Arizona's 9th Congressional District
Arizona's 9th Congressional District in the United States House of Representatives is represented by Paul Gosar (R).
As of the 2020 Census, Arizona representatives represented an average of 795,436 residents. After the 2010 Census, each member represented 712,522 residents.
Elections
2024
See also: Arizona's 9th Congressional District election, 2024
Arizona's 9th Congressional District election, 2024 (July 30 Republican primary)
Arizona's 9th Congressional District election, 2024 (July 30 Democratic primary)
General election
General election for U.S. House Arizona District 9
Incumbent Paul Gosar defeated Quacy Smith in the general election for U.S. House Arizona District 9 on November 5, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Paul Gosar (R) | 64.2 | 130,612 | |
Quacy Smith (D) | 35.8 | 72,682 |
Total votes: 203,294 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 9
Quacy Smith advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 9 on July 30, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Quacy Smith | 100.0 | 33,784 |
Total votes: 33,784 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- David Lucier (D)
- Brandon Donnelly (D)
- Nicholas Blair (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 9
Incumbent Paul Gosar advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 9 on July 30, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Paul Gosar | 100.0 | 89,308 |
Total votes: 89,308 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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2022
General election
General election for U.S. House Arizona District 9
Incumbent Paul Gosar defeated Richard Grayson and Thomas Tzitzura in the general election for U.S. House Arizona District 9 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Paul Gosar (R) | 97.8 | 192,796 | |
Richard Grayson (D) (Write-in) | 1.8 | 3,531 | ||
Thomas Tzitzura (D) (Write-in) | 0.4 | 858 |
Total votes: 197,185 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Gareth Gilsdorf (Independent)
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 9
No candidate advanced from the primary.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
David Lucier (Write-in) | 72.7 | 1,319 | ||
Gene Scharer (Write-in) | 27.3 | 496 |
Vote totals may be incomplete for this race. | ||||
Total votes: 1,815 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 9
Incumbent Paul Gosar defeated Randy Kutz, Adam Morgan, Sandra Dowling, and Jack Harper in the Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 9 on August 2, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Paul Gosar | 65.9 | 67,340 | |
Randy Kutz | 13.1 | 13,387 | ||
Adam Morgan | 12.2 | 12,508 | ||
Sandra Dowling | 8.7 | 8,851 | ||
Jack Harper (Write-in) | 0.1 | 76 |
Total votes: 102,162 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Saul Rodriguez (R)
- Orlando Johnson (R)
- Jana Jackson (R)
2020
General election
General election for U.S. House Arizona District 9
Incumbent Greg Stanton defeated Dave Giles in the general election for U.S. House Arizona District 9 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Greg Stanton (D) | 61.6 | 217,094 | |
Dave Giles (R) | 38.4 | 135,180 |
Total votes: 352,274 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Irina Baroness Von Behr (Independent)
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 9
Incumbent Greg Stanton advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 9 on August 4, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Greg Stanton | 100.0 | 83,508 |
Total votes: 83,508 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 9
Dave Giles defeated Sam Huang and Nicholas Tutora in the Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 9 on August 4, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Dave Giles | 53.7 | 28,488 | |
Sam Huang | 23.6 | 12,532 | ||
Nicholas Tutora | 22.7 | 12,059 |
Total votes: 53,079 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Michelle DePalma (R)
- Zack Kreisheimer (R)
- Jason Walker (R)
- Tim Taylor (R)
2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Arizona District 9
Greg Stanton defeated Steve Ferrara in the general election for U.S. House Arizona District 9 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Greg Stanton (D) | 61.1 | 159,583 | |
Steve Ferrara (R) | 38.9 | 101,662 |
Total votes: 261,245 (100.00% precincts reporting) | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Kiko Rex (Independent)
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 9
Greg Stanton advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 9 on August 28, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Greg Stanton | 100.0 | 59,066 |
Total votes: 59,066 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Talia Fuentes-Wolfe (D)
- Hector Araujo (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 9
Steve Ferrara defeated Dave Giles and Irina Baroness Von Behr in the Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 9 on August 28, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Steve Ferrara | 59.9 | 31,006 | |
Dave Giles | 32.3 | 16,722 | ||
Irina Baroness Von Behr | 7.8 | 4,020 |
Total votes: 51,748 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Seth Leibsohn (R)
- John Heffernan III (R)
Libertarian primary election
No Libertarian candidates ran in the primary.
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Zhani Doko (L)
- Stephen Kessen (L)
2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent Kyrsten Sinema (D) defeated Dave Giles (R) and Mike Shipley (L write-in) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Giles defeated John Agra in the Republican primary on August 30, 2016.[1][2][3]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Kyrsten Sinema Incumbent | 60.9% | 169,055 | |
Republican | Dave Giles | 39% | 108,350 | |
N/A | Write-in | 0% | 102 | |
Total Votes | 277,507 | |||
Source: Arizona Secretary of State |
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Dave Giles | 60.7% | 25,963 | ||
John Agra | 39.3% | 16,817 | ||
Total Votes | 42,780 | |||
Source: Arizona Secretary of State |
2014
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Kyrsten Sinema Incumbent | 54.7% | 88,609 | |
Republican | Wendy Rogers | 41.9% | 67,841 | |
Libertarian | Powell Gammill | 3.5% | 5,612 | |
Total Votes | 162,062 | |||
Source: Arizona Secretary of State |
2012
The 9th Congressional District of Arizona held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012. The race was considered too close to call until November 12th, when Democrat Kyrsten Sinema was declared the winner, having narrowly defeated Republican opponent Vernon Parker (R) for the newly created 9th District seat.[4]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Kyrsten Sinema | 48.7% | 121,881 | |
Republican | Vernon B. Parker | 44.6% | 111,630 | |
Libertarian | Powell Gammill | 6.6% | 16,630 | |
Total Votes | 250,141 | |||
Source: Arizona Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election" |
District map
Redistricting
2020-2021
On January 24, 2022, Arizona enacted its new congressional map after the Arizona Independent Redistricting Commission transmitted its finalized congressional map plan to the secretary of state.[5] The commission initially voted to finalize and certify the congressional map plan on Jan. 18.[6] The commission's nonpartisan chairwoman, Erika Neuberg, joined the two Republican members—David Mehl and Douglas York—voting in favor of the map. The commission's two Democratic members—Shereen Lerner and Derrick Watchman—were opposed. This map took effect for Arizona's 2022 congressional elections.[6]
The commission previously voted in favor of the congressional map by a 5-0 vote on Dec. 22, 2021, which was followed by a period for counties to request administrative changes before the final vote on Jan. 18.[7]
How does redistricting in Arizona work? The Arizona Independent Redistricting Commission is responsible for drawing both congressional and state legislative district lines. The commission is composed of five members. Of these, four are selected by the majority and minority leaders of each chamber of the state legislature from a list of 25 candidates nominated by the state commission on appellate court appointments. These 25 nominees comprise 10 Democrats, 10 Republicans, and 5 unaffiliated citizens. The four commission members appointed by legislative leaders then select the fifth member to round out the commission. The fifth member of the commission must belong to a different political party than the other commissioners. The governor, with a two-thirds vote in the Arizona State Senate, may remove a commissioner "for substantial neglect of duty, gross misconduct in office, or inability to discharge the duties of office." The Arizona State Legislature may make recommendations to the commission, but ultimate authority is vested with the commission.[8][9][10]
The Arizona Constitution requires that both congressional and state legislative districts be "contiguous, geographically compact, and respect communities of interest–all to the extent practicable." The state constitution further mandates that district lines "should [follow] visible geographic features, city, town, and county boundaries, and undivided census tracts." In addition, the constitution requires that "competitive districts be favored where doing so would not significantly detract from the goals above."[10]
Arizona District 9
until January 2, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Arizona District 9
starting January 3, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
2010-2011
In 2011, the Arizona State Legislature re-drew the congressional districts based on updated population information from the 2010 census. As a result of population shifts, Arizona gained a new 9th District.
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
2024
Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+16. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 16 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Arizona's 9th the 77th most Republican district nationally.[11]
Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Donald Trump (R) would have defeated Joe Biden (D) 62.2%-36.4%.[12]
2022
Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+16. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 16 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Arizona's 9th the 80th most Republican district nationally.[13]
Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have received 36.4% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 62.2%.[14]
2018
Heading into the 2018 elections, based on results from the 2016 and 2012 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+4. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 4 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Arizona's 9th Congressional District the 177th most Democratic nationally.[15]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.95. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.95 points toward that party.[16]
See also
- Redistricting in Arizona
- Arizona's 9th Congressional District election, 2024
- Arizona's 9th Congressional District election, 2022
- Arizona's 9th Congressional District election, 2020
- Arizona's 9th Congressional District election, 2018
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Arizona Secretary of State, "2016 Primary Candidates," accessed June 2, 2016
- ↑ Politico, " Arizona House Primaries Results," August 30, 2016
- ↑ CNN, "Election Results," accessed November 8, 2016
- ↑ National Journal, "Kyrsten Sinema Winner in Arizona's 9th District," November 12, 2012
- ↑ Phone conversation with Valerie Neumann, AIRC executive assistant, Jan. 25, 2022]
- ↑ 6.0 6.1 YouTube, "Arizona Independent Redistricting Commission Meeting Jan. 18, 2022," Jan. 18, 2022
- ↑ KTAR, "Arizona redistricting panel approves Republican-leaning congressional map," Dec. 13, 2021
- ↑ Supreme Court of the United States, "Arizona State Legislature v. Arizona Independent Redistricting Commission, et al. - Appellant's Jurisdictional Statement," accessed March 6, 2015
- ↑ Arizona Independent Redistricting Commission, "Home page," accessed March 6, 2015
- ↑ 10.0 10.1 All About Redistricting, "Arizona," accessed April 17, 2015
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018