Massachusetts gubernatorial and lieutenant gubernatorial election, 2014

From Ballotpedia
Jump to: navigation, search



StateExecLogo.png

Massachusetts Gubernatorial Election

Primary Date:
September 9, 2014

General Election Date:
November 4, 2014

Race rating: Lean Democrat

November 4 Election Winners:
Charles D. Baker Republican Party
Karyn Polito Republican Party
Incumbents prior to election:
Deval Patrick Democratic Party
Lieutenant governor's office is vacant
Devalpatrick.jpg

Massachusetts State Executive Elections
Top Ballot
Governor Lieutenant Governor
Secretary of StateAttorney General
Down Ballot
Treasurer, Auditor

Lost trifecta for Democrats
WhoRunsTheStates Badge.jpg
State executive offices in Massachusetts
Flag of Massachusetts.png

The Massachusetts gubernatorial and lieutenant gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Deval Patrick (D) was eligible for re-election, as Massachusetts has no gubernatorial term limits, though he decided not to seek re-election. The lieutenant governor's office was vacant following Tim Murray's (D) resignation, effective June 2, 2013, in order to lead the Worcester Regional Chamber of Commerce.[1] Baker and running mate Karyn Polito won election to concurrent four-year terms in office.

A primary election is an election in which registered voters select a candidate that they believe should be a political party's candidate for elected office to run in the general election. They are also used to choose convention delegates and party leaders. Primaries are state-level and local-level elections that take place prior to a general election. Massachusetts utilizes a semi-closed primary system. An unaffiliated voter is allowed to vote in the primary election of his or her choice.[2][3]

For information about which offices are nominated via primary election, see this article.

Attorney General Martha Coakley survived a bruising Democratic primary and faced Charlie Baker (R), Evan Falchuk (I), Jeffrey McCormick (I) and Scott Lively (I) in the general election. Learn more about the candidates by jumping to the race background section and the debates section. The polling section details the narrow margins between Coakley and Baker heading into the November election.

Both legislative chambers and the governor's office were held by the Democratic Party prior to the election, which made Massachusetts a state government trifecta. Baker and Polito broke up this trifecta by winning in the 2014 election. Learn more about the latest developments in state government trifectas by clicking here.

Candidates

General election

Democratic Party Martha Coakley/Steve Kerrigan[4]
Republican Party Charles D. Baker/Karyn PolitoGreen check mark transparent.png[5][6]
Grey.png Evan Falchuk/Angus Jennings[7][8]
Grey.png Jeffrey McCormick/Tracy Post[9][10]
Grey.png Scott Lively/Shelly Saunders[11]

Lost in primary

Gubernatorial

Democratic Party Donald Berwick - Pediatrician, former Obama administration health care official[8]
Democratic Party Steven Grossman - Massachusetts Treasurer[12][13]
Republican Party Mark Fisher - Business owner[14]

Lieutenant gubernatorial

Democratic Party Leland Cheung
Democratic Party Michael Edward Lake

Did not make general ballot

Democratic Party Juliette Kayyem - Former columnist for the Boston Globe, former Department of Homeland Security’s assistant secretary for intergovernmental affairs[15]
Democratic Party Joe Avellone - Health care executive, former Wellesley selectman[16]

Withdrew or declined

Democratic Party Daniel Wolf - State Sen., Cape and Islands District[17][18]
Democratic Party Michael Capuano - U.S. House Rep, 7th District[19][20]
Democratic Party Joe Curtatone - Mayor of Somerville[21][22]


Results

General election

Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Massachusetts, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngCharles D. Baker/Karyn Polito 48.4% 1,044,573
     Democratic Martha Coakley/Steve Kerrigan 46.5% 1,004,408
     United Independent Evan Falchuk/Angus Jennings 3.3% 71,814
     Independent Scott Lively/Shelly Saunders 0.9% 19,378
     Independent Jeffrey McCormick/Tracy Post 0.8% 16,295
     Nonpartisan Write-in votes 0.1% 1,858
Total Votes 2,158,326
Election results via Massachusetts Secretary of State

Primary election

Gubernatorial

Democratic primary
Governor of Massachusetts, Democratic Primary, 2014
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngMartha Coakley 42.4% 229,156
Steve Grossman 36.4% 196,594
Don Berwick 21.1% 113,988
Write-in candidates 0.2% 995
Total Votes 540,733
Election results via Massachusetts Secretary of State.
Republican primary
Governor of Massachusetts, Republican Primary, 2014
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngCharles D. Baker 74.1% 116,004
Mark Fisher 25.7% 40,240
Write-in votes 0.2% 336
Total Votes 156,580
Election results via Massachusetts Secretary of State.

Lieutenant gubernatorial

Democratic primary
Lieutenant Governor of Massachusetts, Democratic Primary, 2014
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngSteve Kerrigan 50.7% 222,562
Leland Cheung 29.3% 128,645
Michael Edward Lake 19.6% 86,006
Write-in votes 0.3% 1,435
Total Votes 438,648
Election results via Massachusetts Secretary of State.
Republican primary

Karyn Polito won the Republican nomination without opposition.

Race background

Current incumbent Deval Patrick, a Democrat first elected in 2006, was eligible to run for re-election in 2014. However, after winning re-election in 2010, Patrick stated that he would not seek a third term as governor in the 2014 election.[23][24]

Democratic nomination

The field of Democrats competing for their party's nomination in the primary, which took place on September 9, 2014, attracted several current officeholders. Treasurer Steven Grossman won the state Democratic convention on June 14, 2014, while Attorney General Martha Coakley came in second. Physician Donald Berwick also secured a place on the primary ballot. Candidates Joe Avellone and Juliette Kayyem failed to achieve 15 percent of the convention backing to reach the primary ballot.[25][26] Coakley was the leading candidate in all polls against Grossman, but did not win over the party itself prior to the primary. Analysts posited that Coakley defeated Grossman based on higher name recognition. Party leaders were concerned she will not be able to win the general election. Grossman was the former chairman of the state and national Democratic parties.[27] Coakley defeated Grossman and Berwick in the September primary to reach the general election ballot.

Republican nomination

Daniel Wolf, a Republican state senator who announced his intentions to run early on, dropped out of the race after his campaign was suspended "indefinitely" since his Aug 2, 2013 disqualification by the Massachusetts Ethics Commission for being a stakeholder in an airline he previously founded, CapeAir. Since CapeAir is now a quasi-public agency whose board is controlled by the governor, the commission ruled Wolf's ties to be a violation of state conflict of interest prohibitions.[28][29] On September 19, the commission granted Wolf a second extension to his compliance deadline, beyond which he would be forced to resign his state senate seat and officially withdraw from the gubernatorial race.[30][31][32] The uncertainty about if and when he could resume campaigning resulted in Wolf's decision to officially withdraw from the race on October 21, 2013. [33][34][35][30]

Charlie Baker, a venture capitalist who was the Republican nominee for governor in 2010, again won his party's nomination at the convention on March 22, 2014. The other Republican challenger, Mark Fisher, originally appeared to have narrowly missed an appearance on the primary ballot after failing to achieve 15 percent of the vote with just 14.765 percent, but after challenging the results in court the judge ruled that Fisher should be allowed to appear with Baker on the primary ballot.[36][14] The blank ballots that were cast at the convention were counted in the total, reducing the percentage that Fisher received just enough to push him off the ballot. Kirsten Hughes, the Massachusetts Republican party chairwoman, told the media after the convention that blanks should not count towards the total. She retracted that statement days later saying she misspoke.[37][38][39] Baker defeated Fisher in the Republican primary on September 9, 2014.

Baker had to defend his more moderate views as a Republican in order to distance himself from Coakley. Baker supports both abortion rights and gay marriage, a contrast to many views of his conservative Republican supporters.[40]


Debates

Debate media

August 21 independent debate
August 21 Republican debate

General election

October 7 debate

All five candidates met for a debate prior to the general election. Coakley and Baker discussed the state's child welfare system and Baker's tenure as chief executive for Harvard Pilgrim Health Care.

A super PAC supporting Baker's campaign had released ads saying that Coakley opposed policy modifications at the Massachusetts Department of Children and Families during her time as attorney general. Baker brought up Coakley's defense of the state in 2010 from a lawsuit filed by a child welfare group concerned about the department's handling of foster care. Coakley responded that she was tasked with defending the state's interests as attorney general.[41]

Coakley attacked Baker for accepting a growing salary during his time at Harvard Pilgrim after he was brought in to improve the company's financial outlook. She argued that Baker's salary grew from $600,000 per year to $1.7 million per year while senior citizens were dropped from coverage. Baker countered that his salary was established by a board of directors and that his work helped prevent Harvard Pilgrim from going under, which would have weakened health services in the state.[41]

Primary election

August 21 independent debate

Evan Falchuk and Jeffrey McCormick discussed Massachusetts' economic state, taxes, and a statewide initiative on casinos in a debate hosted by Middlesex Community College. Falchuk, who was running as the United Independent Party candidate, argued that high healthcare costs and limited housing options had led to the state's economic struggles. McCormick argued that job creation and energy costs were the main culprits for economic problems.[42]

McCormick was criticized by Falchuk over his proposal for a lowered state income tax and shrinking of state agencies. This proposal would have established a 5 percent income tax and reduced the number of state jobs by eliminating positions as employees retired or moved to new jobs. Falchuk suggested that the proposal didn't make financial sense and pushed McCormick to name specific jobs that should be eliminated. McCormick stated that investigations into corruption at the state probation department revealed the state's wasteful spending.[42]

The two independent candidates also disagreed on Question 3 on the November 4 ballot, which would have repealed a 2011 law allowing resort casinos to operate in Massachusetts. McCormick supported Question 3, claiming that the law was only beneficial to casino operators. Falchuk opposed Question 3, arguing that the people of Massachusetts and their representatives had already made a decision. He compared the measure to efforts by congressional Republicans to sue President Barack Obama over the Affordable Care Act.[42]

August 21 Republican debate

Charlie Baker and Mark Fisher discussed jobs, schools, and firearms regulations in a debate hosted by Middlesex Community College. Both candidates argued that government spending and regulations should be reduced to create a better environment for job creation. Baker suggested that a Republican should be elected governor in order to create "constructive friction" with the Democratic-controlled legislature that would yield new ideas. Fisher supported ending state spending on food stamps and other programs, arguing that they were used by immigrants residing in the country without legal permission.[43]

The debate also included a discussion of higher education costs in Massachusetts. Baker promoted ideas including three-year undergraduate programs, online education options, and co-op programs at state universities. Fisher, the owner of a manufacturing firm, supported vocational education as a solution to college debt and as job preparation for graduates.[43]

Baker and Fisher held conflicting views regarding the state's approach to violence involving firearms. Baker suggested that smart-gun technology, which would require fingerprint identification before a gun can be discharged, should be available for gun owners. He also cited illegal weapons trafficking as a major issue facing the state. Fisher disagreed with Baker's assessment, suggesting that existing laws were restrictive and only impacted lawful gun owners.[43]

August 20 Democratic debate

Martha Coakley, Steve Grossman, and Don Berwick discussed the Question 3 measure on casinos and gambling in Massachusetts during their debate at Stonehill College. Berwick differentiated himself from Coakley and Grossman by supporting Question 3, citing negative impacts on communities that host casinos. Coakley argued that she preferred other methods of economic growth, but she said that revenue streams from casinos were used to strengthen programs to reduce gambling addiction. Grossman noted that casinos would add 15,000 jobs to the state and would keep money from heading to casinos in other states.[44]


Polls

General election
All candidates: October 2014

Governor of Massachusetts 2014 Five-way race: October 2014
Poll Martha Coakley Charlie BakerEvan FalchukJeff McCormickScott LivelyDon't know/ RefusedMargin of errorSample size
WBUR
October 22-25, 2014
40%41%4%1%2%12%+/-4.4494
UMass Lowell
October 21-25, 2014
41%45%3%2%1%8%+/-3.6601
The Boston Globe
October 19-21, 2014
37%46%3%2%2%8%+/-4.9400
WBUR
October 15-18, 2014
42%43%1%2%1%10%+/-4.4501
The Boston Globe
October 12-14, 2014
37%39%3%2%2%17%+/-4.9400
WBUR
October 8-11, 2014
42%39%2%2%1%14%+/-4.4500
The Boston Globe
October 5-7, 2014
39%34%3%2%2%20%+/-4.9400
WBUR
October 1-4, 2014
41%39%2%2%1%15%+/-4.4504
UMass Amherst/WBZ
September 26-October 2, 2014
48%44%2%2%2%2%+/-5.5414
AVERAGES 40.78% 41.11% 2.56% 1.89% 1.56% 11.78% +/-4.6 468.22
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to [email protected].

All candidates through September 2014

Governor of Massachusetts 2014 Five-way race: Through September 2014
Poll Martha Coakley Charlie BakerEvan FalchukJeff McCormickScott LivelyDon't know/ RefusedMargin of errorSample size
SocialSphere
September 28-30, 2014
36%39%2%1%1%21%+/-4.89401
The Boston Globe
September 25-28, 2014
43.8%43.2%2%1.6%0.4%9%+/-4500
WBUR
September 24-27, 2014
41%38%1%2%1%17%+/-4.4503
The Boston Globe
September 21-23, 2014
38%40%2%2%1%18%+/-4.9400
Western New England University Polling Institute
September 20-28, 2014
43%44%2%2%1%8%+/-4598
UMass Amherst/WBZ
September 19-23, 2014
46%45%2%2%2%3%+/-4.4600
WBUR
September 16-21, 2014
43%34%2%1%1%19%+/-4.4502
AVERAGES 41.54% 40.46% 1.86% 1.66% 1.06% 13.57% +/-4.43 500.57
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to [email protected].
Governor of Massachusetts 2014 Four-way race
Poll Martha Coakley Charlie BakerEvan FalchukJeff McCormickDon't know/ RefusedMargin of errorSample size
The Boston Globe
July 13-15, 2014
38%33%1%8%19%+/-5625
Western New England University Polling Institute
March 31-April 7, 2014
54%25%3%3%15%+/-5424
AVERAGES 46% 29% 2% 5.5% 17% +/-5 524.5
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to [email protected].

Major-party candidates

Governor of Massachusetts 2014 - Coakley v. Baker
Poll Martha Coakley Charlie BakerIndependent/otherDon't know/RefusedMargin of errorSample size
Emerson College Polling Society
October 26-29, 2014
42%48%4%6%+/-3.85627
New York Times/CBS News/YouGov
October 16-23, 2014
45%41%1%13%+/-32,218
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner
October 20-22, 2014
45%44%5%5%+/-4611
Rasmussen Reports
October 13-14, 2014
46%48%2%5%+/-3980
New York Times/CBS News/YouGov
September 20-October 1, 2014
47%41%1%11%+/-22,389
Rasmussen Reports
September 16-17, 2014
42%42%5%10%+/-4750
The Boston Globe
September 14-16, 2014
39%36%6%19%+/-4.9407
WBUR
September 11-14, 2014
44%35%15%6%+/-4.4504
AVERAGES 43.75% 41.88% 4.88% 9.38% +/-3.64 1,060.75
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to [email protected].

Primary and hypothetical polls

Governor of Massachusetts 2014 Four-way race with Grossman
Poll Steve Grossman Charlie BakerEvan FalchukJeff McCormickDon't knowRefusedMargin of errorSample size
Western New England University Polling Institute
March 31-April 7, 2014
38%29%4%9%19%1%+/-5424
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to [email protected].
Governor of Massachusetts 2014 Democratic Primary
Poll Martha Coakley Steve GrossmanDon BerwickJoe AvelloneDan WolfJuliette KayyemUndecidedMargin of errorSample size
Public Policy Polling
(September 20-23, 2013)
57%10%6%4%3%2%17%+/-5.4324
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to [email protected].
Governor of Massachusetts 2014 Democratic Primary
Poll Martha Coakley Steve GrossmanDon BerwickDon't knowMargin of errorSample size
University of Massachusetts-Lowell
(August 25-31, 2014)
52%20%9%19%+/-4.55685
Suffolk University/Boston Herald
(August 2014)
42.3%30%15.7%12%+/-0400
The Boston Globe
(July 13-15, 2014)
46%18%5%30%+/-5347
AVERAGES 46.77% 22.67% 9.9% 20.33% +/-3.18 477.33
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to [email protected].
Governor of Massachusetts 2014 Hypothetical Match-up: Charlie Baker vs. Democratic Candidates
Poll Charlie Baker Martha CoakleySteve GrossmanDonald BerwickJuliette KayyemNot sureMargin of errorSample size
UMass-­Amherst Internet Poll of Massachusetts
March 31-April 6, 2014
32%0%0%0%32%36%+/-5.9500
UMass-­Amherst Internet Poll of Massachusetts
March 31-April 6, 2014
32%0%0%29%0%37%+/-5.9500
UMass-­Amherst Internet Poll of Massachusetts
March 31-April 6, 2014
29%0%35%0%0%36%+/-5.9500
UMass-­Amherst Internet Poll of Massachusetts
March 31-April 6, 2014
34%45%0%0%0%21%+/-5.9500
AVERAGES 31.75% 11.25% 8.75% 7.25% 8% 32.5% +/-5.9 500
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to [email protected].

**Due to the nature of the comparison, a placeholder figure of 0% is assigned to candidates not included in any given match-up round

Governor of Massachusetts 2014 Hypothetical Match-ups - Republican Charlie Baker vs. Democratic candidates
Poll Charlie Baker Martha CoakleySteve GrossmanNot sureMargin of errorSample size
January 2014 Special Edition Purple Poll Massachusetts Statewide
January 21-23, 2014
35%0%34%31%+/-4.4500
January 2014 Special Edition Purple Poll Massachusetts Statewide
January 21-23, 2014
36%46%0%18%+/-4.4500
AVERAGES 35.5% 23% 17% 24.5% +/-4.4 500
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to [email protected].

**Due to the nature of the comparison, a placeholder figure of 0% is assigned to candidates not included in any given match-up round

Governor of Massachusetts 2014 Hypothetical Match-ups - Republican Mark Fisher vs. Democratic candidates
Poll Mark Fisher Martha CoakleySteve GrossmanNot sureMargin of errorSample size
January 2014 Special Edition Purple Poll Massachusetts Statewide
January 21-23, 2014
26%0%35%38%+/-4.4500
January 2014 Special Edition Purple Poll Massachusetts Statewide
January 21-23, 2014
30%50%0%20%+/-4.4500
AVERAGES 28% 25% 17.5% 29% +/-4.4 500
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to [email protected].

**Due to the nature of the comparison, a placeholder figure of 0% is assigned to candidates not included in any given match-up round

Governor of Massachusetts 2014 Hypothetical Match-ups - Republican Charlie Baker and Independents vs. Democratic candidates
Poll Charlie Baker Jeff McCormickEvan FalchukMartha CoakleySteve GrossmanDon BerwickJuliette KayyemJoe AvelloneAnother candidateUndecided/Refused/Won't voteMargin of errorSample size
WBUR Poll: Governor's Race
January 16-19, 2014
36%8%2%0%0%0%0%13%2%39%+/-4.4504
WBUR Poll: Governor's Race
January 16-19, 2014
37%7%2%0%0%0%15%0%1%38%+/-4.4504
WBUR Poll: Governor's Race
January 16-19, 2014
36%8%2%0%0%13%0%0%2%40%+/-4.4504
WBUR Poll: Governor's Race
January 16-19, 2014
33%5%1%0%23%0%0%0%2%36%+/-4.4504
WBUR Poll: Governor's Race
January 16-19, 2014
29%3%1%39%0%0%0%0%2%26%+/-4.4504
AVERAGES 34.2% 6.2% 1.6% 7.8% 4.6% 2.6% 3% 2.6% 1.8% 35.8% +/-4.4 504
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to [email protected].

**Due to the nature of the comparison, a placeholder figure of 0% is assigned to candidates not included in any given match-up round

Governor of Massachusetts 2014 Hypothetical Match-ups - Republican Charlie Baker vs. Democratic candidates
Poll Charlie Baker (R)* Martha CoakleyMike CapuanoDon BerwickSteve GrossmanJoe AvelloneNot sureMargin of errorSample size
Western New England University
(October 1-7, 2013)
30%0%0%0%43%0%25%+/-5.0431
Western New England University
(October 1-7, 2013)
34%54%0%0%0%0%10%+/-5.0431
Public Policy Poll
(September 20-23, 2013)
40%0%0%0%0%30%30%+/-4.0616
Public Policy Poll
(September 20-23, 2013)
37%0%0%0%38%0%25%+/-4.0616
Public Policy Poll
(September 20-23, 2013)
38%0%0%31%0%0%31%+/-4.0616
Public Policy Poll
(September 20-23, 2013)
37%0%0%42%0%0%21%+/-4.0616
Public Policy Poll
(September 20-23, 2013)
38%51%0%0%0%0%11%+/-4.0616
AVERAGES 36.29% 15% 0% 10.43% 11.57% 4.29% 21.86% +/-4.29 563.14
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to [email protected].

**Due to the nature of the comparison, a placeholder figure of 0% is assigned to candidates not included in any given match-up round

Governor of Massachusetts 2014 Hypothetical Match-ups with Various Republican Candidates
Poll Charlie Baker Evan FalchukJeff McCormickMartha CoakleySteve GrossmanJuliette KayyemDon BerwickJoe AvelloneUndecidedMargin of errorSample size
The Boston Globe
(May 29 - June 3, 2014)
36%2%9%0%0%0%0%17%36%+/-4.0602
The Boston Globe
(May 29 - June 3, 2014)
37%2%9%0%0%0%18%0%35%+/-4.0602
The Boston Globe
(May 29 - June 3, 2014)
36%2%7%0%0%20%0%0%36%+/-4.0602
The Boston Globe
(May 29 - June 3, 2014)
32%2%8%0%26%0%0%0%31%+/-4.0602
The Boston Globe
(May 29 - June 3, 2014)
32%2%7%37%0%0%0%0%22%+/-4.0602
AVERAGES 34.6% 2% 8% 7.4% 5.2% 4% 3.6% 3.4% 32% +/-4 602
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to [email protected].

**Due to the nature of the comparison, a placeholder figure of 0% is assigned to candidates not included in any given match-up round


Campaign media

General election

Charles Baker

Charlie Baker ad: "Caroline," September 10, 2014
Charlie Baker ad: "Delivers," September 26, 2014

Martha Coakley

Martha Coakley ad: "Plan," September 15, 2014
Martha Coakley ad: "Edward," October 2, 2014
Martha Coakley ad: "Everyone," October 20, 2014

Outside groups

Commonwealth Future PAC
Commonwealth Future ad: "Should Know," September 22, 2014
Commonwealth Future ad: "Vulnerable," October 1, 2014
Commonwealth Future ad: "Interests," October 20, 2014
Democratic Governors Association
DGA ad: "Charlie Baker, Award Winning Outsourcer," October 15, 2014

Primary election

Donald Berwick

Don Berwick ad: A Better Choice
Don Berwick ad: Play Politics

Martha Coakley

Martha Coakley ad: For Us

Steve Grossman

Steve Grossman ad: Limitless
Steve Grossman ad: Endorsed

Past elections

Margin of victory analysis

The average margin of victory in the past three races for governor was 10.4 percent. The smallest margin of victory was 4.8 percent in 2002, while the largest margin of victory was 20 percent in 2006. Percentages of votes for third-party candidates have increased from 6.4 percent in 2002 to 9.4 percent in 2010. The following chart compares the margin of victory for winners of gubernatorial races with the margin of victory for candidates who won the most votes for the top race on the ballot:[45]

Margin of victory analysis
Year Gov. candidate margin of victory (%) Party of winning candidate Top race on ballot Party of winning candidate Margin of victory (%)
2010 6.4 Democratic Party - - -
2006 20 Democratic Party U.S. Senate Democratic Party 37.4
2002 4.8 Republican Party U.S. Senate Democratic Party 55.6

2010

See also: Massachusetts gubernatorial election, 2010
Massachusetts Gubernatorial/Lieutenant Gubernatorial, General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngDeval Patrick/Tim Murray Incumbent 48.5% 1,112,283
     Republican Charles D. Baker/Richard R. Tisei 42.1% 964,866
     Independent Tim Cahill/Paul Loscocco 8% 184,395
     Green Jill Stein/Richard P. Purcell 1.4% 32,895
Total Votes 2,294,439
Election results via Massachusetts Secretary of State

2006

Massachusetts Gubernatorial/Lieutenant Gubernatorial, General Election, 2006
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngDeval Patrick/Tim Murray 55% 1,234,984
     Republican Kerry Healey/Reed V. Hillman 35% 784,342
     Independent Christy Mihos/John J. Sullivan 6.9% 154,628
     Green Grace Ross/Martina Robinson 1.9% 43,193
     Blanks - 1.1% 24,056
     Nonpartisan Others 0.1% 2,632
Total Votes 2,243,835
Election results via Massachusetts Secretary of State

2002

Massachusetts Gubernatorial/Lieutenant Gubernatorial, General Election, 2002
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngMitt Romney/Kerry Healey 49.2% 1,091,988
     Democratic Shannon O'Brien/Christopher Gabrielli 44.4% 985,981
     Green Jill Stein/Anthony Lorenzen 3.4% 76,530
     Blanks - 1.2% 26,122
     Libertarian Carla Howell/Richard P. Aucoin 1% 23,044
     Independent Barbara Johnson/Joseph Schebel 0.7% 15,335
     Nonpartisan Others 0.1% 1,301
Total Votes 2,220,301
Election results via Massachusetts Secretary of State

Voter turnout

Political scientist Michael McDonald's United States Elections Project studied voter turnout in the 2014 election by looking at the percentage of eligible voters who headed to the polls. McDonald used voting-eligible population (VEP), or the number of eligible voters independent of their current registration status, to calculate turnout rates in each state on November 4. He also incorporated ballots cast for the highest office in each state into his calculation. He estimated that 81,687,059 ballots were cast in the 50 states plus the District of Columbia, representing 35.9 percent of the VEP.[46] By comparison, 61.6 percent of VEP voted in the 2008 presidential election and 58.2 percent of VEP voted in the 2012 presidential election.[47]

Quick facts

  • According to PBS Newshour, voter turnout in the 2014 midterms was the lowest since the 1942 midterms, which took place during the nation's involvement in World War II.[48]
  • Forty-three states and the District of Columbia failed to surpass 50 percent turnout in McDonald's analysis.
  • The three states with the lowest turnout according to McDonald's analysis were Texas (28.3 percent), Tennessee (28.6 percent), and Indiana (28.8 percent).
  • Maine (58.5 percent), Wisconsin (56.5 percent), and Colorado (54.5 percent) were the three states with the highest turnout.
  • There were only 12 states that increased voter turnout in 2014 compared to the 2010 midterm elections.[49]

Note: Information from the United States Elections Project was last updated on December 16, 2014.

Campaign finance

General election

Comprehensive donor information for this election has been collected by Follow the Money. Based on available campaign finance records, the candidates raised a total of $19,487,461 during the election. This information was last updated on May 14, 2015.[50]

Campaign Contribution Totals
Candidate Office Result Contributions
Charlie Baker/Karyn Polito Republican Party Massachusetts Governor/Lieutenant Governor Won $10,046,479
Martha Coakley/Steve Kerrigan Democratic Party Massachusetts Governor/Lieutenant Governor Defeated $5,183,801
Evan Falchuk Grey.png Massachusetts Governor Defeated $2,950,089
Jeffrey McCormick Grey.png Massachusetts Governor Defeated $1,263,013
Scott Lively Libertarian Party Massachusetts Governor Defeated $44,079
Grand Total Raised $19,487,461

Gubernatorial primary election

Comprehensive donor information for this election has been collected by Follow the Money. Based on available campaign finance records, the candidates raised a total of $10,425,738 during the election. This information was last updated on May 14, 2015.[51]

Campaign Contribution Totals
Candidate Office Result Contributions
Steven Grossman Democratic Party Massachusetts Governor Defeated $4,014,009
Donald Berwick Democratic Party Massachusetts Governor Defeated $3,245,204
Juliette Kayyem Democratic Party Massachusetts Governor Defeated $1,615,092
Joe Avellone Democratic Party Massachusetts Governor Defeated $1,066,662
Mark Fisher Republican Party Massachusetts Governor Defeated $484,771
Charlie Baker Republican Party Massachusetts Governor Won $0
Martha Coakley Democratic Party Massachusetts Governor Won $0
Grand Total Raised $10,425,738

Lieutenant gubernatorial primary

Comprehensive donor information for this election has been collected by Follow the Money. Based on available campaign finance records, the candidates raised a total of $796,873 during the election. This information was last updated on May 14, 2015.[52]

Campaign Contribution Totals
Candidate Office Result Contributions
Michael Edward Lake Democratic Party Massachusetts Lieutenant Governor Defeated $328,620
Leland Cheung Democratic Party Massachusetts Lieutenant Governor Defeated $293,154
James Arena-DeRosa Democratic Party Massachusetts Lieutenant Governor Defeated $175,099
Karyn Polito Republican Party Massachusetts Lieutenant Governor Won $0
Steve Kerrigan Democratic Party Massachusetts Lieutenant Governor Won $0
Grand Total Raised $796,873

Key deadlines

Deadline Event
May 6, 2014 Signature filing deadline for party candidates seeking federal or statewide office to file with Registrar of Voters
June 3, 2014 Deadline for political party candidates seeking federal or statewide office to file with Secretary of Commonwealth
July 29, 2014 Deadline for nonpartisan candidates seeking federal or statewide office to file with Registrar of Voters
August 26, 2014 Deadline for nonpartisan candidates seeking federal or statewide office to file with Secretary of Commonwealth
September 9, 2014 Primary election
November 4, 2014 General election
January 8, 2015 Inauguration day for governor and lieutenant governor
January 21, 2015 Inauguration day for other state executive officers

Ballotpedia reports

To learn more about developments in these races, check out the following news articles from Ballotpedia:

Recent news

This section links to a Google news search for the term "Massachusetts + governor + election"

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. Boston.com, "Lt. Gov. Timothy P. Murray to resign, says controversies had nothing to do with his decision," May 22, 2013
  2. NCSL, "State Primary Election Types," accessed October 3, 2024
  3. Secretary of the Commonwealth of Massachusetts, "How to Vote in a Primary," accessed October 3, 2024
  4. The Boston Globe, Political Intelligence, "Martha Coakley launches bid for governor with handshakes and a video," September 16, 2013
  5. The Washington Post, "Republican Charlie Baker announces run for governor," September 4, 2013
  6. Boston.com, "Republican Charles Baker to announce Mass. gubernatorial bid Wednesday," accessed September 3, 2013
  7. Wicked Local, Newton resident Evan Falchuk announces 2014 gubernatorial run as United Independent candidate, February 25, 2013
  8. 8.0 8.1 Wicked Local, "Newton's Don Berwick announces run for governor," June 17, 2013
  9. The Republic/MassLive.com, "Jeffrey McCormick of Boston jumps into Massachusetts governors race as independent candidate," October 21, 2013
  10. Jeff McCormick for Governor 2014 Official campaign website, "Homepage," accessed December 31, 2013
  11. Massachusetts Live, Anti-gay minister Scott Lively, of Springfield, running for governor, December 16, 2014
  12. WCVB.com, "Steve Grossman officially announces run for gov. at Mass. Dem. convention," July 13, 2013
  13. The Walpole Times, "Murray: Grossman's plans won't affect my decision on running for gub," January 7, 2013
  14. 14.0 14.1 Boston Globe, Baker holds off rival in GOP race for governor, March 22, 2014 Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; name "globe" defined multiple times with different content
  15. Boston Globe, Juliette Kayyem announces run for Mass. governor, August 21, 2013 (dead link)
  16. Joe Avellone for Governor, "Home," accessed April 14, 2013
  17. The Boston Herald, "Wolf, citing unresolved ethics complaint, exits gov’s race," October 22, 2013
  18. Cape Cod Times, "Wolf bows out of governor's race," October 21, 2013
  19. The Boston Globe, "US Rep. Capuano to run for re-election, not governor," September 26, 2013
  20. The Phoenix, "The Gathering Storm," November 7, 2012
  21. The Boston Globe, "Somerville Mayor Curtatone will not run for governor," October 17, 2013
  22. The Boston Herald, "Curtatone: Decision on gubernatorial race 'days away,'" September 27, 2013
  23. Boston Globe, "Patrick says he will serve out full term," January 4, 2011
  24. Boston Globe, "Grossman considering gun for governor in 2014," October 31, 2012
  25. Boston Globe, "Steve Grossman gets Democrats’ nod at convention," June 15, 2014
  26. The Boston Globe, Political Intelligence, "Martha Coakley launches bid for governor with handshakes and a video," September 16, 2013
  27. New York Times, "Massachusetts Democrat Wins Over Voters; Her Party Is a Different Story," June 13, 2014
  28. Boston.com, "Wolf vows to continue campaign despite ethics ruling on his ownership of Cape Air," accessed August 8, 2013
  29. CommonWealth Magazine, "Massachusetts Ethics Commission Ruling," accessed August 8, 2013
  30. 30.0 30.1 Cape Cod Times, "Ethics Commission considering exemption for Wolf," September 19, 2013. Retrieved September 19, 2013.
  31. Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named wolfsays
  32. Dan Wolf for Governor 2014, "Press release: Resigning and Suspending Campaign Unless Ethics Commission Reconsiders," accessed August 23, 2013
  33. The Boston Herald, "Wolf, citing unresolved ethics complaint, exits gov’s race - See more at: http://bostonherald.com/news_opinion/local_politics/2013/10/wolf_citing_unresolved_ethics_complaint_exits_gov_s_race#sthash.Wyc0wMfq.dpuf," October 22, 2013
  34. Cape Cod Times, "Wolf bows out of governor's race," October 21, 2013
  35. Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named bg
  36. The Washington Post, "Republican Charlie Baker announces run for governor," September 4, 2013
  37. Telegram, "Mass. GOP, Fisher spar in court over ballot access," April 11, 2014
  38. The Boston Globe, "Mark Fisher bullish on making GOP gubernatorial ballot," April 28, 2014
  39. Massachusetts Live, "Gubernatorial candidate Mark Fisher may sue Mass. Republican Party for ballot access," March 25, 2014
  40. Boston.com, "Campaign for Republican gubernatorial candidate threatens to sue state GOP," March 23, 2014
  41. 41.0 41.1 WBUR, "Governor Candidates Joust In Boston Debate," October 8, 2014
  42. 42.0 42.1 42.2 Sentinel & Enteprise, "GOVERNOR DEBATE: McCormick, Falchuk weigh in on casinos, energy policy," August 22, 2014
  43. 43.0 43.1 43.2 Sentinel & Enterprise, "GOVERNOR DEBATE: Baker, Fisher spar on jobs, gun control, higher ed," August 22, 2014
  44. Lowell Sun, "Gov hopefuls debate pot, Perry, casinos," August 21, 2014
  45. Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth, "Elections Division," accessed September 25, 2014
  46. United States Elections Project, "2014 November General Election Turnout Rates," November 7, 2014
  47. TIME, "Voter Turnout in Midterm Elections Hits 72-Year Low," November 10, 2014
  48. PBS, "2014 midterm election turnout lowest in 70 years," November 10, 2014
  49. U.S. News & World Report, "Midterm Turnout Down in 2014," November 5, 2014
  50. Follow the Money, "Overview of Massachusetts 2014 elections," accessed May 14, 2015
  51. Follow the Money, "Overview of Massachusetts 2014 elections," accessed May 14, 2015
  52. Follow the Money, "Overview of Massachusetts 2014 elections," accessed May 14, 2015