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Wrapping up the Sunday slate of Week 4 of the NFL season, the Baltimore Ravens host the Buffalo Bills. The Ravens are 1-2 after a Week 3 win over the Dallas Cowboys on the road, while the Bills are 3-0 after a blowout win over the Jacksonville Jaguars.
Based on the moneylines, the Ravens have an implied probability of 57.45% to win this game, while the Bills are at 46.51%. Ravens running back Derrick Henry is the most likely player to score a touchdown at 63.64%.
Below, I’ll provide my best bet, score prediction, and preview our exclusive Caesars Sportsbook welcome bonus below.
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The best bet for this game is the Bills +2.5 at -110 odds available at Caesars.
Heading into this game, the Ravens allow the fewest rushing yards per game, just 50, but they allow the most passing yards per outing—291.7.
Here, they’re hosting the Bills, who are coming off back-to-back blowout wins over the Miami Dolphins and Jacksonville Jaguars. They beat the Jaguars 47-10 at home.
Bills quarterback Josh Allen had four passing touchdowns in that win.
The Ravens are favored here despite being outscored 39-17 in the fourth quarter. They allowed the Las Vegas Raiders to come back and beat them in Week 2, and while they beat the Cowboys, they outscored 19-0 in the fourth quarter against them and only beat them by a field goal.
The Bills are averaging 2.3 passing touchdowns per game, which is second-best in the league, and two rushing touchdowns, the most in the league.
I’m curious to see how the Ravens offensive line holds up here. They played well against the Cowboys, but they’ll take on a Bills defense with 64 pressures and 11 sacks to start the season.
I think the Bills come into M&T Bank Stadium and come away with the win. I don’t trust the Ravens to close games out, or this defense against the right arm of Allen won’t end well.
The total in this game is 46.5 points, but I think the final score favors the Bills 27-24. Allen should have a big day through the air and get rookie wide receiver Keon Coleman involved.
With player props, you can forget about the final outcome of the game and instead wager on individual player performances.
Of the touchdown props below, I’d take a chance on a James Cook Any Time TD. Cook has 41 carries to start the year for 188 yards and three touchdowns, eight catches on nine targets for 97 yards, and one receiving touchdown.
He should see plenty of action against the Ravens, even if it’s through the air. The Ravens are excellent against the run, but I still expect 15+ touches for Cook in this game, which could be higher scoring than the total of 46.5 indicates.
For more First Touchdown and Any Time Touchdown props, check out the odds below, courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook.
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