Payback SOlved Examples

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Payback Solved Examples

Examples
Example 1: Even Cash Flows

Company C is planning to undertake a project requiring initial


investment of $105 million. The project is expected to generate $25
million per year in net cash flows for 7 years. Calculate the payback
period of the project.

Solution

Payback Period
= Initial Investment ÷ Annual Cash Flow
= $105M ÷ $25M
= 4.2 years

Example 2: Uneven Cash Flows

Company C is planning to undertake another project requiring initial


investment of $50 million and is expected to generate $10 million net
cash flow in Year 1, $13 million in Year 2, $16 million in year 3, $19
million in Year 4 and $22 million in Year 5. Calculate the payback value
of the project.

Solution

(cash flows in millions)


Year Annual Cumulative
Cash Flow Cash Flow
0 (50) (50)
1 10 (40)
2 13 (27)
3 16 (11)
4 19 8
Payback Solved Examples
5 22 30
Payback Period = 3 + 11/19 = 3 + 0.58 ≈ 3.6 years

Decision Rule
The longer the payback period of a project, the higher the risk.
Between mutually exclusive projects having similar return, the decision
should be to invest in the project having the shortest payback period.

When deciding whether to invest in a project or when comparing


projects having different returns, a decision based on payback period
is relatively complex. The decision whether to accept or reject a project
based on its payback period depends upon the risk appetite of the
management.

Management will set an acceptable payback period for individual


investments based on whether the management is risk averse or risk
taking. This target may be different for different projects because
higher risk corresponds with higher return thus longer payback period
being acceptable for profitable projects. For lower return projects,
management will only accept the project if the risk is low which means
payback period must be short.

Advantages and Disadvantages


Advantages of payback period are:

1. Payback period is very simple to calculate.


2. It can be a measure of risk inherent in a project. Since cash flows
that occur later in a project's life are considered more uncertain,
payback period provides an indication of how certain the project
cash inflows are.
3. For companies facing liquidity problems, it provides a good
ranking of projects that would return money early.
Payback Solved Examples
Disadvantages of payback period are:

1. Payback period does not take into account the time value of
money which is a serious drawback since it can lead to wrong
decisions. A variation of payback method that attempts to
address this drawback is called discounted payback
period method.
2. It does not take into account, the cash flows that occur after the
payback period. This means that a project having very good cash
inflows but beyond its payback period may be ignored.

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