Actuaryyyy
Actuaryyyy
Actuaryyyy
Life Contingencies I
2
Review of annuities-certain
n−1
X 1 − vn
Annuity-due: ä n = vk =
d
k=0
n
1 − vn
Z
Continuous annuity: ā n = e −δt dt =
0 δ
nm
(m)
X 1 k/m 1 − vn
mth ly annuity-immediate: a n = v = (m)
m i
k=1
3
Review of annuities-certain — continued
Increasing annuity-immediate:
n
X ä n − nv n
(Ia)n = k vk =
i
k=1
Decreasing annuity-immediate:
n
X n − an
(Da)n = (n + 1 − k) v k =
i
k=1
a n (1 + i)n = s n
4
Whole life annuity-due
Y = 1 + v + v 2 + · · · + v Kx = ä Kx +1 (1)
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Whole life annuity-due EPV
The EPV of this annuity is denoted by äx and we can use our
general strategy to find this EPV:
∞
X
äx = v k k px
k=0
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Whole life annuity-due EPV, variance, and recursion
Finally, we could calculate the EPV using the standard formula for
the expectation of a discrete RV:
∞
X
äx = ä k+1 k |qx
k=0
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Term annuity-due
Now consider an annuity that pays (x) an amount of $1 on an
annual basis for up to n years, so long as (x) is alive, with the first
payment occuring immediately.
This type of life annuity is known as a term annuity-due.
2A
x:n − (Ax:n )2
Var (Y ) =
d2
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Example
Suppose that a person currently age 65 wants to purchase a 3-year
term annuity due with annual payments of $50, 000 each. You are
given that
p65 = 0.95 p66 = 0.91 p67 = 0.87 i = 7%
Letting Y denote the PV of the annuity benefit, calculate:
(a) E [Y ]
(b) sd(Y )
(c) Pr (Y > 70000)
Y ∗ = v + v 2 + · · · + v Kx = a Kx
with pmf
P Y ∗ = a k = k |qx
for k = 0, 1, 2, 3, . . .
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Whole life annuity-immediate (continued)
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Term annuity-immediate
Now consider an annuity that pays (x) an amount of $1 on an
annual basis for up to n years, so long as (x) is alive, with the first
payment occuring at age x + 1.
This type of life annuity is known as a term
annuity-immediate.
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Example
Assume that 1
20 Ex = 0.35, 20 qx = 0.3, and Ax:20 = 0.2.
Find:
1 Ax:20
2 äx:20
3 ax:20
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Whole life continuous annuity
Next we’ll consider continuous life annuities, starting with a whole
life continuous annuity.
This type of annuity pays (x) continuously at a rate of $1 per
year for as long as (x) is alive, starting now.
2A
2
x − Ax
Var (Y ) =
δ2
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Term continuous annuity
We can also have a continuous annuity that pays for a maximum
of n years, so long as (x) is alive.
This type of life annuity is known as an n -year term
continuous annuity.
n n
1 − Āx:n
Z Z
−δt
āx:n = e t px dt = = āt t px µx+t dt + ān n px
0 δ 0
2 Ā
2
x:n − Āx:n
Var (Y ) =
15
δ2
Example
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mth ly life annuities
We can also analyze life annuities that pay on an mth ly basis.
(m) (m) 1
We can also consider the “immediate” version: ax = äx −
m
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mth ly term annuities
Now consider an annuity that pays an amount of 1 per year, paid
in installments of amount m1 at the beginning of each mth of a
year, so long as (x) lives, but for a maximum of n years.
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Deferred annuities
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Deferred annuities (continued)
n−1
X
äx:n = äx − n Ex äx+n äx:n = u |äx:1
u=0
20
Example
Find:
1
10 E30
2 ä30:20
3 ä30
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Guaranteed annuities
We can also consider annuities in which some of the payments are
certain, rather than being contingent on the policyholder being
alive at the time of payment.
That is, some of the payments may be guaranteed rather
than life contingent.
This creates a sort of annuity that’s a hybrid between the ones
we’ve studied in this chapter and annuities-certain.
Any payments made after the annuitant dies would go to a
beneficiary.
This reduces the risk of a very poor return, but there’s a cost
associated with it...
For example, consider a whole life annuity due that will pay for a
minimum of n years, even if death occurs within the first n years.
This is sometimes called a “life and n-year certain” annuity.
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Guaranteed annuities (continued)
The EPV of an whole life annuity due that guarantees the first n
payments is denoted by ä x:n
ä x:n = ä n + n Ex äx+n
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Example
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Annuities with varying benefits
For example, we can use our general EPV strategy to find the EPV
of an arithmetically increasing n-year term life annuity-due:
n−1
X
(I ä)x:n = v t (t + 1) t px
t=0
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Fractional age assumptions
By using the fractional age relationships we developed for life
insurances, we can find corresponding formulas for annuities. For
example, under UDD we have:
(m) UDD
äx = α(m) äx − β(m)
where
id i − i (m)
α(m) = and β(m) =
i (m) d (m) i (m) d (m)
UDD id i −δ
Letting m → ∞ yields: ax = äx −
δ2 δ2
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Woolhouse’s Formula
Another approach to approximating EPVs of mth ly and continuous
life annuities is by using Woolhouse’s formula. For an mth ly
whole life annuity, the EPV approximation is given by
(m) m − 1 m2 − 1
äx ≈ äx − − (δ + µx )
2m 12m2
1 1
Letting m → ∞ yields: ax ≈ äx − − (δ + µx )
2 12
(m) m−1 m2 − 1
äx:n ≈ äx:n − (1 − v n n px )− (δ + µx − v n n px (δ + µx+n ))
2m 12m2
and
1 1
ax:n ≈ äx:n − (1 − v n n px ) − (δ + µx − v n n px (δ + µx+n ))
2 12
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Examples
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