M & E Module 1 Notes 11th May 24
M & E Module 1 Notes 11th May 24
M & E Module 1 Notes 11th May 24
SYLLABUS:
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MANAGEMENT
Henri Fayol (29 July 1841 – 19 November 1925) was a French mining engineer, mining executive
Management as a process of forecast followed by planning, organization, command, coordination and
control of activities of others.
Frederick Winslow Taylor
(March 20, 1856 – March 21, 1915)
"Management is the art of knowing what you want to do and then seeing that they do it in the best and
the cheapest way."
Definition of Management:
Simplest definition is that it is defined as the art of getting things done through people.
Management can also be defined as the process consisting of planning, organizing, actuating,
and controlling performed to determine and accomplish the use of people and resources.
It is systematic way of doing things.
A manager is one who contributes to the organizational goals indirectly by directing the
efforts others by not performing the task by himself
A person who is not a manager makes his contribution to the organizations goals directing by
performing the task himself.
The definition involves the act of achieving the organizations objectives. Management involves the act
of achieving organizations objectives.
Nature of management:
1. All the managers carry out the managerial functions of planning, organizing, staffing leading
and controlling
2. management applies to any kind of organization
3. applies to managers at all organizational levels
4. the aim of the managers is same create the surplus
5. managing is concerned with productivity, which implies effectiveness and efficiency
Characteristics of management:
Management is:
1. Intangible (not measurable and cannot be seen) but its presence can be felt by efforts in the
production sales and revenues.
2. universal and it is applicable to all sizes and forms of organizations
3. a group activity and it involves getting things done with and through others
4. Is goal oriented and all actions of management are directed at achieving specific goals.
5. is science as well art and emerging now as a profession
6. is multidisciplinary and it has contributions from psychology, sociology, anthropology
1. Planning is a function that determines in advance what should be done which is looking ahead
and preparing for the future
a. It is a process of determining the objectives and charting out the methods of attaining those
objectives.
b. It is determination of what, where and how it is to be done and how the results are to be
evaluated.
c. It is done for the organization as a whole but every division, department or subunit of the
organization.
d. It is a function which is performed by the managers at all levels-top (which may be as long as
five years), middle (shorter may be week) and supervisory.
2. Organizing and staffing is a function which may be divided into two main sections namely the
human organization and material organization.
a. Once the plans have been developed and the objectives established they must design and
develop a human organization to carry out plans successfully.
b. It may defined as a structure which results from identifying and grouping work, defining and
delegating responsibility and authority and establishing the relationships.
c. Staffing is also considered an important function in building the human organization involves
building the right person for the right job.
d. Fixes responsibility for a manager to find the right person for the right job and ensures enough
manpower for the various positions needed for the organization which involves selection and
training of future managers and suitable system of compensation
e. Different objectives require different kinds of organizations.
4. Controlling is a function which ensures everything occurs in conformity with plans adopted and
involves three elements:
a. establishing the standards of performance
b. Measuring current performance and comparing it against the established standards.
c. taking action to correct any performance that does not meet the standards, management
process.
5. Innovating: It is very much necessary for an organization to grow better, for which INNOVATION
becomes very essential. A frequent catchphrase used in Organization is “Innovate or evaporate”.
Innovation means creating new ideas in the organization which may improve a product, process or
practice for their betterment.
Management Process blends into each other like the flowing water of a river. These sub-processes
have no clear-cut separate entity or a line of demarcation where one ends & the other begins.
Roles of a Manager:
I. Interpersonal roles:
a) Figure head: performs duties of ceremonial nature such as greeting the touring dignitaries,
attending the wedding of an employee etc.
b) Leader: every manager must motivate and encourage their employees, try to reconcile
their individual needs with the goals of the organization.
c) Liaison: in this role, every manager must develop contacts outside the vertical chain of
command to collect information useful for the organization.
c) Resource allocator: must divide work and delegate authority among his subordinates.
d) Negotiator: must spend considerable time in negotiations.
Example: the foreman negotiating with the workers for the grievance problems
Levels of Management:
The term “Levels of Management’ refers to a line of demarcation between various managerial
positions in an organization. The number of levels in management increases when the size of the
business and work force increases and vice versa. The level of management determines a chain of
command, the amount of authority & status enjoyed by any managerial position. The levels of
management can be classified in three broad categories:
1. Top level / Administrative level - consists of board chairman, the company presidents, and
the executive vice presidents.
2. Middle level / Executory - consist of vast and diversified group consisting plant managers,
personnel managers and department heads.
3. Low level / Supervisory / Operative / First-line managers - is made up of foreman and
white collared supervisors.
Managers at all these levels perform different functions. The role of managers at all the three levels
is discussed below:
Managerial skills:
The manager is required to possess three major skills: Conceptual skill which deals with ideas, human
relations skill which deals with people and technical skill which deals with things.
1. Conceptual skill: deals with the ability of manager to take a broad and farsighted view of
organization and its future, ability to think in abstract ability to analyse the forces working in a
particular situation.
2. Technical skill: are managers understanding of the nature of the job that people under him have
to perform. It refers to the person’s knowledge and proficiency in any type of process or
technique.
3. Human relations skill: is the ability to interact effectively with people at all levels and the
manager sufficient ability to:
a. to recognize the feelings and sentiments of others.
b. to judge the possible reactions to and the outcomes of various courses of action
c. to examine his own concepts and values which may enable to more useful attitudes and about
himself.
Systematic means orderly and unbiased attempt to gain knowledge must be with the personal or other
prejudgment. Inquiry being empirical means that it is not an armchair speculation or priory approach.
the scientific information so collected as raw data must be finally ordered and analysed with the
statistical tools which makes the results. Communicable and intelligible which also permits repletion
of the study and the results in the sense that what is discovered is added to which has been found before
which helps us to learn from past mistakes and obtain guides for the future.
Management as ART -
1. As the science considers the why phenomena management as an art is concerned with the
understanding how a particular task can be accomplished which involves art of getting things done
through others in a dynamic and non-repetitive fashion and has to constantly analyse the existing
situation, determine the objectives, seek the alternatives, implement, coordinate, control and
evaluate information and make decisions.
2. As the knowledge of management theory and principles is a valuable kit of the manager but it cannot
replace his managerial skills and qualities which has to be applied and practiced which makes us to
consider manager as an art.
3. Like the art of a musician or the art of a painter who uses his own skill and does not copy the skills
of others
Management is a PROFESSION-
Characteristics of a profession:
a. existence of organized and systematic knowledge
b. Formalized methods of acquiring training and experience.
c. existence of an association with the professionalization as a goal
d. existence of an ethical code to regulate the behaviour of the members of the profession
e. Charging of fees based on service.
Management as Profession:
a. Does not have fixed norms of managerial behaviour
b. no uniform of code of conduct or licensing of managers
c. entry of managerial jobs are not restricted to individuals with a special academic degree
only and hence management cannot be called a profession
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PLANNING
Meaning of Planning:
1. Planning is an intellectual process which requires manager to think before acting.
2. It is thinking in advance. it is planning that managers of organization decide what is to be done,
when it is to be done, how it is to be done, and how has to do it.
3. Decision making is an integral part of planning.
4. It is the process of choosing among alternatives. Obviously, decision making will occur at many
points in the planning process.
5. Planning is a continuous process like a navigator constantly checks where his ship in going in the
vast ocean, a manger must constantly watch his plans must constantly monitor the conditions, both
within and outside the organization to determine if changes are required in his plans.
Nature of Planning:
Planning involves selection of objectives, goals and determines the ways and means of achieving them.
Thus planning bridges the gap from ‘where the Organization is’ to ‘where it wants to be’. Planning is
dynamic in nature and is basically a discrete exercise. Nature of planning indicates essential quality or
general characteristics of planning. Planning involves four essential qualities:
1. Planning must contribute to accomplish purpose and objectives.
2. It must be considered as parent exercise in all processes.
3. It must spread through all management functions.
4. It must be efficient in such a manner so as to achieve the designed goals at the least cost.
Importance of planning:
1. Minimizes risk and uncertainty
a. By providing a more rational, fact-based procedure for making decisions, planning allows
managers and organizations to minimize risk and uncertainty.
b. Planning does not deal with future decisions, but in futurity of present decisions.
2. Leads to success:
a. Planning does not guarantee success but studies have shown that, often things being equal,
companies which plan not only outperform the non-planners but also their past results.
b. This may be because when a businessman’s actions are not random arising as mere reaction
to the market place
c. Planning leads to success by doing beyond mere adaption to market fluctuations.
d. With the help of a sound plan, management can act proactively and not simply react.
e. It involves to attempt to shape the environment on the belief that business is not just the
creation of environment but its creator as well.
4. Facilitates control:
a. In planning, the manager sets goals and develops plans and to accomplish these goals.
b. These goals and plans then become standards against which performance can be measured.
c. The function of control is to ensure that activities conform to the plans.
d. Thus control can be exercised only if there are plans.
5. Trains executives:
a. Planning is also an excellent means for training executives.
b. They become involved in the activities of the organization and the plans arouse their interest
in the multifarious aspects of planning.
Forms of planning:
1. There are many forms and styles of planning, and planning practices are likely to vary from
organization to organization.
2. One useful way of classifying them is to distinguish between strategic planning and tactical
planning.
3. About Strategic planning involves deciding what the major goals of the entire organization will
be and what policies will guide the organization in its pursuit of these goals and depends on the
data collect in the outside the organization such as market analysis, estimates of costs,
technological developments and so on and if the data being mostly imprecise make strategic
planning less certain.
4. About Tactical planning involves deciding specifically how the resources of the organization will
be used to help the organization achieve these strategic goals. for example if the organization
has prepared a ten-year strategic plan which envisages a profit rate of 25% on capital employed
in the tenth year, it also necessary to prepare a more detailed tactical plan for the next year, with
a specific target of 10% on the capital employed.
5. Contingency planning takes into account possible occurrences. It is planning for ‘what to do if
there is a recession or if there is a change in government policy and so on.
Types of plans:
Vision:
1. At the top of the hierarchy is the VISION.
2. This is the dream that an entrepreneur creates about the direction that his business should
pursue in future.
3. It describes his aspirations, beliefs and values and shapes Organization’s strategy.
4. VISIONING is an on-going process.
5. A VISION should be brief, focused, clear and inspirational to an organization’s employees.
6. It should be linked to customers’ needs and convey a general strategy for achieving the
mission.
Mission:
1. The unique aim of an organization that sets it apart from others of its type.
2. It is an organization’s specialization in some area – service, product or client, which decides the
organization’s scope of business.
3. In addition to describing the scope of business, the firm’s mission statement may mention its
cultural values.
4. Mission also guides the development of strategies.
5. It establishes the context within which daily operating decisions are made and sets limits on
available strategic options.
Objectives:
1. Are the goals of the organization which the management wishes the organization to achieve?
2. These are the end points or pole-star towards which all business activities like organizing,
staffing, directing and controlling are directed.
3. Only after having defined these end points the can determine the kind of organization the kind
of personnel and their qualifications, the kind of motivation, supervision and direction and the
control techniques which he must employ to reach these points.
4. Objectives are the specific targets to be reached by an organization.
5. They are the translation of the organization’s mission into concrete terms against which the
results can be measured.
6. Example:1)university decision to admit a certain number of students or the hospitals decision
to admit a certain number of indoor patients.
2) Objectives change over time: Considering the timely advancements, changes in the ecosystem –
internal & external, customers’ reactions over a product; it will be essential for the enterprise to
change its corporate objectives.
The process of allocating objectives among various units creates the problem of potential goal conflict
and sub-optimization, where in achieving the goals of one unit may put in risk of achieving the goals of
the other.
Advantages of objectives:
The following are the benefits of objectives
1. They provide a basis for planning and for developing other type of plans such as policies,
budgets and procedures.
2. They act as motivators for individuals and departments of an enterprise by pointing the way to
desired performance.
3. They eliminate haphazard action which may result in undesirable consequences.
4. Facilitate coordinated behavior of various groups which otherwise may pull in different
directions.
5. Function as a basis for managerial control by serving as standards against which actual
performance can be measured.
6. They facilitate better management of the enterprise by providing a basis for leading, guiding,
directing and controlling the activities of people of various departments.
7. Lessen misunderstanding and other conflict and facilitate communication among people by
minimizing jurisdictional disputes.
8. Provide legitimacy to organization’s activities.
Strategies:
A corporate strategy is a plan which takes these factors into account and provides optimal match
between the firm and the environment.
Two important activities are involved in strategy formulation
A. Environmental appraisal
B. Corporate appraisal
A. Environmental appraisal:
By analyzing the relevant environment it results in identifying various threats & Opportunities.
Components of External environment are grouped into 4 categories namely -
a. Political and legal factors:
Key environment factors which need to be studied are
i. stability of the government and its political philosophy.
ii. taxation and industrial licensing laws
iii. monitory and fiscal policies
iv. Restrictions on capital movement, repatriation of capital, state trading etc.
b. Economic factors:
i. level of economic development and distribution of income
ii. Trend in prices, exchange rates, balance of payments.
iii. Supply of labor, raw, material, capital etc.
c. Competitive factors:
i. identification of principle competitors
ii. analysis of their performance and programmers in major areas
iii. antimonopoly laws and rules of competition
iv. protection of patents, trademarks, brand names and other industrial property rights
B. Corporate appraisal:
Involves the analysis of company’s strengths and weaknesses.
A company’s strength may lie in outstanding leadership, excellent product design, low-cost
manufacturing skill, efficient distribution, efficient customer service, personal relationship with
customers, efficient transportation and logistics, effective sales promotion, high turnover of
inventories and capital etc.
The company must plan to exploit these strengths to the maximum.
Standing plans:
Policies:
A policy is a general guideline for decision making which sets up boundaries around decisions
including those that cannot be made and shutting out those that cannot.
A policy can be considered as a verbal, written or implied overall guide setting up boundaries
that supply the general limits and the direction in which ,managerial action takes place Policies
suggest how to do the work.
They do not dictate terms to subordinates and provide only a framework within which the
decisions must be made by the management in different spheres. For example:
1) Recruitment policy of a company is to recruit meritorious people through the employment
exchange
2) Distribution policy of a fertilizer company is farmer oriented. Policies and objectives guide
thinking and action, but with a difference. Objectives are end points of planning while policies
channelize decisions to these ends.
Advantages of policies:
1) Policies ensure uniformity of action in respect of matters at various organizational points which
make actions more predictable.
2) Policies speed up decisions at lower levels because subordinates need not consult their
superiors frequently.
3) makes it easier for the superior to delegate more and more authority to the his subordinates
without being unduly concerned because he knows that whatever decision the subordinates
make will be within the boundaries of the policies.
4) Policies give a practical shape to the objectives by elaborating and directing the way in which
the predetermined objectives are to be attained.
Disadvantages of policies: Policies with broad areas of discretion and initiative lead to inconsistent
interpretations and make the very delegation of authority difficult which they are intended to
implement.
Types of policies:
Can be classified on the basis of sources, functions or organizational levels
1. Classification on the basis of sources: three types originated, appealed, implied and imposed
policies
(a) Originated policies:
Are usually established formally and deliberately by top managers for the purpose of
guiding of actions of their subordinates and also their own.
These policies are set out in print and embodied in manual.
(b) Appealed policies:
Are those which arise from the appeal made by a subordinate to his superior regarding
the manner of handling a given situation and comes into existence because of the appeal
made by the subordinate to the supervisor.
(c) Implied policies:
Are also policies which are stated neither in writing nor verbally.
Such policies are called implied policies.
Only by watching the actual behavior of the various superiors in specific situations can
the presence of implied policy is ascertained.
(d) Externally imposed policies:
Are the policies which are imposed on the business by external agencies such as
government trade associations, and trade unions. Example: policy dictated by the
government law.
Procedures:
Policies are carried out by means of more detailed guidelines called procedures.
A procedure provides a detailed set of instructions for performing a sequence of actions
involved in doing a certain piece of work.
The same steps are followed each time that activity is performed.
For example: the procedure for purchasing raw material may be -
i. the requisition from the storekeeper to the purchasing department.
ii. Calling tenders for purchase of materials.
iii. placing orders with the suppliers who are selected
iv. inspecting the materials purchased by the inspecting department
v. Making payment to the supplier of materials by the accounts department.
Similarly, the procedure for the recruitment of personnel may be
i. inviting applications through advertisement
ii. screening the applications
iii. conducting written test
iv. conducting interview for those who have passed the written test and
v. Medical examination of those who are selected for the posts.
Procedures may also exist for conducting the meetings of directors and shareholders, granting
loans to employees, issuing raw materials from the stores department, granting sick leaves to
the employees, passing bills by the accounts department.
Limitations:
1. By prescribing one standard way of performing a task, they limit the scope for innovation or
improvement of work performance.
2. By cutting across department lines and extending into various other departments, they sometimes
result in duplication, overlapping and conflict. These limitations can be overcome if the
management reviews and appraises the procedures periodically with an intention to improve them.
Methods: A Method is a prescribed way in which one step of a procedure is to be performed. Methods
help in increasing the effectiveness and usefulness of the procedure. Improving methods increases the
productivity, reduces fatigue in operation and reduction in costs can be achieved.
Rules: Rules are detailed and recorded instruction that a specific action must or must not be performed
in a given situation. Like procedures, RULES also bring in predictability. A rule makes sure that a job is
done in the same manner every time & brings in uniformity in efforts & results.
A rule is different from policy, procedure or method.
- Not a policy because it does not give a guide to thinking and does not leave any discretion to
the party involved.
- Not a procedure because there is no sequence to a particular action.
- Not a method because it is not concerned with any one particular step of a procedure.
Budgets:
A budget is a financial and/or quantitative statement prepared prior to a definite period of time,
of the policy to be pursued during that period, for the purpose of obtaining a given objective.
Budgets are useful plans for an enterprise, planned for a future period of time containing
statements of expected results in numerical terms. Example: Sales Budget. Expense Budget,
Production Budget.
Business plan:
It is an important document prepared by an entrepreneur as a start-up strategy to prove to its
stake holders about the company’s position to articulate and manage diverse aspects of the
business.
A good business plan must provide full information on all the topics readers may be interested
in; must have an objective tone; must not be over critical of past failures or mistakes if any;
should not be filled only with technical details.
Steps in planning:
There are many types of objectives managers may select: desired sales volume or growth rate,
the development of a new product or service or even a more abstract goal such as becoming
more active in the community.
The type of goal selected will depend on a number of factors: the basic mission of the
organization, the value its mangers hold and the actual and the potential abilities of the
organization.
4) Finding alternate courses of action: The fourth step of planning is to search for & examine the
alternate courses of action. Example: securing the technical knowhow by engaging a foreign
technician or by training staff abroad.
5) Evaluating and selecting the alternate courses of action: After listing the alternates, selecting
the best alternate or course of action is done with the help of quantitative techniques and operations
research.
6) Developing the derivative plans: Once plan formulated, its broad goals must be translated on day
to day operations of organization Middle level managers must draw up the appropriate plans,
programmes and budgets for their sub-units which are described as derivative plans.
7) Establishing and Deploying Action Plans: Action represents ‘the lowest level of execution’. The
action plan identifies particular activities necessary for this purpose and specifies the who, what,
when, where and how of each action. A draft version of the action plan should be communicated to
inform those directly involved & gain their cooperation.
8) Measuring and controlling the process: Plan cannot be run without monitoring its progress. The
managers must check the progress of their plans.
a. Take whatever remedial action is necessary to make the plan work
b. Change the original plan is it is unrealistic.
Limitations of planning:
1. Planning is expensive and time consuming process. it involves significant amount of money,
energy and also risk without any assurance of the fulfilment of the organizations objectives
2. Sometimes restricts the organization to the most rational and risk free opportunities. Curbs the
initiatives of the manager and forces him to operate within the limits set by it and sometimes
cause delay in decision making in case of emergency.
3. Scope of planning is limited with rapidly changing situations.
4. Establishment of advance plans tends to make administration inflexible. Example: business
changes, change in government policy, may make the original plan lose its value.
5. Another limiting factor in planning is the formulating of the accurate premises.
6. Planning may sometimes face peoples’ resistance to it.
Planning skills:
1. Ability to think ahead
2. Ability to define company objectives
3. Ability to forecast future environmental trends
4. Ability to monitor the implementation of strategies
5. Ability to provide an appropriately timed, intermeshed network of derivative and supporting
programmes.
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Quite literally, organizations operate by people making decisions. A manager plans, organizes staffs,
leads, and controls her team by executing decisions. The effectiveness and quality of those decisions
determine how successful a manager will be.
Symptoms and Their Real Causes: Symptoms Underlying the Problem ‘Low profits and/or
declining sales’ are as follows - Poor market research, high costs, Poor design process, poorly
trained Employees, Low morale, Lack of communication between management and subordinates,
High employee turnover, Rate of pay too low, job design not suitable, High rate of absenteeism,
Employees believe that they are not valued and so on.
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brainstorming, where a group works together to generate ideas and alternative solutions. The
assumption behind brainstorming is that the group dynamic stimulates thinking — one person’s
ideas, no matter how outrageous, can generate ideas from the others in the group. Ideally, this
spawning of ideas is contagious, and before long, lots of suggestions and ideas flow. Brainstorming
usually requires 30 minutes to an hour.
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1. Certainty:
Decisions are made under the condition of certainty when the manager has perfect knowledge
of all the information needed to make a decision. This condition is ideal for problem solving. The
challenge is simply to study the alternatives and choose the best solution. When problems tend
to arise on a regular basis, a manager may address them through standard or prepared
responses called programmed decisions.
These solutions are already available from past experiences and are appropriate for the problem
at hand. A good example is the decision to reorder inventory automatically when stock falls
below a determined level. Today, an increasing number of programmed decisions are being
assisted or handled by computers using decision-support software. Structured problems are
familiar, straightforward, and clear with respect to the information needed to resolve them. A
manager can often anticipate these problems and plan to prevent or solve them. For example,
personnel problems are common in regard to pay raises, promotions, vacation requests, and
committee assignments, as examples. Proactive managers can plan processes for handling these
complaints effectively before they even occur.
2. Risk:
In a risk environment, the manager lacks complete information. This condition is more difficult.
A manager may understand the problem and the alternatives, but has no guarantee how each
solution will work. Risk is a fairly common decision condition for managers. When new and
unfamiliar problems arise, non-programmed decisions are specifically tailored to the situations
at hand. The information requirements for defining and resolving non-routine problems are
typically high. Although computer support may assist in information processing, the decision
will most likely involve human judgment. Most problems faced by higher-level managers
demand non-programmed decisions. This fact explains why the demands on a manager’s
conceptual skills increase as he or she moves into higher levels of managerial responsibility.
A crisis problem is an unexpected problem that can lead to disaster if it’s not resolved quickly
and appropriately. No organization can avoid crises, and the public is well aware of the
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immensity of corporate crises in the modern world. The Chernobyl nuclear plant explosion in
the former Soviet Union and the Exxon Valdez spill of years past are a couple of sensational
examples. Managers in more progressive organizations now anticipate that crises,
unfortunately, will occur. These managers are installing early-warning crisis information
systems and developing crisis management plans to deal with these situations in the best
possible ways.
3. Uncertainty:
When information is so poor that managers can’t even assign probabilities to the likely outcomes
of alternatives, the manager is making a decision in an uncertain environment. This condition is
the most difficult for a manager. Decision making under conditions of uncertainty is like being a
pioneer entering unexplored territory. Uncertainty forces managers to rely heavily on creativity
in solving problems: It requires unique and often totally innovative alternatives to existing
processes. Groups are frequently used for problem solving in such situations. In all cases, the
responses to uncertainty depend greatly on intuition, educated guesses, and hunches — all of
which leave considerable room for error. These unstructured problems involve ambiguities and
information deficiencies and often occur as new or unexpected situations. These problems are
most often unanticipated and are addressed reactively as they occur. Unstructured problems
require novel solutions. Proactive managers are sometimes able to get a jump on unstructured
problems by realizing that a situation is susceptible to problems and then making contingency
plans. For example, at the Vanguard Group, executives are tireless in their preparations for a
variety of events that could disrupt their mutual fund business. Their biggest fear is an investor
panic that overloads their customer service system during a major plunge in the bond or stock
markets. In anticipation of this occurrence, the firm has trained accountants, lawyers, and fund
managers to staff the telephones if needed.
Decision Models
1. Rational/Logical decision model
This approach uses a step-by-step process, similar to the seven-step decision- making process
described earlier in this chapter. The rational/logical decision model focuses on facts and
reasoning. Reliance is on the steps and decision tools, such as payback analysis, decision tree,
and research — all are described later in this chapter. Through the use of quantitative
techniques, rationality, and logic, the manager evaluates the alternatives and selects the best
solution to the problem.
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Decision trees
A decision tree shows a complete picture of a potential decision and allows a manager to graph
alternative decision paths. Decision trees are a useful way to analyze hiring, marketing, investments,
equipment purchases, pricing, and similar decisions that involve a progression of smaller decisions.
Generally, decision trees are used to evaluate decisions under conditions of risk. The term decision
tree comes from the graphic appearance of the technique that starts with the initial decision shown
as the base. The various alternatives, based upon possible future environmental conditions, and the
payoffs associated with each of the decisions branch from the trunk. Decision trees force a manager
to be explicit in analyzing conditions associated with future decisions and in determining the
outcome of different alternatives. The decision tree is a flexible method. It can be used for many
situations in which emphasis can be placed on sequential decisions, the probability of various
conditions, or the highlighting of alternatives.
Payback analysis
Payback analysis comes in handy if a manager needs to decide whether to purchase a piece of
equipment. Say, for example, that a manager is purchasing cars for a rental car company. Although
a less-expensive car may take less time to pay off, some clients may want more luxurious models. To
decide which cars to purchase, a manager should consider some factors, such as the expected useful
life of the car, its warranty and repair record, its cost of insurance, and, of course, the rental demand
for the car. Based on the information gathered, a manager can then rank alternatives based on the
cost of each car. A higher-priced car may be more appropriate because of its longer life and customer
rental demand. The strategy, of course, is for the manager to choose the alternative that has the
quickest payback of the initial cost. Many individuals use payback analysis
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when they decide whether they should continue their education. They determine how much courses
will cost, how much salary they will earn as a result of each course completed and perhaps, degree
earned, and how long it will take to recoup the investment. If the benefits outweigh the costs, the
payback is worthwhile.
Simulations
Simulation is a broad term indicating any type of activity that attempts to imitate an existing system
or situation in a simplified manner. Simulation is basically model building, in which the simulator is
trying to gain understanding by replicating something and then manipulating it by adjusting the
variables used to build the model. Simulations have great potential in decision making. In the basic
decision making steps listed earlier in this chapter, Step 4 is the evaluation of alternatives. If a
manager could simulate alternatives and predict their outcomes at this point in the decision process,
he or she would eliminate much of the guesswork from decision making.
Types of decisions:
1. Programmed and non-programmed decisions:
Programmed decisions are concerned with the problems of repetitive nature or routine type
matters. A standard procedure is followed for tackling such problems. These decisions are taken
generally by lower level managers. Decisions of this type may pertain to e.g. purchase of raw
material, granting leave to an employee and supply of goods and implements to the employees,
etc.
Non-programmed decisions relate to difficult situations for which there is no easy solution.
These matters are very important for the organization. For example, opening of a new branch of
the organization or a large number of employees absenting from the organization or introducing
new product in the market, etc., are the decisions which are normally taken at the higher level.
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Personal decisions sometimes may affect functioning of the organization also. For example, if an
executive leaves the organization, it may affect the organization. The authority of taking
organizational decisions may be delegated, whereas personal decisions cannot be delegated.
The results of dozens of individual-versus-group performance studies indicate that groups not only
tend to make better decisions than a person acting alone, but also that groups tend to inspire star
performers to even higher levels of productivity. So, are two (or more) heads better than one? The
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answer depends on several factors, such as the nature of the task, the abilities of the group members,
and the form of interaction. Because a manager often has a choice between making a decision
independently or including others in the decision making, therefore one needs to understand the
advantages and disadvantages of group decision making.
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Following are the important steps of the decision making process. Each step may be supported by
different tools and techniques.
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