Business Analysis & Valuation Varun Beverages: Prepared by - Ashwini Bhimanpalli
Business Analysis & Valuation Varun Beverages: Prepared by - Ashwini Bhimanpalli
Varun Beverages Ltd has been associated with PepsiCo since the
23%
1990s and is a key player in beverage industry and one of the largest
franchisee of PepsiCo in the world. Varun Beverages Ltd, part of the
RJ Corp group, a diversified business conglomerate with interests in
beverages, quick-service restaurants, dairy and healthcare, is the
second largest franchisee in the world (outside US) of carbonated soft
drinks ('CSDs') and non-carbonated beverages ('NCBs') sold under 72%
trademarks owned by PepsiCo. The company produces and distributes
a wide range of CSDs, as well as a large selection of NCBs, including
packaged drinking water. Carbonated SoftDrinks Packaged DrinkingWater Juick Based Drinks
-2.00%
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
66.00%
-4.00%
-6.00% 65.50%
-8.00% 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
2024F
2025F
2026F
2027F
2028F
2018A
2019A
2020A
2021A
2022A
2023A
Location, Innovative Products.
Sales
The company was facing capacity constraintsin in juices, value-
added dairy beverages, and in sports drink for which company has
made significant capex(estimates triple the current
capacity),Unfavourable weather condition,Health Awareness,
stringent marketing policies by the government , Increased tax
rates etc.
The Analysis consensus growth for CY24 is INR 20,000
The Company registered double-digit growth in both its Indian which is 23% growth over the CY23 revenue of INR 16043
and international operations, recording increases of 12.9% in [Link] assume that company will maintain a double-digit
India and 18.0% internationally. CSD constituted 72%, JBD 6%, growth of 22%, due of favorable wealth condition , the
and Packaged Drinking water 22% of total sales volumes in CY popularity of brand “sting, Juices, value-added dairy
2023. The realization per case increased by 7.0% to ` 175.7 in CY beverages which will be the main growth drive for the
2023 driven by improvements in the mix of smaller SKUs company in the next 5 years
(250ml) in the Indian markets and higher realization per case in
the international markets .
Capacity Expansion Net Purchased of Fixed assets
3500
3194
Historically, the company has done major growth capex of 3000
3000 2800
~1000cr, 2000 cr and 1300 cr in 2015,2019 and 2023 2577
respectively. for year 2024, the company has committed the 2500 2400
capex cash outflow of ~ 2100 cr and asset turn [Link]
majority of capex spent on greenfield production facilities in 2000 1750
Bundi, Rajasthan and Jabalpur, Madhya Pradesh, ~ Rs. 8,000
1500
million on brownfield expansion at 6 of our existing facilities in
India and the balance was for brownfield expansion in the 1000 809 733 815
international markets .we consider the company to conduct 536
500
capex of inr 1200 cr in year in 2024,and 2025 which will fuel the
company’s future growth for the remaining future year , we 0
assume a growth of 13% in gross block. During the terminal
FY2019
FY2020
FY2021
FY2022
FY2023
FY2024
FY2025
FY2026
FY2027
FY2028
year, capex is benchmarked with Depreciation
(100%maintainance) for moderate growth
The company has focused to acquire market share in VBL boasts extensive experience in managing soft drink distribution,
unchartered or less penetrated territories through go-to-market involving complex logistics and product packaging. While business
execution. On October 16, 2023, the Company acquired 5.03% operations maintain similarities across all markets, each territory and
shareholding in Lunarmech Technologies Private Limited, sub-territory present unique operational challenges. These challenges
which Manufacturer and exporter of bottle closure, bottle cap, vary from ensuring reliable electricity supply and refrigeration
plastic closure, cap closure and packaging cap equipment to addressing logistics needs, as well as navigating
demographics and general socioeconomic conditions in the respective
market.
Gross Margins Gross Margins
60.0%
58.6% 58.9%
57.9%
58.0% 57.1%
During CY23, gross margins were declined by 180 bps, taking it 56.9%
56.0% 55.9%
to the level of 54.3% from the earlier level of 52.5%, primarily 56.0%
54.8%
due to the softening of PET chip prices although sugar prices 54.3%
54.0%
increased slightly during the year. As a result of improved 52.5%
realization per case and enhanced gross margins as explained by 52.0%
the management. The raw material constitutes ~ 95 %+ of the
50.0%
total cost of goods sold and ~ 44%of the revenue.
48.0%
The sugar production in India is more than its consumption and
FY2019
FY2020
FY2021
FY2022
FY2023
FY2024
FY2025
FY2026
FY2027
FY2028
exports of sugar from india have increased to the fifth year
[Link] is unlikely that the country will face a shortage of sugar
and witness a spike in sugar prices.
2024F
2025F
2026F
2027F
2028F
2018A
2019A
2020A
2021A
2022A
2023A
We assume ,total SG &A Expenses to Remain at 33.3% level
as percentage of revenue which is almost align with street ze
estimation and management guidance . to Series1
56
Inventory days
.
The company usually increase inventory levels during the Oct-
dec Quarter and the january to march quarter to prepare to
seasonal demand also during this period resin prices are cheatest
throughout the year, and the company gets an edge in gross Invento
70Days 60Days 50Days 40Days 30Days 20Days 10Days 0Days
profitability by pre-stocking the raw material when prices are ry Days
cheapest. The company follows the same strategy for chips also
to increase overall efficiency. Historically, the company is
maintained inventory levels at ~ 12.8% of Revenue with an
inventory turnover ratio being consistent around 9x and
inventory days of 43 days. further street estimates suggest the
inventory level be around 56.3 days. we assume our inventory
levels to go up by 7 days from 49 days to 56 days in year 2023-
2028 due to new products launched by the company in energy
drinks, value-based dairy, sports drinks and juices for which the
company may increase the inventory levels. post that inventory
2018A 2019A 2020A 2021A 2022A 2023A 2024F 2025F 2026F 2027F 2028F
35.0%
Inventory Inventory Days 30.0%
25.0%
20.0%
15.0%
10.0%
5.0%
0.0%
7000
6000
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0
Trade Receivables Trade Payables
The company usually has increased receivable levels during the
April-June quarter due to seasonality. The company has robust
collection mechanism due to which receivable levels were Trade payables
normalizes by the end of the year. Further,~84% of receivables 80 2500
were due for less than 6 months and the company is not exposed 70
to any significant credit risk from a single counterparty. The 2000
60
company has a policy to deal with creditworthy counterparties 50 1500
whose security deposit is kept with a company at the time of 40
onboarding. Historically, the company is maintained receivable 1000
30
levels at 2.7% of the revenue with a median receivables turnover
20
ratio ~40% and inventory days at 9 days. Future the street 500
10
estimates suggest the receivable levels to remain flat at 9.5 days.
we assume our receivable levels to be flat at 10 days 0 0
2018A 2019A 2020A 2021A 2022A 2023A 2024F 2025F 2026F 2027F 2028F
0 0
2018A 2019A 2020A 2021A 2022A 2023A 2024F 2025F 2026F 2027F 2028F
Valuation Methodology This determines the value of an asset by estimating the present
value of its expected future income streams. It is based on the
principle that the value of an asset is driven by the income it
There are three approaches in Valuation. generates.
For any valuation,all the approaches may not be relevant and therefore
will not give a fair estimate of [Link],the approach most suitable
for specific business/company must be applied in the valuation
exercise based on common practices. Asset Approach
• Market Approach: Comparable companies Method and The Asset Approach is a valuation method that determines the
comparable Transaction Method. value of an asset by assessing its underlying tangible and
• Income Approach:Discounted Cash Flow Method. intangible assets minus liabilities. It focuses on the intrinsic
• Asset Approach:Net Asset Value Method value of the asset's components rather than its income or market
comparables. This approach is commonly used for valuing
tangible assets like real estate, machinery, and inventory, as well
as intangible assets such as patents, trademarks, and goodwill.
3 Statement Model
Income Statement Actual Explicit Forecast Period Maturity Period
In INR crores unless stated otherwise FY2018 FY2019 FY2020 FY2021 FY2022 FY2023 FY2024 FY2025 FY2026 FY2027 FY2028 FY2029 FY2030 FY2031 FY2032 FY2033 FY2034
INCOME STATEMENT
Sales ₹ 5,105 ₹ 7,130 ₹ 6,450 ₹ 8,823 ₹ 13,173 ₹ 16,043 ₹ 19,572 ₹ 23,634 ₹ 28,242 ₹ 33,397 ₹ 39,074 ₹ 45,717 ₹ 53,488 ₹ 62,581 ₹ 73,220 ₹ 85,668 ₹ 1,00,231
Less: Cost of Goods Sold ₹ 2,244 ₹ 3,219 ₹ 2,764 ₹ 4,035 ₹ 6,261 ₹ 6,646 ₹ 8,044 ₹ 9,950 ₹ 12,172 ₹ 14,728 ₹ 17,622 ₹ 20,618 ₹ 24,123 ₹ 28,224 ₹ 33,022 ₹ 38,636 ₹ 45,204
Gross Profit ₹ 2,861 ₹ 3,910 ₹ 3,686 ₹ 4,789 ₹ 6,912 ₹ 9,397 ₹ 11,528 ₹ 13,684 ₹ 16,070 ₹ 18,669 ₹ 21,452 ₹ 25,098 ₹ 29,365 ₹ 34,357 ₹ 40,198 ₹ 47,032 ₹ 55,027
Gross Margins 56.0% 54.8% 57.1% 54.3% 52.5% 58.6% 58.9% 57.9% 56.9% 55.9% 54.9% 54.9% 54.9% 54.9% 54.9% 54.9% 54.9%
EBITDAMargins 19.9% 20.5% 18.8% 19.0% 21.3% 27.4% 26.9% 25.9% 24.9% 23.9% 22.9% 22.9% 22.9% 22.9% 22.9% 22.9% 22.9%
Less: Depreciation &Amortization ₹ 385 ₹ 489 ₹ 529 ₹ 531 ₹ 617 ₹ 680 ₹ 898 ₹ 1,153 ₹ 1,425 ₹ 1,660 ₹ 1,918 ₹ 2,220 ₹ 2,573 ₹ 2,986 ₹ 3,470 ₹ 4,036 ₹ 4,698
EBIT ₹ 632 ₹ 974 ₹ 686 ₹ 1,146 ₹ 2,189 ₹ 3,712 ₹ 4,367 ₹ 4,968 ₹ 5,607 ₹ 6,322 ₹ 7,030 ₹ 8,249 ₹ 9,676 ₹ 11,345 ₹ 13,298 ₹ 15,582 ₹ 18,255
EBITMargins% 12.4% 13.7% 10.6% 13.0% 16.6% 23.1% 22.3% 21.0% 19.9% 18.9% 18.0% 18.0% 18.1% 18.1% 18.2% 18.2% 18.2%
Less:Total Interest Expenses ₹ 213 ₹ 310 ₹ 281 ₹ 185 ₹ 186 ₹ 268 768.17 496.07 318.61 178.19 163.87 174.19 195.03 223.80 259.66 302.70 353.62
Add; other income ₹ 22 ₹ 43 ₹ 37 ₹ 68 ₹ 39 ₹ 79 ₹ 294 ₹ 355 ₹ 424 ₹ 501 ₹ 586 ₹ 686 ₹ 802 ₹ 939 ₹ 1,098 ₹ 1,285 ₹ 1,503
Share of profitexpense ₹3 ₹4 ₹0 ₹0 (₹ 0) ₹4 ₹4 ₹4 ₹4 ₹4 ₹4 ₹4 ₹4 ₹4 ₹4 ₹4 ₹4
Expectional Items Before Tax 0 0 -66.53 0 0 0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0
EBT/Profit Before Tax ₹ 444 ₹ 711 ₹ 375 ₹ 1,029 ₹ 2,042 ₹ 3,527 ₹ 3,896 ₹ 4,831 ₹ 5,716 ₹ 6,649 ₹ 7,456 ₹ 8,765 ₹ 10,287 ₹ 12,064 ₹ 14,140 ₹ 16,569 ₹ 19,409
Less: Taxes ₹ 134 ₹ 224 ₹5 ₹ 261 ₹ 474 ₹ 637 ₹ 900 ₹ 1,118 (₹ 1,322) (₹ 1,536) (₹ 1,717) (₹ 2,019) (₹ 2,370) (₹ 2,780) (₹ 3,259) (₹ 3,820) (₹ 4,475)
Net Income ₹ 310 ₹ 487 ₹ 370 ₹ 768 ₹ 1,568 ₹ 2,890 ₹ 2,997 ₹ 3,713 ₹ 7,038 ₹ 8,185 ₹ 9,173 ₹ 10,784 ₹ 12,657 ₹ 14,844 ₹ 17,400 ₹ 20,388 ₹ 23,885
Sales Growth % NM 39.7% -9.5% 36.8% 49.3% 21.8% 22.0% 20.8% 19.5% 18.3% 17.0% 17.0% 17.0% 17.0% 17.0% 17.0% 17.0%
Gross Profit margin % 56.0% 54.8% 57.1% 54.3% 52.5% 58.6% 58.9% 57.9% 56.9% 55.9% 54.9% 54.9% 54.9% 54.9% 54.9% 54.9% 54.9%
EBITDA Margin % 19.9% 20.5% 18.8% 19.0% 21.3% 27.4% 26.9% 25.9% 24.9% 23.9% 22.9% 22.9% 22.9% 22.9% 22.9% 22.9% 22.9%
EBIT Margin % 12.4% 13.7% 10.6% 13.0% 16.6% 23.1% 22.3% 21.0% 19.9% 18.9% 18.0% 18.0% 18.1% 18.1% 18.2% 18.2% 18.2%
Actual Tax Rate % -30.2% -31.5% -1.4% -25.3% -23.2% -18.1% -23.1% -23.1% 23.1% 23.1% 23.0% 23.0% 23.0% 23.0% 23.1% 23.1% 23.1%
Net Income Margin % 6.1% 6.8% 5.7% 8.7% 11.9% 18.0% 15.3% 15.7% 24.9% 24.5% 23.5% 23.6% 23.7% 23.7% 23.8% 23.8% 23.8%
Balance Sheet Statement
Actual Explicit Forecast Period Maturity Period
In INR crores unless stated otherwise FY2018 FY2019 FY2020 FY2021 FY2022 FY2023 FY2024 FY2025 FY2026 FY2027 FY2028 FY2029 FY2030 FY2031 FY2032 FY2033 FY2034
BALANCE SHEET
Assets
Total Non Current Assets 4891 6717 6659 7045 8214 10951 12434 14081 15656 16573 17494 18596 19909 21469 23319 25507 28091
33%
Current
Assets
Cash ₹ 43 ₹ 138 ₹ 105 ₹ 151 ₹ 155 ₹ 241 (₹ 1,766) (₹ 2,325) (₹ 2,024) (₹ 125) ₹ 1,417 ₹ 3,341 ₹ 5,616 ₹ 8,282 ₹ 11,398 ₹ 15,036 ₹ 19,282
Inventory ₹ 578 ₹ 882 ₹ 929 ₹ 1,448 ₹ 1,994 ₹ 2,151 ₹ 2,628 ₹ 3,367 ₹ 4,178 ₹ 5,032 ₹ 5,995 ₹ 7,014 ₹ 8,206 ₹ 9,602 ₹ 11,234 ₹ 13,144 ₹ 15,378
Trade Receivables ₹ 128 ₹ 173 ₹ 242 ₹ 221 ₹ 299 ₹ 359 ₹ 509 ₹ 615 ₹ 735 ₹ 869 ₹ 1,017 ₹ 1,190 ₹ 1,392 ₹ 1,629 ₹ 1,906 ₹ 2,230 ₹ 2,609
Bank Balance ₹ 51 ₹ 33 ₹ 85 ₹ 186 ₹ 131 ₹ 218 ₹ 391 ₹ 391 ₹ 391 ₹ 391 ₹ 391 ₹ 391 ₹ 391 ₹ 391 ₹ 391 ₹ 391 ₹ 391
Other Current Assets ₹ 341 ₹ 447 ₹ 439 ₹ 531 ₹ 825 ₹ 1,267 ₹ 1,546 ₹ 1,866 ₹ 2,230 ₹ 2,638 ₹ 3,086 ₹ 3,610 ₹ 4,224 ₹ 4,942 ₹ 5,783 ₹ 6,766 ₹ 7,916
Total Current Assets ₹ 1,141 ₹ 1,672 ₹ 1,800 ₹ 2,537 ₹ 3,404 ₹ 4,236 ₹ 3,308 ₹ 3,915 ₹ 5,511 ₹ 8,806 ₹ 11,906 ₹ 15,547 ₹ 19,830 ₹ 24,846 ₹ 30,711 ₹ 37,566 ₹
45,576
Total Assets ₹ 6,031 ₹ 8,389 ₹ 8,459 ₹ 9,582 ₹ 11,617 ₹ 15,187 ₹ 15,742 ₹ 17,996 ₹ 21,167 ₹ 25,379 ₹ 29,401 ₹ 34,143 ₹ 39,739 ₹ 46,315 ₹ 54,030 ₹ 63,073 ₹ 73,667
Balance Sheet Statement
Actual Explicit Forecast Period Maturity Period
In INR crores unless stated otherwise FY2018 FY2019 FY2020 FY2021 FY2022 FY2023 FY2024 FY2025 FY2026 FY2027 FY2028 FY2029 FY2030 FY2031 FY2032 FY2033 FY2034
EQUITYAND LIABILITIES
Share Capital ₹ 183 ₹ 289 ₹ 289 ₹ 433 ₹ 650 ₹ 650 ₹ 650 ₹ 650 ₹ 650 ₹ 650 ₹ 650 ₹ 650 ₹ 650 ₹ 650 ₹ 650 ₹ 650 ₹ 650
Other Equity ₹ 1,816 ₹ 3,040 ₹ 3,235 ₹ 3,647 ₹ 4,453 ₹ 6,287 ₹ 8,984 ₹ 11,583 ₹ 15,806 ₹ 19,898 ₹ 23,567 ₹ 27,881 ₹ 32,944 ₹ 38,882 ₹ 45,841 ₹ 53,997 ₹ 63,551
Total Stockholders’ Equity ₹ 1,999 ₹ 3,328 ₹ 3,524 ₹ 4,080 ₹ 5,102 ₹ 6,937 ₹ 9,634 ₹ 12,233 ₹ 16,456 ₹ 20,548 ₹ 24,217 ₹ 28,531 ₹ 33,594 ₹ 39,532 ₹ 46,491 ₹ 54,647 ₹ 64,201
Minority Interest ₹8 ₹ 31 ₹ 65 ₹ 117 ₹ 113 ₹ 148 ₹ 148 ₹ 148 ₹ 148 ₹ 148 ₹ 148 ₹ 148 ₹ 148 ₹ 148 ₹ 148 ₹ 148 ₹ 148
Total Equity ₹ 2,006 ₹ 3,359 ₹ 3,589 ₹ 4,197 ₹ 5,215 ₹ 7,085 ₹ 9,782 ₹ 12,381 ₹ 16,604 ₹ 20,696 ₹ 24,365 ₹ 28,679 ₹ 33,742 ₹ 39,680 ₹ 46,639 ₹ 54,795 ₹ 64,349
Long Term Borrowings ₹ 1,980 ₹ 2,355 ₹ 1,980 ₹ 1,813 ₹ 1,727 ₹ 3,189 ₹ 1,913 ₹ 1,148 ₹ 459 ₹ 184 ₹ 92 ₹ 46 ₹ 23 ₹ 11 ₹6 ₹3 ₹1
Lease Laibilities - - - ₹ 31 ₹ 165 ₹ 198 ₹ 198 ₹ 198 ₹ 198 ₹ 198 ₹ 198 ₹ 198 ₹ 198 ₹ 198 ₹ 198 ₹ 198 ₹ 198
Other finanical laibilities-Long Term ₹0 ₹0 ₹ 24 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0
Long Term provision ₹ 105 ₹ 170 ₹ 204 ₹ 209 ₹ 204 ₹ 213 ₹ 213 ₹ 213 ₹ 213 ₹ 213 ₹ 213 ₹ 213 ₹ 213 ₹ 213 ₹ 213 ₹ 213 ₹ 213
deffered tax laibilities(Net) ₹ 192 ₹ 283 ₹ 226 ₹ 311 ₹ 337 ₹ 343 ₹ 343 ₹ 343 ₹ 343 ₹ 343 ₹ 343 ₹ 343 ₹ 343 ₹ 343 ₹ 343 ₹ 343 ₹ 343
Other Non Current Liabilities ₹7 ₹1 ₹1 ₹1 ₹1 ₹7 ₹7 ₹7 ₹7 ₹7 ₹7 ₹7 ₹7 ₹7 ₹7 ₹7 ₹7
Total Non Current Liabilities ₹ 2,284 ₹ 2,809 ₹ 2,435 ₹ 2,365 ₹ 2,434 ₹ 3,950 ₹ 2,674 ₹ 1,909 ₹ 1,220 ₹ 945 ₹ 853 ₹ 807 ₹ 784 ₹ 772 ₹ 767 ₹ 764 ₹ 762
Current Liabilities
Trade payables ₹ 317 ₹ 478 ₹ 511 ₹ 712 ₹ 824 ₹ 759 ₹ 919 ₹ 1,136 ₹ 1,390 ₹ 1,682 ₹ 2,013 ₹ 2,355 ₹ 2,755 ₹ 3,223 ₹ 3,771 ₹ 4,412 ₹ 5,163
Short Term Borrowings ₹ 378 ₹ 467 ₹ 714 ₹ 1,529 ₹ 1,968 ₹ 2,005 ₹ 979 ₹ 1,182 ₹ 565 ₹ 668 ₹ 781 ₹ 914 ₹ 1,070 ₹ 1,252 ₹ 1,464 ₹ 1,713 ₹ 2,005
Lease laibilities - - - ₹ 14 ₹ 23 ₹ 39 ₹ 39 ₹ 39 ₹ 39 ₹ 39 ₹ 39 ₹ 39 ₹ 39 ₹ 39 ₹ 39 ₹ 39 ₹ 39
Other Finanical Laibilities -short Term ₹ 851 ₹ 1,026 ₹ 854 ₹ 393 ₹ 559 ₹ 764 ₹ 764 ₹ 764 ₹ 764 ₹ 764 ₹ 764 ₹ 764 ₹ 764 ₹ 764 ₹ 764 ₹ 764 ₹ 764
Current Tax laibilities-short term ₹ 33 ₹ 15 ₹4 ₹ 14 ₹ 76 ₹ 39 ₹ 39 ₹ 39 ₹ 39 ₹ 39 ₹ 39 ₹ 39 ₹ 39 ₹ 39 ₹ 39 ₹ 39 ₹ 39
provisions ₹ 16 ₹ 30 ₹ 33 ₹ 50 ₹ 29 ₹ 83 ₹ 83 ₹ 83 ₹ 83 ₹ 83 ₹ 83 ₹ 83 ₹ 83 ₹ 83 ₹ 83 ₹ 83 ₹ 83
other Current laibilities ₹ 147 ₹ 204 ₹ 318 ₹ 309 ₹ 489 ₹ 463 ₹ 463 ₹ 463 ₹ 463 ₹ 463 ₹ 463 ₹ 463 ₹ 463 ₹ 463 ₹ 463 ₹ 463 ₹ 463
Total Current laibilities ₹ 1,741 ₹ 2,220 ₹ 2,435 ₹ 3,020 ₹ 3,968 ₹ 4,152 ₹ 3,285 ₹ 3,706 ₹ 3,343 ₹ 3,738 ₹ 4,182 ₹ 4,657 ₹ 5,213 ₹ 5,863 ₹ 6,624 ₹ 7,514 ₹ 8,555
Total laibilities ₹ 4,025 ₹ 5,029 ₹ 4,870 ₹ 5,385 ₹ 6,402 ₹ 8,102 ₹ 5,960 ₹ 5,615 ₹ 4,563 ₹ 4,682 ₹ 5,035 ₹ 5,464 ₹ 5,997 ₹ 6,635 ₹ 7,390 ₹ 8,277 ₹ 9,317
Total Equity and Liabilities ₹ 6,031 ₹ 8,388 ₹ 8,458 ₹ 9,581 ₹ 11,617 ₹ 15,187 ₹ 15,742 ₹ 17,996 ₹ 21,167 ₹ 25,379 ₹ 29,400 ₹ 34,143 ₹ 39,738 ₹ 46,315 ₹ 54,030 ₹ 63,072 ₹ 73,666
Net Working Capital -₹ 600 -₹ 548 -₹ 635 -₹ 483 -₹ 564 ₹ 84 ₹ 23 ₹ 209 ₹ 2,169 ₹ 5,068 ₹ 7,724 ₹ 10,890 ₹ 14,617 ₹ 18,983 ₹ 24,088 ₹ 30,052 ₹ 37,021
Debtor Days 9.2 Days 8.8 Days 13.7 Days 9.2 Days 8.3 Days 8.2 Days 9.5 Days 9.5 Days 9.5 Days 9.5 Days 9.5 Days 9.5 Days 9.5 Days 9.5 Days 9.5 Days 9.5 Days 9.5 Days
Inventory Days 40.4 Days 44.4 Days 51.7 Days 59.0 Days 54.3 Days 48.9 Days 49.0 Days 52.0 Days 54.0 Days 55.0 Days 56.0 Days 56.0 Days 56.0 Days 56.0 Days 56.0 Days 56.0 Days 56.0 Days
Creditor Days/pay 51.5 Days 54.2 Days 67.5 Days 64.4 Days 48.1 Days 41.7 Days 41.7 Days 41.7 Days 41.7 Days 41.7 Days 41.7 Days 41.7 Days 41.7 Days 41.7 Days 41.7 Days 41.7 Days 41.7 Days
Cash Flow Statement
Actual Explicit Forecast Period
In INR crores unless stated otherwise FY2018 FY2019 FY2020 FY2021 FY2022 FY2023 FY2024 FY2025 FY2026 FY2027 FY2028
Profit before tax 431 692 363 1007 2024 2740 ₹ 3,896 ₹ 4,831 ₹ 5,716 ₹ 6,649 ₹ 7,456
Add: Interest Expenses ₹ 199 ₹ 297 ₹ 264 ₹ 171 ₹ 163 ₹ 244 ₹ 768 ₹ 496 ₹ 319 ₹ 178 ₹ 164
Add:Other items ₹ 109 ₹ 35 ₹ 45 (₹ 84) (₹ 55) ₹ 67 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0
Add:Depreciation ₹ 385 ₹ 489 ₹ 529 ₹ 531 ₹ 617 ₹ 680 ₹ 898 ₹ 1,153 ₹ 1,425 ₹ 1,660 ₹ 1,918
Less:Tax paid (₹ 73) (₹ 120) (₹ 78) (₹ 124) (₹ 373) (₹ 667) (₹ 900) (₹ 1,118) ₹ 1,322 ₹ 1,536 ₹ 1,717
Less: Change in Working Capital (₹ 50) (₹ 85) (₹ 111) (₹ 269) (₹ 585) (₹ 674) (₹ 746) (₹ 948) (₹ 1,041) (₹ 1,103) (₹ 1,228)
Cash Flow from ₹ 1,000 ₹ 1,308 ₹ 1,012 ₹ 1,231 ₹ 1,790 ₹ 2,390 ₹ 3,917 ₹ 4,413 ₹ 7,741 ₹ 8,919 ₹ 10,026
Operation
Net Purchased of Fixed assets (₹ 809) (₹ 733) (₹ 536) (₹ 815) (₹ 1,750) (₹ 3,194) (₹ 2,400) (₹ 2,800) (₹ 3,000) (₹ 2,577) (₹ 2,839)
Net Purchased of Investments ₹0 (₹ 73) ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 (₹ 215) ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0
Interest Received ₹6 ₹5 ₹9 ₹ 13 ₹ 23 ₹ 22 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0
Acquisition of Companies ₹0 (₹ 8) ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹ 100 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0
others (₹ 134) (₹ 1,510) ₹ 55 (₹ 205) (₹ 42) (₹ 2) (₹ 154) ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0
Cash Flow from Investing Activities (₹ 937) (₹ 2,320) (₹ 472) (₹ 1,008) (₹ 1,769) (₹ 3,289) (₹ 2,554) (₹ 2,800) (₹ 3,000) (₹ 2,577) (₹ 2,839)
Net proceeds from long term Borrowings ₹ 732 ₹ 560 (₹ 460) ₹ 214 ₹ 340 ₹ 1,126 (₹ 1,276) (₹ 765) (₹ 689) (₹ 276) (₹ 92)
Net proceeds from Short term Borrowings ₹ 24 ₹ 89 ₹ 247 (₹ 85) (₹ 1) ₹ 381 (₹ 1,026) ₹ 203 (₹ 617) ₹ 103 ₹ 114
Divident paid (₹ 46) (₹ 69) (₹ 72) (₹ 108) (₹ 162) (₹ 227) (₹ 300) (₹ 1,114) (₹ 2,815) (₹ 4,092) (₹ 5,504)
Add: Interest Paid (₹ 189) (₹ 303) (₹ 277) (₹ 179) (₹ 172) (₹ 270) (₹ 768) (₹ 496) (₹ 319) (₹ 178) (₹ 164)
Net proceeds from issues of debenture (₹ 300) ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0
Proceeds from share issue ₹1 ₹ 900 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹4 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0
Redemption of financial Laibilities ₹0 ₹0 (₹ 11) (₹ 19) (₹ 23) (₹ 29) ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0
Other (₹ 308) (₹ 69) ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0
Cash Flow from Financinging Activities (₹ 84) ₹ 1,107 (₹ 574) (₹ 178) (₹ 18) ₹ 985 (₹ 3,370) (₹ 2,172) (₹ 4,440) (₹ 4,443) (₹ 5,646)
Net Changing in Cash (₹ 22) ₹ 95 (₹ 33) ₹ 46 ₹4 ₹ 86 (₹ 2,007) (₹ 559) ₹ 301 ₹ 1,899 ₹ 1,542
Operating Cash Balance ₹ 65 ₹ 43 ₹ 138 ₹ 105 ₹ 151 ₹ 155 ₹ 241 (₹ 1,766) (₹ 2,325) (₹ 2,024) (₹ 125)
Closing Cash Balance ₹ ₹ 138 ₹ 105 ₹ 151 ₹ 155 ₹ 241 (₹ 1,766) (₹ 2,325) (₹ 2,024) (₹ 125) ₹ 1,417
43
DCF Valuation
Actual Explicit Forecast Period Maturity Period
In INR crores unless stated otherwise FY2023 FY2024 FY2025 FY2026 FY2027 FY2028 FY2029 FY2030 FY2031 FY2032 FY2033 FY2034
EBITDA ₹ 4,392 ₹ 5,265 ₹ 6,121 ₹ 7,032 ₹ 7,982 ₹ 8,948 ₹ 10,469 ₹ 12,249 ₹ 14,331 ₹ 16,767 ₹ 19,618 ₹ 22,953
Less: Depreciation (₹ 680) (₹ 898) (₹ 1,153) (₹ 1,425) (₹ 1,660) (₹ 1,918) (₹ 2,220) (₹ 2,573) (₹ 2,986) (₹ 3,470) (₹ 4,036) (₹ 4,698)
EBIT ₹ 3,712 ₹ 4,367 ₹ 4,968 ₹ 5,607 ₹ 6,322 ₹ 7,030 ₹ 8,249 ₹ 9,676 ₹ 11,345 ₹ 13,298 ₹ 15,582 ₹ 18,255
Less: Tax (₹ 637) (₹ 900) (₹ 1,118) ₹ 1,322 ₹ 1,536 ₹ 1,717 ₹ 2,019 ₹ 2,370 ₹ 2,780 ₹ 3,259 ₹ 3,820 ₹ 4,475
EBIT(1-T) ₹ 3,075 ₹ 3,467 ₹ 3,850 ₹ 6,929 ₹ 7,858 ₹ 8,747 ₹ 10,268 ₹ 12,046 ₹ 14,125 ₹ 16,557 ₹ 19,402 ₹ 22,731
Add: Depreciation ₹ 680 ₹ 898 ₹ 1,153 ₹ 1,425 ₹ 1,660 ₹ 1,918 ₹ 2,220 ₹ 2,573 ₹ 2,986 ₹ 3,470 ₹ 4,036 ₹ 4,698
Cash NoPAT ₹ 3,755 ₹ 4,365 ₹ 5,003 ₹ 8,354 ₹ 9,518 ₹ 10,665 ₹ 12,488 ₹ 14,619 ₹ 17,111 ₹ 20,027 ₹ 23,438 ₹ 27,428
Less:Reinvestment
Change in Working Capital (₹ 674) (₹ 746) (₹ 948) (₹ 1,041) (₹ 1,103) (₹ 1,228) (₹ 1,374) (₹ 1,608) (₹ 1,882) (₹ 2,201) (₹ 2,576) (₹ 3,013)
Tangiable Non Current Spend (₹ 3,194) (₹ 2,400) (₹ 2,800) (₹ 3,000) (₹ 2,577) (₹ 2,839) (₹ 3,321) (₹ 3,886) (₹ 4,547) (₹ 5,319) (₹ 6,224) (₹ 7,282)
Free Cash Flow to Firm (₹ 113) ₹ 1,219 ₹ 1,255 ₹ 4,313 ₹ 5,837 ₹ 6,598 ₹ 7,792 ₹ 9,125 ₹ 10,683 ₹ 12,506 ₹ 14,638 ₹ 17,133
Discounted Period (Years) 0.5 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.5 5.5 6.5 7.5 8.5 9.5 10.5
Discounte Rate (WACC) Mid Year Yes
Present Value Factor Coventions? 0.95 0.87 0.79 0.72 0.65 0.59 0.54 0.49 0.44 0.40 0.37
10%
Present Value of Free Cash Flow to ₹ 1,163 ₹ 1,088 ₹ 3,399 ₹ 4,182 ₹ 4,297 ₹ 4,613 ₹ 4,911 ₹ 5,227 ₹ 5,563 ₹ 5,919 ₹ 6,298
Firm
Terminal Growth%
DCF Calculation-Exit Multiple
7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12%
Perpetuitygrowth rate Exit Multiple 0.2x Market price 3% 268137 205166 163664 134394 112744 96151
Terminal Year EBITDA ₹ 22,953 INR 2,08,898 cr 4% 343214 246402 188850 150890 124096 104259
5%
5
Terminal Year FCFF*(1+PGR) ₹ %
17,989.77
6
Terminal Value ₹ Terminal Value ₹ %
493369 315130 226629 173983 139232 114684
3,59,795 4,591
Present Value of terminal Value ₹ Present Value of terminal Value ₹ 943833 452584 289595 208623 160423 128584
1,32,261 1,688
Present Value of FCFFs ₹ Present Value of FCFFs ₹ #DIV/0! 864948 415526 266356 192209 148044
46,658 46,658
Enterprise Value ₹ 40.7x
1,78,919 Less: Debt -5194
Implied Exit Multiple ADD: Cash ₹ 459
Less:Minority Interest (₹ 148)
7.8x
ADD:Non OperatingAsset ₹ 65
Implied EV/EBITDA
EquityValue ₹ 1,74,101
Intrinsic Value
Less: Value of Option (₹ 119) Enterprise Value ₹ 48,346 INR 1,73,983cr
EquityValue for Shareholders ₹
Implied Exit Multiple 2.1x
1,73,983
Implied EV/EBITDA 11.0x WACC
Less: Debt -5194 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 1
Exit Multiple
WACC
ADD: Cash ₹ 459 18% 53355 49698 46336 43240 40387 377
10%
Less:MinorityInterest (₹ 148) 19% 53468 49801 46429 43325 40464 378
ADD:Non OperatingAsset ₹ 65 20% 53581 49903 46522 43409 40540 378
EquityValue ₹ 43,528 21% 53693 50005 46615 43493 40617 379
Terminal Growth
Less: Value of Option -₹ 119 22% 53806 50108 46707 43578 40694 380
5%
EquityValue for Shareholders ₹ 43,409
Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)
Particulars Low Mid High WACC Inputs
PepsiCo, Inc. NASDAQ: PEP 104 1947390 0.19 247% 0.53 71%
The Coca-Cola Company NYSE: KO 104 2124781.8 0.28 163% 0.59 62% Y True
Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V. NYSE: KOF 104 ₹ 1,65,799 0.86 0% 0.86 37% Y True
Monster Beverage Corporation NASDAQ: MNST 104 499899.6 0.73 1% 0.73 1% Y True
Y True
Median - Broad set 0.44 111% 0.66 50%
Average - Broad Set 0.45 117% 0.68 43%
We are taking median of considered set as assets beta of the bottling sector
Relative Valuation
In cr,Stock price in respective currency
Market Data Financials Multiple
2023A 2024E 2025E 2023A 2024E 2025E 2023A 2024E 2025E 2023A 2024E 2025E 2023A 2024E 2025E 2023A 2024E 2025E
Relative Valuation Ticker Share price Market Cap Debt Enterprise Value Sales Sales Sales EBITDA EBITDA EBITDA Net Net Net Profit EV/Sales EV/Sales EV/Sales EV/EBITDA EV/EBITDA EV/EBITDA P/E P/E P/E
Profit Profit
PepsiCo, Inc PEP ₹ 19,47,390 ₹ 3,92,480 ₹ 22,58,472 ₹ 7,62,693 ₹ 7,88,464 ₹ 8,25,243 ₹ ₹ 1,49,286 ₹ 1,60,378 ₹ 87,820 ₹ 93,825 ₹ 1,01,248 3.0x 2.9x 2.7x 16.1x 15.1x 14.1x 22.2x 20.8x 19.2x
TheCoca- KO ₹ 21,24,782 ₹ 3,71,464 ₹ 24,15,431 ₹ 3,81,805 ₹ 3,81,055 ₹ 4,00,070 1,40,279 ₹ 1,25,684 ₹ 1,34,441 ₹ 97,244 ₹ 1,01,414 ₹ 1,08,003 6.3x 6.3x 6.0x 20.0x 19.2x 18.0x 21.8x 21.0x 19.7x
ColaCompany CCHBF ₹ 89,989 ₹ 28,523 ₹ 1,08,003 ₹ 84,901 ₹ 87,070 ₹ ₹ ₹ 13,761 ₹ 14,845 ₹ 6,338 ₹ 6,672 ₹ 7,256 1.3x 1.2x 1.2x 8.7x 7.8x 7.3x 14.2x 13.5x 12.4x
Coca-ColaHBCAG KOF ₹ 1,65,799 ₹ 6,16,409 ₹ 5,23,168 ₹ 1,19,846 ₹ 1,30,521 92,074 1,20,596 ₹ 25,270 ₹ 27,856 ₹ 9,591 ₹ 11,176 ₹ 12,510 4.4x 4.0x 3.7x 23.1x 20.7x 18.8x 17.3x 14.8x 13.3x
Coca- MNST ₹ 4,99,900 ₹ 584 ₹ 4,81,301 ₹ 59,548 ₹ 65,469 ₹ 1,41,780 ₹ 12,427 ₹ 19,599 ₹ 22,184 ₹ 13,594 ₹ 15,179 ₹ 17,097 8.1x 7.4x 6.7x 28.6x 24.6x 21.7x 36.8x 32.9x 29.2x
ColaFEMSA,[Link].V. ₹ ₹ 22,685
Monster 72,308 ₹ 16,847
BeverageCorporation
High 8.1x 7.4x 6.7x 28.6x 24.6x 21.7x 36.8x 32.9x 29.2x
75thPercentile 6.3x 6.3x 6.0x 23.1x 20.7x 18.8x 22.2x 21.0x 19.7x
Average 4.6x 4.4x 4.1x 19.3x 17.5x 16.0x 22.5x 20.6x 18.8x
Median 4.4x 4.0x 3.7x 20.0x 19.2x 18.0x 21.8x 20.8x 19.2x
25thPercentile 3.0x 2.9x 2.7x 16.1x 15.1x 14.1x 17.3x 14.8x 13.3x
Low 1.3x 1.2x 1.2x 8.7x 7.8x 7.3x 14.2x 13.5x 12.4x
Liquidity Ratios
Current Assets ₹ 2,537 ₹ 3,404 ₹ 4,236 ₹ 3,308 ₹ 3,915 ₹ 5,511 ₹ 8,806 ₹ 11,906 ₹ 15,547 ₹ 19,830 ₹ 24,846 ₹ 30,711 ₹ 37,566 ₹ 45,576
Current Liabilities ₹ 3,020 ₹ 3,968 ₹ 4,152 ₹ 3,285 ₹ 3,706 ₹ 3,343 ₹ 3,738 ₹ 4,182 ₹ 4,657 ₹ 5,213 ₹ 5,863 ₹ 6,624 ₹ 7,514 ₹ 8,555
Current Ratio 0.8x 0.9x 1.0x 1.0x 1.1x 1.6x 2.4x 2.8x 3.3x 3.8x 4.2x 4.6x 5.0x 5.3x
Current Assets ₹ 2,537 ₹ 3,404 ₹ 4,236 ₹ 3,308 ₹ 3,915 ₹ 5,511 ₹ 8,806 ₹ 11,906 ₹ 15,547 ₹ 19,830 ₹ 24,846 ₹ 30,711 ₹ 37,566 ₹ 45,576
Inventory ₹ 1,448 ₹ 1,994 ₹ 2,151 ₹ 2,628 ₹ 3,367 ₹ 4,178 ₹ 5,032 ₹ 5,995 ₹ 7,014 ₹ 8,206 ₹ 9,602 ₹ 11,234 ₹ 13,144 ₹ 15,378
Prepaid Expenses
Current Liabilities ₹ 3,020 ₹ 3,968 ₹ 4,152 ₹ 3,285 ₹ 3,706 ₹ 3,343 ₹ 3,738 ₹ 4,182 ₹ 4,657 ₹ 5,213 ₹ 5,863 ₹ 6,624 ₹ 7,514 ₹ 8,555
Quick Ratio(Acid Test) 0.4x 0.4x 0.5x 0.2x 0.1x 0.4x 1.0x 1.4x 1.8x 2.2x 2.6x 2.9x 3.3x 3.5x
Inventory Days 59 Days 54 Days 49 Days 49 Days 52 Days 54 Days 55 Days 56 Days 56 Days 56 Days 56 Days 56 Days 56 Days 56 Days
Dabtor Days 9 Days 8 Days 8 Days 10 Days 10 Days 10 Days 10 Days 10 Days 10 Days 10 Days 10 Days 10 Days 10 Days 10 Days
Creditor Days 64 Days 48 Days 42 Days 42 Days 42 Days 42 Days 42 Days 42 Days 42 Days 42 Days 42 Days 42 Days 42 Days 42 Days
Cash Conversion Days 4 Days 15 Days 15 Days 17 Days 20 Days 22 Days 23 Days 24 Days 24 Days 24 Days 24 Days 24 Days 24 Days 24 Days
Total Debt ₹ 3,342 ₹ 3,695 ₹ 5,194 ₹ 2,892 ₹ 2,330 ₹ 1,024 ₹ 852 ₹ 873 ₹ 960 ₹ 1,093 ₹ 1,263 ₹ 1,470 ₹ 1,716 ₹ 2,006
Total Equity ₹ 4,197 ₹ 5,215 ₹ 7,085 ₹ 9,782 ₹ 12,381 ₹ 16,604 ₹ 20,696 ₹ 24,365 ₹ 28,679 ₹ 33,742 ₹ 39,680 ₹ 46,639 ₹ 54,795 ₹ 64,349
Debt to Equity Ratio 80% 71% 73% 30% 19% 6% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3%
Total Debt ₹ 3,342 ₹ 3,695 ₹ 5,194 ₹ 2,892 ₹ 2,330 ₹ 1,024 ₹ 852 ₹ 873 ₹ 960 ₹ 1,093 ₹ 1,263 ₹ 1,470 ₹ 1,716 ₹ 2,006
Total Assets ₹ 9,582 ₹ 11,617 ₹ 15,187 ₹ 15,742 ₹ 17,996 ₹ 21,167 ₹ 25,379 ₹ 29,401 ₹ 34,143 ₹ 39,739 ₹ 46,315 ₹ 54,030 ₹ 63,073 ₹ 73,667
Debt to Asset Ratio 35% 32% 34% 18% 13% 5% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3%
Total Equity ₹ 4,197 ₹ 5,215 ₹ 7,085 ₹ 9,782 ₹ 12,381 ₹ 16,604 ₹ 20,696 ₹ 24,365 ₹ 28,679 ₹ 33,742 ₹ 39,680 ₹ 46,639 ₹ 54,795 ₹ 64,349
Total Assets ₹ 9,582 ₹ 11,617 ₹ 15,187 ₹ 15,742 ₹ 17,996 ₹ 21,167 ₹ 25,379 ₹ 29,401 ₹ 34,143 ₹ 39,739 ₹ 46,315 ₹ 54,030 ₹ 63,073 ₹ 73,667
Equity to Asset Ratio 44% 45% 47% 62% 69% 78% 82% 83% 84% 85% 86% 86% 87% 87%
Actual Explicit Forecast Period Maturity Period
In INR crores unless stated otherwise FY2021 FY2022 FY2023 FY2024 FY2025 FY2026 FY2027 FY2028 FY2029 FY2030 FY2031 FY2032 FY2033 FY2034
Profitability/Margins Ratios
Gross ₹ 4,789 ₹ 6,912 ₹ 9,397 ₹ 11,528 ₹ 13,684 ₹ 16,070 ₹ 18,669 ₹ 21,452 ₹ 25,098 ₹ 29,365 ₹ 34,357 ₹ 40,198 ₹ 47,032 ₹ 55,027
Profits ₹ 8,823 ₹ 13,173 ₹ 16,043 ₹ 19,572 ₹ 23,634 ₹ 28,242 ₹ 33,397 ₹ 39,074 ₹ 45,717 ₹ 53,488 ₹ 62,581 ₹ 73,220 ₹ 85,668 ₹ 1,00,231
Total 54% 52% 59% 59% 58% 57% 56% 55% 55% 55% 55% 55% 55% 55%
Sales
Gross Margins
EBITDA ₹ 1,677 ₹ 2,806 ₹ 4,392 ₹ 5,265 ₹ 6,121 ₹ 7,032 ₹ 7,982 ₹ 8,948 ₹ 10,469 ₹ 12,249 ₹ 14,331 ₹ 16,767 ₹ 19,618 ₹ 22,953
Total Sales ₹ 8,823 ₹ 13,173 ₹ 16,043 ₹ 19,572 ₹ 23,634 ₹ 28,242 ₹ 33,397 ₹ 39,074 ₹ 45,717 ₹ 53,488 ₹ 62,581 ₹ 73,220 ₹ 85,668 ₹ 1,00,231
EBITDAMargins 19% 21% 27% 27% 26% 25% 24% 23% 23% 23% 23% 23% 23% 23%
EBIT ₹ 1,146 ₹ 2,189 ₹ 3,712 ₹ 4,367 ₹ 4,968 ₹ 5,607 ₹ 6,322 ₹ 7,030 ₹ 8,249 ₹ 9,676 ₹ 11,345 ₹ 13,298 ₹ 15,582 ₹ 18,255
Total Sales ₹ 8,823 ₹ 13,173 ₹ 16,043 ₹ 19,572 ₹ 23,634 ₹ 28,242 ₹ 33,397 ₹ 39,074 ₹ 45,717 ₹ 53,488 ₹ 62,581 ₹ 73,220 ₹ 85,668 ₹ 1,00,231
EBITMargins 13% 17% 23% 22% 21% 20% 19% 18% 18% 18% 18% 18% 18% 18%
Net Profit ₹ 768 ₹ 1,568 ₹ 2,890 ₹ 2,997 ₹ 3,713 ₹ 7,038 ₹ 8,185 ₹ 9,173 ₹ 10,784 ₹ 12,657 ₹ 14,844 ₹ 17,400 ₹ 20,388 ₹ 23,885
Total Sales ₹ 8,823 ₹ 13,173 ₹ 16,043 ₹ 19,572 ₹ 23,634 ₹ 28,242 ₹ 33,397 ₹ 39,074 ₹ 45,717 ₹ 53,488 ₹ 62,581 ₹ 73,220 ₹ 85,668 ₹ 1,00,231
Net Profits Margins 9% 12% 18% 15% 16% 25% 25% 23% 24% 24% 24% 24% 24% 24%
Net Profit ₹ 768 ₹ 1,568 ₹ 2,890 ₹ 2,997 ₹ 3,713 ₹ 7,038 ₹ 8,185 ₹ 9,173 ₹ 10,784 ₹ 12,657 ₹ 14,844 ₹ 17,400 ₹ 20,388 ₹ 23,885
Total Assets ₹ 9,582 ₹ 11,617 ₹ 15,187 ₹ 15,742 ₹ 17,996 ₹ 21,167 ₹ 25,379 ₹ 29,401 ₹ 34,143 ₹ 39,739 ₹ 46,315 ₹ 54,030 ₹ 63,073 ₹ 73,667
Return on Assets 8% 13% 19% 19% 21% 33% 32% 31% 32% 32% 32% 32% 32% 32%
Net Profit ₹ 768 ₹ 1,568 ₹ 2,890 ₹ 2,997 ₹ 3,713 ₹ 7,038 ₹ 8,185 ₹ 9,173 ₹ 10,784 ₹ 12,657 ₹ 14,844 ₹ 17,400 ₹ 20,388 ₹ 23,885
Total Equity ₹ 4,197 ₹ 5,215 ₹ 7,085 ₹ 9,782 ₹ 12,381 ₹ 16,604 ₹ 20,696 ₹ 24,365 ₹ 28,679 ₹ 33,742 ₹ 39,680 ₹ 46,639 ₹ 54,795 ₹ 64,349
Return on Equity 18% 30% 41% 31% 30% 42% 40% 38% 38% 38% 37% 37% 37% 37%
Efficiency Ratios
Revenue ₹ 8,823 ₹ 13,173 ₹ 16,043 ₹ 19,572 ₹ 23,634 ₹ 28,242 ₹ 33,397 ₹ 39,074 ₹ 45,717 ₹ 53,488 ₹ 62,581 ₹ 73,220 ₹ 85,668 ₹ 1,00,231
Total Assets ₹ 9,582 ₹ 11,617 ₹ 15,187 ₹ 15,742 ₹ 17,996 ₹ 21,167 ₹ 25,379 ₹ 29,401 ₹ 34,143 ₹ 39,739 ₹ 46,315 ₹ 54,030 ₹ 63,073 ₹ 73,667
Assets Turnover Ratio 92% 113% 106% 124% 131% 133% 132% 133% 134% 135% 135% 136% 136% 136%
Change in Revenue ₹ 4,350 ₹ 2,870 ₹ 3,529 ₹ 4,061 ₹ 4,609 ₹ 5,154 ₹ 5,677 ₹ 6,643 ₹ 7,772 ₹ 9,093 ₹ 10,639 ₹ 12,447 ₹ 14,563
Change in Total Assets ₹ 2,036 ₹ 3,569 ₹ 555 ₹ 2,254 ₹ 3,171 ₹ 4,212 ₹ 4,021 ₹ 4,743 ₹ 5,596 ₹ 6,576 ₹ 7,715 ₹ 9,043 ₹ 10,594
Reinvestment 2.1x 0.8x 6.4x 1.8x 1.5x 1.2x 1.4x 1.4x 1.4x 1.4x 1.4x 1.4x 1.4x
COGS ₹ (4,035) ₹ (6,261) ₹ (6,646) ₹ (8,044) ₹ (9,950) ₹ (12,172) ₹ (14,728) ₹ (17,622) ₹ (20,618) ₹ (24,123) ₹ (28,224) ₹ (33,022) ₹ (38,636) ₹ (45,204)
Inventory ₹ 1,448 ₹ 1,994 ₹ 2,151 ₹ 2,628 ₹ 3,367 ₹ 4,178 ₹ 5,032 ₹ 5,995 ₹ 7,014 ₹ 8,206 ₹ 9,602 ₹ 11,234 ₹ 13,144 ₹ 15,378
Inventory Turnover Ratio -279% -314% -309% -306% -296% -291% -293% -294% -294% -294% -294% -294% -294% -294%
Actual Explicit Forecast Period Maturity Period
In INR crores unless stated otherwise FY2021 FY2022 FY2023 FY2024 FY2025 FY2026 FY2027 FY2028 FY2029 FY2030 FY2031 FY2032 FY2033 FY2034
Coverage Ratios
Total Debt ₹ 3,342 ₹ 3,695 ₹ 5,194 ₹ 2,892 ₹ 2,330 ₹ 1,024 ₹ 852 ₹ 873 ₹ 960 ₹ 1,093 ₹ 1,263 ₹ 1,470 ₹ 1,716 ₹ 2,006
EBITDA ₹ 1,677 ₹ 2,806 ₹ 4,392 ₹ 5,265 ₹ 6,121 ₹ 7,032 ₹ 7,982 ₹ 8,948 ₹ 10,469 ₹ 12,249 ₹ 14,331 ₹ 16,767 ₹ 19,618 ₹ 22,953
Debt toEquity 199% 132% 118% 55% 38% 15% 11% 10% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9%
EBIT ₹ 2,189 ₹ 3,712 ₹ 4,367 ₹ 4,968 ₹ 5,607 ₹ 6,322 ₹ 7,030 ₹ 8,249 ₹ 9,676 ₹ 11,345 ₹ 13,298 ₹ 15,582 ₹ 18,255
Interest ₹ 264 ₹ 171 ₹ 163 ₹ 244 ₹ 768 ₹ 496 ₹ 319 ₹ 178 ₹ 164 ₹ 174 ₹ 195 ₹ 224 ₹ 260 ₹ 303
Debt Repayment ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0 ₹0
Debt Service Coverage Ratio 1284% 2283% 1790% 647% 1130% 1984% 3945% 5034% 5555% 5817% 5942% 6001% 6031%
EBIT ₹ 1,146 ₹ 2,189 ₹ 3,712 ₹ 4,367 ₹ 4,968 ₹ 5,607 ₹ 6,322 ₹ 7,030 ₹ 8,249 ₹ 9,676 ₹ 11,345 ₹ 13,298 ₹ 15,582 ₹ 18,255
Interest Expenses ₹ 264 ₹ 171 ₹ 163 ₹ 244 ₹ 768 ₹ 496 ₹ 319 ₹ 178 ₹ 164 ₹ 174 ₹ 195 ₹ 224 ₹ 260 ₹ 303
Interest Coverage Ratio 434% 1284% 2283% 1790% 647% 1130% 1984% 3945% 5034% 5555% 5817% 5942% 6001% 6031%