Cardinals Analysis
An Early Look at 2025 Payroll
Payroll. Now with fewer spreadsheets!
The Cardinals Should Embrace a Rebuild
Change is coming to the Cardinals. They might as well start it now.
Three First Basemen
A stream-of-consciousness look at Walker, Burleson, and Gorman.
How Good is Masyn Winn (a fWAR vs. bWAR dialogue)
Using Masyn Winn to discuss the differences in bWAR and fWAR and what they mean for player analysis.
Cardinals’ Attendance is Down (and What That Means For Payroll)
Lower attendance means lower payroll.
Wednesday SOC: Too Much to Overcome?
Reality is starting to settle in.
A Look Forward at the 2025 Rotation
While the Cards focus on winning now, we can still glance ahead to next season.
What Do the Cardinals Need? (A Season in Three Parts: Part 2)
We return to our ongoing series to talk trade deadline and roster deployment in the second half.
A Season in Three Parts: What Do the Cardinals Have? (Part 1)
Let’s evaluate the roster to prepare it for the season’s second part.
The Cardinals’ Offense is Improving but Still Lags in Critical Spots
Most of the lineup has reached projected norms. It won’t matter until the team’s stars get things going again.
Burly isn’t so Burly (But He is a Good Hitter)
Burleson is starting to put it all together, even if his batting profile doesn’t quite match his nickname.
Swing Data is Now Available! What Does It Say About the Cardinals?
Baseball Savant now measures swing speed and squared up contact, among other stats!
Quick ‘n Dirty Analysis: Catching Up on the Rotation
How is the rotation doing? Pretty much exactly as expected.
Kyle Gibson is the Key to Making the Rotation Work
Venn diagrams, expectations, and variance.
Quick ‘N Dirty Analysis: Miles Mikolas
Let’s look at Miles Mikolas’ 2023, his outlook for 2024, and learn some things about baseball statistics along the way.
Re-evaluating the Cardinals’ Offseason (In Light of Their Self-Imposed Budget Constraints)
The Cardinals have hit their budget cap. I was way off. What went wrong?
ZiPS Projections: The Cardinals are the Cardinals Again
It’s ZiPS time again! Let’s break down the projections.
Saturday SOC: Should the Cardinals Extend Paul Goldschmidt?
Reports indicate the Cardinals are looking to extend Goldschmidt. Should they?
Winter Meeting Notes: Draft Lottery Results & A Financial Freakout
The Cardinals will pick 7th in the 2024 MLB draft. You can blame Jason Motte.
What is the Most Important Thing for the Cardinals in 2024?
The focus has been on the rotation but this club’s competitive potential rests elsewhere in 2024.
The Master Plan (Part 3): Simulating the Offseason & Final Evaluation
J. P. pretends he is John Mozeliak to figure out how to return this club to championship contention in this 3-part series.
The Master Plan (Part 2): Free Agent & Trade Targets & Tiers for the Rotation & Bullpen
J. P. pretends he is John Mozeliak to figure out how to return this club to championship contention in this 3-part series.
The Master Plan (Part 1): Settling the 40-Man Roster, Depth Chart, and Budget
J. P. pretends he is John Mozeliak to figure out how to return this club to championship contention in this 3-part series.
2024 Cardinals Projected Payroll & Budget – v1.0
A first look at the Cardinal’s projected payroll and budget for the 2024 season.
Saturday SOC: No More Half Measures
The Cardinals have a 20-win gap to return to contention. I offer a stream-of-consciousness look at the extreme commitment it will take to close that gap.
Losing with Players You Love vs. Winning Without Them
Let’s return to a hypothetical question that involves winning, losing, and our favorite players.
Wainwright and the Hall of Fame: What If?
What if we played what if with Wainwright’s career?
Wednesday SOC: The Cardinals Lulled Us into Bad Analysis
The Cardinals’ history of making things go right led me to believe that nothing could go wrong.
Career Years and Andrew Knizner
Is anyone on the Cardinals having a career year? Yes. But not in the way they need.
Walker & Burleson Are Improving. Can They Be Plus Contributors in 2024?
A long answer to a question I’ve kind of obsessed over the last week.
Evaluating a Wild Trade Deadline By Outcome Tiers
The trade deadline has come and gone. With the dust settling, how did the club do?