@@src2@@

The Population of the World (2024)

Population and Societies

626, October 2024

https://doi.org/10.3917/popsoc.626.0001

The Population of the World (2024)
Gilles Pison

National Museum of Natural History, France – French Institute for Demographic Studies (INED)
Svitlana Poniakina

French Institute for Demographic Studies (INED)

Table of contents

    1.

    The world’s population reached 8.2 billion people in 2024. It has increased eightfold within 2 centuries and is likely to continue growing, perhaps even reaching 10 billion by the end of the 21st century. How is the world’s population distributed? Which countries have the highest fertility rates? And where is life expectancy the longest? Every 2 years, Population & Societies publishes an issue entitled ‘The Population of the World’, which presents an overview of the demographic situation worldwide based on estimates and projections from the United Nations.

    The data shown in the main central table relates to all geo­political entities with a population of 150,000 inhabitants or more, and to several others. Sovereign states are listed alongside non-sovereign territories, including France’s overseas departments, regions, and collectivities. Countries and entities are named and listed following the United Nations system of classification by region and continent [1].

    The demographic indicators are the same as those used in earlier editions: land area, mid-2024 population estimate, birth and death rates, infant mortality rate, total fertility rate, percentage of population under 15 and over 65, male and female life expectancy at birth, and gross national income per capita adjusted for purchasing power parity.1 Most of the indicators are estimates, since vital statistics and survey data are not yet available for the year 2024.

    In the eighteen smaller tables, countries or entities are ranked based on an indicator, in increasing or decreasing order. In Tables 1–7, a world total is given, and a line separates the countries which together account for more than half of that total. For example, in Table 2, the seven most populated countries (India, China, United States, Indonesia, Pakistan, Nigeria, and Brazil) represent a total population of 4.2 billion inhabitants, or more than half of the world’s population, estimated at 8.2 billion. The countries appearing in Tables 8–18 have been filtered by combining various criteria, such as the countries at the top and bottom of the rankings, the most densely ­populated countries, the largest countries, French-speaking countries, etc. In Table 10, the countries are ranked by mortality rate. It may seem surprising that with 8 deaths per 1,000 inhabitants in 2024, Burkina Faso ranked higher than Japan, with 12 per 1,000. The relatively low number of deaths in Burkina Faso reflects the fact that its population is very young, with a very low proportion of old people, while the opposite is true in Japan. Estimated life expectancy, which takes account of population age distribution, gives a more accurate picture of mortality differences (Table 12). Japan ranks 1st here, with the highest life expectancy in the world (85 years), while Burkina Faso lies close to the bottom of the table (61 years). In Table 17, the countries are ranked by the proportion of 15- to 64-year-olds in the total population. This gives an idea of the size of the working-age population. It is particularly high in the small Persian Gulf states, which host a large population of immigrant workers living without their families, and in countries where fertility has plunged to low levels (Spain, Russia, South Korea, China, and Iran). The population pyramids for these countries have narrowed at the base, while their peaks remain very sharp. Their shape will change, however, with the proportion of the population aged 15–64 likely to decrease due to population ageing.

    1.1. Notes

    • World and regional totals: Regional population totals are independently rounded and include small countries or territories not shown in the table. Regional and world rates and percentages are population-weighted averages of countries for which data are available. Regional averages are shown when data are available for at least three-quarters of the region’s population.

    • The tables in ‘The Population of the World’ should not be used as time series. Fluctuations in values from year to year may reflect revisions based on new data or estimates rather than actual changes in levels. Additional information on likely trends and consistent time series can be found in documents published by the United Nations [1].

    • Area: This refers to the land area or total area of the country, excluding area under inland water bodies, i.e. major rivers and lakes. Variations are due to updates and revised data provided by the countries, or to the use of different sources, and do not necessarily reflect an actual change in the country’s area.

    • Mid-2024 population estimate: The figures are projections calculated by the United Nations based on a recent census or other official national data. The effects of refugee movements, the massive presence of foreign workers, and population displacements due to contemporary political events are taken into account where possible. Such events can lead to a high degree of uncertainty in the estimates.

    • GNI PPP: Gross national income at purchasing power parity, in US dollars; this indicator is not available for all countries.

    1.1. Box

    To find out more about the world population, visit the INED website at www.ined.fr/en

    Our ‘All About Population’ page contains much information about the global population.

    • Go to the ‘Graphs and Maps’ section to access the United Nations population statistics. You can explore statistics for each country, view trends over time, and rank and compare countries.

    • Play interactive population games using the population simulator to see into the future, or go to ‘The World Population and Me’ to see where you stand within the world population.

    The website also features a host of animations, videos, fact sheets, and publications.

    Appendix A References

    1. [1] United Nations Population Division. 2024. World population prospects: The 2024 revision. United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division. (http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/)
    2. [2] World Bank. Databank. (https://databank.worldbank.org/)
    Notes
    1.

     Gross national income is the figure for 2023 as estimated by the World Bank [2].

    Gilles Pison and Svitlana Poniakina. Date: 2024-10-09T16:09:00

    Gilles Pison - National Museum of Natural History, France and French Institute for Demographic Studies (INED)

    Svitlana Poniakina - French Institute for Demographic Studies (INED)

    Cite the article

    Gilles Pison, Svitlana Poniakina, The Population of the World (2024), 2024, Population and Societies, no. 626

    This document may be reproduced free of charge on paper or online using our Creative Commons licence.

    Receive the e-alert

    Same author

    On the same topic