The document describes a financial analysis and forecasting spreadsheet. It provides inputs for historical financial statements like balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements. It then uses these inputs to calculate key financial metrics and ratios for analysis. Forecasting worksheets use the historical data to generate pro forma financial statements using simple and complex functions.
The document describes a financial analysis and forecasting spreadsheet. It provides inputs for historical financial statements like balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements. It then uses these inputs to calculate key financial metrics and ratios for analysis. Forecasting worksheets use the historical data to generate pro forma financial statements using simple and complex functions.
The document describes a financial analysis and forecasting spreadsheet. It provides inputs for historical financial statements like balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements. It then uses these inputs to calculate key financial metrics and ratios for analysis. Forecasting worksheets use the historical data to generate pro forma financial statements using simple and complex functions.
The document describes a financial analysis and forecasting spreadsheet. It provides inputs for historical financial statements like balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements. It then uses these inputs to calculate key financial metrics and ratios for analysis. Forecasting worksheets use the historical data to generate pro forma financial statements using simple and complex functions.
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Financial Analysis & Forecasting
Purpose of Spreadsheet: Revised: 11/22/2002 active
Wksh3 To illustrate concepts related to financial analysis and forecasting. Wksh5 The financial analysis uses a combination of ratios and industry averages to Wksh7 evaluate the financial performance of the company. Trend line graphs are also Wksh9 generated, comparing the company's performance with the industry averages. Wksh11 Finally, the historical information is used to prepare a set of pro forma Wksh13 financial statements using both linear and non-linear functions. Wksh15 Required Inputs: You will need to collect financial statements for several reporting periods. If you want to benchmark the performance against the industry, then you will also need to collect industry averages. The spreadsheet is setup to capture five reporting periods (annual, quarterly, monthly). All input fields are highlighted in yellow. For best results, SEC Filings are suggested since these reports provide more detail than published financial statements. Note: A small red triangle in the upper right corner of a cell indicates that a comment has been inserted. Point your mouse over the cell and the comment will appear. If a cell appears in red, this indicates a warning concerning a calculation. Worksheets: This spreadsheet consists of the following worksheets, divided into three sections: A) Input Worksheets for financial analysis using historical data: Worksheet Title 2 General Input Enter general information here - used on several worksheets. 3 Balance Sheet Enter comparative balances sheets for up to five periods. 4 Income Statement Enter comparative income statements for up to five periods. 5 Cash Flow Statement Enter comparative cash flow statements for up to five periods. Caution: If you enter less than five years of historical information, certain worksheet formulas may have to be revised. B) Output Worksheets for evaluating financial performance: 6 Key Financial Data Calculates key financial information for further analysis. 7 Ratio Analysis Calculates a series of ratios for further analysis. 8 Benchmark Analysis Compare ratio analysis to industry averages. 9 Horizontal Analysis Horizontal analysis with corresponding trend lines. 10 Vertical Analysis Common size financials in percentages and graphs. C) Pro Forma / Forecasted Financials for Budgeting: 11 Pro Forma - Simple Set of pro forma financials using simple assumptions 12 Pro Forma - Regression Set of pro forma financials using linear trending 13 Pro Forma - Exponential Set of pro forma financials using exponential smoothing Purpose Prepared by Matt H. Evans, CPA, CMA, CFM 14 Scenario Analysis Example of Scenario Analysis and Goal Seek Analysis 15 Budget Analysis Preliminary budget analysis 16 Final Budgets Set of budgets per various assumptions and forecasts. Note: Some additional worksheets (Answer Reports 1 & 2) may appear in the spreadsheet due to the running of Solver. Macros: No macros have been used in this spreadsheet to give everyone some assurance that no viruses are contained in the spreadsheet. However, you are free to add your own macros to save time. Tools > Macro > Record New Macro Excel Functions: This spreadsheet uses certain financial functions (such as =TREND) which might not be found in your version of Microsoft Excel. To take full advantage of financial and statistical functions, you should install the Add On package titled: Analysis TookPak. Go to the main tool bar, select Tools => Add-Ins => check the Analysis TookPak option, insert your Excel CD and install the Analysis ToolPak. Also, you might want to install the Solver Add-in since this is useful for solving special forecasting issues (such as finding the optimal exponential factor). Compatibility: This spreadsheet was created with Microsoft Excel 2000. Older versions of Excel (such as 97) may not be compatible with this spreadsheet. Corrections: With any attempt to build an Excel Model, I can easily make some mistakes. So if you have suggestions to make the model better, drop me an email and Ill be glad to improve the financial model. My email address is: [email protected] Wksh2 Wksh4 Wksh6 Wksh8 Wksh10 Wksh12 Wksh14 Wksh16 Enter general information here - used on several worksheets. Enter comparative balances sheets for up to five periods. Enter comparative income statements for up to five periods. Enter comparative cash flow statements for up to five periods. Caution: If you enter less than five years of historical information, certain worksheet Calculates key financial information for further analysis. Calculates a series of ratios for further analysis. Horizontal analysis with corresponding trend lines. Common size financials in percentages and graphs. Set of pro forma financials using simple assumptions Set of pro forma financials using exponential smoothing Purpose Prepared by Matt H. Evans, CPA, CMA, CFM Example of Scenario Analysis and Goal Seek Analysis Set of budgets per various assumptions and forecasts. General Input Panel Home The following general information should be entered: Wksh3 Note: Sample data has been entered in the input cells to help you get started. Wksh5 Wksh7 2-1 Name of Company => Wksh9 Wksh11 2-2 Reporting Periods => Annual (Annual, Semi-annual, Quarterly or Monthly) Wksh13 Wksh15 2-3 Number of Days in Reporting Period are 365
What reporting periods will be entered? 2-4 Most Current Period 2000 (1999, July 1998, 6/30/97, etc.) 2-5 Previous Period 1999 (1999, July 1998, 6/30/97, etc.) 2-6 2nd Previous Period 1998 (1999, July 1998, 6/30/97, etc.) 2-7 3rd Previous Period 1997 (1999, July 1998, 6/30/97, etc.) 2-8 4th Previous Period 1996 (1999, July 1998, 6/30/97, etc.) 2-9 Number of historical periods to be analyzed 5 How are the amounts expressed in the financial statements? (such as: in millions of dollars, thousands of Canadian dollars, etc.) 2-10
millions of dollars X Y Z Corporation USA active Wksh4 Wksh6 Wksh8 Wksh10 Wksh12 Wksh14 Wksh16 Balance Sheet for X Y Z Corporation USA
Annual Annual Annual Annual Annual Period Period Period Period Period Description 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 millions of dollars Cash and Cash Equivalents 990 950 901 998 870 Short Term Marketable Securities 10 15 12 6 11 Accounts Receivable 1,020 1,550 1,830 2,250 3,040 Inventory 1,005 1,360 1,650 1,900 2,060 Other Current Assets 870 1,150 1,370 1,650 1,530 Total Current Assets 3,895 5,025 5,763 6,804 7,511 Fixed Assets 14,006 17,605 21,826 26,950 28,100 Accumulated Depreciation (1,280) (1,700) (2,100) (2,550) (3,010) Net Fixed Assets 12,726 15,905 19,726 24,400 25,090 Longterm Investments 360 320 120 590 905 Investments in Other Companies 65 0 0 250 412 Intangibles and Other Assets 100 110 105 135 195 Total Non Current Assets 13,251 16,335 19,951 25,375 26,602 Total Assets 17,146 21,360 25,714 32,179 34,113
Accounts Payable 2,050 3,150 3,290 3,870 4,800 Short Term Borrowings 1,200 1,830 2,580 3,100 3,550 Short Term Portion of LT Debt 12 15 25 30 36 Other Current Liabilities 1,050 1,250 1,480 1,590 1,301 Total Current Liabilities 4,312 6,245 7,375 8,590 9,687 Longterm Debt / Borrowings 1,160 1,750 2,600 3,600 3,950 Other Longterm Liabilities 650 750 701 890 995 Total Non Current Liabilities 1,810 2,500 3,301 4,490 4,945 Total Liabilities 6,122 8,745 10,676 13,080 14,632 Preferred Equity 0 0 0 0 0 Prepared by Matt H. Evans 7/6/2014 Page 7 Balance Sheet for X Y Z Corporation USA
Annual Annual Annual Annual Annual Period Period Period Period Period Description 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 millions of dollars Common Equity 2,044 2,005 2,069 2,090 2,120 Additional Paid in Capital 5,013 4,900 5,159 5,626 5,628 Retained Earnings 5,097 7,050 9,840 15,050 20,005 Adj for Foreign Currency Transl 275 120 (550) (2,147) (6,722) Treasury Stock (1,405) (1,460) (1,480) (1,520) (1,550) Total Shareholder Equity 11,024 12,615 15,038 19,099 19,481 Total Liabilities & Equity 17,146 21,360 25,714 32,179 34,113 Check: Assets = Liab + Equity ? 0 0 0 0 0 Comment => Balances Balances Balances Balances Balances NonDepreciable Fixed Assets 0 0 0 0 0 Deferred Taxes 112 101 90 98 109 Goodwill Write Off 0 0 0 0 0 No of Common Shares o/s 1,320 1,290 1,302 1,345 1,322 Par Value of Common Stock $10.00 $10.00 $10.00 $10.00 $10.00 No of Preferred Shares o/s 0 0 0 0 0 Par Value of Preferred Stock Market Price of Common Stock $22.65 $28.90 $37.05 $33.60 $29.40 Market Price of Preferred Stock $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 Preferred Dividends in Arrears 0 0 0 0 0 Liquidating value of Preferred Stk 0 0 0 0 0 Book Value per Share $8.35 $9.78 $11.55 $14.20 $14.74 Dividends per Common Share $1.01 $1.49 $1.89 $1.75 $1.76 Dividend Payout Ratio 45.47% 38.61% 39.44% 29.76% 30.24% Cash Dividends to Preferred Stock 0 0 0 0 0 Prepared by Matt H. Evans 7/6/2014 Page 8 Balance Sheet for X Y Z Corporation USA
Annual Annual Annual Annual Annual Period Period Period Period Period Description 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 millions of dollars Cash Dividends to Common Stock 1,330 1,918 2,461 2,354 2,329 Total Dividends Paid 1,330 1,918 2,461 2,354 2,329 Prepared by Matt H. Evans 7/6/2014 Page 9 Income Statement for X Y Z Corporation USA Annual Annual Annual Annual Annual Period Period Period Period Period Description 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 millions of dollars Net Sales 12,060 16,700 21,170 24,700 27,400 Other Operating Revenues 16 19 26 37 48 Total Revenues 12,076 16,719 21,196 24,737 27,448 Cost of Goods Sold (4,950) (7,050) (8,233) (9,050) (10,150) Other Operating Expenses (11) (13) (17) (22) (28) Total Direct Expenses (4,961) (7,063) (8,250) (9,072) (10,178) Selling, General & Administrative (3,300) (3,880) (4,637) (5,670) (7,120) Operating Income 3,815 5,776 8,309 9,995 10,150 Interest Expenses (117) (122) (216) (282) (304) Foreign Exchange (Loss) Gain 0 0 0 0 0 Associated Company (Loss) Gain 0 0 (22) 0 0 Other NonOperating (Loss) Gain 0 17 0 0 0 Income Tax Expense (790) (1,005) (2,050) (2,105) (2,660) Reserve Charges 0 0 0 0 0 Income Before Extra Ord Items 2,908 4,666 6,021 7,608 7,186 Extra Ordinary Items (Loss) Gain 0 0 0 0 0 Tax Effects of Extraordinary Items 0 0 0 0 0 Minority Interests 17 302 219 303 515 Net Income 2,925 4,968 6,240 7,911 7,701 Primary EPS $2.22 $3.85 $4.79 $5.88 $5.83 Earnings Before Int & Taxes 3,832 6,095 8,506 10,298 10,665 Depreciation & Amortization (310) (420) (400) (450) (460) Research & Devel Expenses 0 0 0 0 0 Capitalized Interest Expense (16) (19) (33) (39) (30) Interest Income 4 6 11 19 27 Total Non Operating Expenses (907) (1,110) (2,288) (2,387) (2,964) Prepared by Matt H. Evans 7/6/2014 Page 10 Income Statement for X Y Z Corporation USA Annual Annual Annual Annual Annual Period Period Period Period Period Description 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 millions of dollars Total Extra Ordinary Items 17 302 219 303 515 Tax Rate 21.36% 17.78% 25.33% 21.67% 27.02% Prepared by Matt H. Evans 7/6/2014 Page 11 Cash Flow Statement for X Y Z Corporation USA Annual Annual Annual Annual Annual Period Period Period Period Period Description 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 millions of dollars Net Income 2,925 4,968 6,240 7,911 7,701 Depreciation and Amortization 310 420 400 450 460 (Increase) Decrease Defer Taxes (2) 11 11 (8) (11) (Gain) Loss on Sale of Assets (55) 0 45 0 0 (Increase) Decrease Current Assets (162) (1,130) (738) (1,041) (707) Increase (Decrease) Current Liab 206 1,933 1,130 1,215 1,097 Cash Flow from Operations 3,222 6,202 7,088 8,527 8,540 Capital Expenditures (1,455) (2,750) (3,880) (5,220) (4,108) Acquisition in Other Co's (135) 0 0 0 0 Proceeds from Sales of Assets 112 35 0 150 182 Purchases of Investments (712) (1,979) (1,801) (2,314) (2,609) Sale of Investments 162 129 330 221 50 Other Investment Activities 33 (166) 61 (12) 0 Cash Provided (Used) from Investmts (1,995) (4,731) (5,290) (7,175) (6,485) Proceeds from Borrowings 1,070 1,044 1,460 1,880 1,105 Payments on Borrowings (1,112) (650) (898) (801) (961) Dividends Paid to Shareholders (1,330) (1,918) (2,461) (2,354) (2,329) Proceeds from Minority Interest 5 12 7 7 8 Issue Stock / Exercise Options 195 1 45 13 6 Purchase / Retire Common Stock 0 0 0 0 0 Other Financing Activities (75) 0 0 0 (12) Cash Provided (Used) from Financing (1,247) (1,511) (1,847) (1,255) (2,183) Increase (Decrease) to Cash (20) (40) (49) 97 (128) Beginning Cash Balance 1,010 990 950 901 998 Prepared by Matt H. Evans 7/6/2014 Page 12 Cash Flow Statement for X Y Z Corporation USA Annual Annual Annual Annual Annual Period Period Period Period Period Description 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 millions of dollars Ending Cash Balance 990 950 901 998 870 Check: Should agree to Balance Sheet 0 0 0 0 0 Comment => Balances Balances Balances Balances Balances Prepared by Matt H. Evans 7/6/2014 Page 13 Key Financial Data for X Y Z Corporation USA
Annual Annual Annual Annual Annual Period Period Period Period Period Description 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 millions of dollars EBITDA : Income before ExtraOrd Items 2,908 4,666 6,021 7,608 7,186 Interest Expense 117 122 216 282 304 Capitalized Interest Expense 16 19 33 39 30 Income Tax Expense 790 1,005 2,050 2,105 2,660 Reserve Charges 0 0 0 0 0 Depreciation and Amortization 310 420 400 450 460 EBITDA 4,141 6,232 8,720 10,484 10,640 EBITDA Margin 34% 37% 41% 42% 39% Free Cash Flow: Operating Cash Flow 3,222 6,202 7,088 8,527 8,540 Investment Cash Flows (1,995) (4,731) (5,290) (7,175) (6,485) Preferred Dividends Paid (fixed) 0 0 0 0 0 Redemption of Fixed Obligations (1,112) (650) (898) (801) (961) Other Critical Outlays (35) (45) (42) (30) (25) Free Cash Flow 80 776 858 521 1,069 Working Capital: Current Assets 3,895 5,025 5,763 6,804 7,511 Current Liabilities 4,312 6,245 7,375 8,590 9,687 Working Capital (417) (1,220) (1,612) (1,786) (2,176) Liquid Capital: Cash and Cash Equivalents 990 950 901 998 870 Marketable Securities 10 15 12 6 11 Accounts Receivable 1,020 1,550 1,830 2,250 3,040 Notes Receivable 0 0 0 0 0 Total Current Liabilities (4,312) (6,245) (7,375) (8,590) (9,687) Long Term Debt (1,160) (1,750) (2,600) (3,600) (3,950) Preferred Equity 0 0 0 0 0 Liquid Capital (3,452) (5,480) (7,232) (8,936) (9,716) The following valuation indicators are very simple and basic; they are used as quick, rough estmates. Market Capitalization: Market Cap - Common Stk $29,898 $37,281 $48,239 $45,192 $38,867 Market Cap - Preferred Stk $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 Total Market Capitalization $29,898 $37,281 $48,239 $45,192 $38,867 Present Value: Normalized Cash Flow Weight %'s 5.00% 10.00% 15.00% 30.00% 40.00% Normalized Cash Flow 794 Key Financial Data for X Y Z Corporation USA
Annual Annual Annual Annual Annual Period Period Period Period Period Description 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 millions of dollars Number of Future Periods 15 Required Rate of Return 11.00% Present Value of Free Cash Flow $5,711 Present Value of Selling Price $315,000 <= estimated selling price $65,836 Present Value of Business $71,547 Revenue Multiplier: Recent Gross Revenues 27,448 Average Competitive Rev Multiplier 3.14 Value based on Revenue Multiple $86,187 Capitalization of Earnings: Normalized Net Income Weights % 5.00% 5.00% 25.00% 30.00% 35.00% Normalized Net Income 6,681 Capitalization Rate 12.00% Nominal Growth Rate 3.50% Net Capitalization Rate 8.50% Value based on Earnings $78,605 Operating Leverage 1.31 1.49 1.21 0.14 Financial Leverage 1.46 0.61 1.12 (0.65)
Total Leverage 1.92 0.91 1.36 (0.09) Check Totals 0.00 1.92 0.91 1.36 (0.09) Ratio Analysis for X Y Z Corporation USA Annual Annual Annual Annual Annual Period Period Period Period Period Title of Ratio 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Acid Test Ratio 0.47 0.40 0.37 0.38 0.40 Current Ratio 0.90 0.80 0.78 0.79 0.78 Operating Cash Flow to Net Income 1.10 1.25 1.14 1.08 1.11 Liquidity Index: Cash - Days Removed 0 0 0 0 0 Cash Balance 990 950 901 998 870 Cash Balance Total 0 0 0 0 0 Marketable Sec - Days Removed 11 12 16 15 14 Marketable Securities Balance 10 15 12 6 11 Marketable Securities Total 110 180 192 90 154 Receivables - Days Removed 34 30 31 32 36 Receivable Balance 1,020 1,550 1,830 2,250 3,040 Receivable Balance Total 34,257 46,158 56,217 72,213 110,751 Inventory - Days Removed 79 61 67 72 71 Inventory Balance 1,005 1,360 1,650 1,900 2,060 Inventory Balance Total 79,745 83,261 110,092 136,018 146,676 Other - Days Removed 16 22 26 21 19 Other Current Assets Balance 870 1,150 1,370 1,650 1,530 Other Current Assets Total 13,920 25,300 35,620 34,650 29,070 Liquidity Index (Days) 33 31 35 36 38 Z Score: 1.2 x (working capital / total assets) (0.03) (0.07) (0.08) (0.07) (0.08) 1.4 x (retained earn / total assets) 0.42 0.46 0.54 0.65 0.82 3.3 x (EBIT / total assets) 0.74 0.94 1.09 1.06 1.03 .6 x (market value equity / b.v. debt) 15.46 12.78 11.13 7.53 5.90 .999 x (sales / total assets) 0.70 0.78 0.82 0.77 0.80 Z Score 17.29 14.90 13.51 9.94 8.48
Days Required to Collect A/R 34 30 31 32 36 Inventory Turnover: Average Inventory Balance 1,046 1,183 1,505 1,775 1,980 Inventory Turnover 4.6 6.0 5.5 5.1 5.1
Days in Inventory 79 61 67 72 71 Total Asset Turnover 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 Ratio Analysis for X Y Z Corporation USA Annual Annual Annual Annual Annual Period Period Period Period Period Title of Ratio 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Operating Assets Ratio 0.97 0.98 0.99 0.97 0.96 Gross Profit Margin 59% 58% 61% 63% 63% Operating Margin 32% 35% 39% 40% 37% Net Profit Margin 24% 30% 29% 32% 28% Direct Cost to Operating Revenues 41% 42% 39% 37% 37% Capitalization Rate / Asset Return: Net Operating Income 3,000 4,749 6,204 7,829 7,408 Total Investments / Operating Assets 16,621 20,930 25,489 31,204 32,601 Capitalization Rate / Return 18.05% 22.69% 24.34% 25.09% 22.72% Return on Shareholder Equity 24% 33% 35% 33% 26%
Debt to Total Assets 0.36 0.41 0.42 0.41 0.43 Debt to Common Equity 0.50 0.63 0.63 0.57 0.53 Times Interest Earned 33 50 39 37 35 Price to Earnings (P/E) 10.2 7.5 7.7 5.7 5.0
Price to Book Value 2.7 3.0 3.2 2.4 2.0 Stock Yield 4.45% 5.14% 5.10% 5.21% 5.99% Home Wksh2 Benchmark Analysis for Wksh3 Wksh4 X Y Z Corporation USA Wksh5 Wksh6 Wksh7 active You need to collect benchmark data on the respective industry for the subject company. Wksh9 Wksh10 Enter the benchmark data in the appropriate input cells. This information is used to Wksh11 Wksh12 generate trend line graphs in this worksheet. If you do not have any benchmark data, Wksh13 Wksh14 then fill in the highlighted yellow cell with numeric zero "0". The "industry" line will be null Wksh15 Wksh16 in the graph and show only the company specific ratio trend.
Annual Annual Annual Period Period Period Ref Description 1996 1997 1998 8-1 Acid Test Ratio - Industry 0.51 0.52 0.50 7-1 Acid Test Ratio - Company 0.47 0.40 0.37 8-2 Current Ratio - Industry 1.12 1.10 1.05 7-2 Current Ratio - Company 0.90 0.80 0.78 8-3 Receivable Turnover - Industry 8.50 8.70 8.40 7-21 Receivable Turnover - Company 10.87 12.26 11.88 8-4 Days to Collect A/R - Industry 41 39 40 7-22 Days to Collect A/R - Company 34 30 31 8-5 Inventory Turnover - Industry 4.40 4.45 4.20 7-25 Inventory Turnover - Company 4.60 5.96 5.47 8-6 Days in Inventory - Industry 86 88 81 7-26 Days in Inventory - Company 79 61 67 8-7 Asset Turnover - Industry 1.60 1.55 1.62 7-27 Asset Turnover - Company 0.70 0.78 0.82 8-8 Gross Profit Margin - Industry 55.00% 52.00% 60.00% 7-29 Gross Profit Margin - Company 58.96% 57.78% 61.11% 8-10 Net Profit Margin - Industry 20.00% 23.00% 22.00% 7-31 Net Profit Margin - Company 24.22% 29.71% 29.44% 8-11 Return on Total Assets - Industry 38.00% 36.00% 37.00% 8-12 Return on Total Assets - Company 30.00% 25.80% 26.51% 8-13 Return on Equity - Industry 26.00% 22.00% 24.00% 8-14 Return on Equity - Company 23.93% 33.44% 35.28% 8-15 Debt to Equity - Industry 35% 38% 31% 7-38 Debt to Equity - Company 50% 63% 63% 8-16 Times Interest Earned - Industry 40 38 36 7-39 Times Interest Earned - Company 33 50 39 We added the following two ratios to assess if the Company has excessive growth: 4-13 Provision for Taxes (790) (1,005) (2,050) 8-17 Trading Ratio - Company 1.24 1.37 1.52 8-18 Trading Ratio - Industry 1.26 1.28 1.31 8-19 Net Sales to Net Worth - Company 1.18 1.44 1.63 8-20 Net Sales to Net Worth - Industry 1.22 1.20 1.19 Source for Benchmark Data: Almanac of Business and Industrial Financial Ratios by Leo Troy, Prentice Hall Graphs appear below for each of the above comparisons: 0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 R a t i o
Periods Acid Ratio Comparison Acid Test Ratio - Industry Acid Test Ratio - Company 0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 1.20 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 R a t i o
Periods Current Ratio Comparison Current Ratio - Industry Current Ratio - Company 0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.00 14.00 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 T u r n o v e r
R a t e
Periods Receivable Turnover Comparison Receivable Turnover - Industry Receivable Turnover - Company 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 D a y s
t o
C o l l e c t
A / R
Periods Receivable Collection Comparison Days to Collect A/R - Industry Days to Collect A/R - Company 0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00 7.00 T u r n o v e r
R a t e
Inventory Turnover Comparison Inventory Turnover - Industry Inventory Turnover - Company 0.00 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Periods 0 20 40 60 80 100 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 D a y s
H e l d
i n
I n v e n t o r y
Periods Inventory Days Comparison Days in Inventory - Industry Days in Inventory - Company 0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 1.20 1.40 1.60 1.80 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 T u r n o v e r
R a t e
Periods Asset Turnover Comparison Asset Turnover - Industry Asset Turnover - Company 40.00% 50.00% 60.00% 70.00% G r o s s
P r o f i t
M a r g i n
Gross Profit Margin Gross Profit Margin - Industry 0.00% 10.00% 20.00% 30.00% 40.00% 50.00% 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 G r o s s
P r o f i t
M a r g i n Periods Gross Profit Margin - Industry Gross Profit Margin - Company 0.00% 5.00% 10.00% 15.00% 20.00% 25.00% 30.00% 35.00% 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 N e t
P r o f i t
M a r g i n
Periods Net Profit Margin Net Profit Margin - Industry Net Profit Margin - Company Return on Equity Comparison 0.00% 5.00% 10.00% 15.00% 20.00% 25.00% 30.00% 35.00% 40.00% R e t u r n
o n
T o t a l
A s s e t s
Periods Return on Total Assets Return on Total Assets - Industry Return on Total Assets - Company 0.00% 5.00% 10.00% 15.00% 20.00% 25.00% 30.00% 35.00% 40.00% R e t u r n
o n
C o m m o n
E q u i t y
Periods Return on Equity Comparison Return on Total Assets - Industry Return on Total Assets - Company 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 D e b t
t o
E q u i t y
R a t i o
Periods Debt to Equity Comparison Debt to Equity - Industry Debt to Equity - Company 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 T i m e s
I n t e r e s t
E a r n e d
Periods Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned - Industry Times Interest Earned - Company 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 R a t i o
Periods Trading Ratio Comparison Trading Ratio - Industry Trading Ratio - Company 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 R a t i o
Periods Sales to Worth Comparison Net Sales to Net Worth - Industry Net Sales to Net Worth - Company
You need to collect benchmark data on the respective industry for the subject company. generate trend line graphs in this worksheet. If you do not have any benchmark data, then fill in the highlighted yellow cell with numeric zero "0". The "industry" line will be null Annual Annual Period Period 1999 2000 0.49 0.48 0.38 0.40 1.08 1.07 0.79 0.78 8.20 8.30 11.37 10.02 41 41 32 36 4.30 4.38 5.10 5.13 89 82 72 71 1.68 1.69 0.77 0.80 62.00% 63.00% 63.36% 62.96% 19.00% 20.00% 31.98% 28.06% 34.00% 36.00% 27.33% 23.23% 19.00% 20.00% 33.42% 25.89% 34% 32% 57% 53% 39 43 37 35 (2,105) (2,660) 1.44 1.49 1.30 1.27 1.45 1.63 1.22 1.20 Source for Benchmark Data: Almanac of Business and Industrial Financial Ratios by Leo Troy, Prentice Hall Acid Test Ratio - Acid Test Ratio - Company Current Ratio - Industry Current Ratio - Company Receivable Turnover Receivable Turnover Days to Collect A/R - Days to Collect A/R - Inventory Turnover - Inventory Turnover - Days in Inventory - Days in Inventory - Asset Turnover - Asset Turnover - Company Gross Profit Margin - Gross Profit Margin - Gross Profit Margin - Net Profit Margin - Net Profit Margin - Return on Total Assets - Industry Return on Total Assets - Company Return on Total Assets - Industry Return on Total Assets - Company Debt to Equity - Industry Debt to Equity - Company Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned Trading Ratio - Industry Trading Ratio - Company Net Sales to Net Worth - Industry Net Sales to Net Worth - Company Horizontal Analysis for X Y Z Corporation USA Horizontal Analysis expresses change between periods as percentages for each account in the financial statements. The basic formula for horizontal analysis is: % change = (most recent period - previous period) / previous period
Annual Annual Annual Annual Annual Period Period Period Period Period Description 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Growth in Net Sales 32.50% 38.47% 26.77% 16.67% 10.93% Cost of Goods Sold 29.00% 42.42% 16.78% 9.92% 12.15% Growth in Gross Profits 2.90% -1.99% 5.76% 3.68% -0.64% Growth in Interest Expense 16.50% 4.27% 77.05% 30.56% 7.80% Growth in Income Tax Expense 12.90% 27.22% 103.98% 2.68% 26.37% Growth in Non Operating Expenses 3.80% 22.38% 106.13% 4.33% 24.17% Growth in Minority Interest 96.00% 1676.47% -27.48% 38.36% 69.97% Growth in Net Income 33.50% 69.85% 25.60% 26.78% -2.65% Growth in Earnings Per Share 32.60% 73.80% 24.45% 22.73% -0.96% Cash and Cash Equivalents 3.08% -4.04% -5.16% 10.77% -12.83% Short Term Marketable Securities 12.00% 50.00% -20.00% -50.00% 83.33% Accounts Receivable 26.70% 51.96% 18.06% 22.95% 35.11% Inventory 19.90% 35.32% 21.32% 15.15% 8.42% Other Current Assets 26.70% 32.18% 19.13% 20.44% -7.27% Total Current Assets 21.50% 29.01% 14.69% 18.06% 10.39% Net Fixed Assets 17.80% 24.98% 24.02% 23.69% 2.83% Longterm Investments 6.20% -11.11% -62.50% 391.67% 53.39% Investments in Other Companies 0.00% -100.00% #DIV/0! #DIV/0! 64.80% Intangibles and Other Assets 16.50% 10.00% -4.55% 28.57% 44.44% Total Non Current Assets 32.50% 23.27% 22.14% 27.19% 4.84% Growth in Total Assets 1.05% 24.58% 20.38% 25.14% 6.01% Accounts Payable 26.20% 53.66% 4.44% 17.63% 24.03% Short Term Borrowings 33.50% 52.50% 40.98% 20.16% 14.52% Short Term Portion of LT Debt 16.70% 25.00% 66.67% 20.00% 20.00% Other Current Liabilities 12.80% 19.05% 18.40% 7.43% -18.18% Total Current Liabilities 38.02% 44.83% 18.09% 16.47% 12.77% Longterm Debt / Borrowings 46.00% 50.86% 48.57% 38.46% 9.72% Other Longterm Liabilities 11.30% 15.38% -6.53% 26.96% 11.80% Total Non Current Liabilities 37.10% 38.12% 32.04% 36.02% 10.13% Growth in Total Liabilities 31.05% 42.85% 22.08% 22.52% 11.87% Preferred Equity 0.00% #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! Common Equity 2.60% -1.91% 3.19% 1.01% 1.44% Additional Paid in Capital 1.50% -2.25% 5.29% 9.05% 0.04% Retained Earnings 38.00% 38.32% 39.57% 52.95% 32.92% Adj for Foreign Currency Transl -166.00% -56.36% -558.33% 290.36% 213.09% Treasury Stock 2.01% 3.91% 1.37% 2.70% 1.97% Growth in Total Equity (Net Worth) 6.11% 14.43% 19.21% 27.00% 2.00% Sustainable Growth Rate #1 13.05% 20.53% 21.36% 23.47% 18.06% Sustainable Growth Rate #2 10.88% 12.91% 13.91% 9.94% 7.83% Growth in Market Capitalization 14.50% 24.69% 29.39% -6.32% -14.00% Vertical Analysis for X Y Z Corporation USA Vertical analysis expresses financial statements as percentages. On the Balance Sheet, Total Assets is assigned 100% and on the Income Statement, Total Revenues is assigned 100%.
Annual Annual Annual Annual Annual Period Period Period Period Period Account Title 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Cash and Cash Equivalents 5.77% 4.45% 3.50% 3.10% 2.55% Short Term Marketable Securities 0.06% 0.07% 0.05% 0.02% 0.03% Accounts Receivable 5.95% 7.26% 7.12% 6.99% 8.91% Inventory 5.86% 6.37% 6.42% 5.90% 6.04% Other Current Assets 5.07% 5.38% 5.33% 5.13% 4.49% Current Assets 22.72% 23.53% 22.41% 21.14% 22.02% Net Fixed Assets 74.22% 74.46% 76.71% 75.83% 73.55% Longterm Investments 2.10% 1.50% 0.47% 1.83% 2.65% Investments in Other Companies 0.38% 0.00% 0.00% 0.78% 1.21% Intangibles and Other Assets 0.58% 0.51% 0.41% 0.42% 0.57% Non Current Assets 77.28% 76.47% 77.59% 78.86% 77.98% Total Assets 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% Accounts Payable 11.96% 14.75% 12.79% 12.03% 14.07% Short Term Borrowings 7.00% 8.57% 10.03% 9.63% 10.41% Short Term Portion of LT Debt 0.07% 0.07% 0.10% 0.09% 0.11% Other Current Liabilities 6.12% 5.85% 5.76% 4.94% 3.81% Total Current Liabilities 25.15% 29.24% 28.68% 26.69% 28.40% Longterm Debt / Borrowings 6.77% 8.19% 10.11% 11.19% 11.58% Other Longterm Liabilities 3.79% 3.51% 2.73% 2.77% 2.92% Total NonCurrent Liabilities 10.56% 11.70% 12.84% 13.95% 14.50% Total Liabilities 35.71% 40.94% 41.52% 40.65% 42.89% Preferred Equity 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% Common Equity 11.92% 9.39% 8.05% 6.49% 6.21% Additional Paid in Capital 29.24% 22.94% 20.06% 17.48% 16.50% Retained Earnings 29.73% 33.01% 38.27% 46.77% 58.64% Adj for Foreign Currency Transl 1.60% 0.56% -2.14% -6.67% -19.71% Treasury Stock -8.19% -6.84% -5.76% -4.72% -4.54% Total Equity 64.29% 59.06% 58.48% 59.35% 57.11% Total Liabilities & Equity 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% Total Revenues 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% expressed in percentages Cost of Goods Sold 40.99% 42.17% 38.84% 36.58% 36.98% Gross Profit 58.96% 57.78% 61.11% 63.36% 62.96% Operating Expenses 27.42% 23.28% 21.96% 23.01% 26.04% Non Operating Expenses 7.51% 6.64% 10.79% 9.65% 10.80% Income Before Extra Ord Items 24.08% 27.91% 28.41% 30.76% 26.18% Net Income 24.22% 29.71% 29.44% 31.98% 28.06% Annual Annual Annual Annual Annual Period Period Period Period Period Enter Your Forecast Periods => 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Pro Forma Income Statement
Investment Sources of Cash Flow: Planned Sale of Assets 100 60 20 25 35 Planned Sale of Investments 2,200 2,100 1,900 1,800 1,700 Other Investment Sources to be used 0 0 0 0 0 Total Investment Sources of Cash 2,300 2,160 1,920 1,825 1,735 Planned Investments: Capital Expenditures (3,500) (3,000) (3,100) (2,700) (2,600) Acquisitions in Other Co's (500) (750) (1,200) (650) (350) Purchases of Investments (3,000) (3,500) (4,500) (6,000) (7,000) Total Investment Applications of Cash (7,000) (7,250) (8,800) (9,350) (9,950) Cash Flow from Financing Activities: Proceeds from Loans & Debt 1,300 1,000 950 750 650 Proceeds from Minority Interest 20 60 80 90 100 Other Financing Activities 0 0 0 0 0 Total Financing Sources of Cash 1,320 1,060 1,030 840 750 Annual Annual Annual Annual Annual Period Period Period Period Period Enter Your Forecast Periods => 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Cash Flow Applied for Financing: Payments on Loans & Debt (1,500) (1,000) (600) (500) (500) Dividends Paid to Shareholders (2,500) (3,000) (4,000) (5,500) (7,000) Purchase / Retire Stock (2,000) (2,000) (1,500) (1,000) (500) Other Financing Activities 0 0 0 0 0 Total Financing Applications of Cash (6,000) (6,000) (6,100) (7,000) (8,000) Total Change to Cash 73 797 25 92 (117) Beginning Cash Balance 870 943 1,740 1,765 1,857 Forecasted Ending Balance 943 1,740 1,765 1,857 1,740 Pro Forma Balance Sheet Cash and Cash Equivalents 943 1,740 1,765 1,857 1,740 Short Term Marketable Securities 0 0 0 0 0 Accounts Receivable 3,074 3,443 3,856 4,319 4,837 Inventory 2,459 2,754 3,085 3,455 3,870 Other Current Assets 1,998 2,238 2,507 2,807 3,144 Total Current Assets 8,475 10,175 11,213 12,438 13,591 Fixed Assets 31,600 34,600 37,700 40,400 43,000 Accumulated Depreciation (3,480) (3,970) (4,470) (4,990) (5,540) Net Fixed Assets 28,120 30,630 33,230 35,410 37,460 Longterm Investments 1,705 3,105 5,705 9,905 15,205 Investments in Other Companies 912 1,662 2,862 3,512 3,862 Intangibles and Other Assets 200 240 320 400 650 Total Non Current Assets 30,937 35,637 42,117 49,227 57,177 Total Assets 39,412 45,812 53,330 61,665 70,768 Accounts Payable 5,226 5,853 6,556 7,342 8,223 Short Term Borrowings 3,689 4,132 4,627 5,183 5,805 Short Term Portion of LT Debt 30 30 25 20 15 Other Current Liabilities 1,845 2,066 2,314 2,591 2,902 Total Current Liabilities 10,790 12,081 13,522 15,136 16,945 Longterm Debt / Borrowings 3,750 3,750 4,100 4,350 4,500 Other Longterm Liabilities 700 750 800 800 800 Total Non Current Liabilities 4,450 4,500 4,900 5,150 5,300 Total Liabilities 15,240 16,581 18,422 20,286 22,245 Preferred Equity 0 0 0 0 0 Common Equity 2,200 2,200 2,200 2,200 2,200 Additional Paid in Capital 5,700 5,700 5,700 5,700 5,700 Annual Annual Annual Annual Annual Period Period Period Period Period Enter Your Forecast Periods => 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Retained Earnings 26,190 33,222 40,365 47,748 55,126 Adj for Foreign Currency Transl (5,000) (4,000) (2,500) (1,500) (500) Treasury Stock (3,550) (5,550) (7,050) (8,050) (8,550) Total Equity 25,540 31,572 38,715 46,098 53,976 External Financing Required (EFR) (1,368) (2,341) (3,807) (4,720) (5,453) Home Wksh2 ProForma Financials (Linear Trend Model) Wksh3 Wksh4 X Y Z Corporation USA Wksh5 Wksh6 Wksh7 Wksh8 A set of pro forma (forecasted) financial statements are generated using the results of Wksh9 Wksh10 the historical analysis in the previous worksheets. A statistical method known as Wksh11 active linear regression is used to predict future values. If you have important assumptions Wksh13 Wksh14 that are important to the forecast, then these assumptions should over-ride the Wksh15 Wksh16 linear calculations since we want our forecast to be as accurate as possible. Key Point => If your historical information has gradual trends, then linear regression is an appropriate model for forecasting. However, if your historical information has distinct steps up or down, then you should consider using a smoothing model .
Before we adopt a regression model, it's a good idea to generate a scatter graph of the actual data and observe if there is a clear trend for fitting a straight regression line into the data: The calculation of linear values is determined by defining the slope of the line and the y intercept: Order Total Rev Linear Formula for Linear Trendline: Year variable x actual y Value y 1996 1 12,076 12,683 y = ( m * x ) + b 1997 2 16,719 16,559 1998 3 21,196 20,435 m: slope of line 1999 4 24,737 24,311 x: independent variable 2000 5 27,448 28,188 b: y intercept 2001 6 32,064 2002 7 35,940 2003 8 39,816 2004 9 43,692 2005 10 47,569 The degree of linear fit with the actual data can be expressed as R Square 0.9888
Annual Annual Annual Annual Period Period Period Period 2001 2002 2003 2004 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 1995 2000 2005 T o t a l
R e v e n u e s
Periods Total Revenues Total Revenues Pro Forma Income Statement 12-1 Gross Revenues 32,064 35,940 39,816 43,692 12-2 Cost of Goods Sold (11,607) (12,847) (14,087) (15,327) 12-3 Operating Expenses (7,750) (8,693) (9,636) (10,579) 12-4 Operating Income 12,707 14,400 16,093 17,786 12-5 Non Operating Expenses (3,549) (4,088) (4,627) (5,166) 4-25 Extra Ordinary Items 271 271 271 271 Net Income 9,429 10,584 11,738 12,892 Pro Forma Cash Flow Statement Sources of Operating Cash Flow: Net Income 9,429 10,584 11,738 12,892 Depreciation and Amortization 470 490 500 520 (Increase) Decrease Defer Taxes 0 0 0 0 (Gain) Loss on Sale of Assets 15 9 2 3 (Increase) Decrease Current Assets (1,146) (1,047) (1,047) (1,047) Increase (Decrease) Current Liab 1,535 1,357 1,357 1,357 Operating Cash Flow 10,304 11,393 12,550 13,725 Investment Sources of Cash Flow: Planned Sale of Assets 100 60 20 25 Planned Sale of Investments 2,200 2,100 1,900 1,800 Other Investment Sources to be used 0 0 0 0 Total Investment Sources of Cash 2,300 2,160 1,920 1,825 Planned Investments: Capital Expenditures (3,500) (3,000) (3,100) (2,700) Acquisitions (500) (750) (1,200) (650) Purchases of Investments (3,000) (3,500) (4,500) (6,000) Total Investment Applications of Cash (7,000) (7,250) (8,800) (9,350) Cash Flow from Financing Activities: Proceeds from Loans & Debt 1,300 1,000 950 750 Proceeds from Minority Interest 20 60 80 90 Other Financing Activities 0 0 0 0 Total Financing Sources of Cash 1,320 1,060 1,030 840 Cash Flow Applied for Financing: Payments on Loans & Debt (1,500) (1,000) (600) (500) Dividends Paid to Shareholders (2,500) (3,000) (4,000) (5,500) Purchase / Retire Stock (2,000) (2,000) (1,500) (1,000) Other Financing Activities 0 0 0 0 Total Financing Applications of Cash (6,000) (6,000) (6,100) (7,000) Total Change to Cash 924 1,363 600 40 Beginning Cash Balance 870 1,794 3,156 3,756 Forecasted Ending Balance 1,794 3,156 3,756 3,796 Pro Forma Balance Sheet Cash and Cash Equivalents 1,794 3,156 3,756 3,796 Short Term Marketable Securities 0 0 0 0 Accounts Receivable 3,206 3,594 3,982 4,369 Inventory 2,565 2,875 3,185 3,495 Other Current Assets 2,084 2,336 2,588 2,840 Total Current Assets 9,649 11,962 13,511 14,501 Fixed Assets 31,600 34,600 37,700 40,400 Accumulated Depreciation (3,480) (3,970) (4,470) (4,990) Net Fixed Assets 28,120 30,630 33,230 35,410 Longterm Investments 1,705 3,105 5,705 9,905 Investments in Other Companies 912 1,662 2,862 3,512 Intangibles and Other Assets 200 240 320 400 Total Non Current Assets 30,937 35,637 42,117 49,227 Total Assets 40,586 47,599 55,628 63,728 Accounts Payable 5,451 6,110 6,769 7,428 Short Term Borrowings 3,848 4,313 4,778 5,243 Short Term Portion of LT Debt 30 30 25 20 Other Current Liabilities 1,924 2,156 2,389 2,622 Total Current Liabilities 11,252 12,609 13,961 15,312 Longterm Debt / Borrowings 3,750 3,750 4,100 4,350 Other Longterm Liabilities 700 750 800 800 Total Non Current Liabilities 4,450 4,500 4,900 5,150 Total Liabilities 15,702 17,109 18,861 20,462 Preferred Equity 0 0 0 0 Common Equity 2,200 2,200 2,200 2,200 Additional Paid in Capital 5,700 5,700 5,700 5,700 Retained Earnings 26,934 34,518 42,256 49,648 Adj for Foreign Currency Transl (5,000) (4,000) (2,500) (1,500) Treasury Stock (3,550) (5,550) (7,050) (8,050) Total Equity 26,284 32,868 40,606 47,998 External Financing Required (EFR) (1,401) (2,379) (3,838) (4,732) Before we adopt a regression model, it's a good idea to generate a scatter graph of the actual data The calculation of linear values is determined by defining the slope of the line and the y intercept: Slope Intercept m factor b factor 3876.20 8806.60
Annual Period 2005 47,569 (16,567) (11,522) 19,480 (5,705) 271 14,046 14,046 550 0 6 (1,047) 1,357 14,912 35 1,700 0 1,735 (2,600) (350) (7,000) (9,950) 650 100 0 750 (500) (7,000) (500) 0 (8,000) (553) 3,796 3,243 3,243 0 4,757 3,805 3,092 14,897 43,000 (5,540) 37,460 15,205 3,862 650 57,177 72,074 8,087 5,708 15 2,854 16,664 4,500 800 5,300 21,964 0 2,200 5,700 56,694 (500) (8,550) 55,544 (5,433) Home Wksh2 ProForma Financials (Exponential Smoothing / Weighted Moving Average) Wksh3 Wksh4 X Y Z Corporation USA Wksh5 Wksh6 Wksh7 Wksh8 A set of pro forma (forecasted) financial statements are generated using the results of Wksh9 Wksh10 the historical analysis in the previous worksheets. A statistical method known as Wksh11 Wksh12 exponential smoothing is used to plot a trend over historical data. Additionally, we active Wksh14 can use a weighted moving average to forecast future periods. Wksh15 Wksh16 Key Point => If you have a general upward historical trend, weighted average will tend to underestimate forecasted values and vice versa (downward trend = overestimate).
Exponential Smoothing and Weighted Moving Averages for Total Revenues: Years => 1996 1997 1998 Total Revenues - Historical 12,076 16,719 21,196 Total Revenues - Exponential 12,076 12,076 16,719 Total Revenues - Wt Moving Avg 11,105 15,230 18,890 Smoothing Factor must be between 0 and 1 0 1 Total weights should add up to => Set Smoothing Factor 1.00 Assign weights to appropriate periods 0.00% 1.50% 4.50% Find the Optimal Smoothing Factor: Total Exponent Revenues Amounts Difference 12,076 12,076 0 16,719 12,076 4,643 21,196 16,719 4,477 24,737 21,196 3,541 27,448 24,737 2,711 Mean Squared Error
Find the Optimal Moving Weights: Total Weighted Revenues Amounts Difference 12,076 11,105 971 16,719 15,230 1,489 21,196 18,890 2,306 24,737 21,605 3,132 27,448 22,965 4,483 Mean Squared Error 20,000 25,000 30,000 T o t a l
R e v e n u e s
Exponential Comparison Total Revenues - Historical Annual Annual Annual Period Period Period 2001 2002 2003 Pro Forma Income Statement Gross Revenues 26,070 26,413 26,316 Cost of Goods Sold (10,197) (10,207) (9,860)
Net Income 6,977 7,429 7,277 Pro Forma Cash Flow Statement Sources of Operating Cash Flow: Net Income 6,977 7,429 7,277 Depreciation and Amortization 470 490 500 (Increase) Decrease Defer Taxes 0 0 0 (Gain) Loss on Sale of Assets 15 9 2 (Increase) Decrease Current Assets 472 (92) 26 Increase (Decrease) Current Liab (562) 120 (34) Operating Cash Flow 7,372 7,956 7,771 Investment Sources of Cash Flow: Planned Sale of Assets 100 60 20 Planned Sale of Investments 2,200 2,100 1,900 Other Investment Sources to be used 0 0 0 Total Investment Sources of Cash 2,300 2,160 1,920 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 T o t a l
R e v e n u e s Periods Total Revenues - Historical Total Revenues - Exponential Total Revenues - Wt Moving Avg Planned Investments: Capital Expenditures (3,500) (3,000) (3,100) Acquisitions (500) (750) (500) Purchases of Investments (2,000) (3,000) (3,000) Total Investment Applications of Cash (6,000) (6,750) (6,600) Cash Flow from Financing Activities: Proceeds from Loans & Debt 1,300 2,000 3,000 Proceeds from Minority Interest 20 60 80 Other Financing Activities 0 0 0 Total Financing Sources of Cash 1,320 2,060 3,080 Cash Flow Applied for Financing: Payments on Loans & Debt (1,500) (1,800) (2,500) Dividends Paid to Shareholders (2,500) (3,000) (4,000) Purchase / Retire Stock 0 0 0 Other Financing Activities 0 0 0 Total Financing Applications of Cash (4,000) (4,800) (6,500) Total Change to Cash 992 626 (329) Beginning Cash Balance 870 1,862 2,488 Forecasted Ending Balance 1,862 2,488 2,159 Pro Forma Balance Sheet Cash and Cash Equivalents 1,862 2,488 2,159 Short Term Marketable Securities 0 0 0 Accounts Receivable 2,607 2,641 2,632 Inventory 2,086 2,113 2,105 Other Current Assets 1,695 1,717 1,711 Total Current Assets 8,249 8,959 8,606 Fixed Assets 31,600 34,600 37,700 Accumulated Depreciation (3,480) (3,970) (4,470) Net Fixed Assets 28,120 30,630 33,230 Longterm Investments 705 1,605 2,705 Investments in Other Companies 912 1,662 2,162 Intangibles and Other Assets 75 100 150 Total Non Current Assets 29,812 33,997 38,247 Total Assets 38,061 42,956 46,853 Accounts Payable 4,432 4,490 4,474 Short Term Borrowings 3,128 3,170 3,158 Short Term Portion of LT Debt 30 30 25 Other Current Liabilities 1,564 1,585 1,579 Total Current Liabilities 9,155 9,274 9,236 Longterm Debt / Borrowings 3,750 3,950 4,450 Other Longterm Liabilities 700 750 800 Total Non Current Liabilities 4,450 4,700 5,250 Total Liabilities 13,605 13,974 14,486 Preferred Equity 0 0 0 Common Equity 2,200 2,200 2,200 Additional Paid in Capital 5,700 5,700 5,700 Retained Earnings 17,505 14,505 10,505 Adj for Foreign Currency Transl (5,000) (3,500) (1,000) Treasury Stock (1,550) (1,550) (1,550) Total Equity 18,855 17,355 15,855 External Financing Required (EFR) 5,602 11,627 16,513 ProForma Financials (Exponential Smoothing / Weighted Moving Average)
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 24,737 27,448 21,196 24,737 21,605 22,965 26,070 26,413 26,316 26,355 26,340 Total weights should add up to => 100.00% 34.50% 59.50% 100.00% Square 0 21,557,449 20,043,529 12,538,681 7,349,521 12,297,836
Square 942,841 2,217,121 5,317,636 9,809,424 20,100,607 7,677,526 Total Revenues - Annual Annual Period Period 2004 2005 26,355 26,340 (9,694) (9,740)
(6,464) (6,859) 10,197 9,740 (3,600) (4,000) 700 700 7,297 6,440 7,297 6,440 520 550 0 0 3 6 (11) 4 14 (5) 7,824 6,995 25 35 1,800 1,700 0 0 1,825 1,735 Total Revenues - Total Revenues - Total Revenues - Wt Moving Avg (3,900) (4,600) 0 0 (1,000) (1,000) (4,900) (5,600) 4,500 7,000 90 100 0 0 4,590 7,100 (4,000) (6,000) (4,000) (3,000) 0 0 0 0 (8,000) (9,000) 1,339 1,230 2,159 3,497 3,497 4,728 3,497 4,728 0 0 2,636 2,634 2,108 2,107 1,713 1,712 9,955 11,181 41,600 46,200 (4,990) (5,540) 36,610 40,660 1,905 1,205 2,162 2,162 150 100 40,827 44,127 50,782 55,308 4,480 4,478 3,163 3,161 20 15 1,581 1,580 9,244 9,234 4,950 5,950 800 800 5,750 6,750 14,994 15,984 0 0 2,200 2,200 5,700 5,700 6,505 3,505 0 0 (1,550) (1,550) 12,855 9,855 22,932 29,469 Home Wksh2 Scenario Analysis for Wksh3 Wksh4 X Y Z Corporation USA Wksh5 Wksh6 Wksh7 Wksh8 We can copy our forecast into a new worksheet and do scenario analysis and goal-seek analysis. Wksh9 Wksh10 Although Microsoft Excel includes Scenario Manager, it can be easier and quicker to simply do our Wksh11 Wksh12 scenario analysis manually. We can use Goal Seek to find a value for a cell given a corresponding Wksh13 active formula in another cell. Wksh15 Wksh16 Annual Annual Annual Period Period Period 2001 2002 2003 Pro Forma Income Statement (Simple Projection Method) Scenario => Non Operating Expenses will decline by $ 100,000 in year 2003 and again in year 2005: Gross Revenues 30,742 34,431 38,562 Cost of Goods Sold (12,024) (13,467) (15,083) Operating Expenses (7,483) (8,381) (9,387) NonOperating Expenses (3,200) (3,200) (3,100) ExtraOrdinary Items 650 650 650 Net Income 8,685 10,033 11,643 Instead of copying our forecast into this worksheet, we can simply do scenario analysis directly in the forecast itself. Pro Forma Income Statement (Linear Trend Method) Goal Seek => What total revenues are required if Net Income must be $ 13.5 million in Year 2004? Gross Revenues 32,064 35,940 39,816 Cost of Goods Sold (11,607) (12,847) (14,087) Operating Expenses (7,750) (8,693) (9,636) Non Operating Expenses (3,549) (4,088) (4,627) Extra Ordinary Items 271 271 271 Net Income (formula cells) 9,430 10,584 11,738 Do not change formula cells (goals) to values when using Goal Seek (Tools > Goal Seek) This is the target cell that Goal Seek is seeking to change per the value 13,500 in cell G34 We can copy our forecast into a new worksheet and do scenario analysis and goal-seek analysis. Although Microsoft Excel includes Scenario Manager, it can be easier and quicker to simply do our scenario analysis manually. We can use Goal Seek to find a value for a cell given a corresponding Annual Annual Period Period 2004 2005 Scenario => Non Operating Expenses will decline by $ 100,000 in year 2003 and again in year 2005: 43,190 48,373 (16,893) (18,920) (10,513) (11,775) (3,100) (3,000) 700 700 13,384 15,378 Instead of copying our forecast into this worksheet, we can simply do scenario analysis directly in Goal Seek => What total revenues are required if Net Income must be $ 13.5 million in Year 2004? 44,301 47,569 (15,327) (16,567) (10,579) (11,522) (5,166) (5,705) 271 271 13,500 14,046 Do not change formula cells (goals) to values when using Goal Seek (Tools > Goal Seek) This is the target cell that Goal Seek is seeking to change per the value 13,500 in cell G34 Home Wksh2 Budget Analysis for Wksh3 Wksh4 X Y Z Corporation USA Wksh5 Wksh6 Wksh7 Wksh8 Once we complete our forecast, we can summarize and review it before finalizing it Wksh9 Wksh10 into the form of budgets. We also need to summarize our assumptions that should Wksh11 Wksh12 go into our final budget. We can start our budget process by reviewing the different Wksh13 Wksh14 revenue forecast: active Wksh16
Annual Annual Annual Period Period Period 2001 2002 2003 Summarize Revenue Forecast: Simple Projection Model 30,742 34,431 38,562 Linear Trend Model 32,064 35,940 39,816 Wt Moving Avg Model 26,070 26,413 26,316 Declining Growth Model 29,644 31,422 32,679 Historical Data 12,076 16,719 21,196 Projection using declining growth rates: Gross Revenues 29,644 31,422 32,679 In addition to using linear models for forecasting, we can apply several non-linear (curve) models: Logarithmic - Used when rate of change in data suddenly shifts upward or downward. Power - Used when rate of change in data occurs at a specific rate. Exponential - Used when rate of change is increasing or decreasing at ever higher rates. 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 T o t a l
R e v e n u e s
Periods Forecast Comparisons Simple Projection Model Linear Trend Model Wt Moving Avg Model Declining Growth Model Historical Data Polynomial - Used when rate of change fluctuates with no pattern. Logarithmic Trend Actual Predicted Formula for Logarithmic Trendline x factor Values Value y 1 12,076 (11,242) y = ( c * LN (x)) - b 2 16,719 (4,587) 3 21,196 (695) LN: Natural Logarithm 4 24,737 2,067 5 27,448 4,210 6 5,960 7 7,440 8 8,722 9 9,853 10 10,865 Power Trendline Actual Predicted y = b * x^c x factor Values Value y 1 12,076 11,951 2 16,719 17,109 3 21,196 21,104 4 24,737 24,493 5 27,448 27,491 6 30,212 7 32,721 8 35,063 9 37,267 10 39,356 Exponential Trendline Actual Predicted x factor Values Value y y = b * EXP ( c * x ) 1 12,076 13,061 2 16,719 16,007 3 21,196 19,618 4 24,737 24,043 5 27,448 29,465 6 36,111 7 44,256 8 54,238 9 66,472 10 81,464 Polynomial Trendline Actual Predicted y = (c2 * x^2) + (c1 * x^1) + b x factor Values Value y 1 12,076 11,997 2 16,719 16,902 3 21,196 21,121 4 24,737 24,654 5 27,448 27,502 6 29,664 7 31,140 8 31,930 9 32,035 10 31,454
Summarize Non Linear Curves on Graph: 1996 1997 1998 Logarithmic Trendline (11,242) (4,587) (695) Power Trendline 11,951 17,109 21,104 Exponential Trendline 13,061 16,007 19,618 Polynomial Trendline 11,997 16,902 21,121 Actual Revenues 12,076 16,719 21,196 Variance Analysis of Past Budgets: Accuracy in the budget process should be examined to determine the degree of error or variance in the budget process. If the variance is high, this indicates a need to improve planning techniques within the company. TBD: To be Determined (20,000) 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 T o t a l
R e v e n u e s
Periods Non Linear Trends 1996 1997 1998 Income Statement Items Total Revenues - Budgeted 10,500 14,500 22,500 Total Revenues - Actual 12,076 16,719 21,196 % difference from actual -13% -13% 6% Cost of Goods Sold - Budgeted (4,500) (6,500) (8,648) Cost of Goods Sold - Actual (4,950) (7,050) (8,233) % difference from actual -9% -8% 5% Operating Income - Budgeted 3,100 4,900 9,000 Operating Income - Actual 3,815 5,776 8,309 % difference from actual -19% -15% 8% Net Income - Budgeted 2,100 4,100 6,500 Net Income - Actual 2,925 4,968 6,240 % difference from actual -28% -17% 4% Balance Sheet Items Current Assets - Budgeted 3,450 4,400 6,250 Current Assets - Actual 3,895 5,025 5,763 % difference from actual -11% -12% 8% NonCurrent Assets - Budgeted 10,900 14,000 22,000 NonCurrent Assets - Actual 13,251 16,335 19,951 % difference from actual -18% -14% 10% Current Liabilities - Budgeted 3,750 5,600 8,200 Current Liabilities - Actual 4,312 6,245 7,375 % difference from actual -13% -10% 11% NonCurrent Liabilities - Budgeted 1,750 2,450 3,750 NonCurrent Liabilities - Actual 1,810 2,500 3,301 % difference from actual -3% -2% 14% Ratio Items Current Ratio - Budgeted 0.92 0.79 0.76 Current Ratio - Actual 0.90 0.80 0.78 % difference from actual 2% -2% -2% Total Asset Turnover - Budgeted 0.68 0.72 0.80 Total Asset Turnover - Actual 0.70 0.78 0.82 % difference from actual -3% -8% -3% Gross Profit Margin - Budgeted 60% 60% 60% Gross Profit Margin - Actual 59% 58% 61% % difference from actual 2% 4% -2% Net Profit Margin - Budgeted 19% 25% 28% Net Profit Margin - Actual 24% 30% 29% % difference from actual -22% -16% -5% Debt to Common Equity - Budgeted 0.45 0.50 0.60 Debt to Common Equity - Actual 0.50 0.63 0.63 % difference from actual -11% -20% -4% Return on Equity - Budgeted 20% 29% 32% Return on Equity - Actual 24% 33% 35% % difference from actual -16% -13% -9% We can use specific measurements to track and control forecasting errors: Mean Absolute Error - An absolute value of forecast errors, does not place weight on the amount of the error. Calculated as the sum of (actual values - predicted values) / n. Mean Square Error - Similar to Mean Absolute Error, but does place more emphasis on the amount of error; i.e. an error of 8 is twice as significant as 4. Calculated as the sum of (actual values - predicted values)^2 / n. Root Mean Square Error - To make the Mean Square Error useful and comparable to the Mean Absolute Error, we can take the square root of the Mean Square Error. We can then use this as a guide to establish an error limit or standard for flagging unacceptable errors. Actual Forecasted Example: Total Revenues Period Revenues Revenues n: total number of periods 1996 12,076 10,500 1997 16,719 14,500 1998 21,196 22,500 1999 24,737 28,500 2000 27,448 30,000 n => 5 Sum => Mean Absolute Error Mean Square Error Root Mean Sqr Error Establish Error Limits
Once we complete our forecast, we can summarize and review it before finalizing it into the form of budgets. We also need to summarize our assumptions that should go into our final budget. We can start our budget process by reviewing the different Annual Annual Period Period 2004 2005 43,190 48,373 43,692 47,569 26,355 26,340 33,170 31,000 24,737 27,448 33,170 31,000 In addition to using linear models for forecasting, we can apply several non-linear (curve) models: Logarithmic - Used when rate of change in data suddenly shifts upward or downward. Exponential - Used when rate of change is increasing or decreasing at ever higher rates. Simple Projection Linear Trend Model Wt Moving Avg Declining Growth Historical Data Slope Intercept c factor b factor 9600.91841 11242.3365
Slope Intercept c factor b factor 0.51758981 9.38859823 11951.3346 < - calculate using c and b factor - > Slope Intercept Predicted c factor b factor ( c * x) EXP Value y 0.20339009 9.27401935 0.20339 1.2255504 13,061 10657.5022 0.40678 1.5019739 16,007 0.61017 1.8407448 19,618 0.81356 2.2559256 24,043 1.01695 2.7647506 29,465 1.22034 3.3883414 36,111 1.42373 4.1525833 44,256 1.62712 5.0892003 54,238 1.83051 6.2370717 66,472 2.03390 7.6438461 81,464 c2 c1 b -342.85714 5933.34286 6406.6
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2,067 4,210 5,960 7,440 8,722 9,853 10,865 24,493 27,491 30,212 32,721 35,063 37,267 39,356 24,043 29,465 36,111 44,256 54,238 66,472 81,464 24,654 27,502 29,664 31,140 31,930 32,035 31,454 24,737 27,448 Accuracy in the budget process should be examined to determine the degree of error or variance in the budget process. If the variance is high, this indicates a need to improve Non Linear Trends Logarithmic Trendline Power Trendline Exponential Trendline Polynomial Trendline Actual Revenues (Wksht 16) 1999 2000 2001 28,500 30,000 30,500 24,737 27,448 TBD 15% 9% #VALUE! (9,650) (11,000) (11,929) (9,050) (10,150) TBD 7% 8% #VALUE! 11,000 10,500 11,146 9,995 10,150 TBD 10% 3% #VALUE! 9,000 9,300 7,986 7,911 7,701 TBD 14% 21% #VALUE! 7,500 7,900 8,253 6,804 7,511 TBD 10% 5% #VALUE! 27,500 29,500 31,555 25,375 26,602 TBD 8% 11% #VALUE! 9,050 9,400 10,715 8,590 9,687 TBD 5% -3% #VALUE! 4,900 5,100 5,250 4,490 4,945 TBD 9% 3% #VALUE! 0.83 0.80 0.77 0.79 0.78 TBD 5% 3% #VALUE! 0.80 0.79 0.77 0.77 0.80 TBD 4% -2% #VALUE! 60% 60% 0.61 63% 63% TBD -5% -5% #VALUE! 30% 28% 26% 32% 28% TBD -6% 0% #VALUE! 0.65 0.55 0.48 0.57 0.53 TBD 13% 4% #VALUE! 35% 30% 24% 33% 26% TBD 5% 16% #VALUE! Mean Absolute Error - An absolute value of forecast errors, does not place weight on the amount of the error. Calculated as the sum of (actual values - predicted values) / n. Mean Square Error - Similar to Mean Absolute Error, but does place more emphasis on the amount of error; i.e. an error of 8 is twice as significant as 4. Calculated as the Root Mean Square Error - To make the Mean Square Error useful and comparable to the Mean Absolute Error, we can take the square root of the Mean Square Error. We can then use this as a guide to establish an error limit or standard for flagging unacceptable errors. Is Error Error Outside Error Absolute Squared Limit? 1,576 1,576 2,483,776 No 2,219 2,219 4,923,961 Yes (1,304) 1,304 1,700,416 No (3,763) 3,763 14,160,169 Yes (2,552) 2,552 6,512,704 Yes (3,824) 3,824 14,622,976 Yes Mean Absolute Error 765 Mean Square Error 2,924,595 Root Mean Sqr Error 1,710 Establish Error Limits 1,710 Home Wksh2 Final Budgets for Wksh3 Wksh4 X Y Z Corporation USA Wksh5 Wksh6 Wksh7 Wksh8 Now that we have analyzed our historical data and placed it into a set of Wksh9 Wksh10 forecast, we can pull it all together with our assumptions for a final budget. Wksh11 Wksh12 Many of these assumptions should be included in our forecast for improved Wksh13 Wksh14 accuracy. However, we need to fine tune and finalize all assumptions Wksh15 active so that we can produce a final finished budget for planning purposes.
Budget Period Ref 2001 Operating Plan 16-1 Total Revenues 30,500 16-2 Cost of Goods Sold (11,929) 16-3 Operating Expenses (7,424) 16-4 Operating Income 11,146
16-5 Interest Expenses (310) 16-6 Income Taxes (3,300) 16-7 Other Non Operating Expenses (200) 16-8 Earnings Before Extra Ord Items 7,336 16-9 Extra Ordinary Items 650
16-10 Net Income 7,986 Financial Plan Budgeted Cash Flows 16-11 Net Income 7,986 16-12 Depreciation and Amortization 470 16-13 (Increase) Decrease Defer Taxes 0 16-14 (Gain) Loss on Sale of Assets 15 16-15 (Increase) Decrease Current Assets (724) 16-16 (Increase) Decrease Current Liab 988
16-17 Operating Cash Flow 8,735 Investment Sources of Cash: 16-18 Planned Sale of Assets 100 16-19 Planned Sale of Investments 2,200 16-20 Other Investment Sources to be used 0 16-21 Total Investment Sources of Cash 2,300 Planned Investments: 16-22 Capital Expenditures (4,500) 16-23 Acquisitions in Other Co's (350) 16-24 Purchases of Investments (2,500) 16-25 Total Investment Applications of Cash (7,350) Cash Flow from Financing Activities 16-26 Proceeds from Loans & Debt 1,450 16-27 Proceeds from Minority Interest 15 16-28 Other Financing Activities 0 16-29 Total Financing Sources of Cash 1,465 Cash Flow Applied for Financing: 16-30 Payments on Loans and Debt (1,250) 16-31 Dividends Paid to Shareholders (2,500) 16-32 Purchase / Retire Stock (1,500) 16-33 Other Financing Activities 0 16-34 Total Financing Applications of Cash (5,250) 16-35 Total Change to Cash (100) 16-36 Beginning Cash Balance 870 16-37 Forecasted Ending Balance 770 Budgeted Balance Sheet 16-38 Cash and Cash Equivalents 770 16-39 Short Term Marketable Securities 10 16-40 Accounts Receivable 3,050 16-41 Inventory 2,440 16-42 Other Current Assets 1,983 16-43 Total Current Assets 8,253 16-44 Fixed Assets 32,600 16-45 Accumulated Depreciation (3,480) 16-46 Net Fixed Assets 29,120 16-47 Longterm Investments 1,205 16-48 Investments in Other Companies 1,000 16-49 Intangibles and Other Assets 230 16-50 Total Non Current Assets 31,555 16-51 Total Assets 39,808 16-52 Accounts Payable 5,185 16-53 Short Term Borrowings 3,660 16-54 Short Term Portion of LT Debt 40 16-55 Other Current Liabilities 1,830 16-56 Total Current Liabilities 10,715 16-57 Longterm Debt / Borrowings 4,150 16-58 Other Longterm Liabilities 1,100 16-59 Total Non Current Liabilities 5,250 16-60 Total Liabilities 15,965 16-61 Preferred Stock 0 16-62 Common Equity 2,200 16-63 Additional Paid in Capital 5,700 16-64 Retained Earnings 25,491 16-65 Adj for Foreign Currency Translation (5,000) 16-66 Treasury Stock (3,050) 16-67 Total Equity 25,341 16-68 Total Liabilities and Equity 41,306
16-69 External Financing Required (1,499) Now that we have analyzed our historical data and placed it into a set of forecast, we can pull it all together with our assumptions for a final budget. Many of these assumptions should be included in our forecast for improved accuracy. However, we need to fine tune and finalize all assumptions so that we can produce a final finished budget for planning purposes. Assumptions & Comments Based on review of Pro Forma Financials, Marketing, etc. Volume projections, production budgets, and vertical analysis Average % of Sales per Vertical Analysis Based on anticipated levels of debt and past history Based on anticipated taxable income and effective rate Provision for contingency was added on this line item Per our Simple Model Forecast Review of Simple Model Forecast and Capital Expenditure Budget Per Simple Forecast Model Same formula as used in forecast models Same formula as used in forecast models Per Simple Model Forecast Per Simple Model Forecast Budgeted $ 4.5 million in Capital Expenditure Budget Per forecast, strategic plan, and other budgets Per forecast, strategic plan, and other budgets Per Financing Requirements and other budgets Per historical financials and investment budget Per forecast and other budgets Per Simple Model Forecast Per strategic plan and other budgets Per above Per historical financials Same formula as used in forecast models Same formula as used in forecast models Same formula as used in forecast models Same formula as used in forecast models Same formula as used in forecast models Same formula as used in forecast models Per review of forecast and strategic plans Per review of forecast and historical balances Same formula as used in forecast models Same formula as used in forecast models Per review of forecast and historical information Same formula as used in forecast models Same formula as used in forecast models Per review of historical information and expected growth rates. Per Simple Model Forecast Per Simple Model Forecast Same formula as used in forecast models Per Simple Model Forecast Same formula as used in forecast models Microsoft Excel 9.0 Answer Report Worksheet: [Detail_Analysis.xls]13 - Pro Forma (Exp) Report Created: 3/16/2002 3:42:28 PM Target Cell (Min) Cell Name Original Value Final Value $G$60 Mean Squared Error Square 20,525,549 12,297,836 Adjustable Cells Cell Name Original Value Final Value $D$24 Set Smoothing Factor 0.70 1.00 Constraints Cell Name Cell Value Formula Status Slack $D$23 Smoothing Factor must be between 0 and 1 0 $D$23>=$D$23 Binding 0 $D$24 Set Smoothing Factor 1.00 $D$24<=$E$23 Binding 0 Microsoft Excel 9.0 Answer Report Worksheet: [Detail_Analysis.xls]13 - Pro Forma (Exp) Report Created: 3/16/2002 5:19:05 PM Target Cell (Min) Cell Name Original Value $G$46 Mean Squared Error Square 65,536,151 Adjustable Cells Cell Name Original Value $D$25 Assign weights to appropriate periods 0.00% $E$25 Assign weights to appropriate periods 2.00% $F$25 Assign weights to appropriate periods Total weights should add up to => 5.00% $G$25 Assign weights to appropriate periods 35.00% $H$25 Assign weights to appropriate periods 60.00% Constraints Cell Name Cell Value $I$25 Assign weights to appropriate periods 100.00% $D$25 Assign weights to appropriate periods 0.00% $E$25 Assign weights to appropriate periods 1.50% $F$25 Assign weights to appropriate periods Total weights should add up to => 4.50% $G$25 Assign weights to appropriate periods 34.50% $H$25 Assign weights to appropriate periods 59.50% $D$25 Assign weights to appropriate periods 0.00% $E$25 Assign weights to appropriate periods 1.50% $F$25 Assign weights to appropriate periods Total weights should add up to => 4.50% $G$25 Assign weights to appropriate periods 34.50% $H$25 Assign weights to appropriate periods 59.50% Final Value 59,853,342 Final Value 0.00% 1.50% 4.50% 34.50% 59.50% Formula Status Slack $I$25=$E$23 Binding 0 $D$25<=$E$23 Not Binding 1 $E$25<=$E$23 Not Binding 0.985 $F$25<=$E$23 Not Binding 0.955 $G$25<=$E$23 Not Binding 0.655 $H$25<=$E$23 Not Binding 0.405 $D$25>=$D$23 Binding 0.00% $E$25>=$D$23 Not Binding 1.50% $F$25>=$D$23 Not Binding 4.50% $G$25>=$D$23 Not Binding 34.50% $H$25>=$D$23 Not Binding 59.50%