Arizona's 9th Congressional District

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Arizona's 9th Congressional District
Incumbent
Assumed office: January 3, 2023

Arizona's 9th Congressional District in the United States House of Representatives is represented by Paul Gosar (R).

As of the 2020 Census, Arizona representatives represented an average of 795,436 residents. After the 2010 Census, each member represented 712,522 residents.

Elections

2024

See also: Arizona's 9th Congressional District election, 2024

Arizona's 9th Congressional District election, 2024 (July 30 Republican primary)

Arizona's 9th Congressional District election, 2024 (July 30 Democratic primary)

General election

General election for U.S. House Arizona District 9

Incumbent Paul Gosar defeated Quacy Smith in the general election for U.S. House Arizona District 9 on November 5, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Paul Gosar
Paul Gosar (R)
 
64.2
 
130,612
Image of Quacy Smith
Quacy Smith (D) Candidate Connection
 
35.8
 
72,682

Total votes: 203,294
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 9

Quacy Smith advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 9 on July 30, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Quacy Smith
Quacy Smith Candidate Connection
 
100.0
 
33,784

Total votes: 33,784
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 9

Incumbent Paul Gosar advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 9 on July 30, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Paul Gosar
Paul Gosar
 
100.0
 
89,308

Total votes: 89,308
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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2022

See also: Arizona's 9th Congressional District election, 2022

General election

General election for U.S. House Arizona District 9

Incumbent Paul Gosar defeated Richard Grayson and Thomas Tzitzura in the general election for U.S. House Arizona District 9 on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Paul Gosar
Paul Gosar (R)
 
97.8
 
192,796
Image of Richard Grayson
Richard Grayson (D) (Write-in)
 
1.8
 
3,531
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Thomas Tzitzura (D) (Write-in)
 
0.4
 
858

Total votes: 197,185
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 9

No candidate advanced from the primary.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of David Lucier
David Lucier (Write-in) Candidate Connection
 
72.7
 
1,319
Image of Gene Scharer
Gene Scharer (Write-in)
 
27.3
 
496

Vote totals may be incomplete for this race.

Total votes: 1,815
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 9

Incumbent Paul Gosar defeated Randy Kutz, Adam Morgan, Sandra Dowling, and Jack Harper in the Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 9 on August 2, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Paul Gosar
Paul Gosar
 
65.9
 
67,340
Image of Randy Kutz
Randy Kutz Candidate Connection
 
13.1
 
13,387
Image of Adam Morgan
Adam Morgan Candidate Connection
 
12.2
 
12,508
Image of Sandra Dowling
Sandra Dowling
 
8.7
 
8,851
Image of Jack Harper
Jack Harper (Write-in)
 
0.1
 
76

Total votes: 102,162
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2020

See also: Arizona's 9th Congressional District election, 2020

General election

General election for U.S. House Arizona District 9

Incumbent Greg Stanton defeated Dave Giles in the general election for U.S. House Arizona District 9 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Greg Stanton
Greg Stanton (D)
 
61.6
 
217,094
Image of Dave Giles
Dave Giles (R) Candidate Connection
 
38.4
 
135,180

Total votes: 352,274
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 9

Incumbent Greg Stanton advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 9 on August 4, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Greg Stanton
Greg Stanton
 
100.0
 
83,508

Total votes: 83,508
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 9

Dave Giles defeated Sam Huang and Nicholas Tutora in the Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 9 on August 4, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Dave Giles
Dave Giles Candidate Connection
 
53.7
 
28,488
Image of Sam Huang
Sam Huang
 
23.6
 
12,532
Image of Nicholas Tutora
Nicholas Tutora
 
22.7
 
12,059

Total votes: 53,079
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2018

See also: Arizona's 9th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Arizona District 9

Greg Stanton defeated Steve Ferrara in the general election for U.S. House Arizona District 9 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Greg Stanton
Greg Stanton (D)
 
61.1
 
159,583
Image of Steve Ferrara
Steve Ferrara (R)
 
38.9
 
101,662

Total votes: 261,245
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 9

Greg Stanton advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 9 on August 28, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Greg Stanton
Greg Stanton
 
100.0
 
59,066

Total votes: 59,066
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 9

Steve Ferrara defeated Dave Giles and Irina Baroness Von Behr in the Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 9 on August 28, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Steve Ferrara
Steve Ferrara
 
59.9
 
31,006
Image of Dave Giles
Dave Giles Candidate Connection
 
32.3
 
16,722
Image of Irina Baroness Von Behr
Irina Baroness Von Behr
 
7.8
 
4,020

Total votes: 51,748
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Libertarian primary election

No Libertarian candidates ran in the primary.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2016

See also: Arizona's 9th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent Kyrsten Sinema (D) defeated Dave Giles (R) and Mike Shipley (L write-in) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Giles defeated John Agra in the Republican primary on August 30, 2016.[1][2][3]

U.S. House, Arizona District 9 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngKyrsten Sinema Incumbent 60.9% 169,055
     Republican Dave Giles 39% 108,350
     N/A Write-in 0% 102
Total Votes 277,507
Source: Arizona Secretary of State


U.S. House, Arizona District 9 Republican Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngDave Giles 60.7% 25,963
John Agra 39.3% 16,817
Total Votes 42,780
Source: Arizona Secretary of State

2014

BattlegroundRace.jpg
See also: Arizona's 9th Congressional District elections, 2014
U.S. House, Arizona District 9 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngKyrsten Sinema Incumbent 54.7% 88,609
     Republican Wendy Rogers 41.9% 67,841
     Libertarian Powell Gammill 3.5% 5,612
Total Votes 162,062
Source: Arizona Secretary of State

2012

See also: Arizona's 9th Congressional District elections, 2012

The 9th Congressional District of Arizona held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012. The race was considered too close to call until November 12th, when Democrat Kyrsten Sinema was declared the winner, having narrowly defeated Republican opponent Vernon Parker (R) for the newly created 9th District seat.[4]

U.S. House, Arizona District 9 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngKyrsten Sinema 48.7% 121,881
     Republican Vernon B. Parker 44.6% 111,630
     Libertarian Powell Gammill 6.6% 16,630
Total Votes 250,141
Source: Arizona Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"


District map

Redistricting

2020-2021

See also: Redistricting in Arizona after the 2020 census

On January 24, 2022, Arizona enacted its new congressional map after the Arizona Independent Redistricting Commission transmitted its finalized congressional map plan to the secretary of state.[5] The commission initially voted to finalize and certify the congressional map plan on Jan. 18.[6] The commission's nonpartisan chairwoman, Erika Neuberg, joined the two Republican members—David Mehl and Douglas York—voting in favor of the map. The commission's two Democratic members—Shereen Lerner and Derrick Watchman—were opposed. This map took effect for Arizona's 2022 congressional elections.[6]

The commission previously voted in favor of the congressional map by a 5-0 vote on Dec. 22, 2021, which was followed by a period for counties to request administrative changes before the final vote on Jan. 18.[7]

How does redistricting in Arizona work? The Arizona Independent Redistricting Commission is responsible for drawing both congressional and state legislative district lines. The commission is composed of five members. Of these, four are selected by the majority and minority leaders of each chamber of the state legislature from a list of 25 candidates nominated by the state commission on appellate court appointments. These 25 nominees comprise 10 Democrats, 10 Republicans, and 5 unaffiliated citizens. The four commission members appointed by legislative leaders then select the fifth member to round out the commission. The fifth member of the commission must belong to a different political party than the other commissioners. The governor, with a two-thirds vote in the Arizona State Senate, may remove a commissioner "for substantial neglect of duty, gross misconduct in office, or inability to discharge the duties of office." The Arizona State Legislature may make recommendations to the commission, but ultimate authority is vested with the commission.[8][9][10]

The Arizona Constitution requires that both congressional and state legislative districts be "contiguous, geographically compact, and respect communities of interest–all to the extent practicable." The state constitution further mandates that district lines "should [follow] visible geographic features, city, town, and county boundaries, and undivided census tracts." In addition, the constitution requires that "competitive districts be favored where doing so would not significantly detract from the goals above."[10]

Arizona District 9
until January 2, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.

Arizona District 9
starting January 3, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.


2010-2011

See also: Redistricting in Arizona after the 2010 census

In 2011, the Arizona State Legislature re-drew the congressional districts based on updated population information from the 2010 census. As a result of population shifts, Arizona gained a new 9th District.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

2024

Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+16. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 16 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Arizona's 9th the 77th most Republican district nationally.[11]

Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Donald Trump (R) would have defeated Joe Biden (D) 62.2%-36.4%.[12]

2022

Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+16. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 16 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Arizona's 9th the 80th most Republican district nationally.[13]

Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have received 36.4% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 62.2%.[14]

2018

Heading into the 2018 elections, based on results from the 2016 and 2012 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+4. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 4 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Arizona's 9th Congressional District the 177th most Democratic nationally.[15]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.95. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.95 points toward that party.[16]

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. Arizona Secretary of State, "2016 Primary Candidates," accessed June 2, 2016
  2. Politico, " Arizona House Primaries Results," August 30, 2016
  3. CNN, "Election Results," accessed November 8, 2016
  4. National Journal, "Kyrsten Sinema Winner in Arizona's 9th District," November 12, 2012
  5. Phone conversation with Valerie Neumann, AIRC executive assistant, Jan. 25, 2022]
  6. 6.0 6.1 YouTube, "Arizona Independent Redistricting Commission Meeting Jan. 18, 2022," Jan. 18, 2022
  7. KTAR, "Arizona redistricting panel approves Republican-leaning congressional map," Dec. 13, 2021
  8. Supreme Court of the United States, "Arizona State Legislature v. Arizona Independent Redistricting Commission, et al. - Appellant's Jurisdictional Statement," accessed March 6, 2015
  9. Arizona Independent Redistricting Commission, "Home page," accessed March 6, 2015
  10. 10.0 10.1 All About Redistricting, "Arizona," accessed April 17, 2015
  11. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
  12. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  13. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
  14. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  15. Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  16. FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018


Senators
Representatives
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Eli Crane (R)
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
District 8
District 9
Republican Party (6)
Democratic Party (4)
Independent (1)