ChatGPT
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Deep Research is an AGI product for certain narrow domains; it’s ability to find anything on the Internet will make secret knowledge all the more valuable.
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OpenAI’s developer keynote was exciting, both because AI was exciting, and because OpenAI has the potential to be a meaningful consumer tech company.
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It’s possible that large language models are more like the human brain than we thought, given that it is about prediction; that is why ChatGPT needs its own computer in the form of plug-ins.
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OpenAI API Updates, Steelmanning the API Business, The Problem With Both
OpenAI has compelling new updates to their API that should be good for the API business; is that good for OpenAI?
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An Interview with Benedict Evans About AI Unknowns
An interview with Benedict Evans about AI lessons over the last year, and the many unresolved issues that will impact industry structure going forward.
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AI Promise and Chip Precariousness
The AI industry is more exciting than ever, but the chip situation is very precarious and requires drastic action.
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Grok 3, The Nvidia Shortcut, Competitive Implications
Grok 3 appears to be state of the art; that speaks to the power of Nvidia, and actually increases the pressure to spend more.
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The U.K. Demands Back Door From Apple, Elon Musk’s OpenAI Bid
The U.K. demands Apple build a back door into its products; Apple is more likely to leave the country. Then, Musk messes with OpenAI.
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Deep Research and Knowledge Value
Deep Research is an AGI product for certain narrow domains; it’s ability to find anything on the Internet will make secret knowledge all the more valuable.
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Apple Earnings, OpenAI Deep Research, The Unbundling of Substantiation
I give my analysis of Apple’s Earnings, and then OpenAI Deep Research does the same, demonstrating the unbundling of substantiation from creation.
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The OpenAI Critique, Comparative Advantage and Infrastructure, Aggregation Theory and Cheap AI
Further grappling with DeepSeek implications, including the lack of focus in U.S. tech companies, the problem with comparative advantage, and the possibility of zero marginal cost AI.
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DeepSeek FAQ
DeepSeek has completely upended people’s expectations for AI and competition with China. What is it, and why does it matter?