Texas' 30th Congressional District election, 2024
All U.S. House districts, including the 30th Congressional District of Texas, held elections in 2024. The general election was November 5, 2024. The primary was March 5, 2024, and a primary runoff was May 28, 2024. The filing deadline was December 11, 2023.
All 435 U.S. House seats were up for election in 2024. At the time of the election, Republicans had a 220 to 212 majority with three vacancies.[1] Forty-five members of the U.S. House did not run for re-election. To read more about the 2024 U.S. House elections, click here.
In the 2022 election in this district, the Democratic candidate won 74.7%-21.7%. Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have defeated Donald Trump (R) 77.8%-21.0%.[2]
For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- Texas' 30th Congressional District election, 2024 (March 5 Democratic primary)
- Texas' 30th Congressional District election, 2024 (March 5 Republican primary)
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Texas District 30
Incumbent Jasmine Crockett defeated Jrmar Jefferson in the general election for U.S. House Texas District 30 on November 5, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Jasmine Crockett (D) | 86.1 | 139,115 | |
Jrmar Jefferson (L) | 13.9 | 22,494 |
Total votes: 161,609 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Ken Ashby (L)
- Jrmar Jefferson (Independent)
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 30
Incumbent Jasmine Crockett defeated Jarred Davis in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 30 on March 5, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Jasmine Crockett | 91.5 | 43,059 | |
Jarred Davis | 8.5 | 3,982 |
Total votes: 47,041 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Jrmar Jefferson (D)
Republican primary election
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
Libertarian convention
Libertarian convention for U.S. House Texas District 30
Ken Ashby advanced from the Libertarian convention for U.S. House Texas District 30 on March 23, 2024.
Candidate | ||
✔ | Ken Ashby (L) |
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Candidate profiles
There were no candidate profiles created for this race. Candidate profiles would have appeared here as candidates completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey.
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Texas
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
No candidate in this race completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey.
Campaign finance
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jasmine Crockett | Democratic Party | $2,838,879 | $1,447,644 | $1,544,084 | As of October 16, 2024 |
Jarred Davis | Democratic Party | $17,100 | $17,100 | $0 | As of June 30, 2024 |
Ken Ashby | Libertarian Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Jrmar Jefferson | Libertarian Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[3]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[4][5][6]
Race ratings: Texas' 30th Congressional District election, 2024 | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
November 5, 2024 | October 29, 2024 | October 22, 2024 | October 15, 2024 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
Decision Desk HQ and The Hill | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. |
Ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Texas in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Texas, click here.
Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
Texas | U.S. House | Democratic or Republican | 2% of votes cast for governor in the district in the last election, or 500, whichever is less | $3,125.00 | 12/11/2023 | Source |
Texas | U.S. House | Unaffiliated | 5% of all votes cast for governor in the district in the last election, or 500, whichever is less | N/A | 12/11/2023 | Source |
District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
Below was the map in use at the time of the election. Click the map below to enlarge it.
This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Texas.
Texas U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024 | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | Districts/ offices |
Seats | Open seats | Candidates | Possible primaries | Contested Democratic primaries | Contested Republican primaries | % of contested primaries | Incumbents in contested primaries | % of incumbents in contested primaries | ||||
2024 | 38 | 38 | 3 | 160 | 76 | 16 | 23 | 51.3% | 19 | 54.3% | ||||
2022 | 38 | 38 | 6 | 222 | 76 | 17 | 27 | 57.9% | 19 | 59.4% | ||||
2020 | 36 | 36 | 6 | 231 | 72 | 24 | 26 | 69.4% | 18 | 60.0% | ||||
2018 | 36 | 36 | 8 | 212 | 72 | 25 | 21 | 63.9% | 15 | 53.6% | ||||
2016 | 36 | 36 | 2 | 127 | 72 | 13 | 20 | 45.8% | 19 | 55.9% | ||||
2014 | 36 | 36 | 1 | 100 | 72 | 6 | 13 | 26.4% | 12 | 34.3% |
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Texas in 2024. Information below was calculated on 1/29/2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
In 2024, 164 candidates filed to run for Texas’ 38 U.S. House districts, including 63 Democrats and 101 Republicans. That was 4.3 candidates per district, the lowest number since 2016, when 3.5 candidates ran.
In 2022, the first election after the number of congressional districts in Texas increased from 36 to 38, 5.8 candidates ran per district. In 2020, 6.4 candidates ran, and 5.8 candidates ran in 2018.
The 164 candidates who ran in 2024 were also the fewest total number to run since 2016, when 127 candidates ran. One hundred candidates ran for Texas’ then-36 districts in 2014, the fewest in the decade, while 231 ran in 2020, the decade-high.
Three seats were open. That was the fewest since 2016, when two seats were open. Six seats were open in 2022 and 2020, and eight were in 2018—the decade-high.
Reps. Kay Granger (R-12th) and Michael Burgess (R-26th) retired from public office. Rep. Colin Allred (D-32nd) didn't seek re-election in order to run for the U.S. Senate. Fourteen candidates—10 Democrats and 4 Republicans—ran for the open 32nd district, the most candidates who ran for a seat in 2024.
Thirty-nine primaries—16 Democratic and 23 Republican—were contested this year. That was the fewest since 2016, when 33 were contested. There were 44 contested primaries in 2022, 50 in 2020, and 46 in 2018.
Nineteen incumbents—six Democrats and thirteen Republicans—faced primary challengers this year. That was the same number as 2022, and one more than in 2020.
Three districts—the 9th, the 20th, and the 30th—were guaranteed to Democrats because no Republicans filed to run. Five were guaranteed to Republicans because no Democrats filed to run—the 1st, the 11th, the 13th, the 19th, and the 25th.
Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+27. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 27 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Texas' 30th the 28th most Democratic district nationally.[7]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
2020 presidential results in Texas' 30th based on 2024 district lines | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Joe Biden | Donald Trump | |||
77.8% | 21.0% |
Inside Elections Baselines
- See also: Inside Elections
Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[8] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.
Inside Elections Baseline for 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Baseline | Republican Baseline | Difference | ||
74.9 | 23.1 | D+51.8 |
Presidential voting history
- See also: Presidential election in Texas, 2020
Texas presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 16 Democratic wins
- 15 Republican wins
Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Winning Party | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | D | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
- See also: Party control of Texas state government
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Texas' congressional delegation as of May 2024.
Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Texas | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
Democratic | 0 | 13 | 13 |
Republican | 2 | 25 | 27 |
Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 2 | 38 | 40 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Texas' top four state executive offices as of May 2024.
State executive officials in Texas, May 2024 | |
---|---|
Office | Officeholder |
Governor | Greg Abbott |
Lieutenant Governor | Dan Patrick |
Secretary of State | Jane Nelson |
Attorney General | Ken Paxton |
State legislature
Texas State Senate
Party | As of February 2024 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 11 | |
Republican Party | 19 | |
Other | 0 | |
Vacancies | 1 | |
Total | 31 |
Texas House of Representatives
Party | As of February 2024 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 64 | |
Republican Party | 86 | |
Other | 0 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 150 |
Trifecta control
The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.
Texas Party Control: 1992-2024
Three years of Democratic trifectas • Twenty-two years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Senate | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
District history
The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2018.
2022
General election
General election for U.S. House Texas District 30
Jasmine Crockett defeated James Rodgers, Zachariah Manning, Phil Gray, and Debbie Walker in the general election for U.S. House Texas District 30 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Jasmine Crockett (D) | 74.7 | 134,876 | |
James Rodgers (R) | 21.7 | 39,209 | ||
Zachariah Manning (Independent) | 2.1 | 3,820 | ||
Phil Gray (L) | 1.0 | 1,870 | ||
Debbie Walker (Independent) (Write-in) | 0.4 | 738 |
Total votes: 180,513 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Eric Williams (Independent)
Democratic primary runoff election
Democratic primary runoff for U.S. House Texas District 30
Jasmine Crockett defeated Jane Hamilton in the Democratic primary runoff for U.S. House Texas District 30 on May 24, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Jasmine Crockett | 60.6 | 17,462 | |
Jane Hamilton | 39.4 | 11,369 |
Total votes: 28,831 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Republican primary runoff election
Republican primary runoff for U.S. House Texas District 30
James Rodgers defeated James Harris in the Republican primary runoff for U.S. House Texas District 30 on May 24, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | James Rodgers | 56.9 | 3,090 | |
James Harris | 43.1 | 2,339 |
Total votes: 5,429 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 30
The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 30 on March 1, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Jasmine Crockett | 48.5 | 26,798 | |
✔ | Jane Hamilton | 17.1 | 9,436 | |
Keisha Lankford | 7.8 | 4,323 | ||
Barbara Mallory Caraway | 7.7 | 4,277 | ||
Abel Mulugheta | 5.9 | 3,284 | ||
Roy Williams Jr. | 5.0 | 2,746 | ||
Vonciel Jones Hill | 3.4 | 1,886 | ||
Jessica Mason | 3.4 | 1,858 | ||
Arthur Dixon | 1.2 | 677 |
Total votes: 55,285 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 30
The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 30 on March 1, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | James Harris | 32.9 | 3,952 | |
✔ | James Rodgers | 31.3 | 3,754 | |
Kelvin Goodwin-Castillo | 16.8 | 2,023 | ||
Lizbeth Diaz | 11.8 | 1,416 | ||
Dakinya Jefferson | 5.9 | 703 | ||
Angeigh Roc'ellerpitts | 1.3 | 160 |
Total votes: 12,008 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Libertarian convention
Libertarian convention for U.S. House Texas District 30
Phil Gray advanced from the Libertarian convention for U.S. House Texas District 30 on March 19, 2022.
Candidate | ||
✔ | Phil Gray (L) |
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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2020
General election
General election for U.S. House Texas District 30
Incumbent Eddie Bernice Johnson defeated Tre Pennie and Eric Williams in the general election for U.S. House Texas District 30 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Eddie Bernice Johnson (D) | 77.5 | 204,928 | |
Tre Pennie (R) | 18.4 | 48,685 | ||
Eric Williams (Independent) | 4.1 | 10,851 |
Total votes: 264,464 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 30
Incumbent Eddie Bernice Johnson defeated Shenita Cleveland, Barbara Mallory Caraway, and Hasani Burton in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 30 on March 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Eddie Bernice Johnson | 70.6 | 58,804 | |
Shenita Cleveland | 13.6 | 11,358 | ||
Barbara Mallory Caraway | 12.6 | 10,452 | ||
Hasani Burton | 3.2 | 2,638 |
Total votes: 83,252 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 30
Tre Pennie advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 30 on March 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Tre Pennie | 100.0 | 9,928 |
Total votes: 9,928 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Libertarian convention
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Texas District 30
Incumbent Eddie Bernice Johnson defeated Shawn Jones in the general election for U.S. House Texas District 30 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Eddie Bernice Johnson (D) | 91.1 | 166,784 | |
Shawn Jones (L) | 8.9 | 16,390 |
Total votes: 183,174 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 30
Incumbent Eddie Bernice Johnson defeated Barbara Mallory Caraway and Eric Williams in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 30 on March 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Eddie Bernice Johnson | 63.6 | 32,415 | |
Barbara Mallory Caraway | 22.8 | 11,641 | ||
Eric Williams | 13.6 | 6,931 |
Total votes: 50,987 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ A majority in the U.S. House when there are no vacancies is 218 seats.
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
- ↑ Inside Elections, "Methodology: Inside Elections’ Baseline by Congressional District," December 8, 2023
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