Texas' 30th Congressional District election, 2024

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2022
Texas' 30th Congressional District
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: December 11, 2023
Primary: March 5, 2024
Primary runoff: May 28, 2024
General: November 5, 2024
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Texas
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic
DDHQ and The Hill: Safe Democratic
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024
See also
Texas' 30th Congressional District
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th13th14th15th16th17th18th19th20th21st22nd23rd24th25th26th27th28th29th30th31st32nd33rd34th35th36th37th38th
Texas elections, 2024
U.S. Congress elections, 2024
U.S. Senate elections, 2024
U.S. House elections, 2024

All U.S. House districts, including the 30th Congressional District of Texas, held elections in 2024. The general election was November 5, 2024. The primary was March 5, 2024, and a primary runoff was May 28, 2024. The filing deadline was December 11, 2023.

All 435 U.S. House seats were up for election in 2024. At the time of the election, Republicans had a 220 to 212 majority with three vacancies.[1] Forty-five members of the U.S. House did not run for re-election. To read more about the 2024 U.S. House elections, click here.

In the 2022 election in this district, the Democratic candidate won 74.7%-21.7%. Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have defeated Donald Trump (R) 77.8%-21.0%.[2]

For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Texas District 30

Incumbent Jasmine Crockett defeated Jrmar Jefferson in the general election for U.S. House Texas District 30 on November 5, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Jasmine Crockett
Jasmine Crockett (D)
 
86.1
 
139,115
Image of Jrmar Jefferson
Jrmar Jefferson (L)
 
13.9
 
22,494

Total votes: 161,609
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 30

Incumbent Jasmine Crockett defeated Jarred Davis in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 30 on March 5, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Jasmine Crockett
Jasmine Crockett
 
91.5
 
43,059
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Jarred Davis
 
8.5
 
3,982

Total votes: 47,041
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Libertarian convention

Libertarian convention for U.S. House Texas District 30

Ken Ashby advanced from the Libertarian convention for U.S. House Texas District 30 on March 23, 2024.

Candidate
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Ken Ashby (L)

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Candidate profiles

There were no candidate profiles created for this race. Candidate profiles would have appeared here as candidates completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey.

Voting information

See also: Voting in Texas

Election information in Texas: Nov. 5, 2024, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: Oct. 7, 2024
  • By mail: Postmarked by Oct. 7, 2024
  • Online: N/A

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

No

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: Oct. 25, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Oct. 25, 2024
  • Online: N/A

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 5, 2024
  • By mail: Postmarked by Nov. 5, 2024

Was early voting available to all voters?

Yes

What were the early voting start and end dates?

Oct. 21, 2024 to Nov. 1, 2024

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

7:00 a.m. to 7:00 p.m.

Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

No candidate in this race completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey.


Campaign finance

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Jasmine Crockett Democratic Party $2,838,879 $1,447,644 $1,544,084 As of October 16, 2024
Jarred Davis Democratic Party $17,100 $17,100 $0 As of June 30, 2024
Ken Ashby Libertarian Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Jrmar Jefferson Libertarian Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.

General election race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[3]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[4][5][6]

Race ratings: Texas' 30th Congressional District election, 2024
Race trackerRace ratings
November 5, 2024October 29, 2024October 22, 2024October 15, 2024
The Cook Political Report with Amy WalterSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Decision Desk HQ and The HillSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe Democratic
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe Democratic
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Texas in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Texas, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
Texas U.S. House Democratic or Republican 2% of votes cast for governor in the district in the last election, or 500, whichever is less $3,125.00 12/11/2023 Source
Texas U.S. House Unaffiliated 5% of all votes cast for governor in the district in the last election, or 500, whichever is less N/A 12/11/2023 Source

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.


Below was the map in use at the time of the election. Click the map below to enlarge it.

2023_01_03_tx_congressional_district_030.jpg
See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2024

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Texas.

Texas U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024
Year Districts/
offices
Seats Open seats Candidates Possible primaries Contested Democratic primaries Contested Republican primaries % of contested primaries Incumbents in contested primaries % of incumbents in contested primaries
2024 38 38 3 160 76 16 23 51.3% 19 54.3%
2022 38 38 6 222 76 17 27 57.9% 19 59.4%
2020 36 36 6 231 72 24 26 69.4% 18 60.0%
2018 36 36 8 212 72 25 21 63.9% 15 53.6%
2016 36 36 2 127 72 13 20 45.8% 19 55.9%
2014 36 36 1 100 72 6 13 26.4% 12 34.3%

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Texas in 2024. Information below was calculated on 1/29/2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

In 2024, 164 candidates filed to run for Texas’ 38 U.S. House districts, including 63 Democrats and 101 Republicans. That was 4.3 candidates per district, the lowest number since 2016, when 3.5 candidates ran.

In 2022, the first election after the number of congressional districts in Texas increased from 36 to 38, 5.8 candidates ran per district. In 2020, 6.4 candidates ran, and 5.8 candidates ran in 2018.

The 164 candidates who ran in 2024 were also the fewest total number to run since 2016, when 127 candidates ran. One hundred candidates ran for Texas’ then-36 districts in 2014, the fewest in the decade, while 231 ran in 2020, the decade-high.

Three seats were open. That was the fewest since 2016, when two seats were open. Six seats were open in 2022 and 2020, and eight were in 2018—the decade-high.

Reps. Kay Granger (R-12th) and Michael Burgess (R-26th) retired from public office. Rep. Colin Allred (D-32nd) didn't seek re-election in order to run for the U.S. Senate. Fourteen candidates—10 Democrats and 4 Republicans—ran for the open 32nd district, the most candidates who ran for a seat in 2024.

Thirty-nine primaries—16 Democratic and 23 Republican—were contested this year. That was the fewest since 2016, when 33 were contested. There were 44 contested primaries in 2022, 50 in 2020, and 46 in 2018.

Nineteen incumbents—six Democrats and thirteen Republicans—faced primary challengers this year. That was the same number as 2022, and one more than in 2020.

Three districts—the 9th, the 20th, and the 30th—were guaranteed to Democrats because no Republicans filed to run. Five were guaranteed to Republicans because no Democrats filed to run—the 1st, the 11th, the 13th, the 19th, and the 25th.


Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+27. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 27 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Texas' 30th the 28th most Democratic district nationally.[7]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in Texas' 30th based on 2024 district lines
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
77.8% 21.0%

Inside Elections Baselines

See also: Inside Elections

Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[8] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.

Inside Elections Baseline for 2024
Democratic Baseline Democratic Party Republican Baseline Republican Party Difference
74.9 23.1 D+51.8

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in Texas, 2020

Texas presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 16 Democratic wins
  • 15 Republican wins
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party D D D D D D D R D D D D D R R D D D R D R R R R R R R R R R R
See also: Party control of Texas state government

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Texas' congressional delegation as of May 2024.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Texas
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 0 13 13
Republican 2 25 27
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 38 40

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Texas' top four state executive offices as of May 2024.

State executive officials in Texas, May 2024
Office Officeholder
Governor Republican Party Greg Abbott
Lieutenant Governor Republican Party Dan Patrick
Secretary of State Republican Party Jane Nelson
Attorney General Republican Party Ken Paxton

State legislature

Texas State Senate

Party As of February 2024
     Democratic Party 11
     Republican Party 19
     Other 0
     Vacancies 1
Total 31

Texas House of Representatives

Party As of February 2024
     Democratic Party 64
     Republican Party 86
     Other 0
     Vacancies 0
Total 150

Trifecta control

The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.

Texas Party Control: 1992-2024
Three years of Democratic trifectas  •  Twenty-two years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Governor D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
Senate D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
House D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R

District history

The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2018.

2022

See also: Texas' 30th Congressional District election, 2022

General election

General election for U.S. House Texas District 30

Jasmine Crockett defeated James Rodgers, Zachariah Manning, Phil Gray, and Debbie Walker in the general election for U.S. House Texas District 30 on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Jasmine Crockett
Jasmine Crockett (D) Candidate Connection
 
74.7
 
134,876
Image of James Rodgers
James Rodgers (R) Candidate Connection
 
21.7
 
39,209
Image of Zachariah Manning
Zachariah Manning (Independent) Candidate Connection
 
2.1
 
3,820
Image of Phil Gray
Phil Gray (L)
 
1.0
 
1,870
Image of Debbie Walker
Debbie Walker (Independent) (Write-in) Candidate Connection
 
0.4
 
738

Total votes: 180,513
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary runoff election

Democratic primary runoff for U.S. House Texas District 30

Jasmine Crockett defeated Jane Hamilton in the Democratic primary runoff for U.S. House Texas District 30 on May 24, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Jasmine Crockett
Jasmine Crockett Candidate Connection
 
60.6
 
17,462
Image of Jane Hamilton
Jane Hamilton Candidate Connection
 
39.4
 
11,369

Total votes: 28,831
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Republican primary runoff election

Republican primary runoff for U.S. House Texas District 30

James Rodgers defeated James Harris in the Republican primary runoff for U.S. House Texas District 30 on May 24, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of James Rodgers
James Rodgers Candidate Connection
 
56.9
 
3,090
Image of James Harris
James Harris Candidate Connection
 
43.1
 
2,339

Total votes: 5,429
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 30

The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 30 on March 1, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Jasmine Crockett
Jasmine Crockett Candidate Connection
 
48.5
 
26,798
Image of Jane Hamilton
Jane Hamilton Candidate Connection
 
17.1
 
9,436
Image of Keisha Lankford
Keisha Lankford Candidate Connection
 
7.8
 
4,323
Image of Barbara Mallory Caraway
Barbara Mallory Caraway
 
7.7
 
4,277
Image of Abel Mulugheta
Abel Mulugheta Candidate Connection
 
5.9
 
3,284
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Roy Williams Jr.
 
5.0
 
2,746
Image of Vonciel Jones Hill
Vonciel Jones Hill
 
3.4
 
1,886
Image of Jessica Mason
Jessica Mason
 
3.4
 
1,858
Image of Arthur Dixon
Arthur Dixon Candidate Connection
 
1.2
 
677

Total votes: 55,285
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 30

The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 30 on March 1, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of James Harris
James Harris Candidate Connection
 
32.9
 
3,952
Image of James Rodgers
James Rodgers Candidate Connection
 
31.3
 
3,754
Image of Kelvin Goodwin-Castillo
Kelvin Goodwin-Castillo Candidate Connection
 
16.8
 
2,023
Image of Lizbeth Diaz
Lizbeth Diaz
 
11.8
 
1,416
Image of Dakinya Jefferson
Dakinya Jefferson Candidate Connection
 
5.9
 
703
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Angeigh Roc'ellerpitts
 
1.3
 
160

Total votes: 12,008
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Libertarian convention

Libertarian convention for U.S. House Texas District 30

Phil Gray advanced from the Libertarian convention for U.S. House Texas District 30 on March 19, 2022.

Candidate
Image of Phil Gray
Phil Gray (L)

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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2020

See also: Texas' 30th Congressional District election, 2020

General election

General election for U.S. House Texas District 30

Incumbent Eddie Bernice Johnson defeated Tre Pennie and Eric Williams in the general election for U.S. House Texas District 30 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Eddie Bernice Johnson
Eddie Bernice Johnson (D)
 
77.5
 
204,928
Image of Tre Pennie
Tre Pennie (R) Candidate Connection
 
18.4
 
48,685
Image of Eric Williams
Eric Williams (Independent)
 
4.1
 
10,851

Total votes: 264,464
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 30

Incumbent Eddie Bernice Johnson defeated Shenita Cleveland, Barbara Mallory Caraway, and Hasani Burton in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 30 on March 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Eddie Bernice Johnson
Eddie Bernice Johnson
 
70.6
 
58,804
Image of Shenita Cleveland
Shenita Cleveland Candidate Connection
 
13.6
 
11,358
Image of Barbara Mallory Caraway
Barbara Mallory Caraway
 
12.6
 
10,452
Image of Hasani Burton
Hasani Burton Candidate Connection
 
3.2
 
2,638

Total votes: 83,252
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 30

Tre Pennie advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 30 on March 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Tre Pennie
Tre Pennie Candidate Connection
 
100.0
 
9,928

Total votes: 9,928
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Due to nationwide changes in election administration in 2020, Ballotpedia is exercising increased caution before projecting election winners. Click here to read our new election calling policy and vote total update schedule

Libertarian convention

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2018

See also: Texas' 30th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Texas District 30

Incumbent Eddie Bernice Johnson defeated Shawn Jones in the general election for U.S. House Texas District 30 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Eddie Bernice Johnson
Eddie Bernice Johnson (D)
 
91.1
 
166,784
Image of Shawn Jones
Shawn Jones (L)
 
8.9
 
16,390

Total votes: 183,174
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 30

Incumbent Eddie Bernice Johnson defeated Barbara Mallory Caraway and Eric Williams in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 30 on March 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Eddie Bernice Johnson
Eddie Bernice Johnson
 
63.6
 
32,415
Image of Barbara Mallory Caraway
Barbara Mallory Caraway
 
22.8
 
11,641
Image of Eric Williams
Eric Williams
 
13.6
 
6,931

Total votes: 50,987
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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See also

Texas 2024 primaries 2024 U.S. Congress elections
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Footnotes

  1. A majority in the U.S. House when there are no vacancies is 218 seats.
  2. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  3. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  4. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  5. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  6. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  7. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
  8. Inside Elections, "Methodology: Inside Elections’ Baseline by Congressional District," December 8, 2023


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