Today, The Cut released the first of four surveys of Black women to capture their sentiments on the candidates as well as key issues between now and November.
“The 2024 election season has been tumultuous but a core part of conversations at the Cut,” said Lindsay Peoples, editor-in-chief of the Cut. “With this survey and upcoming coverage, we aim to dig into the needs of a voting bloc that is often taken for granted, but that could determine the outcome of this election, and give our readers an authoritative point of view on the key issues impacting this election until November.”
The Cut surveyed 1,200 Black women ages 18 to 55 nationwide from June 3 through the 14th. Respondents were distributed by age and personal income per data from U.S. Census Bureau 2022 Current Population Survey. The survey was conducted by RepData with questionnaire design and data analysis by Vox Media’s Insights & Research team. The sample was sourced from an opt-in online panel. Margin of error is 3 percent.
According to the survey’s findings:
While 87 percent of respondents are registered to vote, 79 percent of them plan to show up to the polls in November, the survey found. When asked who they would vote for if the election were held today, 64 percent said Biden, while 18 percent would vote for Trump, 10 percent would vote for Robert F. Kennedy Jr., and 2 percent would vote for Cornel West.
Support for Biden is stronger among Black women ages 35 to 55, according to the survey, with 68 percent saying they would vote for him compared to 58 percent of Black women ages 18 to 34. (Women ages 35 to 55 also had more favorable perceptions of Biden, Harris, and the Democratic Party than younger voters.) Support for Trump is stronger among the younger cohort, with 21 percent of Black women ages 18 to 34 likely to vote for the former president compared to 16 percent of Black women ages 35 to 55.
Future surveys will include reactions to recent events such as President Biden’s debate performance, the assassination attempt against Donald Trump, Trump’s choice of Senator J.D. Vance as his running mate, and additional high-profile events until November.
Read the full story on the Cut’s first survey findings here.