In Australian politics the two-party-preferred vote (TPP or 2PP) is the result of an election or opinion poll after preferences have been distributed to the last two parties. For the purposes of TPP, the Liberal/National Coalition is usually considered a single party, with Labor being the other major party. Typically the TPP is expressed as the percentages of votes attracted by each of the two major parties, e.g. "Coalition 45%, Labor 55%", where the values include both primary votes and preferences. The TPP is an indicator of how much swing has been attained/is required to change the result, taking into consideration preferences, which may have a significant effect on the result.
The TPP assumes a two-party system, i.e. that after distribution of votes from less successful candidates, the two remaining candidates will be from the two major parties. However, in some electorates this is not the case. The two-candidate-preferred vote (TCP) is the result after preferences have been distributed, using instant-runoff voting, to the final two candidates, regardless of which party the candidates represent. For electorates where the two candidates are from the major parties, the TCP is also the TPP. For electorates where these two candidates are not both from the major parties, preferences are notionally distributed to the two major parties to determine the TPP. In this case the TPP differs from the TCP, and is informative but has no effect on the election outcome. TPP results above seat-level, such as a national or statewide TPP, are also informative only and has no result on the election outcome.
A brief explanation of two-party preferred voting - the method used in Australian elections to the House of Representatives. The ideas of social choice theory are used to discuss and analyse this voting method.
published: 11 Mar 2018
Green: two-party preferred count 'pointless'
ABC election analyst Antony Green unravells the competing claims about the two-party-preferred vote.
published: 31 Aug 2010
What is preferential voting and how does it work in Australian elections? | Voting 101
Australian citizens vote for their local member of parliament to sit in the House of Representatives via a preferential voting system.
Subscribe to Guardian Australia ► http://bit.ly/gdnaustraliasubs
How does that work and how is it different to the US and UK 'first past the post' systems? In Guardian Australia's Voting 101 series, Matilda Boseley explains everything you need to know about the 2022 federal election. Watch out for the next episode, where Boseley explains how proportional representation works in the Senate
Watch all of the Voting 101 series ► https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/series/voting-101
Follow the Australia news live blog for the latest updates ► https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/live/2022/apr/22/australia-politics-live-news-updates-scott-morriso...
published: 22 Apr 2022
Federal Labor leads in two-party-preferred vote on latest Newspoll
The Australian’s latest Newspoll has revealed the Labor Party is now leading the two-party-preferred vote at 52, while the Coalition sits at 48.
Sky News host Paul Murray said the number which “truly is the indication” of the health of the government or otherwise is preferred prime minister.
“Prime Minister Scott Morrison still in front by a country mile,” he said.
Scott Morrison is at 56, while Opposition Leader Anthony Albanese is at 30.
“Put simply, you have seen – as a result of the news cycle of the past month – a change in who people want to run the country in terms of party political,” Mr Murray said.
“But I believe that the true health of the government or otherwise is about preferred prime minister.”
published: 14 Mar 2021
Two-party vote turns on Gillard
Labor has lost its lead in the two-party-preferred vote, giving the Coalition the lead in all measures of majority voting.
published: 30 Aug 2010
Labor remains ahead in two-party preferred vote in latest Newspoll
Sky News host Paul Murray has looked at The Australian's latest Newspoll figures.
In the two-party preferred vote, the Labor Party currently enjoys a 53 to 47 per cent lead over the Coalition.
"That is a one point drop for the Labor Party and a one point increase for the Coalition," Mr Murray said.
published: 19 Sep 2021
Labor maintains two-party preferred vote lead in latest Newspoll figures
Sky News host Paul Murray has assessed The Australian's latest Newspoll figures and what they may mean for Prime Minister Scott Morrison and his government.
Labor has maintained its two-party preferred lead over the Coalition, which currently sits at 52-48.
The Coalition's primary vote has lifted 1 point, to 40 - while Labor's primary vote has dipped by a point, to 38.
Scott Morrison's approval as preferred prime minister has dropped from 56 to 52.
While Opposition Leader Anthony Albanese's approval rating has lifted from 30 to 32.
Mr Murray said Prime Minster Morrison has "taken a knock" but Anthony Albanese did not take a "big jump off the back of that".
published: 28 Mar 2021
Labor retains lead in two-party preferred vote amid latest Newspoll figures
Sky News host Paul Murray has looked at The Australian's latest Newspoll figures - which have Labor leading in the two-party preferred vote, 53 to 47 per cent.
published: 08 Aug 2021
Analysis: Coalition and Labor level on two-party preferred polling
The Australian’s Dennis Shanahan has assessed the latest Newspoll figures and spoken to Sky News about what the results mean for the Coalition and Labor.
Latest data from Newspoll shows the Morrison government has recovered ground and drawn level with Labor on a two-party preferred basis despite the prime minister's approval rating taking a hit.
published: 07 Jun 2021
Labor maintains two-party preferred lead in latest Newspoll
Labor has maintained its two-party preferred lead over the Coalition according to the latest Newspoll figures.
In the latest Newspoll conducted for The Australian, on a two-party preferred basis the ALP leads the Coalition by 53 per cent to 47.
The latest poll has also seen a slump in Anthony Albanese's approval rating.
A brief explanation of two-party preferred voting - the method used in Australian elections to the House of Representatives. The ideas of social choice theory a...
A brief explanation of two-party preferred voting - the method used in Australian elections to the House of Representatives. The ideas of social choice theory are used to discuss and analyse this voting method.
A brief explanation of two-party preferred voting - the method used in Australian elections to the House of Representatives. The ideas of social choice theory are used to discuss and analyse this voting method.
Australian citizens vote for their local member of parliament to sit in the House of Representatives via a preferential voting system.
Subscribe to Guardian Aus...
Australian citizens vote for their local member of parliament to sit in the House of Representatives via a preferential voting system.
Subscribe to Guardian Australia ► http://bit.ly/gdnaustraliasubs
How does that work and how is it different to the US and UK 'first past the post' systems? In Guardian Australia's Voting 101 series, Matilda Boseley explains everything you need to know about the 2022 federal election. Watch out for the next episode, where Boseley explains how proportional representation works in the Senate
Watch all of the Voting 101 series ► https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/series/voting-101
Follow the Australia news live blog for the latest updates ► https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/live/2022/apr/22/australia-politics-live-news-updates-scott-morrison-anthony-albanese-covid-isolation-federal-election-coalition-liberals-labor
See all our 2022 Australian election coverage here ► https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/australian-election-2022
Support the Guardian ► https://support.theguardian.com/contribute
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#FederalElection #Election2022 #AustraliaElection #GuardianAustralia #News
Australian citizens vote for their local member of parliament to sit in the House of Representatives via a preferential voting system.
Subscribe to Guardian Australia ► http://bit.ly/gdnaustraliasubs
How does that work and how is it different to the US and UK 'first past the post' systems? In Guardian Australia's Voting 101 series, Matilda Boseley explains everything you need to know about the 2022 federal election. Watch out for the next episode, where Boseley explains how proportional representation works in the Senate
Watch all of the Voting 101 series ► https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/series/voting-101
Follow the Australia news live blog for the latest updates ► https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/live/2022/apr/22/australia-politics-live-news-updates-scott-morrison-anthony-albanese-covid-isolation-federal-election-coalition-liberals-labor
See all our 2022 Australian election coverage here ► https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/australian-election-2022
Support the Guardian ► https://support.theguardian.com/contribute
Website ► https://theguardian.com/au
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#FederalElection #Election2022 #AustraliaElection #GuardianAustralia #News
The Australian’s latest Newspoll has revealed the Labor Party is now leading the two-party-preferred vote at 52, while the Coalition sits at 48.
Sky News host ...
The Australian’s latest Newspoll has revealed the Labor Party is now leading the two-party-preferred vote at 52, while the Coalition sits at 48.
Sky News host Paul Murray said the number which “truly is the indication” of the health of the government or otherwise is preferred prime minister.
“Prime Minister Scott Morrison still in front by a country mile,” he said.
Scott Morrison is at 56, while Opposition Leader Anthony Albanese is at 30.
“Put simply, you have seen – as a result of the news cycle of the past month – a change in who people want to run the country in terms of party political,” Mr Murray said.
“But I believe that the true health of the government or otherwise is about preferred prime minister.”
The Australian’s latest Newspoll has revealed the Labor Party is now leading the two-party-preferred vote at 52, while the Coalition sits at 48.
Sky News host Paul Murray said the number which “truly is the indication” of the health of the government or otherwise is preferred prime minister.
“Prime Minister Scott Morrison still in front by a country mile,” he said.
Scott Morrison is at 56, while Opposition Leader Anthony Albanese is at 30.
“Put simply, you have seen – as a result of the news cycle of the past month – a change in who people want to run the country in terms of party political,” Mr Murray said.
“But I believe that the true health of the government or otherwise is about preferred prime minister.”
Sky News host Paul Murray has looked at The Australian's latest Newspoll figures.
In the two-party preferred vote, the Labor Party currently enjoys a 53 to 47...
Sky News host Paul Murray has looked at The Australian's latest Newspoll figures.
In the two-party preferred vote, the Labor Party currently enjoys a 53 to 47 per cent lead over the Coalition.
"That is a one point drop for the Labor Party and a one point increase for the Coalition," Mr Murray said.
Sky News host Paul Murray has looked at The Australian's latest Newspoll figures.
In the two-party preferred vote, the Labor Party currently enjoys a 53 to 47 per cent lead over the Coalition.
"That is a one point drop for the Labor Party and a one point increase for the Coalition," Mr Murray said.
Sky News host Paul Murray has assessed The Australian's latest Newspoll figures and what they may mean for Prime Minister Scott Morrison and his government.
L...
Sky News host Paul Murray has assessed The Australian's latest Newspoll figures and what they may mean for Prime Minister Scott Morrison and his government.
Labor has maintained its two-party preferred lead over the Coalition, which currently sits at 52-48.
The Coalition's primary vote has lifted 1 point, to 40 - while Labor's primary vote has dipped by a point, to 38.
Scott Morrison's approval as preferred prime minister has dropped from 56 to 52.
While Opposition Leader Anthony Albanese's approval rating has lifted from 30 to 32.
Mr Murray said Prime Minster Morrison has "taken a knock" but Anthony Albanese did not take a "big jump off the back of that".
Sky News host Paul Murray has assessed The Australian's latest Newspoll figures and what they may mean for Prime Minister Scott Morrison and his government.
Labor has maintained its two-party preferred lead over the Coalition, which currently sits at 52-48.
The Coalition's primary vote has lifted 1 point, to 40 - while Labor's primary vote has dipped by a point, to 38.
Scott Morrison's approval as preferred prime minister has dropped from 56 to 52.
While Opposition Leader Anthony Albanese's approval rating has lifted from 30 to 32.
Mr Murray said Prime Minster Morrison has "taken a knock" but Anthony Albanese did not take a "big jump off the back of that".
Sky News host Paul Murray has looked at The Australian's latest Newspoll figures - which have Labor leading in the two-party preferred vote, 53 to 47 per cent.
Sky News host Paul Murray has looked at The Australian's latest Newspoll figures - which have Labor leading in the two-party preferred vote, 53 to 47 per cent.
Sky News host Paul Murray has looked at The Australian's latest Newspoll figures - which have Labor leading in the two-party preferred vote, 53 to 47 per cent.
The Australian’s Dennis Shanahan has assessed the latest Newspoll figures and spoken to Sky News about what the results mean for the Coalition and Labor.
Late...
The Australian’s Dennis Shanahan has assessed the latest Newspoll figures and spoken to Sky News about what the results mean for the Coalition and Labor.
Latest data from Newspoll shows the Morrison government has recovered ground and drawn level with Labor on a two-party preferred basis despite the prime minister's approval rating taking a hit.
The Australian’s Dennis Shanahan has assessed the latest Newspoll figures and spoken to Sky News about what the results mean for the Coalition and Labor.
Latest data from Newspoll shows the Morrison government has recovered ground and drawn level with Labor on a two-party preferred basis despite the prime minister's approval rating taking a hit.
Labor has maintained its two-party preferred lead over the Coalition according to the latest Newspoll figures.
In the latest Newspoll conducted for The Austra...
Labor has maintained its two-party preferred lead over the Coalition according to the latest Newspoll figures.
In the latest Newspoll conducted for The Australian, on a two-party preferred basis the ALP leads the Coalition by 53 per cent to 47.
The latest poll has also seen a slump in Anthony Albanese's approval rating.
Labor has maintained its two-party preferred lead over the Coalition according to the latest Newspoll figures.
In the latest Newspoll conducted for The Australian, on a two-party preferred basis the ALP leads the Coalition by 53 per cent to 47.
The latest poll has also seen a slump in Anthony Albanese's approval rating.
A brief explanation of two-party preferred voting - the method used in Australian elections to the House of Representatives. The ideas of social choice theory are used to discuss and analyse this voting method.
Australian citizens vote for their local member of parliament to sit in the House of Representatives via a preferential voting system.
Subscribe to Guardian Australia ► http://bit.ly/gdnaustraliasubs
How does that work and how is it different to the US and UK 'first past the post' systems? In Guardian Australia's Voting 101 series, Matilda Boseley explains everything you need to know about the 2022 federal election. Watch out for the next episode, where Boseley explains how proportional representation works in the Senate
Watch all of the Voting 101 series ► https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/series/voting-101
Follow the Australia news live blog for the latest updates ► https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/live/2022/apr/22/australia-politics-live-news-updates-scott-morrison-anthony-albanese-covid-isolation-federal-election-coalition-liberals-labor
See all our 2022 Australian election coverage here ► https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/australian-election-2022
Support the Guardian ► https://support.theguardian.com/contribute
Website ► https://theguardian.com/au
Facebook ► https://facebook.com/theguardianaustralia
Instagram ► https://instagram.com/guardianaustralia
Twitter ► https://twitter.com/GuardianAus
TikTok ► https://tiktok.com/@guardianaustralia
LinkedIn ► https://linkedin.com/company/guardianaustralia
#FederalElection #Election2022 #AustraliaElection #GuardianAustralia #News
The Australian’s latest Newspoll has revealed the Labor Party is now leading the two-party-preferred vote at 52, while the Coalition sits at 48.
Sky News host Paul Murray said the number which “truly is the indication” of the health of the government or otherwise is preferred prime minister.
“Prime Minister Scott Morrison still in front by a country mile,” he said.
Scott Morrison is at 56, while Opposition Leader Anthony Albanese is at 30.
“Put simply, you have seen – as a result of the news cycle of the past month – a change in who people want to run the country in terms of party political,” Mr Murray said.
“But I believe that the true health of the government or otherwise is about preferred prime minister.”
Sky News host Paul Murray has looked at The Australian's latest Newspoll figures.
In the two-party preferred vote, the Labor Party currently enjoys a 53 to 47 per cent lead over the Coalition.
"That is a one point drop for the Labor Party and a one point increase for the Coalition," Mr Murray said.
Sky News host Paul Murray has assessed The Australian's latest Newspoll figures and what they may mean for Prime Minister Scott Morrison and his government.
Labor has maintained its two-party preferred lead over the Coalition, which currently sits at 52-48.
The Coalition's primary vote has lifted 1 point, to 40 - while Labor's primary vote has dipped by a point, to 38.
Scott Morrison's approval as preferred prime minister has dropped from 56 to 52.
While Opposition Leader Anthony Albanese's approval rating has lifted from 30 to 32.
Mr Murray said Prime Minster Morrison has "taken a knock" but Anthony Albanese did not take a "big jump off the back of that".
Sky News host Paul Murray has looked at The Australian's latest Newspoll figures - which have Labor leading in the two-party preferred vote, 53 to 47 per cent.
The Australian’s Dennis Shanahan has assessed the latest Newspoll figures and spoken to Sky News about what the results mean for the Coalition and Labor.
Latest data from Newspoll shows the Morrison government has recovered ground and drawn level with Labor on a two-party preferred basis despite the prime minister's approval rating taking a hit.
Labor has maintained its two-party preferred lead over the Coalition according to the latest Newspoll figures.
In the latest Newspoll conducted for The Australian, on a two-party preferred basis the ALP leads the Coalition by 53 per cent to 47.
The latest poll has also seen a slump in Anthony Albanese's approval rating.
In Australian politics the two-party-preferred vote (TPP or 2PP) is the result of an election or opinion poll after preferences have been distributed to the last two parties. For the purposes of TPP, the Liberal/National Coalition is usually considered a single party, with Labor being the other major party. Typically the TPP is expressed as the percentages of votes attracted by each of the two major parties, e.g. "Coalition 45%, Labor 55%", where the values include both primary votes and preferences. The TPP is an indicator of how much swing has been attained/is required to change the result, taking into consideration preferences, which may have a significant effect on the result.
The TPP assumes a two-party system, i.e. that after distribution of votes from less successful candidates, the two remaining candidates will be from the two major parties. However, in some electorates this is not the case. The two-candidate-preferred vote (TCP) is the result after preferences have been distributed, using instant-runoff voting, to the final two candidates, regardless of which party the candidates represent. For electorates where the two candidates are from the major parties, the TCP is also the TPP. For electorates where these two candidates are not both from the major parties, preferences are notionally distributed to the two major parties to determine the TPP. In this case the TPP differs from the TCP, and is informative but has no effect on the election outcome. TPP results above seat-level, such as a national or statewide TPP, are also informative only and has no result on the election outcome.