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ARCS of Progress – the Arctic World In 2050
•�August 20, 2012
•�3,800 Words •�18 Comments
Editorial note: This article was first published at Arctic Progress in February 2011. In the next few weeks I will be reposting the best material from there. The Arctic to become a pole of global economic growth? Image credit – Scenic Reflections. - Northward ho!: An account of the far North and its people. In... Read More
Alex Dryden, A Hack's Hack
•�June 26, 2012
•�1,300 Words •�29 Comments
Just when I thought the paper of Luke "I Plagiarize Off The eXile" Harding and Miriam "Putin Stole My Dry Cleaning Ticket" Elder could get no more incompetent, vindictive, and mendacious in its Russia coverage, it did. I present: Putin calls in Darth Vader to tighten his grip on Russia's energy assets by Alex Dryden,... Read More
Decade Forecast, Part 1 - the Downsizing of Pax Americana
•�May 14, 2011
•�3,400 Words •�14 Comments
This is the first post in a series of three, in which I will analyze the major trends that will define the next ten years and their likely impacts on global regions. To put these forecasts into context, I must first describe the narrative through which I view the history of the post-WW2 era (the... Read More
Russia's Roads to Nowhere, or: Build Railways Instead!
•�July 12, 2010
•�1,100 Words •�10 Comments
Though it's not quite true that Russia has "no roads, only directions", the old saying isn't far off the mark. The World Bank's recent report on Russia's economy notes that the Eurasian giant's road network is primitive and crumbling, coming in 111th in a global ranking (the railway system does much better at 33rd); more... Read More
Why Russia Is Cemented to the Other BRICs
•�June 13, 2010
•�2,400 Words •�5 Comments
In the wake of the economic crisis in which Russia's GDP fell by a stunning 7.9% in 2009, its status as a BRIC economy - with its connotations of promise and progress - was brought into question. After all, isn't it a dying nation with rapidly degrading infrastructure? Isn't it amazingly corrupt? Wouldn't its contempt... Read More
The People's Choice, or How Ukrainians Are Learning to Stop Worrying and Love Eurasia
•�May 17, 2010
•�2,200 Words •�27 Comments
I enjoyed the egg-throwing scenes from Ukraine's Rada on the ratification of the gas-for-fleet deal with Russia as much as anyone. It also reflected the polarized commentary on the interwebs. The Ukrainian patriot-bloggers get their knickers in a sweaty twist. The academic beigeocrat Alexander Motyl (he of "Why Russia is Really Weak" fame some four... Read More
In Which I Criticize Vladimir Putin
•�April 22, 2010
•�3,900 Words •�22 Comments
I've been accused of being a "Russophile cockroach", an "amoral Putin lackey", and overall bad guy. Guilty as charged! Yes, I do like Russia and don't have much good to say about the Western media's coverage of it. Yes, I don't give much of damn for the moralistic posturing that any vapid idiot Kremlinologist can... Read More
China, the Last Superpower
•�February 7, 2010
•�3,300 Words •�14 Comments
After two hundred years of global ascendancy, the West is in rapid relative decline to (re)emerging Asia, which is mounting a steady "Great Reconvergence". Likewise, the legitimacy of today's "neoliberal internationalist" order promoted by the West is being questioned by the more statist, neo-Westphalian visions of the leaders of the Rest, the so-called BRIC's. This... Read More
Ecotechnic Dictatorship Is Our Last Hope of Averting Collapse
•�January 31, 2010
•�6,500 Words •�40 Comments
As a follow-up to my article on the historical necessity of Green Communism, I would like to 1) refute some common myths and misconceptions about limits to growth-induced collapse, 2) clarify the concept of Green Communism, and 3) elucidate why the only realistic way to prevent collapse now is to force through a "sustainable retreat"... Read More
Regathering of the Russian Lands
•�January 27, 2010
•�4,700 Words •�14 Comments
I have long noted Russia's resurgence back into the ranks of the leading Great Powers; I predicted that the global economic crisis will not have a long-term retarding impact on the Russian economy; and within the past year I have bought into Stratfor's idea that the defining narrative now in play in Eurasia is Russia's... Read More
References: Peak Oil and Resource Depletion (Up to 2010)
•�November 30, 2009
•�1,400 Words •�2 Comments
Although I have several articles on the threats posed to industrial civilization by runaway global warming and ecological degradation on Sublime Oblivion (see 1, 2, 3, 4, 5), I have yet to cover the Charybdis of resource depletion in as much detail (1, 2, 3, 4). As such, I have assembled many links to relevant... Read More
Review of "Global Catastrophes and Trends" by Vaclav Smil
•�September 28, 2009
•�4,300 Words •�3 Comments
Smil, Vaclav – Global Catastrophes and Trends (2008) Category: futurism, climate change, geopolitics, catastrophes; Rating: 5/5 Summary: Google Books Vaclav Smil, an energy theorist and language connoisseur, brings his talents to bear on this idiosyncratic, incisive and balanced book on the global future. From the outset, he outlines his skepticism in universal theories of history... Read More
Kremlin Dreams Sometimes Come True
•�May 31, 2009
•�1,100 Words •�2 Comments
This April, Michael Bohm, editor at the Moscow Times, published the article New Kremlin Dreamers, which questioned Russia's stated intention of becoming an advanced industrial nation by 2020. I wasn't much impressed by its pessimistic assertions - for instance, regarding Russia's hopes of becoming the world's fifth largest economy by 2020, he falls into the... Read More
Russia Economy Crisis I: How Red Will Russia Get?
•�December 3, 2008
•�3,600 Words
Recently the World Bank's November issue of the biannual Russian Economic Report came out. At the time I was busy with other things, amongst others planning the move from Blogger to self-hosted WordPress; as such, I did not give it the comprehensive treatment that it deserved at the time. Of course, reading about these things... Read More
The Great Debate
•�October 14, 2008
•�300 Words •�3 Comments
Just wanted to point out there is an on-going four-way debate at Streetwise Professor's blog between him, commentator Michel, myself and (at times) Timothy Post. In SWP's words, it is about "(a) the breadth of Russian prosperity, (b) its dependence on oil prices, and (c) the likely future course of oil prices" and despite the... Read More
Some Thoughts on the Financial Crisis
•�October 10, 2008
•�3,100 Words •�2 Comments
What with all the noise about the ongoing credit crunch, all around financial apocalypse and burgeoning signs that it is beginning to spill over into Main Street like a torrent of water from a collapsing dam, I thought it's about time we take a look at this "sucker" (to use Bush's blunt term) and it's... Read More
News 21 July: Expansion Amidst Turbulence
•�July 21, 2008
•�2,600 Words
Let's start with two excellent new resources I've recently come across. Russia: Other Points of View states its objectives thus: Hmm... Sounds quite similar to Da Russophile, in fact, and makes a substantial part of our News posts redundant. As such I'll be referring to it frequently. The other is the Moscow Defence Brief, an... Read More
News 2 May: Russia's Second Oil Peak
•�April 25, 2008
•�4,600 Words •�5 Comments
For all the noise being made this month about Georgia, about NATO, about Tibet, etc, possibly the most portentous is that it seems Russia hit its oil peak (strictly speaking, its second - the first happened in 1987), well in line with peakist predictions. Production increases via application of new technology, as seen in the... Read More
News 30 March: the Paradoxes of Russophobia
•�March 30, 2008
•�1,500 Words •�5 Comments
Medvedev gives his first foreign media interview (to the Financial Times), in which he charts the bedrock of his presidency. Will continue to pursue primarily Russia's, not the West's, interests. Will work in tandem with Putin, to whom he is neither puppet nor rebel. Will strive to root out "legal nihilism" / proizvol in Russia... Read More
Annals of Media Madness - the Trouble with the Economist
•�March 4, 2008
•�3,800 Words •�11 Comments
This is how the Economist celebrates Russia's presidential election - the Trouble with Russia's Economy, represented by a bear gorging itself on oil (i.e. invoking the Myth of the Russian Oil Curse, which we have debunked far too many times to count on this blog). Guess we'll have to do it again. Never mind that... Read More
Annals of Resurgent Russia - CIA World Factbook 2008
•�January 23, 2008
•�900 Words •�15 Comments
The 2008 version of the CIA World Factbook has been published. While the demographic data has not been updated, new economic estimates have been published for 2007. Firstly, let's take a look at the basics. Russia's GDP is now estimated at 2076bn $ in 2007, up from 1723bn $ in 2006. This is not just... Read More
News 16 Jan
•�January 16, 2008
•�800 Words
Freedom House publishes its 2008 report on Freedom in the World. Russia scored a 6 for Political Rights and and 5 for Civil Rights (1 is best, 7 is worst). According to their figures, Russia is no different from Algeria, Azerbaijan, Bhutan, Brunei, Egypt, Kazakhstan, Oman, Pakistan, Qatar and the UAE, and less free than... Read More
News 14 Jan
•�January 14, 2008
•�500 Words •�2 Comments
President Putin's visit to Bulgaria to bring pipeline deal, NPP contract A new company is being created, in which Russia will own a 51% stake, to build a pipeline to carry Russian oil via the Bulgarian Black Sea port of Burgas and Greece's Alexandroupolis on the Aegean, so as to bypass the congested Bosporus. It... Read More
News 11 Jan
•�January 11, 2008
•�1,100 Words •�3 Comments
Net capital inflow into Russia hit $82.3 bln in 2007 This is around 6% of Russian (nominal) GDP. Foreign investors are rushing in to buy into Russian IPO's. Russian carmaker AvtoVAZ raised exports 7.9% y-o-y in 2007 Foreign car manufacturers aim to raise car production up to 1mn by 2012. This means that around about... Read More
News 10 Jan
•�January 10, 2008
•�400 Words
Russian moves to ban tobacco advertising About time, considering that 70% of men and 30% of women smoke in Russia, one of the highest rates in the world, and that 300,000 people die from smoking every year in Russia. India could become largest Kamaz truck maker outside Russia - illustrates the recent phenomenom of how... Read More
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Anatoly Karlin
About Anatoly Karlin

I am a blogger, thinker, and businessman in the SF Bay Area. I’m originally from Russia, spent many years in Britain, and studied at U.C. Berkeley.

One of my tenets is that ideologies tend to suck. As such, I hesitate about attaching labels to myself. That said, if it’s really necessary, I suppose “liberal-conservative neoreactionary” would be close enough.

Though I consider myself part of the Orthodox Church, my philosophy and spiritual views are more influenced by digital physics, Gnosticism, and Russian cosmism than anything specifically Judeo-Christian.