- published: 13 Jan 2023
- views: 26545
Market timing
Market timing is the strategy of making buy or sell decisions of financial assets (often stocks) by attempting to predict future market price movements. The prediction may be based on an outlook of market or economic conditions resulting from technical or fundamental analysis. This is an investment strategy based on the outlook for an aggregate market, rather than for a particular financial asset.
Differing views on the viability of market timing
Whether market timing is ever a viable investment strategy is controversial. Some may consider market timing to be a form of gambling based on pure chance, because they do not believe in undervalued or overvalued markets. The efficient-market hypothesis claims that financial prices always exhibit random walk behavior and thus cannot be predicted with consistency.
Some consider market timing to be sensible in certain situations, such as an apparent bubble. However, because the economy is a complex system that contains many factors, even at times of significant market optimism or pessimism, it remains difficult, if not impossible, to predetermine the local maximum or minimum of future prices with any precision; a so-called bubble can last for many years before prices collapse. Likewise, a crash can persist for extended periods; stocks that appear to be "cheap" at a glance, can often become much cheaper afterwards, before then either rebounding at some time in the future or heading toward bankruptcy.
This page contains text from Wikipedia, the Free Encyclopedia - https://wn.com/Market_timing
Podcasts:
-
Warren Buffett: Market Timing Is Both Impossible And Stupid
Warren Buffett has benefited from lucky timing when he has made stock market investments, but he insists that this has only ever been luck, rather than an attempt at market timing. Further, he suggests that those attempting market timing are extraordinarily foolish.
published: 13 Jan 2023 -
Market Timing Strategy That Works
Today we cover a market timing strategy that actually works. This is a strategy that I have used for over ten years. Using this anyone can effectively time the stock market. This IS NOT guaranteed and only works about 80% of the time. However this can give traders at any level an extra boost of confidence before placing a trade. Please dont forget to like this video and to subscribe!
published: 24 Apr 2019 -
Does Market Timing Ever Work?
Even the most rational index investors might catch themselves wondering if they should sell some of their equities, or delay investing new cash, because of expected market volatility, or reports of record high stock prices. Referenced in this video: Market Timing: Sin a Little - https://www.aqr.com/-/media/AQR/Documents/Insights/White-Papers/Market-Timing-Sin-a-Little.pdf Dollar-cost averaging just means taking risk later - https://static.twentyoverten.com/5980d16bbfb1c93238ad9c24/rJpQmY8o7/Dollar-Cost-Averaging-Just-Means-Taking-Risk-Later-Vanguard.pdf Daniel Kahneman: Four Keys to Better Decision Making - https://blogs.cfainstitute.org/investor/2018/06/08/daniel-kahneman-four-keys-to-better-decision-making/ Common Sense on Mutual Funds - https://www.amazon.com/Common-Sense-Mutual-Funds...
published: 25 May 2019 -
Gary Shilling explains the only way to beat the market and win
Financial analyst Gary Shilling reveals the lessons he has learned about the economy and markets, how to stay ahead, and why everybody can't win. Following is a transcript of the video. Gary Shilling: Well, I've learned a lot of lessons over the years, and most of them the hard way. But, there are a couple of basic facts. If you look at the economy, it grows over time. Not at a steady rate, but it grows over time. And markets, particularly the stock market, reflects that. In other words, if you have the economy growing at, let's say the nominal economy, nominal GDP growing at 4%. Long-term, corporate profits are going to grow about the same rate. Obviously, they can't continually expand faster than the economy or decline relative to the economy. So, that's where you start. So, in terms...
published: 22 Oct 2017 -
Why Timing The Market Is A Losing Strategy
Timing the market sounds like a great strategy to make more money from investing. Sell at the top, wait for the market to drop and then buy back in. The problem is that timing the market is much more likely to lose you a huge amount of money than gain any. And even if you do manage to time the market perfectly, the return you'll get in the unlikely scenario is only marginally better than if dollar cost averaging into the market every month instead. ☕️ JOIN MY PATREON - DISCORD, BONUS VIDEOS, TARGET PRICES, MODELS & MORE https://www.patreon.com/sashayanshin 💵 GREAT INVESTING APPS I USE INTERACTIVE BROKERS (Global Investing Platform) https://bit.ly/ibkr-sasha GET $10 IF YOU SIGN UP WITH LIGHTYEAR (UK only) https://lightyear.app.link/sasha-yanshin You need to sign up and make a deposit...
published: 01 Jul 2022 -
Howard Marks: Difference Between Cycles and Timing the Market
Howard Marks gets asked the question as how to balance between minding the cycle but also not trying to time the market. His answer has is that knowing where we are in the cycle doesn't necessarily tell you what will happen tomorrow. Howard Marks Books: Mastering the Market Cycle: https://amzn.to/2ZP2y8z Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor: https://amzn.to/2N99WXB Best Investment Books: Intelligent Investor by Ben Graham: https://amzn.to/2QkcML4 Common Sense Investing by Jack Bogle: https://amzn.to/2trD2u3 Poor Charlie's Almanack by Peter Kaufman: https://amzn.to/2ZLTJfY Only Investment Guide You'll Ever Need by Andrew Tobias : https://amzn.to/39Di0Jx WeBull Brokerage Sign up: (2 Free Stocks when you sign up w/ link): https://act.webull.com/promotion/invitation/share.html?inviteC...
published: 10 Sep 2019 -
What is Market Timing? | Money Minute Mondays - Ep. 3
Have you ever heard of the term "market timing" and never really understand what it meant? If so, take less than one minute to find out exactly what market timing is! This video is part of our Money Minute Monday Series, where we explain money topics in less than a minute. So, check out this video, and then check out our Money Minute Monday playlist to learn about different money topics in under one minute. And, of course, don't forget to like, subscribe, and join the journey!!!
published: 12 Jul 2021 -
Peter Lynch on How to Time the Market
Mr. Lynch says it's almost impossible to time the market and the time you lose doing it, you are sacrificing your returns. He even got a call from Mr. Buffett. Follow us on Facebook: https://cutt.ly/xshckMU Favorite Personal Finance Book -The Simple Path to Wealth: https://amzn.to/2P93pwt Favorite Investing Book -The Little Book That Beats the Market: https://amzn.to/2XbDLeK Email contact: [email protected] #StockMarket #PersonalFinance
published: 04 Oct 2020 -
What If You Only Invested at Market Peaks?
This is the story of Bob, the world's worst market timer. Follow along on Bob's journey as an investor who had the misfortune of only investing his savings at the peak of the stock market just before a crash. The results may surprise you. Check out Ben's post that inspired this animation: https://awealthofcommonsense.com/2014/02/worlds-worst-market-timer/ Sign up for The Compound newsletter and never miss out: https://www.thecompoundnews.com/subscribe Talk with us about your portfolio or financial plan here: http://ritholtzwealth.com New to investing? Check out our Liftoff platform: http://liftoffinvest.com Twitter: https://twitter.com/thecompoundnews Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/ritholtzwealth Instagram: https://instagram.com/ritholtzwealth Obviously nothing on this channel sh...
published: 21 Dec 2020 -
Timing the Market exposed
What would happen if you were able to time the stock market perfectly and buy at the bottom of the last 5 stock market crashes? In this investing for beginners video, you'll learn something very important for long term wealth creation. ➡️ JOIN OUR MASTERMIND FACEBOOK GROUP: https://www.facebook.com/groups/intelligentstockinvestors BEST INVESTING BOOKS 📚 The Little Book That Still Beats the Market ➜ https://amzn.to/3fkkscB 📚 The Outsiders ➜ https://amzn.to/3jeFcmW 📚 100 Baggers ➜ https://amzn.to/3A3Nt49 📚 The Complete Investor ➜ https://amzn.to/2V3Saw5 📚 Richer, Wiser, Happier ➜ https://amzn.to/3igSvUC 📚 The Dhandho Investor ➜ https://amzn.to/3ykf1l9 📚 Tao of Charlie Munger ➜ https://amzn.to/2V9FgMM 📚 The Complete Financial History of Berkshire ➜ https://amzn.to/3kRFRNp 🙋♂️ Watch Next...
published: 13 Dec 2020
developed with YouTube
6:47
Warren Buffett: Market Timing Is Both Impossible And Stupid
- Order: Reorder
- Duration: 6:47
- Uploaded Date: 13 Jan 2023
- views: 26545
Warren Buffett has benefited from lucky timing when he has made stock market investments, but he insists that this has only ever been luck, rather than an attem...
Warren Buffett has benefited from lucky timing when he has made stock market investments, but he insists that this has only ever been luck, rather than an attempt at market timing. Further, he suggests that those attempting market timing are extraordinarily foolish.
https://wn.com/Warren_Buffett_Market_Timing_Is_Both_Impossible_And_Stupid
Warren Buffett has benefited from lucky timing when he has made stock market investments, but he insists that this has only ever been luck, rather than an attempt at market timing. Further, he suggests that those attempting market timing are extraordinarily foolish.
12:48
Market Timing Strategy That Works
- Order: Reorder
- Duration: 12:48
- Uploaded Date: 24 Apr 2019
- views: 48627
Today we cover a market timing strategy that actually works.
This is a strategy that I have used for over ten years. Using this anyone can effectively time the...
Today we cover a market timing strategy that actually works.
This is a strategy that I have used for over ten years. Using this anyone can effectively time the stock market. This IS NOT guaranteed and only works about 80% of the time. However this can give traders at any level an extra boost of confidence before placing a trade.
Please dont forget to like this video and to subscribe!
https://wn.com/Market_Timing_Strategy_That_Works
Today we cover a market timing strategy that actually works.
This is a strategy that I have used for over ten years. Using this anyone can effectively time the stock market. This IS NOT guaranteed and only works about 80% of the time. However this can give traders at any level an extra boost of confidence before placing a trade.
Please dont forget to like this video and to subscribe!
- published: 24 Apr 2019
- views: 48627
9:35
Does Market Timing Ever Work?
- Order: Reorder
- Duration: 9:35
- Uploaded Date: 25 May 2019
- views: 152468
Even the most rational index investors might catch themselves wondering if they should sell some of their equities, or delay investing new cash, because of expe...
Even the most rational index investors might catch themselves wondering if they should sell some of their equities, or delay investing new cash, because of expected market volatility, or reports of record high stock prices.
Referenced in this video:
Market Timing: Sin a Little - https://www.aqr.com/-/media/AQR/Documents/Insights/White-Papers/Market-Timing-Sin-a-Little.pdf
Dollar-cost averaging just means taking risk later - https://static.twentyoverten.com/5980d16bbfb1c93238ad9c24/rJpQmY8o7/Dollar-Cost-Averaging-Just-Means-Taking-Risk-Later-Vanguard.pdf
Daniel Kahneman: Four Keys to Better Decision Making - https://blogs.cfainstitute.org/investor/2018/06/08/daniel-kahneman-four-keys-to-better-decision-making/
Common Sense on Mutual Funds - https://www.amazon.com/Common-Sense-Mutual-Funds-Bogle-ebook/dp/B00338060K/ref=sr_1_2
Catch up on the latest investing advice, insights and white papers here.
https://www.pwlcapital.com/teams/passmore-felix/?utm_source=youtube&utm_medium=copy&utm_campaign=ben2019&utm_content=markettiming
------------------
Where to follow me:
- Twitter: https://twitter.com/benjaminwfelix
- LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/
PWL Capital Blog Post: https://www.pwlcapital.com/does-market-timing-ever-work/
Follow PWL Capital on:
- Twitter: https://twitter.com/PWLCapital
- Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PWLCapital
- LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/pwl-capital/
You can find the Rational Reminder podcast on
Google Podcasts:
https://www.google.com/podcasts?feed=aHR0cHM6Ly9yYXRpb25hbHJlbWluZGVyLmxpYnN5bi5jb20vcnNz
Apple Podcasts:
https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582?mt=2
Spotify Podcasts:
https://open.spotify.com/show/6RHWTH9iW7hdnA7eAg7ukO?si=hjZNfLKuSjSeWX38GPqhVA
------------------
https://wn.com/Does_Market_Timing_Ever_Work
Even the most rational index investors might catch themselves wondering if they should sell some of their equities, or delay investing new cash, because of expected market volatility, or reports of record high stock prices.
Referenced in this video:
Market Timing: Sin a Little - https://www.aqr.com/-/media/AQR/Documents/Insights/White-Papers/Market-Timing-Sin-a-Little.pdf
Dollar-cost averaging just means taking risk later - https://static.twentyoverten.com/5980d16bbfb1c93238ad9c24/rJpQmY8o7/Dollar-Cost-Averaging-Just-Means-Taking-Risk-Later-Vanguard.pdf
Daniel Kahneman: Four Keys to Better Decision Making - https://blogs.cfainstitute.org/investor/2018/06/08/daniel-kahneman-four-keys-to-better-decision-making/
Common Sense on Mutual Funds - https://www.amazon.com/Common-Sense-Mutual-Funds-Bogle-ebook/dp/B00338060K/ref=sr_1_2
Catch up on the latest investing advice, insights and white papers here.
https://www.pwlcapital.com/teams/passmore-felix/?utm_source=youtube&utm_medium=copy&utm_campaign=ben2019&utm_content=markettiming
------------------
Where to follow me:
- Twitter: https://twitter.com/benjaminwfelix
- LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/
PWL Capital Blog Post: https://www.pwlcapital.com/does-market-timing-ever-work/
Follow PWL Capital on:
- Twitter: https://twitter.com/PWLCapital
- Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PWLCapital
- LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/pwl-capital/
You can find the Rational Reminder podcast on
Google Podcasts:
https://www.google.com/podcasts?feed=aHR0cHM6Ly9yYXRpb25hbHJlbWluZGVyLmxpYnN5bi5jb20vcnNz
Apple Podcasts:
https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582?mt=2
Spotify Podcasts:
https://open.spotify.com/show/6RHWTH9iW7hdnA7eAg7ukO?si=hjZNfLKuSjSeWX38GPqhVA
------------------
- published: 25 May 2019
- views: 152468
3:06
Gary Shilling explains the only way to beat the market and win
- Order: Reorder
- Duration: 3:06
- Uploaded Date: 22 Oct 2017
- views: 319915
Financial analyst Gary Shilling reveals the lessons he has learned about the economy and markets, how to stay ahead, and why everybody can't win. Following is a...
Financial analyst Gary Shilling reveals the lessons he has learned about the economy and markets, how to stay ahead, and why everybody can't win. Following is a transcript of the video.
Gary Shilling: Well, I've learned a lot of lessons over the years, and most of them the hard way. But, there are a couple of basic facts.
If you look at the economy, it grows over time. Not at a steady rate, but it grows over time. And markets, particularly the stock market, reflects that. In other words, if you have the economy growing at, let's say the nominal economy, nominal GDP growing at 4%. Long-term, corporate profits are going to grow about the same rate.
Obviously, they can't continually expand faster than the economy or decline relative to the economy. So, that's where you start.
So, in terms of stocks, the only real difference between how the nominal economy is going, and how the stock market is going, is price-to-earnings ratios, and they move in long cycles. 10, 15 years, they move up, then they'll tend to move down. And that's pretty much it.
Now, that's the overall economy and that's the overall investment.
Of course, everybody thinks they're going to beat this, there's that great gambling instinct in all of us. That's why people watch financial news programs. That's why they're watching us. Everybody's trying to get a leg up here.
Well, of course everybody can't win at this game, I mean, on average, it's going to average out. There is that hope that springs eternal within the human breast, as somebody once said, that you're going to be ahead of the game.
Now, what that means is, if you are trying to beat the game, you've got to be against the consensus. It doesn't mean that you simply are a contrarian in a sense of, "whatever the consensus is, I'm going to take the opposite side." No, no. 'Cause there's times the consensus can be right, and often is.
But, what it means is that, when you come up with an idea, and it is counter to the consensus, and you think it's got a good chance of happening, and it's a trend that's working, well, then that's where you want to really jump on it with all force.
That's what we did in the early 2000s. We saw as early as 2002, what looked like a developing housing bubble. And, so we said, "This isn't ready to crack yet, but it looks like it's getting there."
You had people who were putting nothing down on houses, they assumed that the appreciation would be such they'd never even have to make one monthly payment, because they could refinance, you had the no-doc loans, all this nonsense.
It really was clear.
Now obviously that bubble would not have been developed and not broken 'til really the end of 2007, unless everybody, or most people, were convinced it was going to last forever.
So, there's a case of where you had an extreme situation, it was against all reality in terms of how long it could last, and it was one of these rare opportunities where going against the trend with a major bubble having developed, where you could make some serious money.
--------------------------------------------------
Follow BI Video on Twitter: http://bit.ly/1oS68Zs
Follow BI on Facebook: http://bit.ly/1W9Lk0n
Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/
--------------------------------------------------
Business Insider is the fastest growing business news site in the US. Our mission: to tell you all you need to know about the big world around you. The BI Video team focuses on technology, strategy and science with an emphasis on unique storytelling and data that appeals to the next generation of leaders – the digital generation.
https://wn.com/Gary_Shilling_Explains_The_Only_Way_To_Beat_The_Market_And_Win
Financial analyst Gary Shilling reveals the lessons he has learned about the economy and markets, how to stay ahead, and why everybody can't win. Following is a transcript of the video.
Gary Shilling: Well, I've learned a lot of lessons over the years, and most of them the hard way. But, there are a couple of basic facts.
If you look at the economy, it grows over time. Not at a steady rate, but it grows over time. And markets, particularly the stock market, reflects that. In other words, if you have the economy growing at, let's say the nominal economy, nominal GDP growing at 4%. Long-term, corporate profits are going to grow about the same rate.
Obviously, they can't continually expand faster than the economy or decline relative to the economy. So, that's where you start.
So, in terms of stocks, the only real difference between how the nominal economy is going, and how the stock market is going, is price-to-earnings ratios, and they move in long cycles. 10, 15 years, they move up, then they'll tend to move down. And that's pretty much it.
Now, that's the overall economy and that's the overall investment.
Of course, everybody thinks they're going to beat this, there's that great gambling instinct in all of us. That's why people watch financial news programs. That's why they're watching us. Everybody's trying to get a leg up here.
Well, of course everybody can't win at this game, I mean, on average, it's going to average out. There is that hope that springs eternal within the human breast, as somebody once said, that you're going to be ahead of the game.
Now, what that means is, if you are trying to beat the game, you've got to be against the consensus. It doesn't mean that you simply are a contrarian in a sense of, "whatever the consensus is, I'm going to take the opposite side." No, no. 'Cause there's times the consensus can be right, and often is.
But, what it means is that, when you come up with an idea, and it is counter to the consensus, and you think it's got a good chance of happening, and it's a trend that's working, well, then that's where you want to really jump on it with all force.
That's what we did in the early 2000s. We saw as early as 2002, what looked like a developing housing bubble. And, so we said, "This isn't ready to crack yet, but it looks like it's getting there."
You had people who were putting nothing down on houses, they assumed that the appreciation would be such they'd never even have to make one monthly payment, because they could refinance, you had the no-doc loans, all this nonsense.
It really was clear.
Now obviously that bubble would not have been developed and not broken 'til really the end of 2007, unless everybody, or most people, were convinced it was going to last forever.
So, there's a case of where you had an extreme situation, it was against all reality in terms of how long it could last, and it was one of these rare opportunities where going against the trend with a major bubble having developed, where you could make some serious money.
--------------------------------------------------
Follow BI Video on Twitter: http://bit.ly/1oS68Zs
Follow BI on Facebook: http://bit.ly/1W9Lk0n
Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/
--------------------------------------------------
Business Insider is the fastest growing business news site in the US. Our mission: to tell you all you need to know about the big world around you. The BI Video team focuses on technology, strategy and science with an emphasis on unique storytelling and data that appeals to the next generation of leaders – the digital generation.
- published: 22 Oct 2017
- views: 319915
12:09
Why Timing The Market Is A Losing Strategy
- Order: Reorder
- Duration: 12:09
- Uploaded Date: 01 Jul 2022
- views: 20663
Timing the market sounds like a great strategy to make more money from investing.
Sell at the top, wait for the market to drop and then buy back in.
The probl...
Timing the market sounds like a great strategy to make more money from investing.
Sell at the top, wait for the market to drop and then buy back in.
The problem is that timing the market is much more likely to lose you a huge amount of money than gain any.
And even if you do manage to time the market perfectly, the return you'll get in the unlikely scenario is only marginally better than if dollar cost averaging into the market every month instead.
☕️ JOIN MY PATREON - DISCORD, BONUS VIDEOS, TARGET PRICES, MODELS & MORE
https://www.patreon.com/sashayanshin
💵 GREAT INVESTING APPS I USE
INTERACTIVE BROKERS (Global Investing Platform)
https://bit.ly/ibkr-sasha
GET $10 IF YOU SIGN UP WITH LIGHTYEAR (UK only)
https://lightyear.app.link/sasha-yanshin
You need to sign up and make a deposit to get the $10 bonus.
DISCLAIMER: Your capital is at risk.
DISCLAIMER: Some of these links may be affiliate links. If you purchase a product or service using one of these links, I will receive a small commission from the seller. There will be no additional charge for you.
DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor and this is not a financial advice channel. All information is provided strictly for educational purposes. It does not take into account anybody's specific circumstances or situation. If you are making investment or other financial management decisions and require advice, please consult a suitably qualified licensed professional.
https://wn.com/Why_Timing_The_Market_Is_A_Losing_Strategy
Timing the market sounds like a great strategy to make more money from investing.
Sell at the top, wait for the market to drop and then buy back in.
The problem is that timing the market is much more likely to lose you a huge amount of money than gain any.
And even if you do manage to time the market perfectly, the return you'll get in the unlikely scenario is only marginally better than if dollar cost averaging into the market every month instead.
☕️ JOIN MY PATREON - DISCORD, BONUS VIDEOS, TARGET PRICES, MODELS & MORE
https://www.patreon.com/sashayanshin
💵 GREAT INVESTING APPS I USE
INTERACTIVE BROKERS (Global Investing Platform)
https://bit.ly/ibkr-sasha
GET $10 IF YOU SIGN UP WITH LIGHTYEAR (UK only)
https://lightyear.app.link/sasha-yanshin
You need to sign up and make a deposit to get the $10 bonus.
DISCLAIMER: Your capital is at risk.
DISCLAIMER: Some of these links may be affiliate links. If you purchase a product or service using one of these links, I will receive a small commission from the seller. There will be no additional charge for you.
DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor and this is not a financial advice channel. All information is provided strictly for educational purposes. It does not take into account anybody's specific circumstances or situation. If you are making investment or other financial management decisions and require advice, please consult a suitably qualified licensed professional.
- published: 01 Jul 2022
- views: 20663
3:17
Howard Marks: Difference Between Cycles and Timing the Market
- Order: Reorder
- Duration: 3:17
- Uploaded Date: 10 Sep 2019
- views: 3410
Howard Marks gets asked the question as how to balance between minding the cycle but also not trying to time the market. His answer has is that knowing where we...
Howard Marks gets asked the question as how to balance between minding the cycle but also not trying to time the market. His answer has is that knowing where we are in the cycle doesn't necessarily tell you what will happen tomorrow.
Howard Marks Books:
Mastering the Market Cycle: https://amzn.to/2ZP2y8z
Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor: https://amzn.to/2N99WXB
Best Investment Books:
Intelligent Investor by Ben Graham: https://amzn.to/2QkcML4
Common Sense Investing by Jack Bogle: https://amzn.to/2trD2u3
Poor Charlie's Almanack by Peter Kaufman: https://amzn.to/2ZLTJfY
Only Investment Guide You'll Ever Need by Andrew Tobias : https://amzn.to/39Di0Jx
WeBull Brokerage Sign up: (2 Free Stocks when you sign up w/ link):
https://act.webull.com/promotion/invitation/share.html?inviteCode=BOID6FZUBmF2
Robinhood Referral Link: (Free Stock)
http://join.robinhood.com/brianc965
M1 Finance Referral Link: (Get $20 to invest)
https://mbsy.co/DDgwl
Email (business inquires):
[email protected]
Some links may be affiliate links. We may get paid if you buy something using these amazon links, full disclosure. We use these funds to help provide excellent content on the channel, thank you!
DISCLAIMER: The videos and content on this channel are for informational purposes only, you should not construe any such information or other material as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice. Nothing contained on our channel constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer by "Investor Talk" or any third party to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in this or in in any other jurisdiction in which such solicitation or offer would be unlawful under the securities laws of such jurisdiction.
https://wn.com/Howard_Marks_Difference_Between_Cycles_And_Timing_The_Market
Howard Marks gets asked the question as how to balance between minding the cycle but also not trying to time the market. His answer has is that knowing where we are in the cycle doesn't necessarily tell you what will happen tomorrow.
Howard Marks Books:
Mastering the Market Cycle: https://amzn.to/2ZP2y8z
Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor: https://amzn.to/2N99WXB
Best Investment Books:
Intelligent Investor by Ben Graham: https://amzn.to/2QkcML4
Common Sense Investing by Jack Bogle: https://amzn.to/2trD2u3
Poor Charlie's Almanack by Peter Kaufman: https://amzn.to/2ZLTJfY
Only Investment Guide You'll Ever Need by Andrew Tobias : https://amzn.to/39Di0Jx
WeBull Brokerage Sign up: (2 Free Stocks when you sign up w/ link):
https://act.webull.com/promotion/invitation/share.html?inviteCode=BOID6FZUBmF2
Robinhood Referral Link: (Free Stock)
http://join.robinhood.com/brianc965
M1 Finance Referral Link: (Get $20 to invest)
https://mbsy.co/DDgwl
Email (business inquires):
[email protected]
Some links may be affiliate links. We may get paid if you buy something using these amazon links, full disclosure. We use these funds to help provide excellent content on the channel, thank you!
DISCLAIMER: The videos and content on this channel are for informational purposes only, you should not construe any such information or other material as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice. Nothing contained on our channel constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer by "Investor Talk" or any third party to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in this or in in any other jurisdiction in which such solicitation or offer would be unlawful under the securities laws of such jurisdiction.
- published: 10 Sep 2019
- views: 3410
1:17
What is Market Timing? | Money Minute Mondays - Ep. 3
- Order: Reorder
- Duration: 1:17
- Uploaded Date: 12 Jul 2021
- views: 2250
Have you ever heard of the term "market timing" and never really understand what it meant? If so, take less than one minute to find out exactly what market timi...
Have you ever heard of the term "market timing" and never really understand what it meant? If so, take less than one minute to find out exactly what market timing is! This video is part of our Money Minute Monday Series, where we explain money topics in less than a minute. So, check out this video, and then check out our Money Minute Monday playlist to learn about different money topics in under one minute. And, of course, don't forget to like, subscribe, and join the journey!!!
https://wn.com/What_Is_Market_Timing_|_Money_Minute_Mondays_Ep._3
Have you ever heard of the term "market timing" and never really understand what it meant? If so, take less than one minute to find out exactly what market timing is! This video is part of our Money Minute Monday Series, where we explain money topics in less than a minute. So, check out this video, and then check out our Money Minute Monday playlist to learn about different money topics in under one minute. And, of course, don't forget to like, subscribe, and join the journey!!!
- published: 12 Jul 2021
- views: 2250
2:09
Peter Lynch on How to Time the Market
- Order: Reorder
- Duration: 2:09
- Uploaded Date: 04 Oct 2020
- views: 2535
Mr. Lynch says it's almost impossible to time the market and the time you lose doing it, you are sacrificing your returns. He even got a call from Mr. Buffett.
...
Mr. Lynch says it's almost impossible to time the market and the time you lose doing it, you are sacrificing your returns. He even got a call from Mr. Buffett.
Follow us on Facebook:
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Email contact:
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#StockMarket #PersonalFinance
https://wn.com/Peter_Lynch_On_How_To_Time_The_Market
Mr. Lynch says it's almost impossible to time the market and the time you lose doing it, you are sacrificing your returns. He even got a call from Mr. Buffett.
Follow us on Facebook:
https://cutt.ly/xshckMU
Favorite Personal Finance Book
-The Simple Path to Wealth: https://amzn.to/2P93pwt
Favorite Investing Book
-The Little Book That Beats the Market: https://amzn.to/2XbDLeK
Email contact:
[email protected]
#StockMarket #PersonalFinance
- published: 04 Oct 2020
- views: 2535
5:36
What If You Only Invested at Market Peaks?
- Order: Reorder
- Duration: 5:36
- Uploaded Date: 21 Dec 2020
- views: 124387
This is the story of Bob, the world's worst market timer. Follow along on Bob's journey as an investor who had the misfortune of only investing his savings at t...
This is the story of Bob, the world's worst market timer. Follow along on Bob's journey as an investor who had the misfortune of only investing his savings at the peak of the stock market just before a crash. The results may surprise you.
Check out Ben's post that inspired this animation: https://awealthofcommonsense.com/2014/02/worlds-worst-market-timer/
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#investing #stockmarket #retirement
https://wn.com/What_If_You_Only_Invested_At_Market_Peaks
This is the story of Bob, the world's worst market timer. Follow along on Bob's journey as an investor who had the misfortune of only investing his savings at the peak of the stock market just before a crash. The results may surprise you.
Check out Ben's post that inspired this animation: https://awealthofcommonsense.com/2014/02/worlds-worst-market-timer/
Sign up for The Compound newsletter and never miss out: https://www.thecompoundnews.com/subscribe
Talk with us about your portfolio or financial plan here: http://ritholtzwealth.com
New to investing? Check out our Liftoff platform: http://liftoffinvest.com
Twitter: https://twitter.com/thecompoundnews
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Obviously nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. See our disclosures here:
https://ritholtzwealth.com/podcast-youtube-disclosures/
#investing #stockmarket #retirement
- published: 21 Dec 2020
- views: 124387
8:46
Timing the Market exposed
- Order: Reorder
- Duration: 8:46
- Uploaded Date: 13 Dec 2020
- views: 6410
What would happen if you were able to time the stock market perfectly and buy at the bottom of the last 5 stock market crashes? In this investing for beginners ...
What would happen if you were able to time the stock market perfectly and buy at the bottom of the last 5 stock market crashes? In this investing for beginners video, you'll learn something very important for long term wealth creation.
➡️ JOIN OUR MASTERMIND FACEBOOK GROUP: https://www.facebook.com/groups/intelligentstockinvestors
BEST INVESTING BOOKS
📚 The Little Book That Still Beats the Market
➜ https://amzn.to/3fkkscB
📚 The Outsiders
➜ https://amzn.to/3jeFcmW
📚 100 Baggers
➜ https://amzn.to/3A3Nt49
📚 The Complete Investor
➜ https://amzn.to/2V3Saw5
📚 Richer, Wiser, Happier
➜ https://amzn.to/3igSvUC
📚 The Dhandho Investor
➜ https://amzn.to/3ykf1l9
📚 Tao of Charlie Munger
➜ https://amzn.to/2V9FgMM
📚 The Complete Financial History of Berkshire
➜ https://amzn.to/3kRFRNp
🙋♂️ Watch Next to Keep Learning (YouTube Playlist):
➜ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R98EpiTtzI0&list=PLu59mM1CZTBs6BlQGueRfTv47cqB_4cm-
Watch Next:
Beginner Investing 101:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n9BVsvlGUC0&list=PLu59mM1CZTBsSpc9RolmuC9xUsKxFedhX
How Stock INVESTING works (not trading or speculating)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R98EpiTtzI0&list=PLu59mM1CZTBsSpc9RolmuC9xUsKxFedhX
Timing the Market | When to Invest and When to Wait (Big Surprise in Here)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BsJqV0MthUg&list=PLu59mM1CZTBsSpc9RolmuC9xUsKxFedhX
How to Become a Billionaire (or just get filthy rich)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gepm_ywcmKI&list=PLu59mM1CZTBsSpc9RolmuC9xUsKxFedhX
Exactly When to Sell a Stock
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hdcQu2qbF38&list=PLu59mM1CZTBsSpc9RolmuC9xUsKxFedhX
"Investing" in Non-productive assets (Pokemon Cards, Bitcoin, etc.)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nSTqxID7Hrk&list=PLu59mM1CZTBsSpc9RolmuC9xUsKxFedhX
Why Stocks Go Up and Down
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h93RCtKFk0I&list=PLu59mM1CZTBsSpc9RolmuC9xUsKxFedhX
Chapter 8 of "The Intelligent Investor” book
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YignWj5QDi8&list=PLu59mM1CZTBsSpc9RolmuC9xUsKxFedhX
Top 9 Value Investing Fundamentals You Need to Know
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qwPIqBPFf4M&list=PLu59mM1CZTBsSpc9RolmuC9xUsKxFedhX
PE Ratio Explained
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cM3tI773HbY&list=PLu59mM1CZTBsSpc9RolmuC9xUsKxFedhX
Value Investing History
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AMYL4t9O9Ds&list=PLu59mM1CZTBsSpc9RolmuC9xUsKxFedhX
How to Calculate Intrinsic Value (With Apple Stock Example)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UtnEHqvGeCE&list=PLu59mM1CZTBsSpc9RolmuC9xUsKxFedhX
Video resources:
Spreadsheet:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1ewfe6XVha6f-9-No9OZqo3u3ftzKttyhgoGzkSLqR_s/edit?usp=sharing
Resources:
SP&500 historical data:
http://www.econ.yale.edu/~shiller/data.htm
Market-timing newsletters study:
https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w4890/w4890.pdf
Market timing paper:
https://caia.org/sites/default/files/market_timing_open.pdf
Special thanks to my incredibly beautiful, smart, and creative girlfriend, Stephanie, for her editing wizardry and creative insights and ideas. Although you do not see her speaking to you in the videos, believe me, she has poured her heart and soul into making this video and the videos on this channel. It's been a 50/50 effort. I don't want to even imagine what these videos would look like without her hard work and creative insights. Thank you.
Disclaimer:
These youtube videos and content are for entertainment purposes only. If stocks or companies are mentioned, Richard may have an ownership interest in them -- DO NOT make buying or selling decisions based on Richard’s videos. All information contained herein should not be construed as anything other than an opinion for entertainment purposes only. Information being provided may be outdated or inaccurate; it is your responsibility to verify all information.
No financial advice is being given nor is any other advice of any kind. You should consult with a qualified professional where appropriate and before any action is taken on this video. No liability or damages shall take place because of this video and/or content.
There is no express or implied representations or warranty with respect to the accuracy or completeness of the content of the videos, including any content, description, links, or resources shared, including those by third parties. Furthermore, all parties specifically disclaim any and all express or implied warranties of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose. By watching this and all related videos, you agree to be bound by this disclaimer.
#StockInvesting #StockMarketForBeginners #ValueInvesting
https://wn.com/Timing_The_Market_Exposed
What would happen if you were able to time the stock market perfectly and buy at the bottom of the last 5 stock market crashes? In this investing for beginners video, you'll learn something very important for long term wealth creation.
➡️ JOIN OUR MASTERMIND FACEBOOK GROUP: https://www.facebook.com/groups/intelligentstockinvestors
BEST INVESTING BOOKS
📚 The Little Book That Still Beats the Market
➜ https://amzn.to/3fkkscB
📚 The Outsiders
➜ https://amzn.to/3jeFcmW
📚 100 Baggers
➜ https://amzn.to/3A3Nt49
📚 The Complete Investor
➜ https://amzn.to/2V3Saw5
📚 Richer, Wiser, Happier
➜ https://amzn.to/3igSvUC
📚 The Dhandho Investor
➜ https://amzn.to/3ykf1l9
📚 Tao of Charlie Munger
➜ https://amzn.to/2V9FgMM
📚 The Complete Financial History of Berkshire
➜ https://amzn.to/3kRFRNp
🙋♂️ Watch Next to Keep Learning (YouTube Playlist):
➜ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R98EpiTtzI0&list=PLu59mM1CZTBs6BlQGueRfTv47cqB_4cm-
Watch Next:
Beginner Investing 101:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n9BVsvlGUC0&list=PLu59mM1CZTBsSpc9RolmuC9xUsKxFedhX
How Stock INVESTING works (not trading or speculating)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R98EpiTtzI0&list=PLu59mM1CZTBsSpc9RolmuC9xUsKxFedhX
Timing the Market | When to Invest and When to Wait (Big Surprise in Here)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BsJqV0MthUg&list=PLu59mM1CZTBsSpc9RolmuC9xUsKxFedhX
How to Become a Billionaire (or just get filthy rich)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gepm_ywcmKI&list=PLu59mM1CZTBsSpc9RolmuC9xUsKxFedhX
Exactly When to Sell a Stock
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hdcQu2qbF38&list=PLu59mM1CZTBsSpc9RolmuC9xUsKxFedhX
"Investing" in Non-productive assets (Pokemon Cards, Bitcoin, etc.)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nSTqxID7Hrk&list=PLu59mM1CZTBsSpc9RolmuC9xUsKxFedhX
Why Stocks Go Up and Down
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h93RCtKFk0I&list=PLu59mM1CZTBsSpc9RolmuC9xUsKxFedhX
Chapter 8 of "The Intelligent Investor” book
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YignWj5QDi8&list=PLu59mM1CZTBsSpc9RolmuC9xUsKxFedhX
Top 9 Value Investing Fundamentals You Need to Know
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qwPIqBPFf4M&list=PLu59mM1CZTBsSpc9RolmuC9xUsKxFedhX
PE Ratio Explained
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cM3tI773HbY&list=PLu59mM1CZTBsSpc9RolmuC9xUsKxFedhX
Value Investing History
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AMYL4t9O9Ds&list=PLu59mM1CZTBsSpc9RolmuC9xUsKxFedhX
How to Calculate Intrinsic Value (With Apple Stock Example)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UtnEHqvGeCE&list=PLu59mM1CZTBsSpc9RolmuC9xUsKxFedhX
Video resources:
Spreadsheet:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1ewfe6XVha6f-9-No9OZqo3u3ftzKttyhgoGzkSLqR_s/edit?usp=sharing
Resources:
SP&500 historical data:
http://www.econ.yale.edu/~shiller/data.htm
Market-timing newsletters study:
https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w4890/w4890.pdf
Market timing paper:
https://caia.org/sites/default/files/market_timing_open.pdf
Special thanks to my incredibly beautiful, smart, and creative girlfriend, Stephanie, for her editing wizardry and creative insights and ideas. Although you do not see her speaking to you in the videos, believe me, she has poured her heart and soul into making this video and the videos on this channel. It's been a 50/50 effort. I don't want to even imagine what these videos would look like without her hard work and creative insights. Thank you.
Disclaimer:
These youtube videos and content are for entertainment purposes only. If stocks or companies are mentioned, Richard may have an ownership interest in them -- DO NOT make buying or selling decisions based on Richard’s videos. All information contained herein should not be construed as anything other than an opinion for entertainment purposes only. Information being provided may be outdated or inaccurate; it is your responsibility to verify all information.
No financial advice is being given nor is any other advice of any kind. You should consult with a qualified professional where appropriate and before any action is taken on this video. No liability or damages shall take place because of this video and/or content.
There is no express or implied representations or warranty with respect to the accuracy or completeness of the content of the videos, including any content, description, links, or resources shared, including those by third parties. Furthermore, all parties specifically disclaim any and all express or implied warranties of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose. By watching this and all related videos, you agree to be bound by this disclaimer.
#StockInvesting #StockMarketForBeginners #ValueInvesting
- published: 13 Dec 2020
- views: 6410
6:47
Warren Buffett: Market Timing Is Both Impossible And Stupid
Warren Buffett has benefited from lucky timing when he has made stock market investments, ...
published: 13 Jan 2023
Warren Buffett: Market Timing Is Both Impossible And Stupid
Warren Buffett: Market Timing Is Both Impossible And Stupid
- Report rights infringement
- published: 13 Jan 2023
- views: 26545
Warren Buffett has benefited from lucky timing when he has made stock market investments, but he insists that this has only ever been luck, rather than an attempt at market timing. Further, he suggests that those attempting market timing are extraordinarily foolish.
12:48
Market Timing Strategy That Works
Today we cover a market timing strategy that actually works.
This is a strategy that I ha...
published: 24 Apr 2019
Market Timing Strategy That Works
Market Timing Strategy That Works
- Report rights infringement
- published: 24 Apr 2019
- views: 48627
Today we cover a market timing strategy that actually works.
This is a strategy that I have used for over ten years. Using this anyone can effectively time the stock market. This IS NOT guaranteed and only works about 80% of the time. However this can give traders at any level an extra boost of confidence before placing a trade.
Please dont forget to like this video and to subscribe!
9:35
Does Market Timing Ever Work?
Even the most rational index investors might catch themselves wondering if they should sel...
published: 25 May 2019
Does Market Timing Ever Work?
Does Market Timing Ever Work?
- Report rights infringement
- published: 25 May 2019
- views: 152468
Even the most rational index investors might catch themselves wondering if they should sell some of their equities, or delay investing new cash, because of expected market volatility, or reports of record high stock prices.
Referenced in this video:
Market Timing: Sin a Little - https://www.aqr.com/-/media/AQR/Documents/Insights/White-Papers/Market-Timing-Sin-a-Little.pdf
Dollar-cost averaging just means taking risk later - https://static.twentyoverten.com/5980d16bbfb1c93238ad9c24/rJpQmY8o7/Dollar-Cost-Averaging-Just-Means-Taking-Risk-Later-Vanguard.pdf
Daniel Kahneman: Four Keys to Better Decision Making - https://blogs.cfainstitute.org/investor/2018/06/08/daniel-kahneman-four-keys-to-better-decision-making/
Common Sense on Mutual Funds - https://www.amazon.com/Common-Sense-Mutual-Funds-Bogle-ebook/dp/B00338060K/ref=sr_1_2
Catch up on the latest investing advice, insights and white papers here.
https://www.pwlcapital.com/teams/passmore-felix/?utm_source=youtube&utm_medium=copy&utm_campaign=ben2019&utm_content=markettiming
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3:06
Gary Shilling explains the only way to beat the market and win
Financial analyst Gary Shilling reveals the lessons he has learned about the economy and m...
published: 22 Oct 2017
Gary Shilling explains the only way to beat the market and win
Gary Shilling explains the only way to beat the market and win
- Report rights infringement
- published: 22 Oct 2017
- views: 319915
Financial analyst Gary Shilling reveals the lessons he has learned about the economy and markets, how to stay ahead, and why everybody can't win. Following is a transcript of the video.
Gary Shilling: Well, I've learned a lot of lessons over the years, and most of them the hard way. But, there are a couple of basic facts.
If you look at the economy, it grows over time. Not at a steady rate, but it grows over time. And markets, particularly the stock market, reflects that. In other words, if you have the economy growing at, let's say the nominal economy, nominal GDP growing at 4%. Long-term, corporate profits are going to grow about the same rate.
Obviously, they can't continually expand faster than the economy or decline relative to the economy. So, that's where you start.
So, in terms of stocks, the only real difference between how the nominal economy is going, and how the stock market is going, is price-to-earnings ratios, and they move in long cycles. 10, 15 years, they move up, then they'll tend to move down. And that's pretty much it.
Now, that's the overall economy and that's the overall investment.
Of course, everybody thinks they're going to beat this, there's that great gambling instinct in all of us. That's why people watch financial news programs. That's why they're watching us. Everybody's trying to get a leg up here.
Well, of course everybody can't win at this game, I mean, on average, it's going to average out. There is that hope that springs eternal within the human breast, as somebody once said, that you're going to be ahead of the game.
Now, what that means is, if you are trying to beat the game, you've got to be against the consensus. It doesn't mean that you simply are a contrarian in a sense of, "whatever the consensus is, I'm going to take the opposite side." No, no. 'Cause there's times the consensus can be right, and often is.
But, what it means is that, when you come up with an idea, and it is counter to the consensus, and you think it's got a good chance of happening, and it's a trend that's working, well, then that's where you want to really jump on it with all force.
That's what we did in the early 2000s. We saw as early as 2002, what looked like a developing housing bubble. And, so we said, "This isn't ready to crack yet, but it looks like it's getting there."
You had people who were putting nothing down on houses, they assumed that the appreciation would be such they'd never even have to make one monthly payment, because they could refinance, you had the no-doc loans, all this nonsense.
It really was clear.
Now obviously that bubble would not have been developed and not broken 'til really the end of 2007, unless everybody, or most people, were convinced it was going to last forever.
So, there's a case of where you had an extreme situation, it was against all reality in terms of how long it could last, and it was one of these rare opportunities where going against the trend with a major bubble having developed, where you could make some serious money.
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12:09
Why Timing The Market Is A Losing Strategy
Timing the market sounds like a great strategy to make more money from investing.
Sell at...
published: 01 Jul 2022
Why Timing The Market Is A Losing Strategy
Why Timing The Market Is A Losing Strategy
- Report rights infringement
- published: 01 Jul 2022
- views: 20663
Timing the market sounds like a great strategy to make more money from investing.
Sell at the top, wait for the market to drop and then buy back in.
The problem is that timing the market is much more likely to lose you a huge amount of money than gain any.
And even if you do manage to time the market perfectly, the return you'll get in the unlikely scenario is only marginally better than if dollar cost averaging into the market every month instead.
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3:17
Howard Marks: Difference Between Cycles and Timing the Market
Howard Marks gets asked the question as how to balance between minding the cycle but also ...
published: 10 Sep 2019
Howard Marks: Difference Between Cycles and Timing the Market
Howard Marks: Difference Between Cycles and Timing the Market
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- published: 10 Sep 2019
- views: 3410
Howard Marks gets asked the question as how to balance between minding the cycle but also not trying to time the market. His answer has is that knowing where we are in the cycle doesn't necessarily tell you what will happen tomorrow.
Howard Marks Books:
Mastering the Market Cycle: https://amzn.to/2ZP2y8z
Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor: https://amzn.to/2N99WXB
Best Investment Books:
Intelligent Investor by Ben Graham: https://amzn.to/2QkcML4
Common Sense Investing by Jack Bogle: https://amzn.to/2trD2u3
Poor Charlie's Almanack by Peter Kaufman: https://amzn.to/2ZLTJfY
Only Investment Guide You'll Ever Need by Andrew Tobias : https://amzn.to/39Di0Jx
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1:17
What is Market Timing? | Money Minute Mondays - Ep. 3
Have you ever heard of the term "market timing" and never really understand what it meant?...
published: 12 Jul 2021
What is Market Timing? | Money Minute Mondays - Ep. 3
What is Market Timing? | Money Minute Mondays - Ep. 3
- Report rights infringement
- published: 12 Jul 2021
- views: 2250
Have you ever heard of the term "market timing" and never really understand what it meant? If so, take less than one minute to find out exactly what market timing is! This video is part of our Money Minute Monday Series, where we explain money topics in less than a minute. So, check out this video, and then check out our Money Minute Monday playlist to learn about different money topics in under one minute. And, of course, don't forget to like, subscribe, and join the journey!!!
2:09
Peter Lynch on How to Time the Market
Mr. Lynch says it's almost impossible to time the market and the time you lose doing it, y...
published: 04 Oct 2020
Peter Lynch on How to Time the Market
Peter Lynch on How to Time the Market
- Report rights infringement
- published: 04 Oct 2020
- views: 2535
Mr. Lynch says it's almost impossible to time the market and the time you lose doing it, you are sacrificing your returns. He even got a call from Mr. Buffett.
Follow us on Facebook:
https://cutt.ly/xshckMU
Favorite Personal Finance Book
-The Simple Path to Wealth: https://amzn.to/2P93pwt
Favorite Investing Book
-The Little Book That Beats the Market: https://amzn.to/2XbDLeK
Email contact:
[email protected]
#StockMarket #PersonalFinance
5:36
What If You Only Invested at Market Peaks?
This is the story of Bob, the world's worst market timer. Follow along on Bob's journey as...
published: 21 Dec 2020
What If You Only Invested at Market Peaks?
What If You Only Invested at Market Peaks?
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- published: 21 Dec 2020
- views: 124387
This is the story of Bob, the world's worst market timer. Follow along on Bob's journey as an investor who had the misfortune of only investing his savings at the peak of the stock market just before a crash. The results may surprise you.
Check out Ben's post that inspired this animation: https://awealthofcommonsense.com/2014/02/worlds-worst-market-timer/
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Obviously nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. See our disclosures here:
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#investing #stockmarket #retirement
8:46
Timing the Market exposed
What would happen if you were able to time the stock market perfectly and buy at the botto...
published: 13 Dec 2020
Timing the Market exposed
Timing the Market exposed
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- published: 13 Dec 2020
- views: 6410
What would happen if you were able to time the stock market perfectly and buy at the bottom of the last 5 stock market crashes? In this investing for beginners video, you'll learn something very important for long term wealth creation.
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BEST INVESTING BOOKS
📚 The Little Book That Still Beats the Market
➜ https://amzn.to/3fkkscB
📚 The Outsiders
➜ https://amzn.to/3jeFcmW
📚 100 Baggers
➜ https://amzn.to/3A3Nt49
📚 The Complete Investor
➜ https://amzn.to/2V3Saw5
📚 Richer, Wiser, Happier
➜ https://amzn.to/3igSvUC
📚 The Dhandho Investor
➜ https://amzn.to/3ykf1l9
📚 Tao of Charlie Munger
➜ https://amzn.to/2V9FgMM
📚 The Complete Financial History of Berkshire
➜ https://amzn.to/3kRFRNp
🙋♂️ Watch Next to Keep Learning (YouTube Playlist):
➜ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R98EpiTtzI0&list=PLu59mM1CZTBs6BlQGueRfTv47cqB_4cm-
Watch Next:
Beginner Investing 101:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n9BVsvlGUC0&list=PLu59mM1CZTBsSpc9RolmuC9xUsKxFedhX
How Stock INVESTING works (not trading or speculating)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R98EpiTtzI0&list=PLu59mM1CZTBsSpc9RolmuC9xUsKxFedhX
Timing the Market | When to Invest and When to Wait (Big Surprise in Here)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BsJqV0MthUg&list=PLu59mM1CZTBsSpc9RolmuC9xUsKxFedhX
How to Become a Billionaire (or just get filthy rich)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gepm_ywcmKI&list=PLu59mM1CZTBsSpc9RolmuC9xUsKxFedhX
Exactly When to Sell a Stock
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hdcQu2qbF38&list=PLu59mM1CZTBsSpc9RolmuC9xUsKxFedhX
"Investing" in Non-productive assets (Pokemon Cards, Bitcoin, etc.)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nSTqxID7Hrk&list=PLu59mM1CZTBsSpc9RolmuC9xUsKxFedhX
Why Stocks Go Up and Down
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h93RCtKFk0I&list=PLu59mM1CZTBsSpc9RolmuC9xUsKxFedhX
Chapter 8 of "The Intelligent Investor” book
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YignWj5QDi8&list=PLu59mM1CZTBsSpc9RolmuC9xUsKxFedhX
Top 9 Value Investing Fundamentals You Need to Know
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qwPIqBPFf4M&list=PLu59mM1CZTBsSpc9RolmuC9xUsKxFedhX
PE Ratio Explained
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cM3tI773HbY&list=PLu59mM1CZTBsSpc9RolmuC9xUsKxFedhX
Value Investing History
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AMYL4t9O9Ds&list=PLu59mM1CZTBsSpc9RolmuC9xUsKxFedhX
How to Calculate Intrinsic Value (With Apple Stock Example)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UtnEHqvGeCE&list=PLu59mM1CZTBsSpc9RolmuC9xUsKxFedhX
Video resources:
Spreadsheet:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1ewfe6XVha6f-9-No9OZqo3u3ftzKttyhgoGzkSLqR_s/edit?usp=sharing
Resources:
SP&500 historical data:
http://www.econ.yale.edu/~shiller/data.htm
Market-timing newsletters study:
https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w4890/w4890.pdf
Market timing paper:
https://caia.org/sites/default/files/market_timing_open.pdf
Special thanks to my incredibly beautiful, smart, and creative girlfriend, Stephanie, for her editing wizardry and creative insights and ideas. Although you do not see her speaking to you in the videos, believe me, she has poured her heart and soul into making this video and the videos on this channel. It's been a 50/50 effort. I don't want to even imagine what these videos would look like without her hard work and creative insights. Thank you.
Disclaimer:
These youtube videos and content are for entertainment purposes only. If stocks or companies are mentioned, Richard may have an ownership interest in them -- DO NOT make buying or selling decisions based on Richard’s videos. All information contained herein should not be construed as anything other than an opinion for entertainment purposes only. Information being provided may be outdated or inaccurate; it is your responsibility to verify all information.
No financial advice is being given nor is any other advice of any kind. You should consult with a qualified professional where appropriate and before any action is taken on this video. No liability or damages shall take place because of this video and/or content.
There is no express or implied representations or warranty with respect to the accuracy or completeness of the content of the videos, including any content, description, links, or resources shared, including those by third parties. Furthermore, all parties specifically disclaim any and all express or implied warranties of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose. By watching this and all related videos, you agree to be bound by this disclaimer.
#StockInvesting #StockMarketForBeginners #ValueInvesting
Market timing
Market timing is the strategy of making buy or sell decisions of financial assets (often stocks) by attempting to predict future market price movements. The prediction may be based on an outlook of market or economic conditions resulting from technical or fundamental analysis. This is an investment strategy based on the outlook for an aggregate market, rather than for a particular financial asset.
Differing views on the viability of market timing
Whether market timing is ever a viable investment strategy is controversial. Some may consider market timing to be a form of gambling based on pure chance, because they do not believe in undervalued or overvalued markets. The efficient-market hypothesis claims that financial prices always exhibit random walk behavior and thus cannot be predicted with consistency.
Some consider market timing to be sensible in certain situations, such as an apparent bubble. However, because the economy is a complex system that contains many factors, even at times of significant market optimism or pessimism, it remains difficult, if not impossible, to predetermine the local maximum or minimum of future prices with any precision; a so-called bubble can last for many years before prices collapse. Likewise, a crash can persist for extended periods; stocks that appear to be "cheap" at a glance, can often become much cheaper afterwards, before then either rebounding at some time in the future or heading toward bankruptcy.
This page contains text from Wikipedia, the Free Encyclopedia - https://wn.com/Market_timing
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