Nixon shock

The Nixon shock was the effect of a series of economic measures, including wage and price freezes, surcharges on imports, and the unilateral cancellation of the direct international convertibility of the United States dollar to gold, taken by United States President Richard Nixon on 15th August 1971 in response to increasing inflation.^[1]^[2]

Although Nixon's actions did not formally abolish the existing Bretton Woods system of international financial exchange, the suspension of one of its key components effectively rendered the Bretton Woods system inoperative.^[3] While Nixon publicly stated his intention to resume direct convertibility of the dollar after reforms to the Bretton Woods system had been implemented, all attempts at reform proved unsuccessful. By 1973, the current regime based on freely floating fiat currencies de facto replaced the Bretton Woods system for other global currencies.^[4]

Background

Bretton Woods system

In 1944, representatives from 44 nations met in Bretton Woods, New Hampshire, to develop a new international monetary system that came to be known as the Bretton Woods system. Conference attendees had hoped that this new system would "ensure exchange rate stability, prevent competitive devaluations, and promote economic growth".^[5] It was not until 1958 that the Bretton Woods system became fully operational. Countries now settled their international accounts in dollars that could be converted to gold at a fixed exchange rate of $35 per ounce, which was redeemable by the U.S. government. Thus, the United States was committed to backing every dollar overseas with gold, and other currencies were pegged to the dollar.

For the first years after World War II, the Bretton Woods system worked well. With the Marshall Plan, Japan and Europe were rebuilding from the war, and countries outside the US wanted dollars to spend on American goods—cars, steel, machinery, etc. Because the U.S. owned over half the world's official gold reserves—574 million ounces at the end of World War II—the system appeared secure.^[6]

However, from 1950 to 1969, as Germany and Japan recovered, the US share of the world's economic output dropped significantly, from 35% to 27%. Furthermore, a negative balance of payments, growing public debt incurred by the Vietnam War, and monetary inflation by the Federal Reserve caused the dollar to become increasingly overvalued in the 1960s.^[6]

Criticism and decline

In France, the Bretton Woods system was called "America's exorbitant privilege"^[7] as it resulted in an "asymmetric financial system" where non-US citizens "see themselves supporting American living standards and subsidizing American multinationals". American economist Barry Eichengreen wrote that "It costs only a few cents for the Bureau of Engraving and Printing to produce a $100 bill, but other countries had to pony up $100 of actual goods in order to obtain one".^[7] In February 1965, French President Charles de Gaulle announced his intention to exchange its U.S. dollar reserves for gold at the official exchange rate.^[8]

By 1966, non-US central banks held $14 billion US dollars, while the United States had only $13.2 billion in gold reserve. Of those reserves, only $3.2 billion was able to cover foreign holdings as the rest was covering domestic holdings.^[9]

By 1971, the money supply had increased by 10%.^[10] In May 1971, West Germany left the Bretton Woods system, unwilling to sell further Deutsche Mark for dollars.^[11] In the following three months, this move strengthened its economy. Simultaneously, the dollar dropped 7.5% against the Deutsche Mark.^[11] Other nations began to demand redemption of their dollars for gold. Switzerland redeemed $50 million in July.^[11] France acquired $191 million in gold.^[11] On August 5, 1971, the United States Congress released a report recommending devaluation of the dollar, in an effort to protect the dollar against "foreign price-gougers".^[11] Also in August French President Georges Pompidou sent a battleship to New York City to remove France's gold deposits.^[12] On August 9, 1971, as the dollar dropped in value against European currencies, Switzerland left the Bretton Woods system.^[11] The pressure began to intensify on the United States to leave Bretton Woods. On 11 August Britain requested $3 billion in gold be moved from Fort Knox to the Federal Reserve in New York.^[12] By 15 August Nixon would declare there were only 10,000 metric tons of gold remaining, or less than half of the reserves the US once held.^[12]

Nixon response

At the time, the U.S. also had an unemployment rate of 6.1% (August 1971)^[13]^{[notes 1]} and an inflation rate of 5.84% (1971).^[14] To combat these problems, Nixon consulted Federal Reserve chairman Arthur Burns, incoming Treasury Secretary John Connally, and Paul Volcker, then Undersecretary for International Monetary Affairs and future Federal Reserve Chairman.

On the afternoon of Friday, August 13, 1971, Burns, Connally, and Volcker, along with twelve other high-ranking White House and Treasury advisors, met secretly with Nixon at Camp David. There was great debate about what Nixon should do, but ultimately Nixon, relying heavily on the advice of the self-confident Connally, decided to break up Bretton Woods by announcing the following actions on August 15:^[15]^[16]^[17]

Nixon directed Treasury Secretary Connally to suspend, with certain exceptions, the convertibility of the dollar into gold or other reserve assets, ordering the gold window to be closed such that foreign governments could no longer exchange their dollars for gold.
Nixon issued Executive Order 11615 (pursuant to the Economic Stabilization Act of 1970), imposing a 90-day freeze on wages and prices in order to counter inflation. This was the first time the U.S. government had enacted wage and price controls since the Korean War.
An import surcharge of 10 percent was set to ensure that American products would not be at a disadvantage because of the expected fluctuation in exchange rates.

Speaking on television on Sunday, August 15, when American financial markets were closed, Nixon said the following:

The third indispensable element in building the new prosperity is closely related to creating new jobs and halting inflation. We must protect the position of the American dollar as a pillar of monetary stability around the world. In the past 7 years, there has been an average of one international monetary crisis every year… I have directed Secretary Connally to suspend temporarily the convertibility of the dollar into gold or other reserve assets, except in amounts and conditions determined to be in the interest of monetary stability and in the best interests of the United States. Now, what is this action—which is very technical—what does it mean for you? Let me lay to rest the bugaboo of what is called devaluation. If you want to buy a foreign car or take a trip abroad, market conditions may cause your dollar to buy slightly less. But if you are among the overwhelming majority of Americans who buy American-made products in America, your dollar will be worth just as much tomorrow as it is today. The effect of this action, in other words, will be to stabilize the dollar.^[18]

Impact and aftermath

The Nixon shock has been widely considered to be a political success, but an economic failure for bringing on the 1973–1975 recession, the stagflation of the 1970s, and the instability of floating currencies.^{[citation needed]}

Political effect

Politically, Nixon's actions were a great success. The American public believed the government was rescuing them from price gougers and from a foreign-caused exchange crisis.^[19]^[20] The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 33 points the next day, its biggest daily gain ever at that point, and the New York Times editorial read, "We unhesitatingly applaud the boldness with which the President has moved."^[6]^[21]

Economic effect and legacy

By December 1971, the import surcharge was dropped as part of a general revaluation of the Group of Ten (G-10) currencies, which under the Smithsonian Agreement were thereafter allowed 2.25% devaluations from the agreed exchange rate. According to Douglas Irwin in World Trade Review's report "The Nixon Shock After Forty Years: The Import Surcharge Revisited", for several months, U.S officials could not get other countries to agree to a formal revaluation of their currencies.^{[citation needed]}

In March 1973, the fixed exchange rate system became a floating exchange rate system.^[22] The currency exchange rates no longer were governments' principal means of administering monetary policy.

Under the floating rate system, during the 1970s, the dollar plunged by a third. Further, the Nixon shock unleashed enormous speculation against the dollar. The German Mark appreciated significantly after it was allowed to float in May 1971. It forced Japan's central bank to intervene significantly in the foreign exchange market to prevent the yen from increasing in value. Within two days August 16–17, 1971, Japan's central bank had to buy $1.3 billion to support the dollar and keep the yen at the old rate of ¥360 to the dollar. Japan's foreign exchange reserves rapidly increased: $2.7 billion (30%) a week later and $4 billion the following week. Still, this large-scale intervention by Japan's central bank could not prevent the depreciation of US dollar against the yen. France also was willing to allow the dollar to depreciate against the franc, but not allow the franc to appreciate against gold.^[23]

Even much later, in 2011, Paul Volcker expressed regret over the abandonment of Bretton Woods: "Nobody's in charge," Volcker said. "The Europeans couldn't live with the uncertainty and made their own currency and now that's in trouble."^[6]

Notes

^ To compare over the period from 1950–2013 from the same Bureau of Statistics Unemployment rate data, in the United States unemployment rates rose to highs of 10.8% in November 1982 and 10% in October 2009; and dropped to lows of 2.5% in May, 1953; 3.9% in September, 2000; 4.4% in May, 2007; 5% in March 1989; 7.7% in July 1992; 7.9% in October, 1949; 7.4% in August 1958.

References

^ Garten, Jeffrey E. (2021). Three Days at Camp David: How a Secret Meeting in 1971 Transformed the Global Economy. HarperCollins. ISBN 978-0-06-288770-2.
^ Lewis, Paul (August 15, 1976). "Nixon's Economic Policies Return to Haunt the G. O. P." The New York Times. Retrieved March 25, 2019.
^ Oatley, Thomas (2019). International Political Economy (6th ed.). Routledge. pp. 351–52. ISBN 978-1-351-03464-7.
^ Lowenstein, Roger (August 5, 2011). "The Nixon Shock". Bloomberg. Retrieved March 25, 2019.
^ Ghizoni, Sandra. "Establishment of the Bretton Woods System". US Federal Reserve. Retrieved April 12, 2023.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d Lowenstein, Roger (August 4, 2011). "The Nixon Shock". Bloomberg BusinessWeek Magazine. Archived from the original on September 11, 2011. Retrieved March 26, 2013.
^ ^a ^b Barry Eichengreen, Exorbitant Privilege: The Rise and Fall of the Dollar and the Future of the International monetary system[1]
^ Margaret Garritsen de Vries, The International Monetary Fund, 1966–1971 [2]
^ "Money Matters: An IMF Exhibit – The Importance of Global Cooperation – The Incredible Shrinking Gold Supply". International Monetary Fund. Retrieved March 18, 2014.
^ "M2 Money Stock | FRED | St. Louis Fed". Research.stlouisfed.org. January 1959. Retrieved March 18, 2017.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f Frum, David (2000). How We Got Here: The '70s. New York, New York: Basic Books. pp. 295–98. ISBN 0-465-04195-7.
^ ^a ^b ^c Graetz, Michael J.; Briffault, Olivia (2019). "Chapter 6: A "Barbarous Relic" : The French, Gold, and the Demise of Bretton Woods". In Lamoreaux, Naomi R.; Shapiro, Ian (eds.). The Bretton Woods Agreements. Basic Documents in World Politics. Yale University Press. p. 130-132. ISBN 978-0-300-23679-8. Retrieved June 23, 2024.
^ "Unemployment in the U.S." Google Public Data Explorer. Retrieved March 18, 2017.
^ McMahon, Tim (April 3, 2013). "Historical Inflation Rate". p. 3.
^ Lehrman, Lewis (August 15, 2011). "The Nixon Shock Heard 'Round the World". Wall Street Journal. Retrieved March 26, 2013.
^ Kollen Ghizoni, Sandra. "Nixon Ends Convertibility of U.S. Dollars to Gold and Announces Wage/Price Controls". Federal Reserve History. Retrieved December 2, 2021.
^ Richard Nixon, "Address to the Nation Outlining a New Economic Policy: 'The Challenge of Peace.'" (August 15, 1971)
^ Nixon, Richard. "Address to the Nation Outlining a New Economic Policy: "The Challenge of Peace"". The American Presidency Project. Retrieved December 2, 2021.
^ Hetzel, Robert L. (2008), p. 84
^ Yergin, Daniel; Stanislaw, Joseph (2002). The Commanding Heights: The Battle between Government and the Marketplace that Is Remaking the Modern World. New York: Simon & Schuster. ISBN 0-68482975-4. cited in Yergin, Daniel; Stanislaw, Joseph (2003). "Nixon, Price Controls, and the Gold Standard". Commanding Heights. PBS. Retrieved November 23, 2012.
^ Nicky Marsh, Credit Culture: The Politics of Money in the American Novel of the 1970s (2000) pp. 52–53.
^ Garber, Peter M. The Collapse of the Bretton Woods Fixed Exchange Rate System (PDF). in Bordo & Eichengreen 1993, pp. 461–94
^ Irwin, Douglas (January 2012). The Nixon Shock after Forty Years: The Import Surcharge Revisited (PDF) (Report). Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research. doi:10.3386/w17749.

External links

Stemming Inflation: the Office of Emergency Preparedness and the 90-day freeze: A comprehensive history of the management of the 90-day wage-price freeze, undertaken by the Office of Emergency Preparedness and the newly established Cost of Living Council.
The Economy at Mid-1972: A testimony of the Council of Economic Advisers before the Joint Economic Committee on economic developments since President Nixon's New Economic Policy was adopted on August 15, 1971
Peter Gowan interview on the political and economic effects of ending the Bretton Woods system (at Internet Archive)

[14] To compare over the period from 1950–2013 from the same Bureau of Statistics Unemployment rate data, in the United States unemployment rates rose to highs of 10.8% in November 1982 and 10% in October 2009; and dropped to lows of 2.5% in May, 1953; 3.9% in September, 2000; 4.4% in May, 2007; 5% in March 1989; 7.7% in July 1992; 7.9% in October, 1949; 7.4% in August 1958.

[1] Garten, Jeffrey E. (2021). Three Days at Camp David: How a Secret Meeting in 1971 Transformed the Global Economy. HarperCollins. ISBN 978-0-06-288770-2.

[2] Lewis, Paul (August 15, 1976). "Nixon's Economic Policies Return to Haunt the G. O. P." The New York Times. Retrieved March 25, 2019.

[:1-3] Oatley, Thomas (2019). International Political Economy (6th ed.). Routledge. pp. 351–52. ISBN 978-1-351-03464-7.

[4] Lowenstein, Roger (August 5, 2011). "The Nixon Shock". Bloomberg. Retrieved March 25, 2019.

[5] Ghizoni, Sandra. "Establishment of the Bretton Woods System". US Federal Reserve. Retrieved April 12, 2023.

[Lowenstein-6] Lowenstein, Roger (August 4, 2011). "The Nixon Shock". Bloomberg BusinessWeek Magazine. Archived from the original on September 11, 2011. Retrieved March 26, 2013.

[books.google.com-7] Barry Eichengreen, Exorbitant Privilege: The Rise and Fall of the Dollar and the Future of the International monetary system[1]

[8] Margaret Garritsen de Vries, The International Monetary Fund, 1966–1971 [2]

[9] "Money Matters: An IMF Exhibit – The Importance of Global Cooperation – The Incredible Shrinking Gold Supply". International Monetary Fund. Retrieved March 18, 2014.

[10] "M2 Money Stock | FRED | St. Louis Fed". Research.stlouisfed.org. January 1959. Retrieved March 18, 2017.

['70s_295-11] ^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f Frum, David (2000). How We Got Here: The '70s. New York, New York: Basic Books. pp. 295–98. ISBN 0-465-04195-7.

[h560-12] Graetz, Michael J.; Briffault, Olivia (2019). "Chapter 6: A "Barbarous Relic" : The French, Gold, and the Demise of Bretton Woods". In Lamoreaux, Naomi R.; Shapiro, Ian (eds.). The Bretton Woods Agreements. Basic Documents in World Politics. Yale University Press. p. 130-132. ISBN 978-0-300-23679-8. Retrieved June 23, 2024.

[usunemploy-13] "Unemployment in the U.S." Google Public Data Explorer. Retrieved March 18, 2017.

[inflationdata_1950_2013-15] McMahon, Tim (April 3, 2013). "Historical Inflation Rate". p. 3.

[The_Nixon_Shock_Heard_'Round_the_World-16] Lehrman, Lewis (August 15, 2011). "The Nixon Shock Heard 'Round the World". Wall Street Journal. Retrieved March 26, 2013.

[17] Kollen Ghizoni, Sandra. "Nixon Ends Convertibility of U.S. Dollars to Gold and Announces Wage/Price Controls". Federal Reserve History. Retrieved December 2, 2021.

[18] Richard Nixon, "Address to the Nation Outlining a New Economic Policy: 'The Challenge of Peace.'" (August 15, 1971)

[19] Nixon, Richard. "Address to the Nation Outlining a New Economic Policy: "The Challenge of Peace"". The American Presidency Project. Retrieved December 2, 2021.

[20] Hetzel, Robert L. (2008), p. 84

[yergin&stanislaw-21] Yergin, Daniel; Stanislaw, Joseph (2002). The Commanding Heights: The Battle between Government and the Marketplace that Is Remaking the Modern World. New York: Simon & Schuster. ISBN 0-68482975-4. cited in Yergin, Daniel; Stanislaw, Joseph (2003). "Nixon, Price Controls, and the Gold Standard". Commanding Heights. PBS. Retrieved November 23, 2012.

[22] Nicky Marsh, Credit Culture: The Politics of Money in the American Novel of the 1970s (2000) pp. 52–53.

[garber-23] Garber, Peter M. The Collapse of the Bretton Woods Fixed Exchange Rate System (PDF). in Bordo & Eichengreen 1993, pp. 461–94

[24] Irwin, Douglas (January 2012). The Nixon Shock after Forty Years: The Import Surcharge Revisited (PDF) (Report). Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research. doi:10.3386/w17749.

[1]

[2]

[3]

[4]

[5]

[6]

[7]

[8]

[9]

[10]

[11]

[12]

[13]

[notes 1]

[14]

[15]

[16]

[17]

[18]

[19]

[20]

[21]

[22]

[23]

v t e Richard Nixon
37th President of the United States (1969–1974) 36th Vice President of the United States (1953–1961) U.S. Senator from California (1950–1953) U.S. Representative for CA–12 (1947–1950)
Presidency	Transition First inauguration Second inauguration Nixon Doctrine "Bring Us Together" Economic policies Nixon shock Tar Baby Option Environmental Protection Agency creation National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Space exploration 1971 National Cancer Act Vietnam War Cambodian bombing Paris Peace Accords "Peace with Honor" Vietnamization Silent majority Cold War period Linkage policy Drug Abuse Prevention and Control Act 1970 Lincoln Memorial visit 1972 visit to China Shanghai Communiqué Détente 1972 Moscow Summit Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty SALT I Treaty Prevention of Nuclear War Agreement Threshold Test Ban Treaty Endangered Species Act National Commission on Marihuana and Drug Abuse War on Drugs Drug Enforcement Administration Cannabis policy Enemies List list of opponents Operation CHAOS Watergate timeline White House tapes United States v. Nixon Senate Watergate Committee impeachment process "I am not a crook" Resignation speech Pardon State of the Union Address 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 Wilson desk Judicial appointments Supreme Court controversies Executive Orders Presidential Proclamations
Life and politics	Richard Nixon Foundation Presidential Library and Museum Birthplace and boyhood home Checkers speech 1958 motorcade attack Kitchen Debate Operation 40 "Last press conference" Florida White House "La Casa Pacifica" Nixon Center Nixon v. General Services Administration Death and state funeral
Books	Six Crises (1962) Bibliography
Elections	U.S. House of Representatives: 1946 1948 U.S. Senate: 1950 California gubernatorial election: 1962 GOP presidential primaries: 1960 1964 1968 1972 GOP national conventions: 1952 1956 1960 campaign 1968 campaign 1972 campaign Presidential elections: 1952 transition 1956 1960 debates Kennedy transition 1968 1972
Popular culture	"Nixon goes to China" Millhouse (1971 film) An Evening with Richard Nixon (1972 play) Richard (1972 film) Another Nice Mess (1972 film) Four More Years (1972 film) Impeach the President (1973 song) The Werewolf of Washington (1973 film) White House Madness (1975 film) All the President's Men (1976 film) The Public Burning (1977 novel) Washington: Behind Closed Doors (1977 miniseries) Secret Honor (1984 film) Nixon in China (1987 opera) The Final Days (1989 film) Nixon (1995 film) Elvis Meets Nixon (1997 film) Futurama (1999 TV series) Dick (1999 film) Nixon's China Game (2000 film) Dark Side of the Moon (2002 film) The Assassination of Richard Nixon (2004 film) Frost–Nixon interviews (2006 play, 2008 film) Black Dynamite (2009 film) "The Impossible Astronaut" (2011 TV episode) Our Nixon (2013 film) X-Men: Days of Future Past (2014 film) Crooked (2015 novel) Elvis & Nixon (2016 film) The Post (2017 film) U.S. postage stamp
Related	Presidential Recordings and Materials Preservation Act Presidential Townhouse Richard Nixon mask
Staff	Jack Brennan (aide de camp) Murray Chotiner (early campaign manager) Manolo Sanchez (valet) Rose Mary Woods (secretary)
Family	Thelma "Pat" Ryan Nixon (wife) Tricia Nixon Cox (daughter) Julie Nixon Eisenhower (daughter) Christopher Nixon Cox (grandson) Jennie Eisenhower (granddaughter) Francis A. Nixon (father) Hannah Milhous Nixon (mother) Donald Nixon (brother) Edward Nixon (brother)
← Lyndon B. Johnson Gerald Ford → Category

v t e Federal Reserve System
Chair Vice Chair Governors Federal Reserve Banks Federal Open Market Committee
Banknotes	Federal Reserve Note Federal Reserve Bank Note
Reports	Beige Book Federal Reserve Statistical Release Monetary Policy Report to the Congress
Federal funds	Discount window Bank rate Federal funds Federal funds rate Overnight rate Primary dealer
History (Antecedents)	Aldrich–Vreeland Act (1908) National Monetary Commission (1909–1912) Federal Reserve Act (1913) Pittman Act (1918) Edge Act (1919) Phelan Act (1920) Regulation D (c. 1930) Emergency Banking Act (1933) Regulation Q (1933) Glass–Steagall Act (1933) Gold Reserve Act (1934) Banking Act of 1935 Bretton Woods system (1944–1971) Employment Act of 1946 U.S. Treasury Department Accord (1951) Bank Holding Company Act (1956) FOMC actions (1961–present) Truth in Lending Act (1968) Nixon shock (1971) Smithsonian Agreement (1971) Equal Credit Opportunity Act (1974) Home Mortgage Disclosure Act (1975) Community Reinvestment Act (1977) Federal Reserve Reform Act (1977) Electronic Fund Transfer Act (1978) Humphrey–Hawkins Full Employment Act (1978) International Banking Act (1978) DIDMC Act (1980) Federal Reserve v. Investment Co. Institute (1981) Northeast Bancorp v. Federal Reserve (1985) Greenspan put (1987) Expedited Funds Availability Act (1987) FIRRE Act (1989) FDIC Improvement Act (1991) Gramm–Leach–Bliley Act (1999) Subprime mortgage crisis responses (2007–2010) Emergency Economic Stabilization Act (2008) Unfair or Deceptive Acts or Practices (2008) Commercial Paper Funding Facility (2008–2010) Primary Dealer Credit Facility (2008–2010) Bloomberg v. Federal Reserve (2009) 2009 Supervisory Capital Assessment Program Term Asset-Backed Securities Loan Facility (2009–2010) Public–Private Investment Program for Legacy Assets (2009–) Dodd–Frank Act (2010; Durbin amendment) Commercial Paper Funding Facility (2020–2021) Corner Post v. Federal Reserve (2024)
Chairs	Charles S. Hamlin (1914–1916) William P. G. Harding (1916–1922) Daniel R. Crissinger (1923–1927) Roy A. Young (1927–1930) Eugene Meyer (1930–1933) Eugene R. Black (1933–1934) Marriner S. Eccles (1934–1948) Thomas B. McCabe (1948–1951) William M. Martin (1951–1970) Arthur F. Burns (1970–1978) G. William Miller (1978–1979) Paul Volcker (1979–1987) Alan Greenspan (1987–2006) Ben Bernanke (2006–2014) Janet Yellen (2014–2018) Jerome Powell (2018–present)
Current governors	Jerome Powell (Chair) Philip Jefferson (Vice Chair) Michael Barr (Vice Chair for Supervision) Michelle Bowman Christopher Waller Lisa D. Cook Adriana Kugler
Current presidents (by district)	Susan Collins (Boston) John Williams (New York) Patrick T. Harker (Philadelphia) Beth M. Hammack (Cleveland) Thomas Barkin (Richmond) Raphael Bostic (Atlanta) Austan Goolsbee (Chicago) Alberto Musalem (St. Louis) Neel Kashkari (Minneapolis) Jeff Schmid (Kansas City) Lorie Logan (Dallas) Mary C. Daly (San Francisco)
Related	Central bank Criticism of the Federal Reserve Fed model Fedspeak Fed put Lender of last resort Monetary policy of the United States History Personal consumption expenditures price index Sahm rule