The fall of the Assad regime in Syria and the defeat of its Shiite allies, Hezbollah and Iran, undoubtedly represent a significant success for Israel. But if this leads to further revolutions in neighboring Arab states, this would be a disadvantageous scenario for Israel. In the Near East and the Middle East, such circumstances are quickly exploited. Once a regime falls in the Arab world, this effect often spreads to other governments. Looking back, the “Arab Spring” of 2011 began in Tunisia and spread to other Arab states. It led to the overthrow of several rulers, including Tunisian President Zine El Abidine Ben Ali, Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak and Libyan leader Muammar al-Gaddafi. As someone who follows many Sunni and Shiite channels on Telegram, I know that terrorist groups in the Middle East are already dreaming of a new wave of revolution.
Israel’s greatest concern at the moment is the stability of Jordan. It is no coincidence that the head of the Israeli security service Shin Bet, Ronen Bar, and the head of...
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2 responses to “Tachles with Aviel – Who will fall next?”
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This article is interesting and strangely funny, as it is God who is bringing about the instability and chaos as promised in the prophets Amos and others. Israel’s real fight is with the Almighty and His Son Yeshua. It’s a longstanding battle
Dear Aviel, thank you for taking my concerns to heart. As I said shortly after the fall of Aleppo, Israel must intervene strongly and decisively. Because now there is no longer any distinction between Sunni and Shia uprisings against liberal Western civilization. Jordan is indeed of vital importance, but so is Lebanon.
Everything is coming to the “big attack” – but Mount Hermon is not the right place for it. It is only possible on the Lutani and Jordan fronts. If it comes to that, even Israel would not be able to defend its borders and territory. Even if the IDF is now the strongest force in the Middle East.
But these forces and the government must now act with foresight: first, by concluding protection agreements with Lebanon and Jordan; second, by monitoring their borders (which they are doing, in my opinion); and third, by destroying the rule of the jihadists in Syria and Iran.
But… while Iran is weakened and Syria is fragmented, Israel must not forget Turkey (as the head of Syrian jihadism). Erdogan had already said in 2013 – while building his “Sultan Mosque” in Istanbul – that he wanted to reconquer the Arab-Ottoman territories during his lifetime. Israel should take this seriously and not forget it. No Jew should make the same mistake as Hitler.
Every Jew, every Israeli and all liberal Westerners should take this into account. Because in the end, Erdogan even wants to reconquer Jerusalem. At the moment, I don’t know what to do.
Too many bombings in Syrian territory would give him a reason to intervene and occupy Syria. Too few would give him the opportunity to promote and build up jihadist proxies. But I think that Israel has to act like King Herod in the Roman Empire. Give all people opportunities in controlled but semi-sovereign areas, convince people to believe in their own lives and not in death. Protect the borders of Lebanon and Jordan, but don’t let the border with Egypt get out of control. And, to repeat: help the Kurds to live and build their own state on their territory in Syria, Iraq, Iran and Turkey in order to destroy the dangerous political system of these states.