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Review
. 2009 Nov 10:339:b4471.
doi: 10.1136/bmj.b4471.

Income inequality, mortality, and self rated health: meta-analysis of multilevel studies

Affiliations
Review

Income inequality, mortality, and self rated health: meta-analysis of multilevel studies

Naoki Kondo et al. BMJ. .

Abstract

Objective: To provide quantitative evaluations on the association between income inequality and health.

Design: Random effects meta-analyses, calculating the overall relative risk for subsequent mortality among prospective cohort studies and the overall odds ratio for poor self rated health among cross sectional studies.

Data sources: PubMed, the ISI Web of Science, and the National Bureau for Economic Research database. Review methods Peer reviewed papers with multilevel data. Results The meta-analysis included 59 509 857 subjects in nine cohort studies and 1 280 211 subjects in 19 cross sectional studies. The overall cohort relative risk and cross sectional odds ratio (95% confidence intervals) per 0.05 unit increase in Gini coefficient, a measure of income inequality, was 1.08 (1.06 to 1.10) and 1.04 (1.02 to 1.06), respectively. Meta-regressions showed stronger associations between income inequality and the health outcomes among studies with higher Gini (>or=0.3), conducted with data after 1990, with longer duration of follow-up (>7 years), and incorporating time lags between income inequality and outcomes. By contrast, analyses accounting for unmeasured regional characteristics showed a weaker association between income inequality and health. Conclusions The results suggest a modest adverse effect of income inequality on health, although the population impact might be larger if the association is truly causal. The results also support the threshold effect hypothesis, which posits the existence of a threshold of income inequality beyond which adverse impacts on health begin to emerge. The findings need to be interpreted with caution given the heterogeneity between studies, as well as the attenuation of the risk estimates in analyses that attempted to control for the unmeasured characteristics of areas with high levels of income inequality.

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Conflict of interest statement

Competing interest: None declared.

Figures

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Fig 1 Result of primary meta-analysis of cohort and cross sectional studies: relative risks for subsequent mortality and odds ratios for poor self rated health per 0.05 unit increase in Gini coefficient. Combined relative risks and odds ratios based on weights for individual studies calculated with random effects models with restricted maximum likelihood estimate
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Fig 2 Relative risks for subsequent mortality by 30 OECD member countries and estimated number of deaths avoided by levelling Gini to <0.3. Risks predicted on basis of Gini threshold (0.3) suggested by meta-regression, assuming that countries with Gini lower than threshold had no excess mortality risks (RR=1). Excess deaths estimated for only half of 30 countries because Gini coefficient is already <0.3 in remainder. Reference countries include Denmark (Gini=0.225), Sweden (0.243), Iceland (0.250), Netherlands (0.251), Austria (0.252), Slovakia (0.258), Czech Republic (0.260), Luxembourg (0.261), Finland (0.261), Norway (0.261), Switzerland (0.277), Belgium (0.272), France (0.273), Germany (0.277), and Hungary (0.293). Predicted relative risk for each country calculated by: RR=exp{[G−0.3]×ln(1.09/0.05)}, where G represents Gini coefficient of each country. Combined relative risk per 0.05 unit increase in Gini, as shown in table 4, was 1.09, estimated from data from Norway,w3 New Zealand,w4 and US.w7-10 Error bars represent 95% confidence intervals. Gini of each country derived from OECD, United Nations (for Slovakia and South Korea), and Statistics Iceland

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