Texas State Senate elections, 2018

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2018 Texas
Senate elections
Flag of Texas.png
GeneralNovember 6, 2018
PrimaryMarch 6, 2018
Primary RunoffMay 22, 2018
Past election results
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2018 elections
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Republicans maintained their majority but lost their supermajority in the 2018 elections for Texas State Senate, since, after the election, they controlled 19 seats to Democrats' 12. Fifteen of 31 Senate seats were up for election. At the time of the election, Republicans held 21 seats to Democrats' 10.

The Republican Party maintained its trifecta in Texas in 2018 by holding its majorities in the state Senate and House and by retaining the governorship.

Because state senators in Texas serve 2-4-4 terms, some winning candidates in this election served through 2022 and played a role in Texas' redistricting process. Congressional and state legislative district boundaries are drawn by the state legislature.

The Texas State Senate was one of 87 state legislative chambers with elections in 2018. There are 99 chambers throughout the country.

Texas state senators serve 2-4-4 terms, where senators serve one two-year term and two four-year terms each decade.

Democratic Party For more information about the Democratic primary, click here.
Republican Party For more information about the Republican primary, click here.

Post-election analysis

See also: State legislative elections, 2018

The Republican Party maintained control of both chambers of the Texas State Legislature in the 2018 election, but the Texas State Senate lost its Republican supermajority status after it no longer held the minimum 21 seats necessary. In the state Senate, 15 out of 31 seats were up for election. The Republican Texas State Senate majority was reduced from 21-10 to 19-12. One Republican incumbent was defeated in the primary and two Republican incumbents were defeated in the general election.

The Texas House of Representatives held elections for all 150 seats. The Republican majority in the House of Representatives was reduced from 93-55 to 83-67. Two seats were vacant before the election. Four Democratic incumbents and two Republican incumbents were defeated in the primary. One Democratic incumbent and one Republican incumbent were defeated in primary runoffs. Eight Republican incumbents were defeated in the general election.

National background

On November 6, 2018, 87 of the nation's 99 state legislative chambers held regularly scheduled elections for 6,073 of 7,383 total seats, meaning that nearly 82 percent of all state legislative seats were up for election.

  • Entering the 2018 election, Democrats held 42.6 percent, Republicans held 56.8 percent, and independents and other parties held 0.6 percent of the seats up for regular election.
  • Following the 2018 election, Democrats held 47.3 percent, Republicans held 52.3 percent, and independents and other parties held 0.4 percent of the seats up for regular election.
  • A total of 469 incumbents were defeated over the course of the election cycle, with roughly one-third of them defeated in the primary.

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Candidates

See also: Statistics on state legislative candidates, 2018

General candidates

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Primary runoff candidates

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Primary candidates

See also: Texas state legislative Republican primaries, 2018 and Texas state legislative Democratic primaries, 2018

The candidate list below is based on a candidate filing list provided by the Texas Secretary of State on December 13, 2017.[1][2] Information was also derived from the Texas Republican Party's database.[3] The filing deadline for the March primary was on December 11, 2017. (I) denotes an incumbent.

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Primary election vote totals

Below are election results for all contested primary elections in the Texas State Senate in 2018. All results are unofficial.

Texas State Senate, District 2 Republican Primary, 2018
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.png Bob Hall Incumbent 53.24% 35,561
Cindy Burkett 46.76% 31,239
Total Votes 66,800
Source: Texas Secretary of State, "2018 Republican Party Primary Election, Election Night Returns," accessed March 7, 2018 These election results are unofficial and will be updated after official vote totals are made available.


Texas State Senate, District 5 Democratic Primary, 2018
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.png Meg Walsh 71.13% 22,514
Brian Cronin 16.93% 5,360
Glenn Williams 11.94% 3,779
Total Votes 31,653
Source: Texas Secretary of State, "2018 Democratic Party Primary Election, Election Night Returns," accessed March 7, 2018 These election results are unofficial and will be updated after official vote totals are made available.


Texas State Senate, District 5 Republican Primary, 2018
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.png Charles Schwertner Incumbent 75.09% 49,962
Harold Ramm 24.91% 16,576
Total Votes 66,538
Source: Texas Secretary of State, "2018 Republican Party Primary Election, Election Night Returns," accessed March 7, 2018 These election results are unofficial and will be updated after official vote totals are made available.


Texas State Senate, District 8 Democratic Primary, 2018
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.png Mark Phariss 50.91% 16,689
Brian Chaput 49.09% 16,094
Total Votes 32,783
Source: Texas Secretary of State, "2018 Democratic Party Primary Election, Election Night Returns," accessed March 7, 2018 These election results are unofficial and will be updated after official vote totals are made available.


Texas State Senate, District 8 Republican Primary, 2018
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.png Angela Paxton 54.35% 32,653
Phillip Huffines 45.65% 27,421
Total Votes 60,074
Source: Texas Secretary of State, "2018 Republican Party Primary Election, Election Night Returns," accessed March 7, 2018 These election results are unofficial and will be updated after official vote totals are made available.


Texas State Senate, District 10 Democratic Primary, 2018
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.png Beverly Powell 61.56% 23,052
Allison Campolo 38.44% 14,392
Total Votes 37,444
Source: Texas Secretary of State, "2018 Democratic Party Primary Election, Election Night Returns," accessed March 7, 2018 These election results are unofficial and will be updated after official vote totals are made available.


Texas State Senate, District 15 Democratic Primary, 2018
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.png John Whitmire Incumbent 74.91% 27,220
Damian Lacroix 17.91% 6,506
Hank Segelke 7.18% 2,609
Total Votes 36,335
Source: Texas Secretary of State, "2018 Democratic Party Primary Election, Election Night Returns," accessed March 7, 2018 These election results are unofficial and will be updated after official vote totals are made available.


Texas State Senate, District 16 Democratic Primary, 2018
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.png Nathan Johnson 69.59% 25,330
Joe Bogen 30.41% 11,068
Total Votes 36,398
Source: Texas Secretary of State, "2018 Democratic Party Primary Election, Election Night Returns," accessed March 7, 2018 These election results are unofficial and will be updated after official vote totals are made available.


Texas State Senate, District 17 Democratic Primary, 2018
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.png Rita Lucido 48.95% 17,603
Green check mark transparent.png Fran Watson 35.09% 12,621
Ahmad Hassan 15.96% 5,739
Total Votes 35,963
Source: Texas Secretary of State, "2018 Democratic Party Primary Election, Election Night Returns," accessed March 7, 2018 These election results are unofficial and will be updated after official vote totals are made available.


Texas State Senate, District 17 Republican Primary, 2018
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.png Joan Huffman Incumbent 72.64% 36,668
Kristin Tassin 27.36% 13,808
Total Votes 50,476
Source: Texas Secretary of State, "2018 Democratic Party Primary Election, Election Night Returns," accessed March 7, 2018 These election results are unofficial and will be updated after official vote totals are made available.


Texas State Senate, District 25 Democratic Primary, 2018
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.png Steven Kling 51.00% 22,846
Jack Guerra 49.00% 21,947
Total Votes 44,793
Source: Texas Secretary of State, "2018 Democratic Party Primary Election, Election Night Returns," accessed March 7, 2018 These election results are unofficial and will be updated after official vote totals are made available.


Texas State Senate, District 25 Republican Primary, 2018
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.png Donna Campbell Incumbent 73.73% 58,796
Shannon McClendon 26.27% 20,952
Total Votes 79,748
Source: Texas Secretary of State, "2018 Republican Party Primary Election, Election Night Returns," accessed March 7, 2018 These election results are unofficial and will be updated after official vote totals are made available.


Texas State Senate, District 30 Republican Primary, 2018
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.png Pat Fallon 62.01% 53,796
Craig Estes Incumbent 22.61% 19,614
Craig Carter 15.38% 13,346
Total Votes 86,756
Source: Texas Secretary of State, "2018 Democratic Party Primary Election, Election Night Returns," accessed March 7, 2018 These election results are unofficial and will be updated after official vote totals are made available.


Texas State Senate, District 31 Republican Primary, 2018
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.png Kel Seliger Incumbent 50.42% 40,653
Mike Canon 31.39% 25,314
Victor Leal 18.19% 14,669
Total Votes 80,636
Source: Texas Secretary of State, "2018 Democratic Party Primary Election, Election Night Returns," accessed March 7, 2018 These election results are unofficial and will be updated after official vote totals are made available.


Margins of victory

See also: Margin of victory analysis for the 2018 state legislative elections

A margin of victory (MOV) analysis for the 2018 Texas State Senate races is presented in this section. MOV represents the percentage of total votes that separated the winner and the second-place finisher. For example, if the winner of a race received 47 percent of the vote and the second-place finisher received 45 percent of the vote, the MOV is 2 percent.

The table below presents the following figures for each party:

  • Elections won
  • Elections won by less than 10 percentage points
  • Elections won without opposition
  • Average margin of victory[4]
Texas State Senate: 2018 Margin of Victory Analysis
Party Elections won Elections won by less than 10% Unopposed elections Average margin of victory[4]
Democratic Party Democratic
5
2
1
22.9%
Republican Party Republican
10
3
0
26.1%
Grey.png Other
0
0
0
N/A
Total
15
5
1
24.5%



The margin of victory in each race is presented below. The list is sorted from the closest MOV to the largest (including unopposed races).

Texas State Senate: 2018 Margin of Victory by District
District Winning Party Losing Party Margin of Victory
Texas State Senate District 8
Ends.png Republican
Electiondot.png Democratic
2.4%
Texas State Senate District 10
Electiondot.png Democratic
Ends.png Republican
3.5%
Texas State Senate District 17
Ends.png Republican
Electiondot.png Democratic
4.6%
Texas State Senate District 9
Ends.png Republican
Electiondot.png Democratic
8.1%
Texas State Senate District 16
Electiondot.png Democratic
Ends.png Republican
8.3%
Texas State Senate District 5
Ends.png Republican
Electiondot.png Democratic
13.9%
Texas State Senate District 25
Ends.png Republican
Electiondot.png Democratic
15.4%
Texas State Senate District 7
Ends.png Republican
Electiondot.png Democratic
17.4%
Texas State Senate District 2
Ends.png Republican
Electiondot.png Democratic
18.7%
Texas State Senate District 15
Electiondot.png Democratic
Ends.png Republican
33.0%
Texas State Senate District 14
Electiondot.png Democratic
Ends.png Republican
46.7%
Texas State Senate District 30
Ends.png Republican
Electiondot.png Democratic
47.8%
Texas State Senate District 3
Ends.png Republican
Electiondot.png Democratic
57.7%
Texas State Senate District 31
Ends.png Republican
Specialsession.png Libertarian
75.0%
Texas State Senate District 23
Electiondot.png Democratic
None
Unopposed


Seats flipped

See also: State legislative seats that changed party control, 2018

The below map displays each seat in the Texas State Senate which changed partisan hands as a result of the 2018 elections, shaded according to the partisan affiliation of the winner in 2018. Hover over a shaded district for more information.

State legislative seats flipped in 2018, Texas State Senate
District Incumbent 2018 winner Direction of flip
Texas State Senate District 10 Republican Party Konni Burton Democratic Party Beverly Powell R to D
Texas State Senate District 16 Republican Party Donald Huffines Democratic Party Nathan Johnson R to D

Process to become a candidate

See also: Ballot access requirements for political candidates in Texas

DocumentIcon.jpg See statutes: Title 9 of the Texas Election Code

A candidate in Texas may run with an officially recognized political party, as an independent, or as a write-in.

General election candidate application form, 2013

For major party candidates

In order to run with a major political party, a candidate must file an application with the county or state party chair and pay a filing fee. A candidate also has the option of filing a petition in lieu of the filing fee. Application and petition forms are available through local party officials or the Texas Secretary of State. The regular filing period for the primary election begins on the 30th day before the date of the regular filing deadline, which is 6 p.m. on the second Monday in December of an odd-numbered year.[5]

A chart detailing the signature and filing requirements for each particular office can be accessed here.[6]

For minor party candidates

State-qualified minor parties nominate candidates by convention. To be considered for nomination by a convention, a minor party candidate must file an application for nomination no later than 6 p.m. on the second Monday in December of an odd-numbered year, preceding the minor party’s convention. A candidate seeking nomination for a state or district office must file with the state party chair. Candidates for county or precinct offices must file applications with county party chairs. Effective September 1, 2021, a candidate nominated via convention must either pay a filing fee (equal to the filing fee paid by major party candidates in primary elections) or submit a petition a petition in lieu of paying the filing fee.[7][8]

For independent candidates

A candidate may have his or her name placed on the general election ballot as an independent candidate if he or she is not affiliated with a political party.[9][10][11][12][13]

To run as an independent, a candidate must file a declaration of intent with the county judge (county or precinct offices) or the Texas Secretary of State (district and state offices) during the same filing period as major and minor party candidates.[10][14]

This paperwork must include signatures of voters who have not participated in the primary election or the runoff primary election of a party that has nominated, at either election, a candidate for the office the petitioning candidate seeks.[10][15]

A chart detailing the signature and filing requirements for each particular office can be accessed here.[10]

For write-in candidates

In order to become a write-in candidate in the general election, the candidate must file a declaration of candidacy with the Texas Secretary of State or the county judge, as appropriate, no later than 5 p.m. of the 78th day before general election day.[16][17]

The declaration must be accompanied by either a filing fee or a nominating petition signed by a certain number of qualified voters. A chart detailing the signature and filing requirements for each particular office can be accessed here.[16][18]

Qualifications

See also: State legislature candidate requirements by state

To be eligible to serve in the Texas State Senate, a candidate must be:[19]

  • A U.S. citizen;
  • 26 years old before the general election;
  • A five-year resident of Texas before the general election; and
  • A district resident for 1 year prior to the general election.

Salaries and per diem

See also: Comparison of state legislative salaries
State legislative salaries, 2024[20]
SalaryPer diem
$7,200/year$221/day

When sworn in

See also: When state legislators assume office after a general election

Texas legislators assume office at the beginning of the legislative session, which starts at noon on the second Tuesday in January in the year after the election.[21][22]

Texas political history

See also: Partisan composition of state senates and State government trifectas

Party control

2018

In the 2018 elections, the Republican majority in the Texas State Senate was reduced from 21-10 to 19-12.

Texas State Senate
Party As of November 6, 2018 After November 7, 2018
     Democratic Party 10 12
     Republican Party 21 19
Total 31 31

2016

In the 2016 elections, no changes occurred to the partisan balance of the Texas State Senate.

Texas State Senate
Party As of November 7, 2016 After November 8, 2016
     Democratic Party 11 11
     Republican Party 20 20
Total 31 31

Trifectas

A state government trifecta is a term that describes single-party government, when one political party holds the governor's office and has majorities in both chambers of the legislature in a state government. Republicans in Texas gained a state government trifecta as a result of the 2002 elections by taking control of the state House.

Texas Party Control: 1992-2024
Three years of Democratic trifectas  •  Twenty-two years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Governor D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
Senate D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
House D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R

Wave election analysis

See also: Wave elections (1918-2016)

The term wave election is frequently used to describe an election cycle in which one party makes significant electoral gains. How many seats would Republicans have had to lose for the 2018 midterm election to be considered a wave election?

Ballotpedia examined the results of the 50 election cycles that occurred between 1918 and 2016—spanning from President Woodrow Wilson's (D) second midterm in 1918 to Donald Trump's (R) first presidential election in 2016. We define wave elections as the 20 percent of elections in that period resulting in the greatest seat swings against the president's party.

Applying this definition to state legislative elections, we found that Republicans needed to lose 494 seats for 2018 to qualify as a wave election.

The chart below shows the number of seats the president's party lost in the 10 state legislative waves from 1918 to 2016. Click here to read the full report.

State legislative wave elections
Year President Party Election type State legislative seats change Elections analyzed[23]
1932 Hoover R Presidential -1,022 7,365
1922 Harding R First midterm -907 6,907
1966 Johnson D First midterm[24] -782 7,561
1938 Roosevelt D Second midterm -769 7,179
1958 Eisenhower R Second midterm -702 7,627
2010 Obama D First midterm -702 7,306
1974 Ford R Second midterm[25] -695 7,481
1920 Wilson D Presidential -654 6,835
1930 Hoover R Presidential -640 7,361
1954 Eisenhower R First midterm -494 7,513

Competitiveness

Every year, Ballotpedia uses official candidate lists from each state to examine the competitiveness of every state legislative race in the country. Nationally, there has been a steady decline in electoral competitiveness since 2010. Most notable is that the number of districts with general election competition has dropped by more than 10 percent.

Results from 2016

Click here to read the full study »


Historical context

See also: Competitiveness in State Legislative Elections: 1972-2014

Uncontested elections: In 2014, 32.8 percent of Americans lived in states with an uncontested state senate election. Similarly, 40.4 percent of Americans lived in states with uncontested house elections. Primary elections were uncontested even more frequently, with 61 percent of people living in states with no contested primaries. Uncontested elections often occur in locations that are so politically one-sided that the result of an election would be a foregone conclusion regardless of whether it was contested or not.

F5 Pop. % with uncontested state legislative races.png

Open seats: In most cases, an incumbent will run for re-election, which decreases the number of open seats available. In 2014, 83 percent of the 6,057 seats up for election saw the incumbent running for re-election. The states that impose term limits on their legislatures typically see a higher percentage of open seats in a given year because a portion of incumbents in each election are forced to leave office. Overall, the number of open seats decreased from 2012 to 2014, dropping from 21.2 percent in 2012 to 17.0 percent in 2014.

Incumbent win rates: Ballotpedia's competitiveness analysis of elections between 1972 and 2014 documented the high propensity for incumbents to win re-election in state legislative elections. In fact, since 1972, the win rate for incumbents had not dropped below 90 percent—with the exception of 1974, when 88 percent of incumbents were re-elected to their seats. Perhaps most importantly, the win rate for incumbents generally increased over time. In 2014, 96.5 percent of incumbents were able to retain their seats. Common convention holds that incumbents are able to leverage their office to maintain their seat. However, the high incumbent win rate may actually be a result of incumbents being more likely to hold seats in districts that are considered safe for their party.

Marginal primaries: Often, competitiveness is measured by examining the rate of elections that have been won by amounts that are considered marginal (5 percent or less). During the 2014 election, 90.1 percent of primary and general election races were won by margins higher than 5 percent. Interestingly, it is usually the case that only one of the two races—primary or general—will be competitive at a time. This means that if a district's general election is competitive, typically one or more of the district's primaries were won by more than 5 percent. The reverse is also true: If a district sees a competitive primary, it is unlikely that the general election for that district will be won by less than 5 percent. Primaries often see very low voter turnout in comparison to general elections. In 2014, there were only 27 million voters for state legislative primaries, but approximately 107 million voters for the state legislative general elections.

Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

One of 254 Texas counties—0.4 percent—is a Pivot County. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008
County Trump margin of victory in 2016 Obama margin of victory in 2012 Obama margin of victory in 2008
Jefferson County, Texas 0.48% 1.61% 2.25%

In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won Texas with 52.2 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 43.2 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, Texas cast votes for the winning presidential candidate 66.7 percent of the time. In that same time frame, Texas supported Democratic candidates slightly more often than Republicans, 53.3 to 46.7 percent. The state, however, favored Republicans in every presidential election between 2000 and 2016.

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state Senate districts in Texas. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[26][27]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 11 out of 31 state Senate districts in Texas with an average margin of victory of 31.7 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 12 out of 31 state Senate districts in Texas with an average margin of victory of 34.3 points. Clinton won one district controlled by a Republican heading into the 2018 elections.
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 20 out of 31 state Senate districts in Texas with an average margin of victory of 34.7 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 19 out of 31 state Senate districts in Texas with an average margin of victory of 29.7 points.


See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. Texas Secretary of State, "2018 March Primary Election Candidate Filings by County," accessed December 12, 2017
  2. Justin Haas, "Email communication with Secretary of State office," December 12, 2017
  3. Texas GOP, "2018 Primary Candidate Filings," accessed December 12, 2017
  4. 4.0 4.1 Excludes unopposed elections
  5. Texas Election Code, "Section 172.023," accessed December 23, 2013
  6. Texas Elections Division, "Republican or Democratic Party Nominees," accessed October 19, 2017
  7. Texas Election Code, "Section 181.033," accessed December 23, 2013
  8. Texas Legislature, "SB 2093," accessed June 8, 2021
  9. Texas Election Code, "Section 1.005(9)," accessed December 23, 2013
  10. 10.0 10.1 10.2 10.3 Texas Elections Division, "Independent Candidates," accessed October 31, 2013
  11. Texas Election Code, "Section 142.008," accessed December 23, 2013
  12. Texas Election Code, "Section 162.003," accessed December 23, 2013
  13. Texas Election Code, "Section 162.007," accessed December 23, 2013
  14. Texas Election Code, "Section 142.002(b)(2)," accessed December 23, 2013
  15. Texas Election Code, "Section 142.009," accessed December 23, 2013
  16. 16.0 16.1 Texas Elections Division, "Write-In Candidates," accessed November 1, 2013
  17. Texas Election Code, "Section 146.025," accessed December 23, 2013
  18. Texas Election Code, "Section 146.023-146.0232," accessed December 23, 2013
  19. Texas Secretary of State, "Qualifications for office," accessed December 18, 2013
  20. National Conference of State Legislatures, "2024 Legislator Compensation," August 21, 2024
  21. Texas Government Code, "Title 3., Subtitle A., Sec. 301.001," accessed February 17, 2021
  22. Texas Constitution, "Article 3. Legislative Department, Section 4," accessed November 4, 2021
  23. The number of state legislative seats available for analysis varied, with as many as 7,795 and as few as 6,835.
  24. Lyndon Johnson's (D) first term began in November 1963 after the death of President John F. Kennedy (D), who was first elected in 1960. Before Johnson had his first midterm in 1966, he was re-elected president in 1964.
  25. Gerald Ford's (R) first term began in August 1974 following the resignation of President Richard Nixon (R), who was first elected in 1968 and was re-elected in 1972. Because Ford only served for two full months before facing the electorate, this election is classified as Nixon's second midterm.
  26. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
  27. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017


Current members of the Texas State Senate
Leadership
Senators
District 1
District 2
Bob Hall (R)
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
District 8
District 9
District 10
Phil King (R)
District 11
District 12
District 13
District 14
District 15
District 16
District 17
District 18
District 19
District 20
District 21
District 22
District 23
District 24
District 25
District 26
District 27
District 28
District 29
District 30
District 31
Republican Party (19)
Democratic Party (12)