Hand Reading System
Hand Reading System
Hand Reading System
System
by Alec Torelli
The Hand Range Funnel
A hand range is simply all the possible hands that your opponent can hold at any given time. The best way to figure out exactly
what your opponents have is using what I call a hand range funnel.
When
This represents the truth that any time a player is dealt in, they 100% of Potential
a Players is
can theoretically have 100% of possible hands, or all 1,326 com- Hands
Dealt In the
binations of holdings.
Hand
Whether a player calls, raises or folds, their potential Ranges vary by player. Here
Preflop holdings change because they took action. Preflop are some preflop guidelines:
is typically where hand ranges reduce the most, Tight Players: 10%
since your average opponent will only play some- Loose Players: 25%
where between 10-25% of their preflop holdings. Maniacs: 50%
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Further action further reduces Remember, for a hand to still
Turn the range of hands your oppo- be in your opponent’s range,
nent can have. he must have played it this
way on all previous streets.
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Quick Start Guide
First, a hand range can never increase in size, hence the idea of a funnel. Be-
cause the possibilities of hands your opponents can have only gets smaller as they
fold out weaker holdings. (There’s one exception, and that’s if your opponent plays
his entire range the exact same way from one street to another. In this case his
range would remain the exact same.)
In other words, the possible holdings that your opponent can have only gets
smaller as the hand progresses.
That’s good news, as your goal is figure out his precise two cards.
No two hands of poker are the same, and thus no two ‘hand range funnels’ will
shrink in the same way.
Sometimes your opponents hand range may narrow dramatically, and then plateau.
Preflop
Flop
Turn
River
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This happens in cases where players show aggression early, and then
play their entire range the same on later streets.
We often see this in practice when a player calls a raise preflop, and then
checks the flop, turn, and river when out of position.
Most players will do this with their entire range of hands, allowing the
preflop aggressor to continue with the lead in the hand.
Other times our opponent’s hand range may remain broad until the river,
at which point it narrows dramatically.
Preflop
Flop
Turn
River
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You will encounter this situation when your opponent check-calls a bet on the flop,
both players check the turn, and the Villain comes out firing with a big bet on the
river.
The only hands with which he bets this big for value are likely to be flushes. Other-
wise he has probably missed a straight draw and is bluffing.
The reason his range shrinks so much is that most of the hands with which he
could have potentially check-called the flop, he can no longer have: any small pair
or hands containing a 9, 6, 4 in them. The reason being he would check the river
with these small pairs, and hope to win at showdown.
It’s also unlikely he has two pair, since there are very few hands with which he
could theoretically call preflop, check-call the flop, and then bet the river which con-
tain some combination of two pair. (The only real possibilities being J9 or Q9, and
many opponents fold those hands preflop).
It’s also very unlikely he has three of a kind, since most of the time players will opt
to raise the flop or lead out on the turn on these draw heavy boards to protect their
hand and build a pot.
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Thus, his range on the river is comprised of mostly flushes and missed straight draws.
To figure out whether or not we should call or fold, we simply weigh the possibility that
he’s bluffing against the possibility that he has a flush.
Don’t worry if you can’t do that just yet, I show you exactly how to do this entire process in
my workbook, ‘The Four Steps to Beating Anyone at Poker.’ I make it super simple and fun.
One of the biggest mistakes that newcomers to this process make is assuming their oppo-
nent can have a hand which they could have discounted previously.
If for any reason whatsoever you eliminate a hand from your opponent’s range, it is gone
forever!
Have you ever found yourself in a tough situation and didn’t know whether or not your oppo-
nent could have a specific hand?
Here’s a quick hack to figure it out.
Simply replay the action in your head and see if he would likely play the specific hand ex-
actly like he played this one.
Here’s an example:
Let’s say you are holding As7s and your solid, tight, straightforward opponent calls your but-
ton raise from the Small Blind.
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Flop: Th 6d 2c. He checks, you bet big, and he calls.
Turn: 8c. He checks, you bet again, and he calls a second time.
River: 9d. He checks, you bet a third time, and now he raises you!
You guys are both super deep stacked. It’s your turn...
.......
But shoving seems a little too aggressive. After all, he’s never calling with a
worse hand and there’s a higher straight out there.
Wrong!
You can see how with a little analysis that we can be certain that our worst
case scenario is a chop.
Equipped with this new information, we shove all in for a monster stack.
He hems and haws for a minute, before finally folding.
And rightfully so, at best he’s chopping with a 7. At worst he’s losing to J7
and QJ.
He shouldn't have raised in the first place, exposing himself to a tough situa-
tion, but he didn’t know you were such an expert and going to put him to
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the ultimate test!
Congrats! You just made it through your first hand range funnel.
Had you been at the table, you would have just won yourself a boat load of cash in a
spot where few players in the world are taking advantage of.
As you can see using the hand range funnel is an extremely powerful tool. When
done correctly, it will help you win money money, crush the competition and move
up in stakes.
I hope this guide helped up your poker game.
Alec,
Founder of Conscious Poker