The Problem of A Medical Representative
The Problem of A Medical Representative
The Problem of A Medical Representative
a) In Mumbai City, a disturbing trend lately is that some political or social organizations
announce bandh or hartal, as a mark of protest against some policy of the Government or to
highlight a specific problem facing the society. During these days, there is a total restriction
on movement of the public. And, therefore, during the days when a bandh or hartal is
declared, Mr. Godbole will not be able to meet the doctors.
b) And also during the current season (viz. monsoon season), when it rains quite heavily,
some parts of the city gets flooded with water. As a result of this,, some of the roads get
blocked, suburban rail services are cancelled and, hence,, on these days, again Mr. Godbole
will not be able to meet the doctors.
Since Mr. Godbole is not willing to miss the target, he wants to make sure that he
works for at least 25 days to meet the target. At the same time, he is very keen to go to
Bangalore to address his fellow workers in southern region, as this will be a professional
boost to his career, and in the process, he may help his fellow workers also to excel. In order
to ensure that he gets enough working days, he wishes to find out the frequency of the
happenings of these two events. After scanning through the newspapers of the last two
years, Mr. Godbole observed that during the monsoon there is a one in 30 chance that, on
any day in this season, the roads are blocked due to flood in the city. He also observed from
the records of the civic administration that the movement in the city was restricted due to
bandh or hartal, etc. for 14 days in the last 2 years viz., about 730 days. What conclusion did
Mr. Godbole arrive at? What are the methods Mr. Godbole used to arrive at this conclusion?