Just How Historic Will Deadpool & Wolverine’s Opening Weekend Be?
ByJennifer Zhan,
a Vulture news blogger covering music, internet culture, and TV.
Photo: Courtesy of Disney
Watching a trailer is free, but getting your butt to the box office is not. Maybe that’s why it seems like Ryan Reynolds and Hugh Jackman have been working overtime on the Deadpool & Wolverine press tour, despite the fact that the Marvel threequel has already set a Guinness World Record for the most-watched movie trailer in a single day (365 million views in 24 hours). In addition to promoting their film and dodging cameo spoilers in standard junkets and sit-down interviews, Reynolds and Jackman have become two-thirds of a throuple for Chicken Shop Date and even suited up for a K-pop music video. Will it pay off? Currentprojections expect D&W to make a record-breaking $170 million during its opening weekend. Depending on whether the actual total is less or more than that, here’s just how historic this box-office debut could be.
Not historic
If the movie makes less than $125.5 million domestically, it won’t pass Deadpool 2 and will have the worst-performing opening weekend in the Deadpool franchise. Yikes!
This is where the currentprojections of around $160 to 170 million would land. At this point, the movie’s opening weekend would not only break the record for R-rated films but also start competing with recent high-grossing films of any rating. For reference, Inside Out 2 made $155 million domestically over Father’s Day Weekend. That’s this year’s best opening performance by far; Dune: Part Two is in second with $82.5 million. Once we’re in this range, there’s also potential for an MCU matchup: Black Panther: Wakanda Forever’s $181.3 million opening-weekend performance has not been surpassed by any Marvel movie since the sequel released in 2022.
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