The Influence of Speech Communication On The Image of A Political Candidate: "Limited Effects" Revisited
The Influence of Speech Communication On The Image of A Political Candidate: "Limited Effects" Revisited
To cite this article: Keith R. Sanders & Thomas J. Pace (1977) The Influence of Speech
Communication on the Image of a Political Candidate: “Limited Effects” Revisited, Annals of the
International Communication Association, 1:1, 465-474, DOI: 10.1080/23808985.1977.11923700
Drawing on the selective exposure hypothesis and related lit~ature, this paper presents
the results of a "natural experiment" designed to test hypotheses regarding the demo-
graphic composition and partisan affiliations of the audiences attracted to political
campaign speeches. The immediate effects on candidate image of the speeches were also
measured. Seventeen audiences of a Republican gubernatorial candidate completed a
nine-scale semantic differential before he spoke and immediately afterward. Data
analysis revealed that, although a majority of!hose in the candidate's audiences were
Republican, partisan composition shifted significantly from one audience situation to
another. In addition, the candidate's speeches produced significant positive shifts in
image across all audience situations. Finding the "limited effects" perspective uninspir-
ing as an explanation for these outcomes, the authors invoke, tentatively, a "uses and
gratifications" rationale.
It is widely assumed that, in the age of television, posure one of the two basic precepts of his highly
political oratory is an anachronism about which heuristic theory of cognitive dissonance. Berelson
little of value remains to be learned. Heavily influ- and Steiner (1964) presented it as a basic principle
enced by a "limited effects" communication of human behavior. The Behavioral Sciences Sub-
model, most scholars who hold an opinion on the panel (1962, p. 57) of the President's Science Advi-
matter appear to believe that they know, at least in sory Committee asserted flatly, " ... individuals
general terms, who comes to hear the speeches of a engage in selective exposure ... ", and Richard
political candidate and what effect, if any, these Hofstadter ( 1966) included selective exposure in his
speeches have (Scammon & Wattenberg, 1968; description of the "paranoid style" in American
Lamb & Smith, 1968; Swanson, 1972). The imme- politics.
diate audiences of political candidates are thought Indeed, such conclusions as the foregoing
to be relatively homogeneous, highly partisan, and seemed, at the time, irrefutable, when one consid-
rather resistant to change. It is reasoned that those ered the dearth of studies which supported the no-
who attend political meetings are so firmly commit- tion of selectivity. For example, after their classic
ted to their opinions and to their candidate, that study of the 1940 presidential election campaigns,
there is little room for further conversion and little Lazarsfeld, Berelson, and Gaudet (1948) con-
likelihood of a reduction in their commitment. At cluded that "voters turn to propaganda which af-
best, it is thought that political rallies serve to rein- firms that validity and wisdom of their original
force pre-existing attitudes (MacNeil, 1968; Kei- decision" (p. 90). In studying exposure patterns
Jey, 1960). resulting from an information campaign favorable
Those who hold this point of view could, until to the United Nations, Star and Hughes (1950)
recently, find a great deal of support for their posi- found exposure was considerably higher among
tion in the literature of selective exposure. Through persons who were already favorable to the United
the mid-1960s no psychological principle was more Nations. Schramm and Carter ( 1959) found that a
widely accepted than the assertion that individuals larger percentage of Republicans than Democrats
are motivated to seek information which supports had watched a telethon given by the Republican
their opinions and to avoid information which con- candidate. It was evidence of this sort, and more,
tradicts them. Fe stinger ( 1957) made selective ex- which led to universal acceptance of the doctrine of
466 Communication Yearbook I
selectivity and the implication that political mes- because it contains much useful information about
sages, especially during campaigns, produce little day-to-day trends in the business and industrial
attitude change (Blumler & McLeod, 1974; Sanders community. The position one takes when explain-
in press). ing selectivity, de facto or motivated, dictates, to a
However, Freedman and Sears (1975) published large extent, the inference he will draw about the
a review of the experimental studies which had probability that partisan political messages will
tested the selective exposure hypothesis and con- change the attitudes of those who attend partisan
cluded that "experimental evidence does not dem- political rallies.
onstrate that there is a general psychological ten- If one is a "limited effects" theorist, holding the
dency to avoid nonsupportive and to seek out sup- view that political messages in campaigns exert
portive information" (1965, p. 94). Not convinced few influence partly because of selective exposure,
by the Freedman and Sears analysis, Mills ( 1968) then one must hold that political oratory will have
reviewed the same set of studies, plus some which few if any additional effects on its immediate audi-
were done after the Freedman-Sears review, and ence. Unlike the more or less passive selectivity
decided the evidence warrants the conclusion that involved in deciding to watch one television pro-
people tend to seek out supporting information and gram over another, the taking of oneself to a politi-
avoid discrepant information. Katz ( 196 ~- has also cal rally requires effort. In fact, it is difficult to
called for a less than total rejection of the imagine a more overt act of selective exposure.
hypothesis, based upon field research in mass Sears and Whitney ( 1973, p. 259) contend that:
communications. Sanders and Newman ( 1971) "Face-to-face political meetings may elicit more de
found in a limited test of Hofstadter' s description of facto selectivity than communications in newspa-
the paranoid political style that political pers, magazines, TV and radio because they attract
"paranoids" do not actively avoid discrepant in- fewer people and hence probably only the most
formation. In fact, they found some evidence that involved partisans." If Sears and Whitney are cor-
such persons actively seek discrepant information, rect, political meetings constitute a propitious set-
distort it, and use it as data in support of their world ting in which to test the hypothesis that partisan
view. messages have little impact on partisan audiences.
Unfortunately, few empirical studies have been
conducted in this setting.
Motivated Versus De Facto Selectivity
Although speech-communication. scholars have
The major issue in the controversy has to do with given a great deal of attention to political public
the "voluntary" or "motivated" nature of selectiv- speaking, it has, as Swanson (1972) rightly con-
ity and not with the selective exposure per se. All tended, come almost exclusively from those who
disputants agree that de facto selectivity has been hold a noncmpirical orientation. In this literature
well documented. Persons are exposed more to there is much speculation regarding the composi-
communication with which they agree, than to tion of audiences and the impact of speeches on
communication with which they disagree. Howev- immediate audiences. In fact, a review (Trent,
er, this does not demonstrate the presence of a 1975) of the most pertinent literature reveals only
general psychological predisposition in favor of two field studies on the direct effects of political
supportive information. Selectivity could be due to oratory.
a variety of other factors, such as the availability of Brooks ( l 967) studied the influence on attitudes
more supportive information in the individual's toward the candidates of speeches given at political
natural environment (Sears, 1968), the greater per- rallies in Pittsburgh during the Goldwater-Johnson
ceived utility of some information over other infor- campaign. He found that Goldwater was successful
mation, or a combination of reasons. A conserva- in changing audience attitudes toward himself on
tive Republican may read the Wall Street Journal two of the five scales used in the study. Johnson,
because it includes supportive information, is in the however, failed to produce a significant change on
offices and homes of all of his colleagues, and/or any of the five scales.
POLITICAL COMMUNICATION 467
Kaid and Hirsch ( 1973) found that a 1972 cam- groups. and political rallies. At least two, but not
paign speech by Edmund Muskie produced a positive more than three, audiences were chosen from each
shift in mean image score as measured by twelve of the last six weeks of the campaign during which
semantic differential scales, but no change in the the largest number of speeches were given. Audi-
overall image structure as indicated by factor analy- ences were selected from a variety of geographical
sis of pretest and posttest scores. A follow-up study areas within the state.
conducted two to three weeks after the Muskie rally The selection of subjects within the 17 audiences
indicated that, while the changes in mean image was less complicated. In audiences of thirty or
scores held, image structure had changed. The re- fewer, largely civic and fraternal organizations, the
searchers concluded that'' A single appearance by a entire audience served as subjects. In larger groups,
political candidate can result in a favorable shift in such as political rallies, subjects were selected as
image, and that shift can persist over time." they entered the meeting by randomly handing
Both the Brooks ( 1967) and Kaid and Hirsch them a questionnaire or by moving through an al-
(1973) studies call in to question inferences drawn ready assembled audience and passing out ques-
from the much embattled "limited effects" model tionnaires. Subjects were not chosen from any par-
(Becker, McCombs, & McLeod, 1975) that politi- ticular place in the meeting room or from those
cal partisans are the exclusive audience of political ~ rriving early or late. Questionnaires were in the
oratory and that such oratory has little impact. As a hands of subjects before the candidate was intro-
further test of the implications of this model, this duced.
study was designed to test the following hypoth- A total of763 questionnaires were distributed. Of
eses: this number, 553 (or about 80%) were retrieved.
Complete and usable data were obtained from 491,
H 1: At least a majority (51%) of those who come to
or 64%, of the total: 127 from civic and fraternal
hear a political candidate speak will be mem-
groups, 189 from university related groups, and 175
bers of his political party.
from political rallies.
H2 : Sex, age, and political party affiliation will not
vary significantly from one audience situation Design
to another during a political campaign.
H3 : The speeches of a political candidate will have
The pretest-posttest design pattern was used
no significant influence on his image as per-
across all audiences. All data were gathered by the
ceived by his immediate audiences.
researchers. Before the candidate began speaking,
subjects were given a three page questionnaire call-
PROCEDURES ing for information regarding their sex, age, politi-
cal party affiliation, and presidential preference. It
Subjects also asked whether they had seen the candidate on
television or on billboards; whether they had heard
The subjects from whom data were gathered for him on radio, or read about him in newspapers; and
this study were selected from 17 different audiences whether they had heard him speak in person earlier
who came to hear a political speech by Paul Eggers in the campaign. The individual introducing the
during the final six weeks of his 1968 campaign as candidate was asked to tell the audience that a study
Republican candidate for governor of Texas. The was being conducted and to call for their coopera-
17 audiences were chosen in an attempt to include in tion.
the study a representative sample of the immediate The questionnaire also contained two nine-scale
audiences to whom the candidate spoke. semantic differentials and instructions for comple-
In about the proper proportions they represented tion. Subjects were asked to complete one set of
the three different types of audiences to whom the scales before the candidate was introduced and an
candidate spoke during the period under study: civic identical set after the speech and the question and
and fraternal organizations, university-related answer period.
468 Communication Yearbook I
TABLE 1
Frequency Distribution and Percentages on Sex, Party Affiliation, and
Age of Subjects in Civic/Fraternal, University, and Political Rally
Audience Situations
Audience Situations
Variable Civic-Frat. Univ. Pol. Rally Total
Sex
Male 87(69%) 140(74%) 103(59%) 330(67%)
Female 40(31%) 49(26%) 72(41%) 161(33%)
Party
Republican 64(50%) 92(49%) 141(81%) 297(60%)
Democrat 35(28%) 62(33%) 5( 3%) 102(21%)
Amer. Ind. 10( 8%) 10( 5%) 7( 4%) 27( 5%)
Other 18(14%) 25(13%) 22(13%) 65(13%)
Age
0 - 20 13(10%) 75(40%) 21(12%) 109(22%)
21 - 30 39(31%) I08(51%) 45(26%) 192( 39%~
31 - 40 44(35%) 5( 3%) 59(34%) 108(22%)
41 - 50 17(13%) 1( 1%) 35(20%) 53( 11%)
51 - 60 10( 8%) 9( 5%) 19( 4%)
61 plus 4( 3%) 6( 3%) 10( 2%)
variable. As Table I reveals, there was a considera- (t=I56.68, p<.05). Thus, hypothesis 2 must be
ble difference in the range and variation around the rejected. Sex, age, and political party affiliation all
mean from one audience type to another. The t-test tend to vary from one audience type to another.
for differences between means of independent sam-
ples indicates that the mean age of the civic/fraternal Hypothesis 3
audiences differed significantly from the mean age
of the university audiences (t=84.35, p<.05), that Table 2 summarizes the data collected in the
the mean age of civic/fraternal audiences differed testing of hypothesis 3. It indicates overwhelmingly
significantly from the mean age of the political rally that hypothesis 3 must be rejected. The speeches of
audiences (t=215.92, p<.05), and that the mean the candidate under study had a significant influ-
age of university audiences differed significantly ence on his image in all three audience situations.
from the mean age of political rally audiences The scores which served as raw data for the means
470 Communication Yearbook I
TABLE 2
Means, Standard Deviations, and F. Ratio for Pretest and Posttest
Scores on the Semantic Differential
TABLE 3
Factor Loadings Yielded by Varimax Analysis of Pretest and Posttest
Data Gathered from Civic/Fraternal Audiences
Pretest
Factor 1 (.58)1 Factor 2 (.42)
Post test
Factor 1 (.62) Factor 2 (.38)
TABLE 4
Factor Loadings Yielded by Varimax Analysis of Pretest and Posttest
Data Gathered from University Audiences
Pretest
Factor 1 (.85) 1 Factor 2 (.15)
Post test
Factor 1 (.86) Factor 2 (.14)
reported in Table 2 ranged from a low of 9 to a high ence perceptions of the candidate between the pre-
of 45 for each subject. In other words, the lowest testing and posttesting of the civic/fraternal audi-
score any subject could give was one on each of the ences. For example, posttest factor 2 retained only
nine scales, for a total of 9, and the highest score one of the three scales it held in the pretest, dropped
was 45 or a 5 on each of the nine scales. The means two scales, and added three. However, the results
rep6rted in Table 2 revealed a positive shift in the from an application of program SIMFAC do not
candidate's image. support this conclusion. SIMFAC compares factor
As a supplement to the analysis of variance, we structures and provides a coefficient which is indic-
performed a varimax orthogonally-rotated factor ative of the extent to which the factors are related.
analysis on the pretest and posttest data gathered in Pretest factor I correlates highly with posttest factor
each of the three audience situations. With the 2 (r=.90, R2 =.81), and pretest factor 2 correlates
eigenvalue set at 1.00, the first run yielded a one highly with posttest factor I (4=.96, R2 =.92). It
factor solution on all six sets of data (three pretests can, therefore, be concluded that those who came to
and three posttests). However, it did appear that hear the candidate on civic/fraternal occasions did
there might be a second related factor. Tables 3, 4, not restructure their image of the candidate after
and 5 contain the scales and Ioadings extracted hearing him speak.
during a second analysis wherein a two factor solu- Table 4 illustrates a similar result for those who
tion was requested. heard the candidate in university settings. There is
At first glance, Table 3 might lead one to con- obviously great similarity between pretest factor I
clude that there was a substantial change in audi- and posttest tactor I , and between pretest factor 2
472 Communication Yearbook I
TABLE 5
Factor Loadings Yielded by Varimax Analysis of Pretest and Posttest
Data Gathered from Political Rally Audiences
Pretest
Factor 1 (.68)1 Factor 2 (.32)
Post test
Factor 1 (.65) Factor 2 (.35)
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