United States Senate election in Michigan, 2024
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| U.S. Senate, Michigan |
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| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: April 23, 2024 |
| Primary: August 6, 2024 General: November 5, 2024 |
| How to vote |
| Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in Michigan |
| Race ratings |
DDHQ and The Hill: Lean Democratic Inside Elections: Tilt Democratic Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Democratic |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024 |
| See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th • 12th • 13th Michigan elections, 2024 U.S. Congress elections, 2024 U.S. Senate elections, 2024 U.S. House elections, 2024 |
Elissa Slotkin (D) defeated Mike Rogers (R) and four others in the general election for U.S. Senate in Michigan on November 5, 2024.[1][2]
Incumbent Debbie Stabenow (D), who was first elected in 2000, did not run for re-election. The Detroit Free Press' Todd Spangler said, "The last time a Senate seat was open in Michigan was in 2014. Republicans sense a chance to win this year but if they do, it will mark the first time since 1994 a Democrat has lost a U.S. Senate race in the state."[3]
Slotkin was elected to the U.S. House in 2018. Her professional experience included working as a Middle East analyst with the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the director for Iraq with the National Security Council, and the senior advisor on Middle East transition with the Office of the Undersecretary of Defense for Policy.[4] Slotkin said she ran because "We need a new generation of leaders that thinks differently, works harder, and never forgets that we are public servants first."[5] According to third quarter reports submitted to the FEC, Slotkin raised $45.8 million and spent $44.3 million.
Rogers represented Michigan's 8th Congressional District from 2001 to 2015. His professional experience included working as a special agent with the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI).[6] He also worked in talk radio and cybersecurity.[7] Rogers said he ran because of the state of the government. He said, "I thought I put politics behind me. But like you, I know something’s broken."[8] Rogers also said his experience in the U.S. House would help him in the Senate. "No candidate is better prepared to have an impact on day one," Rogers said.[8] According to third quarter reports submitted to the FEC, Rogers raised $10.7 million and spent $8.8 million.
Douglas Marsh (Green), Joseph Solis-Mullen (Libertarian), Doug Dern (Natural Law), and Dave Stein (U.S. Taxpayers) also ran.
Before the election, four major election forecasters differed in their ratings for the general election, with two rating it a toss-up, one rating it Tilt Democratic, and one rating it Lean Democratic.
The last U.S. Senate election in Michigan was held in 2020. That year, incumbent Gary Peters (D) defeated John James (R) by 1.7 percentage points.
This election was one of 12 battleground elections Ballotpedia watched in 2024. For more on those races, click here.
The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of the U.S. Senate in the 119th Congress. Thirty-four of 100 seats were up for election, including one special election. Of the seats up for election in 2024, Democrats held 19, Republicans held 11, and independents held four.
At the time of the election, Democrats had a 50-49 majority.[9] As a result of the election, Republicans gained a 53-47 majority in the U.S. Senate.Cite error: Closing </ref> missing for <ref> tag To read more about the 2024 U.S. Senate elections, click here.
This was one of eight open races for the U.S. Senate in 2024 where an incumbent did not run for re-election. Across the country, four Democrats, two Republicans, and two independents did not run for re-election, more than in any year since 2012. In 2022, six senators did not seek re-election, including one Democrat and five Republicans.
For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- United States Senate election in Michigan, 2024 (August 6 Democratic primary)
- United States Senate election in Michigan, 2024 (August 6 Republican primary)
Election news
This section includes a timeline of events leading up to the election.
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. Senate Michigan
The following candidates ran in the general election for U.S. Senate Michigan on November 5, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ |  | Elissa Slotkin (D) | 48.6 | 2,712,686 |
 | Mike Rogers (R) | 48.3 | 2,693,680 | |
 | Joseph Solis-Mullen (L)  | 1.0 | 56,697 | |
 | Douglas P. Marsh (G) | 1.0 | 53,978 | |
 | Dave Stein (U.S. Taxpayers Party) | 0.7 | 41,363 | |
 | Doug Dern (Natural Law Party) | 0.3 | 18,779 | |
 | Valerie Willis (U.S. Taxpayers Party) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 2 | |
| James Chapman (R) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 1 | ||
| Other/Write-in votes | 0.0 | 4 | ||
| Total votes: 5,577,190 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- James Frizzell (Independent)
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Michigan
Elissa Slotkin defeated Hill Harper in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Michigan on August 6, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Elissa Slotkin | 76.3 | 712,791 |
 | Hill Harper | 23.7 | 221,053 | |
| Total votes: 933,844 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Pamela Pugh (D)
- Nasser Beydoun (D)
- Leslie Love (D)
- Zack Burns (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. Senate Michigan
Mike Rogers defeated Justin Amash, Sherry O'Donnell, and Sandy Pensler in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate Michigan on August 6, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Mike Rogers | 63.2 | 555,766 |
 | Justin Amash | 15.6 | 137,565 | |
 | Sherry O'Donnell | 12.1 | 106,466 | |
 | Sandy Pensler | 9.1 | 79,772 | |
| Total votes: 879,569 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- J.D. Wilson (R)
- Sharon Savage (R)
- Michael Hoover (R)
- Bensson Samuel (R)
- Alexandria Taylor (R)
- Peter Meijer (R)
- James Craig (R)
- Nikki Snyder (R)
- Rebekah Curran (R)
- Glenn Wilson (R)
Green convention
Green convention for U.S. Senate Michigan
Douglas P. Marsh advanced from the Green convention for U.S. Senate Michigan on June 15, 2024.
Candidate | ||
| ✔ | | Douglas P. Marsh (G) |
| ||||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Libertarian convention
Libertarian convention for U.S. Senate Michigan
Joseph Solis-Mullen advanced from the Libertarian convention for U.S. Senate Michigan on July 20, 2024.
Candidate | ||
| ✔ | | Joseph Solis-Mullen (L) |
| ||||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Natural Law Party convention
Natural Law Party convention for U.S. Senate Michigan
Doug Dern advanced from the Natural Law Party convention for U.S. Senate Michigan on April 17, 2024.
Candidate | ||
| ✔ | | Doug Dern (Natural Law Party) |
| ||||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
U.S. Taxpayers Party convention
U.S. Taxpayers Party convention for U.S. Senate Michigan
Dave Stein advanced from the U.S. Taxpayers Party convention for U.S. Senate Michigan on July 27, 2024.
Candidate | ||
| ✔ | | Dave Stein (U.S. Taxpayers Party) |
| ||||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Recount laws in Michigan
Automatic recount procedures
Automatic recounts are required under the following conditions:
| “ |
A recount of all precincts in the state is automatically conducted if the difference between the number of votes received by a candidate nominated or elected to a statewide office and the number of votes received by the second place candidate is 2,000 votes or less. The provision does not extend to the office of State Board of Education, University of Michigan Regent, Michigan State University Trustee or Wayne State University Governor. A recount of all precincts in the state is similarly conducted if the difference between the “Yes” vote and the “No” vote cast on a statewide ballot proposal is 2,000 votes or less. [12] |
” |
| —Michigan Bureau of Elections | ||
The deadline to complete a recount is no later than 20 days (primary) or 30 days (general) after either the last day to file counter petitions or the first day that recounts may begin.[13]
This provision does not apply to presidential primary elections.[14]
Requested recount procedures
A candidate can request a recount if all of the following conditions are met:[15]
- The candidate ran for one of the following offices: president and vice president, state executive (e.g., governor), U.S. Senate, U.S. House, circuit judges, state senate and state representative[16]
- The request "alleges that the candidate is aggrieved on account of fraud or mistake in the canvass of the votes"
- The request "shall contain specific allegations of wrongdoing only if evidence of that wrongdoing is available to the petitioner. If evidence of wrongdoing is not available, the petitioner is only required to allege fraud or a mistake in the petition without further specification."
- The request "sets forth as nearly as possible the nature and character of the fraud or mistakes alleged and the counties, cities, or townships and the precincts in which they exist."
- The request "specifies the counties, cities, townships, and precincts in which the recount is requested."
Additionally, if a state Senate race is determined by 500 votes or fewer or a state House race is determined by 200 votes or fewer, a state party chair may request a recount following the guidelines described above.[15] Voters may also request recounts for ballot measures following guidelines similar to the above.[17]
The requester is responsible for costs associated with the recount unless the recount changes the election outcome, in which case the costs are refunded. If during the course of a recount, a precinct is deemed not recountable or is not recounted due to the withdrawal of the request, the costs paid by the requester to recount that precinct are refunded.Cite error: Closing </ref> missing for <ref> tag
For more information about recount procedures in Michigan, click here.
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Michigan
Candidate comparison
Candidate profiles
This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.
Party: Democratic Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: United States House of Representatives, District 8 (Assumed office: 2019)
Biography: Slotkin received a bachelor's from Cornell University and a master's from Columbia University. Her career experience includes working as a Middle East analyst with the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA). She was also the senior advisor on Middle East transition with the Office of the Undersecretary of Defense for Policy.
Show sources
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Michigan in 2024.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office:
- United States House of Representatives, District 8 (2001-2015)
- Michigan State Senate, District 26 (1995-2000)
Biography: Rogers received a bachelor's degree from Adrian College. From 1985 to 1989, Rogers served in the United States Army. His professional experience included working as a special agent with the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI). He also worked in talk radio and cybersecurity.
Show sources
Sources: Daily Caller, "Former Rep. Mike Rogers:Biden's Border Crisis Endangers All of Us," November 13, 2023; Mike Rogers campaign website, "Mike Rogers launches U.S. Senate campaign," September 6, 2023; The Detroit News, "Rogers: It's not too late to fix America," September 14, 2023; Mike Rogers campaign website, "Meet Mike," accessed June 30, 2024; Politico, "Former GOP Rep. Mike Rogers jumps into Michigan Senate race," September 6, 2023
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Michigan in 2024.
Party: Green Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "I'm a journalist, husband, and father who was born in 1984 in Traverse City. My first job was as a day laborer for the 1998 cherry harvest when I was 13. I kept working full-time in the summers and started working part-time as soon as I was able to drive a car. I worked in many industries, including restaurants, ski resorts, construction, landscaping, and in professional office environments. I earned my degree in philosophy at the University of Michigan in 2006. History and political theory were areas of particular focus and emphasis. Several years of intense policy and geopolitical analysis as a participant and then later a coach/judge in interscholastic competitive debate also were a big influence on my thinking. In 2013 I moved abroad and lectured at a university in Southeast Asia for five years. I married a woman from a humble farming family and we had twin girls in 2017. After losing one at the age of four months after a painful struggle with a major heart defect, we came to the United States as a family in 2018. My wife, then a green card holder, went on to achieve U.S. citizenship two and a half years later. In 2021 I entered the field of community journalism and took up volunteer firefighting the next year. My time in education, journalism, and volunteer efforts has been a process of learning how to act locally while thinking globally. I am interested in building people-power from below. This is a grassroots campaign with no PACs. I don't want $, I want change."
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Michigan in 2024.
Party: Libertarian Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "Political Scientist, Economist, and Fellow at the Libertarian Institute, Professor of History at Spring Arbor University, Author, Husband, Father of Five."
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Michigan in 2024.
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
Survey responses from candidates in this race
Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.
Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.
| Collapse all
Douglas P. Marsh (G)
Single-payer healthcare - the insurance, pharma, and related profit-driven "sick-care" cartels must be stopped
Stop Line 5 and the Line 5 Tunnel - pivot to full investment in sustainable energy and infrastructure
End the Fed
Democrats and Republicans are just different wings of the statist establishment who don't care about you, your family, or your rights - even the country itself: only their own power.
Douglas P. Marsh (G)
Douglas P. Marsh (G)
Douglas P. Marsh (G)
Douglas P. Marsh (G)
Douglas P. Marsh (G)
Douglas P. Marsh (G)
Douglas P. Marsh (G)
Douglas P. Marsh (G)
Campaign ads
Elissa Slotkin
| October 3, 2024 |
View more ads here:
Mike Rogers
View more ads here:
Satellite ads
This section includes a selection of campaign advertisements released by satellite groups. If you are aware of other satellite ads that should be included, please email us.
Great Lakes Conservatives Fund
| August 28, 2024 |
National Republican Senatorial Committee (NRSC)
| September 26, 2024 |
One Nation
| August 28, 2024 |
Win Senate Super PAC
| September 18, 2024 |
Debates and forums
This section includes links to debates, forums, and other similar events where multiple candidates in this race participated. If you are aware of any debates or forums that should be included, please email us.
October 14 debate
On October 14, Slotkin and Rogers participated in a debate hosted by WXYZ-TV.[18]
Click on the links below for summaries of the event:
October 8 debate
On October 8, Slotkin and Rogers participated in a debate hosted by WOOD-TV 8.[19]
Click on the links below for summaries of the event:
Election competitiveness
Polls
- See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
Polls are conducted with a variety of methodologies and have margins of error or credibility intervals.[20] The Pew Research Center wrote, "A margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level means that if we fielded the same survey 100 times, we would expect the result to be within 3 percentage points of the true population value 95 of those times."[21] For tips on reading polls from FiveThirtyEight, click here. For tips from Pew, click here.
Below we provide results for polls that are included in polling aggregation from FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics, when available. Click here to read about FiveThirtyEight's criteria for including polls in its aggregation. We only report polls for which we can find a margin of error or credibility interval.
| U.S. Senate election in Michigan, 2024: general election polls | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | Date | Slotkin
|
Rogers
|
Undecided/Other | Margin of error | Sample size[22] | Sponsor[23] |
| Marist | Sept. 12-17, 2024 | 52% | 45% | 3%[24] | ± 3.4 | 1138 LV | |
| Quinnipiac | Sept. 12-16, 2024 | 51% | 46% | 3%[25] | ± 3.3 | 905 LV | |
| Emerson College Polling | Sept. 15-18, 2024 | 47% | 42% | 11%[26] | ± 3.2 | 875 LV | The Hill |
| Mitchell Research & Communications | Sept. 11, 2024 | 48% | 45% | 7%[27] | ± 4.1 | 580 LV | MIRS/MI News Source |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Sept. 6-9, 2024 | 44% | 39% | 17%[28] | ± 3.8 | 556 LV | The Telegraph |
| YouGov | Sept. 3-6, 2024 | 48% | 41% | 11%[29] | ± 3.7 | 1086 RV | CBS News |
| Activote | Aug. 6-Sept. 5, 2024 | 53% | 47% | 0%[30] | ± 4.9 | 400 LV | |
| Glengariff Group | Aug. 26-29, 2024 | 44% | 35% | 21%[31] | ± 4.0 | 600 LV | The Detroit News, WDIV-TV (Detroit) |
| SSRS | Aug. 23-29, 2024 | 47% | 41% | 12%[32] | ± 4.9 | 708 LV | CNN |
| The Hill/Emerson | Aug. 25-28, 2024 | 47% | 41% | 12%[33] | ± 3.4 | 800 LV | Nexstar Media |
| EPIC-MRA | Aug. 23-26, 2024 | 46% | 42% | 12%[34] | ± 4.0 | 600 LV | |
| TIPP Insights | Aug. 20-22, 2024 | 47% | 35% | 18%[35] | ± 3.7 | 1,001 RV | American Greatness |
| Rasmussen Reports | Aug. 13-17, 2024 | 45% | 43% | 12%[36] | 1,093 LV | Numbers USA | |
| Fabrizio/Anzalone | Aug. 7-11, 2024 | 47% | 44% | 9%[37] | ± 4.0 | 600 LV | AARP |
| Bullfinch Group | Aug. 8-11, 2024 | 48% | 38% | 14%[38] | ± 4.38 | 500 RV | Independent Center |
| New York Times/Siena | Aug. 5-8, 2024 | 46% | 43% | 11%[39] | ± 4.8 | 619 LV | Times/Siena |
Race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[40]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[41][42][43]
| Race ratings: U.S. Senate election in Michigan, 2024 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
| November 5, 2024 | October 29, 2024 | October 22, 2024 | October 15, 2024 | ||||||
| The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | |||||
| Decision Desk HQ and The Hill | Lean Democratic | Toss-up | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | |||||
| Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Tilt Democratic | Tilt Democratic | Tilt Democratic | Tilt Democratic | |||||
| Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | |||||
| Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. | |||||||||
Noteworthy endorsements
This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please email us.
| Noteworthy endorsements | ||
|---|---|---|
| Endorser | Elissa Slotkin | Mike Rogers
|
| Government officials | ||
| Barack Obama (D) source | ✔ | |
| Gov. Gretchen Whitmer (D) source | ✔ | |
| Individuals | ||
| Former President Donald Trump source | ✔ | |
| Organizations | ||
| Actors' Equity Association source | ✔ | |
| Citizens for Traditional Values – PAC source | ✔ | |
| Communication Workers of American District 4 source | ✔ | |
| Kalamazoo County Democratic Party source | ✔ | |
| Michigan AFL-CIO source | ✔ | |
| Other | ||
| Detroit Free Press Editorial Board source | ✔ | |
| Michigan Farm Bureau source | ✔ | |
| The Detroit News Editorial Board source | ✔ | |
| The Michigan Daily source | ✔ | |
Election spending
Campaign finance
| Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hill Harper | Democratic Party | $3,149,519 | $3,149,519 | $0 | As of October 16, 2024 |
| Elissa Slotkin | Democratic Party | $51,937,060 | $51,654,345 | $282,715 | As of December 31, 2024 |
| Justin Amash | Republican Party | $914,568 | $1,282,891 | $3,200 | As of December 31, 2024 |
| James Chapman | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Sherry O'Donnell | Republican Party | $416,971 | $439,128 | $7,294 | As of December 31, 2024 |
| Sandy Pensler | Republican Party | $3,052,515 | $933,791 | $2,118,724 | As of March 31, 2024 |
| Mike Rogers | Republican Party | $13,247,397 | $12,952,602 | $218,714 | As of December 31, 2024 |
| Douglas P. Marsh | Green Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Joseph Solis-Mullen | Libertarian Party | $2,308 | $2,308 | $0 | As of December 17, 2024 |
| Doug Dern | Natural Law Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Dave Stein | U.S. Taxpayers Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Valerie Willis | U.S. Taxpayers Party | $1,530 | $1,530 | $0 | As of November 5, 2024 |
|
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
|||||
As of Oct. 28, 2024, the two major party candidates had the 10th largest difference in terms of total money raised between major party Senate candidates and the 14th largest difference in terms of total spending. Click here to learn more.
Satellite spending
- See also: Satellite spending
Satellite spending describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[44][45]
If available, satellite spending reports by the Federal Election Commission (FEC) and OpenSecrets.org are linked below. FEC links include totals from monthly, quarterly, and semi-annual reports. OpenSecrets.org compiles data from those reports as well as 24- and 48-hour reports from the FEC.[46]
Details about satellite spending of significant amounts and/or reported by media are included below those links. The amounts listed may not represent the total satellite spending in the election. To notify us of additional satellite spending, email us.
| By candidate | By election |
|---|---|
Election analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about demographics, past elections, and partisan control of the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the state.
- Statewide elections - Information about recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections in the state.
- State partisanship - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
- Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
Cook PVI by congressional district
| Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index for Michigan, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| District | Incumbent | Party | PVI |
| Michigan's 1st | Jack Bergman |  Republican |
R+13 |
| Michigan's 2nd | John Moolenaar | Republican |
R+16 |
| Michigan's 3rd | Hillary Scholten |  Democratic |
D+1 |
| Michigan's 4th | Bill Huizenga | Republican |
R+5 |
| Michigan's 5th | Tim Walberg | Republican |
R+15 |
| Michigan's 6th | Debbie Dingell | Democratic |
D+11 |
| Michigan's 7th | Elissa Slotkin | Democratic |
R+2 |
| Michigan's 8th | Dan Kildee | Democratic |
R+1 |
| Michigan's 9th | Lisa McClain | Republican |
R+18 |
| Michigan's 10th | John James | Republican |
R+3 |
| Michigan's 11th | Haley Stevens | Democratic |
D+7 |
| Michigan's 12th | Rashida Tlaib | Democratic |
D+23 |
| Michigan's 13th | Shri Thanedar | Democratic |
D+23 |
2020 presidential results by 2024 congressional district lines
| 2020 presidential results in congressional districts based on 2024 district lines, Michigan[47] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| District | Joe Biden
|
Donald Trump
| ||
| Michigan's 1st | 39.3% | 59.1% | ||
| Michigan's 2nd | 35.0% | 63.2% | ||
| Michigan's 3rd | 53.3% | 44.8% | ||
| Michigan's 4th | 47.1% | 51.1% | ||
| Michigan's 5th | 37.1% | 61.2% | ||
| Michigan's 6th | 62.7% | 36.0% | ||
| Michigan's 7th | 49.4% | 48.9% | ||
| Michigan's 8th | 50.3% | 48.2% | ||
| Michigan's 9th | 34.6% | 64.0% | ||
| Michigan's 10th | 48.8% | 49.8% | ||
| Michigan's 11th | 59.3% | 39.4% | ||
| Michigan's 12th | 73.7% | 25.2% | ||
| Michigan's 13th | 74.2% | 24.6% | ||
2012-2020
How a state's counties vote in a presidential election and the size of those counties can provide additional insights into election outcomes at other levels of government including statewide and congressional races. Below, four categories are used to describe each county's voting pattern over the 2012, 2016, and 2020 presidential elections: Solid, Trending, Battleground, and New. Click [show] on the table below for examples:
| County-level voting pattern categories | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | |||||||
| Status | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | ||||
| Solid Democratic | D | D | D | ||||
| Trending Democratic | R | D | D | ||||
| Battleground Democratic | D | R | D | ||||
| New Democratic | R | R | D | ||||
| Republican | |||||||
| Status | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | ||||
| Solid Republican | R | R | R | ||||
| Trending Republican | D | R | R | ||||
| Battleground Republican | R | D | R | ||||
| New Republican | D | D | R | ||||
Following the 2020 presidential election, 46.0% of Michiganians lived in one of the state's eight Solid Democratic counties, which voted for the Democratic presidential candidate in every election from 2012 to 2020, and 29.1% lived in one of 61 Solid Republican counties. Overall, Michigan was Battleground Democratic, having voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2012, Donald Trump (R) in 2016, and Joe Biden (D) in 2020. Use the table below to view the total number of each type of county in Michigan following the 2020 election as well as the overall percentage of the state population located in each county type.
| Michigan county-level statistics, 2020 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solid Democratic | 8 | 46.0% | |||||
| Solid Republican | 61 | 29.1% | |||||
| Trending Republican | 11 | 16.3% | |||||
| New Democratic | 2 | 6.8% | |||||
| Battleground Democratic | 1 | 1.9% | |||||
| Total voted Democratic | 11 | 54.6% | |||||
| Total voted Republican | 72 | 45.4% | |||||
Historical voting trends
Michigan presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 13 Democratic wins
- 17 Republican wins
- 1 other win
| Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winning Party | R | R | R | P[48] | R | R | R | R | D | D | R | D | R | R | R | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | D |
This section details the results of the five most recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections held in the state.
U.S. Senate elections
The table below details the vote in the five most recent U.S. Senate races in Michigan.
| U.S. Senate election results in Michigan | ||
|---|---|---|
| Race | Winner | Runner up |
| 2020 | 49.9% |
48.2%
|
| 2018 | 52.3% |
45.8%
|
| 2014 | 54.6% |
41.3%
|
| 2012 | 58.6% |
38.0%
|
| 2008 | 62.7% |
33.8%
|
| Average | 55.6 | 41.4 |
Gubernatorial elections
- See also: Governor of Michigan
The table below details the vote in the five most recent gubernatorial elections in Michigan.
| Gubernatorial election results in Michigan | ||
|---|---|---|
| Race | Winner | Runner up |
| 2022 | 54.5% |
43.9%
|
| 2018 | 53.3% |
43.7%
|
| 2014 | 50.9% |
46.9%
|
| 2010 | 58.1% |
39.9%
|
| 2006 | 56.4% |
42.3%
|
| Average | 54.0 | 44.0 |
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Michigan's congressional delegation as of May 2024.
| Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Michigan | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
| Democratic | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| Republican | 0 | 7 | 7 |
| Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 2 | 13 | 15 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Michigan's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.
| State executive officials in Michigan, May 2024 | |
|---|---|
| Office | Officeholder |
| Governor | Gretchen Whitmer
|
| Lieutenant Governor | Garlin Gilchrist II
|
| Secretary of State | Jocelyn Benson
|
| Attorney General | Dana Nessel
|
State legislature
Michigan State Senate
| Party | As of February 2024 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 20 | |
| Republican Party | 18 | |
| Other | 0 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 38 | |
Michigan House of Representatives
| Party | As of February 2024 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 54 | |
| Republican Party | 54 | |
| Other | 0 | |
| Vacancies | 2 | |
| Total | 110 | |
Trifecta control
The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.
Michigan Party Control: 1992-2024
Two years of Democratic trifectas • Fourteen years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D |
| Senate | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D |
| House | D | S | S | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D |
The table below details demographic data in Michigan and compares it to the broader United States as of 2022.
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| Demographic Data for Michigan | ||
|---|---|---|
| Michigan | United States | |
| Population | 10,077,331 | 331,449,281 |
| Land area (sq mi) | 56,609 | 3,531,905 |
| Race and ethnicity** | ||
| White | 75.7% | 65.9% |
| Black/African American | 13.6% | 12.5% |
| Asian | 3.3% | 5.8% |
| Native American | 0.5% | 0.8% |
| Pacific Islander | 0% | 0.2% |
| Two or more | 5.4% | 8.8% |
| Hispanic/Latino | 5.5% | 18.7% |
| Education | ||
| High school graduation rate | 91.8% | 89.1% |
| College graduation rate | 31.1% | 34.3% |
| Income | ||
| Median household income | $68,505 | $75,149 |
| Persons below poverty level | 8.8% | 8.8% |
| Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2020). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2017-2022). | ||
| **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. | ||
Election context
Ballot access requirements
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. Senate candidates in Michigan in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Michigan, click here.
| Filing requirements for U.S. Senate candidates, 2024 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Signature formula | Filing fee | Filing fee formula | Filing deadline | Source |
| Michigan | U.S. Senate | Democrat or Republican | 15,000-30,000 | Fixed number | N/A | N/A | 4/23/2024 | Source |
| Michigan | U.S. Senate | Unaffiliated | 12,000-60,000 | Fixed number | N/A | N/A | 7/18/2024 | Source |
Election history
The section below details election results for this state's U.S. Senate elections dating back to 2014.
2020
General election
General election for U.S. Senate Michigan
The following candidates ran in the general election for U.S. Senate Michigan on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ |  | Gary Peters (D) | 49.9 | 2,734,568 |
 | John James (R) | 48.2 | 2,642,233 | |
| Valerie Willis (U.S. Taxpayers Party of Michigan) | 0.9 | 50,597 | |
 | Marcia Squier (G) | 0.7 | 39,217 | |
| Doug Dern (Natural Law Party) | 0.2 | 13,093 | |
 | Leonard Gadzinski (Independent) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 7 | |
 | Bob Carr (R) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 5 | |
| Total votes: 5,479,720 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Watch the Candidate Conversation for this race!
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Gregory Charles Jones (Other)
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Michigan
Incumbent Gary Peters advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Michigan on August 4, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Gary Peters | 100.0 | 1,180,780 |
| Total votes: 1,180,780 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. Senate Michigan
John James advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. Senate Michigan on August 4, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | John James | 100.0 | 1,005,315 |
| Total votes: 1,005,315 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Bob Carr (R)
Green convention
Green convention for U.S. Senate Michigan
Marcia Squier advanced from the Green convention for U.S. Senate Michigan on June 20, 2020.
Candidate | ||
| ✔ | | Marcia Squier (G) |
| ||||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Natural Law Party convention
Natural Law Party convention for U.S. Senate Michigan
Doug Dern advanced from the Natural Law Party convention for U.S. Senate Michigan on July 30, 2020.
Candidate | ||
| ✔ | | Doug Dern (Natural Law Party) |
| ||||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
U.S. Taxpayers Party of Michigan convention
U.S. Taxpayers Party of Michigan convention for U.S. Senate Michigan
Valerie Willis advanced from the U.S. Taxpayers Party of Michigan convention for U.S. Senate Michigan on July 25, 2020.
Candidate | ||
| ✔ | | Valerie Willis (U.S. Taxpayers Party of Michigan) |
| ||||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
2018
General election
General election for U.S. Senate Michigan
Incumbent Debbie Stabenow defeated John James, Marcia Squier, George Huffman III, and John Howard Wilhelm in the general election for U.S. Senate Michigan on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ |  | Debbie Stabenow (D) | 52.3 | 2,214,478 |
| John James (R) | 45.8 | 1,938,818 | |
| Marcia Squier (G) | 0.9 | 40,204 | |
| George Huffman III (U.S. Taxpayers Party) | 0.6 | 27,251 | ||
 | John Howard Wilhelm (Natural Law Party) | 0.4 | 16,502 | |
| Other/Write-in votes | 0.0 | 18 | ||
| Total votes: 4,237,271 (100.00% precincts reporting) | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
2014
On November 4, 2014, Gary Peters (D) won election to the U.S. Senate. He defeated Terri Lynn Land (R), Jim Fulner (L), Richard Matkin (G) and Chris Wahmhoff (U.S. Taxpayers) in the general election.
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic |  Gary Peters |
54.6% | 1,704,936 | |
| Republican | Terri Lynn Land | 41.3% | 1,290,199 | |
| Libertarian | Jim Fulner | 2% | 62,897 | |
| U.S. Taxpayers Party | Richard Matkin | 1.2% | 37,529 | |
| Green | Chris Wahmhoff | 0.8% | 26,137 | |
| Total Votes | 3,121,698 | |||
| Source: Michigan Secretary of State | ||||
2024 battleground elections
- See also: Battlegrounds
This was a battleground election. Other 2024 battleground elections included:
- Arizona's 6th Congressional District election, 2024
- Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District election, 2024 (April 23 Democratic primary)
- Wisconsin's 3rd Congressional District election, 2024 (August 13 Democratic primary)
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ The New York Times, "Michigan Election Results," accessed November 6, 2024
- ↑ Decision Desk HQ, "MI US Senate General Election," accessed November 6, 2024
- ↑ The Detroit Free Press, "Michigan Voter Guide: Key Races," July 15, 2024
- ↑ LinkedIn, "Elissa Slotkin on LinkedIn," accessed August 14, 2024
- ↑ Elissa Slotkin 2024 campaign website, "Meet Elissa," accessed August 14, 2024
- ↑ Mike Rogers campaign website, "Meet Mike," accessed July 1, 2024
- ↑ Politico, "Former GOP Rep. Mike Rogers jumps into Michigan Senate race," September 6, 2023
- ↑ 8.0 8.1 CNN, "Former GOP Rep. Mike Rogers announces Senate bid in Michigan," September 6, 2023
- ↑ The number of Democratic senators includes four independents.
- ↑ Detroit Free Press, "4 takeaways from the Elissa Slotkin-Mike Rogers US Senate debates," October 15, 2024
- ↑ The Detroit News, "Republican group to spend $22.5M to help Rogers in Michigan Senate race," September 30, 2024
- ↑ Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributable to the original source.
- ↑ Michigan Election Law, "Section 168.875," accessed April 18, 2024
- ↑ Michigan Election Law, "Section 168.879a," accessed April 18, 2024
- ↑ 15.0 15.1 Michigan Election Law, "Section 168.879," accessed April 18, 2024
- ↑ Michigan Election Law, "Section 168.841," accessed April 18, 2024
- ↑ Michigan Election Law, "Section 168.880," accessed April 18, 2024
- ↑ Detroit Free Press, "4 takeaways from the Elissa Slotkin-Mike Rogers US Senate debates," October 15, 2024
- ↑ Detroit Free Press, "Slotkin, Rogers spar in US Senate debate over which is trying to deceive voters," October 8, 2024
- ↑ For more information on the difference between margins of error and credibility intervals, see explanations from the American Association for Public Opinion Research and Ipsos.
- ↑ Pew Research Center, "5 key things to know about the margin of error in election polls," September 8, 2016
- ↑ RV=Registered Voters
LV=Likely Voters - ↑ The sponsor is the person or group that funded all or part of the poll.
- ↑ Breakdown
- ↑ Breakdown
- ↑ Breakdown
- ↑ Breakdown
- ↑ Breakdown
- ↑ Breakdown
- ↑ Breakdown
- ↑ Breakdown
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- ↑ Breakdown
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- ↑ Breakdown
- ↑ Breakdown
- ↑ Breakdown
- ↑ Breakdown
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed December 12, 2021
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed December 12, 2021
- ↑ Amee LaTour, Email correspondence with the Center for Responsive Politics, August 5, 2022
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012," accessed December 15, 2023
- ↑ Progressive Party
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