Fishery managers announced last week that salmon fishing in California and most of Oregon is completely closed this year. No weekend trips on the river, no local salmon on the barbecue, no opportunity to see your kid reel in a fish.
I fish salmon commercially from Fisherman’s Wharf in San Francisco. You can see the Golden Gate Bridge from my boat, where Chinook have passed for millions of years on their journey from the ocean, through the bay and Delta, up the Sacramento River.
There is communal anticipation before the first trip of the summer, checking anchor winches and hydraulic hoses, safety equipment, leaders, weather reports. Boats are freshly painted and deck tanks for holding fish are installed.
Not this year — this year feels like a funeral.
Salmon and Dungeness crab are the backbone of the San Francisco fishing fleet. Other fisheries like black cod, shrimp, halibut, rockfish, anchovies and herring contribute, but salmon and crab pay the bills and keep us working year-round.
Without our commercial and recreational salmon seasons, every fishing business in California will struggle to support our families this year — every captain, deckhand, fuel dock, buyer, processor, gear store, charter operation and marina involved in this $1.4 billion industry.
Fishing is inherently unpredictable — good years, bad years, the excitement of big fish, the anxiety of rough weather. What no one expected was the complete closures of ocean salmon fishing in 2008 and 2009.
I was new to commercial fishing then, but I remember the shock from generational fishermen. I remember the hollowing out of our fleet and port infrastructure, the lost businesses and financial desperation in coastal communities. It was devastating, but it was followed by a decade of robust salmon fishing. The crash of 2008 felt like an anomaly in an otherwise productive fishery.
Fifteen years later, we are right back where we started. Have we learned nothing in 15 years?
Unfortunately, we just repeated many of the same water policy mistakes. California was in the midst of another drought and every water management decision favored powerful agricultural interests over salmon.
Low river flows in fall 2019 dewatered many of the salmon nests (16%); those eggs never hatched. Spring 2020 was very dry and untimely releases from Shasta Dam resulted in high water temperatures by May, leaving egg-to-fry survival at roughly 6%. Any surviving juveniles faced low water flows, unable to carry them to the ocean, making through-delta survival below 5%.
Every stage of the life cycle was impacted by warm water and low flows.
Even worse, we may see similar returns this fall. Fish that should return in 2023 faced similarly terrible river conditions during their life cycle. We should not be surprised by disappointing returns next year if California’s river systems are no longer a suitable breeding habitat for our iconic Chinook salmon.
Hope is not lost, however. The state experienced record rainfall this winter. Every fish that comes out of the gravel and hatcheries this spring has a good chance of making it to the ocean. In wet years, high water flow in the river pushes juveniles out and survival increases tenfold. Those fish will be adults in the ocean in 2025.
They say tragedy comes in threes, but we can’t survive a third tragedy like this. This should be an opportunity to make changes and ensure this doesn’t occur again in 14 years.
California needs serious water management change. We need our governor, California Departments of Fish and Wildlife and Water Resources, and U.S. Bureau of Reclamation to ensure sufficient flows of cold water through our rivers. We need solutions that don’t frame the problem as farms vs. fish but strike a balance between land and ocean-based food resources.
Sarah Bates fishes commercially from San Francisco. She works with fishing advocates to protect ecosystems, marine resources and public access. She wrote this commentary for CalMatters.
