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BlogAnatoly Karlin Archive
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Nuclear Weapons
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Nuclear Weapons

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The Assassination of Mohsen Fakhrizadeh
•�December 8, 2020
•�600 Words •�100 Comments
I am not much interested in moralizing over this - there are many other "alternate bloggers" happy to do that anyway (though why be particularly outraged if you view Israel as this great fount of evil anyway? A rhetorical question, I know). At the end of the day, Mossad is quite ruthless in pursuing the... Read More
China Mulls Nuclear Parity
•�May 14, 2020
•�300 Words •�132 Comments
This, at least, is the insistent suggestion of Hu Xijin, chief editor of The Global Times: Here's a Twitter thread on this: The Global Times represents the more nationalistic faction of the CPC to the world's Anglophone audience, and it would be strange if it hasn't been gaining ascendancy within the past few months. This... Read More
Obninsk & Borovsk 2019
•�December 14, 2019
•�1,900 Words •�28 Comments
I have long wanted to make a "pilgrimage" to Borovsk, home to the museum-apartment of Konstantin Tsiolkovsky, one of the three major thinkers - along with Nikolay Fyodorov and Vladimir Vernadsky - who could be said to be the fathers of Russian Cosmism, which is the precursor to modern transhumanism. Fortunately, to reach Borovsk, the... Read More
My SCF Article on the End of the INF Treaty
•�February 5, 2019
•�300 Words •�106 Comments
I just made my debut on Strategic Culture foundation with an article on US suspension of the INF Treaty. Here is what it boils down to, IMO: However, it is with respect to the balance of power in the West Pacific that the restrictions imposed by the INF on the US – but not on... Read More
Putin's Wunderwaffe
•�March 7, 2018
•�800 Words •�70 Comments
What are they? Michael Kofman, who does seem to know what he is talking about and has studied the Russian language literature, has a very comprehensive summary. Emerging Russian Weapons: Welcome to the 2020s (Part 1 – Kinzhal, Sarmat, 4202) Emerging Russian Weapons: Welcome to the 2020s (Part 2 – 9M730?, Status-6, Klavesin-2R) How far... Read More
Russia Elections 2018: Nukey McNukeface
•�March 1, 2018
•�600 Words •�59 Comments
Quick recap of developments since the last update. First half consisted of boring economic and political stuff (e.g. increasing GDP by 50% over the next 6 years, implying 7% growth - as realistic as his promise to create 25 million hi-tech jobs last year). Nobody really cares about this. In the second half, wearing his... Read More
The Lowdown on North Korea
•�December 24, 2017
•�1,300 Words •�210 Comments
1. I do not consider it likely that North Korea will have the means to successfully deliver nukes to population concentrations in S. Korea, Japan, or the US. As far as I know this is expert consensus. It has had impressive successes in both nuclear weaponry and long-range rocketry in the past year, but there... Read More
North Korea. It's Banally Simple.
•�April 14, 2017
•�400 Words •�46 Comments
I once wrote a long article about a Korean War II. But this one chart tells essentually the same tale. I suspect it will be a harder nut to crack than Iraq in 2003, or even 1991. It is an ultranationalist (not a Communist) regime with a formidable secret police, so you're not going to... Read More
China's Budding Nuclear Coup?
•�January 19, 2017
•�500 Words •�49 Comments
Here: There's just a few problems: (1) In a world without MAD, China will eventually become an unrivalled military hegemon, by dint of its unrivalled industrial capacity. (2) Of more immediate pertinence, does this include the couple thousand plus nuclear warheads that China might have tucked away in its 2,500km network of underground tunnels? This... Read More
North Korea's Nuclear Substitution
•�January 19, 2016
•�600 Words •�13 Comments
Another (possibly abortive) North Korean nuclear test, another round of hyperbolic headlines about how Kim Jong Un is going off his rockers. Admittedly, this is an impression North Korea's state media - perhaps the closest approximation we have to a Real Life troll - is always happy to feed. But hystrionics aside, the reason for... Read More
China's True Nuclear Power
•�June 28, 2012
•�600 Words •�5 Comments
I always thought it weird China had the smallest arsenal of the world's five NPT nuclear-weapons states. In broad strategic terms, this would make it very vulnerable to the US, especially given the latter's development of ABM technologies, which would potentially give it the choice of an annihilating first strike. In late 2009, China went... Read More
How a Second Korean War Will be Fought
•�March 28, 2010
•�4,800 Words •�43 Comments
The recent sinking of a South Korean (ROK) corvette, with the probable deaths of several dozen sailors, brings to focus the fraught situation on the Korean peninsula. Now the cause of this incident - North Korean (DPRK) torpedo or tragic accident - is not yet clear. Moreover, the two sides have a long history of... Read More
On Future War
•�February 18, 2010
•�9,200 Words •�18 Comments
This post is about the future of military technology and war strategy in a world of informatization, resource scarcity, and renewed ideological turbulence. Be forewarned: while some of what I write here corresponds to the conventional wisdom, some is well off the beaten tracks, and some will sound like it's straight out of a sci-fi... Read More
Thinking About Nuclear War
•�November 5, 2009
•�8,000 Words
I have always been fascinated by nuclear war. Mountain bunkers, missile gaps, MAD, - what is there not to like? So this post will be devoted to the doomsday weapons which continue tantalizing us with visions of post-nuclear nirvana. Because yes, despite the post-Cold War reduction in the Russian and US arsenals (consisting mostly of... Read More
Europe, the Black Continent
•�October 23, 2009
•�4,500 Words
I am going to start off by looking at Europe, defined as the region under the influence of Western Christianity and/or the European Union (not Russia or Turkey, which will be covered in a later Eurasia Report). Demographic problems: aging, low fertility and Eurabia? The unsustainability of the modern welfare state? Cultural decline & reaction... Read More
The US Strategic Dilemma and Persian Deadlock
•�October 4, 2009
•�5,300 Words •�9 Comments
This is the second article of a three-part series about the Iranian Question - that is, the question of how the world is going to deal with the Islamic regime's pursuit of a nuclear bomb, which is likely to be one of the defining processes of global geopolitics in the next five years. The first... Read More
"Nuclear Weapons" Items Across Entire Archive
Anatoly Karlin
About Anatoly Karlin

I am a blogger, thinker, and businessman in the SF Bay Area. I’m originally from Russia, spent many years in Britain, and studied at U.C. Berkeley.

One of my tenets is that ideologies tend to suck. As such, I hesitate about attaching labels to myself. That said, if it’s really necessary, I suppose “liberal-conservative neoreactionary” would be close enough.

Though I consider myself part of the Orthodox Church, my philosophy and spiritual views are more influenced by digital physics, Gnosticism, and Russian cosmism than anything specifically Judeo-Christian.