Manecon PPT-M4
Manecon PPT-M4
Manecon PPT-M4
FUNDAMENTALS-II
Managerial Economics performs three [3] important roles
for business organizations:
3. Profit Management
DEMAND ANALYSIS
AND FORECASTING
DEMAND
Demand is simply the quantity of a good or service that consumers are willing and able
to buy at a given price in a given time period.
People demand goods and services in an economy to satisfy their wants, such as food, healthcare,
clothing, entertainment, shelter, etc. The demand for a product at a certain price reflects the satisfaction
that an individual expects from consuming the product.
This level of satisfaction is referred to as utility and it differs from consumer to consumer. The
demand for a good or service depends on two factors:
In effect, real demand is when the readiness to satisfy a want is backed up by the individual’s ability
and willingness to pay.
THEORY OF DEMAND
Theory of Demand
Demand theory forms the basis for the demand curve, which
relates consumer desire to the amount of goods available. As
more of a good or service is available, demand drops and so
does the equilibrium price.
THE LAW OF DEMAND
The Law of Demand
The law of demand is one of the most fundamental concepts in economics.
It works with the law of supply to explain how market economies allocate
resources and determine the prices of goods and services that we observe in
everyday transactions.
The law of demand states that the quantity purchased varies inversely with
price. In other words, the higher the price, the lower the quantity demanded.
This occurs because of diminishing marginal utility. That is, consumers use
the first units of an economic good they purchase to serve their most urgent
needs first, then they use each additional unit of the good to serve successively
lower-valued ends.
THE LAW OF SUPPLY
The Law of Supply
1. PRICE OF PRODUCTS/SERVICES
2. TASTES AND PREFERENCES
3. CONSUMER’S INCOME
4. AVAILABILITY OF SUBSTITUTES
5. CONSUMERS POPULATION
6. CONSUMERS EXPECTATIONS
7. ELASTICITY VERSUS INELASTICITY
8. NATURAL CALAMITIES
9. MANMADE EVENTS
10. POPULARITY [FINANCIAL/ECONOMIC/TECHNOLOGICAL, ENVIRONMENTAL]
Exceptions to the
Law of Demand
Note that the law of demand holds true in
most cases. The price keeps fluctuating until an
equilibrium is created.
Giffen Goods is a concept that was introduced by Sir Robert Giffen. These
goods are goods that are inferior in comparison to luxury goods. However, the
unique characteristic of Giffen goods is that as its price increases, the demand
also increases. And this feature is what makes it an exception to the law of
demand.
The Irish Potato Famine is a classic example of the Giffen goods concept.
Potato is a staple in the Irish diet. During the potato famine, when the price of
potatoes increased, people spent less on luxury foods such as meat and bought
more potatoes to stick to their diet. So as the price of potatoes increased, so
did the demand, which is a complete reversal of the law of demand.
Veblen Goods
The second exception to the law of demand is the concept of Veblen goods.
Veblen Goods is a concept that is named after the economist Thorstein Veblen,
who introduced the theory of “conspicuous consumption“. According to
Veblen, there are certain goods that become more valuable as their price
increases. If a product is expensive, then its value and utility are perceived to be
more, and hence the demand for that product increases.
And this happens mostly with precious metals and stones such as gold and
diamonds and luxury cars such as Rolls-Royce. As the price of these goods
increases, their demand also increases because these products then become a
status symbol.
The Expectation of Price Change
In addition to Giffen and Veblen goods, another exception to the law of demand is the
expectation of price change. There are times when the price of a product increases and market
conditions are such that the product may get more expensive. In such cases, consumers may buy
more of these products before the price increases any further. Consequently, when the price
drops or may be expected to drop further, consumers might postpone the purchase to avail the
benefits of a lower price.
For instance, in recent times, the price of onions had increased to quite an extent. Consumers
started buying and storing more onions fearing further price rise, which resulted in increased
demand.
There are also times when consumers may buy and store commodities due to a fear of shortage.
Therefore, even if the price of a product increases, its associated demand may also increase as
the product may be taken off the shelf or it might cease to exist in the market.
Necessary Goods and Services
GIFFEN GOODS
VEBLEN GOODS
THE EXPECTATION OF PRICE CHANGE
NECESSARY GOODS AND SERVICES
CHANGE IN INCOME
Demand vs. Quantity Demanded
These two ideas are often conflated, but this is a common error—
rising (or falling) prices do not decrease (or increase) demand; they
change the quantity demanded.
Demand Forecasting is
fundamentally about predicting
what people are going to want,
how much, and when.
It is the research done to estimate or find out the customer
demand for a product or service in a particular market.