Marketing Analytics
Marketing Analytics
Marketing Analytics
DOI: 10.1057/9781137413260.0001
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DOI: 10.1057/9781137413260.0001
Pricing, Online
Marketing Behavior,
and Analytics
Giampaolo Viglia
Research Fellow, University of Eastern Piedmont, Italy
DOI: 10.1057/9781137413260.0001
pricing, online marketing behavior, and analytics
Copyright © Giampaolo Viglia, 2014.
Foreword © Aurelio G. Mauri, 2014.
Softcover reprint of the hardcover 1st edition 2014
All rights reserved.
First published in 2014 by
PALGRAVE MACMILLAN®
in the United States—a division of St. Martin’s Press LLC,
175 Fifth Avenue, New York, NY 10010.
Where this book is distributed in the UK, Europe and the rest of the world,
this is by Palgrave Macmillan, a division of Macmillan Publishers Limited,
registered in England, company number 785998, of Houndmills, Basingstoke,
Hampshire RG21 6XS.
Palgrave Macmillan is the global academic imprint of the above companies
and has companies and representatives throughout the world.
Palgrave® and Macmillan® are registered trademarks in the United States,
the United Kingdom, Europe and other countries.
ISBN: 978–1–137–41327–7 EPUB
ISBN: 978–1–137–41326–0 PDF
ISBN 978-1-349-48988-6 ISBN 978-1-137-41326-0 (eBook)
DOI 10.1007/978-1-137-41326-0
Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data is available from the
Library of Congress.
A catalogue record of the book is available from the British Library.
First edition: 2014
www.palgrave.com/pivot
Contents
List of Illustrations vi
Foreword by Aurelio G. Mauri vii
Acknowledgments xiii
Introduction 1
1 Definition of Online Marketing 4
2 Online Marketing Communication
Channels 23
3 Online Marketing Metrics and Analytics 39
4 Online Pricing 48
5 A Peculiar Type of Revenue Management:
Overbooking 68
6 Case Study: Applications for the Hotel
Industry 76
Conclusions 87
References 90
Index 101
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List of Illustrations
Tables
1.1 Comparison of traditional and online
marketing 8
1.2 Five-step consumer buying decision model 15
4.1 Matching buyers and sellers as a function
of the market 49
4.2 Types of promotions and different roles 52
5.1 Reservation rights and cancellation rights 70
Figures
4.1 Prospect theory function 60
4.2 Decision weights 61
4.3 Prelec’s curvatures 63
5.1 Overbooking problems 71
6.1 Main online marketing channels used
by hotels 83
vi DOI: 10.1057/9781137413260.0002
Foreword: Marketing
and Pricing in the
Digital Environment
Aurelio G. Mauri
ICT developments and the widespread use of the Internet play a central
role in the new economics of today. The Internet is an effective, efficient,
and ubiquitous information platform that allows both firms and custom-
ers to reduce costs for information seeking (Sharma & Sheth, 2004). As
a matter of fact, a substantial effect of the Internet is a strong reduction
in the costs of information. In consequence of recent progress in mobile
technology and of the fast proliferation of portable devices, the mobile
channel has also arisen as a powerful tool for marketing activities.
The expansion of the digital environment, as noted by Teece (2010),
“require[s] businesses to re-evaluate the value propositions they present
to customers” and “the supply side driven logic of the industrial era
has become no longer viable.” In fact, as indicated by Vargo and Lusch
(2004), the business orientation has shifted from tangibles toward intan-
gibles, such as skills, information, and knowledge, and toward interac-
tivity and connectivity as well as relationships with the co-creation of
value. Moreover, the Internet has permitted the entry into the market of
new players and the use of new distribution channels. In addition, the
Internet offers firms an important opportunity to enlarge their market
base by selling products online. More generally, it is now possible to
enrich the products/markets combinations fulfilled by a company.
The role of computing advances in the economic area and their
implications for business management and marketing have inspired
many publications on the topic, written both by academics and by prac-
titioners. The terms (or labels) used by the numerous authors are varied:
digital marketing, e-marketing, Internet marketing, online marketing,
web marketing, and so forth (Chaffey et al., 2006). Often the choice of a
specific term is influenced by the focus on specific channels and devices
as well as by the emphasis on tactical and technical issues (Merisavo,
2005).
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Foreword ix
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x Foreword
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Foreword xi
References
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xii Foreword
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Acknowledgments
A team of passionate people helped me to produce this
book by offering me updated material and giving their
precious feedback.
Aurelio Mauri, Associate Professor at IULM University
(Milan) gave me great insights on the more rigorous
academic part. His genuine piece of advice was constant
throughout the development of this work.
If this book can push the boundaries of a strictly
academic audience the merit is of Maria Manolioudi,
Marketing Associate at Vista Print and Farhan Malik, an
experienced hospitality manager who patiently guided me
through the latest communication channels (Chapter 2)
and the application of theory to the hotel industry
(Chapter 6), respectively. Without their contribution I
could never have used this applied lens alone.
The anonymous reviewers of a first draft of the book
were constructive and generous with their proactive ideas
to improve the quality of the manuscript.
Roberta Minazzi, Assistant Professor at University
of Insubria, wrote an interesting section on the effect of
reviews on consumer preferences within the framework of
social media (Section 2.5.1).
Lilija Spiglazovaite (Msc) and Sara Karimi Davar (Msc)
provided research assistance and helpful comments.
Leila Campoli and Sarah Lawrence, Associate Editor and
Editorial Assistant of Palgrave Macmillan, respectively,
showed understanding and offered me flexibility during
the whole process.
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Introduction
Viglia, Giampaolo. Pricing, Online Marketing Behavior,
and Analytics. New York: Palgrave Macmillan, 2014.
doi: 10.1057/9781137413260.0005.
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Pricing, Online Marketing Behavior, and Analytics
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Introduction
ones such as e-mail and social media marketing. Using new tools and
techniques, users will be better able to maximize profits and optimize
their online presence.
The third chapter presents web metrics and analytics and discusses
how they can improve marketing performance. There is also an inter-
esting digression on the role of ethics and security for consumers when
paying online. This last topic is gaining importance due to the increase
of online fraud.
The fourth chapter focuses on revenue management theories and
strategies, including reference and dynamic pricing, giving a clear view
of the economic aspects of online marketing and helping the reader
understand what is behind the online marketing process.
In the last two chapters we present applications: Chapter 5 formally
presents the advantages and risks of overbooking, a revenue manage-
ment technique, while Chapter 6 discusses a case study of the hotel
industry with specific examples of the explained terms and information
in the previous chapters. The hotel industry has witnessed a significant
impact by Internet marketing, and, as a result, a breakthrough in tourism
has occurred. The majority of the customers these days do not search
for hotels in yellow pages or call to book rooms, but instead they book
directly via the Internet or through a global distribution system of travel
agents. Traditional methods of cold calling and making appointments
to increase hotel bookings still work, but hotels need to have a virtual
presence, as explained in the Chapter 6.
This book, balanced between a consumer and a professional lens, tries
to fill all these gaps and give the necessary insights on online marketing
and its future evolution.
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1
Definition of Online
Marketing
Abstract: Starting with an introduction on the relevance
of online marketing today, Chapter 1 defines the product
categories and classifications generally used in the market.
To support the argument, a literature review of the
different key concepts, such as experience, search, and
utilitarian and hedonic products, is provided. The goal is
to re-discuss the entire subject of traditional marketing in
light of the new features in online marketing, clarifying in
the process how online marketing remains a complement
to, not a substitute for, traditional marketing. Finally, the
chapter investigates the drivers of consumer segmentation.
The different segments are discussed in detail, highlighting
their peculiarities. In particular, a great deal of attention is
devoted to the demographic characteristics of the Internet
shopper.
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Definition of Online Marketing
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Pricing, Online Marketing Behavior, and Analytics
Moreover, starting from the end of 1990s, the impact of new informa-
tion and communications technology (ICT) tools and techniques has
significantly affected the way firms and institutions approach and com-
municate with their stakeholders. This phenomenon has led to a wide
stream of studies developed both by academics and practitioners. While
many studies have focused on specific tools and their employment, oth-
ers have addressed changes in the marketing concept itself, highlighting
the strength of the Internet-fostered connection between firms and
consumers. As we will briefly discuss, this connection is a new aspect of
the already established relational marketing.
The widespread use of the Internet has enabled greater convenience
and flexibility. Customers can shop when they want, at any hour of
the day or night, shifting power away from brick-and-mortar retailers.
Digital technologies also provide mobile convenience for consumers
and for businesses with Wi-Fi. It should be emphasized that the “new”
consumers who focus on online shopping value their time a lot, know
what they want, and do the research necessary before purchasing in
order to avoid being disappointed or exploited. The Internet offers the
flexibility they like, increasing the level of competition for sellers, as
there are no physical boundaries in online shopping. Furthermore, the
Internet provides a new transparency regarding price, promotions and
new products.
We can say that online or Internet marketing refers to marketing
practices that use the web to drive sales and enhance brand awareness.
Mohammed et al. (2001) provided a more formal definition: “the proc-
ess of building and maintaining customer relationships through online
activities to facilitate the exchange of ideas, product and services that
satisfy the goals of both parties.” Online marketing works in conjunc-
tion with traditional types of outbound marketing such as advertising
on television and sponsorship. There are different types of online
marketing depending on the channel: e-mail marketing, social media
marketing, mobile marketing, and so forth. Different terms are used
for the overall subject of online or Internet marketing—digital mar-
keting, web marketing and e-marketing—but these are all essentially
synonyms.
As mentioned earlier, the new ICT technologies have significantly
impacted many aspects of marketing strategies and tactics, revealing
new patterns, models, and habits of consumer behavior. We will focus
particularly on two topics:
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Definition of Online Marketing
This chapter will address the role of online marketing compared with
traditional marketing, then the type of product categories available
online that consumers have been shown to value most (Beatty & Smith,
1987), and finally online behavior as viewed from a consumer lens.
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Definition of Online Marketing
1. Search products
Search products are those with features and characteristics that allow full
and satisfactory information to be easily obtained by consumers without
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Pricing, Online Marketing Behavior, and Analytics
2. Experience products:
In contrast with search products, experience products are those that
cannot be fully evaluated before consumption or use. Korgaonkar et al.
(2006) suggest two subgroups in the experience products category based
on the aforementioned Klein’s (1998) work: first, products for which full
information on important features cannot be obtained without actual
personal experience; and, second, products for which obtaining full
information on important features by searching would be more costly or
difficult than acquiring actual product experience. A bottle of wine is a
classical example of an experience product.
3. Credence products:
Finally, credence products, also called post-experience goods, are those that
are difficult to evaluate not only before but even after initial consumption
or use. This issue increases the uncertainty for consumers and their need
for third-party information. The usefulness of this classification has been
recently validated by Girard and Dion (2010). Vitamins are an example
of a product belonging to this category.
It is important to remark that in the online shopping context consumers
do not behave in the same manner when they buy products of different
categories (search, experience, credence) due to the product perceived
risk, price levels, and replacement rate associated with each category.
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Definition of Online Marketing
Online shopping has witnessed significant increases over the last few
years as more and more shoppers use this channel to make their pur-
chases due to the convenience, speed, price comparisons, and reviews
that it offers. It is a form of electronic commerce whereby consumers
directly buy goods or services from a seller over the Internet without
an intermediary service. An online shop, e-shop, e-store, Internet shop,
web shop, web store, online store, or virtual store evokes the physical
analogy of buying products or services at a brick-and-mortar retailer or
shopping center. The process is called business-to-consumer (B2C) online
shopping. When a business buys from another business, it is called
business-to-business (B2B) online shopping.
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1.5.1 Drivers
Previous literature converges on the drivers that influence the construc-
tion of the customers’ segmentation:
Shopping convenience: Convenience is anything that is intended
to save time or energy resources or frustration. Given that the
online channel is already eliminating the effort and resources
(time, distance) spent in moving to a physical store, we define
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1.5.2 Segments
We have analyzed the drivers that influence buyers and the motivations
that can be powerful predictors of Internet sales. Based on previous
literature, we group online shoppers in the following segments based on
the defined drivers: the convenience shopper, the balanced buyer, the
loyal shopper, the variety seeker, and the active shopper.
1. Convenience shopper:
As presented earlier in this chapter, convenience shopping is defined as
shopping that saves time, effort, and money.
Rohm and Swaminathan (2004) developed a typology based on moti-
vations for shopping online that identified one of his four types as “the
convenience shopper,” Jayawardhena et al. (2007) also labeled one of the
shopping groups “convenience shoppers.”
The convenience shopper, as the term implies, is motivated more than
other segments by the prospects of overall online shopping convenience.
This segment also exhibits less of a physical store orientation (e.g., is
motivated less by the prospect of immediate possession of goods or
services purchased and social interaction) as well as less variety-seeking
behavior across retail channels (Rohm & Swaminathan, 2004).
2. Balanced buyer:
Like the convenience shopper, the balanced buyer is characterized by a
desire for convenience. However, according to Rohm and Swaminathan
(2004), the balanced buyer shows a tendency to plan the shopping task
or seek information and is moderately motivated as well by the desire to
look for variety. Balanced buyers are active in their shopping behavior,
display brand-loyal behaviors, and are prepared to engage in com-
parison shopping to find the best bargains. Yet they have an inclination
for obtaining their purchases in a convenient manner. The difference
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Pricing, Online Marketing Behavior, and Analytics
between this segment and the convenience buyer is that the balanced
buyer is more active and price sensitive than the convenience buyer.
3. Loyal shopper:
This segment is high in brand and size loyalty, and low in price sensitiv-
ity. Loyal shoppers may use the Internet as their supplementary shop-
ping channel and the physical store as their primary channel (they are
households with online expenditures of less than 25). Such shoppers
may visit the online store only in some special circumstances such as
when under extreme time pressure. In those circumstances, they will
be less likely to do in-store search, more likely to use the customized
lists, and more willing to pay a price premium for the convenience and
time-saving advantages of online shopping (Putrevu & Ratchford, 1997).
Since they do not shop much in the online store, they have little incen-
tive to search because they do not benefit much from intensive search.
Therefore, they will be more brand loyal, more size loyal, and less price
sensitive in the online store.
Jayawardhena et al. (2007) also identify this cluster; in their cluster
analysis this segment has high values on loyalty and low values on price
sensitivity and convenience. In conclusion, loyal shoppers are non-active
online buyers, who shop online only to complement their traditional
in-store purchases. As a consequence, they are motivated more by brand
and size loyalty than other segments because they don’t invest time in
searching and comparing in the online channel, so choosing known
brands and size makes them feel confident. Besides, they can be risk
averse, and buying known brands decreases their product and channel
risk perception. What is more, given that online stores are not their
primary channel, they are willing to pay more.
4. Variety seeker:
This type of shopper is moderately motivated by online shopping
convenience, is careful and reserved, and has a positive attitude toward
online shopping. Again, as the term implies, variety seekers have a
desire for variety in their retail choices of products and brands (Rohm
& Swaminathan, 2004). But, as Rohm and Swaminathan (2004) con-
clude, this segment places high value on information use and planning
in shopping as well as variety seeking. In addition, this segment has a
high propensity to shop online, given that its shopping motive in the
physical store orientation is low. Barnes et al. (2007 call this group the
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Definition of Online Marketing
5. Active shopper:
This is the segment with the highest willingness to buy on the Internet.
Consumers belonging to this group show characteristics such as low
perceived risk, trust in online vendors, willingness to buy online, positive
attitude toward online shopping, low brand and size loyalty, and high
price sensitivity.
According to Barnes et al. (2007) the people in this cluster are open-
minded to new things. The respondents in their study showed the lowest
perceived risk when shopping online and at the same time the highest
trust in online vendors. They value shopping pleasure highly and, again,
show a strong affinity for online shopping (Bauer, Neumann, & Haber,
2006).
Jayawardhena et al. (2007) found that the active shopper was the one
with the lowest loyalty ratio. Chu et al. (2010) name this segment the
“heavy online shoppers,” defined as those who are highly involved with
the Internet channel. They view the Internet as the primary channel
and the physical stores as the supplementary channel, shopping at the
Internet store regularly and visiting physical stores only on special cir-
cumstances such as when they run out of certain categories of products.
Having built our five-segment model, we can see the main character-
istics of the various types of consumer, but in order to better identify
the five different buyers’ profiles, we need to study their demographic
characteristics, although it still remains difficult and continuous effort is
required.
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Pricing, Online Marketing Behavior, and Analytics
show that this gender bias is weakening, and in the UK there is now an
approximate balance. About 64 percent of UK women and 71 percent
of men are Internet users. Given the preponderance of women in the
overall population, this translates to 48 of Internet users being women.
Despite the ratio above, people who shop online are mainly females and,
on top of it, women are outspending compared to men when purchasing
on the Internet (Verdict, 2000–2006). Nevertheless, there are still con-
siderable gender differences in Internet use (Jayawardhena et al., 2007).
Yet, gender is not significantly related to shopping preference for the
credence products such as vitamins and water purifiers. In addition, edu-
cation is positively related to preference to shop on the Internet for the
search products such as books and personal computers. Finally, house-
hold income is positively related to preference to shop online for experi-
ence products such as cellular phones and televisions (Jayawardhena
et al., 2007).
By addressing the changing customers’ characteristics, organizations
have a chance to prosper in the competitive digital world.
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2
Online Marketing
Communication Channels
Abstract: This chapter presents the different online
marketing channels. It starts with display advertising and
moves on to the subject of search engine optimization.
These tools, along with e-mails with personalized
newsletters, are necessary for companies to have a strong,
effective presence on the Internet. Also, the completely new
framework represented by social media, which has become
relevant in recent years, is discussed. Finally, the chapter
describes the new frontier of online marketing—mobile
marketing—that is capturing new market segments.
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2.1 Introduction
There are some industries such as e-commerce where the use of online
marketing communication channels is imperative. The challenge is to
combine the most appropriate channels to maximize benefits and reduce
the cost of their use (Kotler & Armstrong, 2010). Continuous monitor-
ing plays a crucial role in detecting the needs of the market and adapting
the products to those needs (push-pull).
There are many different online marketing channels that companies
use nowadays that are presented in this chapter. The evolution of technol-
ogy and the speed of change forces companies to adapt and to innovate.
Every day we find new features in each of the channels that enhance
consumer satisfaction, or new marketing channels develop rapidly and
become quite popular within a few months. The speed of development
varies depending on the channel and its use; moreover, the diffusion has
become much faster over the last few years compared with the past.
As mentioned by Pendleton et al. (2012), the new web environment
needs to account for the active role of the consumer, using “pull” strate-
gies to capture interest through new technologies. In particular, the
so-called Generation Y, the generation of consumers who go online in
great numbers, has to be considered in view of their computer experi-
ence and considerable spending power (McMahan et al., 2009). We need
therefore to identify the extent of the transformations in the traditional
channel structure due to the addition of digital value.
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Online Marketing Communication Channels
of different moving images that appear on the web one after another
repetitively. Interactive web ads seek interaction with the users through
various element implementations such as numerous tools and games.
An example is “scrolling” and seeing the different options.
Other types of online advertisement ads, such as video and expanding
ads, have been developed recently and they provide features that web
ads do not. Video ads are short videos that can be programmed to play
automatically when a webpage opens or can be user-activated (Google
Adsense, 2009). Expanding ads are rich media ads that can expand
beyond the original size of the ad unit, allowing advertisers to offer
more information without forcing the user to visit their website (Google
Adsense, 2009). When the user clicks on the ad, it automatically expands
to provide more information.
SEO and SEM are methodologies for getting good natural results from
search engines. SEO is about optimizing the information in the web to
gain better positions in the search engines. SEM is about purchasing
advertised positions in search engines (e.g., Adwords in Google). These
methodologies are very important because search engines account for
up to 80 of all web traffic (Net Market Share, 2012). If, for example, a
customer searches for “hotels in Bangkok” on Google, the website that is
most relevant to the words “hotel” and “Bangkok” together will be shown
in the results. Chances are that the hotel website that is on top of the page
will be clicked first by the user and may get more bookings than a hotel
that is listed on results page number 3. Nearly 80 of people searching
for information online type phrases into a search engine’s search box.
Google alone fields over 91 million searches per month worldwide (Saks,
2006). Potential customers tend to click on a website that appears on
the first to third page of search results (Xiang and Gretzel, 2010). So if
the website is not in top 20 results of the search engine, there is a great
chance that it will not be clicked.
Although SEO is a communication strategy that tries to improve the
position in search engines, it is not considered advertising. Branding is
one element of the SEO objectives. One goal is that search sites show
the company’s information in first places when the customer types some
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2.4 E-mail
E-mail, which refers to “electronic mail,” began basically for the purpose
of personal communication. E-mails do more or less the same job as
letters or text messages but are sent to recipients through the Internet.
Their major characteristics are that they
– are roughly free of charge;
– specify sender, recipient, subject, date, and time of sending;
– provide for the possibility of having more than one recipient for the
same message;
– provide for the possibility of storing the mailing history; and
– are easy and fast—practically instantaneous.
These advantages, accompanied by some others, have made e-mail
thoroughly universal and useful all over the world. For a long time after
its first appearance, e-mail was utilized mostly for personal one-to-one
communication, but overtime it has evolved as a medium with a wider
range of applications. The possibility of sending the same message to an
infinite number of recipients for free and at any time instantaneously
made business people think about how they could utilize it to facili-
tate processes and grow their business. Marketing was one of the first
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Online Marketing Communication Channels
2.4.1 Newsletters
Newsletters form the largest part of e-mail marketing. A newsletter
by definition is a frequent publication, distributed on a daily, weekly,
monthly, quarterly, or annual basis with the aim of giving information
and updating subscribers (a term we will discuss shortly) about different
topics and products or services that might interest them.
The new generation of newsletters began to spread out in the Internet
world when they were sent to a mailing list through e-mail. This mail-
ing list contained all the contact e-mail addresses of the people who
had expressed interest in the past about a product or service—that is,
the subscribers. Included in the set of subscribers are potential customers
who choose to keep up to date on the activities and new launches of a
company.
Every e-mail marketing campaign that includes newsletter distribu-
tion uses a database of the e-mail addresses of the subscribers who have
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1 Offers:
This type of newsletter carries content and a subject line that have the
main objective of “forcing” subscribers to make a purchase by attract-
ing them with the content. So the KPI, which is useful to measure the
performance of these kinds of newsletters, is the conversion rate, or the
proportion of recipients who made a purchase as a result of this e-mail.
This type of newsletter can increase the actual return on investment (ROI)
of the marketing campaign as it brings direct revenue into the company.
2 Brand promotions:
This type of newsletter is sent to better engage subscribers with the
brand and company. The main objective is to increase and maintain the
reputation and brand image. Another objective is to enhance the brand
name of the company and secondly to indirectly increase revenue (by
customer loyalty).
3 Information:
The information newsletters are mainly sent to provide subscribers with
more knowledge and updates about what they are interested in (related
to the company’s activity) under the name of the brand. The purpose of
this newsletter is to increase customers’ satisfaction and keep in touch
with them.
The effectiveness of e-mail campaigns has been criticized more and
more over the last few years, as almost 70 of the e-mails that we receive
everyday are so impersonal that the subscriber can is likely to delete
before or immediately after opening them. This makes the role of the
first impression really important; the e-mail should instantly capture the
interest of the reader. Companies can personalize their e-mails by seg-
menting the audience by metrics that they collect and by understanding
the real needs of the customers.
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One of the most powerful online marketing tools is social media, which
offers massive opportunities if used properly. Conversations are key
elements in search processes (Shao et al., 2012).The increased impact of
user-generated content on consumers’ behavior has enhanced research-
ers’ interest in this aspect of marketing strategy (Eccleston & Griseri,
2008). Social media can be used on a corporate as well as an individual
level, with the main goal being the enhancement of the brand image.
More and more companies use social media to transmit communication
messages and create leads. An exhaustive list of social media platforms
exists, including Facebook, Twitter, LinkedIn, Pinterest, Google +,
Instagram, and My Space, where their use depends on the interests of
the users and their objectives. The analysis of user-generated content
(ratings, reviews, and so forth) of various market segments, combined
with other information about the customer coming from the transaction,
allows marketers to differentiate the service offered in order to target
segments of each booking channel with respect to competitors (Varini
& Sirsi, 2012).
The massive use of social media can be easily explained as it offers
plenty of advantages. The fact that social media is free, easy, fast, effective,
and considered a real-time means of communication makes it a smart
choice for promoting the brand image of a company. Free marketing is
the most common benefit that businesses reap when they join and use
social media. Businesses can create free accounts with simple steps that
can bring them closer to their target groups. They can create multiple
offers and promotions that can be diffused very quickly. For example,
companies use their accounts and post special offers for the customers
who like their web page or retweet some tweets. Also, they post special
online competitions, events, interaction with questions and answers,
free consultations, and direct customer care. The brand image of the
company is significantly enhanced this way without investing in other
costly public relation activities.
In fact, social media provides the ability to interact with far more
people than the conventional marketing channels do in every place of
the world. This real-time interaction has eliminated the significance of
distances. Its power comes from the ability to bring business and people
together through formal and informal means of communication that can
be adapted to the needs of the company and their perceived needs.
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which means that the number of cellular mobile phone subscribers rep-
resents 86 of the global population. Moreover, out of 5 billion mobile
phone users, 1.08 billion people use smartphones. IDC (2013) analyzed
the 2012 holiday shopping season and found that tablet and smart phone
sales grew 55.8 and predicted that they will continue to grow 39.5 for
the next years while PC sales declined from the same quarter one year
ago. In this environment, many companies are either planning to engage
or are currently applying traditional Internet browsing activity to mobile
devices.
So what is mobile commerce? Mobile commerce, or m-commerce, is a
special area of e-commerce where transactions are conducted through
wireless, Internet-enabled devices such as cellular phones and personal
digital assistants (PDAs) (Ghosh & Swaminatha, 2001). Wireless mobile
devices present some unique features that affect the nature and specifics
of applications as they provide added value and benefits to m-commerce
users. According to Tang et al (2001), the features of mobile devices con-
sist of ubiquity (anytime and anywhere access), personalization (it can be
identified uniquely with a single individual), localization (a connection
can be used to determine physical location of the device), and flexibility
(the functionality to access information at the point of need).
Mobile Media Consumption report (2012) shows that on average the
global mobile web user consumes 7.2 hours of media per day. Online
users are almost shifting away from their fixed connections as mobile
web users are daily spending 117 minutes connected to the web via
mobile and 140 minutes via desktop and laptop connections. According
to the report, 59 of users state that mobile is their primary or exclusive
source of accessing the web while only 9 of respondents are using their
desktop connections. The findings show that the contributing factors to
this shift in usage are the ease and convenience with which mobile web
delivers as users can easily access information (sports, news, and so forth)
and communications (e-mail, Facebook, Twitter). However, respondents
prefer desktop interactions for shopping or banking sessions.
It is essential for companies to formalize mobile marketing strategies
and focus on the best way to grab customers’ attention. As Barwise and
Strong (2002) claim, the success of mobile advertising depends on cus-
tomers opting to receive marketing messages. Allowing customers to opt
in to a mobile campaign results in a better response rate, brand attitude,
and awareness; and better readership of the message in general leads
some customers to even forward the message to their contacts (Barwise
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2.8 Retargeting
It is a common practice for consumers to enter an online purchase site,
fill the shopping cart with goods, and then suddenly leave the site and
switch to another site before returning to finish the purchase and realiz-
ing that on Youtube it can be seen an advertisement of the goods placed
in our shopping cart. For most of the websites only 2 of web traffic
converts on the first visit, and to increase the value of online advertis-
ing many companies are widely focused on behavioural retargeting as it
helps to increase relevance and consumer response (Soriano, 2011).
Behavioral retargeting (also known as behavioral remarketing) is a form
of online advertising that regains a potential consumer interest to pur-
chase the goods by displaying the advertiser’s ads while the consumer
is visiting other websites. Companies offering retargeting services state
strong increases in advertising effectiveness—for example, Criteo (2010)
reports that personalized retargeting ads are six times more effective
than standard banner ads.
The advertising networks that combine online advertising space across
multiple publishers of web content and then sell this space to the adver-
tisers usually arrange for retargeting. Advertisers do not need to manage
their relations with a large number of publishers to achieve online ad
space market efficiency.
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3
Online Marketing
Metrics and Analytics
Abstract: Chapter 3 describes in technical detail metrics
and analytics used in online marketing. Although the
discussion is kept at a descriptive level, it provides
explanations of advanced methods for keeping records
of the results in investment such as social intelligence
dashboards and real-time bidding analytics. To
complement the discussion, the author presents real cases
of implementation, showing the evolution of these metrics
from their beginning use to the actual resutling measures.
Also offered is a dynamic comparison among the present
methods in terms of risk and profit generation. The final
part of the chapter is devoted to ethics and security in
payment, a topic that is gaining relevance with the increase
of transactions on the Internet.
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3.1 Introduction
Measuring marketing effectiveness has always been a challenge. Most
marketers struggle to monitor and measure the marketing actions
they launch. Nevertheless, in the world of information, where market
research and analysis give significant competitive advantage, marketing
departments need to invest money and time to understand the results of
their actions, the reactions of their target groups, and the environment
in which they operate.
The challenge becomes greater as the competition becomes more
intensive and some industries start to saturate a market. Marketing
departments cope with increasing pressure to improve performance in
new and innovative ways. The traditional methods become obsolete, and
the launching of new marketing channels boosts marketers to adapt to
the resultant change and seek new tools in order to exploit their data.
The main ways to measure online marketing actions are web metrics
and marketing analytics. Normally web metrics are used for the perform-
ance measurement of the websites such as time spent on page views per
visit, unique visitors, or the cost. Marketing analytics are business metrics
that include data from different channels like social media and offline
marketing. Marketing analytics are more people-centric, mapping the
leads and the prospects, identifying the profiles of the customers and
their needs, while web metrics focus more on the page view and are
more limited (Hubspot, 2012). These tools, although they are not core in
this work, have to be discussed because of their importance in measur-
ing all forms of website activity and other data gathering. This chapter
ends with a discussion of the privacy concerns of database marketing
and the issue of security both in general and in terms of electronic card
payments.
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advertiser can pay lower CPM, but it has to add a bonus for any sales
resulting from ad clicks on a given website.
There are ongoing debates on which online advertisement model is
the best (Cumbrowski, 2007). In the early days of online marketing,
advertisers and publishers all used the CPM model, but the online
industry has lately switched toward performance-based models. From
the publisher’s perspective, the CPM model is more desirable as with
that model publishers need to focus only on ads’ trafficking. In terms
of advertisers, though, the CPM model has higher risk in click-through
rate (CTR), discussed later in this chapter, and conversion rate (CR),
also discussed later. Among advertisers the CPA model is the preferred
method because if publishers fail to produce sales, advertisers do not
suffer any further financial loss. It also allows advertisers to easily man-
age the return on investment (ROI) of their campaigns. However, in
usingthe CPA model, publishers need to apply some effort to improve
the quality of clicks. Consequently, publishers prefer the CPC model as it
gives more incentives to convert clicks into sales by focusing on driving
a high volume of clicks for advertisers (Wilbur & Zhu, 2009).
On the other hand, the CPC model can cause problems for advertisers
and publishers as there is a risk of potential fraud clicks that can drive up
advertisers’ costs. The CPA model is mostly suitable for advertisers that
are risk averse and products that have a high level of market uncertainty,
so this method is more beneficial for smaller advertisers that cannot
afford to take the risks involved in the CPC model. Advertisers that offer
products with high seasonality and irregular demand should choose the
CPA model. The CPA cost model has generally higher costs compared
to other cost methods. The newest pricing model, the hybrid method,
decreases the risk between the media owner and the advertiser and
allows campaigns to organically reach the desired ROI by price control
maintenance.
Using a practitioner’s lens, the most useful web metrics are as follows:
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pop-up ads (IAB, 2010). The most common technique that helps
to track unique users is the cookies, which are small files that are
sent to the user’s browser while a user is browsing the website.
The user can receive two types of cookies—persistent cookies that
are temporary and are erased when the user exits the browser or
session cookies that remain on the user’s hard drive until they
expire or until the user removes them.
Cost per unique visitor is the cost of the placement or application
divided by the number of unique visitors (IAB, 2009).
Page impressions/views are a measurement of the number of
respondents from a web server to page requests from a user’s
browser (Bhat et al., 2002). It estimates how many pages are served
in a time period and indicates the webpage’s exposure.
Ad impressions represent the response of a delivery system to an ad
request from a user’s browser and show the extent of the overall
online ad exposure (Bhat et al., 2002).
Time spent is the amount of time from the start of a visit to the last
user’s activity linked with that visit. For the metric to be accurately
counted as a visit, it should have 30 consecutive minutes of activity
between events for the same user (IAB, 2010).
Clicks or click-through are when a user initiates action by clicking
on an ad and it lands the user to another online location such us a
website or another browser window (Bhat et al., 2002).
Click-through rate (CTR) calculates the number of clicks divided
by the number of ads clicked per user, and it is one of the most
accountable measures in online marketing. For example, if you
received 10 clicks out of 1,000 page views, your CTR would be 1
(10/1000×100). A good CTR depends on the industry and the
placement; however, a 2 CTR is considered to be successful. CTR
helps to capture customers’ initial responses to a website, and it is
easy to observe as it demonstrates a behavioral reaction (McLuhan,
2000).
Conversion rate (CR) is one of the most critical metrics in online
marketing. CR is the percentage of visitors who followed through
on the transactions (Rocher, 2005). For example, if there are 100
visitors to a particular website and one of those 100 visitors clicks
on the ad and buys the product on the website, then the conversion
rate for that particular ad is 1 (1/100×100). The overall average
of the CR varies by industry and product; however, the average CR
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A new trend in analytics is “big data.” With the explosion of big data,
analytics have become more imperative for the businesses because they
have a lot of information without being able to take full advantage of it.
Banner ads, tweets, posts and comments, and videos constitute unstruc-
tured data as they are not organized in a predefined manner. Structured
data such as marketing databases belong to more traditional tools of
marketing that complement the new trends.
Big data sets forge the future of marketing after the advent of new
online marketing channels and become a key basis of competition
“underpinning new waves of productivity growth, innovation and con-
sumer surplus,” according to research conducted by MGI and McKinsey’s
Business Technology Office (2011). In order for companies to be able to
add and capture value from the unexploited information, they need to
take big data seriously and build strategies for how to deal with it.
Many business intelligence companies have flourished during thelast
few years because of the continuous use of analytics. Various types of
analytics software are implemented depending on the size of the com-
pany, the industry and the needs of the company. Given the channels
that they use and the data and the metrics that they want to analyze,
experts are able to create customized dashboards.
The latest software makes it possible to monitor “real-time data” and
analyze it as soon as it is acquired, interacting directly with the customer.
Time is a crucial factor of competitiveness among companies in a fast-
paced environment. Predictive analytics use forecasting methods based
on previous data. They use modeling, data mining, and other advanced
techniques to enable marketers to make better decisions in planning for
the future.
The true value of analytics is not just that they prove marketing ini-
tiatives are worth the time and money but also that they help marketers
improve and optimize marketing performance. Data and information
are useful only if we do something with them. We need to exploit and
analyze them and understand what is really behind all the marketing
actions we have taken.
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dealing with targeted online advertising, the advertiser uses past brows-
ing or purchase behavior information. However, consumers remain
highly skeptical of this approach. Two-thirds of U.S. adults reject behav-
ioral targeting based on their prior browsing behavior; they think that
online tracking should be illegal and that websites should address these
concerns (Schumann et al., 2014). In what follows we focus only on the
practical aspects of payment and security in transactions.
Where commercial transactions are concerned, goods and services
have to be paid for. Internet buying and selling mostly involve the use
of electronic payments, which are cheaper and quicker than paper
methods. However, where payments for goods and services are done
electronically, security and trust become keywords in these transactions.
Payment methods to be effective have to be secure, fast, easy to use, and
with low transactional costs. The risk is that the financial information
of the purchaser is capable of being intercepted and fraud perpetrated,
meaning that consumers might be paying for goods that they have not
ordered or received.
The perceived threat of online credit card fraud is strong today,
occupying much newspaper space. However, software solutions like
Secure Socket Layer (SSL) and new methods of payment like PayPal
have improved public confidence and payment security. Encryption and
decryption technology provide further security measures that can reduce
the risk of a damaged reputation for a company. Obviously, reputation
is very important, and damage to it would affect customer confidence
and hurt any web-based operation. There are some areas in which
Internet transactions are more risky than those in traditional markets:
spam, phishing (hackers), and network stability (worms). Nonetheless,
it should be mentioned that fraud on the web is not more serious than
offline fraud (Gay et al., 2007).
When consumers make a credit card purchase from an online mer-
chant, they transmit encrypted financial information to the merchant
along with the digital certificate. At that point, the merchant sends the
information to a payment gateway where it is decrypted, processed,
and verified by the certification authority. The merchant receives then
an approval from the financial institution of the buyer, while the card-
holder’s account is debited and the amount is credited to the merchant’s
account. All this process has to be fast, secure, and efficient. Negative
e-commerce experiences erode generalized trust in online purchasing
services and goods and thus have harmful effects on Internet marketing
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4
Online Pricing
Abstract: This chapter is fully devoted to pricing. After
explaining the many price models available for online
marketing, the author discusses the general area of
dynamic pricing. The issue of fairness to consumers is
explored with real cases and applications from different
industries. Next is an explanation of reference price,
the standard against which consumers evaluate a price.
Stemming from a behavioral approach, this section of the
chapter investigates how people form price expectations.
The objective is also to study the evolution of reference
prices from a firm’s perspective. Finally, there is an analysis
on how to elicit reference prices from laboratory and field
experiments, paying attention to internal and external
validity.
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4.1 Introduction
In the increasingly complex marketing environment, more and more
companies operate on multiple platforms, dealing with different prices
online and offline (Grewal et al., 2010). Building on previous literature,
here we discuss on one hand the firm’s perspective and on the other
how consumers form price expectations and what prices they perceive
as fair. This topic assumes relevance in the presence of price variability,
within and between channels. Price discovery is a key function, because
it allows the company to determine the prices at which demand and
supply “clear” and trade occurs. In some markets, such as the financial
ones, this is a primary function. In other markets, such as the automo-
tive industry, negotiations take place between buyers and sellers until a
price is reached. For this reason, matching buyers’ and sellers’ aspirations
in terms of price is of paramount importance. Table 4.1, adapted from
Bakos (1998), helps the reader to structure the problem.
We start from an operational point of view; then we discuss how
consumers react when prices rise sharply and how they perceive price
promotions.
With greater price transparency existing than ever before, understand-
ing the needs of consumers in terms of price expectations is crucial. This
and other related issues are developed within this chapter.
Price discovery
Process and outcome in determination of prices
The goal has to be more than just driving down costs
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resources such as airplane seats, rental cars, or hotel rooms. Many meth-
ods of revenue management are used in online marketing. This process
works in sectors where the revenue potential of the service or the item
diminishes over time. The general areas where this technique is applied
are the competitive markets where there is fixed capacity or supply, either
of a product or of a service, and where there is anticipated demand.
Integrating dynamic pricing with inventory control and production
offers significant opportunities for profit maximization. In the first part
of this chapter we present a general discussion of revenue management
techniques with their application in different industries. Next, particular
attention is given to the application of the technique of overbooking,
which allows increasing capacity utilization when many cancellations are
present. While trying to keep complex technicality at a minimum, the
last part of this chapter presents in detail how to compute the optimal
level of overbooking and how to derive it mathematically.
As Krugmann (2000) has pointed out, dynamic pricing is simply a new
version of the well-known practice of price discrimination. Dynamic
pricing is a set of techniques based on varying price, with the purpose of
maximizing revenues and profits (Abrate et al., 2012). Products that are
usually sold at certain prices in brick-and-mortar stores (traditional and
physical channels) with infrequent price changes, can be sold today over
the Internet at posted prices that change daily or even hourly depending
on demand and competition from other websites (Kannan & Kopalle,
2001).
Firms have always tried to sell goods at the highest possible price that
consumers will pay, but in the last century they have developed many
techniques and software programs based on scientific methods. Some
examples are personalized pricing, markdowns, coupons, promotions,
and discounts. With these tools, firms try to respond to market fluctua-
tions of demand.
Kung et al. (2002) and Mauri (2012b) highlight the potential problem
with differential, or dynamic, pricing in terms of ethics and unfairness.
In the United States, Amazon’s customers exposed the e-tailored pricing
practice of selling the same products (DVDs) at different prices to differ-
ent customers based on some segmenting variables. The company was
overwhelmed with complaints but stated it was just testing consumer
responses to different price levels. The reaction was so intense, however,
that Amazon removed its differential pricing, giving refunds to those
who had been charged the higher prices.
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Trade promotion They agree for a They can pass They receive a discount,
discount to the discount to if there has been the
retailers customers or not retailer decision
Consumer None They agree for They receive a discount
promotions a discount to from retailers
customers
Direct discount of They agree for None They receive a discount
manufacturers a discount to from manufacturers
customers
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The larger that α is, the greater is the recency effect of prior
exposures to price on IRP. A field study conducted by Dickson and
Sawyer (1990) tested that the value of α ranges from 0.60 to 0.85.
This implies that prices beyond two to three purchase occasions
have negligible influence on IRP;
The coefficient β associated with the variable promotion (Prom)
indicates the effect of promotions on reference price. Generally, the
effect is expected to be negative: the greater the deal expectation,
the lower is the IRP for the brand, because if you perceive that a
product is a high-quality one, you do not expect massive
discounts.
There are moderators that change in the purchase context, and this
can explain why parameters sometimes assume different values. These
moderators depend on the occasion (e.g., a purchase made during
a vacation or for gift giving), store environments(for example, the
same price of a bottle of wine could be judged more favorably if it
is sold in a specialty wine store than if it is sold in a discount wine
store), and availability of comparative price information (in this era
of the Internet, consumers may be more price sensitive and thus have
lower IRPs when buying products from online retailers that present
comparison).
There is a difference between brand-loyal consumers and switchers:
customers who are loyal to a few brands integrate prices of only the
favorite brands while switchers tend to integrate all the prices of pro-
moted brands, unwittingly integrating incidental and irrelevant price
information for a particular product. Also, promotions influence IRP
formation. If we agree that promotions have a negative effect on it, mar-
keters will have to find ways to promote products with a lower impact
on the reference price. On this argument, Alba et al. (1999) found that
promotion depth has a lesser effect than promotion frequency on price
perception. The level of technology and the economic conditions may
influence the evaluation of IRP as well.
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where yit is the dependent variable, xit1, . . . , xitK are K explanatory variables,
α and β1 , . . . , βk are K+1 regression parameters, ci is an individual-specific
effect and uit is an idiosyncratic (that changes across time and unit) error
term.
The data generation process is described by these features:
linearity, meaning that the model is linear in the parameters α, βs,
in the individual effect ci and in the error uit;
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yields a within model. Note that the individual-specific effect ci and the
intercept α cancel out each other. Also note that time-invariant regres-
sors cancel out each other as well. The fixed effects estimator estimates
the within model by OLS. The idiosyncratic errors are often likely serially
correlated when t >2. Therefore, one assumption we made is unrealistic.
Bertrand et al. (2004) show that the usual standard errors of the fixed
effects estimator are drastically understated in the presence of serial cor-
relation. It is therefore advisable to always use cluster-robust standard
errors for the fixed effects estimator.
The random effects model can be consistently estimated by both
the RE estimator or the FE estimator. The former is efficient while the
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H ~ χ 2j asymptotically
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Step by step, the test takes the absolute difference |Xa–Xb| for each
pair; it omits from consideration those cases where |Xa–Xb|=0; it ranks
the remaining absolute differences, from smallest to largest, employing
tied ranks where appropriate; it assigns to each such rank the “+” sign
when Xa–Xb>0 and the “–” sign when Xa–Xb<0, and then it calculates
the value of W for the Wilcoxon test, which in the present version of the
procedure is equal to the sum of the signed ranks.
VALUE
LOSSES GAINS
Reference point
The function is steeper for losses than
for gains (loss aversion)
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From the graph we also see that, according to prospect theory, people
do not treat probability linearly. For example, it is preferred, on average,
to obtain a certain gain of 300 € than to gamble with an 80 of obtaining
400 € and the remaining 20 of obtaining 0 €. The rational approach
based on expected values would suggest exactly the contrary.
Focusing on the probability of an event, we can represent the dissimi-
larities from a standard approach as shown in Figure 4.2.
In this graph, on the y-axis there are the decision weights and on the
x-axis the different levels of probability. We can see that people tend to
overreact to small probabilities, but underreact to large probabilities.
For example, in the graph, if the probability of a particular event is quite
large, let’s say 80, people tend underreact with respect to a linear func-
tion. In contrast, for a rare event, with a risk of 5, people overreact. In
the graph we can see why people generally prefer to have an insurance
policy even if the risk is limited: individuals tend to overweight small
probabilities.
The basic formula of prospect theory to derive the utility is the
following:
n
U = ∑i = 1 w(pi) v(xi)
Decision weights
Underweight
Overweight
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where the parameter γ gives the convexity and concavity of the func-
tion. Specifically, with this formulation the function crosses the 45° line
at p= 1/e ≈ 0,37, and a decrease in γ causes Prelec’s weighting function
to become more concave to the left of 1/e and more convex to the right
of 1/e. Figure 4.3 shows some of the different possible curvatures of the
Prelec’s function according to different values of the parameter γ (indi-
vidual distinction depends on personal reference points).
0.8
0.6
w (p)
0.4
0.2
0
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1
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revenues is to adopt a cyclical pricing policy. This behavior holds also for
an oligopoly, even with some problems of heterogeneity.
In online settings is easy for a firm to make experiments. For exam-
ple, firms can present a default option to create an anchor and then to
control the subsequent variation of attributes. Loss aversion plays a role
also here. In a world (setting) dominated by loss aversion, the optimal
strategy is a constant price because loss-adverse customers tend to easily
adapt to a downgrade but not to an upgrade of prices.
Reference prices may also be used by customers in evaluating bundle
prices. In this case, the value that can be obtained through bundling
is the following: firms can capture consumers’ interests by framing a
low price for the core component (e.g., a personal computer) that serves
as an anchor to evaluate bundles (e.g., a personal computer plus a
printer).
There are ways to encourage and discourage users to consume.
Services like utilities can inform users that their usage exceeded their
norms to discourage usage; commercial retailers can use advertising to
increase usage and revenues. Moreover, some firms can decide to apply a
combination of fixed and variable fees in which a heavy variable fee may
discourage massive use of the product or service.
Different segments of customers have different reference prices, so
firms should use appropriate strategies to target each segment. We saw
that consumers may retain mental reference prices in non-numeric
forms, and price communication messages need to be consistent with
these qualitative and quantitative representations.
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Internal validity refers both to how well a study is run (design, how
variables were measured, and so forth) and how one can conclude, with
a certain degree of confidence, that the observed effects are produced
only by the independent variable that is manipulated. The question we
have to address is the following: Is it really the treatment that causes the
difference between the subjects in the control and the treatment groups?
External validity represents the extent to which a study’s result can be
generalized, or applied to other settings or people. An example where
the external validity is violated is the following: If subjects are not ran-
domly selected from a population, then their characteristics may bias
their performance; therefore, the results of the study may not work in
other settings.
To clarify the concept, consider this argument: Women who receive
hormone treatment are on average less exposed to cancer; therefore,we
know that taking hormones is a way to reduce the chance of getting
cancer. There is a clear flow in this argument caused by confounding
factors: (1) women on hormone treatment are systematically differ-
ent from other women because they visit a doctor (blood cholesterol
control, better nutrition, and so forth), (2) they are better informed,
and (3) they may have different genes. Practically speaking, we would
observe better outcomes in such women even if there were no effect
from hormone treatment.
With binary treatments, there are two potential outcomes: the outcome
(yi) without treatment and the outcome with treatment. The treatment
effect is the difference between these two potential outcomes.
Another way to run experiments is to conduct them in the field or to
work with observational data. We typically have to rely on observational
data to answer causal questions in social sciences. In fact, observational
data are less expensive than experiments. They are derived from surveys
(telephone interviews, census, and so forth) or administrative records
(health insurance records, social security records, and so forth). We have
to make sure that there is nothing else that could potentially explain the
observed correlation. Major problems can come from omitted third fac-
tors, sample selection, and also reverse causality, which means that the
cause is considered as an effect and vice versa.
Observational data will never be able to give you an answer if you
cannot think of an experiment that would test the same hypothesis. The
aim is to use data to mimic experiments and, in particular, to mimic
randomization and control groups. Thinking about how to set up an
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Randomization relevance
Fundamental problems of causal inference are generated by the outcome
that is not observed, which is called the counterfactual outcome. We are
never able to observe both potential outcomes. To clarify this concept,
consider a company that just started to apply revenue management and
dynamic pricing when a severe crisis hit, which it survived. We will
never know if this company would have survived the crisis without the
use of revenue management.
The ideal solutions to these problems are randomized controlled
experiments (Hinkelman & Kempthorne, 2008). In randomized con-
trolled experiments we can rule out any other factor that could explain
observed differences. We can achieve this by the use of a control group
and randomization. The population is divided into a treated group and
a control group, followed by randomization assignments. This allows
to measure directly the effect of the manipulating variable, testing the
causal relationship.
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5
A Peculiar Type of Revenue
Management: Overbooking
Abstract: Chapter 5 presents in detail the concept of
overbooking, a revenue management technique used to
maximize profits. The approach of this whole chapter
is analytical, with the use of mathematical formulas.
In addition, there is a discussion of the behavioral
consequences, particularly in terms of unfairness, in line
with what was highlighted in previous chapters.
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5.1 Overbooking
Overbooking is a marketing practice concerned with increasing capacity
utilization in a reservation-based system when there are significant can-
cellations (Viglia, 2013). Its purpose is maximizing profit, through the
growth of the total volume of sales, in the presence of cancellation. It is
the oldest type of revenue management practice (for a complete review,
see Mauri, 2012a), with many applications in various fields of econom-
ics. In particular, it has been applied to the airline industry, where about
50 of reservations result in cancellation or no-shows (the difference
between cancellation and no-shows is that the first is a reservation that
is terminated by a customer before the time of service while in the last
case the customer does not cancel the reservation but just fails to show
up at the time of service), and about 15 of all seats would go unsold
without the practice of overbooking.
Recently new techniques of revenue management have received
more attention than overbooking—for example, fare-class allocation
and pricing. Yet overbooking remains crucial because of two points of
view: managing its negative effects of denying service on the customer
relations side, and, on the planning level, controlling parameters of a
probability distribution to balance the potential risk of denied service
against the rewards of increased sales.
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In this way the firm has a two-sided risk: to honor the reservation when
customers show up (or provide high compensation if it cannot honor the
reservation), and in cases when customers cancel or do not show up, to
bear the opportunity cost of wasted capacity. Firms try to manage this
risk through a combination of cancellation penalties and overbooking.
Penalties have the power to limit potential abuse of customers’ multiple
reservations. They range from minimal charges to full price, but if penal-
ties are too large, the cancellation option has little value for customers.
To further reduce the costs of cancellation, a firm may adopt overbook-
ing strategy, which is accepting more reservations than its capacity to
serve and thus taking the risk that the number of surviving reservations
will be within capacity. This strategy may involve important problems
(see Figure 5.1):
legal and regulatory implications of failing to honor the reservation
contract;
managing situations in which service must be denied; and
developing methodologies to control the level of overbooking on an
operational basis.
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Overbooking problems
Controlling
overbooking
level
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Oversales auction
Another method is to conduct an auction to attract volunteers to give
up their reservation in exchange for compensation. This practice is now
widespread in airlines, but the idea was not well received initially because
it didn’t appear decorous.
The most important lessons about overbooking come from the airline
industry and are as follows:
Customers need time (decades) to accept overbooking practices, and
providers have to learn how to develop painless strategies for them.
Some seemingly fanciful techniques, such oversales auctions, are
critically received; therefore, innovation must be introduced with
caution.
Overbooking, now awell developed practice for airlines and hotels,
nevertheless remains a primary source of dissatisfaction for customers.
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where
z = customers show up on the day of service; and
c(z) = denied service cost, which we assume is an increasing
function of z.
The total expected profit is given by the following equation:
V(y) = py – E[c (Z(y))]
where
y = reservations on hand;
p = marginal revenue generated by accepting an additional
reservation; and
Z(y) = number of customers who show up the day of service,
out of y reservations.
It is optimal (because V function is concave) to accept the yth reserva-
tion until the marginal profit [expressed by ΔV(y) = V(y) – V(y – 1)] is
positive.
Therefore, the optimal overbooking limit x* is the largest value of x
that admits
ΔV(x) = E[c(Z(x))] – E[c (Z(x – 1))] ≤ p
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6
Case Study: Applications
for the Hotel Industry
Abstract: In the concluding chapter, as a review of the
concepts of the previous chapters, the author presents a
case study applied to the hospitality industry. In particular,
the power of online travel agencies, as opposed to that of
the hotels themselves, in recent years in regard to booking
rooms is explored. These findings apply widely to other
services, such as airlines and car rental businesses. To
respond to very recent new information, the chapter also
presents tentative possible future scenarios, starting from
the specific case of online travel agencies.
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6.1 Introduction
The hotel industry is an appropriate example to use for applying the
online marketing practices discussed in this book and for understand-
ing the dimensions of this massive marketing tool—the Internet. Simply
put, with the emergence of Internet, hotels had to adopt new methods to
market their services.
It all started in the late 1990s when hotels made static websites con-
sisting of scanned brochures. Guests started sending e-mails, but, due
to lack of IT resources, it was time-consuming and costly to reply to
each guest and confirm bookings. Archer et al. (2003) suggested why
small and medium hotels have been slow to adopt Internet solutions in
supply chain and procurement transactions: cost of innovation, lower
transaction volumes, and problems associated with integrating informa-
tion. For these reasons, online travel sites came into existence with their
own booking engines that allowed guests to instantly receive booking
confirmations after filling a form. The use of the Internet as an informa-
tion medium has greatly increased price and rate transparency as well
(O’Connor, 2003). Meta-search websites have allowed travelers to more
easily make comparisons among many different hotel offers. This led
to the creation of online travel agencies (OTAs) becoming a key business
driver (Kim et al., 2007).
Expedia, Priceline, Travelocity, and Orbitz are some examples of OTAs
that offer hotel rooms, air tickets, rental cars, and other hospitality-related
services. OTAs enable guests to compare other hotels in the same area
with same star level and facilities by reading guest reviews. The increase
in business from OTAs prompted large hotel chains like Marriott and
Starwoods to create more dynamic websites and offer unique services
like instant booking confirmations, discounts, and promotions via the
Internet. Currently, OTAs, large hotel chains , and travel sites are all striv-
ing for dominance in the virtual marketplace. Small and independent
hotels are trying to figure out their best way to compete in the Internet
marketplace.
The majority of customers these days do not search for hotels in
the yellow pages or call to book rooms, but instead they book via the
Internet themselves or through global distribution systems (GDS) of travel
agents. Traditional methods of cold calling and making appointments to
increase hotel bookings still work to an extent, but hotels need to have
a virtual presence to really succeed. OTAs are able to reap benefits from
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Internet marketing, but what are hotels doing to keep up with the chang-
ing marketing trends birthed by widespread use of Internet worldwide?
According to the United Nations World Tourism Organization
(UNWTO) data, international tourism started to decline in mid-2008,
leaving the hotel industry to face low occupancies (Andreas et al., 2010).
The hotel industry has exhausted traditional methods of marketing and
is now trying to distinguish itself from OTAs and competitors in order
to maintain or increase revenue from web sources.
The traditional ways to market a hotel still have a use since customers
tend to use travel agents and tour operators mostly when buying sophis-
ticated travel products. Especially for booking multiple destinations,
customers like to rely on a personal travel agent in case something does
not go as planned. However, with changing customer patterns, hotels
need to have an online presence to gain more bookings. According to an
Irish Tourism Report,
The Internet has already transformed the way in which visitors research,
plan and purchase their trip. The Internet’s power as a marketing tool
cannot be ignored and should not be underestimated, and tourism product
providers must respond actively to the opportunities that it offers—or suf-
fer the consequences. (CHL Consulting Company, p.viii)
OTAs have built up a level of visibility and a network that hotels cannot
match (Lee et al., 2012). When a search is made via any search engine
for hotel bookings, OTA results show up before large chain hotels. OTA
and hotel websites are targeting the same Internetusers that make them
direct competitors in the online world. In this chapter we will investigate
how this happens and how hotels can improve their online presence.
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Not having rate parity is one of the reasons OTAs keep dominating the
online distribution channel. Offering a best-rate guarantee to custom-
ers directly will assure them that they cannot find better rates anywhere
else, and since ultimately it is the hotel that will be offering the accom-
modation and confirming the booking, customers might as well book
directly—if the best rate is guaranteed. OTAs can offer lower rates by
reducing their commission. It can become a tedious job to check each
OTA to figure if it is deviating from its contract by offering lower rates.
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Instead of monitoring all OTAs, the major OTAs can be examined for
rate parity issues.
When dealing with OTAs, hotels’ revenue managers need to control
the distribution through wholesalers as well. For example, a hotel spokes-
person pointed out, “We sell rooms to wholesalers for a discounted rate,
but they sell those rooms on small OTAs with very little margins. The
small OTAs charge less commission, and their rates are lower than major
OTAs.” The participating hotel here had two different ways of dealing
with this. One was to add a clause mentioning that the wholesaler cannot
sell it to any OTAs, and in case they do, their agreement can be cancelled.
The other way was to offer everyone, including the OTAs and wholesal-
ers, the BAR (best available rate). If a hotel is offering the BAR, an OTA
that is charging the lowest commission will be able to sell the room for
the lowest price and the rate parity issue will be raised. However, if the
hotel is offering the BAR and any other OTA offers a lower commission,
it is not hotel’s fault, so the hotel should not incur penalties.
As more and more users are using social media, it is becoming neces-
sary to have a presence on this medium. It is like an advertisement where
the audience participates. That is the main benefit because the participants
make the advertisement more interesting by adding their knowledge
and experience to it. The audience does not have to sit through the ad,
but they do it voluntarily and willingly. They bring in a bigger audience
with the help of their networks. These people have an attachment to the
product or service. Most importantly, social media is free or less costly if
a resource is assigned to keep up with audience comments.
Many big hotel chains mention that they had “a hundred thousand
tweets per day” for a special promotion, “tens of thousands” of Facebook
likes, and “thousands” of Linkedin group members, and so on. These
numbers look very impressive but they do not have a direct relationship
with ROI. One should not expect sales from social media in the first few
weeks as it is a brand-awareness channel. Sales will begin once customers
start to get attracted to the social media. But the media must be regular
and on social channels or it will lose audience.
Social media management is a possible key to driving direct bookings,
but so far there is no formula to quantify the costs versus increased rev-
enue. With social media, the marketing is continuous—you know how
much time you put into it—but how do you determine if it is working?
Some work with the GPS devices to offer real-time suggestions for hotels
based on users’ location, price, and rating preferences.
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Hotel
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U.S. mobile leisure gross bookings for travel reached nearly $2.6 billion
during 2011, representing 2.4 of the U.S. online travel market. Among
U.S. mobile web users, 36 of business travelers and 26 of leisure
travelers have booked a travel product on a mobile website or app during
the past year according to a PhoCusWrightreport. The trend is catching
up with hotels as well, but it is mainly the large chain hotels or luxurious
hotels like Roger Smith Hotel in New York, whose VP says, “There has
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Applications for the Hotel Industry
been an effort to make sure we are using the right [Google] AdWords,
and people are learning that we have a [mobile-booking] app.” Mandarin
Oriental’s marketing manager, Nicholas Cohen, says, “Although mobile
conversions make up a small percentage of overall transactions, we do
see that mobile bookings have a shorter booking window and actually
have a higher daily rate.” Mandarin Oriental has an application for
mobile bookings that allows the users to book the rooms and also shows
destination content, such as restaurant recommendations and night life
and cultural events.
The next state of mobile marketing is to be able to send alerts to
customers’ mobiles via SMS (short message service) while they are
passing by the hotel. This will allow hotels to communicate relevant and
timely information. Hotels can also sell products other than the rooms.
For example, people passing by or sitting in the lobby of Roger Smith
Hotel will get alerts for Roger Smith arts center, restaurants, and shops.
Interested customers will receive a QR code that can be scanned at hot
spots around the hotel, and the information of the art product will appear
on the smartphone. Roger Smith is bringing people from the street to
inside the hotel and then from hot spots to the art center, restaurants,
or shops. This is part of brand awareness because it might not lead to an
immediate room booking or art sale, but it is a stepping-stone to start an
engagement with potential customers. Once the customers are locked in
and looking up your products on their smartphones, there is a greater
chance that they might click on the small link that is available on every
mobile website for booking a room.
6.3 Future
The future of online travel agencies is in evolution (Del Chiappa, 2013).
Large chain hotels make their online marketing strategies at corporate
headquarters with the help of web consultants. However, there are no set
marketing strategies for independent hotels that are using a trial-and-
error approach to market their products.
OTAs have become important obligatory points of passage when look-
ing for reviews online. An example of the culmination of such online
commentaries is the creation of ranking lists, such as the Trip Advisor
Popularity Index, a clear numbering system that instantly signals a hotel’s
level of quality and service to satisfy consumers (Jeacle & Carter, 2011).
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A large number of reviews can lead consumers to feel more sure of their
purchase decision. When more reviews are present, consumers increase
their behavioral intention because they perceive the set of information
to be more informative (Park et al., 2007), reducing the uncertainty
and the perceived risk. Intuitively, an individual who believes a popular
alternative to be poor might choose that alternative anyway because it is
popular.
We can relate OTAs to a department store, where guests enter to
shop for different products of different brands while comparing prices.
Wealthy individuals may prefer the specific luxury brands; therefore,
luxury brands are less prone to OTAs’ attack. Price-conscious customers
will be attracted to the best deals and will shift between OTAs and hotel
websites.
The loyalty programs try to encourage customers to stick to one
brand. If we consider price and brand choices as the only two reasons for
guests to choose where they book online, then Facebook, Twitter, SEO,
own website, Google Adwords, and so forth are simply communication
channels, not distribution channels.
OTAs offer a ready-made platform for hotels to take their inventory
and rates to every corner of the world. Reachability is a factor addressed
by OTAs. Cyril Ranque, senior VP of Global Lodging of Expedia, men-
tions that the key for hoteliers is to treat OTAs as another piece in the
overall pie, because they bring great complementary business.
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Conclusions
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Conclusions
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References
DOI: 10.1057/9781137413260.0013
References
DOI: 10.1057/9781137413260.0013
Index
active shoppers, 21 Bhat, S., 40
adaptation, 64 big data, 45
ad design, 37 binomial model, of
ad impressions, 43 overbooking, 73
advertising books, 11
display, 24–5 bounce rate, 44
mobile, 32 brand image, 30
Adwords, 25 branding, 25–6
affiliate marketing, 34 brand loyalty, 17, 54, 80
airline industry, 52, 69, 80 brand promotions, 29
Alba, J., 54 browsing behavior, 46
Amari Hotels, 80–1 business-to-business (B2B)
Amazon, 5, 50, 52 online shopping, 15
American Marketing business-to-consumer (B2C)
Association, 13, 17 online shopping, 15
analytics, 40, 44–5 buttons, 24–5
animated web ads, 24–5 buying behavior, 14–16
Archer, N., 77
aspirational reference cancellations, 69–70
price, 64 cell phones, 34–5
autoregressive model (AR), 55 channel risk, 18
autoregressive moving average Chu, J., 21
models, 55–6 clicks, 43
click-through rate (CTR),
Bakos, Y., 49 42, 43
balanced buyers, 19–20 click-throughs, 43
banking, 47 Cohen, Nicholas, 85
banners, 24–5 communications channels, 2–3,
Barnes, S. J., 20–1 23–38
Barwise, P., 35 affiliate marketing, 34
behavioral remarketing, 36–8 display advertising, 24–5
behavioral retargeting, 36–8 e-mail, 26–9
behavioral targeting, 46 introduction to, 24
Berners-Lee, Tim, 5 mobile marketing, 34–6
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Index
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Index
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Index
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Index
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