incumbents ran. That’s the most open districts in an election cycle this decade.
Rep. Jim Banks (R-3rd) did not run for re-election in order to run for the U.S. Senate, while Reps. Greg Pence (R-6th) and Larry Bucshon (R-8th) retired from public office.
Twelve candidates—four Democrats and eight Republicans—ran for the open 8th Congressional District, the most candidates to run for a seat in 2024.
Fourteen primaries—six Democratic and eight Republican—were contested in 2024. Twelve primaries were contested in 2022, 15 primaries were contested in 2020, and 15 were in 2018.
Four incumbents—one Democrat and three Republicans—faced primary challengers in 2024. That's higher than in 2022, when three incumbents faced challengers, but the same as in 2020 and 2018.
Candidates filed to run in the Republican and Democratic primaries in all eight districts, meaning no seats were guaranteed to either party.Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+18. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 18 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Indiana's 3rd the 57th most Republican district nationally.[7]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
2020 presidential results in Indiana's 3rd based on 2024 district lines | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Joe Biden | Donald Trump | |||
34.0% | 63.9% |
Inside Elections Baselines
- See also: Inside Elections
Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[8] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.
Inside Elections Baseline for 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Baseline | Republican Baseline | Difference | ||
32.4 | 64.2 | R+31.8 |
Presidential voting history
- See also: Presidential election in Indiana, 2020
Indiana presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 5 Democratic wins
- 26 Republican wins
Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Winning Party | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | R | R | R |
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Indiana's congressional delegation as of May 2024.
Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Indiana | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
Democratic | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Republican | 2 | 7 | 9 |
Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 2 | 9 | 11 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Indiana's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.
State executive officials in Indiana, May 2024 | |
---|---|
Office | Officeholder |
Governor | Eric Holcomb |
Lieutenant Governor | Suzanne Crouch |
Secretary of State | Diego Morales |
Attorney General | Todd Rokita |
State legislature
Indiana State Senate
Party | As of February 2024 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 10 | |
Republican Party | 40 | |
Other | 0 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 50 |
Indiana House of Representatives
Party | As of February 2024 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 30 | |
Republican Party | 70 | |
Other | 0 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 100 |
Trifecta control
The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.
Indiana Party Control: 1992-2024
No Democratic trifectas • Sixteen years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Senate | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
House | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
District history
The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2018.
2022
General election
General election for U.S. House Indiana District 3
Incumbent Jim Banks defeated Gary Snyder and Nathan Gotsch in the general election for U.S. House Indiana District 3 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Jim Banks (R) | 65.3 | 131,579 | |
Gary Snyder (D) | 30.1 | 60,577 | ||
Nathan Gotsch (Independent) | 4.7 | 9,386 |
Total votes: 201,542 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Indiana District 3
Gary Snyder defeated Aaron Calkins and Phillip Beachy in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Indiana District 3 on May 3, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Gary Snyder | 56.2 | 6,794 | |
Aaron Calkins | 23.9 | 2,894 | ||
Phillip Beachy | 19.9 | 2,400 |
Total votes: 12,088 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Forrest Bower (D)
- Tommy Schrader (D)
- John Stephens (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Indiana District 3
Incumbent Jim Banks advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Indiana District 3 on May 3, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Jim Banks | 100.0 | 54,033 |
Total votes: 54,033 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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2020
General election
General election for U.S. House Indiana District 3
Incumbent Jim Banks defeated Chip Coldiron in the general election for U.S. House Indiana District 3 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Jim Banks (R) | 67.8 | 220,989 | |
Chip Coldiron (D) | 32.2 | 104,762 |
Total votes: 325,751 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Robert Enders (L)
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Indiana District 3
Chip Coldiron defeated Carlos Marcano, Tommy Schrader, and Jean-Paul Kalonji in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Indiana District 3 on June 2, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Chip Coldiron | 38.9 | 13,545 | |
Carlos Marcano | 30.9 | 10,759 | ||
Tommy Schrader | 16.0 | 5,570 | ||
Jean-Paul Kalonji | 14.2 | 4,954 |
Total votes: 34,828 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Indiana District 3
Incumbent Jim Banks defeated Chris Magiera in the Republican primary for U.S. House Indiana District 3 on June 2, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Jim Banks | 85.2 | 64,574 | |
Chris Magiera | 14.8 | 11,200 |
Total votes: 75,774 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Watch the Candidate Conversation for this race!
2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Indiana District 3
Incumbent Jim Banks defeated Courtney Tritch in the general election for U.S. House Indiana District 3 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Jim Banks (R) | 64.7 | 158,927 | |
Courtney Tritch (D) | 35.3 | 86,610 |
Total votes: 245,537 (100.00% precincts reporting) | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Indiana District 3
Courtney Tritch defeated Tommy Schrader and John Roberson in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Indiana District 3 on May 8, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Courtney Tritch | 79.1 | 16,376 | |
Tommy Schrader | 10.7 | 2,224 | ||
John Roberson | 10.2 | 2,116 |
Total votes: 20,716 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Indiana District 3
Incumbent Jim Banks advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Indiana District 3 on May 8, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Jim Banks | 100.0 | 58,745 |
Total votes: 58,745 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Independent primary election
No Independent candidates ran in the primary.
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Tyler Bender (Independent)
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ A majority in the U.S. House when there are no vacancies is 218 seats.
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
- ↑ Inside Elections, "Methodology: Inside Elections’ Baseline by Congressional District," December 8, 2023
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