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Posted February 13, 2025

Petroleum liquids supply growth driven by non-OPEC+ countries in 2025 and 2026 ›

annual change in petroleum and other liquids production

Data source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, Short-Term Energy Outlook, February 2025
Data values: Non-OPEC Petroleum and Other Liquids Production
Note: The OPEC and OPEC+ data series reflect those countries participating in the OPEC+ agreement. OPEC members Iran, Libya, and Venezuela are exempt from the agreement. Years 2025 and 2026 are forecasts.

We forecast that worldwide production of petroleum and other liquids in 2025 and 2026 will grow more in non-OPEC+ countries than in OPEC+ countries in our February Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO). We estimate that total world petroleum and other liquids supply increased by about 0.6 million barrels per day (b/d) in 2024 and will increase by 1.9 million b/d in 2025 and 1.6 million b/d in 2026. Increasing crude oil production from four countries in the Americas—the United States, Guyana, Canada, and Brazil—drives this growth. Because of ongoing production restraint among OPEC+ countries, we forecast the group’s production to grow by 0.1 million b/d in 2025 and 0.6 million b/d in 2026.

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Previously in Today in Energy

Data Highlights

  • 2/132025
  • Wind and solar combined share of generation
  • 13.8
  • %


  • 14.2%
    from year earlier
  • 2/13/2025
  • Daily electric power demand
  • 12651
  • GWh


  • 11.1%
    from year earlier
  • $3.48
  • /million Btu
  • $0.182 /million Btu
    from week earlier
  • $1.721 /million Btu
    from year earlier
  • $74.68
  • /barrel
  • $2.43 /barrel
    from week earlier
  • $8.90 /barrel
    from year earlier

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