Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Haiti
69%
Mali
67.6%
Afghanistan
60%
70 others
21
66 comments
66
How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2024-2025 Premier League?
Liverpool
88.6
Manchester City
84.4
Arsenal
83.9
17 others
1
10 comments
10
Collaborative Intelligence: Harnessing Crowd Forecasting for National Security
no comments
0
Will any more of Trump's announced Cabinet picks drop out before January 1, 2025?
82%
57 forecasters
8
24 comments
24
🏆 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Will Bluesky reach 30 million users before 1 January 2025?
5%
102 forecasters
12
23 comments
23
🏆 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League?
Real Madrid
22%
Liverpool
18%
Manchester City
17%
33 others
4
8 comments
8
Will at least one of Andrea Bocelli's concerts at Madison Square Garden on December 18 or 19, 2024 sell out?
97.9%
61 forecasters
3
25 comments
25
🏆 Quarterly Cup 🏆
How many whooping cough cases will New Zealand report for weeks 51 and 52?
239
26 forecasters
5
7 comments
7
🏆 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Will a ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon/Hezbollah be active on January 1, 2025?
65%
47 forecasters
6
4 comments
4
🏆 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Will China officially announce export restrictions on any additional metals before January 1, 2025?
99.9%
79 forecasters
7
25 comments
25
🏆 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Load More
