The Challenges of Developing Biodiversity Indicators For Scotland
The Challenges of Developing Biodiversity Indicators For Scotland
The Challenges of Developing Biodiversity Indicators For Scotland
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Foster, S., Mackey, E.C. and Marrs, S.J. (2011). The Challenges of Developing Biodiversity Indicators
for Scotland – The Changing Nature of Scotland, eds. S.J. Marrs, S. Foster, C. Hendrie, E.C. Mackey,
D.B.A. Thompson. TSO Scotland, Edinburgh, pp 23-38.
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The Changing Nature of Scotland
2.1 Introduction
Indicators provide a succinct overview of how different components of our
biodiversity are changing, and thereby help inform policy, advice and management.
Singleton et al. (2000) describe indicators as ‘an integrated value, derived from a
reproducible assessment, which reflects the significance of change’. A good
indicator allows for early intervention should problems arise, and helps track
progress toward a predefined target. They also summarise complex information in a
consistent way in order to track change through time and can be used to determine,
for example, the effectiveness of a policy, the state of the economy or the state of
our natural environment. Perhaps some of the more recognisable indicators are
those that tell us how the economy is changing for example the Financial Times
Stock Exchange (FTSE) 100. The FTSE 100 summarises complex economic
information, including the price of shares, into a format which enables changes in
the economy to be tracked. Similarly there are indicators which measure the health
of people, such as the Scottish Government’s National Indicator measuring the
number of people dying as a result of coronary heart disease (Scottish Government,
2009). These indicators although quite different in subject have some commonality.
They are easily recognised and meaningful, simplify complex underlying data into a
format which can be used by policy makers, are easily understood by the public,
and can, perhaps most importantly, be readily updated. The development of a
single indicator to track biodiversity has been likened to the search for the holy grail,
and at present best practice recommends a suite of relevant biodiversity indicators
(inter alia Dale and Beyeler, 2001; Bispo et al., 2009; Feld et al., 2010).
Measuring change in our natural environment is important for a number of
reasons, notably to determine: whether ecosystems and their services are being
conserved; the effectiveness of land management policies and the benefits of
reducing pollution; and whether development is sustainable. Since the early 1980s
a range of indicators have been proposed and developed around key policies
(Rowell, 1994). Schneider (1992) identified seven criteria which indicators should
meet:
• Easy to measure;
• Inexpensive to measure;
• Provide early warning of ecosystem damage;
• They are more sensitive to ecological change (than other measures);
• Imply the state of the ecosystem;
• Useful to policy makers; and
• Provide to the public an index of the health of the environment.
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2 The Challenges of Developing Biodiversity Indicators for Scotland
In 2003 this was refined by Gregory et al. (2003) who stated that ‘they
[indicators] must be; quantitative, simplifying, user driven, policy relevant,
scientifically credible, responsive to changes, easily understood, realistic to collect
and susceptible to analysis’. In this paper we look at the development of
biodiversity indicators in Scotland, selected to track progress with Scotland’s
Biodiversity Strategy and describe some of the improvements that have been made
to two of the indicators since their inception in 2004.
25
The Changing Nature of Scotland
26
Table 2.1 How Scotland’s indicators link in to national and global assessments. For clarity the table shows the main relationships, however several of the
indicators at a Scotland level will feed into different broader scale indicators.
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Wintering waterbirds Selected species - wild birds
Breeding seabirds
Woodland structure
ecosystems, habitats
Area of forest, agricultural and
Sustainable woodland Sectors under sustainable aquaculture ecosystems under
management management sustainable management
Connectivity/fragmentation of Connectivity/fragmentation
Habitat connectivity
ecosystems of ecosystems
Otters
Water quality in aquatic Water quality of freshwater
River quality
ecosystems ecosystems
Freshwater macro-invertebrates
Sustainable fisheries
Trends in abundance and
Estuarine fish European commercial fish stocks
distribution of selected species
Marine ecosystem integrity
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Marine plankton Marine trophic index Marine trophic index
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The Changing Nature of Scotland
Identify possible
indicators
Gather and
review data
Develop
Calculate
monitoring and
indicators
reporting systems
Communicate
and interpret
indicators
Figure 2.1 The Biodiversity Indicator Development Framework. Adapted from 2010 Biodiversity
Indicators Partnership (2010). The colour coded boxes relate to the three stages for development namely:
Purpose (red) – actions needed for selecting successful indicators. Production (blue) – essential to
generate indicators. Permanence (green) – mechanisms for ensuring indicator continuity and sustainability.
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2 The Challenges of Developing Biodiversity Indicators for Scotland
paper does not cover the full indicator set, of which others have also been refined
and updated including butterflies (see Brereton, Chapter 6), marine plankton,
wintering waterbirds and Biodiversity Action Plan habitats and species.
1.8
1.6
1.4
1.2
Index (1994=1)
0.8
0.6
0.4
All species (65spp) Farmland & Rural (27spp)
0.2 Woodland (23spp) Upland (23spp)
0
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Year
Figure 2.2 Scotland’s Biodiversity Indicator No. 3: Abundance of Terrestrial Breeding Birds. The
index tracks the abundance of 65 bird species in relation to a reference point in 1994.
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The Changing Nature of Scotland
breeding birds in Scotland only date back to 1994. Therefore, to account for
historical declines that may have occurred, Noble et al. (2007) looked at the
historical range changes as a proxy for declining populations. They showed that the
declines in Scotland were apparent, although not as severe as elsewhere. This
context of historical decline is important to bear in mind when the indicators are
showing improvement (de Heer et al., 2005). One of the groupings (farmland birds)
has historically shown significant declines throughout much of their UK range
before the start of the time series (Wilson, Chapter 26).
Improving the accuracy of this indicator has involved enhancing the survey
coverage. In Scotland, as in most countries, volunteer led surveys are usually most
consistently undertaken close to towns, cities and roads. This can lead to relatively
poor estimates of some habitats, particularly uplands and woodlands. To address
some of these issues SNH and Forestry Commission funded BTO to augment the
BBS in Scotland, specifically targeting woodlands, so that a greater number of
species could be included within the indicator. The results of this project showed
that it was possible to increase the number of species and improve coverage of
woodland areas in Scotland (Eglington and Noble, 2010).
In response to requests from users of the indicator, following an apparent
decline in 2006 (see Figure 2.2), BTO undertook work to enable the significance of
annual changes to be determined and smoothed the data to show the general
trends. The work highlighted that for the duration of the indicator only two years
showed significant declines and five significant increases, furthermore smoothing
the data allowed the underlying trend (i.e. the trend with the annual fluctuations
accounted for) to be shown (Noble and Thaxter, in press).
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2 The Challenges of Developing Biodiversity Indicators for Scotland
33
The Changing Nature of Scotland
120
100
Index (as a % of 1986 level)
80
60
40 Abundance
Productivity
20
0
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Year
Figure 2.3 Scotland’s Biodiversity Indicator No. 5: Abundance and Productivity of Breeding Seabirds
in Scotland. The index tracks the abundance and productivity of 12 seabird species.
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2 The Challenges of Developing Biodiversity Indicators for Scotland
35
The Changing Nature of Scotland
Acknowledgements
SNH maintains Scotland’s Biodiversity Indicators on their website (http://www.snh.
gov.uk/publications-data-and-research/trends) and we gratefully acknowledge the
following organisations whose contribution is essential for their delivery and
development: British Trust for Ornithology; Butterfly Conservation; Centre for
Ecology and Hydrology; Forestry Commission Scotland; Joint Nature Conservation
Committee; Marine Scotland – Science; Scottish Environment Protection Agency;
Sir Alister Hardy Foundation for Ocean Science, and Vincent Wildlife Trust. Much
of the data are generated by thousands of volunteers across Scotland without
whom many of these indicators could not be produced and we thank them for their
ongoing support and commitment.
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