Massachusetts gubernatorial and lieutenant gubernatorial election, 2014
September 9, 2014 |
November 4, 2014 |
Charles D. Baker Karyn Polito |
Deval Patrick Lieutenant governor's office is vacant |
Governor • Lieutenant Governor Secretary of State • Attorney General Down Ballot Treasurer, Auditor |
The Massachusetts gubernatorial and lieutenant gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Deval Patrick (D) was eligible for re-election, as Massachusetts has no gubernatorial term limits, though he decided not to seek re-election. The lieutenant governor's office was vacant following Tim Murray's (D) resignation, effective June 2, 2013, in order to lead the Worcester Regional Chamber of Commerce.[1] Baker and running mate Karyn Polito won election to concurrent four-year terms in office.
A primary election is an election in which registered voters select a candidate that they believe should be a political party's candidate for elected office to run in the general election. They are also used to choose convention delegates and party leaders. Primaries are state-level and local-level elections that take place prior to a general election. Massachusetts utilizes a semi-closed primary system. An unaffiliated voter is allowed to vote in the primary election of his or her choice.[2][3]
For information about which offices are nominated via primary election, see this article.
Attorney General Martha Coakley survived a bruising Democratic primary and faced Charlie Baker (R), Evan Falchuk (I), Jeffrey McCormick (I) and Scott Lively (I) in the general election. Learn more about the candidates by jumping to the race background section and the debates section. The polling section details the narrow margins between Coakley and Baker heading into the November election.
Both legislative chambers and the governor's office were held by the Democratic Party prior to the election, which made Massachusetts a state government trifecta. Baker and Polito broke up this trifecta by winning in the 2014 election. Learn more about the latest developments in state government trifectas by clicking here.
Candidates
General election
Martha Coakley/Steve Kerrigan[4]
Charles D. Baker/Karyn Polito[5][6]
Evan Falchuk/Angus Jennings[7][8]
Jeffrey McCormick/Tracy Post[9][10]
Scott Lively/Shelly Saunders[11]
Lost in primary
Gubernatorial
Donald Berwick - Pediatrician, former Obama administration health care official[8]
Steven Grossman - Massachusetts Treasurer[12][13]
Mark Fisher - Business owner[14]
Lieutenant gubernatorial
Leland Cheung
Michael Edward Lake
Did not make general ballot
Juliette Kayyem - Former columnist for the Boston Globe, former Department of Homeland Security’s assistant secretary for intergovernmental affairs[15]
Joe Avellone - Health care executive, former Wellesley selectman[16]
Withdrew or declined
Daniel Wolf - State Sen., Cape and Islands District[17][18]
Michael Capuano - U.S. House Rep, 7th District[19][20]
Joe Curtatone - Mayor of Somerville[21][22]
Results
General election
Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Massachusetts, 2014 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
Republican | Charles D. Baker/Karyn Polito | 48.4% | 1,044,573 | |
Democratic | Martha Coakley/Steve Kerrigan | 46.5% | 1,004,408 | |
United Independent | Evan Falchuk/Angus Jennings | 3.3% | 71,814 | |
Independent | Scott Lively/Shelly Saunders | 0.9% | 19,378 | |
Independent | Jeffrey McCormick/Tracy Post | 0.8% | 16,295 | |
Nonpartisan | Write-in votes | 0.1% | 1,858 | |
Total Votes | 2,158,326 | |||
Election results via Massachusetts Secretary of State |
Primary election
Gubernatorial
Democratic primary
Governor of Massachusetts, Democratic Primary, 2014 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
Martha Coakley | 42.4% | 229,156 | ||
Steve Grossman | 36.4% | 196,594 | ||
Don Berwick | 21.1% | 113,988 | ||
Write-in candidates | 0.2% | 995 | ||
Total Votes | 540,733 | |||
Election results via Massachusetts Secretary of State. |
Republican primary
Governor of Massachusetts, Republican Primary, 2014 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
Charles D. Baker | 74.1% | 116,004 | ||
Mark Fisher | 25.7% | 40,240 | ||
Write-in votes | 0.2% | 336 | ||
Total Votes | 156,580 | |||
Election results via Massachusetts Secretary of State. |
Lieutenant gubernatorial
Democratic primary
Lieutenant Governor of Massachusetts, Democratic Primary, 2014 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
Steve Kerrigan | 50.7% | 222,562 | ||
Leland Cheung | 29.3% | 128,645 | ||
Michael Edward Lake | 19.6% | 86,006 | ||
Write-in votes | 0.3% | 1,435 | ||
Total Votes | 438,648 | |||
Election results via Massachusetts Secretary of State. |
Republican primary
Karyn Polito won the Republican nomination without opposition.
Race background
Current incumbent Deval Patrick, a Democrat first elected in 2006, was eligible to run for re-election in 2014. However, after winning re-election in 2010, Patrick stated that he would not seek a third term as governor in the 2014 election.[23][24]
Democratic nomination
The field of Democrats competing for their party's nomination in the primary, which took place on September 9, 2014, attracted several current officeholders. Treasurer Steven Grossman won the state Democratic convention on June 14, 2014, while Attorney General Martha Coakley came in second. Physician Donald Berwick also secured a place on the primary ballot. Candidates Joe Avellone and Juliette Kayyem failed to achieve 15 percent of the convention backing to reach the primary ballot.[25][26] Coakley was the leading candidate in all polls against Grossman, but did not win over the party itself prior to the primary. Analysts posited that Coakley defeated Grossman based on higher name recognition. Party leaders were concerned she will not be able to win the general election. Grossman was the former chairman of the state and national Democratic parties.[27] Coakley defeated Grossman and Berwick in the September primary to reach the general election ballot.
Republican nomination
Daniel Wolf, a Republican state senator who announced his intentions to run early on, dropped out of the race after his campaign was suspended "indefinitely" since his Aug 2, 2013 disqualification by the Massachusetts Ethics Commission for being a stakeholder in an airline he previously founded, CapeAir. Since CapeAir is now a quasi-public agency whose board is controlled by the governor, the commission ruled Wolf's ties to be a violation of state conflict of interest prohibitions.[28][29] On September 19, the commission granted Wolf a second extension to his compliance deadline, beyond which he would be forced to resign his state senate seat and officially withdraw from the gubernatorial race.[30][31][32] The uncertainty about if and when he could resume campaigning resulted in Wolf's decision to officially withdraw from the race on October 21, 2013. [33][34][35][30]
Charlie Baker, a venture capitalist who was the Republican nominee for governor in 2010, again won his party's nomination at the convention on March 22, 2014. The other Republican challenger, Mark Fisher, originally appeared to have narrowly missed an appearance on the primary ballot after failing to achieve 15 percent of the vote with just 14.765 percent, but after challenging the results in court the judge ruled that Fisher should be allowed to appear with Baker on the primary ballot.[36][14] The blank ballots that were cast at the convention were counted in the total, reducing the percentage that Fisher received just enough to push him off the ballot. Kirsten Hughes, the Massachusetts Republican party chairwoman, told the media after the convention that blanks should not count towards the total. She retracted that statement days later saying she misspoke.[37][38][39] Baker defeated Fisher in the Republican primary on September 9, 2014.
Baker had to defend his more moderate views as a Republican in order to distance himself from Coakley. Baker supports both abortion rights and gay marriage, a contrast to many views of his conservative Republican supporters.[40]
Debates
Debate media
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General election
October 7 debate
All five candidates met for a debate prior to the general election. Coakley and Baker discussed the state's child welfare system and Baker's tenure as chief executive for Harvard Pilgrim Health Care.
A super PAC supporting Baker's campaign had released ads saying that Coakley opposed policy modifications at the Massachusetts Department of Children and Families during her time as attorney general. Baker brought up Coakley's defense of the state in 2010 from a lawsuit filed by a child welfare group concerned about the department's handling of foster care. Coakley responded that she was tasked with defending the state's interests as attorney general.[41]
Coakley attacked Baker for accepting a growing salary during his time at Harvard Pilgrim after he was brought in to improve the company's financial outlook. She argued that Baker's salary grew from $600,000 per year to $1.7 million per year while senior citizens were dropped from coverage. Baker countered that his salary was established by a board of directors and that his work helped prevent Harvard Pilgrim from going under, which would have weakened health services in the state.[41]
Primary election
August 21 independent debate
Evan Falchuk and Jeffrey McCormick discussed Massachusetts' economic state, taxes, and a statewide initiative on casinos in a debate hosted by Middlesex Community College. Falchuk, who was running as the United Independent Party candidate, argued that high healthcare costs and limited housing options had led to the state's economic struggles. McCormick argued that job creation and energy costs were the main culprits for economic problems.[42]
McCormick was criticized by Falchuk over his proposal for a lowered state income tax and shrinking of state agencies. This proposal would have established a 5 percent income tax and reduced the number of state jobs by eliminating positions as employees retired or moved to new jobs. Falchuk suggested that the proposal didn't make financial sense and pushed McCormick to name specific jobs that should be eliminated. McCormick stated that investigations into corruption at the state probation department revealed the state's wasteful spending.[42]
The two independent candidates also disagreed on Question 3 on the November 4 ballot, which would have repealed a 2011 law allowing resort casinos to operate in Massachusetts. McCormick supported Question 3, claiming that the law was only beneficial to casino operators. Falchuk opposed Question 3, arguing that the people of Massachusetts and their representatives had already made a decision. He compared the measure to efforts by congressional Republicans to sue President Barack Obama over the Affordable Care Act.[42]
August 21 Republican debate
Charlie Baker and Mark Fisher discussed jobs, schools, and firearms regulations in a debate hosted by Middlesex Community College. Both candidates argued that government spending and regulations should be reduced to create a better environment for job creation. Baker suggested that a Republican should be elected governor in order to create "constructive friction" with the Democratic-controlled legislature that would yield new ideas. Fisher supported ending state spending on food stamps and other programs, arguing that they were used by immigrants residing in the country without legal permission.[43]
The debate also included a discussion of higher education costs in Massachusetts. Baker promoted ideas including three-year undergraduate programs, online education options, and co-op programs at state universities. Fisher, the owner of a manufacturing firm, supported vocational education as a solution to college debt and as job preparation for graduates.[43]
Baker and Fisher held conflicting views regarding the state's approach to violence involving firearms. Baker suggested that smart-gun technology, which would require fingerprint identification before a gun can be discharged, should be available for gun owners. He also cited illegal weapons trafficking as a major issue facing the state. Fisher disagreed with Baker's assessment, suggesting that existing laws were restrictive and only impacted lawful gun owners.[43]
August 20 Democratic debate
Martha Coakley, Steve Grossman, and Don Berwick discussed the Question 3 measure on casinos and gambling in Massachusetts during their debate at Stonehill College. Berwick differentiated himself from Coakley and Grossman by supporting Question 3, citing negative impacts on communities that host casinos. Coakley argued that she preferred other methods of economic growth, but she said that revenue streams from casinos were used to strengthen programs to reduce gambling addiction. Grossman noted that casinos would add 15,000 jobs to the state and would keep money from heading to casinos in other states.[44]
Polls
General election
All candidates: October 2014
Governor of Massachusetts 2014 Five-way race: October 2014 | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | Martha Coakley | Charlie Baker | Evan Falchuk | Jeff McCormick | Scott Lively | Don't know/ Refused | Margin of error | Sample size | |||||||||||
WBUR October 22-25, 2014 | 40% | 41% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 12% | +/-4.4 | 494 | |||||||||||
UMass Lowell October 21-25, 2014 | 41% | 45% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 8% | +/-3.6 | 601 | |||||||||||
The Boston Globe October 19-21, 2014 | 37% | 46% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 8% | +/-4.9 | 400 | |||||||||||
WBUR October 15-18, 2014 | 42% | 43% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 10% | +/-4.4 | 501 | |||||||||||
The Boston Globe October 12-14, 2014 | 37% | 39% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 17% | +/-4.9 | 400 | |||||||||||
WBUR October 8-11, 2014 | 42% | 39% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 14% | +/-4.4 | 500 | |||||||||||
The Boston Globe October 5-7, 2014 | 39% | 34% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 20% | +/-4.9 | 400 | |||||||||||
WBUR October 1-4, 2014 | 41% | 39% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 15% | +/-4.4 | 504 | |||||||||||
UMass Amherst/WBZ September 26-October 2, 2014 | 48% | 44% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | +/-5.5 | 414 | |||||||||||
AVERAGES | 40.78% | 41.11% | 2.56% | 1.89% | 1.56% | 11.78% | +/-4.6 | 468.22 | |||||||||||
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to [email protected]. |
All candidates through September 2014
Governor of Massachusetts 2014 Five-way race: Through September 2014 | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | Martha Coakley | Charlie Baker | Evan Falchuk | Jeff McCormick | Scott Lively | Don't know/ Refused | Margin of error | Sample size | |||||||||||
SocialSphere September 28-30, 2014 | 36% | 39% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 21% | +/-4.89 | 401 | |||||||||||
The Boston Globe September 25-28, 2014 | 43.8% | 43.2% | 2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 9% | +/-4 | 500 | |||||||||||
WBUR September 24-27, 2014 | 41% | 38% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 17% | +/-4.4 | 503 | |||||||||||
The Boston Globe September 21-23, 2014 | 38% | 40% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 18% | +/-4.9 | 400 | |||||||||||
Western New England University Polling Institute September 20-28, 2014 | 43% | 44% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 8% | +/-4 | 598 | |||||||||||
UMass Amherst/WBZ September 19-23, 2014 | 46% | 45% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | +/-4.4 | 600 | |||||||||||
WBUR September 16-21, 2014 | 43% | 34% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 19% | +/-4.4 | 502 | |||||||||||
AVERAGES | 41.54% | 40.46% | 1.86% | 1.66% | 1.06% | 13.57% | +/-4.43 | 500.57 | |||||||||||
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to [email protected]. |
Governor of Massachusetts 2014 Four-way race | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | Martha Coakley | Charlie Baker | Evan Falchuk | Jeff McCormick | Don't know/ Refused | Margin of error | Sample size | ||||||||||||
The Boston Globe July 13-15, 2014 | 38% | 33% | 1% | 8% | 19% | +/-5 | 625 | ||||||||||||
Western New England University Polling Institute March 31-April 7, 2014 | 54% | 25% | 3% | 3% | 15% | +/-5 | 424 | ||||||||||||
AVERAGES | 46% | 29% | 2% | 5.5% | 17% | +/-5 | 524.5 | ||||||||||||
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to [email protected]. |
Major-party candidates
Governor of Massachusetts 2014 - Coakley v. Baker | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | Martha Coakley | Charlie Baker | Independent/other | Don't know/Refused | Margin of error | Sample size | |||||||||||||
Emerson College Polling Society October 26-29, 2014 | 42% | 48% | 4% | 6% | +/-3.85 | 627 | |||||||||||||
New York Times/CBS News/YouGov October 16-23, 2014 | 45% | 41% | 1% | 13% | +/-3 | 2,218 | |||||||||||||
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner October 20-22, 2014 | 45% | 44% | 5% | 5% | +/-4 | 611 | |||||||||||||
Rasmussen Reports October 13-14, 2014 | 46% | 48% | 2% | 5% | +/-3 | 980 | |||||||||||||
New York Times/CBS News/YouGov September 20-October 1, 2014 | 47% | 41% | 1% | 11% | +/-2 | 2,389 | |||||||||||||
Rasmussen Reports September 16-17, 2014 | 42% | 42% | 5% | 10% | +/-4 | 750 | |||||||||||||
The Boston Globe September 14-16, 2014 | 39% | 36% | 6% | 19% | +/-4.9 | 407 | |||||||||||||
WBUR September 11-14, 2014 | 44% | 35% | 15% | 6% | +/-4.4 | 504 | |||||||||||||
AVERAGES | 43.75% | 41.88% | 4.88% | 9.38% | +/-3.64 | 1,060.75 | |||||||||||||
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to [email protected]. |
Primary and hypothetical polls
Governor of Massachusetts 2014 Four-way race with Grossman | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | Steve Grossman | Charlie Baker | Evan Falchuk | Jeff McCormick | Don't know | Refused | Margin of error | Sample size | |||||||||||
Western New England University Polling Institute March 31-April 7, 2014 | 38% | 29% | 4% | 9% | 19% | 1% | +/-5 | 424 | |||||||||||
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to [email protected]. |
Governor of Massachusetts 2014 Democratic Primary | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | Martha Coakley | Steve Grossman | Don Berwick | Joe Avellone | Dan Wolf | Juliette Kayyem | Undecided | Margin of error | Sample size | ||||||||||
Public Policy Polling (September 20-23, 2013) | 57% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 17% | +/-5.4 | 324 | ||||||||||
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to [email protected]. |
Governor of Massachusetts 2014 Democratic Primary | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | Martha Coakley | Steve Grossman | Don Berwick | Don't know | Margin of error | Sample size | |||||||||||||
University of Massachusetts-Lowell (August 25-31, 2014) | 52% | 20% | 9% | 19% | +/-4.55 | 685 | |||||||||||||
Suffolk University/Boston Herald (August 2014) | 42.3% | 30% | 15.7% | 12% | +/-0 | 400 | |||||||||||||
The Boston Globe (July 13-15, 2014) | 46% | 18% | 5% | 30% | +/-5 | 347 | |||||||||||||
AVERAGES | 46.77% | 22.67% | 9.9% | 20.33% | +/-3.18 | 477.33 | |||||||||||||
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to [email protected]. |
Governor of Massachusetts 2014 Hypothetical Match-up: Charlie Baker vs. Democratic Candidates | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | Charlie Baker | Martha Coakley | Steve Grossman | Donald Berwick | Juliette Kayyem | Not sure | Margin of error | Sample size | |||||||||||
UMass-Amherst Internet Poll of Massachusetts March 31-April 6, 2014 | 32% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 32% | 36% | +/-5.9 | 500 | |||||||||||
UMass-Amherst Internet Poll of Massachusetts March 31-April 6, 2014 | 32% | 0% | 0% | 29% | 0% | 37% | +/-5.9 | 500 | |||||||||||
UMass-Amherst Internet Poll of Massachusetts March 31-April 6, 2014 | 29% | 0% | 35% | 0% | 0% | 36% | +/-5.9 | 500 | |||||||||||
UMass-Amherst Internet Poll of Massachusetts March 31-April 6, 2014 | 34% | 45% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 21% | +/-5.9 | 500 | |||||||||||
AVERAGES | 31.75% | 11.25% | 8.75% | 7.25% | 8% | 32.5% | +/-5.9 | 500 | |||||||||||
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to [email protected]. |
**Due to the nature of the comparison, a placeholder figure of 0% is assigned to candidates not included in any given match-up round
Governor of Massachusetts 2014 Hypothetical Match-ups - Republican Charlie Baker vs. Democratic candidates | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | Charlie Baker | Martha Coakley | Steve Grossman | Not sure | Margin of error | Sample size | |||||||||||||
January 2014 Special Edition Purple Poll Massachusetts Statewide January 21-23, 2014 | 35% | 0% | 34% | 31% | +/-4.4 | 500 | |||||||||||||
January 2014 Special Edition Purple Poll Massachusetts Statewide January 21-23, 2014 | 36% | 46% | 0% | 18% | +/-4.4 | 500 | |||||||||||||
AVERAGES | 35.5% | 23% | 17% | 24.5% | +/-4.4 | 500 | |||||||||||||
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to [email protected]. |
**Due to the nature of the comparison, a placeholder figure of 0% is assigned to candidates not included in any given match-up round
Governor of Massachusetts 2014 Hypothetical Match-ups - Republican Mark Fisher vs. Democratic candidates | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | Mark Fisher | Martha Coakley | Steve Grossman | Not sure | Margin of error | Sample size | |||||||||||||
January 2014 Special Edition Purple Poll Massachusetts Statewide January 21-23, 2014 | 26% | 0% | 35% | 38% | +/-4.4 | 500 | |||||||||||||
January 2014 Special Edition Purple Poll Massachusetts Statewide January 21-23, 2014 | 30% | 50% | 0% | 20% | +/-4.4 | 500 | |||||||||||||
AVERAGES | 28% | 25% | 17.5% | 29% | +/-4.4 | 500 | |||||||||||||
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to [email protected]. |
**Due to the nature of the comparison, a placeholder figure of 0% is assigned to candidates not included in any given match-up round
Governor of Massachusetts 2014 Hypothetical Match-ups - Republican Charlie Baker and Independents vs. Democratic candidates | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | Charlie Baker | Jeff McCormick | Evan Falchuk | Martha Coakley | Steve Grossman | Don Berwick | Juliette Kayyem | Joe Avellone | Another candidate | Undecided/Refused/Won't vote | Margin of error | Sample size | |||||||
WBUR Poll: Governor's Race January 16-19, 2014 | 36% | 8% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% | 2% | 39% | +/-4.4 | 504 | |||||||
WBUR Poll: Governor's Race January 16-19, 2014 | 37% | 7% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 15% | 0% | 1% | 38% | +/-4.4 | 504 | |||||||
WBUR Poll: Governor's Race January 16-19, 2014 | 36% | 8% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 40% | +/-4.4 | 504 | |||||||
WBUR Poll: Governor's Race January 16-19, 2014 | 33% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 23% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 36% | +/-4.4 | 504 | |||||||
WBUR Poll: Governor's Race January 16-19, 2014 | 29% | 3% | 1% | 39% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 26% | +/-4.4 | 504 | |||||||
AVERAGES | 34.2% | 6.2% | 1.6% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 35.8% | +/-4.4 | 504 | |||||||
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to [email protected]. |
**Due to the nature of the comparison, a placeholder figure of 0% is assigned to candidates not included in any given match-up round
Governor of Massachusetts 2014 Hypothetical Match-ups - Republican Charlie Baker vs. Democratic candidates | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | Charlie Baker (R)* | Martha Coakley | Mike Capuano | Don Berwick | Steve Grossman | Joe Avellone | Not sure | Margin of error | Sample size | ||||||||||
Western New England University (October 1-7, 2013) | 30% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 43% | 0% | 25% | +/-5.0 | 431 | ||||||||||
Western New England University (October 1-7, 2013) | 34% | 54% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% | +/-5.0 | 431 | ||||||||||
Public Policy Poll (September 20-23, 2013) | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 30% | 30% | +/-4.0 | 616 | ||||||||||
Public Policy Poll (September 20-23, 2013) | 37% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 38% | 0% | 25% | +/-4.0 | 616 | ||||||||||
Public Policy Poll (September 20-23, 2013) | 38% | 0% | 0% | 31% | 0% | 0% | 31% | +/-4.0 | 616 | ||||||||||
Public Policy Poll (September 20-23, 2013) | 37% | 0% | 0% | 42% | 0% | 0% | 21% | +/-4.0 | 616 | ||||||||||
Public Policy Poll (September 20-23, 2013) | 38% | 51% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% | +/-4.0 | 616 | ||||||||||
AVERAGES | 36.29% | 15% | 0% | 10.43% | 11.57% | 4.29% | 21.86% | +/-4.29 | 563.14 | ||||||||||
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to [email protected]. |
**Due to the nature of the comparison, a placeholder figure of 0% is assigned to candidates not included in any given match-up round
Governor of Massachusetts 2014 Hypothetical Match-ups with Various Republican Candidates | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | Charlie Baker | Evan Falchuk | Jeff McCormick | Martha Coakley | Steve Grossman | Juliette Kayyem | Don Berwick | Joe Avellone | Undecided | Margin of error | Sample size | ||||||||
The Boston Globe (May 29 - June 3, 2014) | 36% | 2% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17% | 36% | +/-4.0 | 602 | ||||||||
The Boston Globe (May 29 - June 3, 2014) | 37% | 2% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 18% | 0% | 35% | +/-4.0 | 602 | ||||||||
The Boston Globe (May 29 - June 3, 2014) | 36% | 2% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 36% | +/-4.0 | 602 | ||||||||
The Boston Globe (May 29 - June 3, 2014) | 32% | 2% | 8% | 0% | 26% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 31% | +/-4.0 | 602 | ||||||||
The Boston Globe (May 29 - June 3, 2014) | 32% | 2% | 7% | 37% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 22% | +/-4.0 | 602 | ||||||||
AVERAGES | 34.6% | 2% | 8% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 32% | +/-4 | 602 | ||||||||
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to [email protected]. |
**Due to the nature of the comparison, a placeholder figure of 0% is assigned to candidates not included in any given match-up round
Campaign media
General election
Charles Baker
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Martha Coakley
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Outside groups
Commonwealth Future PAC
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Democratic Governors Association
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Primary election
Donald Berwick
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Martha Coakley
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Steve Grossman
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Past elections
Margin of victory analysis
The average margin of victory in the past three races for governor was 10.4 percent. The smallest margin of victory was 4.8 percent in 2002, while the largest margin of victory was 20 percent in 2006. Percentages of votes for third-party candidates have increased from 6.4 percent in 2002 to 9.4 percent in 2010. The following chart compares the margin of victory for winners of gubernatorial races with the margin of victory for candidates who won the most votes for the top race on the ballot:[45]
Margin of victory analysis | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | Gov. candidate margin of victory (%) | Party of winning candidate | Top race on ballot | Party of winning candidate | Margin of victory (%) | |
2010 | 6.4 | - | - | - | ||
2006 | 20 | U.S. Senate | 37.4 | |||
2002 | 4.8 | U.S. Senate | 55.6 |
2010
Massachusetts Gubernatorial/Lieutenant Gubernatorial, General Election, 2010 | ||||
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Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
Democratic | Deval Patrick/Tim Murray Incumbent | 48.5% | 1,112,283 | |
Republican | Charles D. Baker/Richard R. Tisei | 42.1% | 964,866 | |
Independent | Tim Cahill/Paul Loscocco | 8% | 184,395 | |
Green | Jill Stein/Richard P. Purcell | 1.4% | 32,895 | |
Total Votes | 2,294,439 | |||
Election results via Massachusetts Secretary of State |
2006
Massachusetts Gubernatorial/Lieutenant Gubernatorial, General Election, 2006 | ||||
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Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
Democratic | Deval Patrick/Tim Murray | 55% | 1,234,984 | |
Republican | Kerry Healey/Reed V. Hillman | 35% | 784,342 | |
Independent | Christy Mihos/John J. Sullivan | 6.9% | 154,628 | |
Green | Grace Ross/Martina Robinson | 1.9% | 43,193 | |
Blanks | - | 1.1% | 24,056 | |
Nonpartisan | Others | 0.1% | 2,632 | |
Total Votes | 2,243,835 | |||
Election results via Massachusetts Secretary of State |
2002
Massachusetts Gubernatorial/Lieutenant Gubernatorial, General Election, 2002 | ||||
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Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
Republican | Mitt Romney/Kerry Healey | 49.2% | 1,091,988 | |
Democratic | Shannon O'Brien/Christopher Gabrielli | 44.4% | 985,981 | |
Green | Jill Stein/Anthony Lorenzen | 3.4% | 76,530 | |
Blanks | - | 1.2% | 26,122 | |
Libertarian | Carla Howell/Richard P. Aucoin | 1% | 23,044 | |
Independent | Barbara Johnson/Joseph Schebel | 0.7% | 15,335 | |
Nonpartisan | Others | 0.1% | 1,301 | |
Total Votes | 2,220,301 | |||
Election results via Massachusetts Secretary of State |
Voter turnout
Political scientist Michael McDonald's United States Elections Project studied voter turnout in the 2014 election by looking at the percentage of eligible voters who headed to the polls. McDonald used voting-eligible population (VEP), or the number of eligible voters independent of their current registration status, to calculate turnout rates in each state on November 4. He also incorporated ballots cast for the highest office in each state into his calculation. He estimated that 81,687,059 ballots were cast in the 50 states plus the District of Columbia, representing 35.9 percent of the VEP.[46] By comparison, 61.6 percent of VEP voted in the 2008 presidential election and 58.2 percent of VEP voted in the 2012 presidential election.[47]
Quick facts
- According to PBS Newshour, voter turnout in the 2014 midterms was the lowest since the 1942 midterms, which took place during the nation's involvement in World War II.[48]
- Forty-three states and the District of Columbia failed to surpass 50 percent turnout in McDonald's analysis.
- The three states with the lowest turnout according to McDonald's analysis were Texas (28.3 percent), Tennessee (28.6 percent), and Indiana (28.8 percent).
- Maine (58.5 percent), Wisconsin (56.5 percent), and Colorado (54.5 percent) were the three states with the highest turnout.
- There were only 12 states that increased voter turnout in 2014 compared to the 2010 midterm elections.[49]
Voter turnout rates, 2014 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
State | Total votes counted | % voter eligible population | Top statewide office up for election | Size of lead (Raw votes) | Size of lead (%) |
Alabama | 1,191,274 | 33.2 | Governor | 320,319 | 27.2 |
Alaska | 285,431 | 54.4 | Governor | 4,004 | 1.6 |
Arizona | 1,537,671 | 34.1 | Governor | 143,951 | 12.5 |
Arkansas | 852,642 | 40.1 | Governor | 118,664 | 14.0 |
California | 7,513,972 | 30.8 | Governor | 1,065,748 | 17.8 |
Colorado | 2,080,071 | 54.5 | Governor | 50,395 | 2.4 |
Connecticut | 1,096,509 | 42.5 | Governor | 26,603 | 2.5 |
Delaware | 234,038 | 34.4 | Attorney General | 31,155 | 13.6 |
District of Columbia | 177,176 | 35.8 | Mayor | 27,934 | 19.0 |
Florida | 6,026,802 | 43.3 | Governor | 66,127 | 1.1 |
Georgia | 2,596,947 | 38.5 | Governor | 202,685 | 8.0 |
Hawaii | 369,554 | 36.5 | Governor | 45,323 | 12.4 |
Idaho | 445,307 | 39.6 | Governor | 65,852 | 14.9 |
Illinois | 3,680,417 | 40.9 | Governor | 171,900 | 4.9 |
Indiana | 1,387,622 | 28.8 | Secretary of State | 234,978 | 17.8 |
Iowa | 1,142,284 | 50.2 | Governor | 245,548 | 21.8 |
Kansas | 887,023 | 43.4 | Governor | 33,052 | 3.9 |
Kentucky | 1,435,868 | 44.0 | U.S. Senate | 222,096 | 15.5 |
Louisiana | 1,472,039 | 43.8 | U.S. Senate | 16,401 | 1.1 |
Maine | 616,996 | 58.5 | Governor | 29,820 | 4.9 |
Maryland | 1,733,177 | 41.5 | Governor | 88,648 | 6.1 |
Massachusetts | 2,186,789 | 44.6 | Governor | 40,361 | 1.9 |
Michigan | 3,188,956 | 43.2 | Governor | 129,547 | 4.3 |
Minnesota | 1,992,613 | 50.5 | Governor | 109,776 | 5.6 |
Mississippi | 631,858 | 28.9 | U.S. Senate | 141,234 | 33.0 |
Missouri | 1,426,303 | 31.8 | Auditor | 684,074 | 53.6 |
Montana | 373,831 | 47.3 | U.S. Senate | 65,262 | 17.9 |
Nebraska | 552,115 | 41.5 | Governor | 97,678 | 18.7 |
Nevada | 547,349 | 29.0 | Governor | 255,793 | 46.7 |
New Hampshire | 495,565 | 48.4 | Governor | 24,924 | 5.2 |
New Jersey | 1,955,042 | 32.5 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
New Mexico | 512,805 | 35.7 | Governor | 73,868 | 14.6 |
New York | 3,930,310 | 29.0 | Governor | 476,252 | 13.4 |
North Carolina | 2,939,767 | 41.2 | U.S. Senate | 48,511 | 1.7 |
North Dakota | 255,128 | 45.0 | U.S. House At-large seat | 42,214 | 17.1 |
Ohio | 3,149,876 | 36.2 | Governor | 933,235 | 30.9 |
Oklahoma | 824,831 | 29.8 | Governor | 122,060 | 14.7 |
Oregon | 1,541,782 | 53.5 | Governor | 59,029 | 4.5 |
Pennsylvania | 3,495,866 | 36.0 | Governor | 339,261 | 9.8 |
Rhode Island | 329,212 | 42.2 | Governor | 14,346 | 4.5 |
South Carolina | 1,261,611 | 35.2 | Governor | 179,089 | 14.6 |
South Dakota | 282,291 | 44.9 | Governor | 124,865 | 45.1 |
Tennessee | 1,374,065 | 28.6 | Governor | 642,214 | 47.5 |
Texas | 4,727,208 | 28.3 | Governor | 957,973 | 20.4 |
Utah | 577,973 | 30.2 | Attorney General | 173,819 | 35.2 |
Vermont | 193,087 | 38.8 | Governor | 2,095 | 1.1 |
Virginia | 2,194,346 | 36.6 | U.S. Senate | 16,727 | 0.8 |
Washington | 2,123,901 | 43.1 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
West Virginia | 451,498 | 31.2 | U.S. Senate | 124,667 | 27.6 |
Wisconsin | 2,410,314 | 56.5 | Governor | 137,607 | 5.7 |
Wyoming | 168,390 | 39.3 | Governor | 52,703 | 33.6 |
Note: Information from the United States Elections Project was last updated on December 16, 2014.
Campaign finance
General election
Comprehensive donor information for this election has been collected by Follow the Money. Based on available campaign finance records, the candidates raised a total of $19,487,461 during the election. This information was last updated on May 14, 2015.[50]
Campaign Contribution Totals | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Office | Result | Contributions | |
Charlie Baker/Karyn Polito | Massachusetts Governor/Lieutenant Governor | $10,046,479 | ||
Martha Coakley/Steve Kerrigan | Massachusetts Governor/Lieutenant Governor | $5,183,801 | ||
Evan Falchuk | Massachusetts Governor | $2,950,089 | ||
Jeffrey McCormick | Massachusetts Governor | $1,263,013 | ||
Scott Lively | Massachusetts Governor | $44,079 | ||
Grand Total Raised | $19,487,461 |
Gubernatorial primary election
Comprehensive donor information for this election has been collected by Follow the Money. Based on available campaign finance records, the candidates raised a total of $10,425,738 during the election. This information was last updated on May 14, 2015.[51]
Campaign Contribution Totals | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Office | Result | Contributions | |
Steven Grossman | Massachusetts Governor | $4,014,009 | ||
Donald Berwick | Massachusetts Governor | $3,245,204 | ||
Juliette Kayyem | Massachusetts Governor | $1,615,092 | ||
Joe Avellone | Massachusetts Governor | $1,066,662 | ||
Mark Fisher | Massachusetts Governor | $484,771 | ||
Charlie Baker | Massachusetts Governor | $0 | ||
Martha Coakley | Massachusetts Governor | $0 | ||
Grand Total Raised | $10,425,738 |
Lieutenant gubernatorial primary
Comprehensive donor information for this election has been collected by Follow the Money. Based on available campaign finance records, the candidates raised a total of $796,873 during the election. This information was last updated on May 14, 2015.[52]
Campaign Contribution Totals | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Office | Result | Contributions | |
Michael Edward Lake | Massachusetts Lieutenant Governor | $328,620 | ||
Leland Cheung | Massachusetts Lieutenant Governor | $293,154 | ||
James Arena-DeRosa | Massachusetts Lieutenant Governor | $175,099 | ||
Karyn Polito | Massachusetts Lieutenant Governor | $0 | ||
Steve Kerrigan | Massachusetts Lieutenant Governor | $0 | ||
Grand Total Raised | $796,873 |
Key deadlines
Deadline | Event |
---|---|
May 6, 2014 | Signature filing deadline for party candidates seeking federal or statewide office to file with Registrar of Voters |
June 3, 2014 | Deadline for political party candidates seeking federal or statewide office to file with Secretary of Commonwealth |
July 29, 2014 | Deadline for nonpartisan candidates seeking federal or statewide office to file with Registrar of Voters |
August 26, 2014 | Deadline for nonpartisan candidates seeking federal or statewide office to file with Secretary of Commonwealth |
September 9, 2014 | Primary election |
November 4, 2014 | General election |
January 8, 2015 | Inauguration day for governor and lieutenant governor |
January 21, 2015 | Inauguration day for other state executive officers |
Ballotpedia reports
To learn more about developments in these races, check out the following news articles from Ballotpedia:
Recent news
This section links to a Google news search for the term "Massachusetts + governor + election"
See also
- Governor of Massachusetts
- Lieutenant Governor of Massachusetts
- Massachusetts state executive official elections, 2014
- State executive official elections, 2014
- Preview of 2014's most competitive gubernatorial races
- State executive debates, 2014
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Boston.com, "Lt. Gov. Timothy P. Murray to resign, says controversies had nothing to do with his decision," May 22, 2013
- ↑ NCSL, "State Primary Election Types," accessed October 3, 2024
- ↑ Secretary of the Commonwealth of Massachusetts, "How to Vote in a Primary," accessed October 3, 2024
- ↑ The Boston Globe, Political Intelligence, "Martha Coakley launches bid for governor with handshakes and a video," September 16, 2013
- ↑ The Washington Post, "Republican Charlie Baker announces run for governor," September 4, 2013
- ↑ Boston.com, "Republican Charles Baker to announce Mass. gubernatorial bid Wednesday," accessed September 3, 2013
- ↑ Wicked Local, Newton resident Evan Falchuk announces 2014 gubernatorial run as United Independent candidate, February 25, 2013
- ↑ 8.0 8.1 Wicked Local, "Newton's Don Berwick announces run for governor," June 17, 2013
- ↑ The Republic/MassLive.com, "Jeffrey McCormick of Boston jumps into Massachusetts governors race as independent candidate," October 21, 2013
- ↑ Jeff McCormick for Governor 2014 Official campaign website, "Homepage," accessed December 31, 2013
- ↑ Massachusetts Live, Anti-gay minister Scott Lively, of Springfield, running for governor, December 16, 2014
- ↑ WCVB.com, "Steve Grossman officially announces run for gov. at Mass. Dem. convention," July 13, 2013
- ↑ The Walpole Times, "Murray: Grossman's plans won't affect my decision on running for gub," January 7, 2013
- ↑ 14.0 14.1 Boston Globe, Baker holds off rival in GOP race for governor, March 22, 2014 Cite error: Invalid
<ref>
tag; name "globe" defined multiple times with different content - ↑ Boston Globe, Juliette Kayyem announces run for Mass. governor, August 21, 2013 (dead link)
- ↑ Joe Avellone for Governor, "Home," accessed April 14, 2013
- ↑ The Boston Herald, "Wolf, citing unresolved ethics complaint, exits gov’s race," October 22, 2013
- ↑ Cape Cod Times, "Wolf bows out of governor's race," October 21, 2013
- ↑ The Boston Globe, "US Rep. Capuano to run for re-election, not governor," September 26, 2013
- ↑ The Phoenix, "The Gathering Storm," November 7, 2012
- ↑ The Boston Globe, "Somerville Mayor Curtatone will not run for governor," October 17, 2013
- ↑ The Boston Herald, "Curtatone: Decision on gubernatorial race 'days away,'" September 27, 2013
- ↑ Boston Globe, "Patrick says he will serve out full term," January 4, 2011
- ↑ Boston Globe, "Grossman considering gun for governor in 2014," October 31, 2012
- ↑ Boston Globe, "Steve Grossman gets Democrats’ nod at convention," June 15, 2014
- ↑ The Boston Globe, Political Intelligence, "Martha Coakley launches bid for governor with handshakes and a video," September 16, 2013
- ↑ New York Times, "Massachusetts Democrat Wins Over Voters; Her Party Is a Different Story," June 13, 2014
- ↑ Boston.com, "Wolf vows to continue campaign despite ethics ruling on his ownership of Cape Air," accessed August 8, 2013
- ↑ CommonWealth Magazine, "Massachusetts Ethics Commission Ruling," accessed August 8, 2013
- ↑ 30.0 30.1 Cape Cod Times, "Ethics Commission considering exemption for Wolf," September 19, 2013. Retrieved September 19, 2013.
- ↑ Cite error: Invalid
<ref>
tag; no text was provided for refs namedwolfsays
- ↑ Dan Wolf for Governor 2014, "Press release: Resigning and Suspending Campaign Unless Ethics Commission Reconsiders," accessed August 23, 2013
- ↑ The Boston Herald, "Wolf, citing unresolved ethics complaint, exits gov’s race - See more at: http://bostonherald.com/news_opinion/local_politics/2013/10/wolf_citing_unresolved_ethics_complaint_exits_gov_s_race#sthash.Wyc0wMfq.dpuf," October 22, 2013
- ↑ Cape Cod Times, "Wolf bows out of governor's race," October 21, 2013
- ↑ Cite error: Invalid
<ref>
tag; no text was provided for refs namedbg
- ↑ The Washington Post, "Republican Charlie Baker announces run for governor," September 4, 2013
- ↑ Telegram, "Mass. GOP, Fisher spar in court over ballot access," April 11, 2014
- ↑ The Boston Globe, "Mark Fisher bullish on making GOP gubernatorial ballot," April 28, 2014
- ↑ Massachusetts Live, "Gubernatorial candidate Mark Fisher may sue Mass. Republican Party for ballot access," March 25, 2014
- ↑ Boston.com, "Campaign for Republican gubernatorial candidate threatens to sue state GOP," March 23, 2014
- ↑ 41.0 41.1 WBUR, "Governor Candidates Joust In Boston Debate," October 8, 2014
- ↑ 42.0 42.1 42.2 Sentinel & Enteprise, "GOVERNOR DEBATE: McCormick, Falchuk weigh in on casinos, energy policy," August 22, 2014
- ↑ 43.0 43.1 43.2 Sentinel & Enterprise, "GOVERNOR DEBATE: Baker, Fisher spar on jobs, gun control, higher ed," August 22, 2014
- ↑ Lowell Sun, "Gov hopefuls debate pot, Perry, casinos," August 21, 2014
- ↑ Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth, "Elections Division," accessed September 25, 2014
- ↑ United States Elections Project, "2014 November General Election Turnout Rates," November 7, 2014
- ↑ TIME, "Voter Turnout in Midterm Elections Hits 72-Year Low," November 10, 2014
- ↑ PBS, "2014 midterm election turnout lowest in 70 years," November 10, 2014
- ↑ U.S. News & World Report, "Midterm Turnout Down in 2014," November 5, 2014
- ↑ Follow the Money, "Overview of Massachusetts 2014 elections," accessed May 14, 2015
- ↑ Follow the Money, "Overview of Massachusetts 2014 elections," accessed May 14, 2015
- ↑ Follow the Money, "Overview of Massachusetts 2014 elections," accessed May 14, 2015
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