We have five games on the slate this evening and there is certainly no shortage of options to mull over. Without any further preamble, let’s jump right into some of our favorite NBA picks for Monday, November 11.
Monday’s Best NBA Picks
(NBA odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)
Brooklyn Nets Team Total Over 106.5 Points (-115)
We kick things off with a double shot of the Brooklyn Nets, who will face off against a New Orleans squad amid a four-game losing streak. To make matters worse, the Pelicans are depleted in regards to their starting lineup, with four of their normal five starters out with injuries.
Over the last week, Brooklyn has not only held their own on the road against the top two teams in the Eastern Conference (on a back-to-back) – the Cavaliers and the Celtics – but they also edged out a victory against Memphis last Monday.
Brooklyn is averaging over 111 points per game. Even though they run the floor at the second-slowest pace across the NBA, the Nets own a true-shooting percentage of almost 58%. They are shooting over 46% from the field as a team.
New Orleans is allowing over 117 points per contest and owns the second-worst defensive rating in the league. We expect a fair amount of scoring from the Nets this evening.
Brooklyn Nets Moneyline (-132)
Keeping in stride with this contest, the Pelicans seemingly are in a world of trouble due to injury. When Zion Williamson is off the floor, as he will be this evening (and for the foreseeable future), New Orleans scores an average of 14 points fewer than their opponents.
Brooklyn has matched up against two of the league’s best teams recently and fared quite well. The Nets pushed Boston to the brink in a crushing overtime loss and it took a last-second score in Cleveland to fall short of victory on Saturday.
The Nets are fighting tooth and nail every time on the floor. New Orleans looks like they are ready for 2025-2026 to begin. We are backing the Nets in this one, bringing them to a surprising 5-5 start on the season.
Washington Wizards @ Houston Rockets Under 226.5 Points (-110)
This has the making of a massacre from the very start, if we may be so bold as to say. Houston is 6-4 to begin the campaign and looks like one of the most dangerous teams in the Western Conference. The Wizards, well, unfortunately, find themselves in the same situation as many years prior; things are bad and a change to that form does not seem imminent.
Both teams played last night, so logic would suggest the scoring could be scarce for periods at a time. Houston has only cleared the implied team total of 120+ in three out of 10 games this season. One of those contests included overtime; tough to imagine this game playing out that way.
Washington continues to be one of the more unfortunate organizations and has begun this season allowing the most points to opponents per game. The Wizards are 0-6 on the road. They are averaging only 102 points per game over their last four games. In road contests, Washington is putting up a scant 104 points per game.
These two teams combine for a shooting percentage of 43.6% – two of the worst percentages in the whole league. It’s possible we also see Houston’s bench hit the court earlier and more frequently given the 13-point spread.
Los Angeles Clippers +7 (-110)
Chet Holmgren suffered a fractured iliac wing in his hip last night. He will miss the next 8-10 weeks. This is a crushing blow to a Thunder team that looked prime to be one of the top teams in the Western Conference.
Considering this loss, the 7-point spread comes across as a bit ambitious. Not only will Oklahoma City have to conjure up a new starting lineup on the fly, they have to do so immediately after playing last night.
The Clippers are 3-0 on the road, which is another surprising aspect of this point spread. Los Angeles owns the fourth-highest defensive rating in the league and is holding teams to the fourth-lowest amount of field goals per contest. In 10 games, opponents are only making 45% of their attempts versus the Clippers.
There’s good reason to believe that this number will come down when further information is conveyed regarding Oklahoma City’s starting lineup. Jumping on this as early as you can could prove to be quite beneficial.
Victor Wembanyama Under 2.5 Three-Pointers (-128)
We close out the contests tonight with a bit of an outlier that seems to be heavily weighted by a fantastic 6-of-9 performance from beyond the arc on Saturday against Utah. This is another total that could decrease if the public catches wind of the low success rate Victor Wembanyama has had from distance this season. Hitting the pay window early on this one is suggested.
Wembanyama has yet to record more than 2.5 three-pointers in back-to-back contests. In 10 games this season, he has only exceeded the threshold twice. The 42.5% field-goal percentage leaves a lot to be desired; the 28% from three-point distance on seven attempts is certainly not doing San Antonio any favors either.
Teams have emphasized allowing smaller wings (and even guards) to pick up Wembanyama defensively. This has culminated in a combined shooting percentage of 35% between field goals and three-pointers.
In two games against Sacramento last season, Wembanyama made three baskets from deep. He is currently averaging two three-pointers made per game this season.
Enjoy the games tonight and best of luck with your picks.
