The Royals announced that utilityman Cavan Biggio has been signed to a minor league contract. While no mention was made in the team’s official announcement, it can be assumed that Biggio received an invitation to Kansas City’s big league Spring Training camp.
More to come…
]]>Just under a year ago, the Mariners acquired second baseman Jorge Polanco from the Twins as part of a five-player deal that also involved right-hander Anthony DeScalfani, the latter of whom was traded to Seattle as part of the Robbie Ray trade earlier that same month. At the time of the deal, adding Polanco seemed to be something of a coup for the Mariners, who were in desperate need of an upgrade over Kolten Wong at second base and managed to take advantage of the fact that the Twins were facing a mandate to cut payroll and had plenty of infield depth at their disposal.
That allowed them to add a former All-Star with who had slashed .255/.333/.462 (120 wRC+) over the previous three seasons. Polanco even came with multiple years of control in the form of a $12MM team option ($750K buyout) that seemed quite likely to be a no-brainer for the club to pick up when the trade was executed. Flash forward to the end of the 2024 campaign, however, and Polanco had posted arguably the worst full season of his career before undergoing knee surgery in October. Given that, it was a surprise to no one when the Mariners opted to decline their option on the switch-hitter and pocket the $11.25MM in savings for use on other areas of the roster.
Since then, Polanco has been awaiting an opportunity on the free agent market. The infielder is slated to return to baseball activities at some point this month and be fully ready to go in time for Spring Training, but his market has nonetheless been rather quiet. The Astros reportedly had some level of interest in Polanco as a fallback plan in the event they failed to land Alex Bregman, but they instead pivoted to a combination of Isaac Paredes at third base and Christian Walker at first. That seems likely to close the door on the possibility of Polanco heading to Houston, and no other teams have been publicly connected to the infielder.
Some trepidation from clubs regarding Polanco is understandable. In addition to the fact that he’s coming off offseason surgery, there are some worrisome signs in his performance last year even going beyond his raw production. Polanco’s 29.2% strikeout rate was by far the worst mark of his 11-year MLB tenure. He’s struck out just a 19.5% clip throughout his career, but his strikeouts have been steadily increasing over the last several years. He struck out at just an 18.3% clip back in 2021, which was by far the best season of his career. Since then, however, his strikeouts have climbed each season with a 21.3% figure in 2022 and 25.7% in ’23 before topping out with last year’s aforementioned 29.2% clip.
It’s a worrying trend that was present even when Polanco was productive in previous years and shows little sign of turning around. After making contact on 81.6% of pitches he swung at in 2021, good for the 32nd-highest contact rate among 132 qualified hitters. That figure dropped to 73.6% last year, though, which was just 124th among 169 hitters with at least 450 plate appearances. That’s a steep drop, though it’s not the culprit of Polanco’s downturn in production on its own. After all, his 77.1% and 77.2% contact rates in 2022 and ’23 were diminished relative to 2021 as well and Polanco still managed to remain productive.
Where Polanco found success in those years but not 2024 was in the power department: his barrel rate in 2022 was a well above-average 10.2%, and it jumped to an excellent 13.8% two seasons ago. Last year, however, it dipped to just 8.9%. That’s still an above-average figure overall, but a nearly five-point drop in barrel rate is sure to sap any hitter’s power output. Polanco was no exception to that, as after crushing 14 homers and 18 doubles in just 343 plate appearances in 2023 last year saw Polanco slug just 16 homers and 11 doubles despite stepping up to the plate 136 more times than he had the year prior.
While Polanco’s deteriorating contact numbers and vanishing power are both clear causes for concern, there is some reason for optimism as well. His 9.8% walk rate remained well above average in 2024, and his .311 xwOBA was 24 points higher than his .287 wOBA. That suggests at least some of his lackluster campaign last year was due to poor batted ball luck, and after a season where he posted a 92 wRC+ for the Mariners it’s easy to imagine him being more of an average to slightly above-average hitter by that metric had his results matched more closely with the underlying metrics.
A second baseman who can put up a wRC+ in the 100-105 range can be a valuable regular even when factoring in Polanco’s lackluster defense at the keystone, and it’s not hard to imagine Polanco being a steady, two-win regular if healthy enough to play a full season in 2025 even without his contract or power bouncing back. Between that solid floor of production at the possibility Polanco can rediscover either the power stroke or the more contact-oriented approach he found success with in previous seasons, he figures to be one of the better players available to teams in need of help at second or third base at this point in the winter—particularly for clubs that aren’t willing to commit what it would take to land Bregman, Nolan Arenado, or Ha-Seong Kim on an annual basis. The Yankees, Angels, Cubs, and Pirates are among a number of teams that could use help around the infield that Polanco could be a speculative fit for.
]]>“Several” teams remain involved the market for third baseman Yoán Moncada, according to a report from Francys Romero this afternoon. Romero goes on to report that the Cubs and Mariners are among the clubs with interest in Moncada’s services in addition to the Blue Jays, who were previously reported as a potential suitor last month.
After spending eight seasons on the south side of Chicago, the prospect of Moncada moving on to the north side and joining the Cubs makes plenty of sense. The switch-hitter has primarily played third base throughout his career but has also spent time at the keystone. Those are perhaps the two positions where the Cubs could stand to benefit most from shoring up their depth. The club parted ways with third baseman Isaac Paredes as part of the deal that brought Kyle Tucker to Chicago last month, and while top prospect Matt Shaw seems poised to take over everyday reps at the hot corner he has just 35 games of experience at the Triple-A level.
It would be a surprise for the club to simply anoint an unproven player as an everyday player, even one as talented as Shaw. To that end, president of baseball operations Jed Hoyer indicated last month that Shaw will have to “earn” the position in Spring Training. There’s at least some semblance of internal competition for the role in the form of Rule 5 draft pick Gage Workman as well as utility infielders Miles Mastrobuoni and Vidal Bruján, but adding a player with more of a big league track record to the mix could give Shaw some more robust competition for the role. Moncada is as good a choice as any player available on the infield market for that role. Though he’s often been injured in recent years, he’s hit a respectable .262/.311/.422 (101 wRC+) over the past two seasons and was a well above-average regular as recently as 2021.
In addition to providing competition to Shaw this spring, adding Moncada to the Cubs’ infield mix would give the club additional protection against the possibility that incumbent second baseman Nico Hoerner isn’t ready for Opening Day. Hoerner underwent flexor tendon surgery back in October, and the Cubs have subsequently indicated that although he’s expected to be ready early in the 2025 season at the latest, a specific timetable for his return won’t be clear until camp opens next month. With so much uncertainty surrounding both second and third base, the addition of Moncada to the mix would give the Cubs a high-upside veteran who could fill in for Hoerner in the lineup early in the year and act as an insurance policy against Shaw struggling in his first taste of big league action.
As for the Mariners, MLBTR discussed Moncada as a potential fit for their needs at third base in a post last night. Given the club’s wide-open third base competition, the prospect of everyday playing time is one that would surely appeal to Moncada if it were to be made available to him. With that being said, Moncada’s 29.4% strikeout rate over the past two seasons could give the Mariners some level of pause given their efforts to cut down on strikeouts in their lineup over the past couple of years. With that being said, the third base options available in free agency this winter are fairly limited and it’s difficult to imagine Seattle finding a clearly better option for the hot corner unless they can swing a trade for a player like Alec Bohm or Willi Castro.
While Toronto’s interest in Moncada’s services isn’t exactly news, it’s nonetheless noteworthy given that prior reports of interest in his services originated prior to the Andrés Giménez trade last month. With Giménez and Bo Bichette seemingly locked into the club’s middle infield barring a Bichette trade coming together at some point, that seemingly left youngsters like Ernie Clement and Addison Barger to jockey for playing time at the hot corner. Adding Moncada to the mix might push those youngsters to the bench or Triple-A, though it’s also possible that the Jays could instead have a bench role in mind for Moncada while Clement remains as the club’s likely regular at third.
]]>When the Diamondbacks shocked the baseball world by landing right-hander Corbin Burnes in free agency, the move gave them nearly unparalleled depth in the rotation: the righty is joined by Zac Gallen, Merrill Kelly, Eduardo Rodriguez, Jordan Montgomery, Brandon Pfaadt, and Ryne Nelson among the club’s starting options headed into 2025. That sort of depth will cause plenty of speculation regarding the possibility of a trade, and Arizona’s rotation has been no exception to that. While the club reportedly wasn’t close to dealing any of its pitchers last week, they’ve has garnered interest on their rotation throughout the winter.
Of that group, Montgomery has long seemed to be the most likely player to move. The lefty was a late-spring signing by the Diamondbacks last year, and the deal hasn’t gone well for anyone. Montgomery struggled badly in his first season in the desert, pitching to a 6.23 ERA in 117 innings of work. His 4.48 FIP was substantially better than that top-level run prevention figure, though even that was below average. Diamondbacks ownership went as far as to publicly criticize Montgomery shortly after the 2024 season came to a close, so it’s no surprise that the Snakes have long appeared motivated to move the southpaw ahead of his age-32 season. The addition of Burnes could at least theoretically open the door to Arizona feeling comfortable enough with its rotation depth to more seriously consider dealing one of its other arms, but it stands to reason that the club would still prefer to move Montgomery all else equal.
After such a disastrous 2024 campaign, it’s hard to imagine the Diamondbacks getting much of significance for the lefty’s services beyond some salary relief. Montgomery is slated to earn $22.5MM in 2025, a hefty sum that it seems unlikely that the club will be able to fully get off of its books. With that being said, the ever-increasing price of starting pitching makes the deal at least a little bit more palatable than it might seem at first glance. After all, the Red Sox guaranteed right-hander Walker Buehler $21.05MM for the 2025 season on the heels of a lackluster campaign where he posted a 5.38 ERA in 16 starts. The Tigers, meanwhile, guaranteed 37-year-old veteran Alex Cobb $15MM on the heels of a 2024 campaign where he made just three regular season starts.
Both of those players have substantial previous success to lean on, but so does Montgomery. The lefty won the World Series with the Rangers in 2023, and in doing so capped off a three-season stretch where he pitched to a strong 3.48 ERA (120 ERA+) with a 3.62 FIP across 94 starts. So long as the Diamondbacks aren’t looking to get anything of particular significance back in return, it’s relatively easy to imagine them being able to offload at least $15MM or so of Montgomery’s salary. Which teams could be best positioned to take a one-year roll of the dice on the lefty’s services? A look at nine potential suitors, listed alphabetically within tiers:
Best Fits
Next Tier Down
Longer Shots
Late last week, the Orioles added veteran right-hander Charlie Morton to their rotation mix on a one-year deal. On paper, the addition (alongside the club’s one-year deal with Tomoyuki Sugano earlier last month) would appear to fill their rotation. Things may not be that simple, however, as Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic reported this morning that Baltimore remains in the market for upgrades even after adding Morton to their rotation mix.
As noted by Rosenthal, the Orioles already have a fairly deep rotation mix as things stand. Morton and Sugano are joined by Zach Eflin and Grayson Rodriguez as locks for the club’s rotation next year, with Dean Kremer poised to round out the starting five. Rosenthal suggests that veteran journeyman Albert Suárez could pitch in as the club’s sixth starter if the Orioles opt for a six-man rotation this year, but even if they stick with just five starters Suárez figures to slot into the bullpen as a swing-man who can move back into the rotation as needed. Cade Povich, Trevor Rogers, and Chayce McDermott are all available as depth options behind that group, as well.
If Baltimore were to add another starter, it seems likely that Kremer would be the odd man out. The right-hander made 24 starts for the Orioles last year and pitched to decent results, with a 4.10 ERA (92 ERA+) and a 4.32 FIP in 129 2/3 innings of work. That’s perfectly solid production for a fifth starter, but those numbers also shouldn’t prevent the Orioles from upgrading their rotation mix and squeezing Kremer out of the picture. After all, the right-hander has been at least slightly below average by measure of ERA+ in every season of his career except 2022, when he pitched to an impressive 3.23 ERA in 125 1/3 innings of work in a career year.
Kremer, who is arbitration eligible for the first time in his career this winter, has a minor league option remaining that could offer the Orioles some flexibility if the club decides to add further to its rotation. Speculatively speaking, however, it’s also possible that the club could consider offering the right-hander as part of the return to land a starter on the trade market. Kremer has three seasons of team control remaining, so offering him up in order to land a rental pitcher like Dylan Cease would be a risky move given the fact that Morton, Sugano, and Eflin are all already ticketed for free agency next winter. That said, it seems feasible that Kremer could make sense as part of the return for a controllable arm such as Luis Castillo or Pablo López.
Rosenthal previously reported that the Mariners have some pause about dealing Castillo given their lackluster rotation depth behind the current starting five, which could make the Orioles a particularly good trade partner if they’re willing to make Kremer or even one of their younger arms like Povich available. Rosenthal reports that the Mariners are requiring major league talent in return for Castillo’s services this winter, while noting that Baltimore seems reluctant to deal from its cache of young position players. Perhaps a package focused on Kremer and first baseman Ryan Mountcastle could make some sense for both sides, then, offering Seattle a pair of arbitration-level players with multiple years of control while landing the Orioles the controllable, front-line starter they’ve been seeking.
Of course, the trade market isn’t the only way that Baltimore could upgrade their rotation. Former Oriole Jack Flaherty is still available on the free agent market, and the club was frequently connected to him prior to the club’s deal with Morton. If the Orioles remain in the market for rotation upgrades even after adding Morton to the fold, it stands to reason that Flaherty remains at least a potential fit for the club’s needs despite some recent reporting that has suggested the club could balk at the righty’s asking price. Flaherty seems certain to land a multi-year deal this winter, with reports indicating he’s angling for a five-year pact. Such an addition would offer Baltimore a bit more certainty in its rotation for 2026 and beyond by allowing them to project a starting five that includes Flaherty, Rodriguez, and Kremer for next season alongside Kyle Bradish, who could return from elbow surgery at some point in the second half this year.
Moving beyond the possibility of further rotation upgrades, Rosenthal adds that the Orioles hope to supplement its bullpen mix this winter. The biggest addition to Baltimore’s relief corps is sure to be the return for closer Félix Bautista from Tommy John surgery, but it stands to reason that the club could use at least one veteran arm to join Seranthony Domínguez, Yennier Cano, Keegan Akin, and Gregory Soto among the club’s potential late-inning options ahead of Bautista. While Baltimore has not been directly connected to any specific relievers in this year’s free agent market, they figure to benefit from the fact that there’s been minimal movement on the relief market to this point in the winter if the club decides to hold off on adding bullpen help until later in the winter.
]]>The Mariners haven’t been shy about their desire to shore up their infield mix this winter, and while at points in the offseason the club has shown an interest in upgrading at second their focus appears to be primarily on upgrading the infield corners rather than the keystone, where options like Dylan Moore and Ryan Bliss are available to hold down the fort until top middle infield prospect Cole Young is ready for his MLB debut.
First base appears to be fairly simple hole for the club to fill. They’ve long been connected to a reunion with veteran Justin Turner, who helped to bolster their first base mix down the stretch and could pair well with Luke Raley’s left-handed bat at the position. Aside from that possibility, a number of viable veteran options like Mark Canha and Anthony Rizzo still remain available in free agency as well, not to mention trade candidates like Yandy Diaz, Luis Arraez, and LaMonte Wade Jr. who could provide a bit more impact at the cost of trade capital. Even after a run on first base talent just before the New Year, plenty of options remain available for the club to consider as they look for an upgrade over Raley and youngster Tyler Locklear.
Third base, however, is a bit more complicated. While a number of players could at least theoretically be available at the position this winter, Alex Bregman and Nolan Arenado both figure to be well outside of the Mariners’ price range. Another potential trade candidate, Eugenio Suarez, also seems unlikely to be a fit given that the Mariners themselves traded Suarez just one offseason ago. Beyond Bregman, few options available in free agency provide obvious upgrades over Josh Rojas, who the club utilized at third base last year before non-tendering him back in November.
Standing pat doesn’t appear to be an option at the position, either: Austin Shenton and Leo Rivas could at least theoretically pitch in at the position but have a combined 136 plate appearances at the big league level, necessitating at least one veteran addition to take the lion’s share of reps at the hot corner. With an apparently tight budget and minimal internal solutions available, who could be a realistic target for the club this winter?
Free Agents
Trade Candidates
With Garrett Crochet and Walker Buehler added to the rotation and last year’s free agent signing Lucas Giolito expected to be ready for Opening Day after missing the 2024 season, the Red Sox are considering deploying a six-man rotation in 2025 according to a report from Jen McCaffrey of The Athletic.
That such a plan would be under consideration by the club’s front office makes sense, given the way their starting corps is constructed. On paper, it’s an exceptionally deep group with homegrown youngsters Tanner Houck, Brayan Bello, and Kutter Crawford joining the aforementioned trio while depth pieces like Richard Fitts, Quinn Priester, and Cooper Criswell all remain in the wings as plug-and-play depth options. Beyond that group, the Red Sox have weighed veteran Michael Fulmer as a starting option and have additional potential options like Garrett Whitlock and Patrick Sandoval expected to return from the injured list at some point during the 2025 season.
While a list of credible, MLB-caliber starters twelve names deep is something the majority of clubs around the league figure to be envious of, that depth could easily prove necessary for the Red Sox given the concerning injury histories at play in their rotation mix. Giolito, Fulmer, Whitlock, and Sandoval will all be pitching off a big league mound for the first time since undergoing elbow surgery and will surely need to have their workloads managed carefully as they get back into the grind of work as a starter.
Additionally, Buehler will be just one year removed from the same situation and last pitched a wire-to-wire big league season in 2021 while Crochet made 32 starts in 2024 but nearly tripled his maximum single-season innings workload as a professional after struggling with injuries earlier in his career. Both hurlers may need to have their innings carefully managed in 2025, particularly given Boston’s postseason aspirations and the fact that the club surely wants to have both healthy and ready to go in the event that the club makes its first playoff run since 2021. Houck, Bello, and Crawford all also put together career-high innings totals in 2024, leaving reason to consider whether the club’s entire rotation mix may benefit from the additional rest that a six man rotation provides.
The biggest reason for a team to have pause regarding the possibility of a six-man rotation (at least, for clubs that do not employ Shohei Ohtani) is the 13-pitcher limit for MLB rosters, which cause any club using a six-man rotation to be forced to deploy a seven-man bullpen. The additional rest between starts could allow starters to pitch deeper into games and make playing a man down in the bullpen more feasible, at least in theory, but the occasional short start due to injury or ineffectiveness is inevitable over the course of a 162-game season and a bullpen with just seven pitchers that’s forced to cover six or seven innings during a shortened start could be hampered for the next several games by the surprise uptick in workload.
With that said, Boston’s extreme depth of potential starting options could set the club up to utilize a six-man rotation more effectively than the average club. With twelve pitchers at least potentially in the mix for starts this season, utilizing a handful of those arms as bullpen pieces capable of going multiple innings would be a way to allow the club’s relief corps to better handle its workload despite having just seven arms available at a time. All indications point to the Red Sox already planning to move Whitlock back into the bullpen once he’s ready to return to action, and players like Fulmer, Priester, Criswell, and even Josh Winckowski could all also seamlessly move into the club’s bullpen and throw multiple innings if needed.
Of course, the club’s ability to stack relievers capable of going multiple innings in the bullpen will surely depend on the moves they make to bolster their relief corps going forward this winter. Justin Slaten, Aroldis Chapman, and Liam Hendriks are all more or less guaranteed spots in the club’s Opening Day bullpen so long as health allows, and the same is likely true for lefty Justin Wilson. That would leave just three bullpen spots available if the club moves to a six-man rotation, and if the club decides to pursue another relief addition like Tanner Scott or Chris Martin then there would be just two spots available for traditional bullpen arms like Greg Weissert or Brennan Bernardino as well as any multi-inning options the club wants to utilize.
]]>The Cardinals are “in the market” for a setup reliever who can help replace right-hander Andrew Kittredge near the back of their bullpen after he hit free agency back in November, according to Derrick Goold of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch.
It’s not necessarily surprising that the Cardinals would have interest in adding to their bullpen. Aside from the void left by Kittredge in the late innings, closer Ryan Helsley has found his name in the rumor mill frequently this winter. While all signs point to the club keeping him in the fold for at least the start of the 2025 season, the addition of a veteran reliever with experience in the late innings could provide cover for St. Louis that would allow them to more seriously weigh dealing Helsley in the event that they receive the sort of overwhelming offer that would compel them to reconsider their stance. While the loss of Helsley would be a tough blow for the club’s bullpen regardless of what pitcher (or pitchers) they add to their relief corps this winter, it would certainly be easier for the Cards to attempt to stay competitive in 2025 without Helsley in the fold if they have an experienced veteran who could step into the closer’s role in Helsley’s stead.
The more likely scenario, of course, is that the club will stick with its apparent plan to retain Helsley headed into the season. Even in that case, however, it’s easy to see why the club would want to bolster its bullpen as a way to keep Helsley firmly in his current role as the club’s closer. 2024 was the first year of Helsley’s career where he was utilized exclusively in the ninth inning or later, and he responded with a 206 ERA+ and an MLB-best 49 saves. Goold suggests that the steady presence of Kittredge, who posted a 2.80 ERA and collected 37 holds with the Cardinals last year, was a key part of the reason the Cardinals were able to be more judicious in their deployment of Helsley in comparison to years’ past.
As much sense as it could make for the Cardinals to add at least one veteran reliever to their bullpen this winter, it’s a path that isn’t without obstacles. It’s been made abundantly clear through a number of reports and even president of baseball operations John Mozeliak’s comments this winter that lowering payroll is a priority for St. Louis this winter. The most obvious way to do that, and the Cardinals’ clear preference, is to find a trade partner for Nolan Arenado. Recent reporting has suggested a quiet market for Arenado ever since a potential deal with the Astros last month fell through, however, and for his part Goold indicates that the Cardinals may be best served waiting out fellow third baseman Alex Bregman’s market given the potential for overlapping suitors between the two infielders.
With no public indications that Bregman is especially close to signing, that could mean the Cardinals will need to wait for quite some time before they can seriously consider adding more payroll of real significance. Fortunately for St. Louis, the relief market has been very slow moving this winter with Aroldis Chapman, Blake Treinen, and Yimi García standing out as the only players to sign for more than $10MM to this point in that corner of the market. Whether the Cardinals would be interested in playing in that mid-tier of the relief market will surely depend on how much (if any) of Arenado’s contract they manage to move, as well as whether or not they part ways with hurlers like Steven Matz and Erick Fedde this winter after both starters garnered interest earlier this winter. Even if Matz or Fedde is moved, Goold suggests that the club could consider circling back to veteran right-hander Kyle Gibson rather than signing a pricier relief arm like David Robertson.
Given the slow pace of the relief market this winter, the Cardinals should still have a good amount of flexibility to make an addition to their bullpen whenever their payroll situation is properly resolved. Goold speculatively suggests former Rangers righty José Leclerc as a potential fit for the Cards, and players like Kyle Finnegan, Chris Martin, and Paul Sewald are among a handful of other options for late-inning veterans who could feasibly be had on one-year deals—as is a reunion with Kittredge himself. Each of those options will surely secure a reasonably healthy big league guarantee, however, and if the Cardinals find themselves unable to move any of their pricey veterans on the trade market it’s possible they won’t have interest in adding that sort of salary. In that case, Héctor Neris, Scott Barlow, and Joe Kelly are a handful of the veteran relievers with late-inning experience coming off difficult seasons in 2024 who could be available for a club on a tight budget like St. Louis.
]]>Every winter, every organization in baseball signs dozens of free agents to minor league deals, mostly in hopes of finding a useful bullpen or bench piece on the cheap or giving a veteran the opportunity to battle for a roster spot during Spring Training. Finding a true diamond in the rough through this process is exceedingly rare, but it happened for the Yankees four years ago to the day when they officially signed left-hander Nestor Cortes to a minor league deal. At the time, the southpaw was just one month removed from his 26th birthday and had a career 6.72 ERA across 79 innings of work at the big league level. Despite that brutal start to Cortes’s MLB career, the Yankees’ decision to bring him in as pitching depth for the 2021 season quickly proved to be one of the most fruitful minor league signings in recent memory.
The club was plenty familiar with Cortes when they signed him to the deal, as it was actually the lefty’s third stint in the Bronx. First drafted by the club in the 36th-round of the 2013 draft, Cortes was plucked from the club in the 2017 Rule 5 draft by the Orioles, but was returned just a few months later. He then threw 66 2/3 innings of work for the Yankees during his rookie season in 2019, though he struggled to a 5.67 ERA and found himself traded to the Mariners that November. Cortes made just five appearances in Seattle before electing minor league free agency and returning to the Yankees prior to the 2021 season.
The lefty’s return to the Bronx wouldn’t get underway in earnest until deep into May, when he was added to the club’s roster as a multi-inning relief option out of the bullpen. Cortes’s first appearance of the year came on May 30 against the Tigers, and he pitched somewhat unevenly with two runs (one earned) allowed in 3 2/3 innings of work that saw him strikeout three, give up three hits and walk four. Throughout the month of June, however, Cortes looked utterly dominant. He pitched to a microscopic 0.64 ERA across six appearances (14 innings) that month and struck out a whopping 42.3% of opponents.
That overpowering run of success earned Cortes a spot in the starting rotation when the calendar flipped to July, and he managed to keep a hold on that spot in the Yankees’ rotation throughout the remainder of the season. In 14 starts throughout the second half of the season, Cortes pitched to an excellent 3.07 ERA in 73 1/3 innings of work and struck out a respectable 25.4% of his opponents. His emergence helped the Yankees to weather injuries to Corey Kluber, Luis Gil, and Domingo Germán that tested their starting depth throughout the season. While Cortes didn’t pitch in the postseason that year as the Yankees fell to the Red Sox in the AL Wild Card game, he entered 2022 with a firm grip on a role in the starting rotation.
It turned out to be a career year for the left-hander. Cortes was among the very best pitchers in the sport in 2022, earning his first (and to this point, only) All-Star appearance and finishing within the top 10 of AL Cy Young award voting that year. While his 158 1/3 innings of work weren’t enough to qualify for the ERA title, he made a respectable 28 starts and his 2.44 ERA was the seventh-lowest in the majors among hurlers with at least 150 innings of work and left him sandwiched between Shohei Ohtani and Max Fried on that year’s leaderboard. His 26.5% strikeout rate, 3.13 FIP, and 3.7 fWAR all ranked in the top 20 among that group as well. The season to remember saw Cortes go on to make three key postseason starts for the Yankees that October. He cruised through two starts against the Guardians with a 2.70 ERA in ten innings but was ultimately on the mound for the Yankees’ final game of the season, when the Astros completed their sweep of the Bombers in Game 4 of the ALCS.
Following Cortes’s career year in 2022, the lefty saw his production take a bit of a downturn. 2023 was something of a lost season for Cortes, as he made just 12 starts due to a pair of rotator cuff strains and struggled to a below-average 4.97 ERA when he was healthy enough to take the mound. 2024 was a step in the right direction for the lefty as he was healthy for the majority of the year, but his results paled in comparison to what they had been in the first two years of his return to Yankee Stadium. In 174 1/3 innings of work for the Yankees last year, he pitched to a 3.77 ERA (109 ERA+) with a 3.84 FIP but struggled in the second half with a 4.41 ERA over his final 12 appearances.
Still, that’s solid mid-to-back of the rotation production overall and it was a worrying hit to the club’s depth when a late-season flexor strain seemingly endangered Cortes’s postseason in late September. The lefty made it back to the mound in time for the club’s World Series appearance against the Yankees, although some fans might wish he hadn’t done so after he surrendered a walk-off grand slam to Freddie Freeman in the tenth inning of Game 1. Cortes went on to throw 1 2/3 scoreless relief innings in Game 3, but had little impact during the rest of the series as the Yankees dropped the series to the Dodgers in five games.
New York traded Cortes for a second time last month when they packaged him with infield prospect Caleb Durbin and cash considerations to acquire star Brewers closer Devin Williams. At least for the time being, that trade has brought Cortes’s lengthy Yankees story to a close. With Cortes entering his age-30 season and just one year away from free agency, it’s anyone’s guess if he’ll find himself back in the Bronx at some point before his career comes to a close, but he leaves New York as one of the club’s most valuable signings in recent years.
Over the last four seasons, the lefty has pitched to a 3.33 ERA in 489 innings of work across 93 appearances (84 starts) while punching out 25.2% of his opponents. It’s a performance that was worth 9.4 fWAR and 10.3 bWAR, and even in 2025 the decision to bring Cortes back into the fold figures to be a gift that keeps on giving now that Williams and his career 1.83 ERA will spend his final year before free agency closing out games in the Bronx. Garnering that level of production out of a mid-20s minor league signing who has a career ERA north of 6.00 is something any club would be elated about, and the outcome stands as a clear win for Brian Cashman’s front office.
]]>We’re still over a month away from pitchers and catchers reporting to Spring Training, and the 2025 season won’t begin until the Dodgers and Cubs play in Tokyo on March 18 (and the rest of baseball gets underway on March 27). So, while there is still tons of time for clubs to keep shoring up their rosters, let’s take a look at how all 30 teams have thus far tried to fix their biggest weak points from last season. Baseball Reference’s position-by-position bWAR ranking identifies each how each team fared at every position in 2024, so let’s start by focusing on the American League’s 15 clubs…
Angels (Second base, -0.9 bWAR): This was the least production any team received from the second base position in 2024, as nine different players saw action at the Los Angeles keystone with little success. The Angels made a push to sign Gleyber Torres before he joined the Tigers, and the club added to its infield mix by acquiring Kevin Newman and Scott Kingery. This additional depth might allow the Halos to just install super-utilityman Luis Rengifo as the regular starter at second base, but they might want to keep bouncing Rengifo around the infield to fill other holes. Shortstop Zach Neto’s shoulder surgery might keep him from making the Opening Day lineup, while Anthony Rendon’s lack of results has left the Halos looking for third base help.
Astros (First base, -1.0 bWAR): Jose Abreu’s continued struggles led the Astros to release him before even the midway point of the three-year, $58.5MM deal he signed in the 2022-23 offseason, and while Jon Singleton had a 105 wRC+ in 405 plate appearances, Singleton also finished the year with replacement-level production. Houston responded to its glaring first base problem in a big way, inking Christian Walker to a three-year, $60MM contract. Walker and Isaac Paredes now look to be the Astros’ new corner infield combination, with Paredes stepping in at third base in the likely event that Alex Bregman signs elsewhere.
Athletics (Third base, -0.6 bWAR): The issues at the hot corner narrowly edged out first base (-0.5 bWAR) as the Athletics’ biggest problem position, and the A’s are hoping Tyler Soderstrom’s continued development can help shore things up at first base. As for the other corner infield slot, Gio Urshela was signed to a one-year, $2.15MM to add at least a bit of veteran stability at third base. Darell Hernaiz also figures to get some at-bats at third base if and when Urshela spells Soderstrom against some left-handed pitchers.
Blue Jays (Bullpen, -3.9 bWAR): This was far and away the lowest bWAR for any team at any single position, which isn’t too surprising given how injuries and ineffectiveness torpedoed the Blue Jays’ bullpen last year. Toronto started the overhaul from the top down, non-tendering former closer Jordan Romano after he missed most of the 2024 season due to elbow problems. Old friend Yimi Garcia was re-signed to a two-year, $15MM contract, and Nick Sandlin was acquired from the Guardians as perhaps the overlooked part of the Andres Gimenez trade, but the Jays figure to add at least a couple more relievers before Opening Day rolls around.
Guardians (Catcher, 0.2 bWAR): Bo Naylor hit only .201/.264/.350 in 389 plate appearances during his first full Major League season, though his glovework was excellent. Defensive specialist Austin Hedges was re-signed to again act as Naylor’s backup, so if nothing else, Cleveland might well have the best defensive catching tandem in baseball. The Guardians are surely hoping for Naylor to contribute a lot more at the plate now that he has more experience against big league pitchers, and they’ll need the younger Naylor brother to pick up some of the overall offensive slack now that big brother Josh Naylor has been traded.
Mariners (First base, 1.1 bWAR): Luke Raley and trade deadline pickup Justin Turner helped stabilize the first base position later in the season, and the left-handed hitting Raley in particular did enough to have earned himself at least a platoon role on the 2025 team. Re-signing Turner is still a possibility if the Mariners wanted to simply run it back, and some other first basemen linked to Seattle this winter — Carlos Santana, Paul Goldschmidt, Christian Walker, Josh Naylor — landed elsewhere. Rumors persist that Triston Casas might end up in Seattle if the Mariners and Red Sox can finally line up on a pitching-for-hitting trade, but for now, Raley appears to be the top option. If another first baseman is indeed brought in, Raley could also get some at-bats at the DH spot, as the M’s only got 1.3 bWAR from their designated hitter group in 2025.
Orioles (Bullpen, 1.8 bWAR): Losing Felix Bautista to Tommy John rehab for the season understandably took a bite out of the Orioles’ relief corps, and Bautista’s expected return will alone help bolster the pen. Apart from signing Matt Bowman to a minors deal, the O’s haven’t done much else to address their bullpen, and in fact subtracted from last year’s group when Jacob Webb was non-tendered and Baltimore declined its $4MM club option on Danny Coulombe. However, it looks like Albert Suarez could be returning to the relief ranks now that Charlie Morton and Tomoyuki Sugano have been signed to join the rotation. (We’re cheating the post’s premise a bit with this entry, as the Orioles’ 1.4 bWAR for pinch-hitters is technically their lowest of the positions listed by Baseball Reference. However, since that 1.4 number is one of the better totals of any pinch-hitting group in baseball, the bullpen can more accurately be described as the weakest of the two positions.)
Rangers (Catcher, -0.1 bWAR): Jonah Heim was a big part of Texas’ 2023 championship team, but he had a rough season in 2024. The Rangers are primarily counting on Heim to bounce back, but since he played in 279 regular-season and postseason games over the last two seasons, the addition of Kyle Higashioka should allow Heim to get more rest. Higashioka signed a two-year deal worth $13.5MM in guaranteed money, which indicates that he and Heim will probably split the playing time in something closer to a timeshare rather than Higashioka acting strictly as a backup. To add even more depth behind the plate, Texas also signed former two-time Gold Glover Tucker Barnhart to a minor league contract.
Rays (Catcher, 0.2 bWAR): Death, taxes, and the Rays trying to find an everyday catcher….some things never change. Tampa Bay was aggressive in trying to obtain a one-year fix by signing Danny Jansen to a deal worth $8.5MM in guaranteed money, in the hopes that Jansen can rebound from a rough 2024 campaign. Jansen generally posted strong numbers for the Blue Jays when he was able to avoid the injured list, but it seemed like the injuries caught up to him last year, particularly after he suffered a fracture in his wrist during Spring Training. The Rays will happily welcome Jansen getting back to anything close to his old form, and Ben Rortvedt (last year’s most regular backstop) remains on the roster as the backup.
Red Sox (First base, -0.1 bWAR): The aforementioned Triston Casas played in only 63 games last season due to torn cartilage in his ribcage, and while he hit well over his 236 PA as a first baseman, it wasn’t enough to drag Boston’s first base corps over the replacement-level threshold. Chief baseball officer Craig Breslow has been insistent that the Sox aren’t looking to move Casas, and that Rafael Devers will remain at third base rather than shifted over to first base (perhaps to make room for a third base upgrade like Alex Bregman). For the moment, the first base spot looks solid enough just by dint of Casas having a healthy and productive 2025 campaign, but things could be shaken up quickly if a trade does indeed happen.
Royals (Left field, -0.7 bWAR): The Royals also received -0.1 bWAR from the right field position, and only three teams got less from their outfielders than Kansas City’s collective 1.0 outfield bWAR in 2024. Former top prospect and incumbent left fielder MJ Melendez has yet to break out after three MLB seasons, plus veteran Hunter Renfroe is back in right field after exercising his $7.5MM player option for the 2025 season. It wouldn’t be a surprise if either is moved to bench duty now since the corner outfield is a natural spot for the Royals to add a big hitter. Some left field help might come from an unusual source, as both new acquisition Jonathan India and Michael Massey are apparently willing to move from second base to left field if it’ll help the team (and garner them more regular playing time). Stay tuned to this situation, as now that K.C. is firmly back in playoff contention, the Royals should be more aggressive in shoring up the lineup to try and make a deeper October run.
Tigers (Shortstop, -0.3 bWAR): No team got less from the shortstop position than the Tigers, as Javier Baez endured a brutal season before undergoing a hip surgery in August. With three years and $73MM still remaining on Baez’s contract, Detroit can only hope that improved health for Baez can salvage that has been a bust of a signing over the first three seasons of that deal, but the Tigers have already eyed ways to reduce Baez’s playing time. Trey Sweeney might well end up getting the majority of shortstop time in 2025, but Ha-Seong Kim is also on Detroit’s radar as a possible shortstop candidate.
Twins (Second base, -0.1 bWAR): There’s plenty of fluidity around Minnesota’s infield, as any of Royce Lewis, Brooks Lee, Edouard Julien, or utilityman Willi Castro could be slotted in at second base next season, depending on how the Twins might address first base now that Carlos Santana has signed with Cleveland. A healthy breakout year from Lewis or Lee at any position would be a massive help for a Twins club in a payroll crunch, as it doesn’t look like Minnesota will have much of anything to spend on new upgrades.
White Sox (Catcher, -1.8 bWAR): Korey Lee, Martin Maldonado, and Chuckie Robinson combined to give Chicago the least production of any catching corps in baseball. Matt Thaiss was acquired from the Cubs to pair with Lee as the catching tandem for now, but highly-touted prospects Edgar Quero and Kyle Teel should both make their big league debuts at some point in 2025. It will not surprise you to learn that a 121-loss team had plenty of weak links, as the White Sox got negative bWAR totals from the DH, left field, right field, second base, and third base positions. To give you an idea of how little the Sox got from their position players in 2024, consider that the Marlins’ 2.1 bWAR from non-pitchers ranked Miami 29th of 30 teams. The Sox were 30th, with a stunning -6.7 bWAR.
Yankees (First base, -0.1 bWAR): After Anthony Rizzo’s club option was declined, the Yankees checked in several first base candidates and technically came away with two, as Cody Bellinger was first acquired in a trade with the Cubs. Signing Goldschmidt to a one-year, $12.5MM deal will now push Bellinger into outfield duty, and the Yankees are hoping that a change of scenery allows both former NL MVPs to rediscover some of their old form. Focusing on Goldschmidt, the 37-year-old was hampered by a very rough first half that resulted in the worst overall season of his 14-year career, but his stronger second half and overall impressive hard-contact numbers hint that Goldschmidt has more to offer. New York doesn’t even need prime Goldschmidt, as even getting a repeat of his solid 2023 numbers (122 wRC+ over 687 PA with the Cardinals) would be a substantial upgrade.
]]>The Giants were known to have had interest in Kyle Tucker before the Astros traded the outfielder to the Cubs, and The Athletic’s Andrew Baggarly shared some details on that pursuit plus the new information that the Giants were one of the many teams who talked to the White Sox about Garrett Crochet. San Francisco “made legitimate offers” for both Tucker and Crochet, Baggarly writes, “to the point that [the Giants] were said to feel a bit uncomfortable with the players they were willing to sacrifice.” However, neither offer included top prospect Bryce Eldridge, and thus no trades materialized since the Astros and Sox each viewed Eldridge’s inclusion as “a prerequisite.”
Eldridge was the 16th overall pick of the 2023 draft, and he has already hit .292/.379/.514 with 29 home runs over 649 plate appearances in the minors even before he turned 20 years old last October. This hot hitting saw Eldridge moved up the ladder to four different affiliates during the 2024 season, though it is worth noting that his numbers dropped off (in small sample sizes) as he played higher levels of minor league ball. Eldridge had a more modest .785 OPS in 40 PA with Double-A Richmond and then a .601 OPS in 35 PA with Triple-A Sacramento.
Since he has already reached Triple-A, it isn’t out of the question that Eldridge’s MLB debut could come during the 2025 season, especially given how San Francisco was already aggressive with his early promotions. LaMonte Wade Jr. is a free agent next winter and has been the subject of trade speculation even this offseason, so the path should soon be clear for Eldridge as the Bay Area’s first baseman of the future. While the Giants will naturally want to see him post better numbers in the upper minors before calling him to the Show, it is easy to see the potential in the 6’7″, 223-pound first baseman.
Eldridge fits the mold of a classic left-handed slugger, and scouting reports from both MLB Pipeline and Baseball America praise his huge power and his mature approach at the plate. Pipeline and BA each place Eldridge 35th in the most recent editions of their league-wide top-100 prospects rankings. He is the only Giants minor leaguer in Baseball America’s rankings, while Pipeline also has James Tibbs III (the 13th overall pick of the 2024 draft) 88th on their list.
In either case, Eldridge is certainly the top prospect in a San Francisco farm system that is considered to be relatively thin, so it isn’t surprising that the Giants aren’t eager to move him in any trades. Obviously this is a big roadblock in negotiations, since as Baggarly notes, “any team dangling a solid-average everyday player or better is going to start by asking for Eldridge — and not likely to move off that position.”
The White Sox were known to be focusing on young position players in exchange for Crochet, and indeed three of the four prospects Chicago received from the Red Sox in the trade package were position players. As per Pipeline’s rankings of San Francisco’s farm system, the Giants are slightly deeper in position players than pitchers, though not to the level of Boston’s depth. Likewise, the Cubs still have a wealth of position players in their minor league system even after moving Cam Smith as part of the Tucker trade.
Giants president of baseball operations Buster Posey and GM Zack Minasian have yet to complete a trade in their limited time leading the San Francisco front office, though in the view of rival executives, Baggarly hears the Giants have been “hyperactive in attempting to generate trade dialogue.” Since questions remain about how much ownership is willing to commit to the payroll this season, the trade market could therefore be the Giants’ best method of adding talent to the roster, though that creates another layer of complication if other teams are chiefly focused on Eldridge among the minor league prospects. As Baggarly frames the situation, some other front offices have been trying to see if they can get Posey or Minasian to bite on an unfavorable trade out of sheer inexperience, which has “led to a few opening offers…that have amounted to non-starters and time wasters.”
In terms of other trade candidates, Susan Slusser of the San Francisco Chronicle details some of the players the Giants could still look to pry away from rival teams, and reports that the Giants “had some interest” in Cubs second baseman Nico Hoerner earlier this winter. The past-tense phrasing, however, indicates that San Francisco moved on after signing Willy Adames as the new everyday shortstop, so Tyler Fitzgerald now looks to move from shortstop to second base.
]]>There hasn’t been much public buzz about Justin Verlander’s market as the three-time Cy Young Award winner prepares for his 20th Major League season, yet business may be starting to pick up. MLB Network’s Jon Morosi (video link) reports that “multiple teams [are] interested in” the right-hander, and that Verlander and former teammate Max Scherzer are in pretty similar situations as veteran stars looking for one-year contracts as they look to rebound from injury-shortened 2024 seasons.
Verlander tossed only 90 1/3 innings last season, and he didn’t make his 2024 debut until April 19 after a shoulder problem limited him during Spring Training. That relatively minor issue was overshadowed by a neck injury in June that ended up sidelining him for over two and a half months, and Verlander then struggled to an 8.10 ERA in 33 1/3 frames after being activated from the injured list in August. Discussing his health situation with reporters in late September, Verlander said “I think I came back from the neck injury a little fast….I want to be an asset for this team. And to do that, I needed to be able to pitch and find out where I’m at. Obviously, the results have not been good. But there’s nothing you can do besides trying to pitch.”
The good news is that Verlander is now “in great shape,” according to Morosi, as the future Hall-of-Famer heads into his age-42 season. Verlander has a well-earned reputation as a workhorse over his outstanding career, yet inevitably, more health issues have developed as he has gotten older. Verlander missed virtually all of the 2020-21 seasons recovering from Tommy John surgery, he missed a couple of weeks during the 2022 season due to a calf injury, and a teres major strain kept him on the shelf for over the first month of the 2023 season.
The latter two of those injuries, to be fair, didn’t keep Verlander from tossing 337 1/3 total innings in 2022-23, plus 38 1/3 more frames in the playoffs. His 2022 season in particular saw the righty deliver one of his best seasons, as he posted a 1.75 ERA while leading Houston to a World Series championship. Verlander took a slight step backwards in 2023 but still had a 3.22 ERA in 162 1/3 combined innings with the Mets and Astros.
Even at age 42, Verlander has plenty of upside, as he has shown that he can still be an effective arm as long as he is healthy. Obviously his health status is more of a question mark considering what happened in 2024, yet on paper, even serious neck soreness probably isn’t as big of a red flag to teams as something like an elbow or shoulder injury. It probably isn’t a surprise that Verlander’s market has started to heat up as we get later into the offseason, and teams have had more time to both evaluate his medicals and to monitor the pitching market as a whole after several other free agents and trade targets have come off the board.
Morosi didn’t cite any specific teams that were considering Verlander, though any number of clubs could be a fit due to the ever-present need for pitching. It can be assumed that Verlander is prioritizing joining contending teams, and Morosi’s suggestion that Baltimore could be a fit might no longer apply, as Morosi’s report was filed before the Orioles announced their one-year deal with Charlie Morton. The Astros are the only team known to have interest in Verlander’s services, as GM Dana Brown said in November that he’d “had conversations” with Verlander’s agent.
]]>The Blue Jays’ interest in Anthony Santander is well-known, with Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press even listing the Jays and Angels “as the frontrunners” to sign the All-Star outfielder in a report last week. Toronto has formalized its pursuit of Santander by making an official contract offer, according to KPRC’s Ari Alexander, though the size and length of the offer isn’t known.
MLB Trade Rumors ranked Santander ninth on our list of the offseason’s top 50 free agents, and projected the longtime Orioles outfielder for a four-year, $80MM deal. Santander and his reps at the Beverly Hills Sports Council have been looking to top that number, as Jon Heyman of the New York Post reported last month that Santander is looking for a five-year contract worth at least $100MM.
Given how many other notable free agents have landed bigger deals than expected this winter, it isn’t surprising that Santander is aiming high, and he might have some leverage since so many other big bats have already signed elsewhere. Beyond the Blue Jays and Angels, the Tigers, Red Sox, and Yankees have also been publicly linked to Santander, and it is possible another club or two might be lurking to see how his market develops.
One team that doesn’t appear to be in the running for Santander is Houston, as Alexander notes that the Astros are “very unlikely” to dole out the type of contract that would basically ensure that the team stays over the luxury tax threshold. RosterResource’s current estimate of a $244MM tax number for the Astros already puts them over the $241MM threshold, and there has been speculation that Houston might look to move a contract in order to duck under the line and reset its tax status. Because the Astros were tax payors in 2024, they also have to give up two 2025 draft picks and $1MM in international bonus pool money for signing any free agent that rejects a qualifying offer, and Houston already paid those extra penalties to sign Christian Walker.
Adding a powerful switch-hitter like Santander would cover multiple needs for the Jays, whose largely right-handed hitting lineup finished 26th in the majors last year in home runs. Putting Santander behind Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (who contributed 30 of the Jays’ 156 homers in 2024) in the lineup would give Guerrero some valuable protection, and there’s a ready-made defensive position for Santander in left field. Since the Blue Jays don’t have a set designated hitter, Santander could get a good chunk of at-bats from the DH spot, which also works since Santander’s outfield defense is average at best.
It has been a pretty quiet offseason for the Blue Jays, though not for lack of effort, as the team has been linked to almost every major free agent on the market. Toronto made aggressive bids for both the top hitter (Juan Soto) and pitcher (Corbin Burnes) available, and reports indicated that the Jays may have outbid the Diamondbacks’ $210MM contract with Burnes, but the right-hander took less money in order to pitch closer to his home in Arizona. For all of the Jays’ free agent dealings, their only noteworthy deal has been a two-year pact with old friend Yimi Garcia. Toronto’s other big offseason move to date was a trade with the Guardians that brought second baseman Andres Gimenez and reliever Nick Sandlin into the fold, but Gimenez’s subpar hitting numbers over the last two seasons offers no promise that he’ll help the Blue Jays’ lackluster offense.
Signing Santander would at least quiet the narrative that the Jays are unable to land top free agents, even if the heat on GM Ross Atkins and team president Mark Shapiro won’t really let up unless the Blue Jays turn things around on the field in 2025. Arguably no team in baseball faces as much short-term pressure as the Jays, since Guerrero and Bo Bichette are both free agents next winter and there isn’t any indication that the club is making any headway in extension talks. Bringing in Santander on a long-term deal could be viewed as a move to lock a big bat into the lineup even if Guerrero does leave, similar to how the Gimenez trade could be interpreted as a move to shore up the shortstop position if Bichette departs.
]]>The Orioles announced they’ve signed Charlie Morton to a one-year deal. It’s reportedly a $15MM guarantee for the Wasserman client. Baltimore designated catcher René Pinto for assignment to open a 40-man roster spot.
Morton, who turned 41 in November, joins the sixth team of his career in what’ll be his 18th MLB season. The two-time All-Star has spent the past four seasons with the Braves, where he combined for a 3.87 ERA over 124 starts. While Morton’s production has dipped slightly over the past couple years, he has avoided the kind of dramatic drop-off one might expect from a pitcher in his 40s.
The righty took the ball 30 times and worked to a 4.19 earned run average across 165 1/3 innings last year. He reached 30 starts and surpassed 160 frames in all four seasons during his late-career run in Atlanta. Morton struck out 23.8% of opposing hitters against a slightly elevated 9.3% walk rate. The strikeout rate was his lowest since his 2017 breakout in Houston but remained a couple points above the league average for starting pitchers.
Morton hasn’t lost much velocity despite his age. His fastball averaged 94 MPH last year, a tick below where it had been for the prior three seasons. His primary offering, his curveball, landed at its customary 81.5 MPH on average. Morton continues to generate elite spin and generally strong results against the breaking pitch. Opponents hit .200 against the curveball last season.
In aggregate, Morton’s 2024 production was that of a solid fourth starter. He ran into some trouble in the second half, though. Morton allowed 4.37 earned runs per nine while giving up a lofty .279/.357/.469 batting line after the All-Star Break. Morton rebounded in September following a shaky August, while his strikeout and walk marks held steady throughout the season.
Atlanta, seemingly working with strict budget limits, never appeared interested in keeping Morton for a fifth season. There’s annual speculation that he could retire, but it became clear last month that he planned to return for another year. The Athletic’s David O’Brien has written that Morton wanted to sign with a team that played Spring Training near his Bradenton, Florida home. The Orioles qualify. Their complex is in Sarasota. Morton won’t be as close to home as he’d been in Georgia once the regular season begins, but that’s evidently less of a concern than the Spring Training geography.
Morton is Baltimore’s second veteran rotation addition of the winter. His signing comes three weeks after the O’s inked 35-year-old Japanese star Tomoyuki Sugano to a one-year, $13MM contract. Both pitchers project as durable back-end starters at this stage of their careers. The Orioles needed to add to their rotation behind Zach Eflin and Grayson Rodriguez. Sugano and Morton each make sense in isolation, but neither brings anywhere near the upside they lost when Corbin Burnes walked.
The offseason is halfway complete. Baltimore has been tied to Jack Flaherty, the best unsigned starter. They’re an obvious fit for potential trade candidates like Luis Castillo and Dylan Cease. There’s no guarantee this is their final move. Through the offseason’s first couple months, however, they’ve shied away from making the kind of splash that many in the fanbase anticipated under new owner David Rubenstein. In addition to the rotation acquisitions, they signed outfielder Tyler O’Neill to a three-year deal that guaranteed just under $50MM and brought in Gary Sánchez as a backup catcher/designated hitter on an $8.5MM signing.
Eflin, Rodriguez, Morton and Sugano form the top four in Brandon Hyde’s rotation for now. Dean Kremer projects as the fifth starter. Albert Suárez, Trevor Rogers, and younger pitchers Cade Povich and Chayce McDermott are behind them. They’re building decent depth but arguably still need an impact arm to slot at the top of the staff.
Pinto, 28, was claimed off waivers from the Rays at the start of the offseason. He’s out of options and can’t be sent to Triple-A without clearing waivers. His spot on the 40-man roster seemed tenuous after the Sánchez pickup. Baltimore will have five days to trade him or put him back on the waiver wire. Pinto hit .231/.263/.404 in 82 major league games with Tampa Bay between 2022-24.
Mark Feinsand of MLB.com first reported the $15MM salary. Image courtesy of Imagn.
]]>With hours left to go before his posting window closes, Hyeseong Kim and the Dodgers signed a three-year contract worth $12.5MM. The deal includes a two-year club option (which would need to be exercised together) covering the 2028-29 seasons. If the Dodgers exercise the option, they’d pay an additional $9.5MM over those two years. Los Angeles designated catcher Diego Cartaya for assignment to open a 40-man roster spot. Kim is represented by CAA Sports.
Kim’s former team, the Kiwoom Heroes, officially posted him on December 5, giving him until 4:00 PM CT this afternoon to sign with an MLB club. As the days ticked by and the rumor mill remained relatively quiet, it seemed like a legitimate possibility that Kim would return for one more season with the Heroes. Instead, the Dodgers, who hadn’t been closely linked to Kim this winter, swooped in and made a winning offer in the nick of time. In addition to Kim’s salary, the Dodgers will have to pay a $2.5MM release fee to the Heroes (20% of the guaranteed $12.5MM on his deal). Their total investment is $15MM.
Kim, soon to be 26, is a four-time consecutive winner of the KBO Golden Glove Award, given annually to the best overall player at each position. He won the award at shortstop in 2021 before moving to second base and winning each year from 2022-24. In addition to playing a strong second base and at least a capable shortstop, Kim is also an asset on the basepaths. He led the KBO in stolen bases in 2021 and has swiped at least 20 bags in all seven full seasons of his career. His glove and legs should give him a relatively high floor as a utility player in MLB, if nothing more.
The big question is how Kim’s bat will hold up against MLB pitching. While he struggled at the plate early in his career, the lefty batter blossomed into a well-above-average hitter during his last three years in the KBO. From 2022-24, he produced a .326 batting average and a .384 OBP, while his wRC+ was never below 118 in any season. However, Kim has never hit for much power, even by the slightly lower power standards of the KBO. His 2024 season was the best of his career power-wise – he reached double-digit home runs for the first time – but his .132 isolated power was still below league average. Thus, it’s fair to worry that Kim might not have the necessary power to be an everyday player in MLB. Just look at his former KBO teammate Ha-Seong Kim. Ha-Seong Kim was a genuine power threat in the KBO, socking 30 homers in 138 games during his final season in Korea. Since coming to MLB, he has become known as a soft-hitting contact specialist. His career .137 ISO in MLB is 15% worse than the league average over the last four years.
When MLBTR ranked Hyseong Kim at no. 26 on our Top 50 Free Agents list, we predicted he’d sign a three-year, $24MM contract. His actual deal guarantees him a little more than half of that predicted salary. That said, it’s worth mentioning that Kim reportedly turned down more money from at least one other team. A representative from Kim’s agency, CAA Baseball, told a Korean media outlet (passed along by Jeeho Yoo of Yonhap News) that the Angels offered him a five-year, $28MM deal, while the Mariners, Cubs, and Padres also made offers with undisclosed terms. Jeff Fletcher of the Orange County Register contradicts that report. According to Fletcher, the Angels made an offer to Kim but did not top what he received from the Dodgers.
To that point, Kim might not have a guaranteed starting role in L.A. The Dodgers already have Gavin Lux to play second base, Mookie Betts at shortstop, and Max Muncy holding down the hot corner. Furthermore, they have the talented defensive shortstop Miguel Rojas and the versatile Chris Taylor on the bench. Center fielder Tommy Edman can also play all around the infield.
According to Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic, Kim will play a “super-utility role” in 2025. The use of the prefix “super” seems to imply that he’ll be playing several positions. While he has significant experience at both shortstop and second base, he has only played a handful of games at third base in his professional career. He also played 44 games in left field during the 2020 season, and it will be interesting to see if the Dodgers consider using him in the outfield at all. As a “super-utility” player, Kim will presumably have a bigger role than that of a typical bench bat, but with so much competition on the Dodgers’ talent-filled roster, he’ll have to earn his playing time.
The fact that the Dodgers signed Kim despite already having so many infielders is evidence of how much this team values depth and flexibility. It’s also a sign of how much they value what Kim can bring to the table. Funnily enough, manager Dave Roberts has already made his team’s affinity for Kim quite clear. After the Dodgers played an exhibition match against the Korean national team last March, Roberts told reporters (including Yoo), “Our scouts like the second baseman: just the way his body moves.” That second baseman, of course, was Kim.
Various reports out of South Korea were first with the news that Kim was signing with Los Angeles on a three-year deal with a two-year club option. Jon Heyman of the New York Post was first to report the $12.5MM guarantee and the $22MM maximum value.
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